tv Nightly Business Report PBS November 25, 2019 5:00pm-5:30pm PST
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report" with bill griffeth and sue here hitting a triple. the dow, s&p and nasdaq close at records, as the 2019 rally picks up steam. bump in the road. uber loses itso license opate in london, raising questions about the company's future in its most lucrative european market. >> farm aid. many thought government helpe fr trade war would go to the heartlands. but that's not necessarihe where the cs are being sent. those storiesnd more on "nightly business report" for monday, novber 25th. we do bid you good evening, it was a record start for the week on the stock market and three major indexes all finished at all-time highs today, powered by technology shares. a handful of major deals werenf
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med, which helped lift the mood. we'll have more on that in a moment. anl street's view of the u.s./china trade negotiations, which seem to changeil they were optimistic today. it all contributed to a continuaon of the latest rally that began in early october. the dow was up another 190 points, nasdaq was up 112. s&p added3. mike santoli takes a closer looe ater the new highs can hold. >> wall street's record rally t slowed in rec weeks but not yet stopped. >> the broad s&p 500 drifted to a fresh all-time high monday, it up only a fraction of a percent over the past ten days. now with th i ahead by nearly 25% for the year, the question turns to wheer the rally has already priced in most good news on th economy and trade or whether the market is really pausing ahead of a typicalun homestretch higherhrough december. the key drivers for the market's recovery since august remain in
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placsi raant rec fears in late summer now appear unfounded. mobile growth is showing signs of picking it. the federal reserve is on hold with rates at the benign level and seasonal factors favorks st at the year end. and when a stockains 20% the following of the yea is also up about 70% of the time, albeit with moreodest gains. still, some analysts are quibbling with the market action here and there. the porti of alltocks that are keeng case with the major indexes has falleoff a bit. the c economiclical stocks that led the way across the august market bottom, repealed a little bit. and stock valuations are about as high as relative to corporate earnings as they havs been t decade. it's easy to make the case stocks rped the benefit of a u.s./china trade deal and returning growth for coming
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hoarders. still grinding higher overshadow trade and policy issues is exactly what strong bull markets tend to do. for "nightly business report," i'm mike santoni. >> now to discuss the market and continue hire, president andf ch investment officer at enna and walsh asset management nice to have you here. >> nice to be here. >> do you agree with mike's last point that bullarkets tend to slowly grind higher? >> yes, i think we're in a market whe most investors who were fearing a pottial recession about a month ago n fearing out on the next upside in the market. we have a very confident consumer, aonsumers as we all know are a large part of the u. economy. the less the consumer spends, the stom does better. and this could bring a littl santa claus rally at the endf the year. >> but when we start convincing ourself that the market only has
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one direction to go that i start gettt you? understandable. but i think the underlying edrivers are ahead with ead front being 70% of the economy. have the lowest unemploymen 5 level i years, wages are rising and a federal reserveho basically told us they're not going to do anything, at least for next month. that set the stage for a pretty good stock market rally butg its goo be limited because of where valuations are right now. >> that ms going to be next question. if we do get a little santa claus rally, abouthat type of percentage gain do you think is still left in this market? >> as it stands now we think the market can grow by 10% between now and the end of 2020 with the bulk of that gain likely becoming between now and the second of e second quarter of next year. once we get that the summer months of next year, we get to the democrat convention, republican convention and we can see tremendous volatility until we know who the candidates are. >> who do you think takes us bhigher? we'vn through a couple of cycles where growth led the way for a time and then the defensive issues led the way for
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a time. now we're back to growth>> agai e're back to growth again gut investors are craving income. they're looking for a yield because they can't turn to traditional income sources when 1.7%.reasury is yielding about they want growth opportunities, they want dividend income and that points to div nd-paying stocks. >> kevin, thank you very much for joining us tonight. >> mysu pl. >> and kevin is with hennen and alshet management. as we mepged earlier, it was a big day forme ers, some of which we told you about last week. today they were confirmed by the companievo ed. first charles schwab sai it's buying td ameritrade for about $2 $26 million, creating a brokerage with 24 million customers and $5 billion i assets. tiffany'sbo is beinht by lvmh mar for $15 million, making it the largesty lux goods deal ever. they expect to expand tiffany's presence internationally,
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especially aan markets. an novartis is being sold for $10 million. they develop treatme for cardiovascular disease. another deal was announced, this one if ebay, which is selling off stubhub in $4 billion deal. it is being prochased by a an company called via gogo. the combined companies expects to sell hundreds o thousands of tickets eac day across 70 countries. finally a deal that's not being done, hp rected xerox's takeover bid after turning down its unsolicited merger off last week. hp said they undervalue the company. a new report ss consumers plan to spend about as much as they did last yeaac rding to bank rate, three quarters of adults have to plans to increase spending, 22% plan to spend less. holiday spending is exactly what
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economists are trying to predict last year, it's not easy. here's steve liesman. >> rorter: will it be a bah humbug or ho, ho, ho holiday shopping season? e consumer looks in good shape to spend but there remains major question. the answer is critical w, a manager capital invest. slowdown in the economy, which is up to the conmer to power growth. and last year wasmong the worst christmases since the financl crisises. despite upbeat numbers going in, they stunned last year reaching zero growth in november and massive 2.3 decline in december. analysts blamed that on a stock market decline and the week before christmas said interest rate hikes and brewing trade war. this year there's record low unemployment, high savings rate and low debt worth. >>80%, 90% spend their income
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and that depends on empyment. i think wage growthnd employment growth are the keys n tomer spending and signals there remain quite positive. >> rorter: jack kline helds the national retail economists road. there's unease but the current economic data and recent economy trends show a much stronger holiday season tn last year. the 4.2% index in holidayen ng, more than double last year's rate. but there's still worries about tariffs, business uncertainties and moderatelowing of growth. so the yuletide optimism remaind coloy last year's report. ment for "nightly business report," i'm steve liesman. oil prices rose to remain near a two-month high. domestic crude settled up above $58 a barre aslobal supplies have fallen. this faced a number of of debt piling up.ing the amount the brian sullivan hasmore.
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>> ryorter: the numbers rea are staggering. the u.s. oil and gas industry ha around $200 to $250 billion of debt and much comes due c in the nexple of years. let's break it down by type of company in the industry. according to moodlies investment service the enps are in the worse shape with about $93 billion worth of debt go. u.s. servi company has about $31 billion and midstream at the pipeline companies areawk for about $72 billion. the industry's total debt across all yea is about $600 billion, which is nrly half the industry's total sales and ten times more than the entire ci's net income. think about that. these companies have been able to ride itas out the couple of years or two but it get serious beginning next year,en he debt bill really starts to come due and it's not just the big numbers that has the market spooked, it isthis. it is that most of thisatt is
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junk r. some of it deep into junch. the purple right there at the top, that is the worst-rated debt in the industry. it matters because it makes it more difficult, more expensive or even impossible to refinance or extend the debt. likep companies did back in 2016. this debt load, along with stagnant oil prices and pssure on many funds to sell fossil fuel company stocks, have absolutelyecimated energy investors. the average return for all a on-shore o gas stocks the past year is a drop of 38%, and many are much, much worse. and thishe may be most incredible stat o all, because of that stock dro tha i just talked about and the weight of caps,f the debt on market the combined market valuation of the 55 biggest a onsho u.s. gas companies includi exxon, chevron, aot of names you know, is about $400 billion less than the expected value of just
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one country saudi aram co. one company, the entire onshore oil and gas industry. energy stocks have never been more hated and debt is a gig reason why. it is a big story to watch heading into 2020. for "nightly business report," i'm brian sullivan, cnbc. tim to take look now at downgrades.ay's upgrades and netflix was downgraded to underperform at market from wells fargoal analysts saystreet is overestimating the streaming service's free ch flow andre then t the increase in competition. price target $265 and despite that downgrad shares actually rose with the rest of the market, was up 1 1/2% to $315.55. financial was downgrad to sell from neutralt at citi, site citing growth and interest rates that reduced profitte price target $86 and that fell a frabs to $93.77. nvidia was upgraded to
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morgan stanley.qual weight the analysts cites investment is gamingess that should pay off next year. price target is $259 and stom up 4 1/2% to 221.21. wendy's was upgraded from buy t. ho the analyst cites increased the fast food chain.utlookor the target $25 and shares up more tha 2 1/2% 20 $21.up. lost its operating license in london, one of the ai rideng firm's most important markets. regulators cited persistent safety problems inheir announcement and that sent the stock down about 1 1/2% in today's trade. here's more from london. >> reporter: the relionship between the ride-hai giant andnsondon traport regulator has long been a troubled one. back in 2017 the firm was told its license to operate a a
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private hire company would not be renewed because of concerns about criminal background checks of drivers and the firm n had been sufficiently reporting criminal offenses carried outy me of its drivers. then in 2018 a judge granted some relief for5 months, they were given a pbationary period of a license in order to show they had changed their ways. that was extended for two months in september and today, monday, the fm has been told it will not be renewed. they've got 21 days to appeal to the mayor of london, saying he suppor the decision by the regulator and gave details why. 14,000ourneys where t least unauthorized drivers have been driving people around and they aren't the driver whohe passenger thought they were going to be. another example is drivers have had the license suspended or dismissed who have manipulated uber's system to drive people around and this has taken a long risk with the fe and security of london. so that's why i stand by and n suppor to grant uber a
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license. >> the company said they have taken several measures over the last couple of years to try to allay the concern of regulators here. the ceo of the firm sayinge thought this decision was wrong. that was echoed by his general penager for north and northeastern eu who said this was an extraordinary decision by transportor london or tfl and, of course, they have 21 days to appeal. in order to push that appeal ocess through, they will have to show thsorted thisssue out one and for all for the 3.5 million users of the ride-haping 45,000 drivers who could soon be out of a job. for "nightly business report," london. still ahead -- a wave o homes cou hit the market when baby boomers decide to sell and thatould have big impact on some local economies. ♪
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american farmers are receiving a new round trade aid before thanksgiving, as an end to the u.s./china trade conflict remains elusive. but not all of that money is heading directly to the heartland, thanks to some loopholes. >> reporter: between highway urban row house.dium sits this a single family home and headquarters of rld enterprises, which federal records show received $18,000 in farm aid this yea thatresidence, this post office box, and a town house in upscale georgetown, are amid dozens of
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llc. dntown addresses and thousands natio that received a cut of the $24 billion earmarked for farmers to soften the blow from the trade war. according to data obtained by the environmental working group, public policy nonprofit. usdaaid a person must be actively engagement i farming to collect aid but the bar is low. >> people who are related to farmers or haveome kind of shared risk in a farm can still receive a payment, but they don't actually live on a farm or work on a farm. >> reporter: sue is one of tho recipients. an attorney in d.c. by day who manages a farm in o illinois the side as a way to carry on her family's tradition. she plans to aly for the next round of aid because every bit helps. other recipients of larger paymts luke a sugar industry lobbyist, retired real estate investor and an agriculture land
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mark descented their qualifations but declined to comment on the record. they hung up when reached by phone and the usda did not respond to a request for comment about how it enforces its own criteria. geral electric names a new that's where we begin tonight's market focus. bakaly will replace him. the shipping giant of ap moehler mar is. she will be leading the financialrganization as well as the company's digital tech knowledge and global operations function. ge's shares rose 3 cents to $11.58. amazon filed a lawsuit challenging the pentagon's decision to award a $10 billion clou computing contract to microsoft. the ee-giant said the contractn
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contey deficiencies errors and unquestioned bias. tesla said the company already reivedeo 200,000 ers for its new cyber truck pickup. the preorders require and rele didn't of $100. week during an l.a. auto show. during a presentation, the bulletproof windows unexpectedly shattered when they were hit about a meta twitter said data from hundredsf users mave been accessed after customers used their accounts to log into certain android apps from the google playstore. twitifr said it nd google and apple regarding the breach and there's cdirently no tion apple devices were impacted. facebook rose a fraction to $199.79 and twitter 1 1/2% to $30.54. after the bl activist investor star board value has reportedly taken a stake in cdf.
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they say appears to bemall but star boardndcvs held talks. they closed the regular session up to 76.58. after the bell palo alto posed higher than expected. the cybersecurity company gave weak guidance, which it said included expenses from the proposedeal touy the cloud security firm april reto. the newsut closed up nearly 1 1/2% to $250.28. > it's being called the silver wave. "the wall street journal" citing research by zillow saying a record number of homes will hit the real estate market over the next twoecades as baby boomers age. question is, who's going to buy all of those homes? joining us tonight we welcomeuy back sr olsen, senior oconomist at zillow.
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schuyler, good see you again. welcome back. >> thanks for having me again. >> first of all, how many hopes are we talking >>about? well, i mean one of the ways to kind of think about this is roughly a third ofomes are owned by those 60 and older. and if you wan to project that into what that means into the future, you're looking at roughly 2 million more homes being released n over thet decade than the previous decade, just by the rate ofiz dowg from that older generation. >> you would think with the housing shortage that wld be good news for those who want to move into those homes but some of those homes are in areas young people are not much interested in living anymore. >> yes, i think if we're looking from a national pictur it's hard to say really how this will net out because the millennium generation itself is so huge and a l of force guide buyers. and you're right, until i get to a much more local bell, say
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looking at rough bell areas that have not been able to add the jobs or iustry growth tha attracts a younger population or, say, places that areeme facto rett communities. so they don't track that younger population by very nature of what they offer to olderig generations in there exclusivity in those kinds of commies. those areas, the relative siz between boomers and the nexton genera gen x will make it so housing will slow dn. prices may really truly start to sell down and sales will have a really hard time picking up. >> we should be clear we're not just talking about retiring baby boomers. we're talking about baby boomers who are moving t assisted living or moving in with their kids. they've been retired already. in the article we talk about sun cihi, arizona, is one of the biggest retirement areas cities in the country, that will be affected as well,right? >>yes, absolutely.
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and what we're really aetting at fo lot of elements here is really towards the later stage of life. what really, one of the that makes you change home is the loss of a spouse, the loss of the person w made the home that it was. to go through thth experience, i k ma the next sefrmg decades will go through and that will cause a lot of housing change. a>> something to thinkut tonight. schuyler olsen with zillow again. thank you for joining us. thank you for having me. comin up --isney broke the box office this weekend by shattering all records.
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the super bowl won't be held until early february bds are already sold out. fox sports sold all availle commercial inventory for the vision's biggest annual event. 30-second spots this year were priced at $5.5 million. ads usually sellout around christmas o in january. but experts say this year's quick sellout suggests advertisers found new appeal in the live game ubs is telling clients to buy shares of hasbro because of "frozen2, which made history as the biggest animated opening film ever. they expect strong sales from hasbro's leechb of "frozen dolls, given the success. that sent hasbro up 3%. and disney, the company behind the franchise, also got a lift
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after exceeding allon expta at the box office. here's julia bore steyn. >> i'm just livinghe dream, rona. >> reporter: "fn 2" blowing past expectations at the box office, disy announcing the film brought in $130 million office.e north american box with the $350 million global , ta a record opening weekend for an animated movie, the film is well o its way to be disney's sixth film this year to gross over $1 billion. >> i think it's did office because number one you have that built-in fan base. i think what it ridlly well is appealing to a younger audience who h never seen o"frozen" before but als the people who grew up with "frozen. "the themes for this w moviee a little more adult so it appealed to the teens out there and wasn't just for kids anymore. >> what's particularly notable abou the success of "froze an 2" is comes on the heels of the launch of disney pl, which offers the first "frozen" and
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slew ofther princess films at aha fraction of it costs to take a family to the movies. this weekend fans show fans were willing to pay up for the theatrical experience. and they rose athe box office including 35% if you include th fox. 's changed to hits like "avenger" and "lion king." >> people are talking about how do studios compete? $10.8 billion and they have "star wars" coming out and that doesn't include those numbers. we havenyever seen aing like this in the moviesi buss. >> reporter: the annual box office is still down about 7% from the same period last year. we'll have to see whether movie goersoxposed trailers when in the theater for "frozen 2" return to other films over the holidays. finally tonight, america's best-run companies, the annual
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raing by the drucker institute, has a new number one, it's amazon. they knocked app out of the top spot due to its focus on innovation. microsoft came in number two. apple rounded out the top three. before we go, here's another look at the dayn wall street. it was a record day at that. all three major indexes closed all-time highs. the dow rose 190, nasdaq up 112 and s&p 500 added 23. and on that note, that isus "nightlyess report" tonight. i'm sue herera. thanks for joining us. >> i'm bill griffeth. have a great evening. see you to.
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