next general election, with the next general election, with labour cabinet ministers set to lose their seats and nigel farage holding the balance of power. are we on the precipice of a political revolution? we'll be looking at that tonight. here's a headline i expect you never thought you would hear. lego bricks are apparently anti lgbt. that's according to the london science museum. we'll be talking about the end of gender ideology today through gritted teeth. ed miliband has been forced to back down on his opposition to the heathrow expansion. is it time that he backed down on the rest of his net zero vanity project? newly released data shows housing pnces released data shows housing prices are at a record high. can we ever get control over the housing market if we cannot control the immigration crisis? i'll be discussing with the top expert tonight. that's state of the nation with me. matt goodwin starts right now.

now i'll also be joined tonight by my top panel. at least i'm hoping to be joined by labour adviser stella santokhi on her way from westminster and former spokesman here in the studio with me for reform uk, gawain towler. as ever, let me know your views at gbnews.com/yoursay. hit me up on x at goodwin mj. but for now, it's x at goodwin mj. but for now, wsfime x at goodwin mj. but for now, it's time for the news bulletin with sam francis. >> very good evening to you. a recap of the top stories at just after 8:00. we'll start in the united states, where on day 19 of donald trump's second term in office, japan has committed to doubung office, japan has committed to doubling its defence spending by 2027. well, a joint news conference has just wrapped up where donald trump has pledged the full strength of american defence to its ally as both nafions defence to its ally as both nations ramp up cooperation against china and tackle north korea's nuclear ambitions.

japan's prime minister, shigeru ishiba, promised $1 trillion of investment in the united states, calling it unprecedented. the leaders also both vowed to lead the world in al, semiconductors and energy development across the indo—pacific. turning now to the indo—pacific. turning now to the middle east, where hamas has named the next hostages to be freed in gaza this weekend, including three men. they are eli sharabi, ohad ben—ami and or levi. 18 hostages have been released so far, with israel freeing 383 palestinian prisoners in return. by the end of this ceasefire stage, 33 hostages and 1900 prisoners are expected to have been released, though israel says sadly eight of the hostages are dead. meanwhile, hamas has accused israel of blocking critical humanitarian aid, a claim disputed by the united nations. here at home, the government has confirmed that grenfell tower will be dismantled nearly eight years after a fire killed 72

people. the process will take around two years and be done sensitively, with no changes made before june's anniversary of the disaster. the decision follows warnings that the damaged building is deteriorating and only remains stable due to protective measures. local people and survivors, though, are divided. some want the tower to remain as a memorial, while others say it's too distressing. officials have said materials will be preserved, though, for a potential memorial if the community wishes. a man who murdered his partner's toddler after staying up late playing video games has been jailed for life today, with a minimum term of 25 years. christopher stockton inflicted fatal head injuries on 22 month old charlie roberts at their home last january. the boy's mother, paula roberts, admitted neglecting him by failing to seek treatment for the injuries stockton caused and was jailed for four years. the judge said stockton's actions were excruciatingly painful for the young boy, and only he knew

why he inflicted the fatal blow. detectives also called it a heartbreaking case and urged people to report concerns about child welfare. a new poll is predicting a three way tie at the next general election, with labour cabinet ministers set to lose their seats and nigel farage holding the balance of power. the survey of almost 6000 people found reform uk would have 175 seats, up from only five. labour would drop, though, from 412 to 174, and the tories would gain around 50. it would mean wes streeting yvette cooper and angela rayner would be among those to lose their seats. with the conservative and reform coalition the most likely outcome? itv has pulled gino d'acampo shows from its schedule after accusations of inappropriate and intimidating behaviour on set. family fortunes and secret of the south have been replaced this weekend, with no plans to air a new series filmed last october. itv says dozens of people accused

the chef of aggressive and sexualised language, though he denies the claims and calls them deeply upsetting. and just before i hand you back to matt, the king and queen are hosting hollywood actor and foodie stanley tucci tonight for a black tie dinner at highgrove, celebrating italian cuisine and sustainable food. the feast uses british ingredients blended with italian traditions, inspired by his tv series exploring italy. the royal couple will also promote so—called slow fashion, meeting students, showcasing sustainable garments. meanwhile, buckingham palace has also confirmed a state visit in april to italy and the vatican to mark charles and camilla's 20th wedding anniversary. that's the news on gb news. i'll be back with you in around an hour. now, though, it's over to matt. >> for the very latest gb news direct to your smartphone, sign up to news alerts by scanning the qr code or go to

gbnews.com/alerts. >> welcome back, everybody to state of the nation tonight with me matt goodwin. now that bombshell mega poll in british politics today has got everybody asking the question, will reform uk hold the balance of power at the next general election? according to this very big mrp poll of 5000 people, it is predicting that there will be a three way tie between the labour party, the conservative party and reform. in the findings that you can see on the screen. on the left is the 2024 general election results, and on the right is the latest poll projection, which shows that the conservatives would win around 178 seats, labour around 174 seats and nigel farage and reform uk around 175 seats, which would be a dramatic rise from the five seats they won only a few months ago. in july

2024. what this poll shows is the most likely government outcome would point to a conservative reform coalition. look beneath the bonnet, however, and you'll soon find some other remarkable numbers in the latest polling . reform is the latest polling. reform is the latest polling. reform is the most popular party in the country among men, according to the recent yougov poll. it's more popular than the conservative party among the middle aged, and it's the most popular party in british politics again, according to that yougov poll, among the working class. and why not? after all, isn't it these groups that have been smashed to pieces over the last 30 years by the elite consensus in this country, by a rampant globalisation that's worked well for big business, worked well for london, oxford and cambridge, but much less well for ordinary, hard working, taxpaying british workers, an elite consensus that's imposed an extreme policy of mass, uncontrolled immigration on the rest of us. again, a policy that works well for the virtue signalling elites in london, oxford and cambridge, but which now even the office

for budget responsibility concedes is bringing millions of people into britain, who are a net fiscal cost to the country and our economy. an elite obsession as well with net zero, which is pushing up energy pnces which is pushing up energy prices and decimating our traditional energy providers, forcing the shutting of factories, a loss of thousands ofjobs factories, a loss of thousands of jobs across working class towns up and down these islands, and perhaps most visibly, most importantly of all, by our broken borders, which is making a mockery of our claim to be a self—governing, independent nafion self—governing, independent nation which controls our own borders and keeps our own people safe. is this not why we are seeing all of this churn and change in the national opinion polls today? because so many people out there, i think many of the people watching this show are utterly frustrated and fed up with the policies that have been imposed on them by the uniparty in westminster for much of the last 30 years. now, as even of the last 30 years. now, as ever, let me know your views. i want to hear them at gbnews.com/yoursay or hit me up on x at goodwin mj. now i'm

joined tonight in the studio by political commentator susie stride and former spokesman for reform uk, gordon taylor. now, susie , thanks for joining us. susie, thanks for joining us. this mrp poll suggests we are on the cusp of something we haven't seen in british politics before, a sort of conservative reform coalition. i mean, how much do you believe this kind of polling do you think this is credible? do you think perhaps it's midterm polling that we should maybe not read midterm polling that we shou