with just 15 days until the

election, the candidates make their final pitches to voters. donald trump manning the frier at mcdonald's and turning heads with his profane comments about kamala harris. we're live with her response. how the country's top pollsters are racing to get it right this election season. breaking overnight, a fiery helicopter crash in houston kills multiple people, including a child. authorities now on scene, investigating how the chopper struck a radio tower. deadly flash floods sweep new mexico. record rainfall swamps roads and homes in roswell, killing at least two. inside the race to rescue over 300 people stranded by theistic storm. check your freezers. hundreds of frozen waffle products are under recall over a listeria risk. the major store brands affected. and excitement reaching a fever pitch for every sports fan. a coast-to-coast world series set overnight, while the liberty clinch their first washinba tit.

"early today" starts right now. good morning. glad you're with me. i'm frances rivera. we begin with a countdown to election day with only 15 days left. vice president harris will sweep through different swing states, three different ones today. former president trump will tour hurricane damage in asheville, north carolina before holding a rally in greenville. governor tim walz will be on a media tour today. harris' running mate is expected to appear on "the view" and the daily show. alice barr joins me now. good morning, alice. the candidates just wrapped up a very busy weekend. >> very busy indeed. good morning to you, frances. vice president harris celebrated her 60th birthday with a special guest, the legendary stevie wonder attended a church event with harris in georgia where he sang her happy birthday. vice president harris called it a bucket list experience.

former president trump spent sunday evening in pittsburgh watching the steelers take on the jets. earlier he took on the role of fry cooker at a mcdonald's outside of philadelphia. the former president has been pushing unfounded claims that his opponent lied about working at a mcdonald's while she was in college. mr. trump also made profane comments about harris at a rally, which she responded to last night on msnbc. >> so you have to tell kamala harris that you've had enough, that you just can't take it anymore. we can't stand you. you're a [ bleep ] vice president. >> what you see in my opponent, a former president of the united states really is -- it demeans the office. >> billionaire elon musk made a surprising promise while campaigning for former president trump, saying he will give away a million dollars every day to a randomly selected pennsylvania

voter who signs his petition in favor of free speech and the right to bear arms. on "meet the press," pennsylvania's governor, josh shapiro questioned the legality of this giveaway and said it's something law enforcement should be taking a look at. it's unclear if federal authorities are looking into this matter. elon musk did not respond to a request for comment. frances? >> alice, thank you. israel launched a series of air strikes in lebanon's capital on sunday, targeting branches of hezbollah's financial arm. this as u.s. officials investigate an apparent leak of two top secret intelligence documents on israel's plan to attack iran. let's go live to nbc foreign correspondent claudio lavanga. good morning, claudio. >> good morning, frances. well a financial association as an alternative to the traditional banking system in lebanon. that's why israel has decided to

attack it. apart from offering financial services to regular citizens, it is considered to be hezbollah's de facto banking arm. so on sunday, the israeli defense forces warned residents living near the branches of the institution, which as a record bank, they are situated in ground floors of residential buildings, deemed residential areas, prompting a widespread evacuation. shortly after that, israel carried out eight widespread air strikes against the branchs in beirut and elsewhere in lebanon. now on those that you were talking about, the document leaks you were talking about, u.s. officials confirmed that there is an investigation open on the leaking of two top secret u.s. documents that allegedly describe or assessed israel's imminent attacks on iran will now be documents up here posted

first on the telegram channel described as an independent news aggregator, even though it's considered to be pro-iranian. one document describes how the israeli air force continues to prepare for an attack on iran with multiple aircraft. the other document describes how the israeli defense forces continue their munitions preparations for what, and i quote the document says, certainly a strike against iran. back to you, frances. >> claudio, thank you. now to breaking news. authorities say several people, including a child are dead after a helicopter crashed into a radio tower in houston. it happened shortly before 8:00 p.m. local time in the city's second ward neighborhood. police did not provide an exact death toll, but four people were on board the robinson r-44 helicopter. no one on the ground was hurt. the crash sparked a fire that spread as far as three blocks before it was stopped. the ntsb and the faa will investigate the accident. sean "diddy" combs is facing another slew of lawsuits

accusing him of sexual assault and rape. nbc news has obtained five civil suits filed in the southern district of new york. one of the plaintiffs accuses combs of raping her when she was 13. representatives for rap mogul did not return nbc news' request for comment. combs is currently being held without bail in brooklyn on federal racketeering and sex trafficking charges. he denies criminal wrongdoing. the trial is set to start may 5th. now to a state of emergency in new mexico's chaves county. at least two people were killed and 300 others were rescued after a historic deluge triggered flash flooding. nbc's george solis has the latest. >> reporter: southeastern new mexico reeling after historic and deadly flooding hit saturday. torrential rains slamming roswell with incredible force, an all-time record of nearly 6 inches in just a few hours. >> roswell.

i'm going get on the roof, i think. >> reporter: nearly knee-deep murky waters at this banquet hall during a celebration into an evacuation. emergency calls revealing the unfolding chaos. >> i just got a call about a coup of kids stuck on a roof and multiple houses over there have people stuck up on their cabinets. >> reporter: the new mexico national guard alongside other agencies rescuing nearly 300 people and even a dog stranded in floodwaters. >> i am completely surrounded by water. >> reporter: watch this dramatic moment as travis county sheriff got on his car roof to survive the sudden flood as he warned others to get off the road. >> that is the side of my truck. and there are multiple vehicles came into this, not expecting that much water. and before i know it, i was swept off into this. >> reporter: while water levels have started to recede in some parts, some areas remain dangerous. officials warning residents to stay off the roads.

flood watches continue with more rain in the forecast. >> i guess i'm not going that way. >> reporter: adding insult to injury in this deadly and already historic deluge. george solis, nbc news. >> okay. we're well into fall, but it's not feeling like it depending where you're at. michelle grossman is tracking an october warm-up. we actually went to the beach yesterday for a little bit. >> it felt like summer. temperatures into the 80s in so many spots. it's not just the northeast. we're seeing the warmth stretched across the great lakes into the midwest. the northern plains, temperatures 10, even 30 degrees above normal for this time of year. we're going chase october records on this monday, even tuesday we're going to be warm once again. take a look at some of the numbers. minneapolis, 82 today. that's 27 degrees above normal for this time of year. rocke chicago, well above normal for this time of year. and as we look towards tomorrow, we're looking at temperatures well above normal once again,

into the 70s and 80s. rochester 23 degrees above average. that's 80 degrees. 71 in milwaukee. sioux falls, 75 degrees. we're going cool down back to normal as we head towards wednesday, thursday, friday, especially by friday. only in the 60s in land. new york city 63 on thursday. 60 on friday. and boston just 55. so we're going feel a little bit more like october as we head to sunshine. we're going to be dry for most of the south. 85 in houston. 48 in dallas. that's your monday forecast. >> thank you so much, michelle. >> sure. smile 2 had the box office grinning for opening weekend. the horror sequel scared up $23 million, scoring paramounts' fourth top movie this year. the wild robot was second place.

terrifier 3 took third. the joker sequel continues its historic slide falling all the way to the sixth spot just three weeks into its run. "early today" is back in a minute with how top pollsters are working to get it right this year, and sparks fly as the steelers take down the jets in a sunday night blowout. we've got those highlights. inez, let me ask you, you're using head & shoulders, right? only when i see flakes. then i switch back to my regular shampoo. you should use it every wash, otherwise the flakes will come back. he's right, you know. is that tiny troy? the ingredients in head & shoulders keep the microbes that cause flakes at bay. microbes, really? they're always on your scalp... but good news, there's no itchiness, dryness or flakes down here. i love tiny troy. and his tiny gorgeous hair. make every wash count! and for stubborn dandruff, try head & shoulders clinical strength.

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modern-day polling. >> sorry that we missed you. >> sorry we missed you. >> getting voters to pick up the phone and answer. >> i've had days where i just dialed and dialed and dialed and got no surveys. >> reporter: and that feeds into the hardest part of polling. >> we're conducting an independent public opinion survey. >> reporter: getting it right. >> we really want the represent everyone's views in our poll. >> reporter: after a surprise donald trump win in 2016 -- >> the polling missed the 2016 election outcome. >> reporter: and a surprisingly close joe biden win in 2020. >> a lot of folks are waking up and saying why were these seeming to be so off. >> they do manually dial. >> reporter: quinnipiac university's pollsters doug and others like them have tweaked their methods. how do you think about what happened there and what you're doing now? >> some pollsters are thinking it's because they missed the trump voter, and then for us, we don't feel like we missed

reaching the trump voter. we got the trump voter. they were in our poll, but they didn't tell us how they would vote. this time around we're better prepared. >> so they're rephrasing their questions. >> if election for president were being held today -- >> doing everything they can to reach those. >> hello? >> who are hard to reach. >> we try hard to reach the hard the reach people. so we keep dial. >> reporter: their new methodology showing results. >> we tested that in 2022. we had one of our most accurate elections ever. >> reporter: experts point to a variety of reasons for pastor roars. trump voters who may avoid surveys and pollsters trying to predict who will turn out to vote. >> polling is always hard because as a pollster, i need to make my day look like what i think the electorate is going to look like. >> reporter: will the electorate be more republican or democratic? how many first-time voters? >> it's like a 50-50 coin toss whether they're going to be right. >> reporter: these are the poll averages right now in all the battleground states.

if those polls are off the same they were in 2016 and 2020, donald trump is in great shape. but these poller roars don't always happen in the same direction. if they're off by the same amount, but this time underestimating democrats, this is what those states would look like. >> how much attention have you been paying to the election? >> so everybody is asking are the polls going get it right this year? what do you say to that? >> i think so. at least in terms of the high quality polls. >> i think people need to remember it's an estimate. it's a range. don't expect perfection. >> reporter: polling perfection? >> is it very likely? >> reporter: is hard to reach. >> she dropped me. darn it. >> reporter: as some voters. steve kornacki, nbc news, hamden, connecticut. still to come, the east-west coast rivalry. find out who rose to the prime-time victory. coming back. start to break away from uc with tremfya...

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back at the 10, in the end zone, pickens, got it! touchdown, pittsburgh. >> russell wilson took the jets for a turbulent ride on sunday night football. that touchdown pass to george pickens sparked a run of 31 unanswered points while the steelers' aaron rodgers and the jets struggled to get their offense going in the second half. pittsburgh gets the convincing win, 37-15. pittsburgh having the highest scoring game so far this year. russ wilson leading the way with his first start with him because of his injuries. >> i like to see that. i feel like he is kind of at the tail end of his career. so it's kind of good to see that. and aaron rodgers, hope he turns it around. and seven weeks into the season, the vikings suffered their first loss of the season in an epic clash with the lions, who won on a go-ahead field goal, 31-29. that makes the chiefs the last team without a loss. mahomes and company punch in for

four scorers on the ground in sunday's super bowl match with the 49ers. their defense put san fran down back in the 28-18 win. no comeback there, although the kicker, i can't remember his name, he made the kick. so it's sort of redemption from the super bowl miss. >> we'll see how long kansas city can ride this wave, as they do. the fall classic is now going coast-to-coast. >> it all happens. there is a bouncing ball to second. taylor's got it. los angeles and they're headed to the world series! >> there you have the dodgers taking the national league pennant in game six of the nlcs sunday, ending the magic postseason run in a 10-5 victory. it sets up clash of the titans between the dodgers and the new york yankees who punched their suck it saturday night against the guardians. that game seemed like it lasted well into the night. the two-storied franchises kick off their first world series matchup since 1981 at dodger stadium this friday.

you'll see shohei ohtani and judge. it's just going to be epic coast-to-coast. >> yeah, it's going to be great. i think a lot of viewers watching. and the yanks will look to follow in the footsteps of the big apple's latest champions in a decisive game 5. the new york liberty enneared another comeback against the minnesota lynx. delivering just seven points to pull away for good. the franchise one of the founding members of the wnba wins their first title in their. john paul jones, who led the team with 17 points and the win was named finals mvp. and what a series that was. i think it brought people who didn't watch it to the game. >> which wnba has been doing. okay, when we come back, clear skies may be on the way for boeing and its union. and a rare pce oief history sold at auction to the tune of millions.

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headlines this monday morning. boeing has reached a tentative deal with its machinist union that could end the strike that has stretched over a month. the proposal includes 35% wage increases over four years. tree house foods is recalling hundreds of frozen waffle products over a possible listeria contamination. the products are sold under a variety of store brand names at retailers like walmart and target as well as private labels like kodiak. a rare copy of the u.s. constitution just sold at a north carolina auction for $9 million. it was printed in 1787. only whe. then i switch back to my regular shampoo. you should use it every wash, otherwise the flakes will come back. he's right, you know. is that tiny troy? the ingredients in head & shoulders keep the microbes that cause flakes at bay. microbes, really? they're always on your scalp... but good news, there's no itchiness, dryness or flakes down here. i love tiny troy. and his tiny gorgeous hair. make every wash count!

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own jose diaz-balart has some good news to kick off your week. >> how's this for a halftime show? that's 12-year-old landon. >> all right, landon, ring the bell! >> wowing the washington commanders crowd, ringing the bell on the field to mark his remission from stage 4 cancer. his energy, his joy, giving everyone in the stadium a reason to celebrate. >> yes! >> and here is a guy who knows a thing or two about team work. when dr. shane was racing toward the finish line at the new jersey marathon, a fellow runner crykris crystal reenholt wouldn believe. he rode with her to the hospital before coming back to finish the race, and later cutting his

medal in half, splitting it with crystal. >> how can i go about looking at this medal and not sharing this with someone that made so it significant for me. >> it's just so symbolic for not finishing the race, it is by far my medal of all my races. >> reporter: in north carolina, that sweet dog there, that's tucker. he just helped save 11-year-old jayme parker's life. jamie was trapped under this rubble following a mudslide triggered by hurricane helene, but tucker stood on top of the pile where jamie was trapped, barking to alert rescue crews who finally got the boy out. their bond unbreakable. just a few years ago, jamie used his allowance money to save tucker from a shelter, rescuing him. but this time -- >> he rescued me. >> i'm a steamroller baby. >> at the navy officer development in newport, rhode island, medical officer patricia

weinstein ran to greet her proud family, shocked to see a special guest. that's her hero, patricia's 91-year-old granddad allen jacobson, a navy and air force veteran in full uniform, finding the strength to stand and salute his granddaughter. >> and what did it mean to you to have him there? >> everything. i was absolutely shocked. i was absolutely blown away. i had found out he'd been practicing his salute in physical therapy so he would be able to give me a proper salute. and it was probably one of the best moments of my life. >> our thanks to jose diaz-balart for that. it's always so great to start the week with a big smile on your face and maybe a little tear too based on those stories. thanks for being with me for "early today." i'm frances rivera. hope you have

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