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and there are other major issues dogging candidates like crime. the criminals are effected more than the innocent. >> i believe in second chances and i've run on that record. >> as the pennsylvania senate race tightens, voters that say crime is their top concern favor republicans, 52 to 34%. polls show the economy is a major concern, putting democratic senate candidates on defense over how president biden is handling inflation sfwl the problem with inflation is supply chains went to

china. guys like him made a lot of money on that. >> our own leadership failures go back 20 years when tim ryan started in congress. >> joining us now, white house council of economic advisers, jared bernstein. welcome back. >> thanks for inviting me. >> start here. the headline in "the wall street journal" says economists put probability of recession the next 12 months to 63%, up from 49% in the july survey. soft landing will remain a mythical outcome. september numbers were worse than forecast. august and september helped a little by gas prices going down. they seem to be moving the wrong direction now. is it time to admit massive federal spending is not only not helping americans but may be hurting them. >> start there. it is important to get this number 1.4 trillion into the discussion now. that's the amount of

deficit reduction in fiscal year '22. that's on top of 350 billion in deficit reduction in the year before that. >> we talked about that comes off massive covid spending. >> actually, part of it is unwinding of covid spending, you're right about that. in percent terms, the bigger contributor to the decline in deficit spending is receipts, receipts coming into the treasury. that's because of how strong the economy has been. that also gets to the question you just raised and the issue of recession. we have an unemployment rate that's 3.5%. there is no recession that would prevail with that kind of unemployment rate. we're obviously adding hundreds of thousands of jobs per month. we have consumers with pretty strong balance sheets, we have job vacancies that are quite elevated. there's a lot of talent in the economy, a lot of strength. when president biden said on the tape you played that the u.s. is uniquely

positioned to do two things, to ease the price pressures we face which are very real, you referenced them out of the gate, we called them like they are, squeezing family budgets, while maintaining economic gains, that's our mission. we believe we can accomplish that. we think the probability for soft landing is good. >> in "the wall street journal" piece they talk about predictions for q1, q2 to be negative territory. would you concede then. a lot of people use the definition two bad quarters, negative action, equals recession. you're saying we're not there now. >> correct. >> if we went through continued negative quarters through the first half of '23, would you then admit we are in recession? >> first of all, it is not up to the white house to call recession. that's called by an economic group. i would look at the following variables, happens to be the same once the group i talked about. retail sales, payroll employment, consumer spending, industrial production. all of those have not been

flashing red. all of those are not in recessionary territory. if you ask me to look around the corner, say where the economy will be, everybody's crystal ball is a bit cracked now. >> yes. >> the uncertainty makes it tough. let's talk about energy which is key here. you mentioned it yourself. in this consumer price report, where prices were, no question, elevated to a point family budgets are squeezed, gas was down 5%. in fact, the price of gas fell about a third in the third quarter of this year. remember, it peaked out north of $5 a gallon, last seen 3.89. i know because i checked this morning. there are 14 states with price of gas at 3.50 or below. that's some progress and relates to president biden's release of oil from the strategic reserves. >> how long can we do that, if we do millions of barrels at a time, there's a bottom to that. >> i knew you would ask me that. you're interested in the strategic reserve.

>> as all americans should be. >> on sunday morning, what are we thinking about other than capacity. there are 400 million barrels of oil in the strategic reserve. it is more than half full. people don't quite have the capacity number in their head. we have never done a draw that's of that magnitude. the largest draw we have ever done that president biden presided for in march is 180 million barrels. the fact is there is capacity to use the spr to deal with some of the energy shocks we are ceiling in the world. i am not saying we will. that's up to the president to decide, he hasn't made that decision yet. you look at unconscionable action of putin, and the misguided decision by opec plus. sure. having that for potential release is an important tool. >> and when those prices move in the right direction, that is a good thing to ripple to the other issues that show up in the cpi.

let's talk about this. when president biden took office, inflation was about 3%. gas prices were about 2.39 a gallon i think. we can't possibly say things have gotten better or anywhere near where they were two years ago. talk about the realities. groceries up 13%, eggs more than 30%. milk more than 15%. new polling shows 71% of americans say they're having to cut back just to afford necessities, not anything fun or luxurious. also, they say compared to the situation two years ago they are worse off, majority of them. what do you say? >> let me speak to them directly, which is all those facts are facts of which we are acutely aware. president biden came out to talk about the last inflation where he started by talking about exactly that, the squeeze on family budgets. i think you have to ask yourself is this administration doing what we need to do to help ease pressures.

remember, these are global price pressures. all of the statistics you cited are actually worse in europe and the uk. inflation is higher there. >> not necessarily. >> well. >> not in france, for example. >> in the eu in general, i know inflation is double digits there, and the uk as well. and the reason is because they're more exposed to energy. we just went through some of the energy numbers. but i think what you have to ask yourself, shannon, more importantly what people that you're talking to have to ask, do we have the policy set and is the fed doing what it need to do to ease price pressures. you know the inflation reduction act passed. this is a measure that lowers prescription drug costs, that lowers the cost of insulin, lowers the cost of medical care. there are 13 million families paying $800 less per year. if you are paying $10,000, someone on medicare on prescription drugs, you save $8,000 under the ira.

these measures are in effect and republicans said they want to take them away. if you are paying hundreds on insulin per month and now you get to pay $35 starting in january, they want to take that away. that to me is a recipe for more inflation, higher costs, not easing pressures that you took us through. >> i will ask steve scalise, the congressman will be with us in minute, we'll ask him about that. meantime, let's talk mortgages. we talked about this before we got started. let'use ample of median home price, $390,000. 20% down, back when inflation rate was 3.05%, that would have been 1,324 a month. fast forward to now. mortgage rates more than doubled this year alone. you took the same house at 6.92 mortgage, $2,000 a month, it is $735 more each month. that's thousands and thousands of dollars for an average family if they want to get into a home

price now. the fed is expected to hike rates november, december. the fed chair said there will be some pain, his words, with the hikes. how painful is it going to get? >> i think you have to distinguish between people that are buying homes now and the vast majority of mortgage holders who locked in rates that are much lower than that. you're definitely right that at that margin, the price of financing a mortgage of course goes up with the interest rate and with the mortgage rate. but again i think this gets to the question of are we implementing, by we, i mean not just the federal government, but in this case the federal reserve as well, are we implementing the necessary policies to ease inflationary pressures. i would say the answer is unequivocally yes. we won't get into the feds knitting, but the president has very much approved of rate hiking campaign because they're the first and foremost inflation fighter. one of the first sectors

that experiences the impact of rate hikes is housing and the housing sector is cooling. that doesn't find its way into the price index for awhile. it comes in with a lag. you look at rents, rents have come down significantly. they're still highly elevated in terms of year over year change, come town 4, 5 percentage points. that takes awhile to feed into the cpi, but it is moving the right direction. that's what i'm trying to get across here. whether it is inflation reduction act, our work in ports, whether it is our work with energy and the release of oil from reserves, we are doing all we can to ease inflationary pressures and we see results. it will take time for the results to get into the price. we would like to see it happen faster, we'll try to work to make that happen. but we are engaged in the appropriate policies. >> let me put up these poll numbers. the american people are confused. they don't think your policies are working. when it comes to how the president is doing on the economy and inflation, he is upside down by a wide margin in our latest

polling. why aren't they getting the message. clearly people don't feel like this is working for them yet at home. >> i think so much what's going on inflation gets down to the trip to the supermarket and the trip to the gas station. i think if you ask people how they feel about paying over $5 in mid june, well under $4 now, i think 3.89 nationally. 350 in 14 states, including florida, north carolina, texas. some significant population there, they tell you they feel pretty good about that. it is unequivocal that the president's fingerprints are on that decline in part because of release of oil from the reserves. we are doing what we can in the food space. i think that another reason, another answer to your question, shannon, is that some of what happens is getting back to normal, which consumers don't always recognize. so shelves are now stocked as they were prepandemic. people don't see containers going in and

out of ports, but the through put of containers getting through ports is back to where it was. it is ahead of where it was prepandemic. >> back to normal, 2.39 for gas, are we going to get back to that normal, 2.39 a gallon when the president took office? >> very hard to look around the corner, see where gas prices are going that far ahead. as i noted, they've come down significantly. recently they started to tick back down, a few cents in the past few days, and it has to do with refineries coming on line in the midwest and in california. i think the key story there is that is this administration doing as much as we can to help increase the energy supply. and i think the answer is unequivocally yes. >> folks would say if you don't help with permitting and drilling, you're not doing everything you can. >> let me read you a headline from the sierra club, article just came out. for all its good, new climate legislation also

mandates oil and gas drilling on public land. that's the sierra club complaining about aspects of the inflation reduction act that open up new lands for leasing. now, the inflation reduction act also invests $370 billion in hastening the urgent transition to clean energy. so this is a walk and chew gum moment. i don't think anyone can accuse this administration based on the fact of not fulfilling both obligations. >> refiners say they're having trouble managing the threat they took from the administration that we'll get rid of fossil fuel. >> wait a second. we have american oil producers about to produce next year a record number of barrels per day, so we have a highly productive system in that regard. we're the largest oil producer in the land, natural gas, i'm sorry, in the world. natural gas we're way far ahead of competitors in that regard, so i think whether it is permitting or whether it is american oil production, that's

just a red herring. we're doing a lot there. producing a lot of energy. i think the key thing we need to learn from this lesson, it is a geopolitical lesson, is we need to do both. help consumers at the pump while we urgently transition to clean energy. >> it is always great to have you in with us for discussion on sunday. >> my pleasure. thank you, shannon. >> reaction from the second ranking republican in the house and fox news polls on what voters know about the gop or don't know. that's next. you don't have to wait until retirement to start enjoying your second act. with protected lifetime income from pacific life... ...imagine your future with confidence. for more than 150 years... ...we've kept our promise to financially protect

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>> shannon: house republicans making a push in recent weeks to sell voters on post midterm plans. they call it commitment to america. is it catching on? joining us now, steve scalise. congressman, welcome back to "fox news sunday." >> good morning, shannon. great to be with you. >> let's start here.

democrats point to your own documents to tell americans you are preparing to cut entitlements. here's what the headline is. house gop decides slashing is the new saving. this year's republican study committee's fiscal year 2023 budget openly calls for slashing and private advertising social security, raising retirement age to 70, ending medicare as we know it. i got a tweet from a viewer that says he is a republican, very worried about you cutting his medicare. he says it is a deal breaker, any deal by the gop. what's your answer? >> the answer is that's a typical red herring by democrats and it is not something we proposed. in fact, we proposed strengthening, shoring up medicare and social security which are both headed for bankruptcy if we do nothing. democrats want to make it worse. democrats recently passed a bill to raid money out of social security. instead of making programs less stable, what we want to do is shore them up. by the way, one of the ways you shore them up, get more people back to work paying into the

programs now. one of the things democrats did day one when they came intake willing over the house, senate and white house, is to start paying people not to work, to see more of the welfare programs where you used to have work requirements in place, so you would have a safety net which we believe in. why should we be paying people to sit at home when there are companies everywhere looking for workers. you go to a restaurant, waiting an hour for a table, you're seeing a third of them empty because the government started paying people not to work. that drains programs like social security and medicare. let's strengthen those programs, stop them from going bankrupt, and let's also by the way stop the government getting in the business of paying people not to work when everybody is looking for workers right now. >> fair to say pointing to your own documents, there are changes to the programs that would happen. >> there's not anything that we propose in commitment to america. in fact -- >> in the fiscal year that the democrats are referring to.

>> no, in the commitment to america we talk, well, they didn't do a budget this year. if you look at what they've done, they pass bills to increase taxes. i know your previous guest, mr. bernstein, talked about a bill they passed to raise over $730 billion in new taxes and by the way, more than double the size of the irs, sending 87,000 agents after hard working families, in fact, the joint committee on taxation confirmed they're going after people making less than $200,000 a year, which is a violation of the white house's own promise. president biden said he wouldn't do that. we are going to shore up. >> that's something you signed on to, that's what democrats are pointing to to say there will be changes to these programs, if your budget is passed. >> that budget talks about shoring up and strengthening social security. that's not cutting social security. that's making sure for people that are on social security today, if nothing

happens, there would be automatic cuts in law. we don't want that to happen. we've brought forward legislation to stave off cuts to medicare. we want to stave off cuts to social security. democrats haven't supported any of that. they want the programs to go bankrupt. that's not a good thing. we don't want medicare and social security to go bust like the democrats right now have us on a track to do. >> let's talk about some polling. these are interesting new numbers. just out this morning, we asked people who they prefer as congressional candidate, there's a three point advantage to democrats. when asked about how they felt about the house republicans' commitment to america, majority of them said they were totally unfabbing with the program. do republicans have a messaging problem in the midterms? >> in fact, we just rolled this out. i have been to a lot of districts the last few weeks since we rolled it out in pittsburgh and people have responded very positive to it. number one, we have phenomenal candidates. we're going to win races in a lot of places you

haven't seen. i was in the northwest, washington state, oregon, we're going to flip seats. a few weeks ago in the northeast in maine, down to florida where on the eastern seaboard, we're flipping a lot of seats from democrats republican. they tell me they're furious with biden and pelosi far left socialist agenda that led to increased spending and inflation, just the cost of everything you buy when you go to the grocery store, if you can afford to put gas in your car when you get there. look, the white house and jared bernstein just before me, they're talking, bragging as if gas prices are lower. gas prices are about 60% higher today than when joe biden took office, and he shut off american energy production. that's why it happened. he allowed opec, foreign countries, he begged russia, he begged iran, venezuela, and other countries to produce oil when we should be producing it in america. we do it cleaner than anywhere else. and by the way, if we produce more energy in america, we would be

lowering energy costs like we had two years ago. people are furious about all that. they're furious also about rising crime. democrats embraced not only the defund the police, but now going to cashless bail, letting criminals on the streets after committing violent crimes against families. that's one of the reason crime is out of control, people are furious about that, too. they want a check and balance on the far left agenda. >> talk about the crime issue. that's one of the areas polling shows us voters give republicans a distinct advantage. they think you are berry equipped to handle that. but critics say you're scare mongering about what's happening, they say some ad from republicans on the issue of crime have racial undertones. "the washington post" says violent crime is not soaring, it might be declining. most violent crime is committed by white people and violent crime is generally worse in republican run states. your response. >> first of all, violent crime is out of control in most big cities.

that's what we have been focusing on. i guess they're admitting their policies have failed, but it is the democrats that started there about two years ago when they embraced defund the police movement. i think voters on all spectrums, republican, democrat, black, white, doesn't matter, you don't want to defund the police. criminals want to defund the police, that's who the democrats sided with. when they found out the public hated that idea, they started going to cashless bail, you literally have some d.a.s and prosecutors letting criminals walk out on the streets after committing violent crimes. we saw it in new york. looe zell den, our candidate for governor, somebody tried to take his life on stage at a political rally, the guy was let out the next day. that's what's going on that people are furious about. that's why it is a major issue in a lot of the races and democrats won't walk away from defund the police and cashless bail approach that has failed so many cities across america. >> the words they use to

describe your agenda, extreme maga agenda. this is what speaker pelosi says about abortion. 166 house republicans, including gop whip scalise co-sponsored life begins at conception bill that would criminalize all abortion after the moment of fertilization with no exceptions for rape, incest or health of the wom woman. that does not poll well with voters. how do you defend it. >> i am not a co-sponsor of that bill. i am a sponsor of the born alive act. if a baby is born alive outside the womb, you can't murder that baby and call it abortion, which that's legal in states right now in new york, states would allow you to kill the baby after it is born alive. most americans, including people that identify as pro-choice think it is radically extreme, don't want that to be the case. yet that's where democrats are. they want the abortions paid for by taxpayers which is also an extreme

position. they're the ones extreme on this. they keep trying to talk about it, it is back firing on them. and people are talking high cost of everything, they're not looking at the democrats's agenda saying they want more, they're fed up with the way they've taken us, not down a liberal road but socialist road. that's what people are rejecting and we pose an alternative to. >> i want to be clear, did you sign onto life begins at conception, that act? >> no, i am on the born alive act. look up the born alive act. says if a baby is born alive outside the womb, you can't murder that baby, call it abortion. not a single democrat in washington supports that bill. that's how radical they are. that's the kind of thing we're talking about. >> congressman, i want to be sure to ask. we are more than five years out from a shooting by gunman, list of lawmakers had a political viewpoint why he came after you and your

colleagues at that congressional baseball practice. how are you doing five years later, how worried are you about heated political rhetoric on the left or the right? >> yeah, shannon, i appreciate that. i continue to get better. i still do physical therapy once a week. look, i am lucky to be alive. a hero saved my life, police saved my life that were there that day. brad winstrop, my colleague, saved my life. a lot of heroes were involved in me being alive. we always speak out against political violence, there's no place for it. this is the united states of america. one of our strengths is that we can disagree and the other side isn't the demon or the enemy if they're having a different viewpoint. you try to debate, make your case and ultimately persuade people to your side but political violence is never an answer to resolve our disputes. >> congressman, there are a lot of weighty problems to tackle on the hill. we hope and pray the two sides can find common

ground. thank you so much for your time. >> thanks. god bless. >> up next, sunday grip on what happens next now that a house committee voted unanimously to subpoena former president trump. we'll tell you what he says about whether he will show up and testify. that anc? no, he's seizing the moment with merrill. moving his money into his investment account in real time and that's... how you collect coins. your money never stops working for you with merrill, a bank of america company. (vo) red lobster's finer points of fun dining when mouth is full, and shrimp is endless, the "booth bow" is the proper way to say "shrimp me!" ultimate endless shrimp is back, now with argentine red shrimp. welcome to fun dining.

>> i was able to bring gasoline, but it is inching up because of what the russians and saudis did. >> he is blaming sources outside the u.s. for the gas prices of recent weeks. time for sunday group. senior reporter, josh crash our, editor and chief of the federalist, and president of the heritage foundation, kevin robert, welcome to all of you. start on the gas price issue. "the wall street journal" opinion piece says blaming saudi arabia or opec plus or vladimir putin for an energy crisis that results from a policy of switching from carbon fuels to clean energy i consumers pay are due to choices their leaders made. you heard jared bernstein earlier, he said they are ramping up production, we are doing great on the -- >> jared bernstein is nice but wrong. gas prices are going up at the same time they hear the president of the

united states giving fist bump to leader of saudi arabia and telling us that the solution is to buy energy efficient coffee makers. the way back to controlling inflation and american independence is going back to where we were just in 2019, shannon. america was a net oil exporter, beneficial for every american. even americans that think wind and solar production is a sweet thing. >> don't mess with the coffee makers. you have to settle on that. meantime, the president said if you elect republicans, give the gop control, you watch inflation get terrible. this is the headline on the federalist. get ready for democrats' new strategy blami inflation on en. >> fascinating strategy to blame republicans when democrats control the white house, both houses of congress. we have seen that american voters very much are aware of inflation, rising costs, problems with the economy. and that's actually one of the issues they say is

motivating them to vote. you look at the polls that show that on the issues that american voters care about, whether it is inflation, the economy, crime, these types of issues, they're tending to say they think republicans will do a better job. they can try the messaging, i don't know how much sway it will have with the voter. >> get to the january 6 committee. we think this week was the last hearing, they're saying it is not set in stone, could be more to come. as part of this at the end of the hearing they voted to subpoena president trump. a law professor we have on, jonathan turley, said this about waiting to the last minute. he says the delay undermines the credibility of the effort from the first day, the j6 committee said trump was central to the investigation. richard, did they risk it looking like political theater because they waited to the last minute to drop this bomb. >> i think it is on the minds of the videosers heading to the polls. if you talk to folks in

trump's camp, he wanted more republicans on the committee, and kevin mccarthy said no. as we sit and watch the behind the scenes footage we saw speaker pelosi and pictures of vice president mike pence scrambling to try to save the united states capitol, who is missing, former president donald trump, which we saw last march. federal judge said he is likely one of the causes for this. this subpoena, i doubt we'll see donald trump on capitol hill, this speaks to where the january 6 riot started and how we got here. >> i have to correct, not true that kevin mccarthy is responsible for no republicans being on the committee. he did appoint members to the committee. nancy pelosi refused to seat them, which has never happened in the history of congressional investigations or congressional committees, so it is not lost credibility, it never had credibility, not a single republican appointed member on that committee. it always looked partisan. >> mccarthy then told

everybody. >> because nancy pelosi removed his top two members. >> what you see through every hearing, high level high ranking trump officials testifying, showing that the president was not active january 6. they also showed evidence that he didn't protect the capitol january 6. >> it shows that democrats are very focused on this while the american voter is worried how to pay for groceries, how they'll pay for gas, this is the final closing message. i think it will go as poorly for democrats as it went for republicans in 1998. >> one of the key players has been liz cheney who lost her primary and is not going to be returning to congress. this is what she said about this waiting to the last minute for the subpoena. >> i think we have felt it's very important that the investigation be conducted in a way that is rigorous and disciplined and responsible. collecting evidence from all those around the central figure in january

6 before we issued a josh, she just the natural progression of the investigation. >> well, the bigger challenge for cheney and the democrats on the january 6 committee is if republicans take back the house, they can withdraw the subpoena. so this becomes really, this is coming down to the political reality as much as substantive revelations we learned from hearings. as molly was saying, republicans and democrats alike are not focused on january 6th. 2%, just 2% of advertisements from republicans and democrats are focused on january 6th. crime, the economy, immigration even rank much higher when you look at the messaging across the big battleground states. i think cheney, the hearings were very important, demonstrated what happened on january 6, but most voters are looking forward and not paying attention to the hearings, they're paying attention to their pocketbooks. >> something that would make people pay attention is if the former president

showed up, he is like yeah, i will do it. but he wants it to be live and wants to make points he wants to make. in any universe, does any of that happen? >> i don't think so. i think the president and his team know the january 6 committee is a sham. first thing leader mccarthy needs to do as speaker is end it. let harriet hager man who beat liz cheney offer the resolution. that would make americans happy. >> we'll see as it proceeds the. stay with us. we have more to talk about. up next, we take you to georgia for a must watch senate debate with a look at what became its biggest viral moment. (vo) while you may not be closing on a business deal while taking your mother and daughter on a once-in-a-lifetime adventure — your life is just as unique. your raymond james financial advisor gets to know you, your dreams, and the way you care for those you love.

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they know exactly what they're doing because four out of five kids who use tobacco start with a flavored product. and once they're hooked, they can be addicted for life. this election: we can stop big tobacco's dirty trick. voting yes on prop 31 will end the sale of candy flavored tobacco products. saving kids from nicotine addiction. vote yes on 31. >> one thing i have not done, i never pretended to be a police officer and i've never, i've never threatened a shootout with the police. you know what's so funny. -- >> mr. walker, mr. walker, excuse me, mr. walker. please, out of respect, i need to let you know, mr. walker, you are very well aware of the rules tonight.

>> yes. >> and you have a prop. that is not allowed, sir. >> no badges allowed. that was georgia democratic senator raphael warnock and herschel walker in one of the most shared exchanges from the heated debate over the badge. both candidates went on offense, trading shots on each other's records and health care costs and abortion. we are back with the panel. we need to talk about the issue of abortion. it obviously came up with personal respect to h herschel walker, he continues to say it is a lie that he funded an abortion for a past girlfriend that has made that claim, but there was also this exchange from the two on the issue of abortion. >> the patient's room is too narrow and small and cramped a space for a woman, her doctor, and the united states government. >> did he not mention there's a baby in that room as well. >> so josh, they talked more broadly about it, they talked about personal accusations and his denials on the issue, too. >> yeah. is the personal aspect with walker, allegedly

paying for an ex-girlfriend's abortion, and the policy debate, whether voters are pro-choice or pro-life. republicans hope it is a race that comes down to the environment, right, they're hoping that georgia voters want to check the democratic power. walker did a pretty good job, if the goal was to say i'm not like warnock, i am going to vote with republicans, that's why you should support herschel walker, then he was successful. if it is about baggage, personal issues, about the candidates themselves, that's what democrats are hoping prevails in georgia. they think warnock is a stronger candidate and voters vote not just on the issues but the candidates' personal strengths. >> walker is one of the candidates that has given the gop a bit of a headache. this is a "the washington post" opinion, mcconnell admits the gop senate candidates are liabilities. molly, it is coming down to a handful of races where there have been some difficult things that popped up for gop candidates and how they handle those issues. >> it is also just true that americans are dissatisfied with how

washington, d.c. is doing things, so republican voters did nominate a bunch of outsider candidates, whether you view it as a liability if you're someone like mcconnell or a strength because you want significant changes to how things operate in this country is up for debate, but i think one thing that was interesting last night's debate, we had been told walker was a very bad candidate. in fact, he did a really interesting and impressive performance in his debate on that abortion question. he didn't just point out that the unborn child is left out of a lot of the discussions, he also pointed out that raphael warnock wants everyone to pay for abortions, taxpayers forced to pay for abortions. he said, he is talking about having the government outside the bedroom, here he is bringing us back into the bedroom, forcing us to pay for something that a lot of americans do not want to pay for. >> that's clearly one of the big issues on the campaign trail. talk about more fox news polls. when asked who they prefer generically for a seat,

the democrats are at a three point advantage. that's registered voters. those that are certain to vote, give a one point advantage to republicans. why is this so tight, if republicans had this representation, it is a red tsunami, what do republicans do, how have they bumbled what was a lead for them. >> those numbers if you look at the history of polls last 60 or 70 years, indicate the republicans are doing well. i think they could be doing better if they had a more robust policy agenda that focused on restoring self governance to the american people. ultimately to get to the political science of it, shannon, when republicans on the generic ballot are within two or three points of democrats on generic preference, they win. i think the republicans will outperform, probably pick up 30 to 40 seats. >> what about the senate? >> i am also predicting a republican senate, 51, 52, 53 senate seats. you know why? the election will turn on what voters care about, the economy and rule of

law, both border security or lack thereof, and just tremendous increase in crime. the president and all of the people running on his party are messaging on the wrong things and ultimately it is too late for them to turn the corner. >> you talk about top issues, we have some of this in fox news polling. out of 12 concerns, people were asked to say how they are most concerned, inflation and crime, voters trust republicans more than democrats to handle both by double digits, richard. >> don't get me wrong, i think this will be a diet election. i am not making predictions. where kevin is right, the republicans struggle in they don't have a distinct message what they will do if given the gavel and control of the capitol. you talk to folks on stacey abrams campaign, in wisconsin, they're saying this, we see expanded electorate, in georgia since 2018, one million new voters added to voting rolls. they're going after these new voters. even in a world where

herschel walker or mehmet oz outperform the opponent in the debate, herein lies the problem. they try to convince a group of independents they're the right close. democrats are working to expand their electorate and talking to people that aren't part of the trump wing of the republican party, made the decision they're not voting for republicans this election. >> going into the home stretch, heavy hitters are heading out. former president obama, talk if he would show up. he is going to be there. can it be a difference maker? >> democrats don't have a lot of surrogates they can use popular. president biden's numbers are low in swing states, he was in oregon, the battleground map for the president, can't go to wisconsin, pennsylvania. obama is one surrogate that can make a difference when it comes to turning out the base. wisconsin, such a big race for the senate map is going to georgia for senator warnock. those will be tests, see

if the democratic voter base can get excited about their candidates. >> this week, we'll pop the popcorn, the fetterman, oz debate in pennsylvania. what are you looking for? >> it is not focused on issues prior to this point because of personality issues, fetterman's stroke or mehmet oz, some of the ways he is focused on issues not important to pennsylvania, now the issues are coming into play. i think this debate will see where they differ. fetterman is known for being someone who as lieutenant governor has helped some criminals out. that's become a major issue, crime is becoming a major issues for americans. we'll see where they differ. >> maybe we'll have a watch party, all get together, snacks. sign up sheet right afterwards. thank you, see you next sunday. panel, up next, the cia opens its doors for a rare glimpse inside. we look at items from some of the agency's most top secret missions. ♪ ♪

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think he's posting about all that ancient roman coinage? no, he's seizing the moment with merrill. moving his money into his investment account in real time and that's... >> the central intelligence agency is marking 75 years by opening up, well, just a little bit. for one day only, reporters were allowed into the newly renovated museum to hear stories behind the most prized possessions. jennifer griffin who covered these stories from the outside now takes us inside. >> at cia headquarters, you don't need clearance to see its new renovated

museum. >> unlike anything you see anywhere else. >> filled with declassified gadgets like a powder compact with coded messages embedded in its mirror. the dragonfly that was the first uav or drone. this pipe. >> you would bite down on the pipe, would send signals through the cavity here. >> the deputy director of the new cia museum. >> these artifacts have never been on display at cia museum. >> the covert extraction on which the 2012 ben affleck movie was based. six americans rescued in tehran, one of the agency's most daring missions. >> we had a studio set up in l.a., studio 6. we went so far as to have a script reading, invite the press. this artwork is one of my favorite artifacts in the museum, done by jack kirby of the marvel universe. >> he had no idea he was working for the cia when he drew it.

>> it is possible until "argo" was declassified he had any idea. >> there are items from a famous mission that used millionaire howard hughes' drilling company as a cover to recover a sunken k-129 russian sub. >> cia engineers had to create a capture vessel to go to the bottom of the ocean, 11 and a half empire state buildings down, grab a multi ton sub and bring it back up. >> there are examples of real life dead drops like this crumbled milk carton. >> we want to make it so it is something that blends in with the surrounding or is disgusting and no one would pick up. >> like this rat. >> we would treat the rat, hollow it out, put a camera in there, micro dot reader, money, film, sew it up, place it, you could pick it up. problem during testing, cats started stealing dead drops. you would rub it with tow bass cosauce, anything that was a deterrent. >> a section devoted to post 9/11 operations.

>> this is the model used to brief president biden. this honors the first team entry into afghanistan after 9/11. first team was in country 15 days after the attack. >> these stars like the 139 currently on the memorial wall at langley hung at the cia basin afghanistan to honor seven officers hunting bin laden, killed by a suicide bomber. >> when we left afghanistan, we made sure to bring this memorial back with us. >> nick reynolds was the historian until 2013. >> i like the outlier, the people that stood up for themselves, didn't necessarily have the stamp of approval of the establishment. >> world war ii supervise like virginia hall, shown here receiving the intelligence cross at a secret white house ceremony from the first head of the oss. her amputated leg cost her a job at the state department, so she volunteered to drive an ambulance in france,

eventually running 1500 french resistance forces, becoming the first enemy lines into the uk, she got resistance without a single shot being fired. >> her favorite piece are these boots worn by an actual cia officer, dave. the teammate of medal of honor recipient, mike span. the first casualty on the ground in afghanistan killed during a prison riot. >> while getting to mike, he completely ran out of ammunition, firing to get to mike to try to save him. he took mike's weapon, used it to get to safety. >> dave's seven-year-old son started calling them daddy's lucky boots, realizing for the first time how dangerous his dad's job was, not knowing

where his father really worked. >> i think they talk about the silent sacrifice this organization makes on a daily basis. we're very small, agile. very good with very little. >> and we are proud to honor that sacrifice which often goes unrecognized. that was jennifer griffin reporting from the cia's langley headquarters. and now this programming note, join my colleague, dana perino, tonight for a deep dive into november midterms. called the big midterm show. she will bring in a high powered round table for a conversation about the issues and how candidates are aiming to drive turnout. tonight, 10:00 p.m. eastern on fox news channel. that's it for us this sunday morning. thank you for joining us. i am shannon bream. have a great week. we will see you next "fox news sunday."

area and just east of us and stocked and following the arrest of a suspected serial killer what police are saying about that suspect as they say he is linked to at least six deadly shootings also ahead. these devices are intended for adults only with mild to moderate hearing loss that is self perceived. over the counter hearing. aids will be available across pharmacies nationwide tomorrow why doctors are urging people to take caution before they buy. plus making strides in the fight against breast cancer will live at san francisco's christie fields