america. right now on "america this morning," a new alert about the spread of the coronavirus. preliminary data now indicating the death rate could nearly double by june. what scientists are saying as more states push to re-open. also new this morning, the rising number of children coming down with a serious illness. is it related to the coronavirus? we hear from a top pediatrician. meat prices on the rise. one company now revealing pork production has dropped by 50%. and this wendy's restaurant running out of beef. plus, a major virus outbreak at this vegetable canning plant. what we're learning this morning. ready to cruise? the new plan to get major cruise lines back out to sea this summer and what their employees are saying. plus, from the 5-year-old boy pulled over while driving mom's car down the highway.

>> how old are you? you're 5 years old. where did you learn to drive a car? to this college graduate graduating in his living room to the sheep running wild and taking over this town. all the trending video for your tuesday morning. good tuesday morning, everyone. thank you for joining us. we begin with a dire new warning about the coronavirus. >> preliminary data from johns hopkins university suggests we could see 3,000 deaths per week from the virus by june. that's nearly double what we're seeing now just as more states begin to re-open. also this morning we're hearing from a top doctor in new york who says more children are coming down with a serious illness that could be related. >> the fda is cracking down on antibody tests aimed at making sure the tests you get are accurate. meanwhile a white house adviser warns the

unemployment rate could hit 20% this week and another well-known company is filing for bankruptcy. this time gold's gym, which will also close dozens of locations. >> with so many americans out of work, doctors are now warning about a mental health crisis. >> but we begin our coverage with that new data raising concern. here's abc's megan tevrizian. >> reporter: this morning, new models predicting a dramatic increase in deaths from coronavirus if social distancing is lifted too early. >> this virus has enormous capabilities of spreading like wildfire. >> reporter: preliminary data on "the new york times" shows the daily u.s. death toll could reach 3,000 by june 1st meaning a death toll on the scale of the 9/11 attacks every day with a total of 135,000 deaths by august. that's nearly double this morning's total. the white house says it has not vetted that data which is from johns hopkins university. >> i don't know if those numbers because i have skepticism about models, about they're only as good as the assumptions you put into them but they're not completely misleading. >> reporter: now cases of

coronavirus are surging through the navajo community with nearly 3,000 patients, one of the highest infection rates per capita in the country. the navajo nation expands over parts of three states in the southwest, an area the size of west virginia with only 20 intensive care hospital beds. the navajo president says he expects federal funding for the community to arrive in the next 30 to 60 days. >> the need is now, not during the summer. >> reporter: and as states debate how and when to re-open, a new map from fema shows nearly two dozen states in red which have not yet seen a downward trend in reported cases. some of those states such as georgia, tennessee, indiana and kansas are already relaxing their social distancing rules. in massachusetts, a large tightly packed crowd gathering outside the statehouse pushing to re-open the economy. this as the state continues to see clusters of covid-19. >> right now all the icus are full.

we're into our surge capacity. >> reporter: a walmart south of boston is now closed after one employee died of the virus and this walmart supercenter in worcester is set to re-open days after 80 employees and vendors tested positive. in california, the governor says some of the state's retail businesses could begin re-opening friday. but some refuse to wait. two northern california cities are already allowing businesses to re-open in defiance of the governor's stay-at-home orders. one sheriff telling abc news, people who want to work are not criminals. >> it's time to open it back up because if we don't, we're going to lose everything. >> reporter: and small businesses are taking new precautions as they re-open. we talked to several small business owners who are installing thermal imaging cameras to screen their employees and customers for a fever as they come through the door. kenneth, mona. >> thank you. new york city's largest police union says officers should not be required to

enforce social distancing. it comes of a violent arrest caught on camera over the weekend. an officer seen punching a man he was arresting for allegedly violating social distancing rules. the officer now on desk duty. health officials in new york have issued a new alert about a rare syndrome affecting children. they say 15 kids, many of whom had coronavirus, were recently hospitalized with symptoms associated with toxic shock or what's called kawasaki disease. it's an illness involving the inflammation of blood vessels. cases also reported in europe. >> there was something clearly wrong with him because it was turning black. i was just like, i've never seen anything like this. >> the heart muscle itself is inflamed or injured and weak and it leads to critical illness where other organs in the body can get severely injured. >> now it's unclear if the condition is associated with covid-19, but doctors are looking for possible links. we turn now to the accusations that china covered

up the extent of the virus outbreak early this year. the trump administration has also linked the virus to a lab in wuhan. now, dr. anthony fauci is addressing the issue. abc's alex presha has more. >> reporter: this morning, dr. anthony fauci is shooting down theories that the coronavirus was man-made. he tells national geographic everything about the stepwise evolution over time strongly indicates that this virus evolved in nature and then jumped species. fauci added he does not believe another theory that the virus occurred naturally but was accidentally released into the public from a lab in china telling nat geo that means it's in the wild to begin with. that's why i don't get what they're talking about. it comes after both president trump and secretary of state mike pompeo linked the virus to a lab in wuhan without providing evidence. >> have you seen anything at this point that gives you a high degree of confidence that the wuhan institute of virology was the origin of this virus? >> yes, i have. >> there is enormous evidence that that's where this began.

i can tell you that there is a significant amount of evidence that this came from that laboratory in wuhan. >> reporter: the u.s. is also accusing china of covering up just how devastating the virus was when it first hit. a u.s. homeland security report concludes, quote, the chinese government intentionally concealed the severity of the covid-19 from the international community in early january while it stockpiled medical supplies. and now in a new interview with the "new york post," president trump claims more americans are agreeing with him with a desire for the u.s. to be less dependent on chinese manufacturing, saying the one thing that this pandemic has taught us is that i was right. now those people are really agreeing with me, and that includes medicine and other things. the chinese government is preparing for a serious backlash because of this pandemic. reuters says beijing's ministry of state security has already warned anti-china sentiment around the world is at its highest level since the tiananmen square massacre of 1989. kenneth and mona. >> all right, alex, thank you. an employee at a poultry

plant in nebraska is the latest worker in the meat industry to die from covid-19. meanwhile tyson foods says the production of pork has dropped 50% because of plant closures. wholesale meat prices are up 60%. many stores are absorbing that price increase, but consumers will see gradual price increases. beef is temporarily off the menu at this wendy's. the restaurant in michigan is blaming it on a supply shortage. in wisconsin there's a virus outbreak at a vegetable plant and the national guard is helping to test workers. all right, time now for a look at your tuesday morning weather. a fierce storm blew through parts of kansas and missouri. winds topped 70 miles an hour and hail the size of a quarter was also seen in some areas. but the real story today is the falling temperatures. take a look. parts of the northeast could drop below freezing this morning before rebounding into the 50s later today. temperatures in the upper

midwest will also be 10 to 15 degrees below normal for this time of year, but the heat returns in the southwest and temperatures around 100 in some areas. coming up, what your favorite restaurant could soon look like thanks to coronavirus. also ahead, setting sail. the new plan for cruise ships to hit the high seas again this summer. but is everyone on board? and later the 5-year-old boy pulled over while driving down the highway.

by staying home... you're protecting other people from getting sick. by calling someone you love stuck indoors... you're giving them a smile... and they need it! by being brave... you're helping us all be brave. thank you for being a helper. you're making a big difference. find ways to help children feel safe at unicefusa.org

welcome back. as more states ease restrictions we're seeing what restaurants post-coronavirus will look like. a waffle house in texas is now placing bags over chairs to encourage social distancing. other businesses are also rearranging seats for more

separation. overseas a restaurant in hong kong is using plexiglas to divide booths and limiting parties to four people or less. >> everyone is using this word the new normal but it's kind of what we've adjusted to. and even though the energy isn't necessarily the same, i think people really appreciate the boundaries that you're putting in place so that they do feel safe dining. >> many re-opened restaurants are also requiring customers to wear a mask and get their temperatures checked, and here's a new concept from europe. a restaurant in amsterdam may use individual greenhouses around tables for social distancing. >> now to cruise ships possibly setting sail again this summer. but thousands of cruise ship workers are still stranded at sea this morning. this morning, major cruise lines are navigating toward a potential return to the seas this summer. norwegian says it plans to relaunch cruise operations july

1st and carnival cruise line has announced what it called a phased-in approach which could return eight ships to service as early as august 1st, but the company adds, quote, nothing is final. >> i have been stuck here for more than 50 days and i do want to go home. >> reporter: more than 70,000 cruise ship workers are still stranded at sea in u.s. waters waiting to be allowed back onto the mainland so they can go home. ryan driscoll. ♪ this is the life not. >> reporter: works aborn the seaborne odyssey owned by carnival. >> they can't get me off the ship but yet in a few months they can get guests on ships and start sailing again. >> reporter: dozens of ships have reported coronavirus cases since the start of the year and passengers can expect changes on board when ships set sail again. carnival says it plans to frequently sanitize outdoor furniture and no more self-serve at food stations. now staff members will serve the food. >> we're not quite ready to cancel. >> reporter: bill is

anxious to take his summer vacation which he booked back in november. he hasn't canceled his cruise yet. >> we still have a little bit of time to kind of wait it out and see how things go through the month of may. if we had to decide right now we wouldn't do it. >> as for those workers stranded at sea, the cruise lines are working with the cdc to finalize plans to allow the workers to disembark. coming up, how police say a fight over wearing a face mask in a store led to murder. also ahead, the story behind this shocking video of a monkey grabbing a toddler and running away with him. we want to let you know he's okay but that story is coming up. ♪ thousands of women with metastatic breast cancer, which is breast cancer that has spread to other parts of the body, are living in the moment and taking ibrance. ibrance with an aromatase inhibitor is for postmenopausal women or for men with hr+/her2- metastatic breast cancer, as the first hormonal based therapy. ibrance plus letrozole significantly delayed disease progression versus letrozole,

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♪ love is all you need. your cells. trillions of them. that's why centrum contains 14 key nutrients to help feed your cells, nourishing your body inside and out so you can focus on what matters most. centrum. feed your cells. fuel your life. back now with the latest sign of anger against coronavirus restrictions in michigan. a man wiping his nose on a store employee's shirt after he was asked to wear a mask. that man is now wanted by police. another dispute over a mask in michigan ended with the death of a security guard and now three members of one family face murder charges.

police say a mother tried to spit on the security guard at a family dollar store when he confronted her because her daughter wasn't wearing a mask. she left but her husband and son came back and the son allegedly shot the guard in the head. >> it is incredibly sad that in this crisis that this life was lost. i ask that all michiganders do the right thing. keep their wits about them. >> husband and son are still on the run. the coronavirus may have spread to europe back in december weeks earlier than first thought. i spoke earlier with dr. alok patel overnight and asked him what that could mean. we also discussed mental health and those new figures about the virus death rate. >> my thoughts are that this is alarming and everybody should be looking at this especially given the fact we have over 30 states that are looking to loosen restrictions. now, not only this model but the one -- several different models are based on certain assumptions

about how the virus acts and how much contact people are going to have. that means that we should have this now goal to get on top of these models. not only does that mean more testing and contact tracing, testing and contact tracing, that's a lot more individual responsibility because we now see that we are not out of the wood. >> dr. patel, as you know the fda is cracking down on antibody tests requiring new authorization. how do people know if they're getting a reliable test? >> well, short answer is right now some people may not know so for a lot of people it's best to hopefully wait as the fda reviews a lot of them, because any test that does not meet specific standards such as 90% sensitivity, 95% specificity those tests will possibly be removed from the market so people should do their best to understand the tests they're getting and at least try to get an fda approved one. >> with staggering unemployment numbers, people stuck inside and other fallout from this pandemic, douepression and anxiety not a surprise are reportedly on the rise. the headline from "the

washington post" this morning about a potential mental health crisis, the u.s. is ill prepared. some clinics already on the brink of collapse. what can be done? >> i think one thing that can be done is we can get creative about points of intervention. so there's already national hotlines. there's a crisis text line. we have to get more resources available for teleappointments and then another discussion has to be made about anyone who is stuck in an abusive home. not only does there have to be a point of intervention, a way to help them, there has to be a safe alternative that can be also socially distanced. >> dr. patel, as officials across the globe track covid-19, the first case of coronavirus in france may have been as early as december. a top cdc official says the u.s. was too slow to stop travel from europe. data showing thousands of cases here in the hard hit new york area originally came from europe. your thoughts on that. >> now, this specific case coming out of france involves a 42-year-old male who had no travel history to china. now, this is the end of december in paris. you know, and he presented with some classic symptoms such as

headache and a fever and his ct scan showed that ground glass appearance that a lot of doctors here are talking about and from a frozen sample, they saw that he did have potentially this coronavirus, so this not only tells us the virus is circulating way before we thought it was, but it should knot only give us a little bit more kind of strategy in trying to re-open society because this further proves there might be a lot more asymptomatic spread. >> our thanks to dr. patel there. coming up, a special graduation ceremony in the living room. plus, the 5-year-old boy pulled over while driving down the highway. where he was going. next.

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bike on the street all of a sudden rides up to a bench, yep, and grabs a little boy before taking off with him. dragging him down the street. the monkey eventually let go. witnesses say the toddler suffered some scratches but was otherwise not injured. >> they say music was playing and the monkey was apparently performing during the incident which is why so many people in the area appear to be confused. a different kind of animal story from the streets of northern turkey. these stheep are running wild through the town enjoying the empty streets thanks to police enforcing a nightly curfew. that's because of the coronavirus. when your mom says you can't have a lamborghini, what do you do? a 5-year-old boy decided to find one on his own, so he took his parents car for a spin down the highway trying to get to california but state troopers foiled his big plan. >> how old are you? >> 5. >> you're 5 years old. wow. >> his parents were at work at the time. an older sibling was supposed to be watching him.

the trooper says the boy wasn't too bad behind the wheel. >> impaired drivers generally can maintain a lane a little bit better than this little fellow was. it amazed me when he heard my siren that he did pull right over and stop. >> he knew the rules, i guess. the boy's mom says he's never done anything like this before. mona, he's got, what, like 11 more years before he can actually get a driver's license. >> but i mean he did pull over. that was surprising. >> yeah. >> i can only imagine now he's like play it cool, play it cool and they won't notice. just give them your i.d. >> right. a family from orlando refused to miss out on celebrating their son's graduation. his college graduation, so ohio medical student trent johnson jr. walked across his living room with full cap and gown with his family proudly cheering him on. >> trent is the first doctor in the family. he's heading to johns hopkins for his residency. congratulations to him. >> that is no little feat.

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making news right now at 4:27, where the's beef? america's meat supply shortages may be showing up right here in the bay area. a "tiger king" comeback, not only is nicholas cage signed onn as playing joe exotic on the silver screen. in the meantime, we're checking in with mike nicco with a look at the forecast. >> mike, not quite as exotic as

joe. >> thank goodness. >> that would be a little too extra, huh? it's going to get extra warm for us. that old radio station staying two for tuesday, if you liked yesterday you will like today. you see a few high clouds out there and the breeze is back from yesterday, everywhere except for sfo. they will be back a little bit and so will a few clouds near the coast. high clouds and sunshine will dominate. mid to upper 70s in the south bay, and a few 80s in the east bay, and possibly santa rosa in the north bay. i'll be back with more in a second. this morning many businesses and retail stores are getting ready to open this friday.

official details are expected on thursday, with low-risk retail shops like book stores and toy stores and others, and of course it's essential that we stay at home as much as possible and keep social distancing to keep the number of covid-19 cases down. in the south bay, new images of crowded marking lots and dangerous car stunts have people really concerned because today is cinco de mayo. abc7 news's reporter, julian glover has more on why neighbors are so concerned with this. >> the pictures we saw over the weekend are crazy, to be honest, and that's why there's concern for the cinco de mayo celebrations, and these pictures

are kind of mind blowing. a viewer snapped these of huge crowds gathering in east san jose. they are basically shoulder to shoulder, and very few masks in sight. police have extra plans for cinco de mayo including extra officers but officers will not be go into crowds and handing out citations for the social distancing orders. >> it was like covid-19 was beaten and this was a big celebration with people coming into the streets. ridiculous. >> and sjpd also planning to crack down on this right here, side shows and out-of-control drivers in what is usually a