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tv   [untitled]    August 11, 2024 10:00pm-10:31pm IRST

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follow our news. well, well, as i told you , we are talking about economic indicators, in the presence of mr. dr. khandoozi , what do you think are the most important strengths and weaknesses. what was the 13th government in the field of economy? in the name of allah, the merciful. as you know and our dear viewers are also noble. the set of economic policies is a very broad and wide-ranging set. from the sectoral policies, assume the fields of agriculture, industry, mining, roads, etc. the
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so-called macroeconomic policies mean those policies that look at the macroeconomic indicators that trends the result of what is the story of calcutt, like the index that is in economic growth, investment , inflation, unemployment, and the like actually occurs, well, the role of the ministry of economy and finance is one of the three important pillars of macro policies. it is economic of the government, that is, in the sector , now, what about the provision of agricultural, industrial, mineral , automobile, and housing goods, and these actually do not have a direct role, but in the field of macro-government policies, along with the planning and budget organization, and the central bank of the islamic republic of iran, they are three important pillars. let me confirm the answer of your excellency. in the field of country's macroeconomic indicators
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a remarkable thing happened. of course, i do not deny that there were weak points in the performance and economic policies of the government, including the 13th government. but that was a new experience that is different from our macroeconomic trends. in the sense that mr. khosraei, we had a story in iran's economy until 2013, an economy that for decades relied on oil revenues, mainly from crude sales, but now , thank god, the share has improved. but still the high share of oil revenues and government concentration and currency dependence on some
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from 1991, the story of iran's economy became a little different, that is, the first sanctions caused the structure that had existed for several decades to work, and it appeared that despite the criticisms that have always existed, however, it provided the country's economic growth. it suffered a stoppage and a stroke due to the first round of sanctions and the entire 90s was affected by the conditions of sanctions in iran's economy, that is, sanctions of the new generation. the year was exceptional only in the middle of 1390, which seems to be a kind of suspension of sanctions.
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in 1995 and 1996, iran's economy came back again in fact , the export of oil from nafti, the economic growth rate increased sharply in those two years, the inflation reached very low levels, but again from the beginning of 2017 , when trump actually left the jcpoa, we are open again. we saw the same complications at the beginning of the 90s again at the end of the 90s. this experience of 1391 and later had caused the perception that iran's economy could not actually solve the problem of the us sanctions. economic growth is booming , investment in non-oil and petroleum exports and the like continues
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he will not have a debt. because he had a disease decades before that. due to the fact that the policies of the resistance economy and the supreme leader of the 1992 revolution were announced , but they are actually on the agenda. it did not take 2 years of breathing and forging in the middle of the 1990s . we returned to the same inflationary stagnation at the beginning of the 1990s. in fact, i am answering your question because the years 1400, 401 and 4002 marked a different historical experience. that despite all the weaknesses of the criticisms that may be made to the adopted policies, but for the collection of economists, economic experts and economic managers of iran, we contain there was a different message in the sense that despite the fact that the conditions of sanctions more or less continued, negotiations and diplomatic discussions continued
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during the same period, but no special conclusion was reached regarding the sanctions of the united states during the administration of martyr raisi. despite the persistence of this feature, however. but it was able to completely change the experienced levels of economic growth indicators, investment, export, job creation, etc., and return to long -term performance. rather, i would like to add two or three numbers . it seems to be a strong point of the 13th government. in the long term view of this new and different experience, it is important the most important macroeconomic message of the years 1400 to 1400 and... two, and now that we are at the beginning of 1403 , consider the 10-year and 20-year period . i think these numbers are too much for our dear people . i will get to the actual cause of it, but first i want to present some evidence that from this
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generalization, people can reach some specific numbers and figures from official domestic and international institutions . please note that in the field of gdp , our country's gdp is average. the 20-year performance of our country was 2.7 economic growth. 2.7. 10-year average performance of the country it was half a percent of economic growth. this performance was 4 and a half percent of the average economic growth in the years 1400 to 402. that is, above the average experience of 10 years and average. 20 years of our country, and of course, during those 20 years, we did not have the embargo of 1991 and onward. oil export has caused economic growth . now i want the statistics of economic growth, i.e.
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gdp growth without oil, in a 10-year period, an average of one tenth of gdp growth without oil. has been in the 20-year period , the economic growth of the gdp without oil was 3.5%. in the period from 1400 to 1402, 44% of the economic growth without oil. in the 10 -year investment, the average is negative 1.77, which means, in fact , we had a 7 decrease in investment. in the 20-year period , it was almost zero. the investment was negative 3% in 20 years , and in the period from 400 to 402, 64 tenths was positive and negative 7
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, almost zero in 20 years. the duration of these 3 positive years is 64, the growth of gross fixed capital formation is actually positive and the increase in investment in these 3 years has been more than the increase in economic growth. these two variables , one of which is a little short-term, the investment also indicates more long-term prospects for us , but the investment is so much even more than the growth that after passing the 10-year and 20-year averages , the investment is again higher, which is the share of investment in iran's economy, which was 19% in 1400 . investment has increased to 22 , which means that it shows 22. yes, as if you consider d cars, although the economic growth was moving faster than the average of 10-20 years. the second car, which was an investment, the acceleration of its movement
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was higher than our economic growth, which made it possible to change and move the ratio in reality . you know, when we talk, we say that investment has grown. the investment is either in machinery or in building in the field of machinery 3 years before the 13th government is negative. in the investment of the construction sector, it was negative 8% in the previous 3 years, in the 3 years of the 13th government , it has increased to positive 32%, if i am not mistaken, so it shows that contrary to the experience of 1991 until today , when it was thought that the country was in a deadlock. appointment it is no longer allowed the real part of production
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, investment, export, you know, export, not only oil export, let me say it again, only you sold oil, that is to some countries , our non-oil exports in terms of number and figure of riyals, not in terms of horizontal number, but volume. and the production of our export goods in the year 401 is the record of the whole history of iran in terms of the dollar value of non-fatty exports, another 10 years, 20 years, 30 years , it doesn't matter how much you want , it does n't matter. it happened more than the year 401, which itself was a record year, mr doctor, this question may be raised to some people now, if our export situation was so good or if we were able to sell oil so well. let's sell. why did we have such a jump and increase in terms of currency ? let me tell you that the problem of supply is caused by
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many variables. by the way, if our exports had not jumped, our supply of supply would not have increased. it had its own negative, i do not deny that it is really one of the most important because it is expected when you export . because our horizontal demand increased much more. also for the import of the country, that is, us the number of imports in 1401 and 1402 compared to the previous year is much higher
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. the parts of this volume of imports were more in 1401 and 1402, again more than in 1401. where did the central bank actually provide the supply, where did it come from ? it was more than exports. our exports did not cause dissatisfaction. yes, it is a matter of looking when we say that when we compare iran with turkey with saudi arabia with all other countries, the total foreign exchange earnings of iran and saudi arabia and iraq and turkey and all other countries with the total expenses. or we compare their imports. the total of these two balances is very close to each other, in other words
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, it does not indicate a serious horizontal imbalance in the official sphere of the country, because you mentioned that the volume of our imports of machinery , raw materials and basic goods had increased on that account. i said that this is not in line with our exports, because the exports were actually more than the previous years. 4002, when we compare this with the start of shahid raisi's government, our oil exports in terms of volume , don't repeat the oil prices, the number of barrels exported, in fact , we have more than twice the growth of oil exports, i also mentioned the growth of non-oil exports , the highest recorded record. our non-oil export for 1401 is the total of oil and non- oil. it has produced more width and horizontal consumption, of course , as a result, when we say that investments are moving
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, i mentioned a few minutes ago that in machinery, the average of negative 17 for those 3 years has increased to positive 118, the average of these 3 years has increased. from this increase in investment in the import of machinery, the import of raw material machinery leads to more production in industrial fields and the like. in fact, this connection of foreign exchange income and foreign exchange expenses is a time when the less our exports are, the more we can import. it will also be less. the foreign sector of the economy shrinks, becomes smaller, but the overall policies of the government , especially the pioneering of ayatollah raisi in relation to the neighborhood policies of the neighboring countries of china and russia and regional agreements, allowed iran's economy to grow due to its relationship with the world economy. bigger
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yes, it means that the total of our exports and imports at the beginning of the government compared to the total of our exports and imports at the end of the government, even divided by the total, in fact , if we consider two years, it shows that this more outward-looking economy is more connected with global and regional economies. increased, and the import that you mentioned on nalat machine of raw materials and basic goods, did it meet your expectation to have an effect on the reduction of inflation, that is , what you wanted to do on the reduction of inflation, did it happen or was it less than that? was let me tell you about the inflation analysis the reality is different from what i am telling you about the variables of the real sector, such as growth, production, investment, and exports , especially for the year 1401, which was a complicated year in the beginning, due to the jump in
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global prices. and the war in ukraine and the policy of removing the preferential width inside at the end of the same leap year. because, on the contrary, in 1402, both the currency and the inflation index of these all started to decline due to internal factors such as liquidity growth and liquidity. the monetary, financial , and foreign factors all helped to bring back the year 402 again. and the sanctions, if you ask me
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, what is the reason for these increases that have occurred in the real sector of the iranian economy, the economy has already passed the recession, because it is not just the statistics of the central bank statistics center, it might be good for our dear people. international institutions are also aware that we have left, and i am at the forefront of economic growth and production boom forecasts. i would also like to tell you this . it would be interesting to see the predictions made by international institutions. now i have both the world bank and the international monetary fund. for the year 2022, the international monetary fund forecasts the growth rate in iran, there is a forecast of 3.3% of the growth of the world bank , which they reported. it is higher than the world bank's forecast and the imf's forecast for 2023, which is almost equivalent to our last year, which is 1402. again, the international monetary fund's forecast is 3% of iran's economic growth rate. the forecast of the world bank is 2.4 iran's economic growth
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has been achieved, which is to report 4.7. again , higher than the forecast of the world bank and the forecast of the international monetary fund has been achieved. compared to other countries , this year's report of the world bank predicts that turkey's economy will grow by four and a half percent. russia 3.6 will grow, saudi arabia will have a negative growth near zero and iran's economy will grow by 5% , which means not only looking at the last two years 1401 and 1402 , but also this year's forecast is that the above is one of the highest economic growth rates of the countries our region will have iran, this is actually a pleasant thing to say, in the hadith of others, there are reports that the world bank and benlevy fund are actually presenting both looking back
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and looking into the future of this set of events that internal evidence and external evidence confirm. it is that we have been able to turn a new leaf, i return to my first sentence let's create a new historical experience in iran's economy in the years 400 to 4002, which actually set the stage for realizing the growth of investment in oil and non-oil exports and even creating employment in the labor sector, as you know , the lowest unemployment rate in the last 20 years was in the year 402. there is the lowest unemployment rate in the last 20 years in our country, these new quotas, despite the continuation of foreign conditions and determinations and pressures, this had a very important message, which from my point of view as the minister of economic affairs and finance is the most inspiring point that exists in relation to the total of this process when we look at the aerial image from above
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the past shows that this economy can , of course, it does not mean that we do not solve the problem of the embargo, that we are not paying attention to the jcpoa negotiations . however, this self-belief that iran's economy is trapped in a bottleneck is not condemned to become weaker and weaker and weaker, but with internal mobility and external mobility, we can recover from even difficult conditions to achieve growth and investment rates in line with the long-term trend. himself , but higher than 10-year and 20-year-old nisabs. so, perhaps the most important incident is a point that is important for the country's economic analysts, that is , we have not abandoned the country's foreign mobility
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. finally, when we say the neighbors' capacities, i only apologize, the trips of our martyred president, negotiations and agreements and this is not what happened on earth with all the neighboring countries. using this corridor as a safe place for movement with a sense of security towards iranian soil means the highest transit rate of neighboring goods from iranian soil during the last 20-30 years, in all the years that we have numbers. in our country, the largest amount of transit was about 18 and a half million tons, which was carried out last year from iran, last year only in 402, and it is interesting for you, mr. khosavi. this year, in the first four months of this year, 1403, 57 more than the record of four months of last year, which itself was the record of the country's transit history
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. this luck and the use of the corridors and capacities of iran's economy has been achieved again this year . this is an example of what i want to say that the sign of the realization of the policy his foreign economic diplomacy. the figures of iran's economy have shown a foreign movement of this kind internal mobility is also in terms of policies that help the growth of production, remove the obstacles in front of production , facilitate the business environment , and in fact, the national portal of licenses, and measures like this, which convey the message of ease of production inside and the message of economic diplomacy mobility abroad. together, it helps us to experience higher levels . my last suggestion in this part of the question, your excellency , is that of course, we are coming to the end of the program
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, i apologize for the rest. the last part is that it just didn't happen iran's economy was able to change the parameters of growth and investment and i don't know export and employment in the conditions of sanctions, but the economy. it has continued to be more resilient, which means that this economy has not only become bigger, it has not become fatter and fatter, so that we can say that we were able to produce in most of the province , having good unemployment rates, having low unemployment, having a lot of exports , but i have also become more resistant. what is a distinctive quality element? during the last 3 years, the share of taxes and stable incomes from the total government incomes has increased. from around, for example, 40, 41 to 55% of the share of taxes in providing the government's current expenses
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the government's bonds and borrowings have decreased. these two things are very much related to each other. there is a time when we do more borrowing, and there is a time when we only get tax pressure. because of the oil revenues , we are actually in trouble. it will decrease, that is, the issuance of our bonds in the treasury of the country, which is responsible for the issuance of government bonds. in 2009, 32 to 35% of the total income of the government was from borrowing, about a third of which you accept. about a third of the government's income came from borrowing and issuing bonds. government revenues and this year , this share of establishment will probably decrease to lower numbers between 10 and 15 percent.
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so the budget has become more resilient and has spent less than the future in order to continue today, this is relatively important because i saw in some reports, which of course was a simple-minded report, it compared absolute numbers and said that it was 500,000. 800,000 hammet and others like that, but in our economy we are dealing with ratios , it is misleading and demagogic if we want absolute numbers. let's note that this ratio is reduced in borrowing, compared to the increase in the share of stable incomes, taxes, etc found, so the budget is more resistant , the central bank's powers and authority are more powerful in order to be able to manage the currency market, the new law of the central bank has provided better possibilities , so at the same time as the growth of exports, employment , the same things that i do not want to repeat again
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because . the economy becoming more resilient or resilient , the indicators indicate a better situation than in the past periods, very well, we have three or four minutes , mr. doctor, after the report you presented about the state of the treasury, some of their analysis that the treasury is empty or that we are not in a very good situation. can you explain it clearly, the answer is very clear that the institutional and structural reforms that were completed in the last 3 years, these reforms were started in previous years, the treasury unit account is the duty of the year 2089 law and it was started in the previous governments, each one part of the path was moving forward, but it had reached a hard core where organizations are resisting, state companies are resisting, energy companies are resisting , parts of universities are resisting, boards of trustees are resisting, this resistance is broken. the account of
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treasury unit 100 was closed. payment to zainaf the final in the history of the country's finance, which was a dream of the past years, has come true. it made the treasury of the whole country able to move forward from the collection point of all the resources available to the government and government agencies without the need to establish itself , that is, in spite of the fact that it could legally, like in the year 1400, when we had 53 thousand billion tomans in fact. we had received a salary from the central bank of the previous government and we settled it by the end of the year. this year, legally , the treasury could have received more than 70 thousand billion tomans again, but not only was the treasury account negative, none of the salary of the central bank the country's treasury had not used it, so
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it is minus 5. 3 thousand billion tumans became zero, but there was a balance in the treasury itself and a balance had also contributed to the mismatches in the targeting of subsidies, which are basically done outside of the public budget sources , outside of the treasury. change the position of the central bank to the lender, this is generally a positive thing, of course. experts are well informed and it is clear to them that when we say that today there is this number in the country's treasury, then tomorrow we will collect more taxes again. can customs be collected, mining rights, and other incomes among this number, so it is not a bad situation. i said that the situation is very good and positive compared to the past, and in a situation that we have never had a positive situation in the first months of the year
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. thank you for all the hard work you have done for these years and to your colleagues who accompanied you in the 13th government and we also cherish the memory of ayatollah raisi. i wish success to my colleagues in the government of dr. which is the path of both policies of growth and prosperity of production in the real sector of the economy and the path of inflation control may it continue , god willing. thank you very much. i wish success to the servants of the 14th government and mr. president, mr. dr. bezikian.
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in the name of god, ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the world. tonight, as always, at the end of the 30th day of the genocidal war in gaza, we will start the program with the latest pictures from palestine.

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