on the nbc bay news at 5:00. >> and we're always online as well. >> and you can catches at nbcbayarea.com as well. we're back at 7:25 with a local news update. d happy new year.. morning, everybody. happy new year. >> a nice way to start the year. >> yes. >> i love you guys here. >> new year's. it's a great time. it's a fresh outlook. a new beginning. a good chance to look forward. 2015 is going to be a busy one in politics.

that race for the white house will intensify. we're going to get into that. we're going to also look and get predictions about the world of medicine and the economy from jim cramer. >> cool. and we're going to take a moment to look back at all the fun we've had in 2014 from sochi to our big halloween show and so much more. >> also later, we're going to start your new year with a song from grammy winner carrie underwood. let's get a check of the morning's top stories from from sheinelle jones. good morning, happy new year to you. >> happy new year. bad wet wither is hampering efforts3 c3 favoreció el rescate de los

this is the airplane and it has crashed. >> at the local police station media, volunteers, and stunned relatives. it's day 5, and no confirmation that the large dark shadow spotted in the area is, in fact, the fuselage, but if it is, officials say, that's where they

believe they'll find the victims. divers were not able to deploy. they don't know that the shadow is the bulk of the fuselage, but they hope they can do it within the next few days, but, again, weather is not cooperating. >> thank you. rose parade organizers preparing for a record cold parade day as record temperatures sweep the country. we are in passadenapasadena, joe, happy new year to you. >> reporter: good morning and happy new year to you. with temperatures in the 30s, this promises to be one of the coldest parades on record, but that's not stopping people from spending the night here to get a good spot on the parade route. yesterday, we were hit by a surprising wind event whipping up tents, four people hurt by flying debris, but none were serious. meanwhile, a winter storm dumped snow and ice in the western u.s. from california to the rockies making mountain travel

especially treacherous, an eventful start to the new year. >> all right, thank you, joe. a look now at the new year's day weather. heavy lake effect snow affect upstate new york. lighting snow will fall in michigan, and another trouble spot in texas with freezing rainmaking for treacherous travel and more snow in the rockies. another look at your local forecast in just 30 seconds in this new year. 50% less calories? exactly. now you drop... ...and give me the 50. trop50 calcium. new taste so good you won't believe it has 50% less calories. . 7:04. happy new year bay area.

temperatures are going to be chilly. we have a freeze warning in place until 9:00 a.m. with the exception of the immediate coast and inner bay. in san francisco we're at freezingfreeze in san jose. good looking weekend as we head into the first weekend of 2015. more in just moments. forecast on this first day of twoit. 2015. matt? >> we are kicking off the new year with a look at politics health and the economy. let's go to jim cramer from "mad money" on nbc. >> happy new year. >> let's look at 2014. i think the economy at some times got overshadowed by other stories in the news. 1 to 10 how did we do? >> this turned out to be about an 8. only overseas had weakness.

this was a turn around year a great year. >> at the end of the year we saw falling oil prices gas prices fell. i have seen predictions already that we could continue to see low gas prices throughout 2015. what do you think? >> this is a year where the consumer is going to be flush because we could see $2 gasoline all over the country. phone bills are coming down. a lot and we have in the past. will this be the year americans see a real raise? >> yes. >> in terms of ability to have a good lifestyle? >> yes. this is a year when the companies have so much profit it would be embarrassing if they didn't return it. >> it's been embarrassing in the past. we have seen it happen. >> that's true. the ceos are .

raise you didn't ask for. >> let's talk jobs. we don't have the december numbers. >> right. >> it appears 2014 will be about the best year for job creation in a decade or a decade and a half. about 3 million jobs created. can that extend into 2015? >> yes. there are a whole series whole parts of the economy about to kick in this year. housing. we were still in a recessionary level in 2014. big construction projects will help. we are seeing a return to our power as an export nation. we are building so many things here. these are all engines. >> i have never felt better than i have in this segment. >> right. >> let's talk about possible land mines to look out for in 2015. >> all right. it's not in our country. worry about china slowing down again. really europe has got to get it together. i don't know if they can. japan, a giant economy falling off the cliff. this matters.

we need them to buy our stuff. >> you talk about china. it was determined that china is now the world's largest economy. now i think a lot of people in the united states are uneasy about that. is it anything more than a label? >> no it really isn't. the if they don't clean their air and water up they will be an economy we won't have to worry about at all. they have to spend a fortune just so we can see each other this far from each other in a major city. >> that was the year that was and the year ahead in the economy courtesy of jim cramer. thank you very much. >> happy new year. >> let's go to savannah. >> matt thank you very much. now to the year ahead in politics. let's be honest 2015 will be all about 2016. chuck todd is nbc's political director and moderator of "meet the press." chuck, good morning. >> good morning. happy new year. >> good-bye2015. the next year in politics is all about the upcoming presidential election. >> it is. 2015 is about announcements. who will get in get out.

then raising money. then the first debates. then the first part of the campaign. 2015 is about establishing who's going to run, who's strong and who's weak. >> it can be a race to be first to announce. sometimes it's about delay, how soon you announce. let's start with hillary clinton. >> i'm stunned that here we are on january 1st and we don't have any serious candidates. if you look back the last times we have had open presidential races people announced after the midterms. there seems to be a collective decision by everybody -- slow down wait until march or april before we get the race started. >> on the democrat side people are waiting to see what hillary does. is there any real suspense left? >> not anymore. if there is she's doing a disservice to the democratic party. the machinery is behind her. people will leave the white house, john pedesta, to be

chairman of her campaign. it's not, oh he might do this. if she pulled the plug on this it would leave the democratic party in a real load of pain. >> she obviously knows what it's like to be the front runner early. democrats don't want to see a kor first nation. could you see a serious challenge from the left that if it wouldn't prevail over her it could give her headaches? >> every major front runner with the size of lead she has, even ones that survived and made it through always have that moment of oh oh my gosh. al gore had it. hillary had it with barack obama. there doesn't appear to be that person that could present that type of challenge. i think sometime in the fall when suddenly maybe her numbers -- people will start looking around. maybe she'll feel stale in the news feed. there will be that moment. i don't think it will be like

2008 for her. >> let's talk about the republican side. wide open field. we are seeing a rise of the establishment figures. talking about jeb bush chris christie potentially mitt romney again. >> well, the establishment -- aka, donors -- want one of those three. the grassroots aren't interested in these three. they are unpopular with the with people who vote in primaries, vote in new hampshire, iowa south carolina. there is a disconnect between the mega rich guys ss backing the republican party want jeb, romney. they will accept chris christie though i think he's a lower third. they are afraid of what the grassroots will select like rand cruz. >> those who vote in the caucuses the primaries, who who tops the list now? >> right now it's all over the place. believe it or not after rand paul and we don't have a front runner but in nascar terms he niece the pole position.

he earned that right. he lead it is polls in iowa. after that you have ben carson. he's a former neurosurgeon from johns hopkins. one of the most successful at the pediatric level. he has a huge following in the conservative wing of the party. he's already popped big in some of the polls. i think we'll have a scenario where you will see the rise. ben carson may rise and fall. others will rise and fall while the establishment gets its sea legs. >> 20 seconds to find out what's going to happen to warshington in 2015. >> it's all about whether john boehner and mitch mcconnell want to do something. that gives president obama the opportunity to sign big bipartisan legislation. maybe taxes, maybe something else. for president obama he doesn't control it. it's up to mitch mcconnell and john boehner. >> who is your dream guest for "meet the press"? >> i want the joint sit-down

with bill and hillary. >> okay. >> we all want it. >> we do. >> i will take them first. billary. >> let's start the new year on a good foot. back over to matt. savannah thank you very much. when it comes to medical news nothing was bigger in 2014 than the ebola crisis. what will we talk about this year? dr. natalie azar is an nbc contributor and assistant clinical professor at new york university medical center. good morning. >> hi matt. >> ebola was the story medically in 2014 the end of the year "time" magazine named the ebola fighters as their persons of the year. it's discouraging when you look at news coming out of west africa. 18,000 people infected. more than 6,000 died. will we start to turn the corner? >> we are hoping we will. unfortunately to make a really accurate prediction with can't, almost. there are so many moving parts. we have the development and

investigational drugs, vaccine development. we have the ability now to curtail and find and identify more cases. we have certainly made headway. there is reason to be hopeful. we cannot be complacent. >> you talk about ex peer mental drugs or five potential p vaccines being tested and developed. we know some of the patients brought to the united states were given experimental drugs. is one showing more promise than others? how quickly could they mass produce it? >> two very good question s. we have a two-pronged approach. one is prevention. there are a number of vaccine s in development. at the end of november we got encouraging news on the first vaccine that was tried in humans. that's hopeful to go into phase two and phase three trials and be mass produced by early or mid january 2015. the other approach is treating patients who were infected not preventing with the vaccine. we heard about z-map and the

anti-viral. both drugs are now -- have moved into phases where we are hoping for larger trials to see if they are effective and mass production. >> revolutionary medications in the copping year. one in particular a lot of people excited to deal with heart failure. >> this made new as couple of months ago. we felt it was so important it bears repeating. for cardiology this was a ground breaking story because it showed they were testing an investigational drug against what's considered the gold standard. when you do that it's a robust study design. this was not against placebo. it's against what people have been using for a number of years. the drug decreased all cause mortality and mortality from cardiovascular and improved quality of life. this is fast-tracked. they are hoping for approval and marketing by mid-2015. >> immunotherapy in the treatment of cancer. what is it why is it promising?

>> especially as a rheumotologist knowledge of the translational research. you take with a you understand about the way a tumor or cancer works and develop a drug that is specifically targeting that particular molecule. you are thokknocking out something specific rather than the good molecules. these inhibitors showed promise in hodgkin's disease, kidney cancers, melanoma and nonsmall cell lung cancer. >> i want the go into the next one carefully. let's talk about e-cigs. i know the fda is considering regulating them as a tobacco product. >> yeah. >> that has a lot of people up in arms. where is this going in the coming year? >> why sitis it important that the labeling is a tobacco product? it allow it is fda to have more control over the product. that translates into being able to conduct the appropriate well designed placebo trials et cetera to determine whether or not e-cigarettes are safe.

more importantly, now labeling has to include the percentage of the nicotine. it will also include the other content s. in some cases there have been carcinogens found and banning to minors. >> i guarantee in 2015 we won't end the debate as to whether these are healthy alternatives. >> i'm not sure we will. >> or a gate way to discovery. natalie, thank you so much. >> thank you so much. carson had a late night on oh tv. tamron is in for him this morning. tamron good morning. >> hey, guys. on this new year's day many are sharing resolutions on social media. we thought we'd take a look back and see how people did on the resolutions set last year. savannah says mine was to be more honest and not bottle up my feelings. it's gone well and i still have friends. it didn't go well for everybody. kimberly wrote in saying i lost 13 pounds this year.

however, i gained 14. hang in there. there's always this year. we took a look at what we plan to accomplish in the new year. matt more time for the family. savannah get back to yoga. al less time on devices. you're the king of gadgets. natalie, more self-control -- eating drinking spending. mine is to increase my daily meditation from 15 minutes to 30 minutes. natalie, i'm with you on the spending. i heard the laughter. >> not happening. >> # starttoday to let us know what you will accomplish in the new year. >> when you said less time on devices you meant the master egg grill. >> yes, the big green egg. i would like to spend more time -- >> switches to the very large egg. >> actually live in it. >> exactly. >> savannah is getting back into yoga. i think that was yours last year as well. >> last year and my this year. probably next year's too. >> more recycling.

>> coming up will it be a wild year success for angelina jolie. we have the early word on oscar nominations. >> one of the most important stories from 2014. hoda has an update on her uplifting truly brave project. first, this is "today" on nbc.

all right. coming up on trending the most adorable kids who won our hearts online in 2014. i love those two. >> from sochi to studio 1a one more look back at the fun times we shared last year. first, these messages and a check of your local news and weather. i vow to wow my family with a vacation they'll never forget.

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you're watching "today in the bay." a very good morning to you. it is 7:26. happy new year. i'm laura garcia-cannon. a developing story on the peninsula. s.w.a.t. teams at the scene of a police shooting in south san francisco. police say the suspect got away but he is still believed to be in the area. it happened a little after 3:00 a.m. in the neighborhood around orange memorial park. that area is now on lockdown until officers can determine it is safe. officers are not sure if the suspect was hit by the gunfire. >> more than 100 new california laws go into effect today, one allows undocumented immigrants to get driver's licenses. and another allows officials to

take firearms from people who appear to be distraught and at risk. >> and the first baby of the year say hello to fiona. she arrived just after the stroke of midnight. mom and dad all smiles doing just fine. what a way to start out the new year with a new baby christina. >> got to love the new year baby. temperatures are chilly this morning. we are going to see a return to our normal pattern for this time of year in the bay area. not today, not tomorrow but as we get into this weekend, looking really good for return of the 60s and onshore flow. pretty dawn color on this first day of 2015. 56 degree ises high ins in the north bay. in the south bay san jose

specifically as well. we're in the 60s by saturday mid 60s by sunday and on monday a taste of the 70s in santa cruz. from all of us here in the bay area happy new year. 2015 looks good for us laura. >> that's good. let's hope it is for. >>. and the rose parade starts this morning at 8:00 a.m. and the nhl winter classic at 10:00 and the bay area news at 5:00. i'll be back with another local update in half an hour.

7:30 on a thursday morning, the first day of january 2016.5. we'll get used to that. you have a problem with the checks. we don't have it as much here. for the open of the show we have a teleprompter. you tend not to make that mistake as much as you do in civilian life. >> i don't forget the year but i forget the day a lot. i'm always looking up there, what is today. >> on checks it takes me three months. >> crazy. >> funny. when you're younger and a lot of people still wear watches but a lot don't. you have the date on your watch. what i find looking at it it's

like i'm wasting time. >> now we do this. the screen. >> that's our salvation. >> coming up, the rice is onace is on. the movies and actors on the short list for the oscars. which movies you should run out and see. >> and the success of one of our most touching projects of the year. hoda's shine a light has amazing kids cindy lauper and sara bareilles. >> and later, a delicious italian brunch including something to help you soak up the adult beverages you enjoyed last night. >> shh. >> courtesy of donatella arpaio. first a check of the weather. >> brought to you by progresso light soups. 100 calories per serving. >> it was a rough night

good morning to you. i'm meteorologist christina loren. glad to see al. we have a good looking morning coming your way. it's chilly out there, it's as clear as a bell. it's still going to be cold. there's a freeze warning in place for your inland valley spots, everywhere with the exclusive the bay and the immediate coast. you'll come to about 55 degrees in the city today. we're going to gradually warm you up as we head into the first weekend of 2015. and that's your latest weather. savannah? >> all right, al. thanks so much. hollywood's awards season is fast approaching. the golden globes are just ten days from now, followed by this year's oscar nominations. here with predictions and the movies to put on your must-see list is matt dean editor if chief of "entertainment weekly." good morning. happy new year. >> you as well. >> it is awards season. let's start with best picture possibilities for the oscars. you have sure things in mind is?

>> we have locks for you. the thing about best picture you can nominate up to ten. four or five are competitive and the remainder are just happy to be here. we have two biopics, the theory of everything and the imitation game. focusing on stephen hawking and alan touring the british code breaker in world war ii. birdman and boyhood, both took a different approach. richard linkletter from "boyhood" shot it over 12 years using the same actor. ethan hawke he work ohhed with for some time. and "birdman" filmed with michaelle keaton in a comeback. the portrayal of an action star trying to find his legacy. >> let's talk about best actor. who gets the nomination this year? >> steve carell had a career-defining performance down to the prosthetic nose. >> unrecognizable.

>> here's the thing about coimmediate yans they can usually convert to dramatic actors because the timing is great. this por p trail of john dupont is so haunting. he's a wrestling enthusiast. it's definitely going to get him nominated. >> dark horses in best actor? >> j.k. simmons plays a band instructor in "whiplash." we like his portrayal there. benedict cumberbatch and eddie redmain as well. >> best actress. >> we like reese witherspoon whose mother has died. she goes on a long hike to find herself in "wild" adapted from the book. >> it's an un-reese-like performance we see. >> it's a reese-aissance we are calling it. >> supporting actor and actress. >> i love mark ruffalo in "the

wrestler" and brother to channing tatum in the movie. he was fantastic. i would have liked to have seen him more on the screen in "fox catcher." supporting actress, there are a number we like there. laura dern and tilda swinton. laura dern was the mother. tilda swinton was a phenomenally bizarre movie "the snow pierce er," one of my favorite action sci-fi films of the year. >> shoe in for the nominations. >> the academy will award richard linkletter for boyhood and also for "birdman." over 12 years, what if it doesn't pan out? doing a continuous take for the entirety of "birdman" is something few could pull off. they will be regarded as a result. >> always good to see you. we'll see you lots in the new year. >> coming up how well were we paying attention in 2014.

we'll test your knowledge of when did it trend. next the amazing success of hoda's shine a light project ring ring!... progresso! it's ok that your soup tastes like my homemade. it's our slow simmered vegetables and tender white meat chicken. apology accepted. i'm watching you soup people. make it progresso or make it yourself losing your chex mix too easily? deploy the boring potato chip decoy bag. with a variety of tastes and textures only chex mix has twenty bags of interesting. pick your mix. before fibromyalgia, i was on the go. i kept on top of things. i was a doer. then the chronic, widespread

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welcome back on this new year's morning. last year each of us chose something for the shine a light. >> hoda wanted to make a music video to raise money for pediatric cancer research. teaming up with cindy lauper and sara bareilles for a mash-up of the hit songs. ♪ ♪ you with the sad eyes ♪

♪ don't be discouraged ♪ ♪ don't you realize ♪ ♪ it's hard to take courage ♪ ♪ in a world full of people ♪ ♪ you can lose sight of it all ♪ ♪ in the darkness makes you feel so small ♪ ♪ you can be amazing ♪ ♪ you could turn a phrase into a weapon or a drug ♪ ♪ you can be the outcast ♪ ♪ or be the backlash of oh somebody's lack of love ♪ ♪ i wonder what would happen if you ♪ ♪ i see your true colors shining through ♪ ♪ i see your true colors and that's why i love you ♪ ♪ so don't be afraid to let them show ♪ ♪ i want to see you ♪ ♪ just want to see you ♪ ♪ i want to see you ♪

♪ i want to see you be brave ♪ ♪ show me your smile ♪ ♪ everybody's in there ♪ ♪ can't remember when ♪ ♪ i last saw you laughing ♪ ♪ bow down to the mighty ♪ ♪ don't run, stop holding your tongue ♪ ♪ maybe there's a way out of this cage where you live ♪ ♪ maybe one of these days you can let the light in ♪ ♪ show me ♪ ♪ how big your brave is ♪ ♪ say what you want to say ♪ ♪ and let the words fall out ♪ ♪ hansly ♪ ♪ i want to see you be honestly ♪ ♪ what you want to say ♪ ♪ and let the words fall out ♪ ♪ honesty ♪ ♪ i want to see you be brave ♪ ♪ don't be afraid to let them

show ♪ ♪ your true colors ♪ ♪ your true colors ♪ ♪ are beautiful ♪ ♪ ever since your history of silence ♪ ♪ i can't remember when i last saw you laughing ♪ ♪ let your words be anything but empty ♪ ♪ why don't you tell them the truth ♪ ♪ and i see your true colors ♪ ♪ say what you want to say ♪ ♪ and let the words fall out ♪ ♪ true colors ♪ ♪ honestly ♪ ♪ i want to see you be brave ♪ ♪ i see your true colors ♪ ♪ that's why i love you ♪ ♪ i want to see you be brave ♪ ♪ i want to see you ♪ ♪ i want to see you ♪ ♪ i want to see you ♪

♪ i want to see you be brave ♪ ♪ want to see you ♪ ♪ just want to see you ♪ ♪ i want the see you ♪ ♪ show me ♪ ♪ show me your brave ♪ >> all right. here are the results. today "truly brave" has nearly 2 million hits on youtube and raised more than half a million dollars. >> amazing. >> it's a great response. >> fantastic. >> that's why it did so well. children are just -- they just melt your heart. >> they certainly do. >> to help hoda in her he effort to end pediatric cancer go to crowdrise.com/hoda. >> all right. coming up from the serious to the silly, the singing, dancing and other antics that went on in

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it is the first day of the year. tamron what did you find? >> some are celebrating new babies. the first baby of the new year in your state, your city or your hospital is a coveted thing. our viewers shared cute stories of the january babies on our facebook page. take a look at this cutie from tracy. tracy's daughter was born a year ago today. she said we had a blue and pink super man hat ready to announce to the family. little did we know we would be in the news in the paper,

liliana being called super baby. look at that face. adorable. here are kalan's twins. they are now 4. she said the newspapers snapped pictures a short while later. she said love her boys. megan kept the actual newspaper clipping from 1997. the headline "late delivery just in time for first baby." how cute. michelle was thankful to have entertainment. jake was the third baby born in 2009 and she watched the college bowl games while in labor. now that's a football fan. you can find more adorable new year's babies on our website. check them out and use the hashtag orange room. >> almost a new year's baby. >> december 30. >> i'm happy i wasn't. >> there is always a party on your birthday if you are a new

year's eve baby. >> but you were always greeted by dick clark. >> and carson daly. coming up need a tasty meal to recover from your night on the town? the secrets to a quick and also easy last minute bruchblg fornch for the family. >> savannah doesn't like the word but we love taking them. our best selfies and other memorable moments of 2014. first your local news.

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>> announcer: you're watching "today in the bay." >> a very good morning to you. it is 7:56. i'm laura garcia-cannon. on the peninsula, s.w.a.t. teams combing an area after a police shooting near orange memorial park. the suspect got away but is believed to be in the area. it's now in lockdown. officers are not sure if the suspect was hit by gunfire. >> crews have not cleared massive tree. the 100-year-old eucalyptus fell near a home. >> and this is the first baby of the new year say hello to fiona. monday and dad doing just fine.

great way to start the new year. and a cold start to the new year as well right, christina? >> yeah mom and dad will probably tell her it was freezing cold on your birthday. the freeze warning is in place for good reason we're at 32 in the north bay, san francisco is 38. we'll climb above freezing but temperatures will stay cool. the end of the week a warming trend is coming your way, getting close to 70 degrees as we head to the weekend and into monday and still counting a little shower activity to the middle to end of next week. looking good for the first week of 2015. >> and a programming reminder the rose parade airs here starting at 8:00 a.m. and then the washington capitals face off against the chicago blackhawks in the winter classic at 10:00 and at 5:00 p.m. you can watch the bay area news.

enjoy the tournament of roses. we'll see you later tonight at 5:00. happy new year.

>> announcer: live from pasadena, california, brought to you in high definition, the national broadcasting company presents the 126th rose parade presented by honda. now let's join your hosts, al roker and hoda kotb at nbc's rose parade headquarters! >> and good morning and happy new year everyone. i'm al roker, and joining me is my lovely co-host, hoda kotb. >> hi, al. i'm thrilled to be here again as there