>> glor: cruzing ahead: texas se d cruz surges to the top in iowa. donald trump lashes out: >> i don't think he has the right temperament. i don't think he's got the right judgement. >> glor: sinkholes and landslides leave homes in oregon on the brink. >> this young man crawled to his death. he was shot again, again and again. >> glor: disturbing video of a fatal police shooting in los angeles. why did officers keep firing, as the suspect crawled away? and, lifting the curtain on a reoadway stage secret: how some stars avoid flubbing their lines. captioning sponsored by cbs this is the "cbs evening news." >> glor: good evening, i'm jeff glor, and this is a western edition of the broadcast. seven weeks until the iowa caucuses, first in the nation.

and tonight, two polls show a shakeup in the race for president. in one poll, senator ted cruz has surged ten points ahead of donald trump. in the other, cruz leads trump 28% to 26%, among likely iowa caucus-goers. in the bigger picture, a new national poll out today shows cruz has emerged as the strongest challenger to trump, just five points behind. ben carson has fallen into fourth place, behind senator marco rubio. we begin tonight with juliana goldman in washington. >> i don't go down, i go up. >> reporter: donald trump has said he only likes polls that treat him well n before our new iowa poll showed him slipping, he dismissed it as biased. >> i'm leading in virtually every state. i'm leading in iowa, although "des moines register" does the poll, and i'm sure that will be negative. >> reporter: that poll was conducted by one of the state's most respected and accurate pollsters; it has ted cruz surging. senator cruz has spent months courting the voters with whom he is now leading-- evangelicals and tea party conservatives.

he's capturing supporters fleeing ben carson, who has faltered with the increased focus on national security. >> you look at the way he's dealt with the senate, where he goes in there like a-- you know, frankly like a little of a maniac. >> reporter: in the fox news interview, the billionaire front-runner said cruz doesn't have the right temperament to be president, but the poll of iowa republicans has the texas senator leading on that quality. on sunday, trump enthusiastically tweeted out a different national poll, showing him with a new high. cruz's five points, behind in second place. marco rubio is third. >> trump is smart like a fox. >> reporter: these current and former trump supporters in virginia were part of a recent focus group, conducted after his inflammatory proposal to bar muslims from entering the u.s. >> if trump gets elected, he will have people that will coach him, to ensure that these types of things aren't said out loud. >> the republican party has failed us the last two times with weak candidates, first with mccain, who was weak, and then with romney, who was weak. we're tired of weak candidates.

there is no number two to trump. >> reporter: as the republican contest sorts itself out, it is looking more and more like the potential for a protracted primary between trump as the anti-establishment pick, someone like cruz who carries conservatives and religious voters, and, jeff, then there is the establishment candidate who republicans have historically nominated, whoever that may be this cycle. >> glor: all right, julianna goldman in washington. weather extremes across the country tonight. this picture from western oklahoma, the definition of white-out conditions. this one from new york, which is experiencing record high temperatures. let's bring in wbz's chief meteorologist eric fisher. eric, we will start you in the northwest, which is still getting slammed by the storms. what is happening with that system? >> jeff, this storm has a lot more cold air to work with, so we are seeing a lot more snow all across the inner mountain west over the next 48 hours and eventually that energy spins out into the plains. so as we head into tuesday and wednesday, slowly moving up into nebraska, parts of south dakota and every state in the west picking up some much needed snow fall.

every state all the way until the plains picking up fresh snow over the next 48 hours. now the east, totally different story: a feel of spring, long-standing record high temperatures: in detroit that record was set back in 1881; baltimore hit 72 today. more record highs possible tomorrow, especially in this little wedge of warm air in the east. also some rainy travel to kick off the week. there is a change coming, as we get toward the middle and later stages of this week, colder air working its way farther east and, jeff, for some who haven't felt much of it, a little feel of winter in the air. >> glor: eric fisher, thank you very much. that system in the pacific northwest may be on its way out but it's still doing damage. david begnaud is in tillamook, oregon tonight. david? >> jeff, good evening. seven families live along this hillside in western oregon, in part, because of the view. but now all seven homes are in danger of being condemned, including this one right above me that they are working to protect at this hour. some 11 inches of rain fell in this area over a seven-day period causing a landslide that, look at this, opened up a hole

big enough to fit almost 11 suvs. so this is the road that leads to your house. >> yes, well, at least it used to be. now it just kind of leads to a cliff. >> reporter: morgan cottry has watched the land slide on her family's property for the last six days. what started as a crack, caved into a crater. bob flaccas is her neighbor. >> reporter: you just woke up, you walked out and it looked like this. >> yes. did not hear a sound, not a sound one. it's just, the land went away. >> reporter: five feet from his front door is now a cliff. a week's worth of nearly nonstop rain in this picturesque part of tillamook, oregon has left bob and his wife of 36 years, dee, literally living near the edge. people are pitching in to help. more than 200 sand bags are holding down a tarp intended to stop the ground from sliding any more. >> i could cry. >> reporter: why? >> people that i never knew and probably might not see again,

came up here to help me save this hill. it overwhelms me. that's hard. >> reporter: 30 yards from the flaccas home, the landslide has pushed into a barn owned by cottry's family. >> i mean, right now, this is the only thing holding that hillside up. >> cottry's relatives live alongside the barn in this home. they are now staying in a horse trailer because the home is in danger of being condemned. cottry, whose house is safe so far, says sand bags have been their best and only option. >> you have to do something. >> reporter: bob flaccas is willing to try anything, if it means staying in the home he and his wife called paradise. >> if it starts to move, i'm not going to be stubborn and stay. i will get the hell out. but until it starts to move, i'm staying. >> reporter: the hole in front of bob's house is 100 feet long and 50 feet wide. tomorrow, he'll find out if his home is condemned. jeff, his insurance company told him this week, they will not pay for the damage. >> glor: david begnaud in oregon.

the los angeles county sheriff's department is investigating a deadly shooting tonight. officers fired dozens of rounds and kept shooting while the suspect was on the ground. chris martinez has this story with this warning, the video can be disturbing to watch. >> reporter: dramatic video captures the moment two los angeles county sheriff's deputies fire multiple shots at nicholas robertson in the lynwood neighborhood of los angeles. robertson falls to the ground and after a short interval, he's seen crawling on his stomach as he is repeatedly struck by additional gunfire. last night, angry demonstrators gathered at the shooting scene. pamela brown is robertson's mother-in-law: >> he left three kids behind, two daughters and a son. they could have tasered him, or anything. >> reporter: today, 24 hours after the shooting, the sheriff's department held a press conference. l.a. county sheriff jim mcdonell: >> we came out today to try to be as transparent as we can with the information we can, share at

this time that say hey, here's what we have, what we know about it. >> the sheriff's department released this video showing robertson minutes before his encounter with deputies, walking down a busy street, carrying a gun. investigators say the confrontation started when deputies responded to multiple 9-1-1 calls about a man firing shots into the air. l.a. county homicide detective captain steve katz: >> he did not comply with their repeated requests to drop the weapon. the movement of the suspect and the way in which he was holding the firearm indicates that he was motioning in the direction of the deputy sheriffs. >> reporter: the video then captures the moment the deputies began firing, a total of 33 rounds. robertson was pronounced dead at the scene. community activist naj ali says the video is disturbing. >> because it appears that this young man crawled to his death. he was shot again, again, and again. >> reporter: local civil rights leaders have asked for an independent investigation into

robertson's death. chris martinez, cbs news, los angeles. >> glor: this week, the federal reserve is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in more than nine years. the expected increase, a quarter point. for more on what this means, we turn to cbs business news analyst jill schlesinger. jill, we figure it will happen this week. >> it's almost certain and here's why: the fed slashed rates ten times over 14 months until we got down to zero percent during the financial crisis. that was an effort to stimulate the economy. now all these years later, what has happened? the economy is growing about a 2.25% a year for the last few years. we've got job creation, unemployment down at five percent. the fed thinks it's time to normalize interest rate policy. they'll start this week. >> glor: if this happens, who wins, who loses? >> well, finally some good news for savers, who have gotten basically 0% interest on their checking, savings and cds. borrowers could pay a little more for all kinds of loans, whether it's credit cards, auto loans; mortgage rates are not tied to these rates, but they

could go up as well. investors could be kind of murky out there, i think stock and bond prices could be quite volatile in the next few weeks. >> glor: the global economy is slowing down a bit. there is some concern the american economy will slow down. some economists think this is too early. >> these are people like larry summers, the former treasury secretary, and they even cite the fact that crude oil, which fell by almost 11% last week down to seven year lows, that that is a sign of the slowdown. janet yellin, the fed chair has said, "look, don't worry about that. things slow down, we don't have to keep raising rates, and if things speed up and we get inflation, we could raise rates by more than a quarter of a percent and more often. so everything will be data dependent." we'll have to see. >> glor: all right, jill, thanks very much. >> thank you. >> glor: this weekend, fbi divers wrapped up their search of a lake in san bernardino, california. investigators won't say if they found evidence possibly dumped there by terrorists who killed 14 people and injured nearly 20 others. tonight, john blackstone tells us how some in the community fear a backlash against them.

>> reporter: since the san bernardino shootings, ronia albana has changed the way she covers her hair, so she looks less muslim. >> instead of wearing the traditional way, i start wearing hats, so that way i can blend in to minimize any, you know, possibility of someone retaliating or saying something to me. >> reporter: as a mother of five who lives just three miles from the scene of the shooting, she was already concerned about the safety of her family. then she learned the attackers were muslim. >> when i knew the name of the shooter, i was devastated. the first thing i did is, i end up writing an e-mail to all the principals of my kids schools, letting them know that i am a muslim, we're a muslim family, that we condemn these kind of attacks. ( gunfire ) >> reporter: since the paris attacks, there have been several attacks on muslims. a pregnant muslim woman assaulted in san diego; two airline passengers ordered off a flight in chicago, after a passenger heard them speaking arabic and felt threatened;

and after the san bernardino massacre, a copy of the quran, filled with bullets, left outside an islamic clothing store in southern california. que inday, it was the fire bombing of a mosque in coachella, 70 miles from san bernardino. police have arrested a 23 year old man for arson, and committing a hate crime. ronia albana has decided her best defense is not to hide, but to show the true nature of her religion, beginning with covering her hair. >> now, i feel like i'm more determined to keep it on and let everyone know what the muslim community is all about. and i feel i have that tool and i should use it. i cannot think of any place on this earth that i would want to be in other than the u.s-- this is my country, as much as anybody else's country who are americans. >> reporter: for this muslim- american family, the message is that they are as outraged over the attack that took place here and just as united in grief as any other american family. >> glor: john blackstone, thank you. a dramatic program trying to keep kids away from trouble. and the only thing better than

winning the heisman trophy? the family's celebration. when the cbs evening news continues. nues. lx

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coordinator scott charles have been re-enacting the night adams died for nearly ten years. >> lamont's going to have a bullet wound right there, and right there. >> reporter: charles uses dozens of red stickers to mark where the bullets hit adams. >> and another here. i'm not trying to politicize this issue for them. i'm simply saying, this is the thing that is more likely to kill you, in philadelphia, than anything else when you are young. and i want them to take ownership of this. >> we were both really concerned that the students didn't really seem to know the true ramifications of what bullet injuries and gun shot wounds can cause. >> if the things that i'm showing you are too troublesome for you, talk to me. >> reporter: the students watch a video showing graphic pictures of more gun shot victims. some students can't bear to look. et sometimes i go in the bathroom and i close the door. and i get down on my knees and i cry. >> reporter: the pain adams' grandmother describes hit home

for 16-year-old roshelys sanchez. >> i can imagine my mom crying because something happened to me or to one of my family members. >> reporter: 15-year-old jordan barreto first went to the program in may. >> i was hanging in the streets with the wrong people, doing the wrong things. and the program really opened my eyes, that gun violence is real, and that people are getting killed for nothing. and it ain't no means to-- to them bullets. >> reporter: the students also visited a morgue. so far more than 10,000 students have come through the cradle 2 grave program at temple university hospital. jeff, organizers say that fewer than a dozen of those students returned back to that hospital's trauma unit with a gun shot wound. >> glor: jericka duncan, thank you very much. up next here, a christmas surprise more than 70 years in the making.

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henry broke the conference record for rushing this year. the nba's golden state warriors are undefeated no more. saturday night, they lost to the milwaukee bucks 108-95. the warriors are now 24 and 1 this season. it was the team's first regular season loss since april 7th. it took nearly a lifetime, but a man in england has finally gotten his christmas wish. at six years old, david heylock put a letter to santa in his chimney, asking for any toys he had to spare. more than 70 years later, builders found that letter while working on the house, so they located mr. heylock, who had long since moved away, and made sure he got everything he requested: including toy soldiers and a pencil box. still ahead here, the modern method some actors are using to remember their lines.

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and james earl jones and cicely tyson in "the gin game." but while those actors draw big lines at the box office, some of them are having trouble remembering their lines. each has reportedly used teleprompters, or an earpiece, so someone off stage can cue them. the reviews are not great. in fact, al pachino's "china doll" may be the worst reviewed play of the season. "the wall street journal" says "yes, he's using teleprompters." and that he was not at ease with his lines. "the new york post" writes, "al pacino needs teleprompters for lines in terrible new broadway play." >> the more they use celebrities to drive ticket sales for plays or musicals, you are going to come up with this problem, that you need assistance. >> reporter: dave cote is time out new york's theater editor. he says audience members walked out after the first act, watching pacino search for his teleprompters. >> as someone who's used to film acting, they will have more difficult when they are in a

play where they have to sustain a scene over several minutes. >> reporter: cote doesn't hold back on willis' performance either, calling it stiff. willis and pacino did work through numerous script changes during previews-- that gave them less time to memorize their parts. for actors like jones and tyson, reciting their lines is complicated by having to also play a card game throughout the entire play. >> even broadway great angela lansbury needed some help. the 90-year-old actress used an earpiece in the 2009 production of "blithe spirit." but she won her fifth tony for that performance. >> as you get older, it gets worse, it gets more difficult. >> mark wing-davey chairs the graduate acting program at nyu. he says remembering lines is challenging, especially for older actors who have been away from the stage. earpieces can be a solution. >> if you want to see a major movie star, you don't necessarily want to see an incredible feat of memory. you want to see them being

relaxed and responsive. if that's what it takes, then it seems to me, that is fine. >> james earl jones, cicely tyson, al pacino, were fabulous. >> reporter: new yorker cheryl rubin is a big theater fan. she says she didn't even notice any of the actors getting prompted. >> theater-goers are not getting ripped off. they're seeing great acting by great actors. >> great actors doing whatever it takes to keep their names on broadway. jamie yuccas, cbs news, new york. >> glor: that is the cbs evening news tonight. later on cbs, "60 minutes," and first thing tomorrow, "cbs this morning." i'm jeff glor in new york. good night. captioning sponsored by cbs captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org

cars.. and leaving some areas -- totally underwater. the storm has also made a sing a powerful storm sweeps through the bay area, leaving some areas underwater. it's one of the tiniest houses you have ever seen. you will not believe what they're asking for it. >> kpix 5 news is next. it's a cause. so we do things differently. we combine care and coverage. and believe prevention is the most powerful of cures. so forgive us for not going with the flow. we just think the flow should go with us. which makes us rebels with one cause.

to snow in the sierra.. the eep across no from driving rain and downed trees in the bay area to snow in the sierra, the latest storm to sweep across northern california is certainly leaving its mark, and it is not over