the beginning. just the first fight of this system that is going to make its way through. >> hurricane arthur is affecting millions of people along the east coast and could make landfall in the next several hours. we're tracking the storm and we'll tell you how it can affect your holiday weekend. and then, good economic news for your fourth of july. right now, the season's first hurricane is marching towards the eastern seaboard. arthur is strengthening, now predicting to hit the eastern u.s. as a category 2 storm. it's expected to hit the coast of north carolina in a couple of hours. this is on the state's southern coast. high winds are being felt along the region. officials warn the most dangerous part of the storm may be the rip currents for those who ignore warnings. but many people are heeding orders to leave before the storm hits. arthur is already forcing many vacationers to cut their fourth

of july trip short. >> we're packing up to go back to pittsburgh. there's 18 of us and half of them are kids. we don't want them to be afraid. too much glass in the house in case something happens. >> we're worried about the traffic getting out and the fact that it's -- who knows if the storm is going to go out to the sea or come in. it's going to cause a traffic delay. we want to get out there before that. >> we have two reporters standing by along the north carolina coast. let's start with julie martin who is tracking storms. julie, what's the latest? >> joy, we just got the latest from the national hurricane center. it's located 220 miles southwest of cape hatteras. winds are expected to move east-northeast at 13 miles per hour. here's a look at the winds associated around the center of circulation off the coast of charleston. you can see on the backside of that storm we're looking at significant winds. 60 miles per hour located at one

of the buoys over there. by this evening, winds up around 100 miles per hour. as you mentioned, that is category 2 strength. once we get up over 96, that's the threshold. we're fully expecting the storm to intensify. it will make landfall sometime between tonight and tomorrow morning. winds could be up into the category 2 strength. beyond that, it races out to sea. however, leaving behind pretty nasty weather in places like boston where they have already canceled the fireworks. in nova scotia, still at hurricane strength and newfoundland. the waters will remain very dangerous along the coast. here's a look at the tropical storm warnings stretching from the upstate of south carolina all the way up through wilmington. we have hurricane warnings up

through beaufort up to virginia beach. the waters will be very choppy and dangerous. again, category 2 strength winds. that's winds over 100 miles per hour and up to 110 coming in to the outer banks of north carolina and a storm surge 26 to 4 feet and all of this to cause damage to structure and uproot trees and we're very concerned about power outages as well. we will keep you updated as well. >> as julie said, north carolina will bear the brunt of this storm. sarah is there in kill devil hills. it's putting a damper on holiday plans. >> reporter: that's right. there are two evacuations, one

is mandatory and one is voluntary. you can see here on the beach, take a look, you can see chairs dotting the sand, umbrellas, people trying to get some sun before hurricane arthur arrives. all in all, you have 250,000 people expected in the outer banks. people say they plan to ride the hurricane out and enjoy the rest of their fourth of july week and people are preparing for if and when the power goes out. meanwhile, officials are saying not to take this hurricane lightly, to take all of the warnings, especially not to swim in the water because of the rip currents very seriously. you heard the governor say don't put your stupid hat on. it's a funny but important reminder as the hurricane moves in later tonight. back to you. >> thank you very much.

nbc sarah dallof, really appreciate it. also with us from wrightsville beach is the weather channel's raegan medgie. here's a look at the beach itself. you can see the waves. they are kicking up with the wind and that's exactly what we expected today. this is going to get increasingly worse as the day goes on. 9 families that are here vacations here in wrightsville, north carolina, they are making sure that people are staying out of the ocean. this family is coming down. they are waving at us and we are

waving at them. they are looking at hurricane arthur coming down the coast. earlier there was a tornado warning in the area. that's no longer in this immediate area. it's kind of shifted. everybody is making an eye to the sky at this point making sure that everybody stays safe. things could change, joy. >> the weather channel's raegan medgie, thank you. coming up, as more migrant families pour across the border, we could see a repeat of this disturbing incident where people kept them out. five months of more than 200,000 jobs created. a record stock market and unemployment is down. news on the economy is so good. why do people feel so bad about the state of the country. economists will attempt to explain. [ male announcer ] we're the names you know in the places you want to be. where you can explore super destinations and do everything under the sun. 12 brands. more hotels than anyone else in the world.

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and finally, my message to jodo obama is to secure this border, mr. president. >> perry is still testifying before the house homeland security at this moment, adding more voices to the americans expressing outrage or support for the recent surge of undocumented children crossing our southern border. a town hall in murrieta, california. a day of protests there shouting go back home turned back home a

bus full. jeh johnson had words for those protesters. >> when someone processes a migrant, you're preventing us from conducting basic health screening and the basic background checks object who these people are. it's a function that we need to perform for law enforcement, for other reasons for the sake of border security, for the sake of public safety and so i look at those images, and they are very d disturbing. >> amanda is joining us from texas. what is the update on that congressional delegation that is in texas right now? >> reporter: texas' governor rick perry says the border is less secure now than it has ever been before. he went on to say that though this is a humanitarian crisis

and many lawmakers agree, they do feel that more needs to be done to deter these children from coming here in the first place. some 52,000 kids have crossed the border since october alone. and lawmakers are saying that more needs to be done to make sure that the borders are secure and that these kids have no reason to come here. this kads that thindicates that immigration policy is luring kids here rather than their conditions at home that is dragging them out. >> amanda, stay with us. i want to bring in an immigration attorney, very handy to have here today. raul, you have congressman michael mccaul basically making that same point and blaming

president obama for the kids being in this country. >> to fix this crisis, the administration must first recognize that its failed immigration policies and border policies are the source of these problems and the message that these policies are sending is that if you come, you can stay. >> given that we don't have comprehensive immigration reform, that it's the status quo, the existing poll tea that it has been for years, is it plausible to you that just the fact that there is a potential for one day having immigration reform, could that alone be luring this many uncompaniaccom minors to the u.s.? >> no. it strikes me that the politicians making these points that there is significant evidence to show that it's not the immigration policy that is pulling these kids from central america as it is to push out of the country. the u.n. has reported that all

of the countries around those nations, mexico, costa rica have received an influx of unaccompanied children. the examination of the statistics for these areas and based on the statistics, life in those countries is statistically twice as dangerous for civilians and that puts into a perspective of violence and threats that these people are facing. even as the jodo tries to conduct that campaign and promote the idea that it's not safe, even then, maybe it's well-intentioned, it's a waste because, believe me, no one knows better than the people in those countries how dangerous it is when they let the children go with the traffickers that they can get here. >> amanda, i want to ask whether

or not when you talk to lawmakers, you are concerned about this flaw of unaccompanied minors. do they address that issue, which is, we had this status quo on immigration and you have unaccompanied children coming across the border which is, by default, is unique and something must have happened. >> reporter: they are concerned that making sure word goes around in these countries and in mexico, making sure that once they arrive here they do not automatically qualify for legal status as do dreamers who qualify. they are rushing up against this issue and many human rights and legitimate claims to asylum and

a path to citizenship here in the u.s. >> and that's what really bothers me about this debate. the focus of where they came from rather than if this is a genuine humanitarian crisis, something like what happened in haiti after that massive earthquake, something like you had when you had the cuban crisis that took place and when you have a crisis situation, is it a normal way that the country operates to try to find a way to process them and figure out what happened to them rather than to rush and send them back? >> we are about to see a reshuffling of public opinion. up until now, there hasn't really been polling done on this issue. in the weeks ahead, we'll see what the public wants. do they think we should send these people back, should they stay here? but the obama administration, whatever their intentions, they

may be good intentions but they are pursing a very dangerous path. they are saying, let's adjudicate their case. it's a never good idea to do justice quickly, let's do the due process as quickly as possible to get them home. that's a dangerous ground and i think already we see groups like the aclu stepping forward saying, wait, these children have valid claims, we have international treaties. we cannot unilaterally just send them back. if he pushes ahead with this with the approval of congress, just think of the optics if we have a 747 loaded up with children with teddy bears and their moms all crying, being flown back to one of the most dangerous places on earth, how would that look for the administration? how would that look for this nation? >> to say nothing of the detention and sort of the facilities in some of them, i have to play something for you. i have to play for you laura

ingraham from fox news. she was on with bill o'reilly and he disagreed with her, to his credit. this is about children. americans are incredibly passionate. if there was an earthquake in honduras, we'd be having a telethon and raising money for them. but this is the tone that we're hearing from some on the right. let's take a listen. >> the first thing you do is start deporting people. not by the hundreds but by the thousands. >> could that become a political problem? >> sure. it could become a political program for the republicans. the moderate republicans who so far have been quiet, they need to come forward and denounce it and say this is not our party, this is not what we believe in. i think it would be important to

draw a line between themselves and laura ingraham. when you look at the ugly pictures of people screaming at the bus, there's an irony. what those people are screaming and protesting about, they are protesting aggressive immigration enforcement. that's why they are screaming. it's nonsensical in that sense but it could also pose a political problem for the republicans going forward that they are being cemented with this anti-immigrant and anti-latino and now anti-child. it's a problem for their party. >> amanda, when you talk to members of the latino community there in texas, what is their reaction when they are seeing people screaming at children or someone saying, deport whole families? >> reporter: exactly. actually, i was in the bus station yesterday here in mcallen and i met with two young mothers there with their

children and they had just been released from border patrol detention centers and they were on to the next leg of their journey and they were describing the dire conditions of their journey here. they said they were hungry, weary, they had to take buses, trains, cars to get here. and they -- the thing that stood out the most for them was they felt really guilty and terrible for having to put their children through this situation. and these are kids that have their mothers with them. imagine what it's like for all of these kids who are doing it on their own, who are braving this all on their own. so this has become a really huge issue all around here and the mother. amanda, raul, thank you for being here. appreciate it. the soccer goalie is still

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coming up on "read between the lines" why folks who say that the hobby lobby decision was limited in space. and it must just be burning soccer haters that you're still buzzing about the u.s. men's soccer team. some members of the team returned to los angeles early this morning after flying all night from brazil. before getting on that plane last night, team captain clint dempsey and goalie tim howard got a call from the president. >> tim, i think, you know -- i don't know how you're going to survive the mobs when you come back home, man. you're going to have to shave your beard so they don't know who you are. >> howard got a phone call from

the real secretary of defense chuck hagel after someone named howard the national secretary of defense. in meanwhile, the things that howard could save continues to trend. justin writes "tim howard saved the u.s. labor market." yes, he did. now to japan where there is at best crying video ever. the man was struggling to explain his extravagant use of public funds when he broke into what could only be described as an uncontrollable ugly cry. [ crying ] [ speaking in foreign language ]

[ crying ] >> i want to cry, too. the politician is accused of using public funds on 195 trips in a year, including more than 100 visits to a hot springs resort. 100 visits. perhaps displaying a few receipts would have been better. last week, happy fourth of july is trending on twitter. what am i saying? nothing says fourth of july like a former crack smoking canadian mayor. so in honor of independence day, enjoy this video. he exercises his freedom of speech to toronto mayor ford. >> you are a corrupt mayor. answer the people's questions. you're a liar. >> why is everybody yelling? >> ford is fresh off of rehab. people wonder if that guy is

single. sorry, ladies. the shirtless jogger is in a relationship. and now this news. if it's the fourth of july, it's that time for nathan's famous hot dog eating contest. here's a look at the competitive eating contest. nineteen years ago, we thought, "wow, how is there no way to tell the good from the bad?" so we gave people the power of the review. and now angie's list is revolutionizing local service again. you can easily buy and schedule services from top-rated providers. conveniently stay up to date on progress. and effortlessly turn your photos into finished projects

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♪he cadillac summerodern world. collection is here. ♪ during the cadillac summer's best event, lease this all new 2014 cts for around $459 a month or purchase with 0% apr and make this the summer of style. wall street couldn't be happier this fourth of july weekend. all of the major indexes are up after a monthly jobs report that beat expectations with the dow rising above 17,000 for the first time ever.

288,000 jobs created. a jobless rate down to .02 to 6.1 and positive revisions to the previous two months, all of which combined to create superlatives like this. five straight months of 200,000 or more jobs created for the first time in more than 14 years. so good news, right? well, yes and no. even as president obama pointed out in an interview on wednesday, people don't feel like happy days are here again. >> that underlying trend for middle class families, that they don't feel like no matter how hard they work they are able to get ahead in the same way that their parents were able to get ahead, that's something that we continue to tackle and drives a lot of my agenda now.

>> i definitely need a puwritero explain to me why everybody's perception on the economy, this feeling that people have that things are still bad. >> well, joy, we're getting significant job production, about 1.4 million jobs this year. as you point out, the best performance in 14 years. however, wages are back down. the median wage is back down to the level of 1998. it's been stuck there for all of the last 16 years. the average income of about 90% of americans is down about $5,000 a year. it was 35,000. it's now down to $30,000. people are feeling very squeezed as a result of that. these are inflation-adjusted numbers. the results in the economy are very uneven. for example, lots of new jobs in professional services and retail

trade and manufacturing, especially durable manufacturing, which is very important. not, however, in areas, say, like construction. we still have a black unemployment rate that is twice that of whites. >> and to that point, let's look at long-term unemployment. that's looked at as kind of hidden unemployment number. you can look at the real number but the person who has been unemployed for a long time, it's called the u-6 and shows that in april 2010 it peaked at 17.2%. it's now down to 12.1%. that's the total number of unemployed people and the total part-time unemployed workforce all together. is that number, that dimunition.

>> we have an increase in the number of people who are forced to work part time because they can't get full-time work which buts the lie to the claim that people don't want to work, they want to collect unemployment checks, which is absolute nonsense. we need to have a lot more job creation. at the rate we're going, it's going to be 2020 back to where we should really be. that's because the republicans refuse to invest in the future of america. they absolutely will not discuss spending more money and raising taxes so we can do things like repair our roads, which makes the economy more efficient and would improve profits for business, fixing water mains, bridges, dams, they just will not do it and it's a big factor holding back our economy and keeping people out of work, especially in construction, or working part time. >> you made a really good point. it's such a good point for those not going after the white collar jobs or college education but

that could be working. i want to talk about something else that congress is not doing. that's tending to those who still remain unemployed, despite their best effort to look for a job over long term. they talk about the prospects for passing extended unemployment insurance, something that has been lagging and lagging in congress. they write this. the plight of the unemployed doesn't get better as their peers find work. what they mean is this chart, if we can put it up, the long-term unemployed, the total was 5 million. it's now down to 3 million. you see that chart, it's going down. as that number of long-term unemployed goes down, is there less incentive for congress to do what they need to do, which is to extend unemployment benefits? >> well, if you assume that that group of people have political power, there's less incentive.

but the real issue is what we think about our fellow americans. in the last 80 years, we have not before this seen such long-term unemployment and such a callous attitude on the part of members of congress who have been unwilling to extend benefits when there are not jobs to be had. if we had jobs and people weren't working, that would be another thing. all you have to do is look at the number of people who have been out of work for more than 27 weeks. i'm glad that number is shrinking. i'd like to see it disappear so everybody who wants jobs has them. in the meantime, we should not be leaving people in a position where the only benefit they have is food stamps and, of course, many people want to eliminate food stamps because they think they encourage a lack of work by the poor. >> you have incredible persistent poverty in some of the reddest states, the people in the south where they are also resisted to those same kind of

benefits and are encouraging politicians to keep resisting spending even if it would help them. where does that disconnect come from? >> there's all sorts of areas where a fixed ideology that has no support in the empirical data gets into people's heads and that's what becomes important and there's also an element of racism in here. when young people don't have jobs, the data shows that if they don't early on get good jobs, that effect tends to last a lifetime. we have a large number of people over 50 who have not been hired back anywhere near where they were. they may have the good-paying jobs and if they get back to the labor force, they are going to make significantly less money because we are not investing in the future of america. we are disinvesting in it at the assistance of the house republicans and some of the senate republicans. >> yeah. so message to congress, particularly congressional republicans, these good numbers could be better if you would

just do your job. david k. johnson, thank you, sir. now for breaking news on the georgia dad accused of leaving his 22-month-old son in the car to die. a detective on the case is now on the stand. he just said the dad, justin ross harris, was found to have been sending nude photos while the toddler was inside the car. the detective also says two life insurance policies totalling over $50,000 was taken out on the child. harris wanted a, quote, marriage-free life. harris' attorney says that has nothing to do with what happened. we'll be right back. no problem. you want to save money on rv insurance? no problem. you want to save money on motorcycle insurance? no problem. you want to find a place to park all these things? fuggedaboud it.

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the 2014 essence festival kicks off today, marking the 20th annual party with a purpose. it proves to be better than ever, now ranking as the largest

live event in the country. some of the biggest names in music will draw 500,000 revelers to new orleans pumping money into the economy. brins will be there and i'll be there as part of the growing hope initiative. but the key to the festival's success is thousands attend the empowerment seminars. ed lewis, co-founder of "essence" magazine created this to further his goal for tools for advancement to black women so they, too, can achieve their dreams. edward lewis is joining me live. he'll share his story of founding the iconic music

festival. you have a fascinating background. you were born in the south bronx. you graduated high school with a full scholarship. you wound up at the university of new mexico. and then you founded "essence." what prompted you, mr. lewis, to found a women's magazine? >> in 1968, i had the wonderful opportunity to be invited to a meeting in 1968 in terms of helping young blacks get in the business. and at that meeting, 25 showed up at the meeting and the idea of getting into business, a suggestion was made that maybe there must be a need for magazine for negro women. at that meeting, my former partner raised his hand and said i have an idea for negro women and a gentleman said, there's ed lewis over there. he knows something about money.

four young blacks came together with the desire to do something that was meaningful and to help celebrate the importance of black women. >> and how was this idea received? you have -- there are a number of iconic magazines. how was your magazine, essence, first perceived when it came on to the scene? >> it was great excitement and certainly in terms of celebrating black women all over the court, there was a wonderful recognition about that. and black women did support us. it was new. it was for them. it was a magazine they can call their own and that's the road we started out on. >> there's a great quote from you where you say we had this desire to bring something into the world that black women could feel good about to, give hope to, provide jobs, hope for black women, to begin to see themselves in the pages of a magazine that they could call their own. do you feel that that necessity

is still there in terms of black women needing the kind of voice that "essence" provides? >> joy, whenever i travel around the country and i meet black women and i ask them, is there still a need for a magazine for black women, they say, how could you even ask that? yes, there is definitely a need for black women because they realize every month they are going to see themselves consistently in a magazine that is going to address their needs, desires, and wants. and so that's why if we do our job in terms of editorially, addressing the need of black women, they will be supportive of the magazine. >> let's talk about "essence" magazine. it's 20 years going. we're talking about 80 performing artists, 120 speakers of 540,000 attendees are expected. $231 million for the local economy. how important is essence

festival with your original goal of empowering women? >> we started in 1985 with the idea of having a festival at the superdome. i think it will grow in terms of what it has done now. it's truly one of the truly crowned jewels at "essence" and its impact, in terms of what it means, in terms of how black women have demonstrated their importance, their power, their economic well-being and to have everyone come and have a really shared coming together and to enjoy themselves and to know that "essence" is doing something that is truly meaningful, brings a quiet joy to my heart, to know that i made a decision back in 1995 to have a festival here in new orleans. >> reverend al sharpton will be there, alicia key, iyanla van

zandt and of course the headliner prince who is back after headlining in 2004. who are you looking forward to seeing or perform at the essence festival? >> that's very easy. everyone. >> that's diplomatic. and talk not just about the fun stuff but the panels. that's one of the most central aspects of these festivals, which are completely free for everyone to attend. >> indeed. the concept, party with a purpose, people get food throughout the day and that's why the panel discussions will include extraordinary speakers, like t.d. jakes, they provide thought-provoking suggestions on how we can continue to do better within our community to make sure that it gross and to be a part of our society. >> all right. ed lewis, co-founder of "essence" magazine, thank you

for being here and see you in new orleans. >> all right. thank you. msnbc is growing hope at the essence festival tomorrow through sunday. if you're in the new orleans area, come down to the convention center to meet yours truly and see melissa harris perry and tamron hall. you can share your hopes for change in our communities. we'll be right back. ♪ you've reached the age where you've learned a thing or two. this is the age of knowing what you're made of. so why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask your doctor if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain... it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. side effects include headache, flushing, upset stomach, and abnormal vision. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for an erection lasting more than four hours. stop taking viagra and call your doctor right away if you experience a sudden decrease

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over this past week, i had various male legal experts on the right and left explain to me that women and liberals are simply overreacting to the supreme court's hobby lobby's decision. besides, women can just get contraceptives from the government for free, which is particularly ironic, when conservatives who oppose those getting from the government for

free make that argument as well. the potential to actually harm women is diminimous. the company still provides different forms of contraception. that doesn't ring true for those impacted on reproductive issues. women. >> just because it was only restricted to women's health access does not mean that it doesn't create a devastating access that says that women's health care should be treated differently. >> the biggest irony is if this case has passed and you see other companies doing similar things, it will most likely increase the abortion rate. >> withholding birth control should not be accepted. >> wrote on the day of the decision, yes, corporations win big today and women lose huge again. as the court extends the

personal extension of the freedom restoration act, it does so with the promise, pinky swear, that it will not cause disastrous outcomes based on similarly strongly held religious convictions. meanwhile, patrick caldwell at "mother jones," not just the specific times that hobby lobby was opposed to. in other words, all 20 forms of birth control covered under the i affordable care act can be excluded from the companies if the owner claims a religious

objection. that sound you hear is ruth bader ginsburg. after the first big supreme court decision after roe v. wade, the decision upholding mi missouri's strict law, women came out in droves. some analysts think that could happen again in november and even more so in 2016. especially since while abortion remains controversial, even among women, birth control is not. meaning the conservatives on the supreme court may have held their corporate and religious allies win a battle against the sexual revolution but may have hurt them. that wraps it up for "the reid report." i'll see you back here on monday at 2:00 p.m. eastern. join us online at msnbc.com.

"the cycle" is up next. what have you got going on? >> we've got a big show today. the latest on hurricane arthur barrelling up the coast. what that is going to mean for the holiday weekend. we have jared bernstein on to duke it out. we are spinning on that facebook post that everyone has been talking about. do we have any privacy anymore? we're going to talk about what that means legally. we're going to talk about hot dogs. we have this great book "man bites dogs." hot dogs and facebook. >> go on. >> i'll be ranting about the culture in silicon valley. >> you said hot dogs and my mind went completely crazy. "the cycle" comes up next. off the beaten path: he said

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breaking news tops "the cycle" today.

an intensifying arthur is going to make the mark for the first hurricane season. it's expected to strengthen to a category 2 hurricane with landfall tonight. our very own reporters are bracing for impact. >> if you look out, you've got the white caps and then everything is dark. we're going to be hammered with plenty of rain, strong wind, and enhanced surf and massive waves. >> we're worried about highway flooding on highway 12. it's the only way in, the only way out. >> it is what it is and we have to make sure that the family is safe. >> this is what the surf looks like. you can see that the winds are kicking up. >> thousands of vacationers are getting out. hatteras island is under a mandatory evacuation.

hurricane warnings are stretching up and down the coast. julie martin is joining us. julie? >> right now arthur is still a category 1 hurricane winds at 90 miles per hour and we are expecting the storm to strengthen within the next several hours. it's on the move east-northeast at 13 miles per hour. here's a look at the winds. wilmington getting winds up into the 20s. charleston sustained at 30 miles per hour and at sea we have some of the buoys clocking at 50 miles per hour. the crunch time is really going to be tonight into early tomorrow morning on the fourth of july. by this evening, being looking at possibly a category 2 storm. so winds up over 96 miles per hour as it approaches the outer bank