donald trump takes the lead in florida. the 2016 presidential campaign goes from the gutter into the school yard. >> if trump is a sexual president tore, that is -- >> he's not a sexual predator. >> excuse me, mr. speaker. you have no idea whether it is true or not. >> i would take the guy behind the gym. >> did you see where biden wants to take me to the back of the barn, me. i'd love that. the oklahoma manhunt continues for a suspected killer that cops say included a hit list. >> every family's nightmare. robbers ran sack a home while children sleep on nearby couches. cleveland shined on one of the biggest nights ever. "early today" starts right now.

>> good morning, everyone, i'm ayman mohyehdin. >> i'm frances rivera. breaking news. secretary of defense ash carter has a new defensive to take out isis's capitol will begin in weeks. in an exclusive interview with nbc news, secretary carter said the plan to take isis capitol in syria has always been part of the mission once they secured mosul saying, quote, this was a plan that goes back many months now and that raqqah would follow soon behind. more details ahead on "today." it is a sprint to the finish. a new poll gives fresh hope to donald trump's campaign with election day now just 13 days away. new data from bloomberg shows florida voters favor trump over hillary clinton 45 to 43. that's in a four-way poll that includes gary johnson and jill stein. huge development since the path to the white house for trump must include florida. a new controversy this morning involving the trump campaign and women heats up. trump campaign surrogate and

former house speaker newt gingrich had this testy exchange with megyn kelly involving trump's relationship with women. >> if trump is a sexual predator, that is -- >> he's not a sexual predator. >> that's your opinion. i'm not taking a position on it. >> i am sick and tired of people like you using language that's inflammatory that's not true. >> excuse me, mr. speaker. you have no idea whether it's true or not. what we know is that -- >> neither do you. >> that's right. and i'm not taking a position on it unlike you. >> yes, you are, you took a position and it's very unfair of you to do that. i think that is exactly the bias people are upset by. you want to go back to the tapes of your show recently. you are fascinated with sex and you don't care about public policy. >> me, really? >> do you want to comment on whether the clinton ticket has a relationship to a sexual predator. >> we on the kelly file have covered that story as well, sir. >> i want to hear the words bill clinton, sexual predator, i dare you. >> the exchange exploded on

social media. dan scavino tweeted newt gingrich just destroyed megyn kelly showing she is very biased against mr. trump and not very smart mr. trump has long known. he followed up with this tweet that sounds a lot like a threat. megyn kelly made a total fool of herself tonight attacking donald trump. watch what happens to her after this election is over. and we now have word that fundraising period in this election is over and the final sprint is underway. hillary clinton has now held what her campaign says is her final fundraising event while there are new reports from the washington post that trump is halting all big dollar fundraising efforts further jeopardizing his party's down ballot chances ahead in november. that news comes as political reports that the super pac senate majority leader mitch mcconnell is spending $25 million in ads across the country further signaling an all out gop panic. that as prominent republican

former secretary of state colin powell officially says he'll be voting for hillary clinton on november 8th. clinton personally tweeted thanking secretary powell for the endorsement. >> making matters more challenging for the gop, the republican presidential tijt must now defend states that have historically been solidly in the red. in fact, mike pence is now being dispatched to the once deeply conservative state of utah where recent polls show clinton and adam mcmullen have a shot. republicans have not lost the state of utah in over 50 years. now a school yard fight is brewing between vice president joe biden and donald trump. after biden said he'd like to take trump behind the gym and presumably fight him. well, msnbc's chris matthews asked the vice president about that statement and here's what he said. >> people didn't act in the locker room like he talks about. that's not true. and you and i both know from the locker room in the school i went to, one of the guys said this is what i'm going to do because i'm the star halfback, quarterback,

i'm the boss and my sister and her girlfriends are out there, i would take the guy behind the gym. this is just absolutely unacceptable behavior, period. >> it didn't end at that. this is how trump responded to biden during a florida rally. >> did you see where biden wants to take me to the back of the barn? me. he wants it. i'd love that. i'd love that. mr. tough guy. you know, he's mr. tough guy. you know what he's mr. tough guy when he's standing behind a microphone by himself. he wants to bring me to the back of the barn. ohhh. >> and will we expect more today? this is what's happening on the trail today. hillary clinton celebrates her 69th birthday by holding a series of rallies in florida. bill clinton makes several stops in north carolina while tim kaine and elizabeth warren stump through pennsylvania. donald trump makes a stop in washington, d.c., for a ribbon cutting for his new hotel at the

old post office and then heads to north carolina. governor mike pence will be in utah, nevada and colorado. 38-year-old who has been wanted since sunday in a string of violent crimes including the killing of two relatives had a hit list targeting several more people according to authorities. protection is being provided now for those that are included on that so-called hit list. michael dale vance jr. is wanted on two charges of first degree murder and possession of a firearm. when police last saw him vance shot two officers and an innocent woman before stealing her car. he filmed two facebook live videos shortly before encountering that woman. he was last seen early monday morning 30 miles from the texas border in western oklahoma. he's believed to be carrying an ak-47. they are coordinating with several agencies in that search. the toughest sheriff is in a tough spot this morning. federal prosecutors formerly

charged joe arpaio with criminal contempt of court. the 84-year-old lawman defied a court law order to stop his signature patrols. the misdemeanor count was announced two weeks ago but it wasn't official until it was signed by a judge yesterday. arpaio is trailing his democratic opponent by nearly 15 points in the most recent poll. they were conducted on the days surrounding the prosecutor's announcement. police are on the lookout this morning for two thieves that broke into a florida home while the family layed down to sleep. no one inside the home was harmed as this incredible video shows. surveillance cameras managed to capture that frightening incident. here you see children fast asleep on the living room sofas while one of the intruders rummages through their personal belongings. it happened on saturday but police introduced a video to identify and capture the thieves who made away with cell phone, credit cards and a gun. a second man who is armed seems

to be guarding the door. a white suv was seen in the area around the time of the burglary and may be connected to the suspects. >> so scary. just a reach away. >> seems so close. the city of cleveland, still rocking this morning after a couple of big wins just yards apart. in game one of the world series cory kluber was on fire striking out eight batters in the first three innings. that's a series record. roberto perez had two home runs including this three-run homer in the eighth. the indians shut out the cubbies winning 6-0. tonight's game two will start at 7:08 p.m. eastern time. that's an hour early due to rain in the forecast. speaking of weather, next door the defending championship world cavaliers got their rings. it's filled with more than 400 diamonds. i'd say that's not too shabby. >> this is for you guys. this is all for you.

this building, our guys next door opening the world series, at this point if you not from here, live here, play here, dedicate yourself to cleveland, makes no sense for you to live at this point. cleveland against the world. >> season opener james recorded a triple double. they defeated the knicks 118-88. game two in baseball tonight. just ahead, outrage goes right to the president over the pentagon's order for 10,000 national guards men to pay back their signing bonuses. chilly rain turns to snow for some in the northeast. meteorologist bill karins has all the details. there are two storms on the map. the one that will be in the great lakes in new england, minor impacts. the one on the west coast is a pretty warm system, not a lot of snow. it is going to rain pretty good, this storm. the rainfall totals, let me show

you that mess are going to be pretty impressive. this is through friday. the blue shows everyone is going to get an inch, the purple is two inches. northern california and the southwestern corner of oregon that's the possibility o 3 tof areas of the oregon coast line and also in washington, eastern washington all day. looks like the west is getting the rain they need in the middle of the week. better than the weekend. >> yeah. they need it. bill, thank you. just ahead, police need your help in finding the shooter who took aim at three cousins. details next. jack knocked over a candlestick, onto the shag carpeting... ...and his pants ignited into flames, causing him to stop, drop and roll. luckily jack recently had geico help him

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and we are going to look into it and resolve it, but it's a significant issue for the reason i indicated. >> that was defense secretary ash carter reacting to the growing outrage over the pentagon's controversial request that thousands of california national guard members return cash bonuses given to them over a decade ago. those demands came after pentagon audits revealed over payments that should not have been made. politicians are requesting the pentagon rescind its request. leading the news, police in miami are hoping newly obtained under surveillance video will help them catching the woman robbing then shooting three cousins, including a 12-year-old boy. the victims all survived, but police need your help finding the shooter. nbc's gabe gutierrez reports. >> announcer: gunshots, multiple patients. >> reporter: the gunshots rang out near miami park. under surveillance video showing three people scrambling for cover after a brazen robbery.

20-year-old heidi martinez shot in the leg. she says she was walking with her 17 and 12-year-old cousins when a woman rushes up behind them, demanding martinez hand over her purse and phone. she does but the woman fires one shot anyway, her cousins then tossed their phone, she fires at least seven more shots, all happening in less than a minute. bystanders recording the chaotic after math. the three honduran immigrants rushed to the hospital. 12-year-old is still there in stable condition after being shot in the stomach. >> the crazy thing about that video even after they hand over their things she shoots at them as they're backing up. very bizarre. still ahead, find out how you can own a rare piece of presidential history. plus, credit card users beware. identity thieves have a whole new way of making your lives miserable. we'll bring you those details just ahead. st ahead.

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today's quick hit the golden state warriors, they had an inskred dibl 28-game winning streak to start last season. only to have a face plant opener last night losing to the san antonio spurs by 29 points, spoiling kevin durant's debut with a bigging, big blowout. a family in l.a. recreated a fear inducing halloween display a. trump presidency filled with

tombstones showing trump and possibly the location of his taxes. >> beware. from george washington's inaugural speech to john f. kennedy's campaign notes, today the public is getting to own some of the rarest memorabilia when they go up for auction in new york. we have credit cards and the new chip technology, it's supposed to protect your personal information when shopping in stores. it is a very different story when you shop online. experts now say online credit card fraud is on the rise. nbc's miguel alma gaguer has important information. >> reporter: experts say it's all part of a troubling and costly new trend. these specialized chips do make

it tougher for thieves to use your cards in stores. crooks are turning to the internet. >> there are physical elements and online is a virtual environment. it only works when you have a terminal to use the chip in. >> reporter: the so called card not present fraud which costs $3.2 billion last year will rise to $4 billion this year and is expected to spike to $7.2 billion by 2020. the cost is often funneled down to consumers. there are ways to protect yourself when shopping online now. don't save your credit card numbers on store websites. sign out and log off from online sites. and never use public wi-fi. use password protected wi-fi like at home. >> nbc's miguel almaguer. all three of those tips, guilty, guilty, guilty. i do all three of them. >> every time you think the cards are getting safer, online

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>> i see where she's almost kind of making a snarky face and trying to hug you. you're not giving back. >> i'm kind of affectionately leaning into her. >> nobody does that better. >> i'm hoping for an snl cameo ee legs day special the day before the early elections. for somebody who wants to be president on the eve of her 69th birthday. hillary clinton stopped by an adele concert. she had a nice shot at it along with a key endorsement. >> adele actually knew that hillary clinton was in the audience or not, adele added that she is with her 100%.

so much power for somebody who can't even vote. >> not a bad way for the secretary to spend her birthday, at an adele concert. things didn't go smoothly when justin timberlake showed this. apparently unaware that it's illegal to do so in the state. there were rumors that authorities were looking into the matters, but it looks like timberlake can breathe easy. the district attorney general said no one in their office will use their limited resources to investigate that. make sure you check your state laws before you post a selfie. >> when you don't watch us, you might end up breaking the law. >> how soon before men and women reach global equality? try 170 years. we'll explain. you're watching "early today." .y practically frizz free.

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the secretary of health and human services will give remarks on the latest changes of obamacare as health insurance premiums are expected to spike for many americans. nbc's tom costello has more on how that will impact you. >> reporter: it's happening nationwide. come january, 1 in 5 healthcare.gov customers will find one insurer offering coverage and premiums are rising fast. on average up 25%. down 3% in indiana but up 116% in arizona pushing premiums up 50 to $300 per month in some cases. the reasons, while 11.4 million americans will be on obamacare in january, most are sicker than expected. younger, healthy adults are choosing to opt out of coverage and pay the tax penalty instead

despite president obama's efforts. >> and what that means is that the insurance pool is smaller and it gets a higher percentage of older and sicker people signing up. >> reporter: the white house says nearly all obamacare customers will receive tax credits to off set the higher premiums and most could find plans for less than $100 per month. >> that was tom costello reporting. here's a figure that's going to shock you. the eye popping news comes in. that said, they're here at home. the united states is ranked. it's way behind these countries. >> he has half as money around the world.

>> we're working on that. >> in san francisco, they traveled over 12 states. 3,000 miles. this breaks the world record. the journey was completed in 46 days. they say it is there. >> i can't conceptualize it. >> thanks for watching early todd.

"ear today". "earlyly

pete suratos in san francisco with the latest on that officer-involved shooting that sent both the officer and suspect to sf general. two firefighters are arrested after picking a fight with law enforcement. the rowdy behavior that led to an assault of officers at an east bay ho tell. >> durant for three. >> kevin durant rained jumpers all night long. unfortunately the warriors lose because they couldn't stop the other team from scoring. >> it was not the home opener that anyone envisioned. we're glad they're back. "today in the bay" starts right now. very good morning to you. thank you for joining us.