>> have a great day everybody sunshine and day rain tomorrow good morning. washed away. after damaging or destroying more than 4,000 homes in north dakota, there's new flooding concerns this morning in the northern plains, as officials keep their eyes on two nuclear power plants in nebraska, along the swollen missouri river. targeting gadhafi. libya's leader is targeted. he refuses to give up power. nato airstrikes pass the 100-day mark. gaining ground. as congresswoman michele bachman jumps into the gop presidential race, a new poll finds she's a co-favorite with mitt romney in that key early state. we'll get the latest on the

crowd feel as the race heats this up this morning, monday, crowd feel as the race heats this up this morning, monday, june 27th, 2011. captioning funded by cbs >> good morning. welcome to "the early show" here good morning. welcome to "the early show" here on a monday morning. i'm chris wragge. >> and i'm rebecca. erica hill has the day off. >> tim pawlenty spent a lot of time in iowa this spring and has only 6%. governor pawlenty will be here this morning. we'll ask him about his showing and what it means for his campaign. he spent 26 days there already and television, has spent considerable money in that state for little results at this point. >> we have seen other people go through this similar thing and actually pull ahead later in the game. we certainly will ask him about

that. we begin with the latest on the midwest flooding. the situation starts to ease just a little in minot, north dakota. there are new worries for a pair of nuclear power plants along the flooded moss river. jamie yuccas of wcco-tv is in minot with the latest. >> reporter: good morning, rebecca. people getting welcomed news this morning that the river crested over the weekend and water levels are starting to go down. further south in nebraska, they're seeing water level rise on missouri river there, threatening two nuclear power plants near omaha. 20 miles north of omaha, the ft. calhoun power plant has been closed since april for refueling. it's here where a collective wall or berm collapsed yesterday after river levels reached dangerous levels. >> they've been designed to what we think historically is the largest possible flood. this plant is set to deal with a

flood at a much higher level than we're seeing now. >> reporter: gregory jaczko toured the other plant, cooper plant south of omaha is still dry at this point. if the river rises another three feet, the nrc will have to shut down the plant. >> anything is possible. right now that's not anticipated that we would see the water levels get that high. >> reporter: the missouri river is not expected to crest for several days. in north dakota, the mouse river is heading back down, but more than 11,000 residents remain displaced from their homes. >> going through this has been worth it. it's brought us closer together and it's reminding us of what is truly valuable. >> reporter: today the mouse river was flowing fiercely at six feet above major flood stage through the neighborhoods in minot. over at minot municipal auditorium, the red cross shelters many of the evacuees.

>> here we are until we find a place to stay for a while and then decide what we're going to do. >> reporter: while the water levels are dropping here, people may not be able to get to their homes for days, if not weeks. >> difficult stuff. thanks for joining us, jamie yuccas in minot, north dakota. this morning, moammar gadhafi, his son are facing charges of international war crimes. rebels say they're pushing closer to the capital. we'll get the latest from dana lewis in libya as well as analysis from former secretary of state jamie rubin. we begin with mark phillips, who joins us from london this morning. mark, good morning. >> chris, the judges at the international criminal court have been asked by the court's prosecutors to issue an arrest warrant for moammar gadhafi. this morning, they have done so. that means that gadhafi is not just fighting an internal war against rebel forces and nato's airplanes. it means he becomes an internationally wanted man.

that moammar gadhafi is an eccentric irritant is a fact. whether he is a war criminal is a matter before the international court. it is gadhafi's conduct in libya es current civil war that prosecutors say. demonstrators were shot at by gadhafi's forces and from misrata, where government forces are said to have used sniper fire on the civilian population and to have shelled the town. not just the libyan leader is cited by the prosecution. his son, who acted as the regime's frontman earlier in the conflict, but who has gone quiet lately is also accused, as is the country's shadowy

intelligence chief. moammar gadhafi has been accused in the past of supporting international terrorist groups like the ira and those behind the lockerbie bombing. this is the first time that proceedings have been initiated against him. an arrest warrant from the international criminal court increases the pressure on moammar gadhafi, but it doesn't mean he's about to face justice. any country accepting the icc's jurisdiction is obliged to arrest him if he shows up there. one more reason now the safest place that moammar gadhafi could be is in tripoli. chris? >> thank you. hitting an important milestone sunday as the battle for libya drags on. dana lewis is in tripoli, libya's capital, with the latest for us. >> reporter: good morning, chris. we heard two very loud explosions in tripoli this morning. rebels in nato are claiming some progress in the capital.

critics say progress has been painstakingly slow. >> 101 days in nato's mission to force the regime to put down its arms. underequipped, sluggish and making questionable progress. the rebels are stalled to the east in misrata. adequate air cover so they can punch through gadhafi's forces and move to the capital. nato says they have to be extremely careful protecting reb rebels hiding. one-third of the number compared to a similar period in 1999 to push out the serbs. in efforts to pursue gadhafi as a war criminal may complicate offers for him to flee the country and live in exile. this man says no, no, gadhafi is no criminal. only he can lead libya. nato is the war criminal, he says. and gadhafi's regime now says it

has more than a million people armed and ready to fight nato, including these women warriors. but off camera, people tell us gadhafi has got to go and express frustration, why is nato taking so long? the rebels today also claimed some progress to the south of tripoli. they are trying to move and take over the east/west supply route to the capital of libya and cut off supplies that would bring tremendous pressure on the regime of moammar gadhafi. dana lewis, cbs news, tripoli. joining us now is former secretary of state jamie rubin, executive editor of bloomberg view. deciding to issue an arrest warrant for moammar gadhafi. does this change or impact anything on the ground in libya right now, should this happen? >> as interestingly as mark phillips pointed out in the report, the issuing of an arrest

warrant makes it less likely to have a diplomatic outcome. there's no country that he will feel safe going to, knowing there's an arrest warrant. we have these two things running against each other, the desire to figure out a way out for gadhafi to end the conflict. on the other hand, the international legal process, which makes it that much harder. >> is there a solution here? >> the only solution here, having started this conflict, is for nato to finish it successfully. remember, gadhafi was responsible for creating a regime. having prodded this lion, having poked him, you'll have to finish it off. the u.s., rather than pursuing a half-hearted effort, we're supporting the british and the french essentially, we may have to get more involved. >> libyan rebels say they're advancing against gadhafi's forces in the west, battling forces they say as close as 50

miles to tripoli. is this the time where nato and the u.s. need to step up their efforts and step in and finish this once and for all? >> once we died to use air power alone rather than ground troops -- that's a perfectly logical decision by the president -- we have to be patient. air power doesn't work as ground troops, where in the first iraqi war. air power is slower. if you want to succeed, having started this, i think there probably is a way for the united states to get involved from the front rather than just supporting the british and the french. that means more u.s. aircraft, more u.s. missiles and directing the fire much more carefully. >> we use words like finish off and succeed, is that code for kill gadhafi? is that what needs to be done? >> i don't know whether it's us doing it or someone around him doing it. it's pretty clear to me, at least, he's not leaving tripoli,

partly because he's afraid of getting arrested. so ultimately, whether it's the rebels, whether it's somebody around him or whether it's an american or british or french bomb, i think this is going to end with gadhafi dead. >> either way, it's dragging on too long in the eyes of nato and the u.s. >> you have to step up the effort if you want to get this over with. >> jamie rubin, thank you very much. jeff glor at the news desk has the headlines for us this morning. >> a fast-moving wildfire this morning has moved within a mile of the los alamos national laboratory in new mexico. that's where the first atomic bombs were developed during world war ii. this fire began yesterday. los alamos will be closed for business today. lab officials say all radioactive and hazardous materials are protected. up to 100 area homes have been evacuated. nearly two dozen people, adults and kids, are recovering from minor injuries after a frightening school bus crash

yesterday. the bus flipped over in south central pennsylvania. it was on its way to a church camp. the accident happened when the bus try ied to avoid a car that veered into its lane. you see how the bus ended up. the driver of the car may face charges. five people remain unaccounted for after a truck hit an amtrak train in nevada friday. six people were killed in that fiery crash. the train was headed from chicago to emeryville, california. police say the missing may have left the crash without telling police. the driver was cited for unsafe driving. today, president obama meets with senate leaders to try to restart talks that fell apart last week. senior u.s. correspondent bill plante has the latest. >> reporter: a deadline of july 1st, to give time to the leaders of both parties to sell any deal

to their members before early august, because that, theoretically, is when the u.s. government runs out of money to pay its bills and the interest on its bonds. both sides are now calling on president obama to step in, and take personal charge of the negotiations, following their collapse last week after the republicans walked out. today, the president will meet separately with the two senate leaders at the white house, senate democrats, led by harry reid, want to raise revenue by trimming tax breaks for wealthy people. >> we want to close those loop holes up. we do not want to raise anybody's tax rates. >> reporter: but republicans, led by senator mitch mcconnell, says any increase is off the table. >> regardless of how you go about it, it's something that this congress is not likely to do. we have a spending problem. we don't have a problem because we tax too little. >> reporter: both sides eventually thought it would come

to this. the president getting involved, as he did last april when the government was about to shut down. this is, in a way, more serious. it involves the potential default of the u.s. government and neither side really wants to let that happen. both sides are predicting that they will come to some sort of deal. jeff? >> bill, thank you. los angeles dodgers filed for bankruptcy protection this morning. owner frank mccourt blames major league baseball for rejecting a deal that would have solved the team's debts. you've heard of jumping a shark? check this out. in florida, a shark jumps a surfer. there it is. a four-foot long spinner shark went flying through the air behind a very surprised surfer. spinner sharks are not that big. they're usually about six feet. they do prefer shallow water, though. they eat fish, not humans.

good news for this >> low clouds and fog maybe drizzle as well looks like this will start to break up lots of sunshine inside the bay and valleys numbers mainly into the

50s sunny skies warming those numbers up into the 70s a few 80s inland. 50, 60 patch of fog toward the coastline tonight clouds roll in a chance of rain in the forecast tomorrow, warming up toward the end of the week thanks so much. that's your latest weather. over to chris and rebecca. good morning. hope you both had a great weekend. >> thank you. you, too. up next, michelle obama back in the states this morning after wrapping up her historic viltzity to africa. >> we'll look at the speeches, the scenes, what this trip meant to the first family, happening right here on "the early show" on cbs.

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gives you more ways to earn points. roles and offering words of inspiration and empowerment to a younger generation. >> and i want you to say with one voice, the voice of a generation, you tell them, yes, we can. >> reporter: and the wife of america's first black president met with 92-year-old nelson mandela who spent 27 years in prison to end south africa's apartheid. >> i told him, you cannot imagine how important your legacy is to who i am, to who my husband is. >> reporter: mrs. obama also later visited soweto where some

500 people died standing up to segregation. >> the story of young people who marched until their feet were raw, who endured beatings and bullets and decades behind bars, who risked and sacrificed everything they had for the freedom they deserved, it is because of them that i stand before you as first lady of the united states of america. >> reporter: tara mergener for cbs news, washington. >> one reason the first lady is so passionate will reaching africa's young, 60% of the opulation is under the age of republican presidential field. and we'll talk to tim pawlenty. this portion sponsored by expedia, the best travel tools

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washington... the u-s supreme court has rejected california's law banning the sale orf rental of time for headlines i am frank mallicoat. just in from washington the u.s. supreme court banned california's law renting violent video games to children. >> full-time people unaccounted for -- five people unaccounted for in the amtrak train crash in nevada. a man and woman rescued from the bay this morning the two jumped into the bay at hunters point san francisco after a security guard saw them trying to steal copper at an old shipping yard. a big day for curt bush lead for much of the race. valet joe native jeff gordon

finished 3 seconds behind bush. just in serena williams eliminated from wimbledon, 2007 finalist, marion bartoli. traffic and weather in just a moment ,,,,,,,,,,

good morning, new problems along 880, 84 dakota road a

couple cars tangled up you can see on our sensors traffic slow and go, 880 itself, slow and go as you work your way past the coliseum. traffic backed up through that area. once you hit the bay bridge delays also, 26 minute off the east shore freeway metering lights on extra volume into san francisco that is traffic here is lawrence. we are starting out grey in spots headed outside, mount diablo in the distance you can see starting to see things break up. mostly sunny day, many spots inland temperatures 70s and 80s inland, 60s and 70s up toward the coastline. but we have a chance at wet weather coming our way as a cold system diving in from the gulf of alaska. going to bring a chance of rain to the bay area tuesday, a few clouds left over wednesday warming up getting hot as we head in toward next weekend ,,,,,,,,

mitt romney and michele bachmann essentially running neck and neck with iowa voters according to a new poll as bachmann launches her official campaign in iowa this morning. welcome back to "the early show" everyone, i'm chris wragge along with rebecca jarvis. erica hill is off this morning. good to see you. >> good to be here, chris. thank you. we are following that new poll which by "the des moines register" newspaper is shaking up the republican race. jan crawford is in waterloo, iowa, with more on the bachmann surge. good morning, jan. >> reporter: good morning, rebecca. bachmann's advisers told me they thought she would do pretty well in the pistol, got momentum but to have her neck in neck with

front-runner mitt romney came as a surprised to them. she hasn't even started her campaign yet. it will give her a real boost. she's the face of the tea party, outsider unafraid to take on the establishment. surrounded by her family in the small town of waterloo, iowa, michele bachmann was a hometown girl who could be president. >> i am going to announce that i'm running for the presidency of the united states of america. >> reporter: thanks to our strong showing in the last republican debate a couple high profile interviews on the sunday talk shows and new "des moines register" pistol she's a front-runner for the gop nomination. in the poll of likely iowa caucus goers, massachusetts governor mitt romney is atop the field with 23% but in a statistical dead heat with bachmann at 22%. bachmann was expected to do well in iowa, she was born here in waterloo but the question is whether this queen of the tea

party can attract a wide base of support across the republican party. a former tax attorney bachmann is sharply critical of barack obama and kept it up on sunday's "face the nation." >> this is the obama deficit, obama debt, due to obama spending. >> reporter: a mother of five who also helped raise 23 foster children, bachmann's frustration with local education policy led her into politics. she is unapologetically conservative on social issues, she opposes abortion and as a state senator led the fight against gay marriage. as a presidential candidate she will be under a microscope and already is feeling some heat. >> a person who may have been on the record as saying he favored same-sex marriage, you wouldn't disqualify that person for nominating him to the supreme court? >> my primary test will be the constitution. they need to be a strong constitutional and recognize that justices should not act

outside of the bounds, neither should the congress, neither should the president. >> i'd say i don't think you answered the question. >> no, if you want to go further we will. >> reporter: at this event, she was surrounded by her children, her family, her mother. there were about 600 people. i talked to them after and the word they used to describe her is genuine, they're sick of washington and politicians, think they say one thing and do something else and they see michele bachmann as someone who is going to do what she believes. rebecca? >> jan, hang with us for a moment. we want to bring in political analyst john dickerson in washington, good morning, john. great to have you with us. what is a big surprise is how close bachmann and mitt romney are in this poll. what does it say about mitt romney's standing within the gop? >> well, iowa is a particular case, there are a lot of social conservatives in iowa and this tells us how it's shaking out at this moment in iowa.

romney hasn't campaigned particularly hard in iowa. this shows he's run before, got some people there who still like him. the question is if this is a high water mark. if his numbers start slipping his opponents can say this could be part of a larger weaker about romney. >> he's basically written off iowa at this point. jan, how does that play with voters there? >> reporter: well, they're obviously the ones i talked to last night would put mitt romney in the camp of candidates who say what they think the voters want to hear so you're seeing already in iowa i think a real shift to someone like a michele bachmann as john said and if the presumptive front-runner, the national front-runner, he really can't

afford to go way down to the bottom of that pack. he's not expecting to win iowa but doesn't want to bring up the rear either. >> john, clearly this is not the news that the pawlenty group wanted to hear out of iowa. how significant do you think this will be to his campaign and success and strength going forward? >> the pawlenty camp has to hope that this poll is as useful as the one in 2007 who showed mike huckabee who went on to win by 4%. what they have to worry about in the short term is two things, they're trying to raise money, candidates need to live and have organizations and that requires big checks and so tim pawlenty has to make the case and fund-raisers have to make the case on the phone he's a contender, and also in terms of getting supporters to line up behind him and challenges their strategy. it's a test with campaigns whether to stick to long-term strategy or shake things up in

the middle. they have to decide whether to change course or stick to the strategy. that can cause campaigns a little bit of heartburn. >> reporter: john brings up the money being an issue, insiders are saying that the struggles for the pawlenty camp to raise money have been growing for weeks. >> reporter: that's right. i'm hearing that here on the ground in iowa as well, where he has spent a lot of money on staff and a lot of time. as john indicates, what people here are saying, too, is that this really could hurt his momentum to try to build that donor base and continue those fund-raising efforts, that's why some of the early poll numbers could be important, it's the momentum factor and let me tell you if anyone's got momentum in iowa, it is michele bachmann. >> cbs' jan crawford and john dickerson thank you for joining us. in our next hour we'll be speaking with gop presidential candidate tim pawlenty about the race in iowa. he's got big times and a long

road ahead. >> jeff glor is at the news desk with another check of the headlines. >> good morning to you once again. the civilians. the court has no police or military force and relies on other states to make

up next a courtroom showdown in the amanda knox appeal trial. this is the "the early show" on cbs. with breakthrough 24 hour hydraiq. absorbs in seconds.

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knox's roommate in 2007. allen pizzey has this manda. >> reporter: amanda knox didn't start out as the main focus of attention in court today for the if, time. this is knox's best but not last chance to win freedom on appeal. she asked for permission to address the court but she and her former boyfriend raffaele sollecito had to hear from rudy guede who denied defense claims he told a fellow prisoner that knox and sollecito were not present when kercher was assaulted and had her throat slashed in a house she shared with knox in 2007. guede admitted to being on the scene and dna proved he and kercher had some sexual contact on the night of the encounter. the trial began in november but

knox's mother says everyone involved has become realistic about how far they still have to go. >> none of us are overconfident because of what happened in the first trial, found guilty even though she's innocent. i think she's nervous about getting things going but i think we're more hopeful now than we have been in a while. >> reporter: when she got her chance to speak knox says the courtroom was the only time she and guede was the only time she had been in the same space. the appeal process will resume in july. allen pizzey, cbs news, rome. coming up next, the supreme court decision designed to have a ripple effect in the entertainment industry. we'll look at the argument when we come back. this is t"the early show" on cb. kraft singles. we're rich in calcium to help build 'em up strong. is

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[ male announcer ] ask your veterinarian that took six years to make its way to washington. >> reporter: dena pollard saks has four children and like most children they love video games. >> it becomes almost impossible to tear them away at the level of addiction really. >> reporter: as a parent her concern is the increasingly violent nature found in "call of duty" and "manhunt." >> my concern is they start to think violent terms when you do something all day long it tends to affect the way you see the world, the way you think, sometimes their immediate reaction to some kind of dispute is oh i'm going to blow his head off. where'd you get that? well you just blew the head off in the video game. >> reporter: some experts agree saying the images and actions

kids are exposed to while playing the games could impact their behavior. >> video games especially ones out now there's much more active participation. we are involved in it, these kids and teenagers are the ones doing the killing or maiming or involved in the violence. >> to me the government doesn't just have the right but the obligation to tell parents what's going on with the games, what they believe the games can cause in terms of harms to children and i think regulation is more than reasonable. >> reporter: not so says paul smith of the video game industry. >> it's not up to the government to decide who is wholesome or not wholesome. >> reporter: despite the rating system the state of california passed a law prohibiting the sale of violent video games to minors but the law was blocked and never took effect. games are considered violent if they allow killing, maiming, dismembering or sexually assaulting an image of a human

being. stores that sell them to children under the age of 18 would be fined $1,000. >> not taking anything away from adults, just kids, who aren't in the best place to make decisions about their mental health and i think the government is doing the right thing in california. >> reporter: whit johnson, cbs news, washington. we'll be right back. this is "the early show" on cbs. s how the taste inspired them. new rich caramel macchiato. one of three new ways to add your flavor. with coffee-mate, from nestle. we all want fewer chemicals. new all free clear oxi-active. a free clear detergent that's tough on stains and gentle on skin. try new all free clear oxi-active. and gentle on skin. this 4th of july, celebrate the red, white, and blue with ocean spray cranberry, white cranberry, and blueberry juice cocktails.

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welcome back to "the early show." coming up at the top of our next hour, governor tim pawlenty, presidential candidate will be here. he has a new radio ad out that says results not rhetoric. what is he talking about? we'll talk about the debt ceiling, our economy and where we go from here. that's all coming up soon on "the early show" on cbs.

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five people remain unaccounted 7:55 a.m. time for news headlines from cbs 5 i am grace lee. five people remain unaccounted for after a train crash near love lock nevada. it killed at least 6 people friday investigators are looking into the background of the driver among the dead. a second elderly woman has died from injuries after a car slammed into a san jose nursing home several other people were injured in saturday's crash at the amber wood gardens home police say the 90-year-old driver accidentally hit the gas pedal instead of the brake. friends and family of a college football player arrested in the infamous saggy pants incident says he is a victim of racial injustice they spoke out at an naacp forum in

san francisco. he was asked to pull up his pants on an airline flight and later arrested on suspicion of trespassing, battery and resisting arrest

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accident free a little sluggish as you work your way coming out of richmond, westbound into emoryville when you hit the bay bridge metering lights are on. we saw delays up the incline. we are seeing some slow and go conditions past the pay gates not bad as you pass the toll plaza elsewhere in the south bay a couple things going on 280, still slow northbound as you work your way through downtown san jose. here is lawrence with your forecast. starting out with patchy low clouds going to break away back towards the coastline that will make for a nice afternoon cloudy out there, drizzle showing up in parts of the bay area, that will dissipate but temperatures, yeah, they will stay cool at the beaches, 50s and 60s at the coastline, more sunshine in the bay, 60s and 70s there and 80s in some of the valleys things will change drastically as we look toward tomorrow afternoon. cold front diving into the bay area, unusual temperatures,

temperatures heat back up latter part of the week ,,,,,,

well, the republican presidential field is getting a little crowded but the latest poll in iowa is any guide it is starting to be a two-candidate race that show michelle backman and mitt romney at the top. joining us is tim pawlenty who is one of those candidates trailing the two front-runners that time. it can't be great, however, to be with us on a day like this when you came out of these iowa poll numbers not with a fave rabble showing. >> of course, the early polls don't mean much. if they did, either hillary clinton or rudy giuliani would

be president today. eye oens are wise folks. and all the other candidates have to travel that same road. >> what do you have do to differently. you've been there 26 times. you've spent money there. you've had television ads air in the region. you would think there would be a little bit better response, would you not? >> actually, our media is just starting. both the radio and the tv have started within the last few days. the effects of that weren't even considered in this poll. this is like the warm-up, the preseason. now the real season will be starting. that's when we'll make our impression. >> there's a negative message out there this morning. obviously this shows that you're talking about, because this is the first issue that's coming up. how do you put a more positive spin on this other than this was a similar situation with mike huckabee -- >> the early polls almost never predict the winner. i know the media likes to follow them. but the fact of the matter is that hillary clinton was 20 or 30 points ahead of barack obama at this point. rudy giuliani was the

prohibitive front-runner. it all changed. most iowans decide very late and shift their choice back and forth during the process. the polls are interesting to the media, but they're poor predictors. >> one thing on everyone's mind is the economy. the debt ceiling is something that washington just can't come together on. they can't make a skigs on it. a similar situation in your home state in minot, minnesota, where they can't come to a decision about the budget and are faying a government shutdown. how do you believe that the gop and the democrats are ever going to come together if we can't make these minute decisions along the way. >> they're not minute decisions. this is a country drowning in debt, we're suffocating in our own deficit spending. i like the fact that there's a line drawn in the sand. americans are fed up with the out of control spending. $40,000 a second being spent that we don't have. $144 million or so an hour that we don't have.

this is going to take our country down from within. so we need people to stand strong and say enough, we've had it. cut up the credit card. i hope republicans stand strong in washington and do just that f they do stand strong in washington, however, potentially for beyond this august 2nd deadline, we face default as a country. so where is there going to be some level of consensus? can we talk taxes, can we talk about defense spending cuts? >> first of all, they keep moving the deadline back. we don't know if the real deadline is august or not. people say pay the creditors first, so there is no default. take away that fear, then have the rest of the debate about about domestic spending. that's something i've advocated for many months. we can't continue on the current path and we have to tighten the belts in washington, d.c. just like families have, like small businesses have. when i was governor of the state of minnesota, a liberal place, we had historic highs to historic lows. if it can be done there, it can be done in washington.

>> let's talk about your money, your funding. "the washington post" has an article that came out last week that said a lot of your top aides are either volunteering or working for little or no pay. is it difficult to keep up with the romneys and the huntsmans who seem to have these unlilted war chests? >> i'm glad that some of my senior consultants agreed many months ago before any concerns about money agreed to work for not much pay because they believe in the cause and my candidacy. that's a positive thing as far as i'm concerned. we'll have enough money to run a buick, maybe not the bmw or the lexus or the mercedes campaign. but having the most money doesn't always result in winning. mitt romney had the most money last time, he didn't win. there are many exam pems of people running, steve forbes or other, the 340es money does not translate into victory. you have to have enough money to run at least a buick level campaign and that's what we'll have. and then move on from there. >> are there a lot of top republican donors sitting on the

sideline because they're not sure which candidate to get behind yet? >> 40% of the republicans nationally don't know me or don't know much about me. as we have a chance to fill that space, the fact that there isn't a prohibitive front-runner is a good thing because it allows us time to make our case. >> which states could you key in on going forward, which ones are earl important to you? >> early states iowa, new hampshire, florida. they're the ones that come up first and have disproportionate impact on how the race will unfold after that. >> you started radio ads. you said results are not rhetoric. anyone you're pinpoint there's? >> many of the republican candidates we'll all say we're for cutting taxes and holding down spending and reforming schools through choice and market based reforms. and public pension reform. but the real question is can you get up and say that? everybody can say that. but have you done it. i've done it in a blue state and moved the needle big time and have the rest record of any

candidate in the race on results, not just flapping my jaw. >> you talk about not enough people knowing you. that seems to be a problem in iowa where your favorability numbers are high but when people are polled, those numbers are low. do you need to be a candidate that goes a little more on the attack? i bring up the debate because even you'll admit there was an opportunity to go on the attack against mitt romney but really kind of decided to sit back. >> there's a progression from, first of all, being unknown to known, then once people know you they have to few you favorably. that's an extra piece of positive news for us. we have high favorable ratings. it has to be converted from impression to support. i focused in the debate on presenting my concerns about president obama. there will be plenty of time to highlight the policy difference between mitt romney and me and other republicans in the future debates. >> the good bit of news from that poll was that 69% of iowans

polled said they would change their support. >> they are historically late deciders. >> thank you for taking the time. >> thanks for having me in. >> here's jeff glor at the newsdesk with a check of the other headlines. the international criminal court at the hague has officially issued an arrest warrant for moammar gadhafi today. cbs correspondent mark phillips has details from london today. >> good morning. the battle against moammar gadhafi took a little twist today with, as you say, the international criminal court in the hague issuing arrest warrants not just for moammar gadhafi but also for his son, also for his son saif al islam and the shadowy head of libya's security services. what the court said was there was reason to believe that the three are criminally responsible for what they say is the orchestrating, killing, injuring, arrest and imprisonment of hundreds of civilians just during the first

12 days of the uprising against moammar gadhafi. those crimes alleged by the court appear to have taken place largely in the town of za wee ya and also continuing in misrata. what the court is essentially saying is that they're holding these three criminally responsible and are issuing arrest warrants. whether they see the inside of a courtroom is a different issue. the criminal court has no police of its own. moammar gadhafi and the other two would have to travel to a third country to be arrested and that has not ever happened. the safest place that moammar gadhafi could possibly be appears to be in tripoli. >> mark, thank you. a fast moving wildfire is closing in on los alamos national laboratory in new mexico this morning. that fire is now within a pile of a lab. area homes have been evacuated. the lab today is closed. los alamos is where the first

nuclear weapons were developed. flooding from the missouri river is close but poses no threat to two nuclear power plants in nebraska. the cooper plant south of omaha remains dry this morning but the fort calhoun nuclear station is now surrounded by water. a berm protecting the plant collapsed yesterday. the plant has been closed down since april for refueling. officials expect the barriers at the keeper plant to continue to hold. residents in minot, north dakota, have their own high water problems. floodwaters peaked at an all time high there. our affiliate wcco is in minot this morning. >> reporter: good morning, jeff. water levels are starting to slowly go down here. the river is very wide. 10 to 20 times its normal width at this point, 6 feet higher than it should be right now. that's having just a devastating effect on some of the homes here in minot. we caught a house being knocked

off of its foundation just yesterday. a number of homes look the same way right now. the city also under a boil water notice. people not able to drink the water or brush their teeth. after showering they have to use hand sanitizers. we learned that those people who evacuated, 11,000 of them, will not be able to see their homes for days if not weeks. the recovery process probably not going to be able to take effect for a few months. the number of people in shelters has jumped to about 700 people because neighbors towns are having to take shelter here in minot. >> jamie yuccas, thanks very much. scott pelley has a preview of tonight's "cbs evening news." >> the facility is supposed to be used to help veterans. so why are some parts of a veterans affairs complex being leased to private businesses? we'll show you how the vets are fighting back tonight on the

this weather report sponsored by nivea. 100 years of skin care for life. thanks so much. that's your latest weather. now here's rebecca. >> coming up next, there are million of diabetics in the u.s. more than twice as many as there were in 1980. we'll tell you why that happened and what can be done to prevent it. this is "the early show" on cbs. . the fast absorbing body lotion with breakthrough 24 hour hydraiq. absorbs in seconds. lasts for hours. express hydration with hydraiq.

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"healthwatch" the number of adults living with diabetes has more than doubled in the past 30 years. medical correspondent dr. jennifer ashton has more on the epidemic for us this morning. good morning. >> good morning to you chris. in the u.s. alone experts predict more than half the adult population will be dealing with some form of diabetes by the year 2020 and while some cases are tied to family history, many more are tied to obesity and unhealthy lifestyle choices. three years ago, 32-year-old gwen seton began feeling exhausted after almost every meal. when she went to her doctor a routine blood test quickly diagnosed her problem as diabetes. >> i was quite shocked when i got it, as young as i did, usually it's later onset disease in my family. >> reporter: seton was at high risk because of her family history. now she must follow strict dietary rules, test her blood sugar levels up to seven times a day to make sure her diabetes is

kept under control. >> it gets frustrating, it's a constant consideration. it's not impossible to deal with but it is something that you always have to be mindful of. >> reporter: a new study indicates that more people than ever before are now living with the debilitating disease. in 1980 an estimated 153 million people were living with diabetes. in 2010 that number more than doubled, jumping to 347 million. >> the most likely explanations have to do with poor lifestyle habits of most of us in that we're exercising less than we should be and eating more than we should be. >> reporter: but there is some good news for people like gwen seton who have learned to manage their diabetes, better treatment and early intervention have helped to extend the life expectancy of those living with the disease by almost 15 years. >> so doc, let me ask you, what's responsible for the high

numbers, is it obesity or other factors? >> worldwide obese sit the major reason, people are eating more and moving less but there are other factors that people need to know about that do put them at higher risk for diabetes, certainly family history is also a significant one, certain ethnic groups for example, asian people, african-americans are at higher risk, women with polycystic ovarian syndrome, diabetes during pregnancy, even people on certain types of medication, statins that lower blood pressure, lower cholesterol, high doses of those can be associated with increased risk of diabetes and antidepressants, some of those can increase the risk as well. >> clear up any confusion, difference between type one and type two diabetes. >> type one is auto immune disease you don't make enough insulin. the majority of people, over 90% of diabetics have type two where you make insulin but not enough and that is what is closely related although not completely to obesity. >> as far as the symptoms of die

beetics, things people need to be on the lookout for. >> so many people with diabetes are unaware that they have it. they should ask their doctor if routine blood testing would be appropriate every year. you don't have to be fasting to get this blood test called an a1c. the big symptoms of diabetes, excessive thirst, frequent urination, unexplained weight loss are the big ones. you can have nonhealing wounds or sores, you really want to ask your doctor if anything seems out of the ordinary. >> as far as prevention are there any effective measures people can take to avoid it? >> we say it again and again, lifestyle choices, behavioral issues are key, if you want to eat a healthful diet and exercise as much as possible. we know that again as the obesity rates go up, so have the diabetes incidents worldwide. those things are critically important. if you are at high risk, you want to aggressively try to modify them even if it involves

switching certain types of medication. i tell my patients we should consider ourselves potentially at risk for diabetes. >> dr. jennifer ashton, thank you. stay with us. you're watching "the early show" here on cbs. and i've learned a lot from patients who use levemir flexpen. flexpen comes pre-filled with my long-acting insulin, and i dial the exact dose of insulin i need. my flexpen is discreet and doesn't need to be refrigerated. and flexpen goes wherever i go. levemir is a long-acting insulin used to control high blood sugar in adults and children with diabetes. do not take if your blood sugar is too low. tell your healthcare provider about all medicines you take and all of your medical conditions, including if you are pregnant or breastfeeding. the most common side effect is low blood sugar. other possible side effects include reactions at the injection site. get medical help right away if you experience serious allergic reactions, such as body rash, trouble with breathing, fast heartbeat or sweating. ask your healthcare provider about levemir flexpen today.

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still ahead here this morning, two powerful brothers but in very different ways, while whitey bulger was running a major criminal organization in boston, william bulger was running the massachusetts state senate. >> it raised eyebrows then and still does today, even though william bulger is retired and whitey bulger is in jail, we'll look at both of their careers and show you their first meeting in at least 16 years right here on "the early show" on cbs. your local news is next. ,,

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supreme court refused to let california regulate the sale or rental of violent video games to in a 7-to-2 good morning today the supreme court refused to allow california to regulate the sale of rental of violent video games to kids. the court said governments do not have the power to quote restrict ideas to which children may be exposed the decision up holds a federal ruling that it violates the rights of minors. two women have died after a car slammed into a san jose thursdaying home. two others -- nursing home two others were injured. a lawsuit will be announced against abercrombie & fitch on behalf of the muslim woman fired she worked at a hollister store in hillsdale mall she was

fired after refusing to remove her head scarf. traffic and weather coming up after this stay with us ,,,,,,,,,,,,

good morning, your commute is in full swing with a couple of slow spots. we have first reports of an accident blocking the roadway traffic slow and go as you work your way both directions.

a new wreck reported also blocking the roadway traffic busy through downtown san jose. mass transit ride on time bart, ace, muni, cal train, 880 better than it was earlier, you are cruising along you will see a few slow spots as you head towards the maze. still grey outside around parts of the bay area, it will break up as we head toward the afternoon the middle of the morning more sunshine as we head over the bay. but we are seeing those clouds out there temperatures cool, 40s and 50s outside by the the afternoon here comes the sun and we will warm you up nicely. 70s and 80s. 60s and 70s around the bay, 50s and 60s toward the coast interesting tomorrow clouds come in we have a cold front coming in from the gulf of alaska bringing a chance of rainfall to the bay area, looks like that will be a one day event partly cloudy skies, dryer, warmer weather coming our way latter part of the week ,,,, [ coach ] in albuquerque, citi pre-approved my mortgage.

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welcome back to "the early show." i'm rebecca jarvis sitting in for erica hill, along with chris wragge. >> hope it was a good weekend. good to have you with us this morning, rebecca. we ha've been telling you at about the capture of whitey bulger after 16 years in hiding. many of you are familiar with his brother, william. two men who took very different paths in life, with elaine quijano. >> reporter: for a brief moment, exchanging smiles in a courtroom friday. james "whitey" bulger, finally facing justice, 16 years after he fled, and his younger brother, william, once considered one of the most powerful politicians in the

state. in the working class neighborhoods of south boston known as southie, both men once ruled their respective worlds. white whiteiest head of the fearsome irish american winter hill gang while william rose to the american state senate. >> you are loyal to your friends and family and without that there's nothing. >> reporter: ultimately that loyalty may have cost william his job, after his career in the senate william was forced out of his position as president of the university of massachusetts in 2003, after being questioned during a congressional investigation. >> i do not know where my brother is. i do not know where he has been. >> reporter: in 1992, before whitey disappeared, william professed his loyalty to his brother in a "60 minutes" interview with morley safer. >> some might disown even a

brother who went wrong. you've not done that. >> no. he's my brother. i care about him. >> reporter: now as whitey bulger faces numerous charges, including racketeering and 19 counts of murder there are questions about whether william helped his brother while he was on the run, but family friend joe atieri dismisses that. >> he didn't help his brother hide, give him money, he did nothing. >> reporter: william bulger has not said much since his brother's arrest. in a statement he expressed his sympathy to the families hurt by the circumstances of the case. two brothers leading separate lives yet both must live with the consequences. >> it must be really debilitating to be reading in the paper every day about this nonsense and to have it spill over on you as though you've done something wrong. >> reporter: elaine quijano cbs news, new york. >> one federal prosecutor says

whitey bulger's girlfriend arrested with him told court officials william bulger was prepared to help pay his brother's bail and legal bills. here's rebecca. as libyan leader moammar gadhafi faces an arrest warrant and rebel forces gain ground in libya, a rebel spokesman says gadhafi is in high spirits and his propaganda campaign shows no sign either. >> reporter: libyans might be forgiven for seeing this military show oz a band on the titanic. anything other than the official line is dangerous other than unthinkable as an imperative against all. the youthful zeal that in the u.s. might be generated about i a high school football game comes out as revolutionary team, in libya the home team is

moammar gadhafi. there is almost nothing that can't be used that can't be known to promote the brother leader. children's art focuses on the regime's overriding themes, the rebel's arrest, western leaders are bad, nato kills children. no hard evidence of child victims of nato air strikes is being presented but the line between hard military targets and civilians is perilously thin and in many cases the mistake of 100 yards or so could hand the regime a massive propaganda boost. st. marc'sjority dox church is right next to an army base that was a recent target of a nato air strike. the only damage to the church was broken windows. the priest's 9-year-old daughter, moura held her parent's hand when it happened >> they was not afraid because they knew nothing would happen and god would be with us, but i was afraid. >> reporter: some parents on the other hand are willing to use

their children as propaganda props that lend new meaning to irresponsible. that's not to say children here are completely robbed of innocence. in fact, many aspects of daily life remain surprisingly normal under the circumstances. there is a looming threat of food shortages but markets are still reticent with the mingled sense of fruit on display. the trick is to go about your own business and mind your own business because the state makes it their business to know what everyone is doing. anyone in the street could be an informer, secret policeman. this is a place where no one can ever be sure they aren't being watched or listened to, society where having an opinion isn't a right, it's a danger. according to human rights watch the number of people detained, tortured, killed and disappeared during gadhafi's 41 year rule is easily in the thousands. intimidation is state policy.

regular displays like this outside the main gates of the hotel where journalists must stay represented as victory celebrations but the location conveys an unmistakable message, you're at our mercy. the present crisis subsumed the fact that it is steeped in history. this arch was built in the second century. leptis magma is the ruins in africa. in world war ii, massive tank battles drenched the desert sand in blood and the sand still holds dangers. the official version of this hole is that it's an unexploded bomb dropped by nato which begs the question of why children are around. it says much about gadhafi's libya today. allen pizzey, cbs news, tripoli. libya's rebels claim several members of the national soccer team defected to their side and that's seen as a propaganda

defeat of gadhafi. >> here is jeff glor at the news desk with one more look at the other headlines making news today. >> when you've got the football players, significant. chris, rebecca, good morning. wildfire is getting close to the los alamos national laboratory in new mexico, the lab is closed for the day. david romero of krqe has more. >> reporter: the los qonchoos fire has gained ground overnight. you can see the remnants of what burned yesterday, the smoke is covering the skies over los alamos, the flames burned as far away as albuquerque, 80 miles south of here. the temperatures and winds are expected to pick up throughout the day. the latest update, flames have come within a mile of the

southwest corner of land they own. they have a special task force monitoring that situation. as for smoke in the town of los alamos it's not a factor right now because it has gone to such a high elevation, again that could change throughout the day. in los alamos, david romero for cbs news. more americans are living together than ever before. the recent census finds 7.5 million couples live together. the pew research center finds the number of 30 to 44 years old living as unmarried couples has more than doubled since the mid 1990s. analysis shows the median household income for those couples with college degrees was higher than those for married couples. a royal treat at wimbledon, prince william and wife catherine, the duke and duchess of cambridge entered the grounds of the all england club to watch british player andy murray's match. cate is a big tennis fan and been to wimbledon many times. >> the only number picture of

billy the kid fetched a one-of-a-kind price. it sold for $2.3 million at an auction in denver over the weekend. the photo is believed to have been taken a year or two before billy the kid was shot dead by a sheriff in 1881. a lot of money. over to chris. >> nice shot there. the record high floods waters in minot, north dakota, are starting to recede, though up to 11,000 evacuees will not be able to go home for several days. ahead of the red cross in minot who spent days setting up shelters found his home under water. >> i'm alan magoo for the american red cross. typically we see single family fires, small events. this event however has been much, much bigger than anything we've ever seen. >> this town is being evacuated effective immediately. >> people need to feel they're in a safe environment and that the red cross is here to do

whatever it takes to help them through this situation. >> i feel for you. >> i've lived here 11 years and for me it was like watching our close friend die. it was the whole community. everything from the grocery store i used to shop at to places i went here and there, i like to run or places i used to run, they're all gone. not knowing if that's ever going to be there again and people around here including my wife and i saw our neighborhood and our house on tv. it was tough to watch but for the most part, i think that everybody's been fairly positive. on the side here, okay. my house is just over here so going to take a look and see what we can see. doesn't look very good right now. it's the house with the two satellite dishes on there, two story house and it's up to the second floor. let's hope it's just damage we can move back in and clean it all up and all that good stuff. well, for the folks that see it on tv or visiting here, all you

can see is devastation and water. for me, i would have to say that the small children running around, they think they're in summer camp you know, and it it's -- tough for everybody, you know, so, but the little kids, they don't know what's going on. they just know they're in a safe place, and you know, their parents are sad and stuff, but they're just moving on with their life, you know, and so there's always that part of you that says oh my god, what if this happens, what if that happens but i like to think it's all going to work out and going to work out for everybody, it's too good of a community and the state of north dakota it's too good to let that happen. >> he and his wife and their dog are staying at a friend's house as he oversees the large relief effort. he credits local evacuees for stemming the tide of the evacuation. it seems like for the last two

weeks they say it's getting better but as you can see it's he not really getting better. >> the people have come together and that's what you want to see in these types of situations, so many of the natural destruction over the last year it's been difficult to see but nice to see people coming together. we come together with marysol castro

thanks so much. that's your latest weather. over to chris. >> marysol, thank you so much. up next here, one of the

world's great listening rooms, up and coming talent is discovered. inside nashville's small but powerful blue bird cafe.,,,,,,,,

from garages to basements to neighborhood bars, every musician starts somewhere hoping one day the right person will listen and a career will be born. "earl i" show contributor ayla brown is here with the story where one place that has happened time and time again. >> good morning. it's called the blue bird cafe. what makes it so special is the audience and the rich history of some pretty big singer/songwriters who have been discovered on its stage. ♪ they don't call it music city for nothing. nashville, tennessee's the epicenter of country. one of the most popular forms of

american music. for all the honkytonks and music bars that line the streets of downtown nashville, there's one place that stands alone. >> if you haven't played the blue bird you haven't established yourself here in town. >> anybody here signing up? >> reporter: the blue bird cafe, unassuming little venue in a strip mall on the outskirts of town is the place to play. ♪ there's a couple kids kissing in the mississippi moon ♪ >> reporter: not because the stage is so great, it's not, it's kind of small and cramped, and it's not the acoustics. the allure is what the blue bird stands for. >> it is the songwriter mecca. there is no other place in town that is more special, more miss torque for songwriters than the blue bird cafe. >> reporter: here it isn't about how you look or how you dress or even how you play or sing.

it's all about the song. >> we have one room with 100 people in it and they're piled in here, they're sitting on the kre d credenza, stools in the corner and listening. >> reporter: often they're hearing great music. taylor swift was discovered at the blue bird and so was garth brooks, one of the most popular country music art is of all-time. >> he was not going to play that night but someone was sick, garth had sang for all the record labels in town and passed on. capitol being one of them and a representative from capitol records happened to just be at the blue bird cafe that night, saw him play and he was offered a deal. historic. >> there isn't a day that somebody says something about the blue bird to garth that he won't be completely supportive of what we do and acknowledging what the blue bird did for him. >> reporter: turns out that's no exaggeration. >> the blue bird is the

beginning and the mecca, the end. you might think this is it but trust me, the way that the blue bird is run, the songwriters are king. >> reporter: monday night is open mike night at the blue bird. where are you from? yell it out. >> oklahoma! >> reporter: and hopefuls travel miles for the chance to play. >> it's a litany of people. you can see 12-year-old girls who want to be taylor swift. >> reporter: where are you from? >> pennsylvania. >> reporter: pennsylvania? taylor swift's territory. the next taylor? >> of course. isn't everybody? >> reporter: you can see grandmothers. now it's their dream. ♪ i'm going to knock on my door late at night ♪ >> reporter: while not all the dreams are the same everybody wants to be heard. >> i want to sign me to a publishing deal. i'm not too old fat and ugly. >> reporter: any kind of music goes at the bird as long as it's original, family friendly and

most important, heartfelt. >> i'm a little bit nervous. >> raising three kids by yourself there's not a lot you can do as far as touring. i don't expect to be a superstar. ♪ if you're going my way, would you mind giving me your list ♪ >> reporter: for most the dream will go no further than one moment on this little stage but that's enough to connect them to history. >> and it is an awesome responsibility in the true sense of the word awesome to uphold this place for the people who have been here and the people who are going to come here. ♪ this song's on me >> not only did you get to see the performers but you yourself performed at the blue bird cafe. let's take a look. ♪ i'm holding on to you tight, don't want to open my eyes ♪ ♪ it's such a bittersweet

feeling ♪ ♪ because i'm missing you already, baby you ain't even gone ♪ >> all right, you're smiling as you watch so it turned out great but how does it compare to something like "american idol" where you were as a contestant in front of millions of people? >> i was more nervous at the blue bird because of its legendary existness and everything it stands for than standing up in front of simon cowell. we really made it an incredible performance, brennan and i want to thank them. >> they get an opportunity whether it's their one shot or not, they are playing their music, their original music in front of a room full of people in a room like that. >> some people will wait in line and won't get their names called and have to woman back next week so they have to go back to texas

and drive again or dreams are shattered. >> you were lucky enough to have your name called. >> i was very lucky. woo. >> one of the names in the bowl. >> congratulations. >> thank you. >> where are you performing next? >> july 4th, opening up for darius rucker in nashville. >> we'll talk to but it. good to see you. have a great day everybody. local news is coming up next. see you tomorrow here on "the early show." ,,

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the u-s supreme not restrict good morning i am grace lee with your cbs 5 headlines, the u.s. supreme court says california is not restrict children's access to violent video games t day in a 7-2 decision the high courts throughout a state law saying it violate it is rights for minors in the first amendment the law would ban the sale or rental of violent game content to children under age of 18. a bill to replace capital punishment with life in prison inmates on death row would have their sentences converted to life behind bars. lonnie hancock says it is helping bankrupt the state. two teens under arrest in connection with a shooting spree that happened on saturday which injured five people

downtown san francisco. four victims were innocent by standers they are all expected to recover. >> quick check of traffic and weather coming right up ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

good morning a couple

things going on along 101 just past shore line, blocking lanes, traffic is slow as you approach the area. another wreck on the 101 southbound side at 92, that is cleared to the right shoulder, traffic slow and go as you work your way both directions. pretty busy bay bridge toll plaza metering lights are on. looks better to work your way into san francisco above the upper deck. golden gate bridge clear. low clouds out there, drizzle too showing up around the bay area that is all going to start to pull back toward the beaches, we are just going to camp out rest of the day temperatures at the coastline 50s and maybe low 60s you head inland find more sunshine 07s around the bay, 75 fremont, 7 san jose and 78 degrees redwood city. cold front diving in toward the bay area chance of showers tomorrow cooler than normal cooler through wednesday warming up getting hot for the weekend

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