happen. incredible. it's part of the lnu complex [music] burning across the north bay. explore floor and decor your way, just before nightfall last night the fire flared off mountain and comfortably shop over a million square feet good morning. view ranch road. of in- stock flooring! it is sunday, august 23. our expansive store is fully equipped here is a live look outside from a helicopter made several water drops and ground crews mobilized with safe distancing guides, our traffic cameras. so you can browse our wide aisles heavy equipment to cut fire smoky skies over san rafael. we have a spare the air alert lines. and be amazed with our even wider selection. they loaded up water from a pond since wednesday. or easily order online, we are now under a red flag near wine creek vineyard. and pick up all the products you need warning as dangerous weather for your flooring project curbside! the owner of the vineyard said so come discover the perfect floor at the perfect price last night was actually less witness persist across the bay dramatic than earlier this week. in whatever way is perfect for you. area. >> yesterday and the day before and we have multiple fires all in one stop! burning all around us. we had dc-10s and 747s flying visit floor and decor in person or online. thank you so much for joining us. 200 feet over the vineyard vianey arana joins us as we look level. >> rowan and his life tell us at the forecast as we remain that even though their whole area is under mandatory under the weather alert. evacuation, they will stay to a lot to get to, vianey, i'll protect their home until it is hand it over to you. >> you got it, kira. no longer safe. and in the middle of all these fires, now one week in, things are overall pretty calm, new smaller firesbut that's wha asd. there's very visible smoke in night in novato.

the area. marin county fire crews say current temperature 65 degrees three fires ignited in the area in the area, winds are calm but fog is building around the above indian valley college. coastline including in areas like santa cruz and monterey. they may have been intentionally set. this is the view from a wildfire camera. you can see helicopters circling santa cruz down to less than a half mile of visibility. here is what we're tracking, heading into this afternoon, yoefrn hea which is why that red flag overhead, you can see the warning is now in effect. flights. the flames are under control but investigators are continuing to it might not look like much right now on satellite radar, look for someone suspected of but if you notice just starting the fires who is also approaching to our south is a considered to be armed and dangerous. low pressure system. now back to the massive fires burning across the bay that's what's going to kick you area. we've broken down the numbers, want possibility of seeing high, here is a look, all these fast-moving storms heading into numbers are new this morning. the lnu complex fire has grown. this afternoon, which is why that red flag warning will remain in effect through it is now burning across more tomorrow. again, the biggest impact will than 325,000 acres. ♪ i got it all from you be mainly heading into this containment still stands at 15 afternoon and into monday ♪ i'm always pushing through p15%. morning. it is burning in the north bay we may see a lack of rain, ♪ i know we'll make it to the finish line ♪ across five counties including possibility of dry lightning napa and stanislaus. ♪ i know you're waiting on the other side ♪ with the storm's arrival. four people have now died. a possibility of even some ♪ i'm like you precipitation heading into the it is now the third largest fire overnight hours. in california state history. on-demand glucose monitoring. he'll go into more detail on because they're always on. just yesterday it was the second that in a few minutes. another life-changing technology from abbott. >> all right, vianey, see you

largest. the scu complex added more than so you don't wait for life. you live it. then, thank you so much. we want to begin with the 60,000 acres since yesterday. csu lightning fires burning in it is now the second history. it's burning in multiple spots santa clara, contra costa, and through santa clara, alameda, alameda counties. the fire has grown since contra costa counties. yesterday morning, now burning containment remains at 10%. 340,000 acres which now makes it the czu complex on the coast and case. >> this is not a partisan the second largest fire in moment. santa cruz mountains is up to this must be an american moment. california state history, surpassing the lnu fire in the joe biden frames his 71,000 acres bhufrurned. campaign against president northhe were it is 8% contained. trump. >> character is on the ballot. 24,000 structures remain brand-new evacuation orders issued for people in alameda compassion is on the ballot. threatened. thankfully, in the north bay decency, science, democracy,om now there is some heavy duty county. we turn to "today in the bay"'s help in battling the woodward fire. friends and his running mate. it's burning in west marin >> the constant chaos leaves us roz plater for the latest. county, part of the lnu fires. >> reporter: good morning, we're the marin county fire department in alameda county. adrift. tweeted these photos. the incompetence makes us feel super scoopers, as they're an evacuation order from early known, amphibious firefighting afraid. in the evening turned this now it's president trump's aircraft, helping to put out the turn. morning into an evacuation order flames. a total of 62 drops yesterday, >> joe biden is a puppet of the because of the perimeter of fire moving. that was 93,000 gallons of water let's show you the area where this order takes place. it is south of welch creek road from tomales bay dumped on the to the fire perimeter. woodward fire.

a welcome sight for sore alameda/santa clara county line, at welch creek, to the fire eyes, out of state crews helping perimeter. now, here is some of what we're to fight the firings. seeing so far this morning. utah crews are helping to we're seeing fire crews and support our tireless fire crews for the next few weeks. engines staged here along the firefighters from eight different fire departments in calaveras road. a lot of this is farmland area utah departed just yesterday. >> everyone that's out here and there is a lot of livestock here. they advise folks with livestock really likes to be able to help out and do their part. they would need to get an early >> one firefighter tells us he start on getting their animals moved. cal fire says it issued the has experienced battling fires warning because of the in california. he came here two years ago to possibility of dangerous weather ahead and because there are help, an experience which he says he will never forget as he limited ways of getting out of this area. we also saw multiple road found himself in a life or death closures which would complicate situation. and bless him for coming back. we know it can be hard to keep track of all these fires, anybody trying to evacuate or evacuation orders are changing by the hour. we've made it easy for you. evacuate animals along this way. we saw several large livestock our website is a great resource for everything you need to know. trailers heading into the area closed down, presumably to move nbcbayarea.com. click on the lightning sparked resources on the trending bar. out of some of the livestock. there is help for folks who need it is 7:09. we have much more ahead on "today in the bay." to remove animals.

we take you live to talk with we'll put it on our website at chuck todd who has a preview of nbcbayarea.com. for now, we're live, roz plater, this week's "meet the press." plus this man tells us why "today in the bay." he's staying in world creek even though there are evacuation orders in place, next. >> new, rthank you, roz, for th information. the czu lightning complex fires, the fire has grown but so too has containment. the czu fire is 8% contained, up from 5% yesterday. the sheriff's offices from both counties are adamant that people not try to come back into evacuated areas, they are not safe. fires are moving quickly, trees are falling. and it has the potential to put firefighters in danger to save you if something happens to you. people are being to head to the beaches in santa cruz and san mateo counties,

that includes half moon bay and pacifica, they remain closed. cal fire alerted us one of their commander's cars was broken into, his wallet stolen, his bank account drained. there is also the ongoing issue of people looting homes that have been evacuated. so far five people have been arrested. and dangerous scammers trying to contact people and get money for fake fire relief funds. now to flames coming re crews did not want to

we'll bring in chuck todd, nbc news political director and moderator of "meet the press." hi, chuck, happy sunday, thanks for joining us this morning. now that we have the dnc in our rearview mirror and it's official, kamala harris's selection as the vp nominee, what do you think, is she a good fit? is she helping the ticket? how did she come across this past week? >> we're going to find out. i think there's a chance she could be a demographic swiss army knife. there's no doubt she really seems to be polling well right

now, not just younger african-americans who are enthusiastic to see a black woman on this ticket, but they're seeing an upsurge of interest from southeast asian-amer heritage. you're seeing in florida, her jamaican heritage. there's a whole caribbean vote in the state of florida that rarely gets politically activated very often, barack obama did that and it helped him carry the state of florida. every demographic group in florida matters. college educated women of all races seem to be -- have very positive feelings about kamala harris. i think you're seeing what they believe, that she's somebody they can send pretty much anywhere, but certainly when it comes to suburban women in particular but also younger voters of color. i think they say a lot of opportunities with her. the challenge, though, is in many of those communities, being there is how you get folks fired

up. and, you know, in this environment, can a virtual campaign excite those underserved constituencies without the physical presence of the campaign. that remains to be seen. >> and that brings me to my next question, speaking of being there. beginning tomorrow, the republicans will have their national convention. i have read that actually president trump will travel to charlotte for a portion of it but then do other speeches back from d.c. do you think that non-audience environment will helpt him, if so, why? >> look, the democrats have made a decision for months now that the virus comes first before everything else. they believe that the virus is the single reason why the president is more vulnerable today than he has been throughout his entire first term. and if you're going to put the virus at the center of your campaign then you better be abiding by it no matter what. it will present a contrast.

the republican convention and president trump, we know that as he reluctantly advocates, you know, wearing masks and things like that, it always is, he doesn't want it to get in the way of his political campaign. the democrats made the decision to let it get in the way of are looking at this virus going, 180,000 americans are dead, where's the plan, that party seems to at least rhetorically worry about the virus, that party seems to ignore protocol. to me that's the risk here the republicans are taking with having a convention that's a little looser with the virus restrictions. >> yeah, two different conventi conventions, to be sure. we look forward to talk to you next week to see what happens. thanks as always for joining us, chuck. we hope you'll join chuck for this morning'sor mark

warner plus trump's senior adviser jason miller, at 8:00 a.m. right after this newscast. coming up in 30 minutes, we'll talk with nbc bay area political analyst larry gerston and look ahead to the rnc in charlotte. crews across the bay area work tirelessly to put out flames. some people are taking matters into their own hands to protect their homes and neighborhoods. we want to introduce you to will cook. he lives in boulder creek where flames from the czu fire have destroyed homes, forced evacuations, but he's not one of them. he tells us he's doing what he can to put out hotspots. one big challenge, there are no fire hydrants near him so he's using water from the creek, bucket by bucket. he's worried about looters

coming near his abandoned neighbors' home. >> there is also a potential for looting. our presence here, for myself and for my other neighbors, is kind of an important thing. we look out for each other. >> he tells us he hasn't seen any looters in his neighborhood, but his efforts are admirable, but cal fire does not want people putting themselves in danger by staying behind. now to a scary sight, surveillance cameras caught a mountain lion wandering in a san bruno neighborhood around 2:00 a.m. friday. you can see it on someone's driveway. san bruno officials say the fires are forcing mountain lions and other animals to leave their usual habitats. yikes. now time to check in with vianey arana f

microclima microclimate weather allert. a lot can happen tonight, vianey. >> exactly, that's what we're keeping an eye on. as we head towards the afternoon is when we're going to start to see thunderstorms making their arrival. right now in san jose, 65 degrees. so we're in the 50s and 60s. you're going to feel that humidity, that's one thing. there's a reason for it. we're tapping into some tropical moisture. 90s through the interior valleys, san tra rota rosa in t. it will be a warm day. the surge in moisture will kick up that humidity even more. you'll get once again sort of that miami-feel weather throughout the bay area where it's humid. satellite radar shows where things will change heading into this afternoon. notice now, we're not getting much in the way of rain. a couple of clouds, some fog around the coast. but this is what we're monitoring right now. to the south, you can see it

there off the coast, near the l.a. area. remnants of what was hurricane genevieve. this will bring the biggest threat, because i'm going to push this down so you can sort of get an idea, follow me with the radar there on the monitor. you can see that surge of moisture pushing up along the coast there, pushing northward. that's that low pressure system that will be interacting with the high pressure system to our east. the interaction of these two systems is what's going to cause the instability in the atmosphere. all of that unstable air will bring a chance for fast-paced thunderstorms, higher elevation thunderstorms, and also the chance for dry lightning. as far as rain, some of the model runs are showing us the chance of maybe seeing some precipitation heading into this afternoon, around 5:00, 6:00. of course with a lot of wildfires burning around us, ideally we would rather see the rain and the dry lightning. but we won't know until that surge of moisture really

makes its way into the bay area, which is why that red flag warning is currently in effect through tomorrow afternoon. again, the biggest impacts will be the erratic winds as the storms push through, the chance for thunderstorms, and the chance for dry lightning. again, may lack rain initially, but right now it's looking like we might get some rain to pick up later into the evening hours. the highest surge of moisture will be tonight into early monday morning, as that rain continues to evaporate through the layer of dry air near the surface. we get the chance of seeing that dry lightning, which means those gusty, erratic winds, much like we saw last sunday. this is definitely rare, we've been talking about how rare it is. on average the bay area only sees two to three thunderstorms a year. so the fact we're seeing this on a back to back weekend is incredibly rare. by tomorrow morning, we're going to still keep that chance of seeing some thunderstorms, because on tuesday we get another surge and a change in the incoming system. so we're going to be monitoring

this throughout the entire day, kira. >> wow, we usually of these per we're already facing back to back weekends of lightning, that is a scary thought. and we know you'll keep us updated, vianey, thanks very much. much more ahead on "today in the bay." coming up, a rare move for lawmakers. they worked during summer break and on a weekend. the emergency meeting that was called about the post office. want restaurants to open?

and schools? want the economy to get back on track? you're not alone. and you can help make it happen. stay 6 feet apart. wash your hands. wear a mask every time you leave your home. choose to join the fight against covid-19. do your part. slow the spread.

welcome back. in a rare move yesterday, lawmakers returned from their summer breaks trying to broker a deal to block the cost-cutting measures that many blame for slower mail delivery and which some say could put the presidential election in jeopardy. here is nbc's kelly o'donnell. >> reporter: protesters across the country bland action to protect the postal service from delays and to secure mail-in

ballots. house speaker nancy pelosi delivered her own message about president trump. >> don't pay any attention to what the president is saying, because it is all designed to suppress the vote. >> reporter: the speaker called congress back from august recess to pass a measure that halts changes to postal service operations and adds another $25 billion. but it's headed nowhere. the white house already threatened a veto. >> this bill on the floor today, uh, is more of a partisan bill than it is a real attempt as solving the problem. >> reporter: before heading to his private virginia golf club, the president took a swing at one of his own agencies, the food and drug administration. first, recall, hemoay. >> i will say the fda has been great. >> reporter: but today tweeted at the agency with the conspiratorial term "the deep state," claiming the fda is

delaying progress on vaccines and therapy eutics with this unsupported allegation. nancy pelosi called the president's tweet very scary. >> not a declaration from the white house about speed and politicizing the fda. >> reporter: in the 73-day sprint toward the election, the virus and response are key issues. joe biden was asked if he would shut down the country if confronted by coronavirus and flu in the new year. >> you have to fix the virus. you have to deal with the virus. >> so if the scientists say shut it down? >> then shut it down. i will listen to the scientists. >> that was kelly o'donnell reporting. after democratic presidential nominee joe biden delivered what many call the best speech ofred with new attacks as his party prepares for the spotlight at

the rnc. >> the democrats held the darkest and angriest and gloomiest convention in american history. where joe biden sees american darkness, i see american greatness. >> thursday night, biden spoke out against fear and anger, offering a largely optimistic and unifying vision. president trump in response warned that, quote, violent mobs would overtake u.s. cities if the democrats prevail. as we discussed with chuck todd, the rnc begins tomorrow in charlotte, north carolina. popular video app tiktok is preparing for a court fight with the trump administration. the chinese company that owns tiktok confirms it plans to sue the united states. this after president trump ordered the app blocking in the u.s. over alleged data violations. tiktok says the ban gave new opportunity for due process and claims it is being unfairly treated as a security threat. the legal challenge7:26.

we still have much more ahead on "today in the bay." coming up, we'll take you back live to alameda county where new evacuation orders were given for the szu fire overnight.

good morning. it is sunday, august 23, 7:29, as we take a live look outside over palo alto. you can see we still have poor air quality. the orange glow from the fires. we are under the spare the air alert until wednesday. and as of 5:00 a.m., we're under a fire weather watch. thank you so much for starting your sunday with us. i'm kira klapper. vianey arana joins us with a quick look at the microclimate weather alert as we look ahead to potential lightning for the second sunday in a row. vianey, good morning to you. >> good morning. yeah, and with all of these fires actively burning around us, the threat of those

lightning strikes starting another fire is really the biggest concern here. right now, though, it's pretty calm overall on radar. 64 degrees in dublin. you can see the smoke out there. as kira said, the spare the air alert is in place. fog throughout monterey and in through san francisco, limited visibility, down to a quarter mile in santa cruz. satellite radar shows it's calm right now over the bay area. but just to our south is that surge of moisture that's going to push its way up as we head in towards the afternoon. that's what the biggest threat is going to be, moving in. you can see it here, i'm zooming this down where you can sort of see that low pressure system pushing northward. this is going to bring the chance of seeing fast-paced moving thunderstorms and also dry lightning, which is why that red flag warning was issued heading in towards monday. all the way now until monday ch thunderstorms, the biggest impact will be the erratic winds

that come along with those thunderstorms, much like what we saw last sunday. again, this is rare. the fact that we're getting thunderstorms two weekends in a row is just, you know, at this point we're going to keep an eye on this, full forecast coming up in a few minutes, kira. >> unprecedented. all right, vianey, see you again n in just a little bit. szu fires are still burning in alameda and contra costa counties. the fire has grown since i gave you an update yesterday morning. it's now burning 340,000 acres which now makes it the second largest fire in california state history. that surpasses the lnu fire which yesterday was the second largest in state history. late last night and again this morning, there were new evacuation orders issued for people in that area. "today in the bay's" roz plater joins us with the very latest. roz, good morning.

>> reporter: good morning. we are in alameda county. this behind me is calaveras road, part of where it's blocked off. this is where the evacuation warnings turned into evacuation orders overnight because of the increased risk of fire spreading from the weather. east of calaveras and welsh creek. we've seen fire crews staged along calaveras road. they're at the bottom of a ridge. this is a lot of farmland and of course there's livestock up and down this area. cal fire advised those folks with livestock that they would need to think about leaving early. they issued the warning because of the anticipated bad weather and because there are limited ways of getting out of this area. there are also multiple roadw,

seen just recently several large livestock transport trailers come through presumably to start moving some of those livestock out. the cal fire issued a number to the alameda county animal services if you should need help to find boarding for animals. i'm roz plate ar for "today in e bay." >> thank you, roz, we'll see you in a little bit bit. santa cruz county now, firefighters updated us on the czu lightning complex fires. the fire has grown but so too has containment. the czu fire scorched 71,000 acres in santa cruz and southern san mateo counties. containment is up to 8%. sheriff's offices from both counties are adamant that people not try to come back into evacuated areas. they say they are not safe, the

fires are moving quickly, trees are falling. and then people coming in have the potential to put firefighters in danger to save you. people are being urged not to head to the beaches in santa cruz and san mateo counties, that includes half moon bay and pacifica. those beaches were packed yesterday. they are are closed. cal fire alerted us that one of their commanders' cars was broken into, his wallet stolen and his bank account drained. five people have been arrested for looting evacuated homes. and the danger of scammers now trying to call people, contact people, and get money for fake fire relief funds. it is exactly what firefighters were hoping to avoid. flames coming dangerously close to neighborhoods as the wall ridge fire changed direction last night, burning closer to healdsburg and guerneville. the fire is part of the lnu complex burning across the north bay. just before nightfall, the fire

flared just off of mountain view ranch road. you can see a helicopter barely in the smoke there making several water drops. ground crews are mobilizing heavy equipment to cut fire lines. the fire helicopter loaded water from a pond on this man's property, wine creek vineyards mike rowan has seen the firefight unfold. >> the helicopters were flying 200 feet over the vineyard level. >> rowan and his wife tell us even though their whole area is under mandatory evacuation, you can see them packing their car, but they are staying to protect their home until it is no longer safe. with the focus on these massive fires, the last thing first responders need is new fires. but that's exactly what happened last night in novato. marin county fire crews tell in above indian valley college. and they may have been

intentionally set. this is the view from a wildfire camera. you can see those floodlights from the helicopter circling overhead, flames burning to the right. the fires are under control but investigators are l someone suspected odered to be armed and dangerous. back to major fires burning to our north, to our east, to the south, we have broken down the numbers for you here. the lnu complex fire has grown. it is now burning across more than 341,000 acres. containment is up to 17%. four fatalities. it is now the third largest fire in california state history. and again, that's because overnight the scu complex fire grew to 340,000 acres. that added more than 60,000 acres just since yesterday. it is now the second largest fire in california state history. containment remains at 10%.

and the czu complex fire on the so facoast of santa cruz, u 71,000 acres, 8% contained. 129 structures have been destroyed. those includes back to the north bay.omg a concern for crews. as we've reported, many firefighters are spending 48, 72, 96 hours on the fire line. usually it's 24 hours. cal fire says there should be 3,000 firefighters on the lnu fire line alone but instead they're forced to battle the flames with just half that number. >> so we continue to ask for help, and more help comes in, but you're right, 48 hours, 72 hours, these folks have been on the line, they need the rest and we're trying to get that for . w it's very important that we are getting crews in from utah. and cal fire says firefighters from nine other states and two other countries are coming to

california to provide help and relief for our heroes. all right. marin county, it was a dramatic friday night. this is rescue video of two firefighters battling the woodward fire at the point reyes national sea shore. they had to call the sonoma county sheriff's department to send in its helicopter to help them. you can hear on the video them tell the firefighters they need to hold on, get ready of their packs, and just not let go. that fire helicopter was able to lift them to safety. the woodward fire has burned nearly 2,700 acres, that's up from 400 acres on friday. it remains midst of this tragedy and devastation, we have caught some powerful moments.

cal fire tweeted this photo of a homeowner in the path of the czu lightning complex fire. you can see that person is praying with firefighters. and we know it can be hard to keep track of all the fires and evacuation orders. we have been trying to make it civil f simple for you. it's on our website, it's a great resource, it's at the top of the page. go to nbcbayarea.com and go to the lightning spark resources on the trending bar at the top. still to come on "today in the bay," a little something different. we turn to sports. giants and a's looking to keep the good times rolling. we'll show you how they did, next. ♪

♪ try my $4 mini munchies with marinara or ranch. back at jack in the box. shining against the arizona di anderson pitched exceptionally well, giving up just three hits. in the seventh, the giants break

it open. rookie phenom joey bart missed his first home run by just inches. a pinch-hit double. giants win 5-1. the division leading a's hoping to put a little more distance between them and the angels. the teams playing at the coliseum. top of the second, angels already up 2-0. angels star mike trout doubles to left field. two more runs scored. then in the bottom of the eighth, trout makes a spectacular diving catch to rob a's matt olson of an extra hit. much more ahead on "today in the bay." coming up, the democrats have their week in the spotlight. now it's the republicans' turn to shine. political analystc and preview next.

welcome back. you could call this weekend the calm between two political storms. the democratic national convention ended thursday night. and the republican national convention begins tomorrow. it's a lot of politics in just the span of 11 days. nbc bay area political analyst larry gerston joins us with one eye on last week, the other eye on this week. no pressure, larry. first, could you take a moment to summarize last week's convention for us? >> for a political junkie, these two weeks are heaven. let's run through what happened and what we think will happen. the democrats focused on a few critical themes, all in the context of a virtual convention, never having been done before. they really pulled it off in most people's eyes. almost everything was taped. biden's speech to well done. beyond that, they focused hard on a series of themes, four themes come to my mind. we can begin with the president

and covid-19. simply said, the president, they believe, has not done a good job on managing covid-19. we all know the story about the deaths, over 175,000. the democrats say it didn't have to happen. then there's the question of the big tent, i should say the issue of the big tent. remember how many republicans came on during those four days. the democrats are trying to suggest, you know what, we can take care of everybody, we can represent everybody, come join us. it's kind of a daring attempt but we'll see what happens. then the democrats talked about something very serious, democracy in jeopardy. because of the way the president behaves, because of the fact so. he isn't considering the way the country is supposed to work. finally, the whole character issue, they promoted biden's character considerably against trump's character, saying you need somebody steady, kind and empathetic. >> how do you think the republicans will respond to that, what can we expect from the rnc this coming week?

>> first of all, it won't be exactly or 400 delegates there but not the kind of group trump is used to speaking to. we'll have to watch how he reacts to a very small group. beyond that, the obvious. you begin with the incumbent. incumbents win 85% of the time, that's a big advantage for the republicans and they're going to come out and say trump is a proven commodity, he's carried this nation through thick and thin, he's managed us through the virus, he's kept the country going. and related to that is the fact that he had a very healthy economy before covid-19 hit and by golly he's on the way to getting us back. you've heard about the "v" recovery, the "v" is now going in the other direction so look out, things will g in the next quarter. third, keep america safe, border security, riots, all this stuff. the law and order president, a la the nixon ru

resurrected with donald tr he's troops away from the middle east and afghanistan, he's bringing them home because we don't need to be involved in other country's issues. so you'll see very different issues here. all of it, believe it or not, democrats and republicans, revolve around the president. >> mm-hmm. so how do you think we can tell which political party convention will be the most successful as voters? because there's not that electricity of all being under one roof and, you know, celebrating these political rock stars, if i may. >> yeah, first of all, we'll see the polls. the polls are going to say who do you think did better, the democrats or republicans. they'll give us a hint. but people's memories are short. i imagine a lot of people have already the democratic convention, that's yesterday's

news. the democrats and republicans are really fighting over 10 to 15% of the american electorate. most people have made up their minds already, they know who trump is, they know biden, it's only 10 or 15%. in that group, what states are they in? remember, at the end of the day, you don't win by how many votes you get. you win by how many electoral votes you get. hillary clinton knows that and i think the rest of us know that too. so the question is, each party, democrats and party, did they reach those groups in those states that they needed to reach? and we'll learn that as time goes on. every day now becomes important. we're down to just a few weeks before this election takes place. believe you and me, between now and then, any mistake will be big, any good news will be big. these 10 to 15% will be in the ballots. >> it's hard to believe we really just have 2 1/2 months until this all unfolds. pretty quick. but something tells me it will feel like a small eternity, just

the way most of 2020 has. larry, we always appreciate your perspective, your insight. thank you so much. looking forward to seeing you in a week to look back on the rnc. >> good to be with you. we will take you back to the overnight evacuation orders in alameda county with roz plater, right after the break.

it is sunday morning. we remain under a microclimate weather alert as we're monitoring the potential for thunderstorms and dry lightning this afternoon. we've got a lot to talk about

today. right now, calm outside, 65 degrees. we're seeing that poor air quality, spare the air alert remains in place. limit outdoor activities. if you don't have to be outside today, try to remain indoors. after all, it will be another hot afternoon. temperatures for this afternoon in san jose, 88 degrees. look at concord, 91. martinez, 86. 70 for san francisco. now let's get to what we are concerned about. satellite radar right now, notice how overall it looks pretty quiet. look at just to our south, right near l.a., you see that moisture pushed off the coast. that's going to make its trek northward into our area. let me give you an idea where it is now. you can see it here just off bakersfield, making its way in, the central coast will see it first as it continues to move through. that moisture is coming in from remnants of what was hurricane genevieve. because of the arrival of this low pressure system interacting with the high pressure system, there's a red flag warning that is already in effect.

and it will remain in effect through tomorrow at 5:00 p.m. the main impact is going to be this afternoon. so let's take a look at the timing and what we're monitoring. granted, any time we're talking about thunderstorms, you know, there's active wildfires burning, you think, gosh, we really need the rain. but are we going to get to see any rain? here's the thing, these thunderstorms are higher up in the atmosphere. a lot of times what ends up happening is that rain tends to evaporate before it even gets to make it to the ground. looking right now at the hour by hour, you can see that surge in moisture roll in around 2:00, 3:00 p.m. look at the bottom, you can see it moving northward, there it is. model runs right now showing the possibility of seeing some periods of isolated rain at times, which is fantastic when it comes to the fires. now, a lot of this rain probably isn't going to make it to the ground. no measurable amounts of rain expected. if we see rain, paired with that rain is going to be the chance of seeing lighin from that

tropical system. remember remnants of hurricane genevieve? that's pushing north, interacting with the high pressure to our east. you can see it there. those two create sort of an instability in our atmosphere. that's what drives those thunderstorms. again, this will bring the chance of probably seeing dry lightning much like we saw last sunday. dry lightning is when we start to see the rain and it dries out as it falls through that dry layer of the atmosphere to the surface and we don't really get much rain from it, but we definitely see the risk. what's the risk of lightning? let's put this in perspective. highest surge of moisture will be tonight into monday morning. again, a lot of that rain will evaporate before it reaches the surface and winds push through the bay area. this is rare. we only average two to three thunderstorms per year. you guys remember last sunday. we're seeing that again today. so something to keep in mind as

we head in towards this afternoon and this evening. we're going to see that risk. the biggest concern is the potential for some of these lightning strikes to start new fires once again, like we saw last weekend. i'll be updating you on all my social media platforms throughout the morning. >> vianey, thank you so much. as we look at the potential of winds changing direction, it will be a precarious night for firefighters. things could change. last night things changed for people in and around the scu fire. let's go to roz plater in alameda county this morning. roz, good morning. >> reporter: good morning. we're in alameda county. the reason we're told that warning turned into an order in early this morning is because of the fears that the fire might spread rapidly. if we get that weather, take a look at some of the preparations we've seen so far this morning. we see fire engines and crews lined up along calaveras road.

there is a lot of livestock and farmland, fire officials want people to start their evacuations early. there are limited ways of getting out of this area and there are multiple road closures already. we have seen a number of livestock trailers come through here. we'll keep an eye on all of those. we'll also keep an eye on the weather, that will determine what happens around here. roz plater, "today in the bay." >> thanks for that update, roz. it's scary to think we might be seeing lightning for the second sunday in a row, which is of course what led to all these fires being sparked across the bay area. we'll be sure to keep you up to date on nbcbayarea.com and all of our social media platforms at nbc bay area. we hope you all stay safe. we want to thank you so much for making us a part of your morning. we'll have more local news for you tonight at 4:30, 6:00, and 11, and all day on nbcbayarea.com, as i mentioned. a live look hazy skies over san.

have a great morning.