good morning. i'm kris sanchez. coming up on "today in the bay" two cal graduates on trial for iran wait to hear if their fate will be good after they appeared in court today. and after more than two family fights to keep hope alive for a young nursing student as east bay police build a case to bring down her killer. and will it be a deal or default in washington? lawmakers have just two days to settle the debt ceiling showdown. this is "today in the bay."

good morning to you. taking a live look at oakland this morning, a bit of a gray start, though. by the time that the a's take on the minnesota twins, hopefully it will be a little more cheerful out there. >> i think it will be brighter. it's kind of interesting, if we do see the sun, we've got enough humidity in the atmosphere, we could fire up a couple of thundershowers, something we don't talk about a lot in summer in the bay area. this morning the marine layer is back, it is thick, it is almost 3,000 feet deep. what that means for us is the clouds are going to take their time clearing and temperatures, say it with me, will be below the average we think. we've said that a lot the last several monthst readings this morning are pretty mild. it's 62 in san jose, sunnyvale 64.1:cc 61 in oaklandnt and 5 5 in s scfrciano. eci san francisco marathon getting gngshi t mornin wheg.retreha w's w watching. fewfeay ds dnow.noweoor i tt f 've p fmo fthe soh.isturengngmovi

it'sni raing gng rtietti o ofas towards bakersfield this as ing. we'll seehomoto t sserms fire u across theierra nevada dn dainy awe ay. toda l 'lwesee thundershower activity istheouisould sth bthf of llvaey vermore, easftse jose.jo but bu bring ingt upecpseau thos llhirell a pretty dry. and if we get some lightning, fire danger could definitely be an issue so we'll talk more about this in just a few minutes. the trial of two uc berkeley graduates imprisoned in iran is under way and there are indications any may be freed. today is the two-year anniversary to the day of their arrest. reports say that a verdict could come within a week. iranian authorities arrested shane bauer, josh fattal and sarah shourd two years ago this weekend. though shourd was freed on humanitarian grounds, the two men remain behind bars. they may be found guilty but then sentenced to time served

and released. shourd says she is very hopeful this time around. >> well, the public prosecutor has made a statement saying a final decision would be made and that they're very hopeful that would happen. so of course shane and josh have been waiting for a trial for 22 months was the first time that we were told by our investigators that we were going to trial. we've been waiting a long time for this and we hope that it's the end. >> one thing which may be working in their favor is the fact that ooiiran has a traditi of pardoning prisoners in the holy month of ramadan which starts tomorrow. police are looking for suspects in a drive-by shooting. the incident happened near 10:00 last night here peralta boulevard and glenmore drive. a group of men were walking when shots were fired from a passing car. one man was shot and killed. there are no other reports of injuries. investigators say there were three male suspects in a white two-door car, possibly a ford. early reports indicate the

shooting suspect may be an hispanic male. this is fremont's second murder of the year. two people are injured after a long fall near stinson beach and one of them is now in critical condition at the hospital this morning. the accident happened yesterday at 7:00 in the evening at scenic overlook about a mile from the beach. a man and a woman were posing for a picture out on a rock when witnesses say the two fell as far as 200 feet below. witnesses immediately came to their aid and climbed down to help. they called 911 and asked people to move their cars out of the way to make room for medical personnel. >> the lady, she was responsive the entire time. she was awake, trying to stand up. but the guy, he was down and he was just moaning when i got down there. he wasn't responding to any of my questions and there was also a language barrier. >> several agents responded with a long line rescue which is where a rescuer dangles from a rope from a helicopter and helps

the victim to safety. the man was flown to john muir medical center with life-threatening injuries. the woman was taken to the hospital with non-li non-life-threatening injuries. nursing student michelle le is still missing, but investigators in the east bay say they may soon announce the arrest of a suspect in the case. kimberly tere has the latest. >> reporter: it's been two months since 26-year-old michelle le has last seen at kaiser medical center where she was doing clinical rotations as a nursing student. cc1: >> what a vibrant beautiful lady. this had to happen to her. i can't believe that. >> reporter: the case has been classified as a homicide and police have been very tight-lipped about the investigation. they are conducting interviews, processing evidence and waiting for results from the crime lab but are zeroing in on a suspect. loved ones say the news is bittersweet. they are holding on to hope until they hear something definitive and will continue

their search for le. >> i'm still hopeful. i still want my sister home. i don't even enter tape the thought that she's dead. >> reporter: today a car wash was held in hayward with all of the proceeds going towards the costs of the continued search. >> i have been watching the news all the time, and this is one of the cases that i feel very touched. >> i've got my fingers crossed. i'm praying and we're praying for her. >> reporter: the community has rallied around the family and many people we have talked to say they are hoping police will make an arrest very soon. >> justice needs to be brought upon this person. i hope it eventually comes out and they can start the healing process and start closure. we're here to support the family. a strong earthquake is rattling the nerves of people living in the quake-ravaged region of northeastern japan. the magnitude 6.5 quake struck off the coast of fukushima, the same region which faced a massive tremor and tsunami back in march. no tsunami warnings were issued.

a nuclear power complex has not suffered further damage since it was crippled in march. talks are heating up between the white house and republican leaders in congress to reach an agreement to raise the debt ceiling. reports are that the two sides are working on the plan to raise the debt limit by more than $2 trillion. that deal would also include a plan for a balanced budget amendment. that was a different story yesterday when the house republicans voted down senate majority leader harry reid's debt ceiling plan. some say it was political pay back for the senate rejecting john boehner's plan on friday. lawmakers on both sides are skeptical. >> the only way we're get an agreement is to have an agreement with the president. >> here we are on the brink of economic disaster and we're time. g cc1: >> congress has until tuesday to come to an agreement or the treasury will run out of money to pay the nation's bills. meantime one of the

casualties of debt talks fail in washington are troops overseas who will still have to fight without getting paid. this is what mike mullen told army soldiers and marines in afghanistan yesterday. just like many americans back home, these service members are jobscc1: and their with their oncc1: government. >> there are plenty of you that paycheck,g paycheck to cc1: so if paychecks were to stop, it can have a devastating impact and it can have a devastating impact pretty quickly. >> the only way federal employee can say get paid is through medicare ntractors orcc1: providers. even with that the u.s. would be on the hook for penalties and interest on the late bills which would drive up the deficit. we still have more for you ahead on "today in the bay." still to come, a new app may cc1:life a little more organized for you. take note in tocc1: just a few minutes. also ahead, everyone on board a commercial airliner survives this crash landing even after the aircraft breaks in half. and there is a new

development in the amtrak/truck collision last month in nevada. the latest in two minutes. t any. ♪ fiber one is bringing brownies back. at 90 calories, the only thing between you and chocolaty brownies is a nicely designed package. ♪ now you can have brownies again. new fiber one 90 calorie brownies. in the granola bar aisle.

good morning to you. a little bit of gray sky over oakland this morning, but cooler temperatures and a pleasant afternoon. we'll talk with meteorologist nick o'kelly in just a bit. just three weeks before the first day of school and 200 returning students at san jose state still don't know where they're going to live. with the biggest freshman class in years, the university's housing is at capacity and some of those upper classmen are now being forced to live in a hotel. the problem is, they still don't know which one. senior rachel cortez has fond memories of living on campus, memories that might be different for the 200 upper classmen being forced off campus in the fall. the university admitted 4,000 freshmen for the fall, its largest class in years. couple that with the rule requiring freshman living 30 miles from campus on campus and

you get a housing squeeze. >> we acknowledge this is an unbelievably situation for our parents and our students. we can't apologize enough for that. we aring to the best we can to make them as comfortable in a hotel as they would be here. >> reporter: but not just any hotel, and there's the rub. the students must be housed separately from other hotel guests. they must have laundry and meeting facilities and free parking and it must be within walking distance or a short light rail ride. stance seems to be the biggest concern for parents and students. >> the biggest concern is students want to live on campus. they want to have the benefit of being close to class and the library, so we're going to do the best to address that with light rail and shuttle service in the evening. >> reporter: the university started looking for the right hotel in early june and lawyers for the university and the as-yet unnamed hotel are still hammering out the details, as august 24th, the first day of class, is fast approaching. without the full campus experience, at least one student might have considered her options. >> i probably would have

considered going to another school if it came down to different housing options. if i had another school that i really wanted to go to, i probably would have decided to go there. >> now, once those 200 students are notified, they will have five days to decide whether they'll move into the hotel or take a refund and fend for themselves. amtrak is facing a new lawsuit over a recent deadly crash between a passenger train and a big rig. the company which owns the truck is suing amtrak and union they did not1:cc maintain a safe railroad crossing at the site of the crash. in late june, six people died and 20 others were injured when a tractor-trailer rammed into a car train outside of reno. the truck company says neither mtrak nor union pacificcc1: adequately warned drivers of oncoming trains. amtrak is counter suing, however. they're suing the truck company, claiming negligence in the training of its truck drivers. and an incredible story is emerging from guy ana.

a commercial flight crashed and split in half and remarkably everyone on board walked away alive. jeff rossen has the story. >> reporter: as paramedics arrived, the jet ripped in two off the runway, it looked like another airline tragedy. >> this is one of the worst aviation mishaps in recorded memory in guyana. >> reporter: soon passengers would emerge alive. >> we had to jump off the plane and my shoulder is messed up. >> reporter: after departing new york, it stopped in trinidad and flew on to guyana. there the boeing 737 touched down and skidded off the runway, stopping just 200 feet short of a ravine. thinking it was over, passengers say they clapped. that's when the cabin broke in half. >> when the plane land i told my friend, man, we're going to die, we're going to die, because the plane, it don't have enough

runway to stop. >> it happened suddenly. everybody was screaming. >> reporter: there were 163 people on board. dozens were injured. most of them have already been released from the hospital. >> it's amazing to leave an aircraft in that shape with a handful of very small injuries. >> reporter: while it's rare, planes have broken apart before with no deaths. two years ago this american airlines 737 slammed into the runway in jamaica, finally coming to a halt and breaking apart. all 154 people aboard survived. >> the seats have been increased in strength so that they will now withstand 16 times the force of gravity before they depart the floor. >> reporter: this weekend, the ntsb is sending a team to the crash site in guyana. looking not only for what went wrong, but what went right. jeff rossen, nbc news, new york.

just ahead, the debt ceiling showdown continues in washington as lawmakers try to reach a deal by tuesday's deadline. we'll have the latest from washington. and the giants look to avoid a sweep today. a look at sports coming up. and also, a new way to keep all of your notes together. we'll take a look at a new app on the market. and we're talking about gray skies for most of us this morning. the marine layer is pretty thick, so temps are going to be below the average but comfortable with 60s, 70s and 80s inland. hechance for thunderstorms. more details just ahead. cc1:cc1: :

and good morning to you. i'm meteorologist nick o'kelly here taking a look at the runners out there for the san francisco marathon. one of the most iconic runs right there across the golden gate bridge. awe few long-sleeved shirts. actually perfect running weather with readings in the upper 50s.

you may notice there's just a little bit of extra humidity in the air, and that plays into our forecast. some of that monsoon moisture heading our way. it's mild, though, in sunnyvale, 64. 62 in san jose, 59 in livermore. so monsoon moisture coming in from the desert southwest. just a recent wave of activity developing coming up from los angeles, some rain i-5 south around bakersfield. it's going to fire up across the sierra once again. and this moisture moving right up into the santa cruz mountains perhaps into the diablo range later on today, so an isolated thundershower not out of the question east of san jose into the diablo range around the mt. hamilton area. looking at mostly sunny skies after the early morning clouds. clouds will take their time burning off and then a relatively mellow week ahead. so we've got the monsoon moisture and just enough instability right offshore with this little trough of low pressure swinging through to

warrant that chance for thundershowers. it's a low chance but because the hills are so dry fire danger is an issue and something we'll watch very carefully through the day today. readings will be within a couple of degrees of yesterday, still a little cooler than average. 81 in san jose, 77 palo alto, 63 pska. it's going to be noon to 1:00 p.m. before you see much sunshine around san francisco, half moon bay, maybe not a whole lot of sun at all. rosa, 75cord, 75 santacc1: san rafael. this week is actually looking rather uneventful. after we get rid of this little trough of low pressure and the thunderstorm chances later on today, it's looking quiet. readings should bounce a little bit, warming to near normal for monday and tuesday. then we'll start to slip just a little bit more through thursday and friday. so for most populated areas today, i don't think you're looking at any thunderstorms.

but look over the east bay hills and you see those clouds building up. watch out for the lightning, it could be an issue. well, if you're tired of information overload and device want to take llcc1: note of this next story. there is an app to help keep all information on your computer, your mobile phone, maybe your ipad, where you can find it. mike wentland shows us the note-taking app. >> reporter: there are lots of note-taking apps out there but in my opinion the one that does the best job is simple note. best of all, the free version works great. simple note works with the ipad, the iphone, the ipod touch and, as a dashboard widget on mac computers. you install the app on the mobile phone, a program on the computer and everything is synced automatically, all your notes always synced on all your devices. there are a bunch of simple note

compatible programs that you can and1: macs and wscc you also get a web page with access to all your notes. for droid users, there are several apps that work with simple note. i like flick note for keeping notes synced between your phone and your computer. now, there is an upgraded note of simple note available that will cost you some money but you don't need it. the free version, it works just fine. you want to learn more about all this? head over to my pcmike tech block. there is my address right there on your screen. i've built in direct links to everything i've showed you. >> that perked up nick's ears right away. still to come on "today in the bay" two days and counting until the nation defaults on its debt unless lawmakers can agree on a debt ceiling limit. also ahead, american hikers with ties to uc berkeley will soon learn their fate during an espionage file in iran. the latest on that. and the raiders strap on

r ds for the f ncirime since the nfl lockout ended. we'll take a look at sports coming up next. ♪ ♪ mm-mmm-mmm-mm-mm-mmm ♪ mm-mmm-mmm-mm-mm-mmm ♪ ♪ mm-mmm-mmm-mm-mm-mmm ♪ mm-mmm-mmm-mm-mm-mmm ♪ [ female announcer ] kraft cheese has more full length shreds in every bag. you'll see the difference. ♪ mm-mmm-mmm-mm

good morning to you. taking a look live at the san francisco marathon, the elite runners got started when it was still dark outside. the regular weekend warriors also chugging along as well. this is the 34th annual running of the san francisco marathon which goes through some of the most beautiful parts of the city. the san francisco giants are looking to stop a sweep as the team's lead dwindles to just three games. madison bum garner had a rough outing yesterday. the giants tried to come back. pablo sandoval provides one of the few highlights of the game as he hits a home run, but the damage was done. giants lose 7-2. barry zito will take the mound today in a game that starts at

10:00 this morning. the giants could get the boost they need to make the playoffs with one acquisition. veteran nflinfielder orlando cabrera. in exchange they send thomas neil to cleveland. the giants will be cabrera's ninth team since 2004. meanwhile, the oakland a's re looking to start a winningc: streak. with the a's trailing, weeks gives oakland the lead for good with a triple. the a's add more in the fifth inning as oakland wins 8-3 over the minnesota twins. much better today. today's game starts this afternoon at 1:00 and we know they're going to win it. the oakland raiders first-year head coach is doing things a little differently at training camp. hugh jackson started the first full pad practice of the year with hard-hitting drills. comcast sports area kate has the details. >> reporter: it was the first day of practice in full pads and it certainly lived up to the hype as they engaged in a

hard-hitting workout modelled after high energy new head coach hugh jackson. >> that's the name of the game. we're going to be a team building a bully. i can't just walk out there on sunday, monday or thursday and say we are. we've got to become how to become one. we've got to line up every now and len and run into each other. >> there was a lot of intensity in the beginning. i think guys finished up great for the first day back in pads. >> reporter: and the team also made some moves off the field as they picked up backup quarterback trent edwards and resigned khalif barnes. they will not be resigning jared gaither due to health aissues. coming up we'll take you to washington for the debt ceiling showdown. it's intensifying between democrats and republicans as the clo clock ticks. also japan experiences another earthquake. we'll show you where. and we have thethe lattresl the ial of two cal graduates who are on trial in iran. we're back in two minutes.

looking live across the span of the bay bridge. some of the folks still running the san francisco marathon. by the way, if you want to track one of your favorite runners, there's an app for that called map my fitness and you can follow them as they go along the route. thanks for joining us on this sunday morning. i'm kris sanchez. and meteorologist nick o'kelly is in for rob mayeda. good running weather you were saying. >> it is. it's nice and cool. it's kind of interesting rob is off this morning, but i've seen him on facebook because we've got a very interesting weather situation bdeveloping. ros ibout that very often.s doesn't happen 've got monsoon moisture moving up fm etheeh.ut in fact it'saingni arongd a obpoluobis.yoelan s o here aee on the rad

isthoesn't happenery isten. showerss could hu make it almost into the bay area. it plays into our forecast for today. here's a look at some headlines for us. we've got the low clouds, the fog and the marine layer is pretty deep. in fact it's 3,000 feet deep.cc: that's going to keep temperatures a little cooler than the average for this time of year. of course we've bee t saying tht like the last two months or so. clouds will break up through midday. we'll see a mostly sunny afternoon. but if the sun really gets going, that's going to add to our instability and add to that thundershowerscc1: mainly east of the bay area. we'll be back with more details on that. >> not what we like to hear when it's dry out there. >> fire danger could be a problem. >> thank you very much, nick. we'll see you in a bit. this morning the trial of two uc berkeley graduates imprisoned in iran is underway and there are reports they could be freed. reports say a verdict is expected within a week. iranian authorities arrested shane bauer, josh fattal and

bauer's fiancee, sarah shourd. although shourd was freed on humanitarian grounds a year ago, the two men remain behind wars. the lawyer says they may be found guilty but sentenced to time served and released. shourd says she is hopeful this time around. >> well, the public prosecutor has made a statement saying a final decision would be made, and that they're very hopeful that will happen. so of course shane and josh have been waiting for a trial for 22 months was the first time that we were told by our investigators that we were going to trial. we've been waiting a long time for this and we hope that it's the end of the. >> one thing which may be working in their favor is the fact that iran has a tradition of pardoning prisoners for the holy month of ramadan. ramadan starts tomorrow. this morning b fremont poli are looking for suspects involved in a drive-by shooting in which one man was killed. the incident happened around 10:00 last night around peralta

boulevard and glenmore drive. a group of men were walking when shots were fired. one man was shot and killed nochlt other injuries were reported. investigators say there were three male suspects in a white two-door car, possibly a ford. early reports indicate the possible shooter is an hispanic male. this is fremont's second murder of the year. two people are injured after a long fall near stinson beach and one of them is in critical condition at the hospital this morning. the accident happened yesterday at 7:00 in the evening at a scenic overlook about a mile from the beach. a man and a woman were posing for a picture out on a rock when the two fell as far as 200 feet below. witnesses immediately came to their aid and climbed down to try to help. they also called 911 and asked people to move their cars to make way for medical personnel. >> the lady, she was responsive the entire time. she was awake, trying to stand up. but the guy, he was down and he was just moaning. when i got down there, he wasn't

responding to any of my questions. there was also a language barrier. >> several agencies responded with what's called a long line rescue where a rescuer dangles from a hope from a helicopter and helps the victim to safety. that man was flown by helicopter to john muir medical center with life-threatening injuries. the woman was taken by ambulance to marin general with non-life-threatening injuries. and we have new developments in a missing persons case now spanning two months. nursing student michelle le remains missing at this hour, but investigators in the east bay say there may soon be an arrest in the case. kimberly tere has the latest. >> reporter: it's been two months since 26-year-old michelle le was last seen at hayward's kaiser medical center where she was doing clinical rotations as a nursing student. >> what a vibrant, beautiful lady. and this had to happen to her, i can't believe that. >> the case has been classified as a homicide and police have been very tight-lipped about the investigation. they are still conducting interviews, processing evidence and waiting for results from the crime lab, but say they are

zeroing in on a suspect. loved ones say the news is bittersweet. they are holding onto hope until they hear something definitive and say they will continue their search for le. >> i'm still hopeful. i still want my sister home. you know, i don't even entertain the thought that she's dead. >> reporter: today a car wash was held in hayward with all of the proceeds going toward the costs of the continued search. >> i have been watching the news all the time and this is one of that i feel very touched. >> i've got my fingers crossed. i'm praying and we're praying for her. >> reporter: the community has rallied around the family and many people we talked to say they are hoping police make an arrest soon. brought cc1:eds to be upon this person, so i just hope that it eventually comes out and they can start the healing process and put closure. so we're out here just to support the family. >> reporter: kimberly tere, "today in the bay." a strong earthquake is rattling nerves of people living in the quake-ravaged region of northeastern japan. 1: magnitude 6.5 quake struckcc

off the coast of fukushima, the same region which faced the massive temblor and tsunami back in march. officials say a nuclear power complex did not suffer further damage since it was crippled during the magnitude 9.0 quake back in march. congress and the president are working feverishly to reach a deal to raise the nation's debt ceiling. the deadline and a possible default by uncle sam is now just two days away. one plan was expected to come up for a vote in the senate early withdrawn g but wascc1: late last night as the haggling continued behind the scenes. nbc's brian mooar has the story from washington. >> reporter: unable to muster the support to get a bill passed, senate majority leader harry reid delayed a vote on his debt ceiling plan until later today. >> i spoke to the white house quite a few times this evening. they have asked me to giff everyone as much time as possible to reach an agreement if one can be reached. >> reporter: it was the same

plan shot down hours earlier by the house. >> the rules are not suspended and the bill is not passed. >> reporter: finding a bill that will pass is no easy task. >> as god is my witness, we will not compromise on our principles. >> reporter: with tuesday's debt ceiling deadline looming and no plan on the table, republican leaders are talking again with president obama. >> the only way we're going to get an agreement before tuesday is to have an agreement with the president of the united states. >> i guess talking is a step in the right direction but that's about it. >> reporter: tensions rising. >> we're going to fight you on that, mr. dryer. >> reporter: as the clock ticks down. bri brian mooar, nbc news, washington. the debt ceiling is what we'll be talking about with larry gurston just ahead. what's in store in the world of business? we'll check in with cnbc in new york. [ man ] i got this new citi thankyou card

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>> reporter: wall street traders are holding out hope for a resolution to the debt limit crisis before tuesday's deadline while they prepare for the worst if a deal is not reached. a lot of action in the markets this week will focus on jobs with july's employment numbers being released on friday. traders were shocked when just 18,000 new jobs were added in june and they hope there were a lot more new hires in july. automakers roll out their monthly sales figures for july this week and the numbers should be a bit better than they were in june. starting monday a new federal program will offer more relief for mortgage holders who are out of work. if those homeowners have a government loan, they will be able to skip mortgage payments for as long as a year before facing foreclosure. can't make any of this year's and this summer's concerts?1:a cc we have good news. google's youtube will stream all of your favorite bands live over the internet along with ads, of course, from sponsors. and after three months of recovering from a leg injury, tiger woods returns to the pro golf circuit this week at the

bridgestone invitational in akron, ohio. after all of his troubles, the biggest money maker in the sport is now ranked number 133 in the world. so how will president obama celebrate his 50th birthday this week? how else? with a re-election fund-raiser in his hometown of chicago. i'm sue herera. get all your business news on cnbc. >> and scott mcgrew will get your day started with business news starting at 4:30 tomorrow morning. next on "today in the bay" our political analyst larry gerston joins us to talk about the debt ceiling showdown in washington and what it means here in the golden state. good morning. i'm mike inoye. fat beats, sounds like a great name for a band but it times create healthier food systems while nurturing the food in the city. they kick off a new venture

combination flea market and farmers market. you can get the plates for dinner, the food to cook and some food for thought. you don't want to eat in? grab some grub on the way to the drive-in. yes, the drive-in. well, that's what it says. you drive out to novato to hamilton field where on the side of the building, the theater there, you'll see the biggest bug you've seen in a long time. the north bay mobile drive-in movie tonight. it screens "alien." the sci-fi mohorror classic. it's rated r for violence and language and stars that lady from "avatar" before she went blue. if that battle is a bit too intense for your saturday, how about visual effect on a smaller scale. in the land of robot wars, a photo shop smackdown should be no surprise. adobe's pop-up store on sutter in san francisco is the site for tonight's battle royale where you can cheer on your favorite teams starting at 7:00. they helped make photos like this and this.

bring your familiar a. if you don't get exactly the shot you want, i'm sthfihex atf fix that for you. that's what's going on "today in the bay." you have yourself a great one. swipe your card please. excuse me...? this belongs to you... o...um...thank you. excuse me... cc1: this is yours... thank you! you're welcome. with chase freedom, you get cash back on what you buy everyday. this is yours! thank you! that's 5% cash back in bonus categories every three months. and an unlimited 1% everywhere else. activate your 5% cash back today at chase.com/freedom, or at your local chase branch.

while the nation awaits the final outcome of the dramatic deficit debate in washington, d.c., leaders in california are already assessing the damage we are likely to suffer here. nbc bay area political analyst larry gerston joins us this morning to walk through the impact and, you know, this is a very busy time. folks wonder how it's going to lot ofcc1: folks acc1: wars. robotcc1: let's talk about the fact that we get a lot of money from the federal government. in fact 10% of what the federal government spends here. how will it impact us here in california? >> and people don't think it. it's washington, a long ways away, it doesn't matter, but in a very painful way we are going to be hurt in all kinds of respects that we just don't think about. we're really talking about here

connecting the debt ceiling, you know, with the balanced budget or at least an attempt to balance the budget. in the process we're talking about cutting back all kinds of federal spending. all kinds. >> you know, federal spending goes on everything from highway transportation projects, lunches, whatnot. we're talking about nor nearly billion that we get from the federal government. >> we got $80 billion this last year. $80 billion just in california. by the way, that's almost as much as the stateetbudg.budget money for public transportation, school lunch programs, water purification, the electricity power dprid agrid and of course medicare, social security and medicaid. the list, kris, is virtually endless. let's say congress commits to reducing federal spending. we're going to see this real close, the next 24 hours,

federal spending by $2 trillion over the next ten years. very reasonable suggestion at this point, okay. well, we're 12.5% of the country's population. so we've got to do a little math here. you're looking at probably $250 billion of that $2 trillion, right, that's one-eighth of that two trillion over that period. that's an average of $25 billion a year. so it's likely to be a little less in the beginning perhaps, a little bit more at the end of that ten-year period. but even a cut of $20 billion a year, let's lower it a little bit, that's going to be a huge shock to the state's economy. where are we going to get this money from, how are we going to replace it? that's what we're talking about. >> we've heard the president say over and over again we did not get here overnight. how did we get here? >> several factors, okay. and again we sort of forget about this. people say what did you guys do. it's what we all did or all went

along with. the great recession, the great recession, the most severe recession since the great depression. two wars. and how about those bush tax cuts that we all loved, by the way, pocketed the money. we're all for that, okay. you add up all those dollars over the last ten years, easily right there alone you're talking about more than a trillion dollars. so all of these things, all of these things have suggested we've been kind of irresponsible. and the problem with us is that when we're irresponsible, the value of the dollar, u.s. currency, all those things, that ripples all around the world. >> and i think that one of the san francisco political writers put it best. they say when washington sneezes, california gets a cold. we're going to definitely feel a major impact. >> a cold? we should be so lucky. pneumonia is more like it. >> all right, thank you very much, larry. you can always get more of larry's political insight any time on nbcpbay area. here's hoping things will go better in washington, d.c., than our robots a couple of seconds

ago. we have much more ahead for you on "today in the bay." still to come, we'll take another look at the san francisco marathon. cc1:cc1:

good sunday morning to you. meteorologist nick o'kelly here. really glad i'm not out there running. i couldn't make it 26 miles. it's the 34th annual san francisco marathon. yeah, 25,000 runners this year. and really some nice weather for it. temperatures either side of 60 degrees bay wide. you may notice a little bit more humidity out there. it feels just a little bit more moist. we've got some monsoon moisture that plays into our forecast. it's 59 in livermore, 69 in sunnyvale, 57 in san francisco as they're out there bouncing across the golden gate bridge, one of the thoemost iconic brid crossings for a runner. monsoon all thesecc1:

moisture that i was talking about. thundershowers popping up east of the san luis obispo and into the central valley. we'll see the thunderstorms all across the sierra today, also rain into the southland. the big question is, does the thunderstorm activity make it into the bay area? we're going to be right on the edge, i think. east of san jose into the mountains around mt. hamilton, isolated thundershower is definitely a possibility this afternoon and into the evening hours. it's really a big deal, even with that low chance, because the hills are pretty dry and fire danger is definitely an issue. otherwise low cloudiness this morning breaking through to mostly sunny conditions by noon to 1:00 p.m. once again temperatures i think will be a little cooler than the average. so we've got the moisture moving up from the south. we also need a trigger to get that instability going. there's an area of low pressure, very weak trough that will swing right through central california later on today.

will there be enough instability to kick off the storms? it's still a question mark but it's definitely a possibility east of gilroy. by the way, the gilroy garlic festival goes on again today. nice food, lots of interesting twists on garlic recipes. temperatures right near the bay low 70s at best. those clouds are pretty thick and they have moved all the way into concord and fairfield. 81 concord this afternoon. normally you'd get to 87, 88 degrees. so here's the extended forecast, and today we're looking for readings to be about 3 to 5 degrees below the average for the most part. so nothing new there. continued cooler than normal conditions. tomorrow we'll bump temps up a bit. i think our marine layer will mix out just a bit through the early part of this week. temperatures will rise a bit. the warmest spots getting to near 90 degrees. and then thursday, friday we're going to cool things down just a bit. and i just took a look at the

very extended computer models, the ones that go out about two months. >> oh, my. >> drum roll, everybody. believe it or not, below average temperatures for most of the western states. you know, east of the mississippi it's just been a brutal summer with very hot temperatures. out west, it's been cooler than normal, but for us i think mostly perfect all week long. >> yeah, it's hard to complain when it's nice. even though it's abnormal. >> no kidding. we'll watch the thunderstorms and keep you updated throughout the day. >> all right, thank you very much. "meet the press" is just moments away. you can bet the debt ceiling will be one of the topics. here's david gregory with a preview. good morning. deal or default? will a deal be reached before the august 2nd deadline? new signs this morning of a potential compromise. we'll get the latest from the president's senior adviser. plus senators claire mcgas kill and john foon. how does a deal get done. plus, what are the consequences of taking america to the brink

of default and what does it say about the state of leadership in washington? our round table weighs in. it's all coming up this morning on "meet the press." and we mentioned earlier this morning that incredible story from guyana. a commercial flight that crashed and split in half in the south american country with no one on board injured seriously. nbc's jeff rossen has that story. >> reporter: as paramedics arrived, the jet ripped in two off the runway, it looked like another airline tragedy. cc this is one of the worst aviation mishaps in recorded memory in guyana. >> reporter: but soon passengers would emerge, all of them alive. >> we had to jump out the plane. my shoulder here is messed up. >> reporter: after departing nonew york, they stopped in trinidad and flew on to guyana. there in heavy rain, the boeing 737 touched down and skidded off the runway, stopping just 200 feet short of a ravine.

over, passengers1: say they clapped. that's when the cabin broke in half. >> when the plane land, i told my friend, man, we're going to die, we're going to die, because the plane don't have enough runway to stop. >> it happened suddenly. everybody was screaming. >> reporter: there were 163 people on board. dozens were injured. most of them have already been released from the hospital. >> it's amazing to leave an aircraft in that shape with a handful of very small injuries. >> reporter: while it's rare, planes have broken apart before with no deaths. two years ago this american airlines 737 slammed into the runway in jamaica breaking apart. all 154 people aboard survived. >> the been increased in strength so they will now withstand 16 times the force of gravity before they depart the

floor. >> reporter: this weekend the ntsb is sending a team to the crash site in guyana, looking not only for what went wrong, but what went right. jeff rossen, nbc news, new york. and finally this morning, we're on baby watch because we want to find out who is going to be the official giants baby. nearly 300 expectant moms are in a contest to find the baby born closest to the nine-month anniversary of the giants winning the 2010 world series. the exact time is 7:45 p.m. august 1st, which is tomorrow. the winning family will get a break at at&t park, a $2,000 gift card and a certificate signed by the giants. the contest is sponsored by comcast sportsnet bay area, and the question will be which giant will they be named after? >> yeah, good question. >> bum guardner is a nice name. >> will he have a beard. >> a little baby beard. thanks for joining us this morning. we are keeping an eye on washington and the debt debate

for you this morning. the latest on that tonight at 5:00, 6:00 and 11:00. and of course any time of day at nbcbayarea.com. enjoy the cool temperatures and have a fantastic day. >> take care.