is expected to last several hours, but if you want to check your local news you can stay with us, we will have our midday newscast at 11:00 a.m., we will be streaming it live on our website at nbcbayarea.com as well as roku, apple tv and amazon this thursday morning all eyes are on the economy. >> millions of families waiting to see what happens with those sky high prices. it is october 13th, this is "today." >> inflation nation, with americans already digging deep to pay for food, rent, and gas, growing fears this morning the u.s. is on the verge of a recession. wall street and main street now bracing for today's key report on where things stand. we'll break down what it all means for your family. new twist, a trump employee tells investigators the former

president directed boxes of documents be moved at mar-a-lago allegedly after he was subpoenaed to return them. this as the january 6th committee gets set for what's likely its final hearing today promising new evidence on the plot to overturn the 2020 election. we'll have the very latest. storm alert, millions bracing for severe weather up and down the east coast today from a system that spawned tornados and damage from wisconsin all the way to georgia. >> there is a tornado right in front of me, unbelievable. >> al's full forecast just ahead. sending a message, new drama surrounding tom brady and gisele bundchen's marriage. the supermodel raising eyebrows with a post about relationships. and the football star getting candid about coping with stress in his life. >> it's just things i'm going through in my 40s, and it's life. and you learn to grow up and you learn to deal with life. >> we'll have the latest. all that, plus, oh, my gourd.

inside the pumpkin spike in prices just in time for your halloween celebration. and take a dander, a goose interrupts the major league playoffs. >> we thought we saw everything in the game, and now a new friend wants to join our party. >> grabbing a seat in the middle of the outfield. >> the crowd is going crazy when they showed him on the big screen. look at that thing. >> and giving new meaning to fowl ball, today, october 13th, 2022. >> announcer: from nbc news, this is "today" with savannah guthrie and hoda kotb from studio 1a in rockefeller plaza. good morning, welcome to "today." it's 7:00 a.m. on the west coast t. is a thursday morning. so glad you're with us. i have a feeling a lot of folks in l.a. were watching that game and watching that goose. >> a little goose ready for its

close-up there at the dodgers padres game last night. we're r we're also tracking severe weather in this part of the country, record highs across the pacific northwest and some folks seeing temperatures 15 degrees above average. we're going to get al's forecast for the west in just a bit. we do start with the inflation problem that will not go away. a short time ago, a key snapshot of the economy was released tracking everything from what we buy at the grocery store to housing and energy, so what does it tell us? nbc's tom costello joins us now with the very latest. hey, tom, good morning. prices were up 2.2% year-over-year in september, though down just a fraction from their august levels. this now adds more pressure on the federal reserve to keep hiking interest rates to tame inflation without pushing the economy into recession. with america's collective wallet already stretched thin, there

are new signs this morning that decades' high inflation remains red hot with no immediate signs of slowing down. that's prompted the influential international monetary fund, the imf to downgrade its forecast for global growth in the coming year. >> in short, the worst is yet to come and for many people, 2023 will feel like a recession. >> reporter: the imf cites global inflation, russia's ongoing war in ukraine, and covid-related slowdowns in china as key factors impacting the global economy. president biden saying the country's jobs market remains strong, now admits a recession could be in the cards. >> i don't think there will be a recession. if it is, it will be a very slight recession. that is we'll move down slightly. >> reporter: and while americans are paying more for gas, groceries and other goods, so are the companies that make