with one day to go before election day, both candidates crisscrossing battlegrounds to shore up their base and reach the few remaining undecided

voters. this as donald trump and kamala harris are neck and neck in the latest nbc news polls. and a surprise in iowa. harris pulls ahead in one of the most trusted polls in that state. an israeli court reveals that a leak of classified documents about gaza may have undermined efforts to free hostages. that leak now tied to a netanyahu aide. we're live with the fallout in israel. tornadoes ripped through oklahoma, damaging dozens of homes and leaving at least 11 people hurt. and the severe weather threat isn't over. meteorologist michelle grossman is here tracking it all. the minnesota vikings and indianapolis colts case off on sunday night football. who came out on top? plus, more highlights from week nine. and we introduce you to a group of musicians trying to unite people and keep them calm by serenading them at the polls. it's monday, november 4th. "early today" starts right now.

good morning. glad you're with me. i'm frances rivera. with less than 24 hours until election day, the race still appears incredibly tight. the final poll from nbc news shows the candidates tied with 2% of registered voters undecided. there is still a major gender divide with more men supporting donald trump and vice president harris has a similar advantage among women. today, the harris campaign will go all in on pennsylvania with a series of events and concerts. donald trump will travel to three swing states. here is nbc's garrett haake. >> reporter: duelling strategies from duelling campaigns in the race's closing weekend. a noticeably angry donald trump hammering kamala harris in pennsylvania at his first of three planned rallies in three states. >> that horrible, terrible, the worse ever vice president.

>> reporter: lashing out at democrats. >> it's a very demonic party. >> reporter: the former president remarking on the bulletproof glass that mostly enclosed him on stage, noting that anyone who might want to shoot him would have to fire through the reporters covering him. >> i have this piece of glass here, but all we really have over here is the fake news. and to get me, somebody would have to shoot through the fake news. and i don't mind that so much. >> reporter: trump's campaign later issuing a statement that did not disavow his remarks, reading in part, quote, president trump was stating that the media was in danger in that they were protecting him and therefore were in great danger themselves. also making headlines after rfk junior saying a new trump administration would advise, quote, all u.s. water systems to remove fluoride from public water, trump telling nbc news the fluoride removal idea, quote, sounds okay to me. >> so good to worship with you all. >> reporter: meanwhile, harris focusing on michigan, trying to energize black voters at a church in detroit.

>> when i think about the days ahead and the god we serve, we were born for such a time as this. >> reporter: and later, at black-owned business outside detroit. and reaching out to arab and muslim voters angry about the administration's handling of the war in the middle east. >> we need to end the war, and we need to get the hostages out. and as president of the united states, he will do everything in my power to achieve that end and a two-state solution. >> reporter: harris making a surprise appearance on "saturday night live," giving the show's version of herself a pep talk. >> the american people want to stop the chaos. >> and end the drama-la. >> with a cool new step mamala. >> kick back in our pajamalas and ramp a ram kamala. >> like a legally blondala. >> thanks to garrett for that report. now to the midwest an a state that had not been on the political radar. new polling out of iowa suggests that that state may not be

solidly red anymore. nbc's maura barrett went there to talk to voters. >> reporter: a midwest surprise. >> i didn't have this on my good evening behnke gal card. >> reporter: the highly respected des moines register poll showing kamala harris leading donald trump in a solidly republican state of iowa. >> it's kind of nice to see people are thinking twice, thinking more of not just kind of one-side, but more open-minded. >> reporter: the polls showing harris leading, but within the margin of error. a dramatic shift from september when trump led by four points. the change fueled by senior women and independent women. >> i feel like democracy needs to be defended. >> reporter: iowa, not normally a battleground in recent elections and has been ignored by both candidates in their final pitches. trump dismissing the polls. >> they just announced a fake poll. hey, think of it. right before the election that i'm three points down. i'm not down in iowa.

>> reporter: one possible contributing factor, iowa passed a strict abortion ban this summerwhich may be energizing women to vote. >> it should be between the person and their provider, not the government. >> this election unfortunately. >> this latest poll seems a bit off. >> reporter: university of iowa political science professor tim hagel echoing skepticism from republican and democratic strategists. >> if harris wins iowa, how does that shift the larger electoral map? >> we've only got six electoral votes. if it shifts to harris' side, it's a 12-vote shift. trump could have to win some other states in order to compensate for that. so that could be problematic. >> our thanks to maura for that report. israeli authorities are investigating after the suspected league of classified gaza intelligence, allegedly involving an aide to prime minister benjamin netanyahu. an israeli court saying sunday the leak compromised security sources and could have harmed efforts to release hostages.

it comes the same day the idf announced a recent special operation in syria led to the detainment of a, quote, iranian terror network operative. let's turn now to nbc's claudio lavanga. good morning, claudio. >> reporter: good morning, frances. well, that leaked document on gaza first appeared on a german newspaper on september. it appeared to contain the details about the negotiation strategy of hamas during that time. now more details are slowly coming out from that document because the israeli court only lifted the gag order on sunday. but the idf, the israeli defense forces did confirm that confidential sensitive information was leaked and the israeli court said that information could have caused serious harm to israel's state security, and also to the efforts to have the remaining hostages in gaza released. now, as you mentioned, one of the four suspects is allegedly a media adviser for the israeli prime minister, benjamin netanyahu, leading critics to

claim that it was done so to provide political cover to the israeli prime minister at the time when negotiations between israel and hamas ground us to a halt. now in the meantime, as you mentioned, the idf in a statement in recent months they carried out what they called a special ground operation in syria during which they detained an iranian terror network operative called ali soleiman al assi, claiming that he was gathering information on israeli troops on the border. frances? >> okay, claudio lavanga for us, claude yes, thank you. back here at home, at least 11 people were injured after severe storms tore across oklahoma sunday, spawning destructive tornadoes. heavy rain and winds designated neighborhoods, flipping cars and leavieing tens of thousands without power. the governor enacting an emergency declaration for six counties. the national weather service

confirmed at least five preliminary tornadoes across oklahoma, texas, and new mexico. and the threat isn't over this morning. more severe weather is now pushing east across the plains. let's bring in nbc meteorologist michelle grossman for the latest on that. hi, michelle. germany. >> hi there, frances. great to see you. a stormy start to the week, the chance for hail. some heavy downpour, damaging winds, and also a chance of a few tornadoes. you can see we're really active, even on this early morning monday morning with heavy rain falling. you see lightning throughout texas, also oklahoma. there is the heavy rain where you see the darker returns. also looking at snow in portions of the rockies. that's going to taper off throughout the day. and then a new storm system moves into the pacific northwest bringing heavy mountain snow there. but the bulls-eye for the rain will be from the south central states to the ozarks. 17 million people at risk for severe storms. that includes the winds gusting up to 60 miles per hour. could see a few tornadoes possible, especially where you look at this, fort smith,

ardmore, north of dallas could see some strong storms as we go throughout this monday. concerns about flooding as well that includes flash flooding. 7 million under flash flood d 4. 42 in denver. 48 in bismarck. all right. that's your monday forecast. thank you so much. >> michelle. breaking news overnight. music titan quincy jones has died peacefully in his los angeles home surrounded by his family. his publicist tells nbc news. the musical tenure of the multi-grammy winning producer spanned over seven decades, beginning in the post swing era. he worked with michael jackson producing his thriller album. he also collaborated with hundreds of artists including

frank sinatra and ray charles. quincy i don't understand was 91 years old. wump, why a group of musicians are playing music at polling locations across the u.s. first, sunday night football highlights. keep it here. weed, moderate to severe ulcerative colitis symptoms can keep coming back. start to break away from uc with tremfya... with rapid relief at 4 weeks. tremfya blocks a key source of inflammation. at one year, many people experienced remission... and some saw 100% visible healing of their intestinal lining. serious allergic reactions and increased risk of infections may occur. before treatment, your doctor should check you for infections and tb. tell your doctor if you have an infection, flu-like symptoms or if you need a vaccine. healing is possible with tremfya. ask your doctor about tremfya today. ♪ what is cirkul? cirkul is

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blowouts. and down the wire contests. tyler bass nailed a 61-yard kick, the longest of his career to give the bills the season sweep over the dolphins, 30-27. the ravens snapped back to form. lamar jackson and company dropped 41 points on a strong broncos defense. and in philly, saquon barkley scored two touchdowns and put on an aerobatic spectacle for fans. the eagles managed to fend off a late comeback effort by the jaguars in a game-stealing interception. and the los angeles braved the elements in lambeau field in a 24-14 victory over the rival packers. 7-1 for the first time since 1956. and the rams got the better of the seahawks in an overtime thriller. demarcus scored his second touchdown of the game and ended it for l.a. with an incredible one-handed grab. well, it was the first sunday in november, and all eyes

were on the streets of the five boroughs. over 50,000 runners descended on new york city yesterday for the 53rd annual marathon. the first to cross the finish line in central park was sheila chepkirui of kenya. the first-time runner finished 14 seconds ahead of defending women's champ hellen obiri. shortly after the abdi nageeye. nbc's richard lui is here to help us through the early voting data can hours to good before election day. e-changing programs and services. i faced my ptsd, and i'm a better husband and father because of it. we help warriors get the expert care and support to thrive. i got involved. i got healthier. i got to be an athlete again. through our programs, community and advocacy, we're proving anything is possible.

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drop yourselves in. we've got one more day to go before election day, and then early voting turnout is already reaching record levels. so what early voting trends are starting to emerge? let's turn to our richard lui. he is here with on that.

>> one day too go. so much data. good morning to you, frances. a look at early voters, they are consistent. energized voters, what some call the super voters, if you will, and this year we are setting a record of them. i was just checking our data dae we are at 76 million so far. it's the most ever if you remove the covid phenomenon of 2020. in 2012 and 2016, when you look it, that was 36% of total votes for those election year. in 2020 it was 64 of all votes cast. we could see another record year this year. according to our nbc news poll just out, 65% of us are saying that we have or we will vote early. one-third saying that we're going to vote on election day. and evidently, when you vote, it

seems to say who you're going to vote for on average. you vote early, 7 percentage points above for favoring harris. if you vote on election day, the numbers plus 16 percentage points, frances, and also interesting tofactor in when you look at all of this, of course, is which way you will lean. >> when you're thinking of, that it's also interesting to factor in when it comes to who the red voters are, the blue voters. how does that break down when it comes to the parties? >> let's look at the core seven battleground states here, frances. when we look at that, as of today, it is still really close. four states had more early voters going for -- excuse me, that are registered republicans where we have data. arizona, georgia, north carolina, nevada. very, very close there. and three other states, democrats are ahead in terms of registering as democrats and voting early. now the one to watch, though, pennsylvania. plus 24% here when we look at

those who voted early and were democrats. the rest were mid single digit percentages all the way around. and again, pennsylvania 24% ahead. nationwide, let me show you those numbers. looking at democrats 41%. republicans 39. it remains unbelievable as you were saying at the top of the show. very, very close. typically, you would see more democrats that are voting early. this year you can see republicans coming on strong. some days surpassing the democrats on early voting. the wild card,ings of, it's 20% at the bottom, frances. which way did they go so far in early voting. that is the question we want to know. how about age and gender. >> age and gender, when we look at that, early votes very quickly here. women surpassing men. pennsylvania 13 percentage points, up. georgia 12. michigan, 11%. this is all as of november 4th when we look at women voting

early. 13 percentage points again for pennsylvania. georgia, 12. and both 11 down here. nationwide, let me show you those numbers. 53% women. 44% men. 3% unknown. you can see the percentage point here. 9 percentage points difference here in 2020, by the way. that was an 11 percentage point difference. so we talked a lot, frances, about this bump of early voting by women. it appears it's not showing up as of yet. >> wow. okay. time will tell. the clock is ticking. razor thin race. and here we are one more day. richard, thank you. when we come back here on "early today," chloe grace moretz gets personal in her presidential endorsement. and preps for the macy's thanksgiving day parade were up in the air this weekend.

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young women who didn't need to die. now, 1 in 3 women live under a trump abortion ban. and if he's elected, everyone will. there has to be some form of punishment. i'm kamala harris, and i approve this message. (man) what if she doesn't like it? there has to be some (woman) this time is different. this has real chicken, sweet potatoes, and brown rice. (man) oh yeah, blue tastefuls is different. (woman) looks like it's blue tastefuls from now on. (vo) blue tastefuls...a taste they'll love. made from natural ingredients. (vo) it's high noon and the winner's clear. 7 out of 10 cats prefer blue tastefuls chicken to iams chicken... and with tastefuls' delicious natural ingredients... it's easy to see why. blue tastefuls, a taste cats love made with natural ingredients.

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. we're back with a group of musicians trying to bring people together by playing live music at polling locations across the country. here is hallie jackson. ♪

>> reporter: when professional musician mike block goes to the polls this tuesday, he'll be bringing his cello and good vibes. ♪ it's part of a movement he started back in 2020 called play for the vote. >> with a stressful time during the pandemic. so i had this flash of an idea. what if the music is making me feel better, what if i went to my polling location on election day and tried to help my community feel better. ♪ >> reporter: his big idea catching on. ♪ mike rallied more than a thousand musicians back then. and for this election day, the group is hoping for thousands more in all 50 states. ♪ violinist sarah was there last time and can't wait to go back.

>> a lot of focus on what divides us and our differences. but we all share music as an experience. we all share this amazing experience of being able to vote. ♪ >> reporter: play for the vote even has the backing of big names like yo-yo ma. >> would you please consider going to the poll. bring your instrument. >> reporter: music energizing and uniting voters in other communities too. school marching bands leading the way to the polls during early voting like these around dayton, ohio. and then there is the north carolina central university sound machine. with jalen joyner drumming up excitement. >> i saw people smiling, waving.

they were excited to have us there. it gave positive energy to see a lot of people cared about going out to vote and making a change. >> reporter: it's a movement hitting all the right notes, inspiring others to be heard in this historic election. >> and we can use that unifying power of music. our thanks to halle for that. coming up morning on "today," inside the game goes behind the scenes with the minnesota vikings and the fun tradition of the touchdown dances that they're known for. and of course our continuing coverage on this final day before the election with team coverage on the ground in pennsylvania, and steve kornacki at the big board. "early today."ng with me for i'

donald trump and kamala harris close out the 2024 presidential campaign with a final push