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tv   Mad Money  NBC  June 16, 2012 3:00am-4:00am PDT

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to my world. >> you need to get in the game! >> firms are going to go out of business, and he's nuts! they're nuts! they know nothing! >> i always like to say there is a bull market somewhere -- >> "mad money," you can't afford to miss it. >> hey, i'm cramer. welcome to "mad money". you know how i feel about making friends. i could care less. but family? that's a different story. that is why i am thrilled to have my whole cramerican family here with me today for our special "mad money" family affair show. and i just want to make them and you money! because my job is not just to entertain you but to educate you. why don't we just get on with it! [ applause ]
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>> after another simply fabulous day, i mean can you believe it? with the dow rising 115 points, nasdaq rallying 1.29%, we have to wonder, maybe we got a win win scenario developing in europe in next week's game plan. our game plan used to start on mondays. but as been the kwas for way too long, we have a real father's day spoiler happening in greece. it's an election. an election between someone who says the greeks are mad as hell and don't have to take it any more and others who say we're take it. if the greeks elect a prime minister who leaves and they stay the course and the euro is preserved and there won't be any panic about the break-up of the european union. but if the greeks toss the austerity bum out as opposed to the other bum, then liquidity
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will be pumped into the system which is code for we're going to print a lot of money and that will drive the stocks higher. which ever guy the greeks pick, the market did tell us today that american stocks may be just fine to own right through this turmoil, which you know if you watch "mad money," is something i believe in. if you step back, we are stuck in a ridiculous moment where some tiny moment is more important to our stocks than our own country. but given the fact that if greece got booted from europe, it actually makes some sense. these countries are so big that they will hurt many of our companies. there is no denying that the internationally oriented companies will get hurt. but stocks like whole foods hitting new highs today, we have
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to wonder whether a bad outcome in a greek election will be that significant. we are so government centric these days. i like it when our companies matter, not our government. we will get our decision on whether to strike down our ultra expensive health care law. lots of people have been buying health care stocks in anticipation that obama care won't pass mustard. i'm going for a different approach. if you see this struck down what you might want to do is forget about health care and buy the giant stocks of america's best retailers. walmart, target, home depot. these companies are huge losers in bam care as they will have to bump up insurance benefits big time. no obama care means they won't
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have to spend more and may be able to raise estimates. and so, too, is the federal reserve. we have a two-day meeting coming up. that's one of the big ones. ponderk how to reignite the economy which we know desperately needs that. it has been stalled as far as employment is concerned. it's hard to imagine what else fed chief ben bernanke could do. which is why if we rally through to wednesday, 2:10 is when the fed actually announces, you might want to do selling. . >> there is not much that the fed request do interest rates unlike refrigerators are the assassins and can't go to sub zero. tuesday we hear from two important barometer stocks. first there is federal express.
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the guy who runs fedex, i really like the guy. he likes to extrapolate from his own data to figure out worldwide growth. when fedex reports a good number it has taken the whole market up. given the slowing of the global economy, i don't expect to hear anything good from fedex. i do hope, however that we will get surprisingly good news out of the other bellwether. here is the deal. this is whastz known as a contract manufacturer. they actually put parts together for other -- for other companies. they have done a lot of tech packaging. but they make a lot of other stuff for different industries including health care and that smoothed out any of the disappointments that so many people were expecting. if they do go, you will see stocks like cisco get pounded
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and that is a fact of life. on wednesday we get results of one of the hottest stocks in the market and a place i love to shop, bed bath & beyond. there have been scattered questions that this may not be the best quarter. they may be hurt by amazon. i don't believe either. but the stocks run and that is nothing but trouble. you might see this one trade up. and you need to get ready in the meantime, let's thread the needle here and take the profits. take a little profit there. ring the register. i think you're going to make some good money and then you will get back in. we have seen some patterns. first it sells off. and if second is that it shoots up wildly when it does make the numbers.
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deep in the money, call options into any weakness in the quarter. thursday has got a couple of reports, the first being from carmax. there are isolated -- they want you to buy the stock. it gives you a great of the economy. the building and selling of cars for an immense number of people. automobiles won't be created with a tremendous green light for all of retail. however, don't be fooled. the actual auto companies will not go up. both companies have substantial business in europe. oracle comes after the bell thursday, we have been hearing reports that the quarter might be stronger than expected despite hefty european business. i don't like to buy tech in the summer. if i want to take a shot ot this, i love the company ahead
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of the quarter. finally hear from darden on friday. you know that is red lobster and olive garden. i am a little worried about the earnings report. it has often been a function of gasoline. i'm worried because they have had a gigantic run and that has ratcheted up expectations way too high. next week is all about government. for once, the news out of greece this weekend could be a win win since central bankers have a contingency plan. don't put too much faith in it on wednesday since there is not much more that ben bernanke can do. i wouldn't bet too long on it. i know better than not to be wary of greeks bearing gifts. let's take a question. >> hello to you, today.
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>> right back at you. >> first beef with you. my dad's room in the house is right next to mine and i always hear your show blaring at night. >> you got horse sense. i always approve of horse sense. >> obama's health care law coming into the supreme court, if it does pass, how do you think that health care stocks will do? my dad got me to open an ira for the future. >> let's switch it. i would rather focus on eli lily, johnson & johnson and abott labs. they all had better growth than merk. i think they are natural places to buy. why? because everyone thinks that. it will be hope depot. it will be the the place to go. i do like all of the drug stocks. yes, go ahead. >> hi, jim. we're both big fans of your show and we met ten years ago at your alma matter p. a big krimson boo-yah.
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>> and we may have a new. -- >> that was easy. >> so as a father to be, i was wondering if you had advice for me in terms of investing for our child's college tuition and future? should i be looking to be going more with speculative stocks. >> first, congratulations and best wishes. i want a lesson. buy disney. you want to get kids involved early on. you will take your kids to disney world and disney land. this is the way to introduce them to the investment process. first stock has to be something that you guys do together as a family.
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that will spark the interest. disney is the one. and they're doing great, too. besides fatherly love on sunday, keep an eye on greece and the election and we may not like it at all. but right now this market is still all about the government. mad money will be right back! >> coming up, lap of luxury? cramer's pitting two well known brands against each other to find out which has a smoother stock. they both belong on the runway but only one is fit for your portfolio. and later, protect this house. with the summer olympics about to captivate the world, which could be the best way to train your portfolio for the gold? cramer is putting one competitor through a big risk workout to
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see if it has got what it takes. plus experience the non--stop excitement as cramer answers stock after stock in a special family affair edition of the lightning round. don't miss a second of "mad money." follow @jimcramer. send an e-mail or give us a call at 800-743-cnbc. miss something? head to madmoney@cnbc.com. every year we pick a new city to explore. but thanks to hotwire, this year we got to take an extra trip. because they get us ridiculously low prices on really nice hotels and car rentals. so we hit boston in the spring-- even caught a game. and with the money we saved,
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>> invest something kind of like playing a high stakes version of the "price is right." with the market in the roll of bob barker. unlike the products on the show where you are dealing with stocks, the price is always changing. how important is price? the price of the stock to the stock picking equation? consider the handbag wars. coach versus bikel korrs. two companies that have been hammered.
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investors have been freaking out about all things luxury. in order stroms and saks have given conservative guidance. half the had bags coach sells in america are below $300 and michael kors is for products that cost between 300 and $900. it's not so expensive as to scare away aspirational consumers. earlier this month, two friends of mine, my colleagues, they posted this terrific video in the battle of the bags. i wanted to do my own take. michael kors just blue away the numbers. i found something that i thought was weird. see, first, i got tell you, very
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honest. if you put a gun to my head and ask me which is the better buy right here right now, first i would probably weep and tell you put away the gun! then i might put my kung fu skills to the test. after that if i still had a gun to my head, i would say right now it's coach. but a week or two from now, kors will most likely be the better opportunity. why? the difference is all about the stock price. right now michael kmp ors has an incredible growth story. better than coach and has a lot more risk. the insiders still owned about 52% of the company. the lock up period. but the lock up expires next wednesday, june 20, and 52% of the insider stake will suddenly be available to be sold. give than kors is up 96% from
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where it became public, people are terrified that we will see a huge wave of selling over the coming weeks as insiders are finally allowed to ring the register in this very difficult market, i think they might. that makes kors too dangerous to own right now but could create an incredible opportunity to buy the stock if it sells off because of the insider selling. this is a huge overhang. michael kors had a gigantic five cent and same sore sales rose. since then it has pulled back as people worry about the lock up. now kors is just a dollar above where it was trading? and if kors gets hammered next week and the week after because of theed inner selling it would
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be like they are paying you to take the incredible results off their hands. until the lock-up happens, kors is untouchable. if you forced me i would say coach on monday is the better stock. even though kors is going more quickly, it is not expensive. let's go through the comparison in terms of new stores. michael kors has many locations around the world. they plan to double the current store count. coach has 835 globally. at the moment their growth is being fuelled by china where the company plans to open 30 new stores this year. china is slowing and kwoech may have pinned too much of their
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hopes on the people's republic there is no real comparison in the last quarter, coach saw same store sales rise 6.7%. kors? 36.1. numbers that high cannot be maintained. gosh, that's phenomenal. i think coach is a fabulous company at a higher margins thak michael kors. a brand new collection is being launched this summer. that could be a great catalyst. i love coach's management. will frankfort is a kpative ceo who is combattive that his company will make you money. still better than ten year treasuries before the favorable tax treatment. and coach is not cheap. come on. if you're risk averse, coach is probably the way to go. but if you're willing to take a
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chance, michael kors has got a 28% growth rate. most would consider that an excellent price. if it gets slammed over the next two weeks as it should, then it will get cheaper. that point, i think the opportunity could be too good to pass up. every company has a price that is right. and a price that is in the hole if, for example, kors does a secondary, will make this stock cheaper than it needs to be. if you get it in the hole price if you are willing to wait a week to knock the stock down, especially if they do a second dpar, you rarely get a chance to buy a terrific growth stock at a huge discount. next week could be one of those opportunities. kors could be the winner if it gets slammed the way i expect it to. that might be your chance and i think you should take it. after the break, will try to make you more money.
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[ applause ] >> coming up, protect this house. ♪ ♪ i will i will >> with the sum our limb picks about to take on the world, which stock may be the best way to train your portfolio for the world? let's see if it has got what it takes. and later, analyze this. every family has issues. tonight dr. cramer is here to help you solve the financial ones. stick around for family therapy that could help you create wealth for generations to come. [ jim koch ] what do fresh flowers, bourbon barrels, chocolate, chilies and something called kosmic mother funk all have in common? sam adams! last year we brewed more than one new beer every week. some we'd been experimenting with for years,
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others...we just found a cool ingredient. many we brewed just once to see how they would taste. why? -- because at sam adams we love beer. ♪ ball. ball. [ crack of bat ] [ male announcer ] hanging out with cal has its benefits... so does taking one a day men's. go to stayinthegame.com to enter for a chance to meet me and watch the 2013 mlb all star game. more than 50 times a day? so brighten your smile a healthy way with listerine® whitening plus restoring rinse. it's the only rinse that makes your teeth two shades whiter and two times stronger. ♪ listerine® whitening... power to your mouth.
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we have a dilemma on our hands. what do you do when you have two research firms saying two different things about the same high quality stock. you know i have liked it immensely. i'm talking about underarmor. it's a game changer and has had absolutely fantastic earnings. up 40% year to date. nice four buck rally today and now flirting with its 52 week high. underarmor has been hanging in there like a champ in the midst
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of a difficult market. morgan stanley comes out and removes the stock from its best ideas list. they still think it's a buy. they gave it an over rating which means it should take up a hefty place in your portfolio. however, morgan stanley no longer considers it one of its best ideas. then the very next day, bank of america does the polar opposite. they add it to the u.s. one list which is what they call their own best ideas list. i know it can be a little confusing when the experts correctly conflict each other. we love it when we get dualing analyst reports. we really got into these. and all of this goes double for
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high flying fast growing momentum stocks that can make you boat loads of money when everything is going well and can lose you a lot of money overnight. if the company stumbles light isso slightly. that's when the analysts disagree, we go all tina turner with a steel cage death match. two men enter, one man leaves. morgan stanley and bank of america actually like it but they have different levels of conviction. the former wants to get more caution and the latter wants to double down and i don't blame either one. so i think this is thor iffect time to do guess work and
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re-evaluate and these are the perfect tools to help figure it out. this is really important. both analysts love it but they both are using different methods. let's start with morgan stanley. why did they pull it from their best ideas list? basically the analysts here are concerned that the stock has gotten very expensive and there doesn't seem to be near term catalysts that can keep pushing it higher. right now, underarmor is tlading at 44 times and 34 times neck year's numbers. when you own this stock you are always playing with fire there is no margin for error here. one stomachable and the price will get beheaded. consider what happened to lulu
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lemon. last thursday they reported a terrific quarter but the guidance was conservative. i don't want you to get hurt and another expensive stock knowing that the same thing could happen to underarmor if the results are anything less than stall lar. morgan stanley still believes in underarmor but that quarter is a way off. in the meantime they are kempbed that the share price already reflects all the near term catalyst so there is nothing to give the stock a real boost. overall this stock has gotten a bit bloated so you might want to take profits in some position until it sheds a few extra pounds. why did they add it to the u.s. one list the next day.
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they are flying off the shelves. clothing to underwear to footwear. the company is expected to launch a new running shoe. their products are selling like crazy. and a company that only got 6% of sales they need to rapidly expand internationally. but morgan stanley is also right. the stock is very expense if and i think that's more relevant. if you owned it on the way up, i want you to start ringing the register. i'm with morgan stanley. not all of it. but some of it. if you don't own it, i would wait for a better lower entry point.
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i can't take any chances. sheer the bottom line. remember the tag line, protect this house? trim your positions in high flying high multiple stocks. it is time to sell some underarmor. maybe half of your position. you can always buy it back when it goes lower. that's what i call a high quality problem. let's take a question. >> my name is beverly and i'm from wilmington, delaware. i'm a grandma. kyle is a young investor and he has been watching for you about a year and has several purchases already. he would like to know as a young investor, would he -- he would like to purchase either something like costco or walmart. >> okay. really high quality. go ahead. i didn't mean to interrupt you. >> that's okay.
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he wanted to know what you thought about it. >> why costco? the stock is cheaper and they put through a price increase on their card which is how they make their money. walmart is also great. this is a tough one. i think costco has more growth. i would never sell walmart if i owned it. >> i say go eagles. >> most definitely. thank you. yes? >> hi, jim. boo-yah from south carolina. >> nice that you came up. >> i'm here with my mom. we were jersey girls but relocated. i'm teaching now in a great school district, richland two. and we use google apps for teaching.
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a lot of the students use the chrome books. >> right. >> and i was just wondering if you thought that google's foray into education was going to be good for the company and also if you think it will ever drop down so that a teacher could afford it >> chrome books got a bad review. 6 i do think that goog sl not as cheap as apple and i will recommend apple over google right now. >> hi, jim. glad to be here. i am retiring from your alma matar. i know you are a budget shopper. i am noticing that target is
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chapging things up. they seem to be adding food plukts and downsizing other areas like clothing. do you know what direction they are going? >> i'm sorry. i have been mixed on target but the strategy is starting to pay off. the credit card losses are low. i think the strategy is good. if i had to rank them, i would say costco first, walmart second, tafrgt thifrd. thank you so muchment you need to protect your portfolio. i think it's time to trim the position in the stock that i have liked so much. it's a family affair show on "mad money" so don't go anywhere. stay with cramer. >> coming up, experience the non--stop excitement as cramer answers stock after stock face to face in a special family affair edition of the lightning round. and later, analyze this. every family has issues.
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tonight dr. cramer is here to help you solve the financial ones. stick around for some family therapy that could help you create wealth for generations to come.
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>> it is time for a special edition, a family affair edition of lightning round.
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you ask me and i answer. what is that? and then the lightning round is over. are you ready? time for the lightning round, everybody. >> hi, jim. i like to give you a boo-yah. >> great school. >> my question is about tesla motors. it's about to release the model s. >> we do not like the stock. i am still going to go with sell sell sell. right here. >> right here. my question is about hess. >> no, no, no. it has been a disaster and one of the worst stocks. stay away. they got to learn how to execute. they don't know how. >> big new york city boo-yah. he is not here to join me. but clmpb resy. it's a south american real estate and commodity play.
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we have been tracking them for a year. >> it's so dicey. i mean, i can't do it. i can't do it. no. no. by the way i am not reck -- i am not being diskrim tory. i am not recommending anything in latin america. >> how you doing? mike from north carolina. i am looking for yield. >> att has it all right now. it's terrific and i want to be able to buy it today. it was down a couple pennies. i think the stock is great. >> a big west palm beach boo-yah to you, cramer. as new grandparents we were wondering, would a growth stock like chipotle be a good joyce? >> yes. i like panera and chipotle. >> my stock is usg. >> a terrific play on housing.
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the stock is way down. i think it will have a couple good quarters. >> mighty joe kwloung boo-yah to ya. >> earned run average. >> my stock is kimberly clark. >> oh boy. at this point in the last few quarters does not matter. it's a buy buy, buy. >> go ahead. >> lions gate entertainment. >> people thought hold it after hunger games. i want to buy. new movie is in the pipe. it's a little speculative. >> boo-yah, cramer. i'm from pennsylvania. i want want to know about lock heed martin. >> i happen to like the yield. i think it's terrific.
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>> how about microsoft. >> i think it is recommended. i have two heads. it has got a bunch of products in the pipe. i think steve is going redeem himself. he already has a mind. >> boo-yah from redding, pennsylvania rrks i like it. >> my question is on linked in. >> no. no. too risky. if i'm going to own an insurer c i will own travelers corps. or aig. that could actually go up $20 from here and still be inexpensive. >> a kindle young boo-yah. >> okay. >> and i have a question on upl. united petroleum. ultra petroleum. >> 100% natural gas. south westerner is a better plant.
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if that's the case, then i still think that devin is better although ultra is a well run company. and that, ladies and gentlemen srks the conclusion of the lightning round. >> the lightning lound is sponsored by td ameri-trade. [ male announcer ] it's avocado season, only at subway. add some flavor to your morning routine. build your better breakfast. give it an avocado kick. [ male announcer ] kick up your morning. try a fresh toasted bacon, egg & cheese with the rich, smooth superfood, avocado.
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>> you have reached the office of dr. cramer. he's with a parent right now. >> you have reached the office of dr. cramer. he's with a parent right now. please leave a message. [ beep ] >> after the wild market we have been having, i am prescribing family therapy. maybe you have got an unhealthy attach to a stock or maybe your
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family suffers from a split investing personality let's start the healing process. >> vip, asian based mobile tell con. we bought wind as a safe dividend yielding about 8%. we have not done so well. given that it's based in eastern europe, can we trust the research? >> first, i -- i am going to have to send you to an institution. i can't handle it on an outpatience pa basis. they had a really difficult quarter. they have been doing really well. two quarters that they get it together.
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miserable quarter. frankly let me just tell you, att and ver lie zon are better. [ applause ] >> gentlemen? >> hi, dl. >> how will you? >> i like to say i am happy to get therapy. >> she said no. >> that's fine. >> i would like to send my regards. >> we love the school. >> awesome. so what's going on is my dad likes to look at the 52 week range to evaluate companies. he said chesapeake is near its 52 week low. >> we could learn a lot. a little joke there. >> chesapeake took a really substantial hit. we feel it stooped to the inside
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operations. they have a black eye right now, that black eye is going to heal and when it does i want to be there to cash in. >> here's the problem. it has a tainted look. he has brought all the natural gas companies down. devin is at a substantial discount where it should be. so i'm going to write, look, i'm going give you a prescription that i think is a lot better than chesapeake. and it's for devin and i think you will do better. i want you to take two devin every morning. next patient. [ applause ] >> all right. all right. we may have some real work here. what's going on. i have got real medicine here. >> my name is jay. >> jay and? >> joy.
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>> easy enough. >> from ohio. we have north mempb tanker and we have noticed that it has been going down. >> the rates have been going down. you measure probably how much they have been getting. i don't really like the group because the world trade has been going down. the yield is safe but it's not my favorite and i'm worried about the risk there for you. again if you wanted to have a good yield i would send you to verizon or att. >> we are preparing for the future do you have any questions? i do have a question for you for the future. i have been thinking about this for a while. and i was -- >> oh! >> would you marry me? [ applause ] >> oh my goodness. honey!
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>> does this happen on "squawk on the street?" no. you know what? "mad money" will be back. ♪ ♪ [ female announcer ] don't lose girls to dandruff. use axe anti-dandruff shampoo. ♪ lose the flakes. get the girls. only three girls in towels? amateur. yeah. so, uh, watch ted. ted, rated r.
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only thrfollow the wings.s? amateur. syou know, i've helped a lot off people save a lot of money. but today...( sfx: loud noise of large metal object hitting the ground) things have been a little strange. (sfx: sound of piano smashing) roadrunner: meep meep. meep meep? (sfx: loud thud sound) what a strange place. geico®. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance.
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>> you know how many times people have told me that
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piniccio was going be taken over by samsung or research in motion was going to catch a bit from microsoft but the stocks keep going lower and lower and lower. so will the rumored take-overs actually happen? allow me to let you in on a secret. if a company stinks to high heaven and losses are accelerating, then you personally wouldn't want to buy that stock. would you want to buy it? so why would a company want to buy the entire business? do you think companies are run by morons that want to wreck their own stocks? i am asked repeatedly, why don't i get on board? why don't i see the logic here? the numbers make so much sense since the stocks are so low. at least not this early.
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but probably unwilling to sell and both companies are regarded as national jewels. their governments will probably not allow it. research in motion is canada's own. nokia is finland's own. you accept that the single most deadly competitor in the world is apple. you buy nokia or rim, you are going up against the most loved, most respected company on earth ychlt would you choose to do that? if you are that much of a glutton for punishment, you might as well punch yourself in the face. it's cheaper. it's time to face up to a notion they felt strongly about. i think it was trading at $1.87. so how much can i lose. i say don't speculate on companies with soon to be stretched out balance sheets.
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you may just actually lose them all. i got a better idea. just go buy some apple and stick with cramer. >> jim cramer, looking out for you. >> thank you sir, for helping us average joes. >> thank you for all that you do. >> thank you for helping all of us home gamer. >> thank you for sharing your knowledge with the everyday man. last? forty-five minutes? an hour? well... listen. 5-hour energy lasts a whole lot of hours. take one in the afternoon, and you'll feel alert and energized 'til the cows come home. it's packed with b-vitamins and nutrients to make it last. so what's it going to be, partner?
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5-hour energy. wise choice. 5-hour energy. hours and hours of energy. starts with arthritis pain and a choice. take tylenol or take aleve, the #1 recommended pain reliever by orthopedic doctors. just two aleve can keep pain away all day. back to the news.
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and on the go... ...with some really big news. it's b-i-g, big. high speed internet from at&t at home... includes wi-fi access on the go -- whoo-hoo! it's an unbelievable deal. it's an unbelievable deal. [ both chuckle ] well, gotta go! but, wait, there's more! [ female announcer ] go to the website below today and get high speed internet for the unbelievably low price of just $14.95 a month
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for 12 months with a 1-year price guarantee. it's all the speed you need at a great price. you can chill online at a park. here, pigie, pigie. [ pigeon coos ] and surf the web at your favorite bookstore. our internet at home includes access to the entire national at&t wi-fi hot spot network on the go. [ female announcer ] go to the website below and get high speed internet for just $14.95 a month for 12 months with a 1-year price guarantee. that's all the speed you need at a great price. it's an unbelievable deal, so why wait? act now! act now! like he said. ♪ the market is set up for a very nice opening monday. regardless of who wins in the greek election. maybe that's a little risky but i feel like we can go higher. i think that could mark a short term peek.
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don't want you to be too quick. it seems like we have got a win win and that the central bankers around the world are going to provide liquidity. the stock market is going to go higher. thank you. see you monday!

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