week. back to you. >> okay. enjoy that calming day. look at that beautiful shot. >> it's a beauty ♪ good morning to you, our viewers in the west. welcome to "cbs this morning." it is thursday, october 27th, 2020. i'm gayle king with anthony mason and tony dokoupil. america has a new supreme court justice. one week before election day. president trump celebrates amy coney barrett's confirmation after a bitter partisan fight. what it could mean for the presidential race. >> the nation's coronavirus crisis threatens to overwhelm hospitals. hear from the doctors on the front lines. breaking overnight. protests erupt in philadelphia after police shoot and kill a black man allegedly carrying a knife. why demonstrators believe police used excessive force. >> fast-moving wildfires in the midwest are whipped up by hurricane-force winds. we're there with stories of

harrowing escapes and daring rescues. and convicted cult leader keith raniere will be sentenced today. we'll speak to a victim of nxivm who said he should never be allowed to go free. first your "eye opener" your world in 90 seconds. >> the newest member of the united states supreme court, justice amy coney barrett. >> it's official. amy coney barrett sworn in to the supreme court. >> today will go down as one of the darkest days in the 231-year history of the united states senate. >> waved the white flag. >> biden told supporters the president still does not have a plan for the coronavirus and has waved a white flag. >> he's waved a white flag on life if he doesn't leave his basement. >> new coronavirus cases hitting records every day. >> activities that were brought indoors has resulted in pretty significant community spread.

>> fast-moving wildfire in southern california forced thousands of people to leave their homes. >> flames coming over the back wall. i couldn't see the back yard. >> breaking news out of philadelphia where there's unrest in the streets after a man was killed by police. >> all that -- >> extreme winds are making for a dangerous drive. >> oh, my god. be careful. >> and all that matters. >> a major off field victory for ron rivera. he's officially completed his chemotherapy. he received cheers and a confetti shower. >> on "cbs this morning." >> a woman ordered a gremlin cake for her son's birthday. but when the cake arrived it did not look like the photo on the website. here's the cake that she wanted. and here's what she got. now that i think about it, this

may be the best visual summation of the year 2020. how it started and how it's going. >> this morning's eye opener is presented by progressive. making it easy to bundle insurance. >> i missed the beginning of that. did she pay for that cake? it was a professional cake? >> i'm the one talking. i didn't hear it. >> we were talking about coach rivera. such a great story. >> it is. coach rivera of the washington redskins gets to ring the bell and leaves the hospital. welcome to cbs this morning. we're going to begin with amy coney barrett taking the first of two oaths to become the next supreme court justice. it happened outdoors at the white house last night. a month after barrett's nomination announcement became a coronavirus superspreader event. we remember that. this was a big political victory for the president just over a week before election day. mr. trump heads to three states today. >> meanwhile, the coronavirus pandemic continues to worsen with daily cases up in 43

states. weijia jiang is at the white house which is dealing with an outbreak among vice president pence's staff. how did that affect last night's event? >> good morning, anthony. vice president pence was not seen at the high-profile event and his office has not provided any information about why, despite our multiple requests. president trump wanted the focus of the night to be his supreme court pick. but the impact of covid-19 was impossible to ignore. >> she will make an outstanding justice. >> president trump wasted no time calling a crowd to the white house to witness the swearing in of judge amy coney barrett. his third supreme court appointee. >> i will do my job without any fear or favor, and that i will do so independently. >> less than two hours earlier, the republican-controlled senate confirmed 48-year-old barrett in one of the most partisan supreme court processes ever.

no democrats voted in her favor. >> the nomination of amy coney barrett of indiana to be an associate justice of the supreme court of the united states is confirmed! >> the president hopes securing barrett will help him at the polls since she provides conservatives a 6-3 majority. in a matter of months, the justices will issue a ruling on obamacare and possibly even the outcome of the presidential election. last night's ceremony was a chance for mr. trump to take a victory lap. >> i know you will make us all very, very proud. >> reporter: one month earlier, president trump announced barrett's nomination in the rose garden which turned into a superspreader event. this time, guests were socially distanced on the south lawn and required to wear a mask, but several hundred still attended. campaigning in pennsylvania,

former vice president joe biden said he hoped the president had learned a lesson from the first event. >> i don't blame him for celebrating. there's a lot of things we could be doing, having massive crowds. but the fact is that it's just not appropriate now. >> reporter: president trump continues to claim incorrectly that the virus is under control. vice president pence is taking extra precautions on the campaign trail like covering his face at all times except while on stage. canceling rope lines with supporters and traveling with a group that is smaller than usual. he is charging ahead, though, with a packed schedule that includes rallies in six states over the next three days. tony? >> weijia, thank you. joe biden and president trump both have ambitious plans to get their messages out in this, the last week before election day. both are heavily focused on battleground states as well. biden is working to expand his support while the president appears to be focusing on his

bai base, including in the must-win state of pennsylvania. ed o'keefe reports. >> four more years! >> thank you very much. >> reporter: president trump made three stops in pennsylvania on monday, a state he needs to win again in order to win the white house. down seven points to joe biden, the president made yet another explicit appeal to the state's suburban female voters. >> they'll confiscate your guns, terminate religious liberty and destroy the suburbs. women of the suburbs, you must love me, i can tell you. >> reporter: and the president slammed his opponent. >> this election is a choice between a trump super recovery or a biden super depression. >> reporter: but biden struck back in a surprise visit to suburban philadelphia. >> the bottom line is, donald trump is the worst possible president, the worst possible person to try to lead us through this pandemic. >> reporter: as the president made multiple stops in pennsylvania and is traveling far more frequently, biden faced questions about his lighter

travel schedule. >> i am going to be going to iowa, wisconsin, georgia, florida. and maybe other places as well. the reason why it looks like i'm not traveling. we're not putting on superspreaders. >> reporter: meanwhile, as the trump campaign pushes to increase support among african-americans, the president's son-in-law and top adviser jared kushner is facing criticism for seeming to suggest that black americans don't want to succeed. >> one thing we've seen in a lot of the black community, which is mostly democrat, is that president trump's policies are the policies that can help people break out of the problems that they're complaining about. but he can't want them to be successful more than they want to be successful. >> reporter: the white house said the comments were being taken out of context. as you heard biden say there, he is headed to georgia today for another speech on the topic of national unity. the fact that he's in georgia at all is a signal that democrats believe they can win back the peach state for the first time since 1992. similar to that visit, he's

making later this week to iowa, a state where he's running even with the president. it's a place they didn't expect to be. his running mate kamala harris heads later this week to arizona and then texas. two other republican-leaning states democrats believe they might be able to win. anthony? >> surprising number of states in play, ed. thank you. the u.s. now averages more than 69,000 new coronavirus cases a day. that's an all-time high. and 12,000 americans have been hospitalized for covid over the last month. a jump of nearly 40%. this morning, we hear from three doctors who say hospitals are close to their breaking point. our lead national correspondent david begnaud has our report. >> reporter: the situation in utah's hospitals is increasingly dire. experts are warning that doctors may soon need to confront the unthinkable. rationing health care as beds fill up and staff are stretched thin. dr. eddie stenehjem is an

infectious disease expert there. >> there's no end in sight for us. our case counts are continuing to rise. our hospitalizations are continuing to rise. so there's no rounding the curve for us here in utah. >> reporter: the possibility of having to ration care is also becoming a concern in parts of idaho. where covid hospitalizations have more than doubled since the beginning of october. at st. luke's magic valley, dr. joshua kearn says roughly 30% of the hospital's 150 patients are infected with coronavirus. >> it's totally unprecedented. even during bad influenza season. it's not like we see a third of the patients in the hospital with influenza or teetering on the brink. we're right there. we need to turn things around or we'll be in big trouble. >> reporter: to wisconsin now. dr. jeff pothof in madison says four of his hospitals' covid wings are full. so they're opening another converted wing this week. >> it's never been worse for us here in wisconsin. and every day, it's not getting better. it's getting a little worse.

the ice is so thin right now as we try to do everything we can, get as creative as we can to take care of all the patients that need our services. >> reporter: all three of these doctors agree, there is no end in sight for the pandemic. for cbs this morning, i'm david begna begnaud, in new york. >> so it continues. a deadly police shooting led to anger and violence in philadelphia overnight. hundreds of protesters clashed with police for hours. our philadelphia station, kyw-tv says officers were injured by rocks and other objects thrown at them. more than 30 people were arrested. this follows the daytime killing of a man who walked toward two officers allegedly carrying a large knife. jericka duncan reports on the shooting that was caught on camera. a warning here that some of the video is very difficult to watch. >> cell phone video captures a chaotic scene on a street in philadelphia monday afternoon. police received a call about a man with a knife.

officers arrive and confront 27-year-old walter wallace jr. with guns drawn. police order wallace to drop the weapon, but he continues walking towards them. wallace's mother is seen grabbing her son in an effort to intervene but he breaks away, heading in the direction of the police who then open fire. >> put it on the ground! [ gunshots ] >> wallace's mother rushes to her son, along with multiple witnesses. >> oh, my god! oh, my god! >> reporter: wallace was hit in the shoulder and chest. it's unclear how many shots were fired but video from the aftermath shows at least 13 evidence markers. >> immediately dropped the knife and was scooped up by one of the discharging officers who took him into his police car, drove him over to presbyterian hospital where unfortunately he succumbed to his injuries. >> got to get some answers, for real. i don't trust me.

>> reporter: not long after the shooting, protesters demanded answers from the police. later in the night, dozens were arrested and demonstrations turned violent, resulting in 30 officers being injured with one suffering a broken leg after being struck by a vehicle. >> he hit a cop! oh, my god! he hit a cop. >> you need to stop pulling their guns first and pull their tasers first. it would be less killing. >> that was jericka duncan reporting on that story. in a statement, philadelphia mayor jane kenny says he watched the video of the incident and it raises very difficult questions that need answering. the police commissioner daniel outlaw announced an investigation would take place saying while at the scene this evening i heard and felt the anger of the community. i will be leaning on what the investigation gleans to answer. many unanswered questions that exist. just looking at the video and hearing the story, we really don't know enough but what we see is very upsetting and very disturbing. but what caused all of that? and the fact his mother was

there, too, clearly trying to restrain her son. >> looking forward to results of the investigation and more reporting. california can expect another day of severe fire danger. more strong winds are likely to whip up a pair of fast-moving wildfires just south of los angeles. they've already forced more than 90,000 people to leave their homes. jonathan vigliotti is at the fire scene in irvine, california. >> reporter: good morning to you. at times it felt like we were standing in the middle of a category 2 hurricane. believe it or not, the wind has calmed down overnight. giving fire crews a chance to focus on hot spots like this before this fire jumps over this roadway. the wind is expected to pick back up later this morning. two wind-driven wildfires continue to threaten thousands of homes in orange county. firefighters kept a close watch on shifting embers throughout the night hoping to protect nearby neighborhoods. the silverado fire which started monday morning shut down

freeways and forced evacuations. >> evacuate your residence. orange county fire authority. >> i have some place to go, thankfully. i've got a dog to worry about now. >> reporter: gusts nearing 100 miles an hour manhattan the. winds toppled big rigs as firefighters struggled to stay on their own feet. there's a neighborhood on the other side of all of this that fire crews right now simply can't get to. two firefighters are hospitalized with second and third-degree burns. >> they were working near the heel of the fire where the fire started. we don't have any information on what occurred. they are gravely injured. their families are with them. >> reporter: meanwhile, firefighters work to save homes at the so-called blue ridge fire about five miles to the north. flames crept downhillsides. >> sheriff's department. >> reporter: as officials went door to door making sure

homeowners had safely evacuated. and cameras captured at least one rescue of a firefighter snatching a small injured rabbit from beneath a freeway underpass and bringing the animal to safety. >> it's still unclear what sparked this fire. southern california edison said wind could have damaged some of their infrastructure sparking this blaze. the red flag warnings remain in effect through this afternoon. back to you. >> jonathan, thank you. firefighters doing an amazing job there. one more big storm in this record-breaking hurricane season is heading for the u.s. zeta hit playa del carmen, and other mexican resort areas overnight on its way into the gulf of mexico. hurricane warnings are up in louisiana and mississippi. zeta is expected to reach the central gulf coast by tomorrow night. in an exclusive interview, we are hearing from two of the grand jurors in the breonna

taylor case. the 26-year-old woman was shot and killed in her own home during a louisville police raid back in march. no police officers were charged for shooting taylor. and at least one of the officers involved has defended their actions. we spoke with the jurors and their attorney who say they were never given the option to consider murder or manslaughter charges. that contradicts statements made by the kentucky attorney general. we are not releasing the identities of the grand jurors at their request for their safety. can i ask you what you both think of the police behavior and actions that night? >> negligent. >> negligent? >> they couldn't even provide a risk assessment. and it sounded like they hadn't done one. so their organization leading up to this was lacking. that's what i mean by they were negligent in the operation. >> number two? >> they were criminal. leading up to this and

everything that they -- the way they moved forward on it, including the warrant was deception. >> you can see more of our exclusive interview with these two jurors tomorrow on "cbs this morning." they wanted to be called grand juror number one and grand juror number two. but they said it was difficult to come forward but it also wasn't difficult because they were so outraged when they heard the decision is that, a, they've never met daniel cameron. had no dealings with him. and when they heard his statement saying that the grand jury believes this or agrees with this, they said there was outrage in the grand jury room. they had a lot of very interesting things to say. >> i'm very interested to hear what they have to say. as we've discussed it for the warrant, how it came about and what the police were told when they went to that apartment. >> a lot of questions. >> you heard the question about the risk assessment. all right, gayle. the master mind of the cult nxivm faces sentencing today. one of his victims tells us why it was so difficult to

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♪ ohhh yeahhh! get free in-garage delivery with myq® and key by amazon. welcome back to "cbs this morning." the master mind of the alleged cult nexium will be sentenced later today for his crimes, including sex trafficking. keith raniere was found guilty on 7 charges last year. he could face life in prison. women who left say he was a master manipulator and sexual predator. one of them is india oxenberg. she spoke to anythinicki ba tea. good morning to you. this has been such a bizarre story from the very beginning. >> reporter: gayle, it is quite a story. it's been about two years since she left nexium and its secret female society where several women say they were groomed to

have sex with keith and branded with his images. now india is speaking about a sex cult. >> 19 years old. headquartered. >> the now 29-year-old is the daughter of dynasty actress. several failed attempts to get her out. >> my maim is india. i was in a cult for seven years. >> india left nxivm a year later. they're telling the story on stars. >> are you sure, are you sure

you want to do this, i said yes. >> the secret female only society in nxivm allegedly run by raniere and allison mack. women in das were organized as masters and slaves, put on restrictive diets and forced to lose weight. >> what i believe it was was a grooming and filtering system for keith. and for his personal desires. >> india and other members were branded with raniere and max initials and india said they were coerced into having sexual relations with raniere. raniere spoke to "dateline" via phone from prison. >> i apologize for my participation in all of this, this pain and suffering. i clearly participated, i have been a leader of the community. >> reporter: last year, raniere was convicted on seven charges including sex trafficking and racketeering. an offense which included the

production and possession of child pornography. >> after he was arrested you were still a part of nexium and das. how do you explain it to the viewers? >> it's like invisible chains and i know they're not there, but you feel them. >> raise your hand if you think raniere was wrongly convicted? he still has supporters. we spoke with five of them last month. why are you all supporting him? >> i think he's innocent. >> i think this shows you mind control is real. coercion is real and these people are being used as pawns for his agenda. >> how do you explain that the group supports keith raniere after he was has been convicted? >> it's called cognitive dissonance. >> reporter: this psychiatrist attended the trial.

in one instance, he consigns an undocumented young mexican woman to a room for two years. >> to me, raniere is a sadistic sociopath. one of the cruellest cult leaders ever heard of in my 35 years of doing this. >> i think almost everyone watches will think that could never happen to me. what do you say to them? >> there's no vaccine for cultic influence. you know, the people who think they're untouchable are probably the most likely to get involved in something because they don't have their guard up. >> to anyone watching who may where involved in a cult what do you say? >> nobody deserves to have their life taken from them or to be abused. >> what do you hope the sentence will be? >> i hope the judge gives him life in prison and i think he's a dangerous man. if release he'll do what he has

always done and that puts men and women and me at risk. >> reporter: india has worked with a cult deprogrammer and a therapist. had her brand covered with a tattoo and is engaged. allison mack pleaded guilty last year and raniere maintains his innocence and india plans to deliver an impact statement at his sentencing today. >> interesting he maintains his innocence but we heard that apology. really fascinating stuff. can't get enough of it. it's amazing how the alleged victims are from affluent backgrounds, they have money and a connections and yet they're susceptible. >> yeah. they're saying i was susceptible but it's wrong. thank goodness india is speaking up the way she is, but you see the other group, no, he's done nothing wrong. >> you heard she's dealing with

a therapist and a cult deprogrammer and you can see how much it has taken her to pull away from this. it was not easy. >> very strange. >> thank you very much. new rules to stop the coronavirus from spreading in europe. why police say that political extremists and the mob are stirring up protests in one country -- i think i can guess which one. a reminder you can always get the news by subscribing to the podcast. [engine revving] that's good! come on come on! [spooky laugh] okay now! ♪ [yelling] ♪

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eye lot of people are calling this . the coronavirus pandemic is

raging again in europe, and new rules are going into place to slow it down. that's led to violent protests in places like italy. europe now reports nearly half of the world's new covid cases. 1.3 million just last week, all-time high. seth doan is in rome. seth, how is that country responding to that? >> reporter: well, anthony, there are new rules and regulations. for a while we've had to wear the masks both outside and inside. now the newest restrictions include a curfew that all restaurants have to close after 6 p.m. and gyms and pools are also closed. there have been some protests, scattered protests around the country. and in some cases various extremist groups have hijacked those protests sparking violence. overnight police in riot gear fired tear gas to push back protestors that had set fires in the northern cities of tyrin and milan. while most protests against the

government restrictions, curfews and closures have been peaceful, italy's national police tell cbs news, these scenes are the result of inches be city gators from far right, far left and groups that infiltrated and carried out violence. across europe coronavirus cases are spiking. this shows the surges since september. look at germany, spain, the united kingdom and france which now has the fifth highest number of cases globally. spain, the first european country to have more than 1 million confirmed cases, declared a second state of emergency. governments in the world health organization are urging everyone take personal responsibility and limit contact. >> we can avoid national lockdowns. we can avoid massive restrictive movements if everyone plays their part. >> those pleas to lessen community spread are also coming from europe's hospitals. in belgium, doctors in one city have been asked to keep working

even if they have coronavirus but overall death rates are down and those admitted to critical care are more likely to survive. >> we feel we can offer every patient the best possible opportunity to get through it based on some much firmer science that we can draw on now. >> the prognosis for businesses is less encouraging. >> september was the first month for us that we started to go in the right way so now we have to stop again. >> reporter: you can see that the square behind me here, many of the streets are relatively empty. far fewer people than there normally would be. for the most part italians are quietly cooperating with the restrictions. gayle, i would say there is really more fear here than anger. fear of returning to where we were at the pandemic's peak in the spring. >> thank you, seth doan. that's what we all feel is fear. >> yeah. >> doctors, even if they have

it, are told they have to go back to work. >> in one place. i don't understand that at all. it is. you understand why some people are upset. it's very disheartening. europe as well as here, people have worked so hard to try to get through this, and to have to go backwards, it's a long fight. this tells you this virus is stubborn and -- >> thriving. >> yeah. >> 6 p.m. dinner curfew. >> thank you again.

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you know what time it is. it's time for what to watch. vlad, you're being introed with in this political moment you're living through she changed her political affiliation to the party of vlad. >> we're all members. >> all the way with vl vladduttiere. >> michelle, look what you've started. he's already got a campaign slogan. >> wlking about today. the virginia military institute long time leader has resigned after governor raffl northam looked into claims of structural racism at the college. he quit yesterday at the request of state leaders. in his resignation letter he wrote the governor and legislative leaders, quote, lost confidence in his leadership. it comes after a washington post story earlier this month detailing relentless racism

described by black cadets. they talked about lynching and a white professor talking about his father's kkk membership. they denied that vmi has systemic racial problems. this is a big deal. >> yeah. the general was highly decorated. he had headed the 101st airborne and centcom in florida. he said he did not believe systemic racism existed at the university. he defended a statue of stonewall jackson. >> how old is he? >> 80 years old. >> people don't like the term systemic but there is a term others have documented. that's why the confidence was lost. >> the investigation is ongoing. we'll keep an eye on it. moving onto the moon now. nasa has some extraordinary news. for the first time, water has been detected in sun lit parts of the moon surface. until now scientists didn't think hto could survive in lunar

spots that the sun's rays could reach. they found evidence of frozen water in the moon's dark craters. this newest discovery could help nasa build a case for a trip to the moon by astronauts. the south pole has become a coveted destination for a number of missions by nasa, china, other international space programs. >> gayle's ready to go. >> they were saying -- one of the articles -- >> staying right here. >> one of the articles is don't be excited. you're thrilled. >> my thrilled face. >> they do want a sustainable presence on the moon by the end of the decade, gayle. >> okay. >> keep finding water, they'll is life. >> i'll see you on the dark side of the moon. >> see you there, gayle. >> yeah. >> gamers, this one's for you. so pacman has made the virtual jump into real life. take a look at this 200 by 200 foot maze in illinois. here's what happened. players -- okay. players wearing color coded hard

hats posing as the ghosts. remember their names? >> no. >> blinky, pinky, and inky and clyde drive around the maze trying to recapture pacman. caterpillar built a course. the company's 95th anniversary. it took three days to make. i'm going there. >> i do remember blinky. i used to love that game. >> who didn't love pacman. >> do it out in the field. >> thank you, vlad. ahead, how the pandemic is changing how americans do their holiday shopping and why there's concern about small retailers. when i was in high school, this was the theater i came to quite often. ♪ the support we've had over the last few months has been amazing. i have a soft spot for local places. it's not just a work environment. everyone here is family. gonna go ahead and support him, get my hair cut, leave a big tip.

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mathieu ♪ mousse yes, indeedy, it's tuesday, october 27th, 2020. welcome back to "cbs this morning." i'm gayle king with tony dokoupil and anthony mason. historic shift on the supreme court. the potential political fallout over amy coney barrett's confirmati confirmation. the possible impact on the presidential race plus a look at the polls one week out. covid vaccine challenge. we take you inside the massive effort to overcome potential hurdles when it's rolled out, part of our series "road to a vaccine." and holiday shopping in the pandemic. how the virus is leading many americans to get an early start. >> never too early to get a deal. but first, here's today's "eye opener" at 8:00. amy coney barrett taking the first of two oaths to become the next supreme court justice. it happened at the white house

last night. >> president trump wanted the focus to be his pick, but the impact of covid-19 was impossible to ignore. >> the fact that's in georgia at all is a signal the democrats believe they could win back the peach state for the first time since 1992. the u.s. now averages more than 69,000 coronavirus cases a day. an all-time high. >> the deadly police shooting led to anger and violence in philadelphia overnight. hundreds of protesters clashed with police for hours. >> at times it felt like we were standing in the middle of a category 2 hurricane and believe it or not, the wind has calmed down overnight giving fire crews a chance to focus on hot spots like this. thanks to a report in the "wall street journal," we've just learned that the white house wanted to give early covid vaccines to mall santas, chairman of the fraternal order of real bearded san tass, replied he'd be doing santa a serious favor, santa would definitely resip credit.

that's a clear case of quid pro ho ho. sho. >> i'm passing on mall santa. >> yes, no. >> welcome back to "cbs this morning." amy coney barrett has taken the first of two oaths to become a supreme court justice, just a week before election day and after an intense partisan fight, she is the first justice confirmed without bipartisan support since 1869. good morning to you. >> reporter: good morning, gayle. president trump wasted into time calling a crowd to the white house. justice clarence thomas administered the constitutional oath. vice president mike pence whose office is dealing with a covid-19 outbreak was not seen at the ceremony. all of the several hundred attendees were required to wear masks, and their chairs were spread out on the south lawn. it was a stark difference from exactly one month earlier at barrett's nomination announcement in the rose garden,

which became a super spreader event. the senate confirmed 48-year-old barrett almost entirely along party lines. not a single democrat voted in her favor. a supreme court justice has never been confirmed this close to an election. barrett's predecessor, the late justice ruth bader ginsburg said it was her fervent wish that a new justice not be appointed until after the election. later today, chief justice john roberts will administer a second oath to justice barrett, who will then officially be able to begin work and there are several high-profile cases on the horizon regarding the president's personal tax returns, health care and possibly the outcome of the election. tony? >> first party line supreme court pick since 1869. think about that. weija, thank you very much. the president and joe biden are intensely focused on battleground states in this the final week before the election. the president will continue an

aggressive schedule with rallies today in michigan, wisconsin and nebraska. biden will stop in georgia today and in iowa, and wisconsin on friday. meanwhile his running mate, kamala harris will hit arizona and texas later this week, two traditionally republican states that may now be in play. the biden campaign is also announcing a visit to michigan on halloween. president trump narrowly won that state back in 2016. ahead in our "road to a vaccine" series, a shipping company that's preparing to distribute a coronavirus vaccine. how it's getting ready, without even knowing where a vaccine will be made, or how cold it will have to be kept.

for you. this election night will we have much more news ahead four. we'll take a look at what to expect and the potential path to victory for each candidate. plus celebrated chef and milk bar founder, christina tossi talks to us about how baking can create joy. yes, it does, christina, so does the eating part and empowers kids in the kitchen. you're watching "cbs this morning." we thank you for that. we'll be right back. sportation , i really saw the challenge of climate change. we want to be sustainable, but when you have a truck covering over 300 miles, or you have flights going hundreds of miles, it's a bit more challenging.

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we're just one week away from election day. our cbs news battleground tracker shows former vice president joe biden maintaining

his lead over president trump. cbs news current estimate has biden leading in states worth 279 electoral votes to president trump's 163. onction night cbs news elections and surveys director anthony salvanto, also known as the other anthony at cbs, will be looking at all of the data to decide when and how to project the winner of each state. he joins us now. boy, anthony, i do not envy your job this year. but your election team, you have examined every state with the battleground tracker, and so take us through each candidate's path to 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. >> sure thing. good morning, anthony. so, let me show you a map and tell you a story much the states on here are leaning in red, are leaning towards the president. the ones in blue are leaning towards joe biden. the ones in white are pure toss-ups.

i want you to look at the sun belt and the upper midwest or the rust belt. there is a surprising number of toss-up and close states in the sun belt this year. arizona, which the president won last time. florida, which is always a battleground. georgia, north carolina, all of them may be surprisingly in play, and then the upper midwest, which where you got a bunch of states leaning towards joe biden. what does each candidate need to do? well, joe biden needs to hang on to what's already leaning his way. maybe easier said than done because he still has to get strong turnout in order to do it. the president needs to relationship tate threplicate that 2016 math. if he hangs on to florida, hangs on to georgia, like he won it last time, get north carolina and pull out ohio and, let's say, iowa. okay. now he gets a little closer to joe biden's number and now we're back through the upper midwest again. this is where tony's done that

road trip. that's why the states are so important. then the president would have to flip, say, a pennsylvania, maybe wisconsin again to get him back over the top. all hypothetical, but that's the kind of dynamic that we are going to watch on election night and see what happens. >> anthony, you have been making calls for ten years on election night. how is this year going to be different? >> yeah, it's not getting any easier, anthony. i can tell you that. this year is going to be different because there is so much early vote. and as you all have reported so well, there is so many people who are casting ballots early, casting ballots by mail, and also some of the states may be slower in counting. what that means for us on election night is that we are going to be completely transparent with everybody, show you what we know and show you what we don't. as soon as the polls close, what i'm going to do is take all of the data we have, exit polling, our vote models, which combine

all of the trends and patterns that we see, and we are going to show you which way a state is leaning or which way it's likely to go. even before we can project it. and in that way we are going to give you a comprehensive picture of what's going on so that as the votes come in you will see it the same way our decision desk sees it in real time, anthony. >> anthony, four years ago, obviously, the outcome was not what the polls suggested before the election. a lot of people are suspicious. do you think we could have something like that happen this time around? >> everything about that comes down to turnout. and i know that can sound sometimes like a cliche, but a poll tells you what people are thinking. then what do they actually do? well, this year we've got a really interesting dynamic, anthony. let me show you this. take a few key states. people who have already voted tell us that they are favoring joe biden. we have strong numbers, florida,

georgia, north carolina that early vote trending his way. but if we talk to people who haven't voted yet, they tell us they are leaning towards the president. so, what does that mean? we will get to election night. we might say that joe biden has a lead in what's already cast in these states, and then do the president's supporters, like they did in 2016, turn out in large numbers, large enough to swing those states back to the president? it's that turnout dynamic that we are going to watch so carefully. >> quickly, are you expecting a result on election night? will we know who the next president is? >> i am going to give you a solid maybe. a solid maybe. >> that's what i was expecting. >> but, anthony, are you leaning towards a maybe yes or a maybe no? everything -- >> it's a lean maybe, gayle a lean maybe. >> yeah. tune in. it's going to be great. and we are going to stay with it. we are going to stay with it as

long as it takes. >> we certainly are. anthony, thanks so much for taking us through that. ahead in our series road to a vaccine, we will look at the huge challenges our country faces when it comes to distributing a coronavirus vaccine. you're watching "cbs this morning." need to find the closest

official ballot drop box near you? just visit vote.ca.gov to find your nearest location. then drop off your ballot. your vote will be secure and counted. there are other ways to vote too. just return your vote-by-mail ballot at your voting location or mail it back. or you can vote safely in-person during early voting or on election day. vote the way you're most comfortable - but vote by 8pm on november 3rd.

in our road to a vaccine series, we're looking at whether america is ready for the rollout of a covid vaccine. this morning we are showing you the massive distribution challenges that our country faces. the earliest a vaccine is expected to be ready for fda authorization is the end of november. the cdc has already given states $200 million to prepare for distribution, but will we be able to get the vaccine safely and efficiently to the american people? big question there. our cbs news senior medical correspondent dr. tara narula found out. >> imagine to transport a

coronavirus vaccine without knowing where the vaccine will be manufactured, what the packaging will be, or how cold it'll need to be kept. that's the daunting task before shipping companies like dhl. according to its ceo of global forwarding in the u.s.a. david goldberg. >> there are still a lot of things unknown. we've been talking to the different manufacturers who are in various phases of the clinical trials to get ready. >> at this cold chain facility, vaccines are stored at various temperatures before they're sent to doctor's offices, pharmacies and hospitals. >> we've been moving the flu vaccine, meningitis vaccine. the challenge is it's a vaccine that the world needs as soon as possible at once. making it very difficult in terms of logistics. >> reporter: the colder the vaccine, the more complicated the logistics. pfizer's vaccine candidate needs to be kept at about minus 94

degrees fahrenheit while moderna's needs to be stored at minus 4 degrees fahrenheit. >> a lot don't have that storage. >> reporter: molly howell is the immunization program manager. she says the ultracold storage requirement will make it challenging for them to get it to their residents. >> once a provider receives that vaccine, it really starts the clock that the vaccine needs to be administered within five days of when it's put in the refrigerator. >> reporter: pfizer's vaccine is going to ship in containers with almost 1,000 shots. that worries howell. >> the minimum increment of 1,000 doses in figuring out how we can get that to the rural areas is what's keeping me up at night. we're thinking about the possibility of having to repackage and redistribute that vaccine into smaller quantities. >> reporter: while states like north dakota gear up for mass distribution, the pandemic continues to batter state budgets. the trade associations that represent health officials pcongress for $8.4 billion to

help states distribute the vaccine. >> the states and their health departments, they are both tapped out financially and then also in terms of their human resources. they've been running 100 miles an hour to do the contact tracing to make up for a not very efficient federal response. >> reporter: georgetown professor dr. jesse goodman says there needs to be a national system for monitoring the vaccine. >> otherwise it will be chaos. we may have multiple vaccines. we may require two doses. they're going to be known who got what vaccine and when they need to come back for their second dose so we do have a big challenge. >> reporter: a challenge that goodman understands firsthand. >> our vaccine team acted immediately along with cdc. >> reporter: he was the fda's chief scientist in 2009 and navigated the agency's response to the h1n1 flu pandemic.

>> do you feel the vaccine has been driven by science or politics? >> i think the vaccine development has been driven by science and by the public health need but whether we will leave it in the hands of the experts to carefully consider the data and make decisions, that's the next critical step. the absolute most important thing is transparency, is not over promising and is not undermining the scientists, in particular the fda. i think if we do that and we're transparent about the results, the results will speak for themselves. >> reporter: pfizer tells cbs news it's making changes to ensure it can deliver a vaccine around the world and expanding capabilities for distribution centers.

>> such an interesting piece. i don't think i appreciated the challenge of distribution until i saw it. the ultracold temperatures are of particular interest. how could that requirement impact where a vaccine is distributed? >> reporter: well, it's a big logistical challenge, tony. you can imagine most of the sites where people get the vaccines, doctor's offices, hospitals, pharmacies don't have that freezer capability. states have to look to innovative ideas. it has to be a lot of partnership between the public and private sector. operation warp speed. north dakota, molly howell said they're looking at things like drive through auditoriums and ice fishing houses. the hope that as the research and science sshere may be modifications to the vaccine so that in time they don't require the ultra low temperatures. obviously there are other vaccine candidates that may be better suited for more rural areas, for example, johnson & johnson if it ultimately gets approved, does not require that

ultra low temp. one interesting thing, west africa is only one thing that's well positioned because of their experience with the ebola vaccine which did require ultra low temperatures. >> very interesting. tracking is another component. three of the vaccines that could be approved require two doses. how will the federal government, if at all, track who has to have a vaccine especially if people need two installments for it to work? >> reporter: right. we really do need to build that database. when we spoke to operation warp speed, they did mention there is a national database. they're populating it now with the hope that if somebody goes into a cvs in one state and needs to get vaccinated 28 days later in a different state in a different location, we would be able to track that. the other challenge is obviously going to make sure that people get that second dose. as you know, it can be difficult to get people to come in, even for dose one. >> yeah, it sure can. really interesting. dr. tara narula.

in our road to vaccine series, we'll focus on the federal response. dr. . good morning. as we take a look at the roadways. it's still a very slow ride along. 680 northbound. that's where chp is investigating a fatal investigate involving a motorcycle. big delays. use alternates. we are seeing all approaches bogged down. that includes 84 as you head through there and a traffic alert continues eastbound 4 at 680. red flag warning remains in effect for the north bay mountain, east bay hills and diablo range until 5:00 p.m. today. very dry air. sunshine temperatures in the upper 7o's, bay area homeowners,

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welcome back to "cbs this morning." it's that time to bring you some of the stories that we like to call talk of the table. anthony gets to go first. >> i love this. we know quesla, the drummer from the band the roots. he's searching for a stranger who gave him his first vinyl records. social media. the start of my record collection starts with this note. he shared a photo of a napkin where the woman named ellie wrote down the records he told her that he liked, the jackson five, neil issa sadaka and rufu. ellie came back with the records and a turntable.

in the off chance someone in portland, maine, knows of a kind woman who in 1976 randomly purchased a turntable and three records for this little black kids with an afro the size of texas named ellie, i'd like to know. he said he knew talking to strangers back then was a no-no. he didn't think anything was going to come of it. in his memoir, one of the great music memoirs around, questlove said he had 5,000 lps which he inherited. >> i love this. >> moments. >> what year was that? >> '76. >> chances are she still could be very much alive. >> these days word travels fast. >> i love it. come on, ellie. come on. >> wonderful gesture. >> mine is 'tis the season to spell extra crispy. what? >> i knew you were going to pick

this one. >> so did i? >> did you? >> i saw it. i'll leave that one. >> why did you all think i would pick that one about fried chicken, people? what y'all trying to say? but it's true. just in time government holidays. i hate being predictable. kfc is back with the 11 herbs and spices firelog. the company says it's time to make your home smell like fried chicken and feel as warm as an extra crispy drumstick in a kfc $20 fillup. the log has sold out, by the way, for the last 20 years. walmart warns it may result in a craving for fried chicken and cautions kfc fans. tony dokoupil, please do not attempt to eat the log. i would never do it. i don't know if you want your whole home smelling like fried chicken. >> have you done it? >> no, i would not do it. i think it's great for a party idea. we're in the holiday mood and we might not have.

>> we can bring one into the studio. >> let's see how that goes over. you know i'm a popeye's girl, but i do like the 11 herbs and spices. this goes good, too, because a couple of years ago, last year kfc debuted the gravy scented candle to complete the whole ambience. it's funny that both of you knew i was going to choose it. >> we need one that smells like stuffing. >> if you are going to burn that in the fireplace and it smells like fried chicken, you better have a bucket somewhere nearby. >> go kfc. that's a fun idea. >> all right. i've got some advice for people looking for love on halloween, which is apparently a good holiday for dating. the type of costume you choose might help according to a survey by dating.com. >> really? good holiday for dating? >> casual atmosphere. that's what i'm told. i've been married forever. it asked what's the most attractive? nearly 70% of people said funny

costumes. sense of humor. 18% said cute. 13% said scary costumes which surprises me. the least attractive costume, political costumes. >> wow. >> nearly half said halloween was their favorite holiday for meeting new people. >> wow. >> don't do a political costume. it's going to be a turn off. >> what category is naughty nurse in? >> i was wondering that. >> that might be cute. >> asking for a friend. cute. >> unless you're a parrot, then it's scary. >> that's trouble. >> all right. enough. her series the new normal, we look at how the pandemic is changing our everyday lives. black friday is usually the unofficial start of the holiday shopping season, but for many people this year it kicked off much earlier actually. retailers are having early sales to avoid crowds in stores and to

avoid shipping delays. recent survey found nearly half of respondents started their holiday shopping online by september. i am not in this category. citing boredom while at home. anna werner has a look at what's shaping up to be an unusual shopping season. anna, good morning. >> good morning, anthony. you may not have started your shopping yet, but some major companies like amazon and target, they've already launched big online sales already this month. they're seeing a surge in business. meanwhile, however, many local retailers are suffering so this holiday season they're asking customers to think and shop small. >> it's just really one of a kind. >> louisa and nicki opened their tiny store domus in mid town manhattan 18 years ago. >> we could have had a teenager going to college by now. it's like our baby. >> but sidewalks normally bustling with people are now

often silent. >> it's been pretty devastating. we are a small store on a little side street and we are in the heart of the broadway theater district. >> theaters are closed. most tourists aren't visiting. this holiday season they are likely to lose hundreds of thousands of dollars. >> for 3 1/2 weeks before christmas we do 1/4 of the entire year of business so each week is really like a month. and so it's going to be a tremendous setback. >> reporter: the pandemic affects the local artisans too. they usually travel the world buying goods with a focus on paying a fair wage to the artists. >> normally in december we are able to get replenished. this year i don't think we will be able to. >> reporter: experts say foot traffic in retail stores is down and consumers are cutting

spending, too. around 52% expect their total holiday spending to be less than last year. nearly half of respondents plan to do their holiday shopping online. arianne doral is one of them. >> to be safer, not just for myself but for the people in the household right now including my daughter. >> reporter: the marietta, georgia, mother said she's ordering early because of the snafu this summer. the electric jeep she ordered online in june for her daughter's fourth birthday in july arrived late. >> july was a lesson to take a little bit more time shopping for things instead of waiting until last minute. >> how big a christmas grinch could the shipping issue be? >> this is going to be a big issue. >> reporter: ken perkins with retail metrics says online holiday shoppers should start now. >> you're looking at a potential doubling. if consumers wait until the last

minute, they're going to be deeply disappointed. >> reporter: back at domus, they have expanded their offerings and have safety protocols in place for customers who come in to shop. >> they make really beautiful. >> they hope people remember that smaller stores help make neighborhoods what they are. >> most stores are really the flesh and blood of the community and this is not just a lifestyle for us. this is our livelihood. >> so her message this holiday season -- >> give small businesses a chance. >> reporter: so what's the spending forecast for this season? perkins says it really could go either way with unemployment, the lack of a stimulus package, some people are not going to be able to afford to spend a lot this season. on the other hand, there may be other people who are at home, they're not traveling and they may want some retail therapy, tony. i don't know.

>> i'm hoping it's going in a good direction. i like a little retail therapy as well. i hope people do shop local. if you buy local, it stays local. good plan. thank you very much. ahead, award winning pastry chef and milk bar co-founder -- straight up founder, baking (garage door opening) it is my father's love... it is his passion- it is his fault he didn't lock the garage.

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acclaimed chef and milk bar founder christina tozzi is out with a playful cookbook called milk bar. kids only is a fourth cookbook from this acclaimed pastry chef. she's a two-time winner of the james beard award that recognizes culinary excellence. vladimir sat down with her and learned how her baking is about more than just satisfying your sweet tooth. vlad, good morning. she's awesome. >> she's amazing. there's an interesting phenomenon that developed when the coronavirus pandemic forced people to stay home. people became reacquainted with their ovens, right? they baked for themselves, family and friends. it wasn't just toilet paper and sanitizing wipes but flour and yeast as well. she had a moment in 2020 and chef christina tozzi was there

to meet it. >> half a cup. this is what you're looking for. smooth, creamy. no one's mad at it. looks very delicious. >> reporter: when the country went into lockdown, christina headed to the kitchen. >> we need to take the cake and break it down. >> reporter: the renowned chef met her fans in their homes hosting a bake club on instagram live. >> boy, did you all get after brittle yesterday. you made miss tash yes brittle, pecan, butter scotch. >> what did you learn? >> i learned that the power of being imperially perfect is what i call it or comfortably human principals is -- is the most powerful tool i have, that community is a really powerful thing. the power of a baked good is real and we need it now in the harder times more than ever before. >> reporter: tozzi has embraced that power for more than a decade. in 2008 she opened milk bar, a

bakery serving treats with a twist like cereal milk ice cream. there are 13 milk bar outposts. she has a fourth cookbook. >> i wrote this book before this year so it's kind of just ironic that this book of celebration of looking at the world through the lens of a kid, being a kid and getting in the kitchen, baking, being empowered by it, they're all such meaningful things that we need right now. >> reporter: for anyone looking for the hide the veggies in the cupcakes cookbook, this is unapologetically not it. >> the reason i was raised was desserts as a conduit. a platter about cookies is not about you crushing the whole platter. >> now you tell me. >> you've been doing it wrong, vlad. no. i believe baked goods are invitations into people's lives. they're opportunities to share joy and heart and emotion and

it's about sharing as much as it is about consuming. and little moments of things are always going to be good for you. so one of the pro moves of this treat is you put sprinkles on the bottom of the pan. >> reporter: for tozzi, the kitchen has always been about connection. >> do you ever notice people love watching people cook or bake? >> i love when people come and hang out with me in the kitchen. the kitchen is my happy safe place. my grandma always welcomed me in. it was kind of the place where we talked about stuff. like i think you -- i get the most out of people that just come and hang out and i'm like, hey, what's up? what's about your day? anything good happen. what about the bad stuff? what happened with the bad stuff? it happens right here. >> reporter: despite the challenges, it's brought opportunity for the milk bar brand. most stores have reopened. it's been a jump in the online care packages. over 340,000 have shipped.

you can find them in the grocery aisles of target and whole foods. still, tozzi is determined to hang onto the small business charm. >> i use my tummy as my guide when we're testing new recipes, but i try to always use my heart as my guide everywhere else even when making the biggest, heaviest business decisions because at the end of the day milk bar is an extension of me. milk bar is an extension of the people that i work with and we're all humans just trying to figure out how to show up in the world. >> my tummy is my guide, too, even as it expands. tozzi also listens to her roughly 200 employees after the summer's nationwide cry for social justice, milk bar updated several policies. they have additional paid time off for mental health and to vote in the upcoming election. >> how about that. >> she's awesome. >> she is awesome. >> i could use more. >> the power of baked goods is real. >> is real. >> i'm still trying to counter act that power from april and

may. >> i wrote that down too, anthony. imperially perfect and comfortably human. >> life is always uncertain. i always eat dessert first. that was a magnet on my fridge as a kid. my mom had it. i live by it. >> amazing what power a cinnamon bun can have in the middle of a pandemic. >> thank you, vlad. i like how she's inspiring kids. maybe i can do that book, the kid book. >> can you bake, gayle? >> no. maybe that's why i need the kid book. before we go, how a 6-year-old is using her voice and the alphabet to inspire young people to dream big about their dreams. cute. future careers. and on today's "cbs this morning" podcast, what is his name -- >> leon nafalk. >> thank you, tony, "fiasco." focuses on the violence and using bussing to desegregate

boston public schools. we'll be right back. thank you, meagan. who's supporting prop 15? joe biden. biden says, "every kid deserves a quality education and every family deserves to live in a safe, healthy community. that's why i support prop. 15." vote yes. schools and communities first is responsible for the contents of this ad. ♪ ♪ you make my heart sing ♪ ♪ wild thing i... think i... you know what i think? i think you owe us $48.50... wild thing. if you ride, you get it. geico motorcycle. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more.

if you ride, you get it. who'sgovernor gavin newsom. the governor says prop 15 is, "fair, phased-in, and long overdue reform",

that "will exempt small businesses and residential property owners." join governor newsom. vote yes on 15. before we go, a 6-year-old from tennessee is using his rap skills to inspire young kids like him. take a look. ♪ ♪ ♪ >> that is sam white and his dad bobby who put a spin on singing the abcs. the song goes through the alphabet using letters to describe jobs. it has already been viewed 6 million times from saturday. he started reading at 2. memorized it in a few days. sam's favorite letter is a. he wants to be an architect when he grows up. >> i like dad back there. >> providing moral support and

percussions. >> big support. you go, sam white. architect it is. that uber and lyft are like every big guy i've ever brought down. prop 22 doesn't "help" their drivers-- it denies them benefits. 22 doesn't help women. it actually weakens sexual harassment laws, which are meant to protect them. uber and lyft aren't even required to investigate sexual harassment claims. i agree with the la times: no on 22. uber and lyft want all the power. so, show them the real power is you. vote no on prop 22.

. good morning. if you are hitting the roadways this morning we are seeing some pretty hefty delays. there is abhijit ongoing investigation into a fatal accident. you still have two lanes blocked in that area. it is improving slightly as far as delays but still slow in that area. south 88o through heyward. look out for a crash near a street. i'm tracking very dry air in place. we have temperatures in the 40's and 50's and extreme fire danger for the north bay mountains and diablo range. that red flag warning until 5 p.m. prop 19 helps california's most vulnerable. it provides property tax fairness for disabled homeowners like cynde, stuck living with a broken elevator.

nineteen helps wildfire victims, like ellie, one of 24,000 who've lost their homes to fire. and seniors like pam who need to move closer to family or medical care, without a tax penalty. prop 19 limits taxes on our most vulnerable. yes on 19. ♪ ♪ heart monitors that let your doctor watch over you, just like you watch over your best friend. another life-changing technology from abbott, so you don't wait for life. you live it.

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while helping with occasional joint stiffness. wayne: i'm on tv! jonathan: it's a trip to napa! (screaming) wayne: you've got the car! cash, mr. la-de-da! jonathan: it's a new kitchen! - woo! jonathan: wow! - i'm going for door number two! jonathan: it's time for "let's make a deal!" now here's tv's big dealer, wayne brady! wayne: hey, everybody, welcome to "let's make a deal." happy halloween, or as i like to call it, just another day. every day is halloween here, every single day, and that's how we like it. but for you muggles, you non-magical folk at home right now that are not dressed up, yes it is halloween. enjoy your halloween, have a safe one, we're gonna have a deal-filled halloween. i need someone to make a deal with right now! (cheers and applause)