♪ >> welcome to life in paris. world news and analysis from france 24. ukraine says its troops are making more important strategic gains. taking back occupied ground in the south near curse on. liz truss backtracks on the controversial plan for tax cuts for the superrich. the tory party conference members already talking of no-confidence.

neck and neck in brazil against bolsonaro and lula this leaves pollsters who predicted a landslide with a postelection hangover. the second round of voting on october 30 is set to sort it out. this is live from paris. ♪ >> thank you very much for being with us. ukrainian forces made their biggest breakthrough in the country's south since the invasion began. forces have advanced across russian lines this monday, advancing rapidly along the river, threatening supply lines for thousands of russian troops. kyiv gave little infmation, but russn sources acknowledged the ukrainian offensive has

advanced kilometers, recapturing villages along the way. all this in t wak of the major gain over the weekend of a city in the donbass where the russians made a massive retreat to avoid capture. >> we seem to be in a situation where the russians start admitting leaving and being in difficulty. ukrainian side confirms they have taken particular locations. there is great deal of excitement on ukrainian social media. a feeling that this southern offensive is ghering momentum. lots of unconfirmed reports of settlements having been taken deep into russian lines and the possibility of ukrainian forces surrounding russian forces in certain parts on theight bank of the river. all of those reports are as of yet unconfirmed.

below to me zelinski state they are advancing in kherson and have confirmed taking a number of villages. ukrainian forces raising the flag there. the ukrainian site is still cautious about celebrating victories, also because these victories are coming at a huge price. i spoke earlier to the main spokeswoman for the ukrainian army and she told me that all of the recently liberated areas are coming under constant shelling and are still very dangerous. certainly, the feeling seems to be that the momentum is on ukraine's side in the south and the northeast where ukrainian forces confirmed today having taken another key town on the eastern bank in the far eastern end of kharkiv.

>> we will have more coming up on the situation. next, a video purporting to show the massacre of armenian soldiers. at the hands advisor -- azerbaijani troops. the video appears to show a firing squad shooting dead at least seven armenian soldiers. telegram channels on both sides of the conflict. azerbaijan launched his latest skirmish on september 13. they have been at war a number of times over the disputed territory. there are word of talks to find somehow a solution. >> it was -- and took place -- [indiscernible]

[indiscernible] this video w released yesterday on a small channel.

the minister of foreign affairs of armenia and azerbaijan were discussing pce treaty. probably some people who managed to get thivideo -- [indiscernible] >> iran's supreme leader this monday accused the united states and israel of fomenting the wave of nationwide unrest sparked by outrage of the death of my set meaning. there have been protests since september when -- died in police custody. she had been arrested for wearing her --

>> with anger boiling over across iran, protests led mostly by women show no sign of fading. these university students chanting they will take to the streets every day. the nation has been gripped by violins since the death of 22-year-old mahsa amini, who died in police custody on september 16 after being arrested by the so-called morality police for allegedly wearing her headscarf too loosely. as government forces continue a deadly crackdown on protesters, iran's supreme leader made a rare public appearance monday, calling the woman's death a better incident and blaming outside forces for fomenting the wave of nationwide unrest. >> i say clearly that these riots and insecurity were engineered by the u.s. and the

false occupying zionist regime as well as their paid agents, with the help of treacherous iranians abroad. >> in spite of attempts by the government to shut down the internet, video of the violence continues to surface on social media. unersity students running from police and from the firing of pellet guns and teargas. some tried to escape inside a parking garage, but are caught and taken away with bags over their heads. despite a government crackdown on information, human rights groups estimate that doesn't have been killed in the on -- dozens have been killed in the unrest. >> united kingdom government said this monday dropped plans to cut income tax for top earners. part of a package of cuts and fails days ago that sparked turmoil on financial markets and sent to the pound plummeting to an all-time record low against the dollar.

in a dramatic about-face, the treasury chief abandon plans to scrap the top 45% rate of income tax -- earnings above 150,000 pounds a year. the policy had drawn near universal opposition. trading at $1.13, just under the value -- many. >> there is within her own conservative party against liz truss and it is growing. >> when you look at the polls, ok, done at the end of the labour party conference, the main opposition party. normally the party gets a bounce after that. when you look at the fact that this year, the conservatives have never, ever been in the lead and you see the labor polling is anywhere ranging,

according to which coal you look at and there have been 10 in the last week or so, ranging between 15 points ahead for the labour party to 33 points for you see this crisis management that the prime minister, less than one month in the job -- referred to as a little turbulence in the markets. it wasn't a little, it was a battering and a crisis of confidence. can the prime minister, can the chancellor, actually regain that authority? one of the reasons they did this major uterine that you turn is they simply could not have cops through the house of commons, which will start city again -- sitting again this week. a lot of tory mps were going public with this criticism.

unsurprisingly, the labour party -- the labour party set -- >> so, more turbulent hold. >> watching all the elements for us in london and beyond the tory party conference that is taking place this week in the city of birmingham in central england. pulse was in brazil have been left asking, what happened? predictions of a landslide in the presidential election did not materialize. sitting president jair bolsonaro still very much in the race. a slight lead is held by the challenger lula da silva. a second vote is scheduled october 30 to's -- to sort it out. >> hands held high, chanting their former president's name,

there was much love in the streets for luis ignacio lula da silva. lula's hopes of winning in a single round were dashed, paving the way for a showoff with bolsonaro. victory on october 30 for the second round, they say, will be there's. >> we always believed we would win these elections. what i can tell you is that we are going to win these elections. this is just extra time for us. >> as ballots are being tallied, brazil's court announced lula had won over 48% of sunday's vote. nine other candidates h also been in the ruing. the close tie between the two came as a surprise. surveys had predicted that lula would have a commanding lead. for president bolsonaro come his

tight difference is proof that his controversial presidency has been a success and that surveys are not to be trusted. >> the polls are discredited. there will be a second round. the armed forces have provided transparency. just like anywhere in the world, our system is not completely shielded. there's always the possibility for something to happen in a fully digital system. >> bolsonaro has been critical of -- system. fears that if he loses, he would reject the results. he and lula are gearing up for an intensely half campaign. >> as a upturned predictions from pollsters. let's get broader analysis. . christopher, thanks for being with us. let's start by the pollsters, how did the pollsters get it so wrong? >> this is something we have

seen in other situations. we thought it in the united states in 2020 with trump. the issue is that the supporters of right wing -- obnoxious candidates don't like to respond to surveys. they do not trust pollsters and they are often off the grid. consequently, pollsters in brazil did not build into their models the need to take this into accnt. consequently, leading to just a few days ago, bolsonaro was behind by 15%. severely undercounted. as a result, it built up expectation of a first round lula victory which was unrealistic. >> i am wondering whether something like megastar footballer name are coming out and saying he supported bolsonaro made a difference. >> i do think there were these uncertainties, if you will. that pollsters can't predict but probably should have understood

decisions of voters. in the for one, bolsonaro in the lead up to the elections, announced a cash giveaway program that was going to benefit 22 million families. clearly that was an effort to buy votes. other endorsements, such as the fake news that bolsonaro and his supporters engage in, certainly helped. again, this should be an obligation of pollsters to understand and predict. >> does lula have the support to carry this through and to win? he is in the lead, let's not forget. >> he is in the lead by only 5%, according to the first round votes sunday. he can probably win. it is probably his to lose. the two under -- other candidates account for almost --

certainly enough to get him over the finish line. if they swing behind lula come and play probably well, that it is his to lose for the problem is that bolsonaro has been ceding doubts about the integrity of the electoral system. the hope is that lula would win big. it does not look like that could happen because there is a real risk of post electoral upheaval in protest directed by bolsonaro. >> that would be good for any -- that wouldn't be good for anybody, would it? >> precisely. brazil right now is confronting a severe economic problem. inflation is running about 10%. the economy, for the last eight years, has only grown by -0.1%. according to oxfam, there are 33 million people who experienced hunger in the last six months. these issues need to get

resolved. in this pitched, polarized battle and the questioning of the electoral institutions is not going to help those critical matters. >> what you have pointed out with the oxfam kind of points towards the policies that lula has been touting come of the leftist agenda. which brings us back to the beginning of our analysis. how on earth did bolsonaro managed to sustain the score he got and to stay in the race? >> it is a fundamental question. when we are asking ourselves in other political contexts. the truth ishat populists of the left and the right, irrespective of their own performance in government, managed to maintain the loyalty, fierceoyalty, of a number of supporters. his core support, his floor is around 30%. his ceiling is only about 45% or 50%. but he does have a core group of

supporters that will go to the end and basically disregard his own performance on matters of health care. 685,000 people died of covid. economic disaster. deforestation, in which levels of slash and burn policies in the amazon have reached 15 year highs. these things do't matter. it is all about, has resilience say, bolsonaro, the legend. >> it is all to be thoughtful, politically speaking. christopher sabatini, thank you for that analysis. giving us something to chew over. the second round of voting, bolsonaro the incumbent versus the leftist comeback kid. thanks once again. time for support. great to see you, sir. where would you like to start?

>> the football world is still reeling from the tragic events in indonesia where 125 people were killed, tragically. the stampede which took place in the match that resulted in one of the deadliest exporting incidents in recent memory. gauff since 1964 have so many been killed. the warning signs were already there. some fans were not even allowed to come to the match as a result of indonesia's peppered history of fan violence. but no one could have foreseen the destruction and devastation in milan. as we look at other pictures, a day of mourning, the inquest is ongoing. the police chief as well as -- have been removed from their posts. eighothers are being

investigated in their part of firing the teargas which set off the stampede. teargas, which fifa has said is not advised in any kind of crowd control. in a development, -- football president has promised to take full responsibility for what unfolded. wiping away tears, this is what he said. >> i would really like to once again apologize to all victims. to the families, to the people of indonesia, to all who were involved. to the football association of indonesia. to the police. to the association president for the tragedy that happened. i, as the president of arima fc, and willing to be fully responsible for the incident. we are ready to get compensation, anything, to the victims. even though nothing we do can

bring back their lives. >> those messages of compensation echoed by indonesia's president. let's swing the pendulum and taken to news -- gonzalo has announced he will retire at the end of the current mls season. he won six titles with real madrid. he finished up at the fifa world cup with argentina. scoring 14 goals in 26 appearances so far this season, but wishing for a playoff spot with two games left in the regular season to go. we wish him all the best after an amazing career. he was a major player for many years in the you a champions league and the tournament is returning tuesday for another round of group games starting with -- who hosts sporting lisbon in the first ever meeting between the two sides. a tough fight lies ahead. the bottom of group d losing 16

of their last 17 games and six of their last eight against portuguese opposition. can they set it right? we will. and then clash of the giants. enter milan welcomes barcelona, having won just two of their 14. one of those was memorably on the way to their title in 2010 when they won 3-1. barcelona has lost three of their last four champions league group games with -- only the second manager to loose his first two away group games. however, he says this particular match won't define the season just yet. >> despite the size of the -- we are quite clear we wanted to dominate. we wanted to play away on the same level that our team has played at home in recent months. this opponent is a major -- our

former champion. very important for the future of the group. >> certainly a very tasty encounter coming up. just remind ourselves of what other games we have to look forward to, it promises to be a scintillating atmosphere as an off-color liverpool hopes to revive their season against scottish rite rangers. last year's europaeague champions take on tottenham hotspur. the betifully poised clash sees amsterdam lock horns with italy. -- favorites against -- battle against liverpool and madrid travel to belgium club bruges, another cracking night of football 08. quite a shock in the first round of the stoner open in kazakhstan where -- lost out in straight sets to bautista.

just couldn't find the edge over his spanish counterpart when it mattered most as he lost 4-6, 6-7. stan the man -- [indiscernible] the 37-year-old just couldn't find the gap and won the match. later, smooth sailing for andrey rublev as he secured a comfortable victory over serbia's -- similar story for -- as he dispatched of francisco 6-2. there was also some blistering

shots in tokyo as the first round of the japan tennis open got underway between france and japan. it was easy pickings for the fourth seed as he cruised past his opponent in straight sets. [indiscernible] pedro martinez the winner over alexi pop oven. [indiscernible] >> one player who will enter wild crowds in japan is the perennial controversy. it's stories off the court will be affecting the 27-year-old because a magistrate court in his native australia will be simultaneously sharing details

of a common assault charge against -- it follows allegations made in december relating to an incident the previous january, 2021, where australian media reported a complaint was made by a former girlfriend against him. his lawyer has said it involves a domestic relationship. dispute. ending on something a little crazy. it is a contest which has become well-known for the bizarre stance that gets crowds purring. sunday saw the final liver showcasing of the famed car jumping championship in west sussex. this circuit is being closed, making way for a large housing estate. a small part of british motorsport history will be lost. but rather than ending with a whimper, contends students -- contestants decided to go off with a bang as a bunch of crazy drivers put on a show for the hundreds of fans.

it takes nerves of steel to compete at this event. flying high and clearing the parked cars equals success. each attempt was judged on elevation, the set -- the reception from the crowd and distance. it was left to kevin lauding to claim the title of champion. >> definitely the -- i ever seen. very happy. very happy. >> we don't know what car he was writing, but it seems he had fun despite those knocks. >> great advertising. indestructible whatever. thank you for bringing us that wide and varied view of the world of sports. stay with us. ♪ >> every four years, the celebration of the olympic games

is an opportunity to call a truce in internatial conflict. but in 1972 during the meeting games, eight palestinian terrorists from the black september movement took 11 members of the israeli delegation hostage to secure their release, they demanded the release of all palestinian prisoners in israel and the plane to make their escape. at the airport, german police attempted a rescue operation. it was a fiasco. all hostages were shot, along with some terrorists. only today, 50 years later, are the families of the victims obtaining compensation and an apology from the german government for -- government. munich's 1972: we visited. france24.com ♪

10/03/22 10/03/22 [captiing made possie by democracy now!] amy: from new york, this is democracy now! >> i have never won an election in the first round. i have won all of that i did the second around. >> we're going to form good alliances to win the election. amy: jair bolsonaro threatened a