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when you humble yourself under the mighty hand of god, in due time he will exalt you. hi, i'm joel osteen. i'm excited about being with you every week. i hope you'll tune in. you'll be inspired, you'll be encouraged. i'm looking forward to seeing you right here. you are fully loaded and completely equipped for the race that's been designed for you.

we're going to see what happens. but we could have a very big night. look, the policies of the democrats are beyond description. >> your right to choose is on the ballot. your right to vote is on the ballot. >> with the right majorities, we'll take step one to winning back america. >> democracy itself is on the ballot. the stakes are high. >> and welcome back to our cbs news election night headquarters here in new york. let's go back to major garrett and anthony salvanto for something you'll see only on cbs news. >> norah, we've heard on social media all about influencers. i'm not one of them, but i've

read books about it, you know. there are influencers in politics too, and cbs has drilled down on our polling data to find out the four most important influential groups in this midterm election. anthony, who are they, and what do they care about? >> we define this by the way people define themselves and see politics, starting with those pressured parents you were just talking about. they told us during the pandemic that that negatively impacted their kids, and then inflation hit their finances, and that caused stress. the trump true believers. these are folks who consider themselves not only republicans but maga republicans. loyalty to the former president is important, but also election denialism. they insisted on that in their nominees. that's been the center of the gravity in the republican party so far. the restoring roe voters. these are women who have been motivated to vote, usually democratic, by opposition to the overturn of roe v. wade. the key for them tonight is how many are there? can democrats turn them out in large enough numbers to maybe save their house chances? and then finally, the young and restless.

the big mystery here is will young people show up? they could be determinative if they do, but so far, major, the exit polls show they're not. >> and one of the theories the young and restless have is older generations had it easier in america than they do, and that might motivate them to show up. those are the four influencers, norah. we'll be watching them all night. >> pivotal to break it down that way. we don't want to say people fall into natural categories of republican or democrat or independent. it's more complex. >> what's also more complex is that you have the restoring roe voters. within that is a number of people who are actually anti-abortion rights. so, for example, the trump true believers, i think it's 97% of them are supporting president trump. 81% of the restoring roe voters are supporting democrats. so it's messy. the same is true with pressured parents. they favor the republicans over the democrats, but there are a pretty sizeable number of the democrats who wanted parental leave, who wanted child care and elder care, that were in the

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in the election for this midterm election, and we identified pressured parents. we said they would be important. anthony salvanto can now explain new data that we've just uncovered to explain how important and why. >> so we have cbs news exclusive polling of voters, including voters we talked to today, how did you vote? what was the motivation behind your vote? i want to focus in on the pressured parents because they're so important. we talked about them. their kids were stressed by the covid pandemic. now they're stressed by inflation. look at this, major. not only that, but they have school-age children. they think joe biden could be doing more. their key issues were the economy. i can report right now that pressured parents started out as 13% of the electorate before 13% of the electorate before th restless nights fogging up your day? tonight, try new zzzquil pure zzzs sleep plus next day energy with melatonin to help you fall asleep naturally... plus extended-release b-vitamins. wake up feeling refreshed. pure zzzs. sleep better. wake up your best. ♪♪ you pour your heart into everything you do,

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i put it on once, no more touch ups! secret had ph balancing minerals; and it helps eliminate odor, instead of just masking it. so pull it in close. secret works. people are feeling uneasy, out of control as the polls have shown. >> out of control. and they have good reason to feel that way looking at the mental health crisis, the formula crisis, the covid crisis, pediatric hospitalizations right now are at this incredible level up and down many cities in the united states. i'm looking at stats on education. 44% of public schools in this country have full or part-time vacancies according to the education department. they don't have teachers. they don't have bus drivers. they don't have people in their everyday life that they need to encounter to help parent their children. national average test score declines in math for fourth and eighth graders, largest ever recorded. people feel out of control. they can measure it, and they have been through it, and they are exhausted.

>> i want to bring in scott macfarlane who covers congress for us for an issue we've not touched on tonight because you're over at the democracy desk. we have been at cbs news airing elections since the 1940s. but this is the first time we've put a democracy desk for these important issues. scott. >> the question is does everything you just discussed transcend the issue of democracy? president biden and many democrats have said democracy is on the ballot tonight. there isn't just a stream or a trickle. there's a tidal wave of election denying candidates on the ballot. 308 in the federal or statewide races, including a majority of those running for the u.s. house for republicans. what do we mean by election denialism? candidates that meet one of any of these six criteria, including those who sowed seeds of doubt about the 2020 election, those who questioned the legitimacy of president biden's election. and they're not just in some states. they're in 48 states across the country at the statewide or federal level. they're doing well so far, the election denialism candidates. it's an indication that

democracy as an issue, norah, is just not resonating more than those issues you just described. >> scott macfarlane -- >> what does it mean, scott, for just a second because the democrats hit the democracy issue very hard. but it doesn't seem to resonate, as you said, with voters because they're thinking when you look at what they care about, it's the prices. it's crime. it's the economy. democracy is not on the list. republicans also said that democracy matters to people. why is that not resonating? don't we all want -- don't we all want a democracy? >> there are so many voters who are worried about what's right in front of them at this moment versus this long-term aspiration for all americans, that democracy stay intact. i'll tell you, though, if this election were being held january 7th, 2021, might it have landed more powerfully with america, which saw the horrific, unique american moment? >> scott macfarlane, all right. you're watching cbs news, "america decides." restless nights fogging up your day?

tonight, try new zzzquil pure zzzs sleep plus next day energy with melatonin to help you fall asleep naturally... plus extended-release b-vitamins. wake up feeling refreshed. pure zzzs. sleep better. wake up your best. ♪♪ you pour your heart into everything you do, which is a lot. so take care of that heart with lipton. because sippin' on unsweetened lipton can help support a healthy heart. lipton. stop chuggin'. start sippin'. suffering from sinus congestion, especially at night?

try vicks sinex stop chuggin'. for instant relief that lasts up to 12 hours. vicks sinex targets congestion at the source, relieving nasal congestion and sinus pressure by reducing swelling in the sinuses. try vicks sinex. listen, i'm done settling. because this is my secret. i put it on once, no more touch ups! secret had ph balancing minerals; and it helps eliminate odor, instead of just masking it. so pull it in close. secret works. today's powerball drawing was historic not only because it had the largest jackpot ever, topping $2 billion, but also because it was delayed nearly half a day. cbs's christina ruffini reports tonight from the los angeles suburb of altadena, california, where the one winning ticket was sold. >> reporter: across the country this week, americans exercised their right to hope. >> $2.04 billion.

>> somebody is holding on to a very important piece of paper this morning. >> reporter: a single still unidentified winner purchased the golden ticket at joe's service center in altadena, california. >> i always say that good luck to the winner. >> this time it was true. >> for someone, it's a dream come true. >> reporter: joe chahayed received a $1 million check for selling that winning ticket. a syrian immigrant, he came to the u.s. more than 40 years ago with only a few thousand dollars. money is amazing, but is that important? >> no. the love more important than the money. the family. family more important than anything in the world. >> what's your message for the winner? >> oh, man. go away and live your life, the best life ever that you possibly can live. >> reporter: now, there are 22 tickets out there that matched five of the numbers, worth more than $1 million each. in california, the winner has a year to come forward, and that name will be made public. norah. >> i agree, though. love and family the most important thing.

thank you, christina. sky watchers were treated to a spectacular lunar eclipse today.

we're going to turn now to florida where millions of people along the atlantic coast are bracing for what could be a rare november hurricane, the first since 1985. warnings are posted from boca raton to daytona beach as tropical storm nicole gains strength. mike bettes is tracking nicole for us at the weather channel. hey there, mike. >> norah, good evening. we know nicole is on a collision course with florida. it's a tropical system now, has a much better presentation on satellite. winds have increased throughout the day. it's likely to intensify before landfall late wednesday into thursday. hurricane warnings in effect here as well as tropical storm warnings and tropical storm watches across florida that extend up into georgia. the track has remained pretty consistent, likely to be a category 1 hurricane at landfall and then quickly racing off into the northeast. but a heavy dose of wind and rain over the next 48 hours

across florida and beyond as it comes inland, potentially even over the gulf of mexico, picked up by a big snowstorm in the middle of the country and forced across new england. the good news is by this weekend, expected to exit in the canadian maritimes, improving weather by saturday. >> mike bettes, thank you. it was a marvelous day for a moon dance. the sun, moon, and earth aligned for a celestial event known as the beaver blood moon lunar eclipse. it was visible across north and central america, asia, australia, and new zealand. nasa posted a composite showing the progression of the eclipse at the kennedy space center in florida. the moon's reddish hue is caused by the scattering of light in the atmosphere. and that's the overnight news for this wednesday. for some of you, the news continues. for others, check back later for cbs mornings. and remember you can follow us online anytime at cbsnews.com. reporting from new york city, i'm norah o'donnell.

this is cbs news flash. i'm lilia luciano in new york. ballots are being counted with control of congress hanging in the balance. cbs news rates the house as leaning republican, but at this hour, tight contests are keeping the senate a toss-up. but democrats did score a big victory in pennsylvania. john fetterman spoke to supporters in pittsburgh after defeating republican dr. mehmet oz in a bruising battle. at the white house, president biden made congratulatory calls to democrats. the administration saying the red wave predicted by republicans had not materialized. in florida, former president donald trump watched results at mar-a-lago. he later claimed on social media that republicans had, quote, a

great evening. download the cbs news app on your cell phone or connected tv. i'm lilia luciano, cbs news, new york. tonight, "america decides." the biggest night in politics. who will control congress and the governors' mansions across the nation? tonight, the future of our country on the ballot. >> announcer: this is the "cbs overnight news," reporting tonight from cbs news election headquarters in times square. congratulations to governor brian kemp. >> i can't tell you how honored i am to be your governor. >> and we needed another stark reminder that we have incompetent people running the show in arizona. >> tonight i humbly stand before

you as your governor-elect, knowing that you met this moment. >> welcome back to our cbs news election night coverage. we do want to check in on some of the big races of the night. cbs news is now changing an important race characterization. we are now categorizing the pennsylvania senate race as likely democratic towards john fetterman. this would be a democratic pickup, a formerly republican-held seat, a very big deal. fetterman tweeting right now that he expects to be the next senator from the keystone state. let's take a look at wisconsin. take a look at this. the senate race is now lean republican there. there are still some outstanding ballots from milwaukee.

getting interesting and conflicting information on that race. and in arizona, cbs news characterizes the senate race there as lean democratic, which would be a hold for the democratic senator incumbent there, senator mark kelly. let's take a look now at georgia. all eyes on that state. with 94% of the vote in, that race still a toss-up, and that very well could end up in a runoff with some of the sources i'm talking with tonight believe that that may be the case. we should now take a look at the battle for control of congress. you see the numbers there. dead even right now. still a number of these races outstanding. i want to go now to robert costa, our chief election and campaign correspondent. you're from pennsylvania. you spent a lot of time there with both campaigns. what are you hearing? >> it was just a few months ago i drove to pennsylvania in the morning to conduct a breakfast interview with john fetterman. he never showed up. it was that morning he had a

stroke. i sat down with him a few days ago, and he said he did that debate with mehmet oz because he wanted to show pennsylvania voters that he's absolutely fit to serve, his quote. so he endured what many people thought was an uncomfortable debate for him. he had to use closed captioning during the debate and during a recent interview for cbs news. but as our data shows, it looks like he's in a strong position right now to potentially win this senate race. he's claiming he will be the next pennsylvania senator on twitter tonight. >> we should talk about nevada because that is such an important state. democrats consider senator cortez masto their most vulnerable democrat. major garrett. >> norah, that's exactly right. that's not an insult. democrats did look at this race and feel that catherine cortez masto was the most vulnerable of the incumbents trying to hold on to a democratic seat. now, for our eagle-eyed viewers and those who are watching the bar go by and watching the cbsnews.com website, tracking votes coming in, they might have

been alarmed maybe 30 minutes ago to see nevada voted 1% and then, boom, instantly jumped to 44%. my colleague, david becker, will explain why that was in a minute. here's where we have the race as a toss-up. we have a little bit of results in from reno, carson city, a little bit coming in from las vegas. but this race is clearly a toss-up, 44%. there's more coming in. but why did it go instantaneously from 1% to 44%? there's nothing askew there. nothing is going wrong. >> let's go to caitlin huey-burns, our cbs news political correspondent. she is at an empty ballroom. caitlin, what's happening there? >> reporter: hi. good evening, norah. well, as you can see, this ballroom behind me is very empty indeed. not the kind of atmosphere you would expect from republicans who think that they would be encountering a wave election. it is midnight here, and the ballroom has been pretty empty the whole entire night. republicans were expecting to pick up a lot of seats. this was expected to be an event, an event to really

celebrate mccarthy as the potential speaker and the house gains, but that is not the case. instead, going into tonight, here i was talking to the rnc chair, and she said look at those virginia races as a bellwether. well, since then, that race for abigail spanberger has been called. that was one republicans were hoping to flip. that is now -- she has won that race. and some of these others, like the one in rhode island that we were following as well, has not panned out in their favor. so a quiet night here. not a lot of republicans being very talkative right now as these results come in. >> some interesting results from the state of arizona that may surprise you. cbs news is changing its characterization in the battleground of arizona in the senate race. the cbs news race rating is now lean democratic for senator mark kelly, the former astronaut there.