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tv   [untitled]    August 27, 2023 7:30pm-8:00pm IRST

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[000:00:00;00] without going to the bank in the big iranian palace, the photo of the front page of the sacrifice is there, the fence between the pleasure of the meeting is there, to the justice of my servant, the burden of trust is on your shoulder , some of the people's consumption, you have your stronghold, and there
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is hope for you, on the other side of the table, in the eyes of the city, i will reach you may god bless you, honorable countrymen, ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the trip. it is also the week of the government and the guests of the safavi program, who have always been and are the first to travel, are from the government. his name was tied to taxes and various events during the period his responsibility in the tax affairs organization passed , which was honored yesterday at the shahid rajaei festival with the presence of the honorable president, and now it has been several months since the country's program and budget organization hassan mr. dr. manzoor, honorable deputy president and head of
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the program and budget organization, greetings again from i would like to say hello to your excellency and dear viewers and have a good time. be healthy , mr. doctor. please tell me about the measures that you were not responsible for in the last two years, but what happened in the program and budget organization. i want two years from the 13th government i would like to congratulate all our dear colleagues in the government on the occasion of the government week, and thank god for the day-and-night efforts that all the dear ones put in
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to provide worthy services to our dear people. i hope that all of us will be honest guides for these noble martyrs in the 13th government of nature, but we took over the situation that left the country with a period of low growth in the nineties, when we look at the economic growth rate in the last three years in the previous government. we saw an average growth of minus two percent in the first two years in fact, in the first period of the government, this government continued the low methods of 2%, 2.5%, 20%
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, in general, in the 90s, the average economic growth of the country was 7/10%, and naturally, getting out of this period of low growth requires more measures and efforts and issues. it was done in this government and the economic growth rate in 1400 reached 4.80% with oil and in 401 it reached the same 4.80% again with oil and we hope that we can promote this girl this year as well. the rate of fixed capital formation in the country means the investments made in machinery, infrastructure, construction
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in the 90s, it was zero and even in some years, the rate of capital formation became negative , that is, we did not replace my previous investments , especially in the last three years, in the last three years of the previous government , the growth rate of capital formation was minus 15%-17%. it is reported that investments have improved in this government and the rate of capital formation has increased to about 4,400 and more than 2% in 1401 and we are trying to improve capital formation this year with different methods of financing . the finance that we are following now
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is the same in relation to the growth rate of monetary base and liquidity what has happened means that the growth rate of the monetary base, which was about 41% in 2019, the last year of the previous government, has now reached about 27 and a half percent. at the end of last year, it has decreased to 1% . control the monetary totals and prevent the increase in liquidity in the economy. in relation to the unemployment rate, we have the same story. the unemployment rate was in double digits during the entire period of the 11th and 12th governments, 12%, 12% in some years, in
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the last year of 2019. digitization and eight tenths of percent and in this period in the new government, the rate is repeated and it decreased so that at the end of last year the unemployment rate decreased to eight and two tenths percent , the amount of employment created was actually employment that was able to reduce the unemployment rate to 82 percent, which is an acceptable number, i.e. one of the lowest. there are unemployment rates, in fact, in the last two decades of the country, in connection with the income explanation policies, one of the main policies of this government is to eliminate poverty and help the low deciles and low
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-income people of the society, and that is why we saw that last year after since the exchange rate changed from 4.200 to 8.500 tomans the redistribution and support policies for the low-income sections of the society were directed in such a way that each person now receives a subsidy of 500 thousand tomans , and naturally, a family of 4 with a low income of the lower deciles is actually receiving two million tomans from the government and that's it. it makes the general welfare situation of low-income people improve, although the exchange rate changes that happened last year inevitably as an economic surgery and it was no longer possible
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to provide us with shahab 200, followed by an inflationary effect. i put a lot of effort into these inflationary effects, but fortunately, the effect of the exchange rate adjustment that was carried out last year has now gradually subsided and has become somewhat smooth, and this year we are entering a period of low inflation, so that the inflation rate in march was 57% in farvardin to three and seven. it decreased by 10 percent and in may, the monthly inflation rate in may, june, and july reached lower levels. in june and july
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, it reached 92 percent. now in august, the latest statistics that we have, published by the statistics center, is the monthly inflation rate of 24 tenths . of course, our best effort is to lower the monthly inflation rate let's reduce the average inflation rate in the country to about 30% by the end of the year, so the set of measures that the government has chosen in this period is that we can first provide stability in the market by implementing policies with income distribution and the result of these policies. with iran's income distribution, it has caused that the inequality coefficient of income distribution , which we call the gini coefficient, the lower the better, that is , it uses less inequality and
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shows less freshness, now it has reached 0.38 87 at the beginning of the government. it was 0.4 for these changes the gini coefficient is very difficult for you, it happens very slowly, but these redistribution policies in the distribution of income have improved the conditions, in general, we have taken over the relatively large set of debts caused by the issuance of bonds in the last two years of the previous government to be transferred to this government. in 1400, the amount of foreign currency that was available for the supply of basic goods was almost completely used, and the government was practically forced to meet the country's foreign exchange needs , especially for basic goods, through
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other methods, but with all these good qualities, all these things happened in the field of business foreigners, for example, have responded well in terms of foreign exchange management, so that the country's exports have increased from about 35 billion dollars in 2019 , now the export amount has increased to 53 billion dollars, the amount of imports has increased from 38 billion dollars, and the amount of imports has increased from 38 billion dollars in last year, it reached about 60 billion dollars, and the country was able
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to improve its trade balance by developing foreign trade, exporting goods and importing goods, and of course, in all of this , the effects of sanctions and the intensification of sanctions have always been at the head of the economy. these events with in fact, this preservation or the sanctions were intensified, but in general, the currency market was managed well, of course, we experienced a currency jump last year , which was 4,200 k from the removal of the currency, that is, an accumulated father that had been created for several years and other sources . the country's currency was not the answer to the values ​​of 200 for the country, and therefore the behnaz government actually did a cheek surgery and this itself created a leap in the country's official exchange rate , the currency in the informal markets also increased
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, but in these two last year, the exchange rate changes in the informal market are actually comparable to the changes the exchange rate in the previous government is not the same. in the previous government, the exchange rate increased by about 700%, that is, the currency was 3500. in fact , at the end of the government, it increased to about 25 thousand tomans . it increased by more than 25 thousand tomans. therefore, the government was able to increase one thousand tomans. let him go through a new transition in the market and carry out a serious reform of the currency market, but this year and the market, you are witnessing stability, the exchange rate
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remains stable in a range where changes are acceptable, of course , we hope that with this improvement that has happened in the international space and the joining of the country dear brics, which is a very important and big event , and we have joined the group of countries that collectively account for about a third of the world economy . joining the shanghai pact is another event and this development of regional cooperation is promising that in the future we
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will see more stability in the country's foreign trade, improvement in the country's foreign trade conditions and stability in the currency market. this economic diplomacy and international relations that it is doing well little by little, the effects of the sanctions are diminishing, the liberalization of the country's foreign exchange resources, which had been blocked for years, these events are not very important that are happening and that finally the country, which has been a bloc for years and was under masoud , will be freed in south korea and is now available. is it possible that part of our foreign exchange resources, which was positive, is now available, and in other countries there are all these very important openings that will definitely help the stability of the economy, the stability of the currency market will help , a very important thing has happened in the matter of oil exports
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. actually, they were able to do it from us in the ministry of oil make the oil sanctions less effective, so that now the country's oil export has reached a very admirable level and our production and export is slowly approaching the country's current oil production capacity , that is, i think it is close to three and seven it is 10 million barrels per day for export as well as for domestic consumption and domestic refineries of the country, and all these events are happening in a situation where there has been no discount and no reduction in the restrictions caused by the embargo
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, so we accepted from the beginning that the embargo conditions may continue. slow, of course, negotiations and dialogue based on the country's national policies under the guidelines of the supreme leader, and the country is certainly trying to use all international opportunities to remove sanctions and reduce sanctions, but the economy of the country is not connected to the issue of sanctions , that is, we are trying to be able to despite the conditions of sanctions we can install the internal stability of the economy by relying on the domestic capacities and by relying on the capacities of the multipolar world. i have a question about the events that happened. you talked about some indicators that have
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improved, such as the gini coefficient that has decreased. to there is a statement that the class gap has decreased and about the inflation of the new year that has improved . sometimes in some places about these differences , the formulas have changed. is it applied, or is the international organization, which is the international monetary fund and the world bank, who usually calculate these statistics in different countries in their own way ? are they perhaps also a confirmation of these positive changes in the past two years, or are our national statistics similar
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to national accounts published by the iranian statistics center as well as the central bank department, the standard of producing statistics and information is the same as the international standards, that is, the production of information in the country is based on the same rules that govern other countries, what is common in especially the world bank and the international monetary fund , and the statistics that these organizations and international organizations publish about iran or any other country . these statistics of drug production are actually received from national authorities. therefore, we think that the change in these statistics and information is far from reality. it is a
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big claim that needs to be proven. changes in method the calculations did not happen, the methods are the same methods, the sources imitated and the sources are actually the previous ones, the same ones that produced statistics in the previous governments, in this government, they produce the same ones in the statistics and they are not influenced by the governments, these are completely independent of the iranian statistics center. a professional center of expertise, the experts of the iranian statistics center are not willing to change their own standards or fall short of their own standards in any way . there were cases that we searched for, why these statistics , for example inflation, were reported so high . well, these are when they show the basics of calculations they pretend that
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this information was extracted based on these micro-data, based on these samplings, based on this method and formulation , and these numbers cannot be manipulated in any way, in fact, they insist on their statistics and are precise. and by the way, one of the prides of our statistical systems is that it is not affected by the change of government, whether in the central bank or in the statistical center of iran, mr. doctor says about this year's incomes , how much income did we have according to what sources, oil revenues , tax revenues, etc. i want to know what the current assignments are based on in our other model, this year, our income
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has grown by more than 55% compared to the previous year, which means that the total income of the country from various sources in the public budget has grown by more than 55% , which is a lucky and happy thing, the incomes are growing again. we had an inflation, if we take this inflation into account, naturally , we will be able to increase the income by 40%, for example, or 45%, or now less or more, eventually we will be able to increase the income at the same level. real values ​​are not reported and economic analyzes are analyzed
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deflation and refers to the real figures and the nominal figures compared to what was last year, in the first five months of this year we grew by about 55%, although this 55% growth in some groups is a good growth, and in some from the income groups, this growth has been less. for example, we had a much higher rate in oil. our tax revenues have grown very well, but in the case of the transfer of assets or game generators , our customs revenues have not been very good. the feeding situation of our incomes is relatively good
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however, compared to what was predicted in the budget, we made about 67 predictions in the first five months, which is not important, that is, the amount of income predicted in the budget for this year is such that a part of those incomes so far a part of the oil revenues has not been strengthened at the moment for a part of the revenues that should have been realized according to the approved budget until today, and 67% have been realized, that is, more than 30 to 33% have been realized . approximately 50% of the forecast or approval in tax revenues is now calendar on the one hand, we had an increase of 95% in oil revenue, but on the other hand
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, we had an increase compared to the same period, but this increase is as much as one day, as predicted in the budget, higher than the actual capacity and power predicted . the government considers a bill to the parliament for the price of oil and $65. in the parliament, the price will not be 85, which means that the price of oil will change in the parliament, which is based on the assumptions of oil income calculations . added to the actual costs that the government predicted and that's it the problem is that on many days of the year this year, the selling prices of oil
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have been around 62, 62, 63, 64. of course, in the last two weeks and in the last three weeks, the price of oil has improved in a good way , now it has actually reached the international markets are lower than the international prices to the extent of the selling price of our old oil, but the sum of these issues has caused that we now have a non-realization of oil revenues, from tax revenues to 95% of customs revenues, to the fulfillment of 35% of one article. one of the reasons is that again, the mother of customs revenues, for example, we saw car import duties the import of cars has happened, naturally, the customs duties and tariffs have not been found
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, or in order to actually help stabilize the domestic prices , duties, taxes, and value added taxes on a number of goods have decreased from 9% to 1%. it must happen, or the amount of commercial profit tariffs has been reduced from 4% to 20%, and in the case of basic goods , in the case of consumer medical equipment, these have been reduced in terms of value added tax, specifically to 1 %, and the amount of import duties has been reduced from 4% to 20% has decreased in the discussion of assets and sofas creating a new experience is now being done. a new instruction and manual
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has been announced since the beginning of this year or one or two months after the beginning of the year, which is the basis for the generation of assets . the identification of assets for mobile development in all provinces is being done quickly now. a group work has been formed according to the provisions of the regulation, and the representatives of the government, the supervisory representative of the islamic council, the representative of the judiciary, these assets are identified in the provinces, the price is approved here, and it goes to hand over or to complete the half-finished projects in the same province it is possible or that part of them may be added to the public budget . for now, the speed was slow in the first few months of the year, but we hope that by strengthening the identifications, we will be able to speed up this discussion of handing over the assets to the
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current situation. that is, 65% of tehran's 67% realization of revenues until this day of the year. what can be predicted for the rest of the year? i hope you have time or a forecast or a crisis plan so that the government does not have a serious budget deficit and the effects of inflation will be inflicted on the people again. the relationship with the realization of the incomes put into the mouth of these researchers for example, one of our comedy items is our ownership rights, the mines, the ownership rights of the mines , we should realize five thousand billion tomans by the end of the year, and in the first five months of the year, around 20 thousand billion tomans should have been committed, but this realization

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