it didn't make a difference. it made a difference. no, it didn't make a difference. it made a difference. yes , it made a difference. o session of the first page. o session of the first page. sit on the first page, stand up for justice, stand up on your shoulder, the burden of trust, stand up, stand in the first row, the first row, your row, the line of people, the bastion of your support, this is the table

, there is hope for you, on the other side of the table, your eyes are on you, in the name of allah, the most merciful, the most merciful. greetings to you , dear compatriots, on the first page program. welcome, and in this program, according to the routine of another front page character serving the iranian people , they will be in front of the camera to talk about policies, leaders and of course, let's talk about decisions that can be effective in the lives of us iranians, mr. dr. dariush abu hamzeh, the head of the iranian statistics center, but before the conversation, we will show a report in this regard on the birth and death statistics of the country's population, economic growth, and inflation rate , which are among the statistics provided by this institution

, the national statistics center of iran , was first established in 1303 under the title of general statistics department. in addition to the fact that statistics are the basis of work in comparing countries , it is also considered a matter of honor for the country. checking the public and private census, including the functions of this center , goes to you. one statistics center for each activity publishes exclusive statistics. after execution. in the general agricultural census in 2016 , we found information about industrial cattle farms in the country, from weather and environment statistics to construction and household expenses in the country . the law of the statistical center of iran approved in 1344 specifies the duties and powers of this organization with 16 articles, which include the census of housing and

life . ma says that process is worrying the fact that there was a sharp decrease in the rate of population growth was somewhat less than those predictions. this census, which was held once every five years , was increased to once a year by the decision of the council of ministers in 2013. it is supposed to be the first census in we will do the registration method based on 1405, a new method that is supposed to be done

door to door in the next 3 years without going to the statistics center and only through the information of other devices. how is the preparation of statistics in the country? yes, in the name of allah, the merciful, the merciful, i also greet you and the respected viewers of this program, our dear compatriots. i hope that the program we have today will be a useful conversation for our compatriots, both in getting to know the work processes of the iranian statistics center and in other possible issues. in the minds of my dear viewers, in relation to the process of producing statistics that i want to present to you, see, basically, the science of statistics is a science that helps us to define indicators from the complex and extensive realities of today's world so that it can be done well . the state of the country in that area for us show me, for example, suppose that in relation to the issue of inflation, which is one of the daily concerns of people, well, we

have thousands of different goods in thousands of urban and rural areas in the country, which we must be able to investigate and dispose of with a scientific method. let's have an estimate of the average general level of these prices and their growth rate. naturally, it is not possible for us to go to all the chlor stores and ask all the products to fill out a questionnaire and take samples . that's why in the amarian center as a specialized institution that focuses on this matter based on statistical methods, in general, we have a special office to design the chlorine sampling method for us, for example , what is happening now in connection with this issue of inflation, from several thousand stores in urban areas and rural areas.

we do sampling 3 or 4 times a month. i said how many areas are there? i said, i think there are more than 4,000 urban areas and about 4 or 5,000. i don't remember the exact figures. different products and we do it so that we can monitor it once a month sampling can be done in our month from the workshops of the workshops in the stores we want to sample the average price growth in chlorine and according to the statistical methods and statistical experimental methods that we have , the estimates that we have with these methods are actually very large. yes, and we have checked the methods by the international organizations in the expert meetings, now it is like this that with these methods that explain your service based on statistical techniques derived from the science of economics, science of statistics, we do sampling in different fields. collections means a sampling basket including several

the item of goods is how many hundreds of goods, which we divide into 11 groups of goods. let's assume that food and beverages are tobacco. even if you assume that vegetables are the most consumed and most expensive items, such as house rent, transportation, cash, health, health education, all these are included in the category of the basket of goods that we have, and we sample all of them monthly. this sampling is only about inflation. it doesn't happen in different areas, for example, we are doing a survey on unemployment statistics, employment statistics, and the situation of spending in different areas , the cost price is the producer and people like you. in the fields of agriculture and industry, we are doing sampling with the same scientific methods that i have told you, and we are extracting indicators and we are making reports, which are now either on the site or presented to other officials

. sometimes, when we used to have 10-5-year statistics for population growth or population itself, now it is held electronically, or if you mean the census , the country's routine was that we held the census once every 5 years until the last census was held in 1995 for reasons that there is a lot of discussion and it can be given in full detail. the census is based on the traditional method in our country. our method was that the statistics officers in the entire country would refer to everyone in the entire area of ​​the country. for various reasons, we are trying to put aside this traditional method, one of the reasons being that in today's world, we need a bit more precision, this method

is quite expensive for the census, the leading countries are also trying to use the traditional census methods. migrate according to the methods of the teachers, that is, registration-based methods instead of going to people's homes, using the registered statistics that exist in the haitian system, we conduct a census, a compilation of all the statistics and things that you see on different networks. health is registered by the civil registry organization. wherever you live, you have a postal code, you have an address, for example, let's assume that you are sick. you will use this information in the banking system of the post office and the like, and these codes will be assigned to you. the approach we follow in the statistics center we are doing it and the world has also moved in this direction. of course, i will tell you this. a small percentage of countries were able to completely carry out the census in a modern way

. they are less than 20%, and most of the countries are still doing it in the traditional way, and we are very different in this matter. we are countries ahead of me. now we are trying to completely switch from the traditional method to the registration-based method and modern methods. the planning that has been done and the interview that was held in my cabinet means that in 1405 year 1405, god willing, we will start the next census based on the registration method with the help of let's have other devices, of course, as you mentioned this issue cannot be implemented by just one organization called the statistics center. it strongly requires the participation of the rest of the organization. the ministry of health, the ministry of science , the civil registry organization, the municipal housing foundation , the national post company, the ministry of housing and the like are organizations that must have a series of missions. they will do well, and now, with the working groups that we are forming and the coordination that we are creating, we will be able

to carry out the complete implementation of the sofa registration census in 145 , god willing. very interesting periodic form there are indicators such as inflation, gini coefficient, growth, how are these calculated, because sometimes, for example, we feel that the inflation rate stated in the statistics may be different from the inflation rate that i feel . yes, how do you calculate for this? yes, look, the general methods of calculation are the same. there is a point that i mentioned. your service from the beginning means a series of scientific methods based on our international standards in the statistics center of many standards. we use international to prepare, explain and publish

we use our statistics a lot. based on the same international methods and scientific standards of statistics, we understand whether the fertility rate, the inflation index, and the like, which are now entered into numbers , for example, what changes have each of these variables had in the last few months, both inflation and the gini coefficient, but the debate that it is possible that many people or even some respected officials may feel that the reality of the society, the reality of people's lives, especially the livelihood situation, is not compatible with these vargam statistics, and it may even occur to them that these statistics are not real statistics. or even it has not been done. first of all, i want to tell you very strongly that no statistics are manipulated in the statistics center, no statistics, well, at any time , and the statistics are all based on the calculations that are being done and the scientific techniques that are being calculated and studied. of course, people are different.

look, let me give you an example. in the last two or three months , based on calculations, the monthly inflation of our neighboring devices has been on a downward trend , that is, we have been for two or three months now, and our inflation is almost monthly, that is, our consumer price index, which is known as ``c'', is monthly. about two hundred it is growing. well, this is a significant decrease compared to the previous months of last year. however, the prices are still growing, but they are growing. last year, we had months with much higher rates of price growth, but there are a few points. is this a decrease? does the inflation rate mean a decrease in prices? no, it is still a decrease in price growth, a decrease in price growth, yes, a decrease in price growth , inflation has decreased , not a decrease in prices. it is that if we say inflation

it is controlled or for example the price of silk has decreased, my dear compatriots may still feel that our table , which is still not as big as it was before, is still narrow . well, this is true. look at what people feel in their daily life, the amount of income and purchasing power they have. well, right or wrong, good or bad, the reality of what happened is that over the past few years, especially, for example, let's say for the past 11 years , because of the negative economic growth we had , the per capita income of the people has decreased. however, this decrease in purchasing power has changed in the last one or two years it means that it has had a downward trend, almost since the year 100, the trend has been reversed and it is improving, but people still think that your livelihood is in trouble. people's feelings are completely correct

, but this does not necessarily mean that the statistics of price growth are a bit it has been controlled to be wrong, no, the price growth statistics are correct, but because the purchasing power of the people has decreased in the last 7-10 years due to the economic recession , there is this negative feeling among the people, and it is also a real feeling, and it is true. but it does n't mean that the statistics are wrong, don't buy now, see how much inflation is, the latest rate the inflation that was calculated and published was for the month of shahrivar, and alhamdulillah , the monthly inflation rate was 2% in shahrivar, which means that the national level of prices in shahrivar has increased compared to august 2, which of course is compared to last year, if i am not mistaken. on average, it was 39 percent, that is, in september 1402 compared to september 1401, during these 12 months, the average level

of our prices has increased by about 39%. 39 and a half percent has grown and the future is yours how do you see the future based on the work with statistics and figures and this and the process you have in the statistics department, you organization see the future , we are optimistic about the future, we hope inflation will be more controlled, but the forecast of the inflation rate in the future is a consideration . and there is the fact that it depends on a series of exogenous variables, especially the policies of the government . well, now the government has implemented policies, especially in the field of banking system and in the field of budgeting, that inflation has reached this situation and has been somewhat controlled over the past few months. this may change in the coming months because it depends due to a series of other variables, we cannot accurately predict this variable until the end of the year

, but we hope that if sobazah's policies continue at the macro level, the rate will follow a stable trend. god willing, we will not have an inflation jump. in the last 6 months, from april to september, in which areas , in which areas, in which goods, yes, in fact, what has the main weight in inflation, part of it goes back to food , which is also in food during the month. recently , especially, for example, if we consider meat, red meat and white meat in the last 12 months, then more weight the rest of the crops also grew, vegetables also grew, beans and rice also grew, but in the edibles, there was more meat, which had more weight, in the non-food sector, well , the housing rental rate

had a significant weight. it is very high in household expenses , for example in tehran. if i'm not mistaken, about 40% of people's budget consists of housing rent, and the increase in prices compared to other goods is more than some of the goods, which causes it to have a greater weight in a larger share in the total inflation and the lowest rate. what is your inflation growth? i don't have the presence of mind about the goods and the minimum amount, if i'm not mistaken. it goes back to less important goods, the weight of each of these in the basket that you are calculating is different . yes, yes

, yes, yes. many people may not smoke at all, naturally , it has a very small contribution. for example, its share in our calculations is below 100%, tobacco is 62%, naturally , inflation can have a very small weight, but for example, housing rent has a very high share, over 30% share. economic growth is very important along with inflation. how was the country's economic growth in the first month of this year, that is, from april to june ? what do you think, for example , we say that if my salary has increased by 40, for example, my inflation is 40, well, my purchasing power has not

actually increased. the fixed price is measured, that is, without considering the price growth alhamdulillah, a good thing that happened this spring was that we had a good growth of 79% compared to the spring of last year, that is, the growth of the total harvest was 79%, and the growth without oil was 6%, and now some areas are playing a role. more in this growth, some areas have the least role that can go into details , but we experienced good growth , now we have to see how the situation will be in the coming seasons. what was the main reason for the economic growth in the spring season? paying attention to the fact that our growth is zero growth or sometimes negative growth for long periods of time we had a positive growth at once and that too with the same figure. yes, you see, two or three areas have more weight in

our growth, having an area of ​​discussion. the related device of having oil exports has increased, well, this has marked a good growth for us. another sector that has helped a lot in the growth and development of the service sector is in the service sector. we have had good growth in various sectors, especially in financial and relatedly, this has made it possible to grow in the above set, even though, for example, in our agricultural field we didn't have a chance and in fact my growth was negative. now see why this growth has been achieved. we have to enter into its economic analysis. well, i told a part of it because of the efforts made to export oil, increasing production and increasing oil exports and breaking the sanctions. well, it helped this is another part. now, after the last two years, when we

came out of the recession caused by the corona virus, in addition to the relative stability that has been tried to prevail in the macroeconomic field, what has happened is that our private sector is becoming less active, even though it suffered a lot in the past years. but my private sector is becoming active, which has made us in the field of services and you some of our industrial fields have seen positive growth, a positive growth that has not only created a value of income, but has shown itself in my employment, that is, we also look at the employment statistics, when we look at net employment creation, in fact , we see the unemployment rate, which these two are compatible with each other, that is, it shows that even though we have an inflation rate, although the economic cake is still small compared to, for example, the last 15 years, although we had a period of seven or eight years of recession, when people's table became a little narrower, we experienced a small amount. our economy is growing , which means that jobs are being created. they have small industries

they are working, the income is getting better, and we hope that if this trend continues, this is very important. if we can continue this trend , little by little, we will show it in the lives of the general public. which part of the country has the highest rate of growth? which sector has the lowest rate, for example, the construction issue seems to be slowly happening , at least i don't have the statistics, but what can be seen, we can see that, yes, there are movements in those areas as well. it can be seen, but you said which part had the least rash, mainly the part agriculture has not been a positive growth due to some reasons including water problems and others. we experienced negative things, but i said that there were two areas in which we experienced very good growth , the oil sector and the service sector, mainly in

the financial intermediation system, where we had good growth. in the industrial sector, positive growth can also be seen, but well, the price is lower than this. for example, the mining industry has generally grown , but the oil industry, for example, covers the renewable sector . one of the indicators that is very important for society is the gini coefficient. first of all, a definition of have this index and the second thing is that in the past 10 years, we have seen how our situation has been in the field of the gini coefficient, which can almost create a justice in the society. the coefficient basically has two important concepts in the economy . you asked a question and we discussed that this total income, regardless of how

it is explained between different strata, can be explained in the economy. an important issue is how this total income is explained to the people. does the explanation of one play reach everyone or only a series of classes, for example, the wealthiest, benefit from it. various indicators to measure it exists. the most important indicator that was accepted by the international governorate. it is necessary for gini, which is a coefficient that we define that the higher this coefficient is, it means that the distance between the classes is greater. the lower this coefficient is, the distance between the classes is smaller. well, what has happened now, unfortunately, is that within a year the gini coefficient has grown, so it means that if it has experienced growth, the income gap between the low-income strata, in other words, the lower income deciles and the higher income deciles, has increased. now , there have been fluctuations in the last decade, and it has decreased to some extent, but the trend has been the saudi trend. fortunately, during the last two years , since 99, 1400, the trend has been downward. why?

now that there is a discussion that the decline has happened, it means that it is becoming delusional, but why this happened is a function of several events that have happened in our economy. basically , in what state does the gini coefficient decrease? having this incident, this important event can happen through several channels, one channel can be an explanation of income or a subsidy system. well, our experience was that last year we had a subsidy system, it changed to understand. more subsidies were given to the lower classes, and this itself had an effect on reducing the class gap. another thing that happened, for example, is that you assume that there are institutions that are now trying to help the low-income classes and provide them with employment, the welfare committee and the like.

well, these cause them to move in this direction, so that a low-income group that until now, for example, needed a monthly subsistence allowance, can have a drama . naturally, when these people earn money , they get a job, their income increases their income decreases with high-income groups and most importantly, when your economy enters the period of growth , it exits the period of recession . they are in the lower and middle classes. what happened this spring, if i am not misrepresenting the number , was more than 700,000 people who created net employment in the spring of 1402, compared to the spring of 1401, we had 728,000 people who created net employment. what does this mean? small and medium enterprises are operated by people who are also people

being low-income, they go to work and earn money. well, naturally, when they earn money, poverty decreases and social distance also decreases. this is actually the reason and analytical roots of why the reduction is necessary. smart on some classes, for example, tax on empty houses, how much can it affect , or policies in this format, how much can it affect the gini coefficient ? which we had ourselves and one by reforming the policies

their taxes are reduced, the more you have in your country, in your economy, high-income classes and economic activists who do not pay their legal taxes because of your tax exemptions or because of the flaws in your tax laws, in fact, the income gap, the class gap increases. well, you know this in many developed countries. they tax their high-earning economic activists with very heavy rates. it is completely established. this is the experience of many countries, maybe even studies. this is one of the futile links in our country's economy , which means that the action we must take is also in reform. the laws are also in the actions that the tax organization should take and are moving in the same direction . if we can use theory mechanisms on the collection of income or on lewis assets and expensive assets, they can be taxed and mostly on tax evaders who are mostly from the same strata.

they are very high-income, let's keep tax justice and, as a result, the reduction of inequality will be realized. what is the state of the employment and unemployment statistics in the country now ? what is the core of the measurement that i mentioned in the north? it is generally like this . it has not been like this for some years. there is an increase in employment it is generally like this, of course, it has not been experienced at some points, but it is generally like this. well, in the spring, when we experienced economic growth, the statistics in the field of unemployment and employment were consistent with that. we saw what happened. well, compared to the spring of last year, we are in the past, our unemployment rate was 92%, it has decreased by almost 1%, which means that now this spring, our unemployment rate is 88 %. now, our guess is that it is summer, and god willing, we will finalize the calculations these days . we hope that this trend will continue and we will have a decrease in the unemployment rate. and as i said this straw reduction