failed championship bids in 2008 and 2012 will about the third time be the charm? maybe for the pats but not for mitt. hi i'm ari mel bur. we'll get into the odds and deflate gate coming up. but first another big rivalry out of massachusetts. mitt romney all but officially pulling his name off the official 2016 roster. it is a while out and anything can happen but he said he has decided to give other people in the party an opportunity to be a nominee. perhaps jeb bush or chris christie or scott walker.

let's start with senior political reporter perry bacon where this will end with a brand new president. and perry, you've been reporting on this and you said this wasn't a decision that mitt romney made as one that was made for him. >> exactly, ari, the last three weeks, mitt romney reached out to people who helped his campaign last time and thus his supporters did the same thing. and i called the guy who ran his campaign in iowa and i called people in new hampshire and his donors and what i found and something other reporters found as well, there was a lot of mitt romney would be a great president, but -- and it became he ran twice and he lost. and i don't think people will get behind him any more. and if people are telling me and reporters they are communicating that to romney and his family and i know on the phone on wednesday he said one of romney's aides called him and

laid out the reasons why he should run and he was blunt and said this donor for romney in 2012 said i don't think mitt can win this time and so there was feedback from party the last three weeks. i know romney said today he thought he would win the nomination but the data on the table was that people for romney in '0 # and 2012 endorsing jeb bush and endorsing jeb bush and i would argue it will be hard for him to win the nomination and the party the last three weeks, the republican party had a chance to give him some feedback and their feedback was we want to try somebody else. >> perry bacon reporting from the white house, thank you as always. we'll take it to the table. we've steve corn aki here following the story and the whole gang. including our own abby huntsman. >> i want to start with you, abby on this. because you were on the trail in 2012 and you've been around the romneys and what do you make of

this. >> and people have been asking me for weeks, is he really doing it and i think it's easy for people in our business to jump the gun quickly to say someone is running and someone is not running and a decision like this for someone running for president is far more complicated than that. i would say i don't think he'll go through with it. because the past year he's been in his cocoon. he spent a year in utah and around his family and donors that want him to run and feel like he is the best to run, that is who he is around. and showing him in the polls to say this is his shot and he is the chosen one. he did make it clear this morning that he does feel that way and he thought everyone would flock to him once he made it clear i'm thinking about a run. that is not what happened. donors and top advisors went

with jeb and there was bad blood there and there is showing there was bad blood. and steve and i were talking about this. people don't know history behind the bushes and the romneys and he made a little jab to jeb bush this morning saying we need someone younger which hits drktly atdrkt ly -- directly to jeb bush which means it goes to chris christie or scott walker. >> it is specifically between jeb bush and mitt romney. when romney gave a speech on his mormonism, and jeb has had problems with how mitt conducted himself in 2012 and when newt gingrich won and then they go to florida and you are mitt romney and you have to win in florida

and he said jeb bush i need your help and i need to win your state and what did jeb bush do he sat on his hands. after the 2012 campaign and he lost to barack obama and who comes out and gives a public critique of the romney campaign jeb bush. you think that didn't get heard by mitt romney. and there is a big part of mitt romney that always wanted to be president and did in the want to give up his dream but there is a part of mitt romney that saw jeb bush make these moves and all of the headlines about i'm making the move and mitt romney is saying i'm ahead in the polls and i'm supposed to step aside for this guy, i don't think so. >> and there is these personal and emotional considerations that going into a decision like this and i think as political reporters we can look at this poll and say this person went

with this strategist and there is a question on whether you and your family want to go through this again. >> now that i'm on the other side of this and being on the media side we focus on the headlines of where are the donors going and where are the polls going. we don't talk about the human toll on a family when you run for office whether running for congress or for president. i think back on the moments when my dad was running and this has to be an emotional day for the romney family and they believe he is the best person for the job and will continue to believe that through the campaign. and because i served as my dad's media surrogate and his daughter and my dad's mentor was george h.w. because my dad was an ambassador to china and i got an e-mail saying he was endorsing

mitt romney and that was the one that hurt my dad the most. i had the job of telling him. so i look rad the the e-mail and i look -- i looked at the e-mail and looked over at my dad and my heart was crushed. it is such a human moment. and we don't talk about that enough. that is what families go through. you have to see someone like your dad or a family member at the lowest moment. george w. bush said this once. i was president and my dad was president and it is difficult for a family and i think this was the right decision for them and i'm getting emotional talking about this but it is very real and we don't spend enough time talking about the human toll and the sacrifice it takes for people to run for president. >> and it is not just mitt romney but george romney wanted to run for president and had a humiliating run in 1968.

and as he came off this fairly campaign in 2012 and he ran a good losing campaign. and if he came into this reagan and got crushed, everybody would say he didn't know when to leave and remember the last humiliated campaign and i think that is why people decide not to try again after getting the nomination after 1968. >> the george romney here. >> and this is an interesting story to me. because i have a personal stake. i have a conflict of interest that made me want mitt romney decline to enter the race. last night on all in with hayes we did the fantasy campaign draft and i drew a slate. >> josh has had a rough go of it so far. right now you have ted cruz sarah palin and carly tucker. >> that is a three-person

ticket. >> does josh barrow's ticket turn around with good old number 25. no it doesn't. with bob corker. >> bob corker one of three bobs serving in the united states senate and can he be the first bob to hold the office of president? he's tennessee senator bob corker. >> you sure know how to pick em. is bob corker aware anybody is talking about the idea that bob corker might run for president? >> so we're looking for someone to be the establishment standard bearer with mitt romney out, with business experience. i have bob corker -- >> and also bob mcdonnel. >> he was my fifth pick-up. >> i think the corker moment has arrived. a big day in american politics. >> i would say this. as a serious point.

i think mitt romney did spot something here. i spotted a weakness on the right when it comes to jeb bush. and it is interesting if you look at the polls, if you look at bush's popularity among republicans when you break it down into the sub groups when you get to the tea party and the base of the republican party, there is a base of those who don't like him as those who do like him. in the tea party, there was an assault and fight of the obama presidency and it was a purification campaign in the republican party and looking at george w. bush presidency with compassionate conservatism that gave conservatism a bad name and allowed the country to turn to barack obama. we will make sure we never nominate another compassionate conservatism. and so now jeb bush running on the middle of the road and they are saying we tried that with your brother and we're not doing

that again. and that is something that romney saw. >> and that is all in play and doesn't get to the foreign policy when we are in an environment when we might have a security election and people talked about jeb bush as a security man and he didn't look strong on the national security issues. and a lot more to talk about. steve, thanks for being here today. and coming up you know how "the cycle" rolls. you know how we love our politics and how we love football right, krystal. we'll go out to the stadium and we'll check on tom brady's cold. and ad week. the commercials you have to stay on the couch for. and the oddsmakers calling in from an undisclosed location. it is a super-sized friday.

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my entire coaching career i have never talked to any player staff member about football care pressure. that is not a subject i have ever brought up. i have no explanation for what happened. i don't want anyone touching the balls after that. i don't want anyone rubbing them putting any air of them taking any air out. to me those balls are perfect? >> will they be punished? probably not. not as long as roger goodell and

robert kraft are still taking pictures at their respective homes. >> we have a game set and we are making sure everything is the way we want it to be. >> i've done talked. all of my requirements are fulfilled so now for the next three minutes, i'll just be looking at y'all, the way y'all are looking at me. thank you. >> wow, what a week! the super bowl is now just two days away. but the drama is already in full swing. patriots' tom brady is battling a cold and sherman could miss the super bowl for the birth of his child and the biggest person could be who inflates the balls and that is something roger goodell spoke about for the first time this afternoon. >> we are focusing principally on two questions. why were some footballs used in the game that were not in compliance with the rules, and

was this the result of deliberate action? i want to emphasize, we have made no judgments on those points. and we will not compromise the investigation by engaging in speculation. >> joining us now from glendale arizona, the site of the super bowl is nbc's craig melvin. so much drama and so little time. what is going on where you are? >> reporter: so much. so many story lines. right now the big story continues to be the weather here in the desert. it started raining shortly after we got off the plane yesterday. raining all day today. going to rain tomorrow as well. we're told that the rain should stop by the time the big game starts on sunday evening. wouldn't matter a great deal. the university of phoenix stadium behind me is a dome as all of the super bowl venues are. the weather is the big story right now. more than we're told roughly a million people will descend on

phoenix, arizona. all of the folks won't get inside but if you have around $9,000 you can still get a ticket. that is the cheapest super bowl ticket we've been able to find on the internet. the game sold out more than 111 million expected to opportunity in on monday and the ads a big deal, the super bowl commercials breaking the record a 30 second commercial going for about $14.5 million. you have the best team in the afc, the new england patriots and the best team in the nfc, the seattle seahawks as well. teams with identical records. and then you have tom brady. you mentioned tom terrific and the cold that he's battling that has gotten a lot of attention over the past few days. we can tell you apparently he is treating that not with sudafed

or alka seltzer, he is going with garlic concoction. but you can rest assured he'll be fine coming sunday at 6:30. >> and he doesn't have a cold in his arm so he'll be okay. craig, at the stadium. thanks for being with us. for more on the big game let's bring in andy benoit from sports illustrated and from the tennessee titans keith bullock, coming to us from the fan zone in phoenix. thank you both for being here. and i'll start with you, keith, i'm a huge fan of tom brady, you've played against him. give us the skinny what makes him the best player and so difficult to defeat? >> i think it starts with his background at the university of michigan. he was a starting quarterback that had to split time to a younger guy, drew hencing and he was drafting in the seventh round and was able to get to the

team and take them to super bowls. and from those super bowl appearances he's just been consistent throughout. and every person that has been on his team he's made them better and just been consistent and being a competitor against him, the game plans they put in and the way tom follows it and executes is second to none. >> andy one of the things that surprised people with this deflate-gate story is that each team is responsible for managing its own footballs and the specifications, do we know what they are doing for this game to make sure all of the balls are properly inflated and appropriately safeguards and protected? >> well the nfl have said they have increased security for the deflated footballs -- or not the deflated footballs, most likely. the inflated footballs. and that is to be expected. and it is -- what is going to happen is people are eventually going to ask why hadn't the nfl done that all along.

that is hindsight but there will be no question about the footballs for this game. >> and keith, the seahawks defense is legendary and they were able to shut down peyton manning last time and how vital is defense in these kind of big games? >> well i think that tom is going to go out and perform. i think where the seattle defense comes in to play is kam chancellor sets the tone thomas is there, richard sherman and i think their defense sets the tone and it depends on how new england offensive players other than tom brady go out and execute. do they get intimidated or take the fight to them. >> nfl commissioner roger goodell spoke today at a press conference about the tough year that the nfl has been happening. let's take a listen. >> many people in america if they went through the year you've had probably would have resigned or been fired, can you envision any set of circumstances which would lead

you to resigning or being fired as your job as commissioner? >> no i can't. does that surprise you? >> and andy it has been a tough year is goodell secretly crossing his fingers hoping that the seahawks win so the entire integrity of the game isn't called into question with the patriots? >> i don't think so. i think it would be past that point because the footballs won't be an issue in this game. they were in the last game. but if you talk to people privately within the league the word is goodell's in a safe position with his job security. you have to remember how much money he makes for this league with television contracts and television deals he's orchestrated. that is what the owners have him work for and that is his job. and part of that is maintaining the integrity of the game and they'll handle this carefully because of that. >> andy and keith, have a great time this weekend. thanks for being with us.

so during "the cycle"'s extensive research, we'll found something that will disgust you or delight you. according to the american chicken council, americans will eat an estimated 1.25 chicken wings during the game enough to put 572 wings on every seat in all 32 nfl stadiums. that is incredible. >> that is understanding. >> and of course on sunday nbc sports is your home for super bowl xlix but tonight it is a special night. nbc is the place to be. starting at 7:00 football meets hard ball when chris matthews broadcasts live from phoenix. and at k, that is joe and nika and willie. and don't miss morning joe and coming up next on "the cycle." we're talking super bowl ads but first we have to play a few of our own.

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it's no secret that the super bowl is much more than a football game. an estimated 113 million americans will tune in sunday night, many of them for the commercials. and advertisers are paying big

bucks to grab your attention. up to $4.5 million for a 30-second spot that is $150,000 a second. so this year they are looking beyond the game to make it worth it. ad bowl is under way. joe fryer explains. >> you no longer need a super bowl game to watch a super bowl ad. budweiser unleashed the latest heart-warming tale featuring the puppy and his protective collides clydesdale ads. you can crown this the ad of the year. >> go daddy aimed at poking fun at budweiser. but online critics said no-daddy. and upset the puppy was sold online. the company quickly pulled the ad. >> hi i'm kim -- >> more advertisers like t-mobile are releasing spots early to the dismay of those who

watch the big game just for commercials. but there is a strategy behind this pre-game warm-up. >> before the game you have a week or two, to engage people which is just a terrific amount of time to work with. >> companies like skittles are revealing trailers for what will air on sunday. they are commercials for commercials. snickers said if its teaser gets 2.5 social media hits the real ad will be released. >> how do you break through all of this clutter and make your brand and your business so interesting that people want to get on facebook and they want to get on twitter and talk about it? >> because super bowl commercials can be just as competitive as all of the stuff happening in between. joe fryer, nbc news. >> there are two teams battling for the lombardi trophy but many more fighting to win the fight of best commercial.

james cooper from ad week is with us at the table. so we saw the teaser for the snickers ad and they did get the number of hits on social media and i want to play a clip on that what it will be like in full form. >> marsha what happened? >> peter hit me in the face with a football. >> an eye for an eye. that is what dad always said. >> i never said that. >> marsha eat a snickers. >> marsha marsha marsha. >> jan, this isn't about you. >> it never is. >> they get attention for the teaser and then the ad before the game and then people see it during the game and then hopefully -- >> not to mention on "the cycle." >> that is five bites at the candy bar, josh. >> you should be an ad guy. >> they want to stretch the

return on investment as far as they can possibly get. so they did a good job of seeding this in the social media and the semi surprise during the game and then stretching the $4.5 million and social media allows them to do this. >> and a lot of this is commercialism out of control and we look at the ad and watch the ad and talk about the add and it can be much. but some of the commercials are creative and some of them are heartwarming. i was talking to the cycle team and someone pointed out the toyota ad and with amy purdy and put her ad with muhammad ali. >> all of you chumps. you know you have it. but the man is in trouble. i'm going to show you how great

i am. >> i think this ad is incredibly effective because she is powerful beautiful, and with the back drop of muhammad ali, it works nicely and it is inspiring and heartwarming. >> that gave me chills just the if you seconds of the commercial. we were talking about money. a 30-second ad is 4$4 million. >> $4.5 million. >> you know how much it is. >> that is my job. >> so even more than we thought and that was already a heck of a lot. many companies can't afford that. so newcastle worked with 37 other companies to pitch in to afford this commercial. take a look at this. >> rottel has diced tomatoes. >> come to the tough stuff with brawny. >> like you what you see? >> it is from sharper image. >> quilted. >> from those bean chips.

>> maybe they would like to have a full commercial but we might see more of this going forward. >> absolutely. there is a long-standing tradition of trying to hack the super bowl because it is such a huge audience. 113 million people the biggest audience of the year and people try to get the glow from the super bowl. newcastle started this last year to make this ad that wasn't a super bowl ad a super bowl ad and it was incredible. this is the next version of that and they are trying to rift off the doritos ad. >> is it going to work? >> absolutely. >> and the nfl has made the decision given the tough year they have had given around domestic violence to run an anti-domestic violence psa. can you see the images where there is a woman calling 911, she can't say what is happening to her and she pretends to be

ordering a pizza and she is in danger for her life. it is unusual to see this psa coming from the nfl to champion a cause and to try to improve the brand around this issue. >> i think it is totally unusual but after the year they had, they didn't have a choice. if they didn't headline this during this time of the year they would be open to criticism. and they do a good job of soberly reminding people this is a problem and the nfl is trying to address it and i think it is a responsible part on their part to address it. >> james cooper thank you. >> and what is up. another system marching to the northeast. say it ain't "snow."

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could stand to hear the words more snow from is. >> raffi. >> i can't stand to hear it come from me. as you left the house this morning it was cold. but as you head from an arctic front. look at tomorrow morning. windchills below zero represented in this white color north and west of the city. central park will feel like 2 degrees at most tomorrow morning. windchills continue throughout the day in the teens. it doesn't warm up at all on saturday. a wider view here. we have a wintry weather scenario setting up here. the satellite picture shows a lot of rain in phoenix. it is a wet one on this friday and stays wet. but this storm tracks to the east over the next few days so more snow is in the forecast for the big cities like chicago where you can see 3-6 inches. follow this swath of pink that is 4-8 inches of snow on top of places seeing too much. long island and new york city into boston. these numbers will change as the next few days going on

depending on the exact track of the storm but right now it looks like a significant snowfall sunday night into monday morning so if you have super bowl plans, as your guests leave, there might be snow on the roads so mabin viet them for a sleep -- mabin viet them for a sleepover. rain continues in phoenix tomorrow but a break for super bowl sunday. your forecast for phoenix, arizona. temperatures in the 60s and a lot of sunshine. again tracking the snow in chicago to new york city. sunday night and into monday we're getting a lot of wintry weather in a couple of weeks, guys. hopefully february will be a little kinder back to you. >> thanks raffi. and now to a turning point in our history. a big year for civil war buffs. this celebrates the general e. lee surrender. his decision to surrender

instead of engaging in a gorilla war spared the country a battle the man who would not be a washington, the decision that changed the history, that pivotal change before the war is crucial. with us the author jonathan horn i want to get to a letter by lee that you quote in the book where he said it is idle to talk of succession anarchy would have been established. and it was termed treason -- treason and what would it be now? >> he was opposed to sus he is and he's reading a biography of george washington and he concludes they would have opposed succession and that is

because of his connection to washington. he was the son of the you'll othist, first of the words in the country, which are the words that we associate with washington and he married the daughter of george washington's adopted son. >> and what was lee's view of the slavery at the time. >> he thought slavery was an evil institution but we shouldn't make the mistake of thinking he was an abolitionist. he thought it was worst for whites than for the slaves itself. >> explain that to me. >> well he didn't want to be responsible for slaves and he didn't want to be reliant on their labor but what most entangles him which is the death of his father in law, washington's adopted son and so he is managing slaves from mt.

vernon george washington's home. >> and lee was offered the position of union general from lincoln and he turned that down. what if he had taken that job, would history have played out differently. would we have seen a four-year civil war? >> we can't see what would have happened because from lincoln in april 1861 called him to washington and said the country looks to you to put down the rebellion as the representative from the washington family. so i think we would read something into the fact that this man so associated with washington saved the union that washington created. >> i think people talk about robert e. lee than they talk about other confederate and talk about him as a bad guy and what is different been robert e. lee

as a tortured hero even though he led a rebellion against his country in defense of slavery. >> he's been given credit as you said in your open after the war, he accepted a post washington college, where he said he's going to prepare young men of the south for peace and make them into productive citizens because for four years he's been leading them into war and today that is washington and lee university. >> i never made that connection. >> i never put that together. >> enjoyed the book. thanks for your time today. up next betting on the game. a top oddsmaker lays out the lines and said there is something for everyone and anyone to gamble on. and don't forget you can use the hash tag my super bowl pick. abby we have yours. you can pick your favorites, for example i have it here.

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papa john. pizza maker. peyton manning. play maker. hey peyton, i got two super bowl surprises for you. sounds great papa. one. i'm giving away free pizza after the super bowl. aw, just for me? no for everyone. and two i invited joe montana. i heard something about free pizza. thanks a lot papa. order now through super bowl sunday at papajohns.com and you'll get a free pizza starting monday. use promo code superbowl at checkout. better ingredients. better pizza. better football. papa john's. now i'm not saying i am betting on the super bowl but if i was, i like the seahawks at plus two,ine though i'm pulling for the pats. i see tom brady having over 260 1/2 yards passing. and marshawn lynch is going to

seat his skittles and go beast mode and it will take longer than 2 1/2 minutes to sing the national anthem. and pat morrow from an unknown location on the phone. thanks for joining us. >> thanks for having me on. >> and i think it is safe to say, most of the country is interested in what is katy perry going to be wearing during the half time? >> i joke but our betters are interested in that. whether it is what song she is singing. >> i wasn't joking? >> well we have the favorite skirt or dress at minus 300 or one to three favorite shorts

pays out at one to two and then the longer shot at 5/2. pants is a dark horse there. a little popular. >> i could see some pants. i could see that working out for abby. >> maybe a little glitter would help. >> glitter always happens. that is definitely the case. what about on the side bets are these popular. are people concerned about katy perry or whether bill belichick will smile and those sort of side bets? >> it didn't used to be that way. it was these props were the side show and a marketing tool to get people in the door and allow people to feel part of the super bowl in a smaller way but on a risk point of view. and now these props will make up 50% of the money we take on the super bowl come game days. now there are fairly significant liabilities now. >> so in addition on betting on

katy perry's leg wear it is possible to bet on the football game on sunday. and i was interested to see seattle was favored, and that is shifted and now new england favored by two. what is driving that? >> it has been as simple as money as far as bovada right now. we had the seattle as a favorite and we've been solding steady. about 70% of the cash has come in on the new england patriots. and normally we want it in line with somebody else. but it is not worth it. with a game like this with the betting coming in we are finding the patriots a favor like this. so what i would say to respect the betters, for the seahawks we are a safe place to bet them. >> and this isn't a sufficient fact people i'm a new england patriots fan. i'm going to bet the pats. if the pats have a bigger fan

base that's a reason to think it is a favorable bet on seattle? >> partly true. the markets may be more efficient there because there's a lot of games there. there's not one particular one that's getting so much handle and so much investment that could really hurt us financially. when we have a one-off game like this this, it is not worth it for us to put that much more opinion. we're going to take the patriots no matter what. we're going to make them pay a little more to do so. >> pat, where are you? >> i'm parts unknown. you nailed it right in the in intro. >> i'm very curious. mvp, first to make the touchdown, what do you know about that? >> what's interesting this year is this is usually something every year we're losing on either starting quarterback and

past super bowl champions. there is a trend to be an offensive player. eight or nine years, it wasn't an offensive player. because of all the talented players in the seattle secondary, defensive players are getting the most amount of action. this is a rare year where we would like to see the starting quarterbacks for each team to end up being the mvp. richard sherman, 25 to 1 or higher. >> when you look at the people betting on your platform and others generally, is it mostly people who think they can make money or there a lot of people who -- or is it mostly people who think the game becomes more exciting when you put a little

money down? >> i think everyone thinks they can make money. we encourage people to think that way. that's not always the reality. when it comes to the super bowl though, it is generally a lot more people just sprinkling a couple of bucks here and there. our average better will bet maybe $5 $10 total. you can bet on the silly stuff, katy perry, the gatorade color. >> well, i do have to say that although ari melber may not be a betting man, he predicted that seattle would win 40-love and he was close. there's one last bet that we love. that is between captain america and guardians of the galaxy's

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if you watch coverage of the

new republican congress or the state of the union you probably heard the two sides disagree on everything. >> some of the most divisive politics the country has seen recently. >> maybe. both sides are actually in such lock step there's barely any debate at all. >> tonight, i call on this congress to show the world that we are united in this mission by passing a resolution to authorize the use of force against isil. >> that is a call for new war authority, which the congress hasn't done in ten years. it's a big ask. both republican leaders said they were on board this weekend in a "60 minutes" interview. >> will you pass a measure authorizing the use of force against isis? >> i will. >> boehner is saying that before seeing a measure because the white house hasn't sent one to congress yet. they don't want to limit the

president's authority here. >> i don't want to limit the president's ability to take on the terrorist threat directly. >> what is required is that we defeat isis and as john has indicated, it will require boots on the ground. the question is whose boots. it would be foolish to say in advance what we won't do. >> a war resolution that rules out ground troops gives too much information to the enemy and could feed a perception that isis will never be confronted in the field even though we may build an alliance that does build ground troops from other countries. these are surely legitimate policy questions, but let's look at the recent history of our actual foreign policy. under both parties, if you look at it, you won't find examples of congress limiting these kind of operations. you'll actually see the

opposite. what you see there is one war resolution that was passed 14 years ago for the afghanistan war used to bomb a long list of countries. we start with iraq and afghanistan there. then you see the bombing and ground operations in pakistan. the air war against libya. drone attacks in yemen and somalia and now obama using that same authority to bomb isis in syria. that is a lot of countries to bomb. based on the evidence it is clear these war authorities are expanding u.s. operations, not limiting them. before congress passes another one, we really should define this mission. should it be limited to syria or include other countries? should it include ground troops? should congress sign another blank check which can used not only by this president but by future presidents? those are questions we should

ask before another bipartisan march to war authority. mitt romney, master of the pump fake. it is friday january 30th, and this is "now." >> third time is not the charm. >> former governor mitt romney announcing he is not running for president. >> i've decided it's best to give other leaders in the parties an opportunity. >> mitt romney wanted this. they believe they have the money. they believe they have the support. >> the ground was beginning to crumble beneath mitt romney's feet. >> the