tv [untitled] August 10, 2024 3:30pm-4:00pm IRST
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you see, we can compare the performance of the government both in terms of economic growth and unemployment rate with the predictions of international organizations regarding performance, that is, if we assume for example that we are in 1401 and the international monetary fund predicts our growth in 1402. he is predicting if in practice. next year in 1402 , if we have a performance beyond the fund's forecast, it is naturally a defensible action. the next table in the slides was a comparison of the performance of economic growth with the forecasts of international organizations. both world bank and ayam. well, in every three years, the performance of our economic growth, which is in the third line of both there is a table regarding the predictions made by those organizations in their reports.
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this is true both in the field of economic growth rate and in the unemployment rate, that is, in the unemployment rate, we were able to act beyond the expectations of international organizations. according to the world bank report, i want to tell you about the poverty rate, both its past trend and its future forecast. at the beginning of the government, the poverty rate had reached more than 29%, that is, about 29 people were below the relative poverty line. well, this trend is a it was the saudi trend in the last years of the previous government, with a series of policies that happened both in the field of improving foreign trade and in the field of improving the distribution system inside the country, the reform of the support policies was a continuous process.
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we are facing the reduction of the poverty rate , i repeat, based on the reports of the world bank, and it reached about 20,21 last year. also, the statistics about the gini coefficient, which shows the issue of inequality , were presented in the same slides. let me say this first, based on the preliminary statistics of the central bank of 142, the open gini coefficient has a historic low that is, about 36 gini coefficient is the estimate of the central bank , so it can almost be said that this rate is unprecedented in the last few decades, of course , the final statistics should come. if you please, in the next slide, predict the future trend of poverty and income rates. per capita based on the world bank report, that is, the two lines of jade color and green color are the forecasted income. per capita in
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the coming years, you will see an upward trend again, while almost until the beginning of the government , the trend was fluctuating or decreasing. the poverty rate has also been decreasing since the beginning of the government the prediction of the continuation of the path of the same almost jade color predicts a decreasing trend for the poverty rate. make the next correction. now i don't know if there are any questions or if i'm not clear. i would like you to tell me what was the most important factor that caused this class difference to decrease, so that i can ask the next question, see, maybe it can be said that the most important is the reform of a series of reforms in the field of support policies , the experience of the last few decades has shown that in every period hey, we have changed our type of support from price support to cash now support or product cash combination. strictly placing low decimals means one
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2-3 incomes have improved, that is , the cash grants given to the 1st and 2nd deciles have a significant share in their income. you can see that their income nearly doubles, and this greatly reduces the class gap between the 1st and 10th deciles. it can be said that this is the most important factor in reducing the class gap, of course , it shows itself in economic growth statistics along with increasing the economic pie. that is, at the same time that this distance is decreasing, my economic cake is getting bigger. well, before i ask you my question , we have established contact with mr. zamaniyan, a member of hit. amir kabir university scientist, mr. zamanian . hello , we have discussed many indicators with mr. zabourian's experts. they came to raise some points , almost unanimously, on economic growth and unemployment rate taxes. in the field of economics, just express your opinion. in
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this regard, please tell me why the understanding of this development and these strengths in the normal and everyday life of most people is a little bit very understandable. it is not tangible for them, in terms of improving economic indicators, yes, in the name of allah, the most merciful, the most merciful i would like to greet you, dear guests of the program and all the viewers of the program. i think that statistics have been discussed in detail, this point may need to be taken into consideration from another aspect. anyway, economic statistics are numbers. they say that you can always talk about them in different ways. this was also mentioned in the program . sometimes it is said that these indicators are related to corona and the global environment . different governments take over the government in different circumstances. it's important, but i
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think it's something besides checking the indicators it is especially important and maybe even more important than the actual size. the names of different indicators are the basic measures that governments take, that is, i think that all those who are familiar with economic literature are unanimous in this matter that if a government takes basic and infrastructure measures, even if in the short term, the indicators are even if the value gets worse and the indicators get worse, this is a great achievement. and that's why, regardless of whether we talk about these numbers , i think we should have this chapter and discuss that in fact the 13th government from the point of view what were the conditions of the basic measures and basic reforms that were pursued in the economy? in my opinion
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, you can look at the story from two perspectives, one is the analysis and evaluation of the 13th government and the other is what should be done for the 14th government. we should recommend and see what we learn from the 13th government. i have mentioned some measures. i would like to make these a little more bold . some economic reforms, such as what happened in our tax system in the last few years it was emerging that our tax system should change from a person-centered one to an actually intelligent tax system the central point of order is for us to move from this space where we no longer rely solely on a tax return or in fact a traditional declaration, to the point where
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we can actually manage the tax system without the intervention of an individual and based on reliable data and information from the government. moving forward was very important regardless of what happened to the tax index in the short term. the second story and in my opinion an important point that can be pointed out here is that the issue was actually the system of the permits system, the permit system was also talked about again . traditional hand actually full of possibly corruption that was there maybe never we could invest in growth. let's talk about increasing employment, so this measure was an infrastructural measure .
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it was a great achievement, it was a bad legacy that was left by the previous government. anyway, my opinion is that these measures are the things that i think are basic and macro measures, and maybe some of them we will see the result in the coming years , it will take time for us to know the results of these in fact, so this is one side and one point of the story, but i want one, in fact, there may be a flaw that existed in the 13th government, which may be the time to express and i think we should pay attention to this point. in addition , these positive events happened in the 13th government, which made us today, maybe on the day when martyr raisi actually went to pastor, we were very worried about the phenomenon of hyperinflation in iran, maybe because of this. it is the efforts of these efforts that today we
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are no longer worried about the first , no one knows that this is an imminent danger for the country's economy . do those fundamental reforms he wants in fact . look, i am telling you that shahid raisi was perhaps one of the few or maybe the only presidents in iran at the very beginning of his career. a structured and coherent document under the title of the strategic document of the government, yes, as a document of the transformation of the people's government, despite the opposition within the government itself, that sir, why should their own government be so frank, transparent and sharp, in fact, in a series of paragraphs in spite of all these criticisms within the government, in one act, i think it is very brave to announce this document, which in my opinion is actually both in terms of theoretical consistency and a clear and non-generalist approach to the main issues
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of the economy. iran was really a unique document, i don't want to go into its content at all, but in any case, it was so structured, so disciplined , so much so that a document was promulgated with a theoretical support, so this was a very positive event, but why was it not implemented in many areas of the document? in the field of energy , in some fields of welfare in the sector, in fact. role and the functions of the government in the area of many dissatisfactions , in the end, the events that were mentioned in this document, and the president himself, until that day , were really serious about the implementation of some of the decrees . attached is the order to notify their own ministers of not being able to implement some of these sections . in fact, subsidies are a part of the energy dispute code and the energy dispute section itself, in
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our opinion, was one of the biggest issues in the discussion of the fund. retirements in the targeting of various subsidies in the country, such as the subsidy, in fact, the preferential width, which unfortunately returned, the subsidy, in fact, wheat and subsidy, i don't know, different energy carriers, even in matters such as the aviation sector and the subsidies of this government sector, really he couldn't do those big issues that had a reason. i just want to mention this as the end of the speech . just give a summary. in fact, it was not a governing policy of the government that is, the notification of this document and the notification of the government's program happened after the fact that the ministers. going to the government and getting votes and sitting in the cabinet, in my opinion, a significant part
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of the power of the government. the government was just a conflict within the cabinet that was caused by the theoretical and political differences of the ministers of the government in the same areas that you mentioned , disharmony, that's why we see that until the end of the ministry. the economy of the ministry of petroleum and the rest of the organization maybe not being able to conclude on the topics. i wish that at the beginning of the government mr. actually shahid raisemi would announce their own manifesto and choose their own ministers based on alignment with this manifesto according to these friends that the famous saying that anyone who joins a government should be one of them the government should be one of the people who are actually committed to the government's theoretical framework. in my opinion , this incident was a point in... in fact, it was a slip in the 13th government that prevented the realization of these
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great achievements, many of these economic achievements that we we say within the ministry of economy it happened, at least i myself believe so , because we saw this disunity in the ministry of economy, we see what important events this disunity can bring about in a ministry of home affairs , i wish this disunity exists in the entire government in terms of politics i was about to say my last sentence today. in my opinion, this is the most important advice and actually a lesson for the 14th government . right now, the ministers of the government are actually appointed . we will have people who may have strong disagreements from an economic point of view, from a political point of view, but from a political point of view, everyone will have a single secretary. this combination will not be able to solve problems tomorrow. the elder of the country will solve the few problems i mentioned. i hope the witness government will put this on the agenda before introducing the
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ministers to the parliament . economic expert and academic member of amir kabir university, who was with us in this conversation, mr. rouhani , we have about 4 minutes for your summary, thank you very much. if you allow me to show you two or three more slides that look at the performance of other economic sectors, one of them is in the field of banking, and now the next one, if you take the trouble to see it, in the 1990s, we were faced with a very poor situation , a severe imbalance in the bank. of the country the banking network, which , according to all economic experts , actually started in the first half of the 90s and continued until the end of the 90s, and perhaps those inappropriate statistics of investment and economic growth , a significant part of it, was due to this conflict. the banking network, well, what happened in these 3 years yes, this is exactly our chart, more than
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270 thousand billion tomans, in fact, was the capital increase that was done in the group of state banks and the 44th principle, so-called banks that were state-owned and became private. well, this capital increase also happened in the 90s it fell in the same columns that you see, but there was a very important difference in the increase of funds in the 90s and especially in these last years, and it can actually be said that more than about 94% of that increase in funds was from revaluation. they are aware of this, once you have the property you have do you own a property or do you have a foreign currency ? you will reevaluate this. from there , you will see an increase in capital. here, no new sources will be created for the bank . from the profits you identified , no capital increase has been given, but
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only in the increase of capital in the 3 years of 14001 and 402. 15% of the capital increase actually. it was from revaluation and the rest was from profit recognition. well, this happened in the banking network, where the banking network could play a serious role, especially the state banks and the 44th principle, could play a more serious role in financing the household. micro loan facilities al-hasanah, these should fulfill the household's share of the facilities from about 13 in 99 to about 21 in 1402 and this capital improvement process is actually continuing in the banking network . kurds, we have a minute. if we go, let me show you the last slide. we had a defensible and adequate performance in the set of budget indicators. well, you
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brought the graph of the ratio of the budget deficit to the ratio of tax revenues to the total resources of the government. well, that is an open record. he registered 10 15 years old. however, we have a set of other indicators that are one one of the most important indicators in the budget field is the ratio of the budget deficit to the actual current expenses. the upward trend that happened in the last years has completely changed. there is only one minute left, just one point that mr. zamanian mentioned at the end of his speech. if that is the answer in this way, tell your opinion about the fact that the transformation document that was mentioned was not very consistent with what was implemented. well, see that this happened in some areas, for example, suppose that we are in some areas, such as foreign trade. like our exports, like foreign investment, if the policies are different, for example, in the foreign exchange sector was progressing . we could have performed much better in the government. god willing , thank you very much to mr. rouhani, deputy minister of economic affairs, for
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widespread riots in england while racists in this country announced to dozens of institutions immigration counseling center for asylum seekers and charitable and islamic organizations also announced that they will investigate the role of social networks in the spread of riots in this country. has started i am not connected to the internet and i don't watch tv anymore. in my opinion, social networks are very dangerous and i am
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especially worried about my teenagers and young people who are no longer connected in the real world. the problem is that human achievements are not used properly and it connects rioters together. media experts believe that the owners of social networks have left the field of virtual space. broadcast to spread lies they have spread rumors and spread hatred and violence against different sections of muslim people and they only care about more money. it is terrible that social networks are pouring gasoline on the fire of racist riots in this country. the role of social networks in organizing and spreading these disorders is scary , the owners of these networks should be held accountable. the extreme right on social networks announced
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in the coming days in number. centers for immigrants and refugees will be attacked. the attacks that have led to the destruction of muslim immigrants' property and the looting of their stores in recent days. these days, most stores and shops in england close before dark due to the fear of riots and looting, and due to the fear of non-white employees. going to work has disrupted the provision of public and healthcare services and has resulted in the cancellation of hundreds of patient examination and surgical procedures .
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how can i help you? we can have two hands of the same hairdo, the same color, the same price . there is only one left of this hair style with the same color, that's why it came to the hair salon at this price . i also came to ask the price of that refrigerator. which is great, because this is a discount store and all the accessories here, in addition to the iranian store discounts, i also have a special discount. then , when will these purchases arrive ? what an attractive and unbelievable discount in the discount store of sarai bozor irani . excellent tea, excellent place , sofia tea, sofia tea, excellent tea, excellent place, excellent tea , excellent place. dear and respected, we have an appointment
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in two hours. they told us that everything can be bought in installments. yes, it is at my lowest price. i said i don't have a check, i'm going to get in the car so you can come , why are you going? they said they don't want a check, they don't want it, they don't want it, so give me five shots and i'll go. look , you have a coin in my hand. i want to pay in advance. i dare not ask for an advance. sir, this is a guarantee. i do not want a guarantee here. no check, no guarantor, no prepayment, no need to
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go to shahr bank for household appliances, specialized authority for household appliances after azadi square, facing tehran. the head in the name of allah, the merciful, the merciful. peace be upon you viewers. we are at your service with the news section at 16:00. 1 million 900 thousand people registered in the samah system to participate in the arbaeen ceremony. according to the head of the arbaeen central headquarters, from the first of safar to 8:00 am today, 250,000 pilgrims left the borders of the country to iraq to participate in the arbaeen walk .
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