good monday morning, everybody. right now on "first look," a tragic new development overnight. a is second victim from the seattle area high school. the condition of the new york doctor being treated for ebola has entered a serious phase as the debate over quarantines heats up. and the tragic death of al fielder. and touching tribute at the world series. a fiery hot lava flow threatening homes in hawaii. thank you for joining us. >> new overnight, we learned one of the students seriously injured last week during a shooting although a high school has died. gina suffered a head wound

during the attack. she died last night. three were hospitalized, two in critical condition. and the victim has been identified as zoe. they have not released a motive as to why jaylen fryberg opened fire. jafb moore has the latest. >> reporter: it was a day of prayer for the victims of this last week's school shooting. >> this is going to take time to process. for some it's going to take longer than others. >> it's confusing. a lot of questions aren't answered. >> reporter: police know what happened, but the motivation remains unclear. a fight and a breakup, possible crews. he was popular, a homecoming prince just a week before the deadly rampage. without warning, gun shots echoed through the cafeteria, students were sent running for

their lives. >> he had a look on his face like he was realizing what he did. had a change of heart. if he wanted to, he could have gone on. >> reporter: it all ended when teacher megan silverberger tried to intervene. >> she didn't feel like a hero, just protecting kids. >> classes are canceled this week as the community search es for answers and ways to heal. the nation's latest ebola victim is being treated at a new york city hospital. dr. craig spencer is in a serious but stable condition. the white house is concerned about quarantine issues in new york and new jersey. one who recent had contact with ebola patients in west africa. her attorney says her rights are being violated. her preliminary test was

negative. and doctor spencer is being treated at bellevue hospital. jay, good morning, what's the potential impact of the quarantine orders? >> reporter: wide-ranging for international aid workers. you talk about dr. craig spencer who was a part that have. his medical team is optimistic about the treatment. while those concerns, not only the questions here, but in other states continue. specialist at bellevue hospital say the first patient, dr. craig spencer, has shown improvement since receiving plasma center nancy writebol who contracted the virus in liberia and now virus free, wrote, to be able to share is a blessing. his fiance who hasn't shown symptoms has been sent home. a police officer is outside their harlem apartment where

she's under a mandatory quarantine. and nancy -- the first health care worker who's return from west africa to a mandatory quarantine. something she said is inhumane because she's not sick. she tested negative for ebola, still new jersey's governor defends the decision to keep her quarantined. >> the people of new jersey are my first and foremost responsibility. to protect their health. >> reporter: a mandatory quarantine is also now in place in new york and illinois. >> this is going to be probably the safest protocol in the country. >> reporter: as concerning questions about how to contain the deadly virus seem to be growing. now, betty, travelers won't be isolated. in florida they will be required to be tested twice a day when they return from west africa.

i'm jay gray. >> thank you. and now evidence to explain the motive behind the deadly terror attack in ottawa, canada. the shooter recorded video just before the shooting. it indicates this he was driven by ideological and political e motives. police are not -- standing guard at the war memorial. police say although the background investigation for a passport investigation raised questions, he was not on a watch list. people in hawaii could soon be forced to flee in the face of a vicious oozing lava flow. check this out. right now it is creeping toward a community of 4,000. swallowing everything in its path. its width, larger than a football field. imagine that. not only is it 2,000 degrees

fahrenheit, spits up dangerous gases and particles, and authorities are telling people to get ready to evacuate. it's from a volcano that started erupting in june. and st. louis cardinals outfielder oscar tavares died in a car crash. he was behind the wheel of his camaro before losing control and going off the road. his girlfriend was also killed in the accident. mlb commissioner bud selig said with heavy hearts we play in the memory of these two young people. he made his major league debut this year and was considered a top prospect. he was just 22 years old. and in san francisco, another tribute before the game. honoring late comedian and actor robin williams, an avid fan.

playing some of his most memorable moments on the board. then his three children came out to the mound to throw the ceremonial first pitch to honor their dad. and to make the catch, tony, an emmy award winning entertainer and his close friend, billy cryst crystal. and finished strong. pitcher obama garter with another big showing, throwing a four-hitter to beat the royals 5-0. it's the first series shut youth since 2003. they are now one victory shy from the third title in five years. all right. sunday night football on nbc. the saints dominate the packers. drew brees completing 27 of 32 passes for 311 yard and 3 tds to end the packers four-game winning streak. saints win 44-23. it's a big day for big ben

in pittsburgh. ben roethlisberger threw for 522 yards. he's now the first player in nfl history to throw for at least 500 yards in multiple games. and he made steelers franchise history with the first quarterback with 6 touchdown passes and 40 completions. they won over the colts. eagles and cardinals, a long shot down field to john brown for a 75-yard touchdown pass. that seals the cardinals win 24-20. and the early morning game in london came down to the wire, twice. missing the field goal as the clock expires. but called for a delay of game and get to redo the kick. with a 48-yard field goal, the lions top the falcons 22-21. just ahead, the midterm elections are just over a week away. what are the biggest nail

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well, good monday morning to you. weather update. hope you had a wonderful weekend. the weather cooperated in most cases. the big storm in the pacific northwest. almost 100,000 people without power. but that's improved dramatically. we saw 80s and 90s in the southern half of the country. it was like a summer weekend for many people. the only exception in the northwest and the northeast. wasn't the warmest either, but not bad. throughout today, some cooler air is trying to arrive. we get typical showers and thunderstorms out there. not a lot of bad weather today. much of your business travel and regular travel to work or to school today will be just fine. we have showers up in wisconsin, the milwaukee area to green bay. almost over already. almost done. the forecast for today, 70 and sunny in d.c. philly, new york, no problems. the southeast, near record

highs. dallas, 85. a quiet week. halloween, not a lot of problems. but much cooler great lakes and ohio valley. >> a little scary there. frightening with the cold weather. >> it could show in new england in the mountains come saturday. >> say it isn't so. that's going to mess up all kinds of costumes. we are one week and one day away from the midterm elections. steve kornacki looks at the tossup states and says why they are key. this is the most suspenseful election i can remember. which party is going to control the senate? we may not know on election night, the day after, or a few weeks later, may not know until early next year. show you how that could work. on the big board in yellow. these are the ten battle ground states. the ten states where there is

suspense about who's going to win the senate. let's take a different view of this. want to show you what election night might look like. it's election night, returns coming in. make assumptions. take some of these states. clearly one candidate is ahead of the other. it could change between now and the election. but for right now for our purposes, for instance, a state like arkansas, tom cotton, republican challenger, seems well-positioned against the democratic incumbent. red. new hampshire, the democratic incumbe incumbent, seems better positioned. and kay hagan in north carolina. move to the democratic side. mitch mcconnell in kentucky. about four points ahead of allison grimes in the polls. tighter now. iowa, jonierness, the republican, has a slight lead. move that temporarily. and the same thing for colorado. going to move that over temporarily to the republican side because udall trails by a

few points. see where this leaves us. the republicans at 49. two away. need 51 to get the majority. but think of election night and thousand these things are going to be coming in. louisiana, it's a jungle primary state. if no one gets 50%, a runoff. nobody thinks that mary landrieu or the challengers will break 50%. likely a december run off. kansas, pat roberts, republican being challenged by an independent win. he has election night, and early january to say which party he's with. we will not know potentially until early next year which party he will caucus with and control that seat. alaska comes in late, obviously, because of the time zone. but also because it takes a long time to count the vote. in 2008 it took two weeks to get a final result in alaska. could be sitting on alaska for a

while. and georgia, because of a court ruling in georgia, they would normally hold their runoff in december, but because of a court ruling it won't be this year. it will be january 6th, 2015. next year. that's around the same time the senate is convening. there's a libertarian voting 4 or 5%, the major party candidates at 48. there is a real chance that the suspense could last into the wee hours on election night or into the weeks or even months ahead. talk about a close election. >> all right. we'll be watching for that. new buzz that former florida governor jeb bush might be considering a run for the white house in 2016. will there be a ford dynasty in toronto? scrambled application is next.

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make money doing what i love. we created legalzoom to help people start their business and launch their dreams. go to legalzoom.com today and make your business dream a reality. at legalzoom.com we put the law on your side. well, the countdown is on. eight days now until the memories. so let's get you caught up with scrambled politics. do republicans have the edge? right now, maybe. a new nbc news/wall street journal poll shows a four point edge. but if the gop wins control of congress, then what? political reports house majority leader kevin mccarthy told a group of voters, if we don't show we can govern, there won't be a republican president in 2016. it's looking more and more like one of the candidates could be jeb bush.

he's an immediate member of the historic family. and there are indications he could run. kentucky senator mitch mcconnell is loaning his campaign $1.8 million. this after a democrat campaign group reinvested in his opponent. grimes picked up key endorsem t endorsements, but one, the courier journal originally pressed her on whether or not she voted for president obama. who will replace toronto mayor rob ford? probably not his brother doug. people will vote today, an early voter said we don't care what their policies are. but make sure we get rid of the fords. pennsylvania governor tom corbett is getting spooky with his new campaign ad. >> you think this is scary? have you seen tom wolf's plan for raising the state income

tax? >> tom wolf, his higher taxes are so frightening it scares people who scare people for a living. and ukraine could become more pro-western thanks to yesterday's voting. one person who wasn't allowed to vote, darth vader. he was victor, and a candidate for the internet party. didn't know much about the internet party until now. but they did not let him cast a ballot, because like the real vader he refused to take off the helmet. that's your morning dish. and gong, thanks for being with us. >> great to be here. talk about jeb bush. more talk of him running, what's the momentum? >> his family is behind him. >> that could be a lot of momentum. >> two former presidents, his family pushing for him to try to jump into this race. they don't see other candidates they want to jump behind. but whether or not he has the voters behind him, have to see.

once he's introduced to the voters, but right now the polling numbers are not in his favor. even in florida, hillary clinton bests him by a significant percentage. once he's getting out there. we'll see. >> which is interesting. if he does run and he does well, could we see a bush/clinton showdown. >> i don't think we thought we would see them again. >> yeah. >> hillary is a clear front run we are and be bush looks like he has the executive experience to run. he will have trouble in the nomination process. he has a couple of policies that they are not jumping for, the support for the common core and raising taxes to cut the deficit. that's not something that his party wants to hear. >> or his father. >> right? >> no new taxes. on tuesday midterms will be here. seems like we have been talking

about them all year along. and now i understand the rnc chairman said this tuesday when we go to vote, when the voters place their ballot, it's going to be a referendum against president obama's policies. is that true? do voters really see it that way? >> i think if one side was saying, they might not see it. but president obama himself is saying his policies are on the ballot. and stick up for voters who got him elected twice. but it's less who's policies are on the ballot, but does washington work? washington doing things? do they bet on the republicans? we have to see and find out. >> are you seeing momentum behind the midterms? word on the street, are people excited and trying a make a change? >> people are disengaged. and that's hard for politicians trying to appeal to, you know, voters who are just saying i'm done, over it. >> i'm sick of politics. >> this is so dysfunctional,

gridlock. doesn't get people excited. >> hopefully things change by tuesday. that's how you make a difference. appreciate you coming in today. and just ahead, success at the box office. and jim cary on snl. need i say more? are constantly monitored for threats. outside and in. that's why hp reports and helps neutralize more intrusions than anyone... in the world. if hp security solutions can help keep the world's largest organizations safe, they can keep yours safe, too. make it matter. from fashion retailers to healthcare providers, jewelers to sporting good stores, we provide financing solutions for all sorts of businesses. banking. loyalty. analytics. synchrony financial. engage with us.

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. at the box office this weekend, the horror flick ouija took first place, grossing $20 million, john wick, second place, $14 million. foo fury was third. and this is one the best stories

i have heard in a while. she was stopped at a party when a tipsy man his '80s congratulated her on her nobel prize. mistaking 26-year-old caly for malala. she recently won the nobel peace prize. after the man left, she said that is the best thing that happened all day. >> someone called her a 17-year-old. >> and a nobel prize winner. not bad. harry potter fans, get ready for a new story starring doloros um bridge. . be released october 31st online. and snl, a family reunion, and look who stopped by. >> you never looked better. >> oh, boy, we're proud of you, jim. you're having a blast with all of them hollywood movies. >> i guess. but, you know, it's not all fun. sometimes you work with some

real jerks. and if there's a sequel, you're kind of stuck with them. >> i'm betty, and this is "first look" on msnbc. way too early with thomas roberts starts right now. we saw, we have to find the right balance between addressing the limit fears that people have and encouraging and incentivizing these heros. health workers are going into the hot zone, they are heros. they are american heros and we have to incentivize that and find ways to do that while ensuring that the american people feel safe. >> the quarantine debate. should health care workers be quarantined even if they show no symptoms of ebola. why two governors and their policies are under scrutiny this morning. peer pressure, everybody but mom is reportedly on board. does that mean that jeb bush is gearing up for a presidential

run. why 41 and 43 want jeb to be 45. plus a major error in game five of the world series. the national anthem botched once again. this time it gets stained. this is "way too early." ♪ who's broad stripes and bright stars ♪ hey, everybody. almost sounds like an alarm clock. i'm thomas roberts. it's monday, welcome to "way too early," the show that never messes up the words much. jen said ever. i say much. see how we get through the a block. and this morning, the heated debate over the mandatory ebola quarantines and the shift overnight. andrew cuomo said that health care workers returning who do not show symptoms of ebola will be allowed to stay home. a spokesman