trends, then i would say 53. that said if the democrats held the senate -- >> 53 is a big night. >> it is a big night, because i don't think there is an in between. democrats either hold or there is a national trend. >> so let me warn you ari melber has serious diva attitudes. you're going into his show. he's going to freak out. if it's way too early. it's "morning joe." now stick around for ari. thanks to the morning joe team there. the object reason i am freaking out is it is election today. happy election day from new york. this is "the daily rundown." as we speak, polls are open across much of the country bringing the end to the most expensive midterm in american history. at stake control of congress and

three dozen governors' offices around the country. that means all eyes are on the u.s. senate. republicans need to net six seats. red states are already in the bag, that means republicans need to flip just three more states out of at least ten currently up for grabs. last night candidates on both sides made their final pitches. >> with your help and god's will, we're not going to give harry reid one more vote in the senate from the state of georgia. >> we're here to fight for the middle class, make sure it has an opportunity to get a great education for its children. >> don't sit on the sidelines on this. the president himself said this is a referendum on his policies, his programs, his legacy. my answer to that is no, not on my watch. >> we can choose the iowa way and get on that path and send a new senator to washington, d.c. >> whether it's south georgia or

north georgia, across race and geography, we know people want a clab ra tiff spirit in washington. >> i'm not going there to represent the democrat party or the republican party. i'm going to represent kansans. >> we're going to bring this race across the finish line successfully. >> this is a chance to save this country. i'm counting on you. let's go out there and sock it to them. thank you very much. >> president obama was not on the campaign trail. he wrapped up things over the weekend. throughout this midterm campaign, we know he's been invoked by republicans, hoping to sweep his party out of the majority. meanwhile, fellow democrats have been calling on other big names to help them out. on monday former president clinton was onle trail again, this time with charlie crist. and it's not just the senate at stake. of course, all 435 seats in the house up for grabs.

36 states picking a governor. these are the ten most competitive right now. i'm joined by moderator of "meet the press" chuck todd, founding host of "the daily rundown." . you said the idea of a wave may actually not be cresting. that's the question, we know it's a pessimistic mood, the question is, are you going to take it all out on the president's party? that's what history tells us. that's what the republicans are banking in on that. or do we see an odd mix of incumbents go down, where you have incumbent republican governors look and incumbent democratic senators lose, really a revenge on both parties. that's the only thing that holds back the republican reins. i thought friday you felt as if this thing was moving the republican brand is not great, but these are states that are in

republican territories. so, you know, they should win the senate tonight. it's in their hands. if they don't, it will be because of their own brand. if they do, it will be because of president obama. >> and it is their home field advantage, even though they will tell you it means more. you're going to stay with us. we're going to come back to you. out on the campaign trail, we have things looking good for republicans, as chuck was saying, but a sign of how toxic the d.c. brand has become, we're seeing that not everyone is adamant they even want the same party leaders back in charge. >> do you support mcconnell? >> i'm not there yet. i have to win an election. >> that was luke russert talking to joni ernst. 6. >> luke, what's the latest? >> reporter: here in iowa, it is a very competitive race and it's one, ari, thats absolutely have

to have. it's something that harry reid there. you saw joni ernst, she had a seven-point lead in the last "des moines register kgs policy, considered the gold standard. they're not the levels they usually are for democrats to win. that being said, democrats in the braley campaign believe they have a superior ground operation, and perhaps they can sneak out a victory. i would say from talking to people on both sides, it seems to be a tip of the scale to ernst if she were not to pull it off tonight, it would be quite surprising considering how much momentum and enthusiasm she has on the ground and how much nor iowans relate to her. >> she seems to have a lot of folks going on offense. we will find out tonight. >> i want to go to kristin where we have michelle nunn in it is

lead for most of this race. where do things stand? >> reporter: well, heading into today, david perdue, the republican seemed to have the momentum. early voting returns show that african-american voting is up as compared to the 2010 mid terms. that could bode well for michelle nunn. this has been a hard fought battle between two first-time candidates nunn has tried to paint perdue as an out-of-touch businessman. she's accused him of outsourcing jobs. as of last night he dodged my repeated questions trying to get him to clarify. meantime perdue has tried to paint nunn as someone who would just rubber-stamp president obama agenda. she dodged my question about obama health care law, but she did say there would be changes she would like to bring, but the big question, will ari, will

either candidates get enough votes to avoid a runoff. if they can't, this race won't be decided until january. it is an uphill battle for michelle nunn. president obama lost this state by eight points back in 2012. ari? >> you talk about obamaware, aliia, you have charlie crist one of the candidates trying to run with the president there, showing how democratic he has become. what is the latest on the ground? >> reporter: this race is bound to become one of the closest and most expensive races in the country. a quinnipiac poll shows crist and scott are neck and neck. what it may come down to is which candidate is disliked the least. both have suffered from high disapproval ratings this election cycle, so the republicans and escort are trying to paint crist as the ultimate flip-flopper.

and then crist is pointing to scott's baggage as well. he was hit with medicare fraud charges when he was head of a hospital chain, and he's also pointing to the fact that he's not supporting a raise in the minimum wage, in addition to restrictions on reproductive rights. anything could happen here in florida. >> another race where we're hearing about bread and butter and domestic issues there. thank you for your reporting. now we go right back to the boards with chuck todd with more on what we should be on the lookout for. tell us, chuck, you're the expert. how do we watch these races come in tonight. >> here's of course the yellow states. the ten states we feel like are still up for grabs.

we've already accounted for the once they feel like they have in the back. 4. the two independents caucus with the democrats, so how do we follow the night? if new hampshire and scott brown and thom tillis put the upsets, both of them feel like they have a national wave, if that's what's happening, it is a national wave, then it probably means most close races go republican. you'll see it's not a question of if the republicans gets the majority, then it's how big will it be. by the way, new mexico probably the most important bellwether in this country this surgery. every single election cycle, one of the most competitive races have gone with the national win. however, if new hampshire and north carolina basically have democrats hold serve, this is where it starts to get interesting. then republicans have to find

six here from the remain eight. already? throw in kentucky, throw in arkansas, you can even in and out give them colorado, and give them iowa. you see they're at 49. suddenly they need two of these remaining four. alaska will take a lot to count. kansas is not looking so hot. i and then of course the two runoff states, so you see how, without one of the two east coast states, ari, then suddenly yes, reps probably have a good shot at winning the majority, but it becomes a more narrow past, and maybe an election season that doesn't get decided until perhaps by january. >> you have your finger will illustrate rally on kansas is there. look. he's -- do you really have a

victory to pinchal that would leave it open, that he might go to the republicans and caucus? >> first of all, i do -- at this point in time i wouldn't want to be an incumbent. there's a special political climate out there that's different. it does feel like you wouldn't want to be where roberts is. orman is where the message is where the country wants to be. he as said he will not caucus with the democrats if harry reid is in charge. his bargaining power, obviously is stronger if it actually is for the majority. if it's not, does he sit in the middle? that happened by the way in 1958, wayne morris did that, literally put his chair in the middle. i assume he caucuses if one party has the majority without him, the way he's hinted is he'll go with that party at least for the short term. perhaps he and angus king do this together. i think kansas is the most

interesting state this midterm cycle. if orman wins, i think you will see political entrepreneurs think about running independent. >> and republicans have to be wary even in a year that's going their way. thank you, chuck todd. we'll see you all day and all night. congresswoman debbie wasserman schultz here on election day. but first a look at today's planner. a full day of meetings at the white house. 1:00 a.m. is when the last polls close in alaska. we will be here the whole time. stick with us. continuing coverage continues on msnbc. you owned your car for four years. you named it brad. you loved brad. and then you totaled him. you two had been through everything together.

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they have successfully made this campaign a referendum on president obama, which i do not believe would be all that important if we as democrats had done a better job of messaging exactly what the president has done. >> i think what we need to do, as we head into the next cycle is to be crystal clear about our economic agenda, our middle class agenda. that has drowned out. >> congressman james clyburn and there the top democrat on the budget commit aye, saying the democrats have been beaten on message, failed to sell the president's success. joining me now chair of the dnc

debbie wasserman schultz. good election day morning to you. >> thank you. happy election day to you. >> let me put you a few numbers that are goods in/bad news. good news, unemployment down from 9.5% down here in 2014 to 5.9%. you ask people are they satisfied with the economy? october 2010, the last mid terms, 20% they've been up a bid to 37%, to that is still tough feeling up there. as you look at this, as you know, the president's handling of the economy. october 2010, 43%. today october 2014, 43% does that hurt you out there today? >> i think people recognize that we have been brought out of the worst economic crisis, thanks to barack obama and democrats' policies. 5 a straight months of job growth. the unemployment rate has

dropped precipitously. we quit the deficit by two thirds, we have significant growth two quarters in a row in the gdp. we have made progress, but people want to feel like the they're standing on is a little more firm. the reason they don't is because of republican obstructionism. that's the contrast, the choice today that people are making, between democratic candidates who voters know have had their back, have brought us through this tough crisis, and who are fighting to help them join the middle class. who investigated benghazi 13 times, vote to do repeal the affordable care act. so that's the choice. that's why i think we'll hold the senate tonight. we'll have more democratic governors tomorrow morning than we do today. >> when you talk about the war on women, choice issues, have

you hit the right balance in the field, or in some cases have been defined too narrowly? that you're alls talking about top of the agenda things. women want to make sure their candidates fight for equal bay for equality work. equality pay for equal work. over the life -- our professional lives because of the lack of equal pay for equal work. >> or we shouldn't be having our bosses decide the kind of health care we can get. they have doubled down on the tea party extremist agenda. they embrace personhood, oppose equal pay for equal work.

when they they elect a democrat, they know they'll stand up for the things most important to them. >> what is one thing that would happen if the democrats hot on to the senate? what are you running on that would happen? you mentioned obstruction. >> well, that's the problem. if the question that republicans have to answer, win or lose, is are they ready to govern? there are plenty of republicans who have implied that impeachment would be on the table. so we have worked to do. the american people just just want us to work together. to vote for making sure we can move forward, not backward impltsds congresswoman wasserman schultz, thank you. >> thank you. live places in louisville and houston, two of the cities we are heading to live next, but

first today's trivia question -- how many times has the party controlling the white house actually gained seats in a midterm election? the first person to tweet the correction answer gets an on-air shoutout. the answer and much more here. we also have digital decision tonight. tweet your election questions, we'll answer those live. most coming up next.

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42 million in that big kentucky race where mitch mcconnell has been trying to pull away from alison grimes. we have them all covered. we're looking at the state voter i.d. issues among other turnout questions. >> reporter: ari, both candidates were chris coalsing the state yesterday, but only one is likely to be in a good mood and that's mitch mcconnell. he's looking at polls that make it seems like hi chance at majority leader is closer than ever and looking at polls that have opened a wide lead in his favor. the nbc news poll shows him with -- that gave -- the main

accomplishment that he's managed to achieve here is driving up alison lundergan grimes' any 'tis in a state that's already red and where president obama is already unpopular. >> in a state that -- give us the latest on the race with hagan and tillis. >> a whisker really suppress those two with senator hagan edging him out by a small margin. in particular, the upsurge of black voters. they have outperformed in early voting, but already today we're hearing about one polling place, a historically black college where they didn't have the right voter rolls. the thumb drives on some machines weren't delivered. some machines are reported they're not calibrated properly. and so in a race where every

single vote will likely count there's a cloud of what's going on with all this early information about what's going on. >> you look at those moral monday protests, one of the big political questions is whether that will drive turnout here. >> we've had questions around how we vote voter suppression. zach roth, tell me what's going on. this is the first time that very controversial texas voter i.d. law has enforced in a general election on election day. what can you tell us? >> ari, the early voting numbers from last week were quite strong compared to 2010 especially in the democratic heavy largest counties of texas. this voter i.d. law, i can tell you for a fact will disenfranchise voters. i met with a number of would-be voters yesterday who told me

what remarkable bureaucratic night mares they had gone through in making real efforts to get i.d. and being unable to do so. already we're seeing problems at the polls. at this site here for a good while, about 20 minutes, all of the machines were out. for most of the morning they've only had two works. i'm told the same is true for two other sites around the houston area. so the voter i.d. law and effect of these problems will put a damper on turnout. >> we'll have more throughout the day. i to go to bengie with a couple big races. >> reporter: there are two close raes, one is senator mark udall, and john hickenloopmikahickenlo. unlike most of the places in play it's a blue trending swing

state. if they can win a year here, it might signal they might be competitive in 2016 as well. the polls sit that cory gardner is a good contender. >> thank you very much. up next, what will change and what won't after tonight? we're going to look at that. starting at 10:00 we're hosting digital decision 2014, and you can be a part of the show. you can tweet election questions with the #msnbcvote. or tweet them directly to me. one more thing we want to see. send us a picture of your voting location or election day tradition. we'll feature some of those in the broadcast. if you're at a computer nbc, if you're at a tv, we'll have it

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voting has gone well. we're excited. we just want to make sure that everyone get out and votes. >> the weather is perfect. happy election day. thousands of lawyers meanwhile, from both parties and groups that support them are already on the ground and ready to challenge one of more than a dozen races that are potential very close tonight and the justice department has poll monitors in 18 states to look for discrimination. that's under federal law. joining me now, we have msnbc's beth fuey, and maria teresa comar, and steve schmitt coming in, and he's seated. there we go. that's how you know it's real. let's start with the latino vote. you look at a state like texas where democrats have said they would do better if only latinos

had voted is but -- the problem with texas is that texans are wait too nice. they will definitely fill out that voter registration form with no intention of ever coming to the polls. so we have to do a lot of voter registration, but more importantly the backup. >> we had the map where you look at that latino vote in battleground states. georgia 4%, probably not going to swing much, but in places like colorado now, 15%. >> look, this is an enormous issue for the republican party. when george w. bush was

reelected, le was reelected with 43% of the hispanic vote. becoming the third party in the state, following late 2016, early 2017 behind decline to state by number of registration because of the 94-187 campaign that was run out that will alienated a generation of latinos. the party can't compete nationally unless it can get about 40% of the latino vote. it's a number we used to get, a number we can get again, but 9 party has to make some fundamental changes with regard to its rhetoric and approach to the community. >> and you make that point. it goes to how we should watch the returns tonight. chuck todd gave us the briefing.

but if you really care, they survey reports that show where are latinos, white women and single women headed. >> and regrettably tonight is not one of the nights where hispanic vote will be the determining factor in a lot of the close races. colorado will be one of the deciding factors. cory gardner is running a tiny bit ahead. it will be interesting. if they can either get latino voters in colorado to support the republican or at least not vote against him, that's ways to make inroads. >> so let's see who in the last week has actually visited kole ko colorado. other theial candidates, so it

will be important, but let's look at the ballot down initiatives. personhood is on the state ballot. that will be something that not only will it motivate a lot of latinas, but also a lot of young women, and another -- they basically have to come to jesus with. >> literally, depending on how you look at it. i want to turn to what issue you think is deciding people's minds. we heard so much about the border cries and visiting the border. i'm not sure flynn is voting on it. to look into this, let's look at some new sound we have from kristin welker in a georgia interview where jobs has been an issue. let's take a listen. >> reporter: can i ask you about this issue of outsourcing? yesterday u78d you didn't outsore, today you seem to

suggest -- >> no, i never said that today. what this is is another distraction. to the people of georgia, away from the real critical issue, and that is the failed policies of this administration are not producing jobs here at home. that's why i got in this race. >> it used to be easy to run as a businessman in georgia. i would smith, steve, a lot of voters in that state do think jobs and the questions about how you your business are important, and not a distraction. >> let's step back for a second. one of the defining issues in our time is the total collapse of the total collapse of trust in merely every institution in the country. that includes not just the political parties, candidates, government officials, but includes a lot of the big community, the big bampgs, institutions that have failed the american people. there's a sense, i think, when you look at all of the polls out there, american people look at

leadership of major american corporations in the same way they do politicians, that there's a different set of rules for them, as opposed to me in my life and they're deeply skeptical about it. the reality is jobs leave american shores, because capital move to where it is welcome. >> does this hurt david perdue. >> we have an uncompetitive business climb. so republicans get saddled with these charges, and the first requirement of any successful republican politician is to be able to explain the virtues of free market american capitalism is good for 100% of the people 100% of the time. >> beth? >> i think that jobs and the economy is what will show up in all polls, and certainly in the nbc news polls we have seen the issue as being the most important. i go to what steve was saying about trust, leadership, things not being on the right track.

it's not the same as the jobs issue, but the sense that things just aren't jelling and working properly. i think wee sigh -- >> you see that in the wrong track numbers. >> you but the fact that you have republicans going and supporting the minimum wage such as in arkansas, you have three states right now actually saying minimum wage is important, cutting across political parties, actually telling people i care about jobs, i care about somebody that needs to be fixed today. yes, i care about the inauthenticity, but more importantly what's going to get me out is the fact that you're going to affect my tomorrow. one example is the minimum wage. >> that's a state reverenda that can also -- thank you, but your time is not up up. steve will be back tonight anchored by rachel maddow and chris matthews starting at 6:00 p.m. eastern, and both of you el know we'll sione line and late night as well. up next reince priebus is

here live, but first the white house soup of the day, they are serving up coke news red lentil. and chris hayes will answer your questions on the election. tweet him. you can't say we don't use the internet around here. more tdr, straight ahead. this is the first power plant in the country to combine solar and natural gas at the same location. during the day, we generate as much electricity as we can using solar. at night and when it's cloudy, we use more natural gas. this ensures we can produce clean electricity whenever our customers need it. ♪

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you could win in georgia, you could win in kansas. wince in louisiana. it wouldn't be unroerchl for folks to say you're supposed to win there. >> there's always room for people to write columns, make money and be the folks that are always the against-ers out there. the fact is we're winning in colorado. we're winning in iowa. i think we're going to win in north carolina, and possibly new hampshire. i do think that we have to win purple states. i would agree with you that in a good environment with a very unpopular president, we ought to win in top states but i think we are going to win. >> mr. chairman, does that mean if you come in at 50/51 with only those red states, you won't consider that a full victory

tonight? >> listen, anytime you gain a majority in a chamber like this, it's historic. but personally no, i wouldn't be happy -- we've got to win a purple state or two as well as taking the majority. we want to win tough states. obviously that's why we've put so much time and money in the ground game trying to be far better at digital and data operations across the country. for us it is about winning the majority, but also i think part in true, that we've got to test whether or not we're becoming a more competent national party. i think we are. >> when you look at the base voters, 57% said they would carry a protest sign. among republicans we asked what sign would they carry? -- impeach obama, stop abortion, and enforce immigration laws,

some of top. if you do win the senate, should you be worried about impeaching obama? or is that off the table in. >> i think it's a good democrat talking points, and actually some democrats are angry, too, but i think people believe this country is in the ditch. i think people see a washington that isn't working. some of what steve said i agree with, and i think ultimately the person at the head is the president. i think it is, and you have harry reid that's holding up over 260 bills in the senate. it spells a big problem for democrats. i don't think i'm saying anything earth chef shattering. >> final question, then, you are saying impeachment would be off the table? am i reading you right? and the -- >> i'm sorry, go ahead. >> and what is the one thing. you mentioned the bills. what's the one most important

thing will be done or past -- >> we will mass a budget in both chambers and pass the keystone pipeline, and i think the president will sign the bill on the keystone pipeline, because i think the pressure and he's going to be boxed in on that, and i think it's going to happen. >> some specifics and some promise, as i said. good luck on election day. >> thank you. we are going to go -- that's reince priebus. and now to trivia time. only twice since 1946 has the party controlling the white house gained house seats. both were recent. president clinton fought off impeachment. then in 2002, president bush rallied the nation after 9/11. we will be right back with northbound's tom brokaw and even

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we're down to about a half dozen races that remain too close to call and the control of the united states senate remains too close to call as well. >> traditionally in an off year election going back to roosevelt the party of the president on power will lose in average 27 house seats. here the president the democrats would pick up seats that would be in a substantial victory for them. >> tom brokhaw saying it best. democrats are expected to fall victim to that so-called six-year itch. the question whether or not they did limit the damage. joining me now tom brokhaw. the idea we might see obama pull a reagan who lost eight senate

seats. but not considered in history a political. >> you know very hard to know. we were talking about this. this reminds me the discussion of what happened right before the super bowl. everybody is an expert about what is going to happen and the opening play peyton manning get a snap and the game goes the entire direction. i think that all indications we see that the republicans will pick up substantial gains tonight. that is enough to have a majority. that's what they want. we have to remember a couple of things. a lot of voters are voting against rather than for something. and tomorrow morning the race for the white house begins. we're hearing ted cruz saying i'm going drive the senate to the right if i have to. rand paul is saying our brand sucks. we have to do something. it's hard to imagine to be sweeping changes if the republicans win or if the democrats win. because it's still going to be give and talk. ultimately the prize is the big house at 1600 pennsylvania

avenue. >> you mentioned how do you compare that when you coffered the clinton white house. he had 55% approval. politicians overdid it it became positive for him. here many people feel they have done done it. it's not positive for either party. >> these questions are really local elections. it does depend on the candidate and how appealing they are. and what the issues are along the way. i was watching some of the kentucky coverage the other day. it was about coal. that's the defense between that and a natural election. the idea that we spent $4 billion on this election. i find terribly obscene, honestly. politics will be driven by money. a famous california politician used to describe it as a mother's milk. we have let it go toxic at this point. it doesn't represent the interest of a lot of people. i think it drives them from the

process. well, what does it have to do with me if they're spending all the money on the ads they see to drive their interest? >> it's true. there are many ways to vote on that. oregon has a state referendum today looking at a nontwo party system where the top two candidates get a run off. those are so. few ways voters might get back in on the process. that's it for the edition of the daily rundown. thank you. it's a pleasure to be with you on election day. coming up next jose diaz-balart. 36 governor's races and jose will break down that. thank you for watching. ♪ many americans who have prescriptions fail to stay on them. that's why we created programs which encourage people to take their medications regularly. so join us as we raise a glass to everyone who remembered today. bottoms up, america.

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the polls are opening now in several western states. voting has been underway for hours up-and-down the east coast. the stakes? republicans need a net game gain of six seats to win. and the prevailing narrative it will be a good night for the gop it's far from a done deal. eight of the ten most competitive senate races are within four points and the state level, listen to this, half of the three dozens governor's races are just too close to call. a lot of action to get to this hour with complete analysis and reporting from key races across the country. and who better to kick off our coverage than meet the press moderator chuck todd. good morning! >> good morning, jose! >> what a pleasure to see you. i know, you're a big football fan. give us the keys to the game. what will you be watching for tonight? >> very early on i'm watching the early poll closings in three states here. north carolina, georgia, and new hampshire. north carolina