in new hampshire, and a massive media scum today, meeting candidates at polling places. >> how are you? >> hey, governor. >> very exciting night tonight. what about the firing comment? do you think -- >> as you know, insurance companies, i was talking about that. we all want to get rid of our insurance companies. >> after a rough 48 hours how big a margin does romney need to claim a victory and behind the front-runner that has the big mo, gingrich is trying to catch fire in race for second. >> i think it -- >> ask a republican voter, if a guy misstates himself that badly, do you want him on the same platform with barack obama. >> it's a tight race for bragging rights coming out of

new hampshire. >> we started here in new hampshire with zero and we are moving up in each passing hour. >> we have a lot of excitement and we were at theç bottom of e pack with a tie with perry and now we are up, we have not spent a penny. so, that is pretty good. >> plus, white house shake up, how will bill daley's departure impact president obama's reelection campaign. good day. in our daily fix if republican candidates are fanned out across the state making their pitch to voters but they often run into camera crews more than real people. chris, there was more excitement out here. there were huge press cores and i think the voters as you know, late deciders, undecided voters are finally starting to zero in and focus on this, mitt romney

still poised with a double-digit lead in the latest polls? >> yeah, andrea, i think that with undecided voters, if you are still undecided you are probably not a mitt romney voter. he has worked the state hard for basically the last six years, even if he does not get the majority of those undecided, he is likely to win and win by double digits. i went back and looked at all of the polling that has been done in new hampshire. he has averaged 37, 38%, and ron paul 20ish percent. if those numbers shrink a bits and huntsing man comes up a bit, we are headed toward a double digit win for romney. since 1976 no çnonincumbant republican wins back-to-back in iowa and new hampshire. he would be making history.

>> do you see anybody dropping out today, if we have not captured the excitement that was coming for huntsman, could he fail to get a ticket out of here? >> you have nailed it. the person with the most at stake, because he has spent all of his time in new hampshire. he has visited the state 150 plus times is huntsman. he has finiset his expectationst he has to finish in the top three. if polling is right, he will probably finish third or a close second with ron paul. if he does that, my guess is he continues o though i'm not sure there's a path forward for him in south carolina. but the huntsman people will be glad to live and fight another day. perry, gingrich and romney, they are all focused on south carolina already, andrea, i think they will let romney bet his win and try to down play it and say this is the real fight. i cannot imagine anybody else other than hunts man, if he

disappoints, leaving the race tonight. >> thank you, chris, we will talk to you later. we should point out that bill gardner has showed us what nine towns we should be looking at. these are the cities and towns across new hampshire that have been decisive, and the impact of romney'sç stumble over firing people may not be seen until later. by then some of romneys opponents hope to derail him as portraying him as a vulture capitalist. we have our political analysts. "time" magazine is all about romney's attempt to win over republican voters. nice to see you. your father has been lighting up

the sound bite meter all over town for mitt romney. to make the point, you are the senator that has not declared. >> that is why i love coming on, you know the difference between the two of us. >> you know new hampshire so well, is mitt romney the boy next door, somebody said he is the home boy. is he for real and how big a margin does he have to have to really have momentum and bragging rights going south? >> i think that chris laid it out well. double digits certainly, probably in the mid 30s. if he falls to 31, 32, whoever finishes second or a close third will have a bit of momentum and a bit of focus placed on them. >> if jon huntsman can overcome ron paul and finish second, he is going to have a little bit of momentum, maybe it's finally his turn to enjoy the bump that cain and bachmann and perry all got at one time or another.

>> that would make him the come back kid in new hampshire terms. you have been tracking theç se inflicted wound over i like to fire people and we all agree that it was taken out of context but it can be a very easy sound bite. you said that what he said to explain himself was more revealing and potentially damaging, let's play it. >> free enterprise will be on trial, i thought it would come from the president and the democrats to left but instead it's coming from speaker gingrich and candidates. i'm not worried about that. if you think i should spend my entire campaign carefully choosing h choosing what i say and how i relates to people, that would change who i am. >> what does that capture? >> there's two streams that are dangerous for romney.

one is, people questioning what bain capital did, whether it was a company that was determined to create new jobs or a company that was determined to create income for the people at bain capital and its investors. the other thing that is coming into that is comments like that. where mitt romney has trouble relating to people. more like john kerry than bill clinton. that is a worry against republicans going up against the president. >> this is what rick perry had to say about the whole bain capital and we should point out by the way that nbc and bain are part they were e-- ownership of the weather channel. this is perry talking to south carolina voters talking about bain capitalç today. >> they are just vultures, they're vultures sitting out there on the tree limb waiting for the company to get sick. and then they swoop in, they eat

the carcas and they leave with that and they leave the skeleton. >> john sununu how does that play with republican voters? >> there may be a few republican voters with whom that rhetoric plays well. but the fact is these are institutions, a private equity firm and bain is one of the most successful and enjoys a good reputation, they are investing money for universitys and nonprofits as well as individuals. >> mitt romney has never mentioned that. >> but there's no question he has to be clear in talking about, not just his record of job creation but helping to explain the industry a little bit to people. but he will have to do it one way or the other and he pointed that out. i my that mark's point though, in that phrasing he chose about whether or not you worry how people interpret what you say,

that is important. look, he knows it r, he will ha to come back to that point. the way people relate to the words you use and how you speak matters in politics and they were anywhere else in life. >> was the eye like to fire people the equivalent of this from the last campaign? >> iç did vote for the $87 billion before i voted against it. >> that was a signature moment, it was in context completely explainable the way the legislative process goes but it reflected the failure to communicate and being part of washington. it had all the elements. >> that was a tough moment for kerry and it happened later in the campaign in the heat of the general election and maybe that is to mitt romney's advantage. that this happens now in the

primary and enables him to sharpen the message and talk more about it. >> is he learning from the stumbles? >> no, i think the fire nithings silly. and he said three other things that are significant. >> pink slips. >> and he can only talk about himself. and whether he will leave his money to his children or grandchildren. these are things that will be pl pulled out again. the republicans are worried that he will come across as out of touch. he will not be the president of the united states if he continues to say things like that. >> john sununu, and mark, thank you very much. >> thank you. >> more than a third of new hampshire republicans are still undecided what does that mean for president obama. governor john lynch joining us in a moment. in a moment. we will bring you the latest [ male announcer ] wouldn't it be cool

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welcome back, independents here in new hampshire account for 40% of vote rs and they wil be a factor in the primary foent and the president's reelection bid, governor lynch, thanks for joining us.

>> we want to try to showcase new hampshire and welcome the visitors to our great state. >> we all love it. let's talk about the independents, what do they do, do they go out of the occupy wall street anger? are there ron paul supporters there? we have seen protesters all across the state at all of the venues or are some of them going more toward moderate republican jon huntsman. >> i think that the independents will choose a republican candidate. the issues continue to be jobs and the economy here. so the independents will go to that candidate or those candidates who they believe focusing on jobs and the economy is will be able to bring washington together, as i talk to the people of the state, what they want to see is more

and we were to verge of a national or global financial collapse. and he has been able to turn that around in quite a remark able way. >> are you surprised by having so many chiefs of staff with short careers, going into the year with jack lou, he has no hands on election experience? >> i trust the preside%t to make his own staffing decisions. i have to worry about new hampshire and i assume that he will make the right decisions for himself and the country. >> thank you so much, governor lynch and the warm greeting here in new hampshire. >> thank you. >> who will stop mitt? perhaps mitt himself. you are watching "andrea

mitchell reports." only on msnbc. >> i voted for ron paul. >> why? >> basically he seems to be one of those that has clear direction as far as where he wants to take the country. >> he does have problems with foreign policy, but, everyone has problems. but i think he would make a good president and can't stand mitt romney. >> all right thanks very much. >> flip flopping. >> [ ma le announcer ] indulge all you want.

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♪ home was an airport lounge and an ipad ♪ ♪ made sure his credit score did not go bad ♪ ♪ with a free-credit-score-dot-com ♪ ♪ app that he had ♪ downloaded it in the himalayas ♪ ♪ while meditating like a true playa ♪ ♪ now when he's surfing down in chile'a ♪ ♪ he can see when his score is in danger ♪ ♪ if you're a mobile type on the go ♪ ♪ i suggest you take a tip from my bro ♪ ♪ and download the app that lets you know ♪ ♪ at free-credit-score-dot-com now let's go. ♪ vo: offer applies with enrollment in freecreditscore.com™. mitt romney is holding on to his double digit lead in the final tracking polls here and that leaves the rest of the field going for second or third place. politico's roger simon is arguing that mitt romney is headed for corronation, you have seen primaries going back to

1976, so i rely on your wisdom. but you really think that mitt romney has not slowed himself by verbal gaffes and what others and i were talking about a bit ago, his inability to really connect with the real experience of average voters? >> we will see, the media will be a huge part of it. we are treating, we in the media, romney's gaffe about making, what i consider a reasonable statement about firing a bad insurance company, and we are making it into deans scream, which in actuallity was not that bad either but it helped to destroy dean's ç campaign. we will see tonight how much average voters care about what the media spin has been on this. if they don't care very much, i expect mitt romney to do a double digit win here. amazingly he is ahead in double digits in south carolina. a state that just a few weeks ago we would have said mitt

romney cannot win. if he goes into florida a 3-0 victor, i do not know what republican opponent can raise the 10-20 million dollars to compete in a state like that. >> let's say he gets the nomination, as he laid out a roadmap for the democrats who are already taking advantage? >> yes, but that is always the problem of having a contetious primary. your weaknesses are exposed and the next party can use them. but having fired some people and taken over bain capital is probably not the worst thing you can do as a republican. >> in a general election though,

especially with occupy and the different tone we see in american politics that we see today and tspeed of information. >> you are right, that is why his chief message is not just his business experience but optimism. he sees theç ads from presiden obama that say we have to work harder, we are all in it together, change takes time. he sees those as messages of pessimism. >> it is the reagan example. >> very much so. >> and hoping he can ride that optimism and not be specific about, in trying not to engage really with some of the specific criticisms. >> absolutely right. he will be what we saw four years ago, he will be the hope and change candidate and he is going to hope that president obama will have to run on a mixed record and a bad economy.

>> is there a scenario tonight that really hurts mitt romney? is there any scenario that you see that ses him having a small margin of victory that we can see a second is place winner, huntsman or santorum or gingrich saying i'm the come back kid theway clinton parlayed a second place win to a victory for president? >> yes, that can happen tonight. but, who ever does it, then faces a very tough test in south carolina that bill clinton and some of the south did not have to face. if jon huntsman wins here, you, i'm sorry, comes in a close second here. >> right. >> one wonders how popular he will be in a southern,

evangelicalç christian state. >> great to have you here. thank you very much. >> next up, as we say, south carolina and florida with republican campaign veteran mike murphy. how is the chief of staff shake up going to chaneffect the reelection bid. >> when you have tough pain, do you want fast relief? try bayer advanced aspirin. it has microparticles so it enters the bloodstream fast and rushes relief to the site of your tough pain. it's proven to relieve pain twice as fast as before. bayer advanced aspirin.

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he did not submit the proper paperwork. there's a debate tonight in oregon but this one is for the congressional seat left open by democrat david woo, he resigned amid a sex scandal and very embarrassing photos. political watchers are closely watching this special election for leads on what voters might be thinking as they head toward november and new jersey governor chris christie is giving a speech for long time friend and mentor, republican assembly leader, alex decroce. the governor credits decroce r for, giving him a start in politics politics. the president will appoint the next director of the direct

policy council. this comes a day after we learned thatç bill daley is ou. the president's third chief of staff. many say that the writing has been on the wallace pete rouse tock on more of the day-to-day operations, but daley was supposed to stay on until next year, so why the early departure? bill burton, former white house press secretary and founder of the super pac -- we are well into it with the first primary voting today. the impact of bill daley, famous chicago family, you know it well coming from chicago. the former campaign manager for al gore and this a rather awkward exit.

premature. >> it was never a good fit. he was never close to president obama even though he endorsed him early and was one of the cochairs of the 2008 campaign, they were not personally close. he was brought in essentially to get him, help him get re-elected from the white house. rahm emanuel strongly urged that he appointed as his successor. they never fully connected. bill daley did reach out well to the business community which was part of his assignment, but he had a harder time on capitol hill. >>ç harry reid i know personal was not in sync at all with bill daley. and bill daley took part in the deal falling apart, not

foreseeing that boehner would have the support and that the freshman republicans would have an impact and it would fall apart. >> bill took over at a difficult time. to day he took the job, there was the tragic in arizona, where gabrielle giffords was shot. there was the debt ceiling negotiation and he had to deal with a congress that were beholden to the tea party. and you thought maybe they will be tough with their beliefs but in the end of the day they were willing to do anything to get their way even if that meant getting nothing done. he served the president well. one thing that you said. the loyalty that people had to pete rouse, i don't know if that was a problem for bill daley. >> but at the same time, there's a tight knit inner circle, and some say that michelle obama

have trouble penetrating the men around the president. the new book that came out, certainly addresses conflicts between east wing and west wing not as grave as conflicts in the past. nancy reagan and hillary clinton and some of those west wing advisers, but there's a tight knit group, can anyone penetrate it? >> i have not read it, just heardç reporting about it. but i'll say there's natural tension between a east and west wing and considering the strong personalities that you had there people worked well there. any idea that the first lady could not penetrate the advisers is over stated. she was there, and you saw her in the west wing all the time. it was not that she was taking over policy debates but she was

a constant there. >> there's a myth that there's a palace guard. that the president does not reach out enough. >> certainly not to people on the hill. >> he is not in over his head contrary to reports. but it's a legitimate criticism to say that he really needs to reach out more. and remember bill clinton, in the evening he would be on the phone all the time talking to a great variety of people and the president does much less of that. >> bill, your super pac supporting the obama re-election has a new video up trying to take advantage of some of the perceived republican gaffes. i want to play it. >> in our world where attacks fly from every angel. >> i have seen him change his position on so many things. >> i think that romney's record is so bad. >> it can get a little lonely out there.

but one man has the courage to stha stand up,yuu(i up, if he is karl rove's candidate, do you want him to be yours? >> bill, we will talk more about that coming up. you see the way the republican debate has developed and some of the guys are doing your work for you. >> well, that is exactly right. i think that one thing that we have seen from mitt romney over the course of the last couple of days is that he is not really ready for prime time and the weakness of the field has not prepared him for what will be a tough general election should he be the nominee. probably will be. what this video shows is karl rove and much of the establishment is behind mitt romney. not all voters like coronations so we put it out there -- >> a little democratic mischief

making. did the gaffes damage mitt romney. that his business experience makes him the most elect able candidate against barack obama. we have our strategist joining us from florida, which is the primary after the next primary to come. great to see you. >> hey, andrea. >> your take on the whole firing offense and what mitt romney sa said, did he give the democrats a lot of amunition? >> this may be a tempest in a tea pot. there's no doubt that the obama guys are in so muchç trouble tt they will not run open change, it will be crush kill romney. they will take all this stuff out of context and people will hear it. political ads are so

untrustworthy. you have to look at the wider picture, and he was talking about firing a bad insurance company. a lot of us have done. >> gingrich zeroed in on one example of a bain company that fired a bunch of people and took excessive profits. i caught up with him and asked him about it. let me show you how he tried to balance the comment. >> do you think it hurts his electability? >> have a republican voter ask the question, if a guy misstates himselves that badly, do you want him on the same stage as barack obama. >> in defense of the camera work on that, there were hundreds and hundreds of cameras and people out there, and it was a fight for your life. gingrich is trying moderate his attack, but he could be, going south carolina, be dangerous if he comes out of new hampshire

with any momentum. >> newt is a catalyst. he could not carry a swing state if it was made out of feathers. it's the pot calling the kettle black. if he harps on this, it will do damage. and this class war fare story iç so attractive, that mitt romney's group will have to figure out how to deal with it. >> if huntsman does better than expected is his father going to then put in the money, and what you see on behalf of newt, is the money from nevada, this is the big money game heading to florida, which is an expensive state. >> yeah, absolutely. florida is a big money state. i was tweeting about this. as far as i'm concerned, if you look through the smoke, the

three most important opinions in america tomorrow about what will happen going forward in the republican race are shelley adelson who just gave newt's super pac $5 million. rick santorum has a guy out of philadelphia. and finally, as the huntsman family. they will wind up the father and son on dr. phil working things out. will huntsman's father decide to continue to put money behind the huntsman super pac to get him going in south carolina. he will not have the kind of support that he has been able to build in other states. those guys hold the checkbook and people wonder who will have all the power tomorrow morning? >> is there any scenario that

you see of mitt romney not getting the nomination at this point? or is it justç who is going to damage him and rough him up enough to make him more vulnerable to the re-election campaign? >> i never say never. i think that romney has the advantages. i have been predicting he will perform in the mid 30s. some people thinking 40. there will be media chatter about him performing under expectations. but a win is a win. my test is south carolina. it's rough terrain for romney and huntsman. will santorum beat gingrich by enough or the other way around that one can say to the other, why are you in this race, we have to bring south carolina together. it's about can romney be stopped in south carolina. if that doesn't happen, i think he will roll to the nomination.

>> it's all over but the fat lady singing. we will catch up with you in florida, when we are down there for that big tampa debate. that is january 23rd with bryan williams and all the candidates. thank you very much. that will be an important one. and democrats amping up attacks. we will talk to debbie wasserman shuttle. this is "andrea mitchell reports" only on msnbc. >> what are you hoping to achieve by your vote? >> i'm hoping to have a strong republican candidate that's going to stands up for christian values and help repair the american economy.ç crest pro-health clinical gum protection. it helps eliminate plaque at the gum line, helping prevent gingivitis. it's even clinically proven to help reverse it in just 4 weeks. crest pro-health clinical gum protection.

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gingrich isç trailing romney a four other candidates. the editor will join me, are there any regrets for them and heading down south, since 1980 the winner of the south carolina primary has secured the gop nomination but this time, there's an elephant in the room and it could be the tea party and the conservatives they cannot seem to coalesce around a candidate. plus, ed schultz will join me on that. all of that coming up for you on "news nation." mitt romney is not just warding off attacks from rivals he has the dnc to deal with. they released an ad mocking him for his comment about firing people. >> the good news is --

>> you are fired. >> you are fired. >> you're fired. >> i know why jobs come and they go. >> you're fired. >> you're fired. >> that was a quick turn around, joining us now, florida congress woman debbie wasserman-schultz. not fair. we know what he was talking about. your ability to get rid of your insurance company, it was explainable, inartful use of words but you all bulped. >> not fair but he has put out his private consecutive is -- so to say that he enjoys firing people, just is another example of his disconnect from working

families and what they are going through. >> when you first saw that comment, you know, i remember way back when in 1988, being the late lee atwater and he saw dukakis climb into that tank, and it was instantly an issue. is that how you felt when you heard mitt romney using those words together? i like firing people. >> he did that and then in another breath he said that he could identify with people that were fiered because he himself feared getting a pink slip. he set up a sweet heart deal for himself when he was ceo of bain capital so he could not be fired and he would get his job back with the salary increases that he would have gotten, if he had to leave. >> in fact, you are handing out

fake pink slips at voting places to try to take advantage of it. >> we feel that mitt romney should be familiar with pink slips because he handed out so many. >> what about the broader question ofç the economic turml that has been experienced. you have the possibility that unemployment which has edged down to 8.5, there could be problems coming from europe, there's a lot of unexpected events. iran, oil, energy prices. this is a tough re-election year and now you have the third white house chief of staff in three years? >> that is why the president has been focused on getting the economy turned around and creating jobs. we are making slow and steady progress, he is taking us from losing jobs to now 200,000 jobs

from last month made. we where giving the middle class a chance to be successful as well. that is republican field, who believe we should keep focused on the wind to the backs of millionaires and billionaires. everybody should have a fair shot at being successful in this country. >> let me ask you about gender within the inner circle. there's some criticism that comes through that there's this inner circle of guys who surround the president and even the first lady and valerie jarrett have trouble getting along with the men in the white house staff. >> i spend quite a bitç of tim with the men and we are a team of people who work closely

together, who bat around our opinions. we have differences of opinions sometimes, but we're a unit that works together. all focused on making sure we can re-elect the president so he can continue to great work he's been doing. that's what it's all about for us. >> debbie, schultz who has been having [ kate ] many women may not be properly absorbing

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and, which political story will make headlines in the next 24 hours? what do you think? chris, can we figure this out. this is what it's all about. it's election day in new hampshire. we love it. the polls close at 8:00.

>> 8:00. i'm going to keep it where the i have my dial at all times on msnbc. i have a feeling on january 21st, we might be talking about mitt romney wrapping up the nomination by winning iowa, new hampshire and south carolina. a trio of states i don't think anyone thought he could sweep two or three months ago. >> we'll talk to you later. that does it for us on this edition of "andrea mitchell reports." we look ahead to south carolina tomorrow. my colleague tamron hall has a look next at "news nation." newt gingrich has to cancel an event after protestersed crashed it. the biggest newspaper in new hampshire endorsed gingrich. now gingrich is next to the last in the polls. the editor willç join us now t

explain their thoughts today. going down south. the winner of the south carolina primary has secured the gop nomination since 1980, but this time around conservatives cannot seem to coalese around one candidate. and split ends? get pantene breakage to strength." [ female announcer ] the keratin protection pro-v system helps prevent then repair split ends. zero fear of breakage, 100% more strength. pantene.

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no worries. right now on"news nation." >> why is mitt romney so far ahead of you? >> he's a home boy. he's been here for a whole lot of years. >> you are the first person who has called mitt romney a home boy. >> all right, home boy. does the home field advantage give mitt traction against the hashest lines of attacks he's seen so far? >> i like being able to fire people. plus, in an effort to destroy mitt romney, have newt gingrich and rick perry given