after this championship, the president, while congratulating the young wrestlers of our country, added that the youth of cultural wrestling made us proud. i congratulate these young people, their coaches and their family members for this championship. the teams of kazakhstan were second and third with 10 points and turkey with 98 points. the young freelancers of our country will go to the distance of their competitors from tomorrow. and the national football team of our country will face its first opponent tonight in the third stage of the 2026 world cup qualifiers. in the continuation of these competitions in the region. asia and at the beginning of the third stage of the national

football team of our country from 19:30 minutes in the stadium folat shahr of isfahan, the host of kyrgyz , will benefit from the japanese yusuka raki. the national football team of our country is in the first group of the world cup qualifiers in the asia region with the teams of qatar, uzbekistan, north korea, the united arab emirates and kyrgyzstan. from the same group, qatar competes with the uae and uzbekistan competes with north korea. thank you for your company. today is thursday, the 15th of shahrivar, the first of rabi al-awwal and the fifth of september. in tehran, sunset will be at 18.6 minutes, maghrib call to prayer will be at 184 minutes, and sharia midnight will be at 23:20 minutes. dear viewers. saying goodbye to you

i invite you to be a viewer of the economic desk program hosted by my colleague mr. azaribaga. greetings to you . hello mr. sadeghi. also, greetings and courtesy and respect to our dear viewers. welcome to the economic desk. the topic of today's program is the challenge of electricity imbalance and solutions to solve this challenge in our country. yes, of course, our opportunity on channel 1 has ended. i invite you to be a viewer of meiz ekohtaz on the news channel. we had in the news that electricity imbalance has hit a record according to the managing director of tavanir natrazi between the production and demand of electricity consumption, which at the peak consumption of august this year is approx. see this chart. compare changes

demand and consumption of electricity in the last two years. as you can see, in 1402, the consumption demand was 7350 megawatts. while the consumption was 611 megawatts, there is an imbalance of 1250 megawatts here, and in 2014, the consumption that was done in that year was 64 thousand megawatts, and there is also an imbalance here, 16 thousand megawatts. we will talk more about this last month , it is difficult for the electricity industry to choose between changing the working hours of the offices if they want to close the offices. either the banks will be closed, this is all for it

what is the harm to the economy of this country due to people's poison or blackouts in the industrial sector ? it is a pity that in the end the lottery fell on the names of departments , departments and banks, and i think they can be controlled better. to work less time, for example. but with increasing consumption demand and decreasing production capacity , there was no choice anymore. blackouts became part of the consumption management approach. this year, the amount of demand is about 80,7980 megawatts, and we are the maximum we were able to provide, of course we were able to provide during this period. there are 60 and, for example, 34,000 megawatts , which means we have an imbalance of 17,000 or 18,000 megawatts. 180.

the country's power plants are private, but why don't the country's investors show favor to this industry ? as a private power plant owner, i don't have this right to sell my goods at an economic rate . it creates a ceiling for them to sell electricity. this means that my private property is not recognized. this is a challenge that even the officials of the ministry of energy agree on. in fact, the definition of electricity has been set in such a way that some parts of the country's productive sectors, the domestic sector

, we have actually set a subsidized tariff for them. they have no force inside the ministry. experts in the electricity industry say that consumption has increased by 5% annually, while production has only increased by 2.8%. we are not able to be responsible for the amount of consumption that happened this year in the following years with this trend of consumption. mehbooba sharifi gol saddam news agency sima you are viewing the economy desk from.

mr. ghafouri fard, an expert in the electrical industry, is with us in the private thermal power production company and mr. alireza studio. also in our other studio, mr. hassan ali taghizadeh, the head of the board of directors of the syndicate of electricity producers, is present. let's be in order to open the issue more. i would like you to explain to our viewers what is meant by this dissatisfaction in electricity, in the name of allah , the most merciful, the most merciful. first of all, i would like to congratulate the esteemed experts and viewers on the arrival of the month of rabi al-awwal. dear, i would like to ask you to look at the numbers mentioned in the graphs. allow me to explain this to our dear viewers this year. well, mr. d , let's explain a few concepts here. well, the first thing is the nominal capacity of the country's power plants. we have more than 93,000 megawatts of power plants in the country, of various types

, of which approximately 85% are dependent on fossil fuels, and the rest are electric, renewable, and nuclear, totaling 15% of this amount. this nominal capacity according to the set of operating conditions and the set of conditions in the climatic reality is approx about 63,400 megawatts, depending on the weather conditions of the years, we can use this, mainly 545,000 megawatts related to thermal power plants, out of our production capacity in our country, 63,64,000, this power means nominal power with real demand that exists . that's it. disparity, but in the analysis of this so-called gap, different statistical methods are used. first of all, we have a managed demand, that is, tawanir itself concludes a consumption management contract with sanaya, which sometimes

declares the disparity after that consumption management contract. they say we have a demand that in the event of a boom in the production of many of our industrial units, full-time and part-time. we should not use foreign words all the time , they don't work all the time, and this is actually a help for the ministry of energy. unfortunately , our real demand is lower than the demand that is currently used in the network , and we have a discussion during peak hours. consumption now we have a definition of 165 hours, we have a definition of 7,750 hours, and we have a definition of 900 hours, which is actually the cooling peak. there is a field, and as the temperature rises , our refrigeration consumption, our electricity consumption for refrigeration purposes will increase these numbers will go up and down. one day , you invite a bachelor or one of the managers and announce that there are 18,000. in fact, he is announcing the daily information, but what

is certain is that this numerical discrepancy is as high as 16,000 megawatts. there is, and it should be given a serious thought . now, what has happened, we have reached here . first of all, the emergence of the word "unalignment" itself was one of the so-called initiatives, that is, we used to refer to the word "blackout" and we were referring to "lack". well, we made the word a little more beautiful, maybe the problem is that the depth of worry and discomfort should be created see, unfortunately, we had 25,000 megawatts of new so-called power plants in the fossil sector in the 5th program, but actually what was achieved was about 15,000 megawatts. in the 6th program, the situation is worse, 25,000 megawatts. . again , the target was 14,000, and it was achieved, which was not part of the plans of the 6th plan, that is, practically, we

can say that none of the power plants that were set up in the 6th plan for development or development, so-called , has reached the grid. now we will continue talking with you to mr. taghizadeh brim, the head of heat mr. taghizadeh, director of the syndicate of electricity producing companies, at your service, god willing, i have the strength to say it now. mr. ghafouri fard, well, the target was, for example, 25,000 megabytes in the fifth program and in the sixth program, but what has been achieved is much less than this, especially in the private sector . i would like to serve my dear viewers and thank you for the meeting that has been arranged so that we can get to the root of the dispute and more importantly see what

solutions exist so that we can actually overcome this problem of disagreement. let me tell you the story. first of all, since our audience is a general audience, i feel it necessary to mention that we have four factors that make us necessarily have to send about 5. increase the nominal capacity of the country's power plant. and if this 5. if we don't increase, electricity imbalance increases. the first factor is the growth of consumption of domestic subscribers, which is due to the growth of the population and the increase in the level of public welfare. second, the growth of consumption of industrial subscribers is development plans. new industries need new electricity and the growth of industry consumption is also increasing

the third is the aging of power plants. power plants get older every year and their output power decreases with an aging factor. and the last thing is the issue of temperature increase. for every one degree celsius that the temperature increases, the consumption increases by about 1800 megawatts. if we combine the four , we should increase the country's power plant capacity by an average of 5% per year, but as my dear friend mr. dr. ghafouri said in the sixth development plan, which was supposed to be 25,000 megawatts , the target was actually 25,000 megawatts, unfortunately, it is only the industry. they started something around 6000 megawatts now, i will say that it was a mistake for the industry to enter into the discussion of the power plant and our discontent, if

you look carefully, it started in 2018, but why did this happen? it caused him to lose his motivation to build a new power plant, but what does this motivation mean? i have to ask you to look at us in 2013, in 2013 , a series of contracts were concluded in the name of mutual sale, in which gas units were supposed to be converted into a combined cycle with an average number of 160 per unit. mw about 112 million euros as i am talking to you today. 15 units of 160 megawatts have entered the circuit, but unfortunately no money

has been paid for them, and unfortunately these power plants also go from the education development fund to get their education. day by day, the financial cost is added to it . he is not responsible either. this could be the motivation of the loss of motivation of the private sector . the motivation of the private sector is lost. it means that when the growth of the currency had a sharp jump, the government board approved that the power plants that were upgraded from the development fund. remember they should pay their fees at the official rate. unfortunately, today the central bank does not accept this and all the power plants that were taken from the transversal improvement development fund are grounded, and even if today the power plant itself is transferred as an asset to the operating bank and the development fund

, it still has to open about 25 to 30%. an extra money means that their own money is lost. the private sector and the more interesting thing is that this factor caused the development fund to fight with the investor of adas power plant and with the ministry of energy, a fight that has led to the fact that it is no longer willing to accept foreign currency corrections. investors in the construction of the power plant. that is, we have displeased the private sector, which is no longer willing to step forward, and we have also lost the development fund as a good source of financing. i will give a new one, but if

you don't sell new education to the ministry of energy, this will suppress the private sector, but i'm asking for more in the name of allah, the most merciful, the most merciful. i offer my greetings and politeness to the viewers and listeners of the program of his highness, and colleagues and honorable guests of the program. almost everyone else be concrete, they are living without electricity , there is almost no water and nothing can be done, and it is both

welfare and strategic, and to accomplish it and produce it is very complicated and requires a lot of investment. who were in charge took this task and in some years they were able to pass without problems, but there were reasons that along with the disharmony that we have been facing in many parts of the country's economy for the last few years , we are also facing it in many parts of the country's services. the electricity was not far behind this summary of the caravan and got caught but i prefer to first

give some information to our noble people, we are currently about 93,000, he said, the nominal power generation capacity of our country is about 93,000 megawatts, of this 93,000 megawatts, 77,76,000 megawatts is thermal, which is a combination of combined cycle gas power plants and bucharest and we call these fossils, now we don't have coal in the country, these are power plants that burn gas and diesel, yes, this sector is 76,000 megawatts, approximately 80.

it means that the height above the sea level in many power plants , such as gas power plants or the gas part of combined cycle power plants, causes that for every thousand meters from the surface. if we have a 10% drop in capacity , this is not anyone's hand at all . this happens everywhere in the world, that is, you invest 100 and you get 90. the receipt is one part of the temperature part. well , the majority of the peaks that we have caught in these years

are the summer peaks due to the increase in temperature, which is always a feature of the summer season, and for that we predicted the growth of consumption, which finally, year after year, units are added to the residential units. business units are added, towers, properties and companies. we will have 100 degrees and 1700 megawatts of power loss. this is to say that we have faced an unprecedented heat this year. let me tell you why

it has increased so much this year. we always had 5% per year in the development plans to increase the capacity. this year due to the information that we had taken it from meteorology and so on, so we had a forecast of 6, but we had an increase in temperature above 8%, and we the duration of this increase in temperature was not so long in any year that it even reached september, and this caused us to increase our demand, and that gap was between 64 thousand megawatts and the unprecedented peak of 80 thousand megawatts this year. let's see the problems that have been discussed, which were not related to the increase in tail and so on, now those issues that were raised. it's not that we didn't build a power plant and no power plant came into operation in

the past 3 years, we have almost 48 power plants, of which 14 are steam plants, and each steam unit has a consumption of 250 million cubic meters of fuel per year.

these problems that mr. taghizadeh expressed in the way of private sector investment, why can't this investment be developed and be a solution to solve the problems of this multifaceted sector , that is, only the ministry of energy. multi is not involved with it the device is both the program organization and the central bank as well as the development fund, and in general, the ministry of energy's follow-up is the same solution that mr. mugheirzadeh said. ok , give a loan to the national development fund. it is correct to say that since 2017, with the national development fund, due to the fact that the investment projects were not satisfied, so finally there is a rate increase

. this can be hidden this is not the reason why the friends of the development fund did not cooperate and the banks withdrew, but we introduced several projects to the industry through the sales route in the proposals that were considered and discussed for years and that the investment was not justified, and the ministry of energy announced its readiness. in your opinion

, this solution that mr. esfanani states is enough to make investment by the private sector attractive, or should other things be done? after the general conversation, i said follow let's go to the solution and say just one sentence. when i say that the private sector is suppressed , it is also in mr. esfanani's orders, why mr. esfanani is counting 15 steam units entering the circuit and each steam unit is 250 million cubic meters. yes , mr. esfanani, who invested in these units , was it the government sector or the non -government sector? we are proud to say that this was done by the private sector. my request is that since 1992, non-reciprocal contracts have been concluded. who can accept this in 2019?

contract concluded. we still haven't been able to get the money. look, when they say that the private sector is being ignored and suppressed, that's what it means. look , i told you that there are many facts in your service . let's just look at the results of the policies of the last 10 years. which is with us today with an average discrepancy of about 18 thousand megawatts. we are facing the fact that we can no longer deny that the public sector cannot invest, that is, it cannot invest , it is not allowed, it does not have the money, so the private sector must come, the private sector is suppressed, so what should we do? kurds, i promise you that if the current behavior of the government and the current behavior of the ministry of energy continues , in 1414 you

will have at least one third of the country's consumption, and at least 37 to 40 thousand megawatts of electricity will be consumed . it will take and social crises may start, labor crises may start, every day if we don't take action, it's too late. we have to reconcile the private sector . all our friends in the government deny this , ask yourself mr. engineer esfanani , they confirm the electricity economy for the private sector. inefficient, sir, the electricity economy must be made efficient . there is no other way. if the question is whether

the electricity imbalance can be solved, i will say yes. an interim period of 5 to 7 years, 5 years has solved this, the resources needed are about 20 billion dollars, we have the resources needed, this 20 billion dollars , i believe that at least half of this money, that is , about 10 billion dollars, will come from the electricity sales that tavanir has today. it sells to industries, it sells to commercial customers, and it sells to high-end customers the consumption pattern sells these resources. let's finance at least 10 billion dollars in 5 years, but what is the problem? the problem is that we have a power, its task is to solve the electricity imbalance, it seeks to make more profit , it seeks to suppress the private sector at a price of 120 tomans per kilowatt hour, and to sell it for an average of 1200 tomans. it is not mediation, what is it called if it is mediation.

we are talking about the non-reciprocal issue. well, mr. madath is correct in saying 92, the 92 contract was closed, but none of the 92 contracts were implemented. we used to deal with the contract problem for 3 to 4 years between the government agencies and the contract, starting from 1995 , by solving that problem, what was the problem? the problem was that according to the law, we had to deliver fuel to the investors.

still, this has not been implemented, or a very small part of it has been implemented, but in the understanding that was made with the program organization and the ministry of oil, mr. maztaghizadeh said yes. it means that almost a small part of it has been done , a significant part of which we have paid from note 14 during last year and 2019 99 1400 1401, which is not significant. it shouldn't be that it doesn't work. the main problem of cross-selling should be done with the delivery of saved fuel by the ministry of petroleum and the approval of the program organization, what happened. the collection that our company has all approval for saving fuel, gentlemen