those freezing temperatures brought the growing season to an end. farmers are pushing their equipment hardrdo finish harvest. and soybean harvest is now on the down hill slide. usda's crop progress report shows 77 percent of the crop now harvested. that's 9 points ahead of the five year average. the eastern corn belt really pushing progress ahead. ohio is more than 30 points ahead of average. on t t corn side, nearly 60 percent of that crop is cut. that's about five point ahead of the five year average. nebraska sitting at just 40 percent harvested. while 85 percent of illinios is now in the bin. it is very difficult to give up a farm, even one that is losing money because the cash rent is too o gh. in this report from the university of illinois extension todd gleason has a few simple guidelines one might follow to help them make that decision. those farmers thinking they can withstand a loss on a farm next year because the cash rent is too high should put things in a longterm perspective to see if it is viable strategy.

agricultural economist gary schnitkey realistiexpectations of future returns should be used. it is about long run prices. it has been suggested $4.60 corn and $10.60 soybeans. some years we will be above that and some years below that. but if we are looking at our cash rent levels and plug in $4.60 corn and $10.60 soybeans and there are losses, or only small gains, then you must question if those rents are sustainable. if they are not, then lower those rents. here's the thing about using the long run corn and soybean midpoint prices. those are calculated for thirty years worth of trade. usda's price outlook through 2020 doesn't even get close. it's a lot more like current prices and that's a whole different set of expectations. evenenf you thought, "just one more year, and the cash rent will come down to a more reasonable level",

corn and $10.60 for soybeans, an appropriate cash rent for central illinois would be about $250 per acre. that cash rent would generate a loss at the budgeted prices we are using for 2016, which are $3.90 for corn and $8.90 for soybeans. so, if we are at those prices even a $250 cash rere would cause losses. rentntwould need to go low $220 per acre inentral illinois. obviously this is at a very high yield level compared to other parts of the corn belt. even if a farmer believes the university of illinois long-run prices of $4.60 corn and $10.60 soybeans are accurate, there could be a relatively long period in which prices are below the long-run average. these risks suggest using a variable cash rent lease might be the

gleason. cooler weather over t t weekend now a warm up as harvest rolls on. with more from around the country country mike hoffman joins us with cropwatch. good morning clinton. at this time of year, field fires can quickly spread out of control. we heard about a quick thinking farmer in southcentral illinois who saved some of his crop with his field irrigation system. according to the "posting" on agweb, a farmer in scott county, illinois activated the pivots using his smartphone from miles away to help knock down flames. a neighbor also arrived with a disc to cut a fire-break. that part of illinois is considered abnormally dry on the drought monitor. also on agweb -winter wheat seed isn't getting enough moisture to germinate. we heard from a farmer in montgomery county, missouri who says after the wettest spring ever, seed wheat just is just sitting. and this scenic view comes from northern st. joseph county

those fall hues. others still have plenty of green. temperatures dipped below freezing over the weekend. and taking a look at the weather map today a big dome of high pressure keeping things mostly dry from the south east to the soututrn plains but things will be changing over the next couple of days i'll have your forecast in a couple of minutes cattle prices seeing more strength to start the week...and a new report gives hope to a slight rebound between now and the end of the year. co-bank says it expects live cattle prices to have a strong year end. this follows on the heels of the steepest 30 day decline since 03--that was the year bse was discovered in the u.s. co-bank says live cattle prices dropped 26 dollars per hundred in just 30 days...last week the 5 area price for slaughter steers in at 123-up about 5 bucks in the last week but 40 dollars below last year. cobank expectstshese lower prices to be some what temporary. prices should recover

and 2017 prices are likely to trend downward, pressured by increasing supplies. on the retail side, beef prices fell for the fourth straight month...down to 6-23 a pound in septemr. also in washington the president urging congress to vote on the trans pacific partnership before next year's lame duck session. the hill reporting...congressional aides say the vote is likely to take place during the lame duck session. white house press secretary josh earnest said "the timeline that we envision is shorter than that," other senior capitol aides from both parties saying the vote won't happen until after the 2016 elections. adding that waiting allows congressional members to take a tough vote on the free-trade deal without electoral consequences. up next we'll take a little closer look at the tpp and what it could mean for the global milk situation and prices. tyne morgan joins us from the agribusiness desk. and later a high value crop is under seige from poachers. an interesting look at genseng and

robbers. american never stops growing. thanks to farm credit,

ss--grains trade lower but livestock finding a bounce. lets see monday's session ended from the floor of the cme. lower trade today across the floor. corn, soybeans and wheat all trading lower. wheat market is more of a weather market with a forecast for better rain potential in the great plains, as a cold front now located in the gulf of mexico pulls some tropical moisture north by northwest into texas which will provide some better rain in some of the d der areas. the market is really ignoring some pretty positive demand news with some more soybeans sold to china. and a very strong export inspections

weather forecasts are calling for mostly drier weather as a i noticed here in the midwest. and a more normal precipitation patterns in brazil and argentina which will added planting prospects there. thanks very much, this is jack scoville, i'm vp of price futures group, here on the cme g gup floor with some comments for the market today. the trans pacific partnership involves 40 percent of the world's gross domestic product. and if approved american ag commodities are likely to see a big impact eventually. tyne morgan takes a closer look in today's analysis. we are here now with mike north of commodity risk management group. mike, when we look at dairy and tpp we are still trying to figure out all the details and the impact it's going to have on the dairy industry. but is it a non-issue you think for u.s. farmers? it appears that way right now and obviously you can see 11th hour rule changes that may upset the apple card and bring out some opportunity for us, but right

now it looks pretty much like a wash and so it comes back to if we are going to gain any footing in the world market, it comes back to people inside the united states reaching out to buyers and other countries and making their own relationships happen. speaking of that, india hit market headlines last week talking about how they could grow past china. why is there so much energy and optimism around india for dairy right now? well, theyeyre like any growing country, their dieieis expanding, they are looking at higher calorie diets with more flavorful foods and different options and cheese is hitting the store shelves. and what that means is that they will require more of their milk internal to make that cheese product and for their other products they are going to need to bring in some support. what i mean by that is powder, whey protein

concentrates, some of these other products that are mobile and can get into the country without refrigeration and provide them with some of these corerengredients that theyeyre going to need and so it opens the door for us to maybe push some powder into that market and expand our reach. and does that really help us, because when you look it takes up more fluid milk to make some of those products, so when you are looking at some of those for in user products going to areas like that is it an optimistic factor for the dairy industry. yeah, absolutely, any expansion product usage in any market allows us to come in and back fill some of those products where milk got robbed from, so it's always a good thing and for us right now as we depend more and more on exports to keep our growing dairy industry running on all eight cylinders, it's a great thing to see this happen. all right, thanks so much mike. stay with us, we have much more coming up on agday, when we come back. cut through the uncertainy in the markets. give mike a call

at 888-747-0843 agday -brought to you by basf. grow smart with

welcome back to agday. here with meteorologist mike hoffman. we've been watching on the drought monitors, areas in texas and louisiana really dry. but do you think some hope this week. yea, we talked about this over the weekend. w wre still looking later in the week something in the western gulf. probably not a tropical system but something with a lot of moisture in it. right now though we're just seeing a few showers in the western gulf. some of those will be trickling into parts of tx the next couple of days. high pressure dominating the southeast,the ohio valley, tennessee valley most of central and southern plains keeping

england to central portions of great lakes causing some scattered showers in that ara. and a fair amount of moisture in the 4 corners region as you can see. a slow moving area of low pressure continues to move thru that area, so we'll be watching that systeteas well. so let's put the maps into motion through the day tonight and into tomorrow morning, you can see the cold front by morning into central iowa. not a lot of moisture along that cold front so far. few scattered showers from the great lakes into the northeast as you can see, but high pressure still keeping most of the southern corn belt and southeast on the dry side. rain and mountain snows developing in parts of colorado, easter utah, parts of new mexico as well. then as we head through the day tomorrow you'll see that increasing amount of moisture in the southern and western portions of texas, but that's even out ahead of that storm system we talked about off the top of the show. that's just going to be an increasing of moisture type situation in texas which is g gat news for that whole area. you can seee

across the great lakes. checking precipitation estimates over the past 24 hrs, we just haven't seen a whole lot. a couple of spots in the northeast. few areas out west and have continued to see some showers and some spots gotten a half inch or more. add on the next 36 hrs, we'll definitely see some more moisture. that would be a lot for west texas and eastern new mexico. we'll see if that works out. that computer model shows 2-3 inches in some of that area. but again we'll be seeing that increased moisture in that part of the country. but most of the areas frfr ohio river valley down to gulf coast staying dry over the next 36-48 hours. high temps this afternoon, warming up to 70's and 80's as you can see there into the central and southern plains. still on the cool side in the appalachians and into the northeast. l;ow temps tonite will drop off into the east. and especially out west dropping into the 40s in both o othose locations. a few 30s in the northeast and northern portions of the rockies. high temps tomorrow

afternoon that heat begins to come into the miss valley, ohio va with highs in upper 60s, lower 70s reported in that area. here's the jet stream. you can see the big trough out west gets cut off for a little while. a little trough moving thru the great lakes and northeast. a quick cool down there. and then the main trough comes east. and it'll be a sharper cool down as we head thru the weekend into earlier next week for areas from central plains into the east coast areas. that's a look across the country now let's look at some local forecasts. for ogden utah today, clouds a shower or t'showers possible in some areas. high of 64. albert lea, minnesota, partly sunny and warm. high of 75. and nashville, tennessee partly to mostly sunny skies. pleasant. high around 73. up next in our dairy today report, the world's largest yogurt maker has positive expectations for profits in europe. and d e root of the genseng plant has long been treasured for it's medicinal properties in eastern medicine. but the high dollar cash crop is

protect these plan today on in the country. this is machinery pete inviting you to check out my new website -machinery pete.com -offering farmers tens of thousands of used equipment listings to search. let machinery pete help you find and

world seeing a strong third quarter. danone rolling out earnings and predicting a rebound for the european dairy business next year. the paris based company says revenues increased four point 6 percent. it says lower milk costs are making yogurt profitable and it expects that to continue through 2016. in europe fresh dairy sales rose a half percent...company leaders say they expect things to stabilize in the next year. also on the trans pacific partnership the national farmers union saying the free trade deal could be the

union says the canadian government is likely to provide more than 4 billion dollars in relief to dairy farmers over the next 10 to 15 years. that compensation would be much higher than the losses dairy farmers would experience from a quota cut. nfu says the large dollar amount suggests the intent is to dismantle dairy supply mangement in canada over the next decade. where do you think americans find a trusted source of food information--other thahaagday of course. well a recent survey by the chicago council on global affairs found that more than 70 percent of americans believes documentaries are trustworthy sources of food information. to be fair, documentaries did fall in the middle of the pack. the survey found health professionals rank the highest at 85 percent, followed by friends and family at 83 percent, farmers at 82 percent. and only 38 percent find blogs and social media credible. when we come back...protecting

poaching and protect this forrest favorite. agday-brought to you by yamaha, makers of viking side by sides.

in the country brought to you by the all new kubota ssv series skid steers. you asked for a quality skid steer and we delivered. visit your local kubota dealer to test drive one today forest growers could help sustain wild populations of american ginseng, a medicinal plant prized in asia that is threatened by poaching and loss of habitat. they're using a new labeling program to spread awareness about the coveted roots. michael rubinkam of the associated press has our story. it's harvest time in denny colwell's prized ginseng patch. he's spent decades in the forest o tending to a plant that's

with. it's the way my granddad's always done it. i'm carrying on the tradition. i like the quality i get by forest-grown." experts say forest growers like colwell could help conserve wild populations of american ginseng, which has been overharvested, and threatened by poaching and loss of habitat loss. "we want more and more people to feel comfortable with growing this plant. the future is in conservation through cultivation." penn state university plant researcher eric burkhart is helping recruit growers into a new program for forest-grown ginseng. most american ginseng is mass produced on farms in wisconsin. "the more that we can get people growing it on forest lands, the more we can not only conserve the species, but we provide people with an economic income opportunity that is something more than timber." exports account for most u.s. production. roots are worth hundreds _ even thousands of dollars a pound. but randy yenzi

the ground. forest farmers often wait at least 10 years before harvesting, because older roots are more valuable. "if you want to make it quick, don't even start planting ginseng, because there's no way of making quick money in this game." poachers are denny colwell's biggest concern. he estimates he's lost tens of thousands of dollars to theft. surveillance cameras installed on his property caught this poacher in the act. "the poaching is a major problem for any grower of any size. even growers that aren't of any size. people are looking for it and if they find it, they don't care that it's not theirs. any ginseng he doesn't harvest is weed whacked to the ground, hidden from thieves to grow another year. backers say the new labeling program could help grow demand in the united states o. betting that conscientious consumers will pay a premium for

forest-grown ginseng. michael rubinkam, associated press that's all the time we have this morning. we're glad you tuned in. for mike hoffman, and tyne morgan. i'm clinton griffiths. have a great day. high strength steel for high strength dependability, the chevy silverado is the official news

good morning. thanks for joining us on this tuesday october 20th. coming up in this half hour of news 4 today it's only been a year since the argosy casino left sioux city, but the city council has approved a 45-thousand dollar study to find out what can be built at the former casino site on the riverfront. and... 20 years later, the storm lake police department is still searching for answers on a baby doe case. and ktiv's tiffany lane talked with the storm lake police department about a 20 year old cold case. we'll have more details on that