it is election day. cue that music. does it matter the election is in israel? cue it any ways. hi, i'm krystal ball and we're one hour until polls close in the closely-watched and hotly contested and historically watched elections in one of our allies. he is part of the luckid party and the opposition leads the zionist party.

to see it just watch this. [ speaking in a foreign language ]

i don't totally understand those but i like them. unlike in america, the candidate with the most votes isn't the winner. the recount aside. the party with the most seats gets the first shot of forming a government coalition by making deals then with smaller parties. it is kind of like this political ad of bibidirecting a game of musical chairs but the process puts a focus on smaller parties needed to build a coalition. like this candidate who posted a three-hour long video outlining his platform. we sped it up so you don't have to watch the entire thing. as reuters pointed out, no party has won out right so these coalitions are the norm. and this is a big question. let's start with the race itself. i-tv news in in tell attif --

tel aviv garrett vincent, what is the latest. >> the last polls were last week and the experts tell us that up to a quarter of the israeli electorate doesn't make up its mind which party it will back until the final days the final moments of the campaign. so in these final days, we've seen bibi reach out to his core supporters on the right starting with the speech to the congress in washington a couple of weeks ago saying he was the only man to stand up to the threats from iran. but it has got more personal if you like here in israel in the occupied territories over the last few days with him declaring last night in a television

interview that should he be re-elected as prime minister then a palestinian state will not come into being. now he's hoping that that is going to get his core supporters to the polling booths and get -- and make up the difference between him and the left-wing labor party led by herzog who has led the campaign seen him come from a long way back but based on promises to improve the quality of life for ordinary israelis and bring down the cost of living. and that is what has put him ahead in the polls. having said all of that. and you touched on this in your introduction, netanyahu could lose this election and still be prime minister because it will be easier for him to make a coalition government amongst the right-wing parties in the israel canneset than it is for herzog.

and for more let's bring in michael crowley at politico. and his last piece asks the question did his congressional speech hurt his chances and i want to start with you on that point, michael. we covered the speech a lot and we've been speaking about that speech. but you write but it is not clear that his speech helped when it comes to pocket book issues, and so what makes that a tough election for netanyahu? >> that line from the story gets at the idea this was sort of a kitchen table pocket book election. and one person said to me that speech may have been kind of a symptom of netanyahu's problem, politically more than a cause of it. in other words it is not so much that people said he went to

washington and gave a speech about iran and we're changing our minds about him. but it distracted him perfect the economic daily life issues back home that the campaign was revolving around and i think it potentially supported an idea that he was just really fixated on security concerns on iran on the palestinians to the exclusion, almost of the kind of things people were talking about around their kitchen tables every day. so -- but it is hard to put a reseiss point on. he did get a brief bump right after that speech. in the moment it maybe looked like it did work but after that he did drop. >> economic is stupid. just as it is here. >> so look michael, a lot of people have long said that the path to true security for israel is a tuesday solution with palestine and netanyahu out in the late campaign promising no

palestinian state if i'm elect elected. does that have the power to throw the election for him? >> well i guess we'll know pretty soon. it is hard to make a firm prediction. but what it clearly shows is a guy trying to mobilize his base who knows that he is in trouble and can he be rescued potentially by turnout on the israeli right. and you know he was pressing very emotional buttons and that was one of them. in an interview i saw him give the jerusalem post he posted he was the only one that could stand up to president obama when the israel's security was at risk and his opponents would kowtow to the americans and forced to make concessions to washington and he would never do such a thing and this is a way to play to the base and try to turn out israeli conservatives. and another message he is sending that people have found

distasteful is that he is saying that israeli arabs are being motivated and mobilized to the polls in large numbers and he's in danger of losing as a result and people see him playing a race card so he is pressing hot buttons at this moment. >> there is no doubt in the narrative that he is pushing he sees himself as a singular favor, that he spoke for all jews around the world. and he doesn't speak for all israelis and jews around the world can make up their own mind about who represents them in whatever countries. speak about the closing arguments, in particularly the internet focus. in israel i would say for americans who haven't followed this race closely, the politics of israel are sort of a cross between brooklyn and rural texas. and you mention him closing with the right. he seems to go for a argument of

some outer israel saying basically there is a global conspiracy as he put it against him, in the final days. >> that's really remarkable rhetoric. he is saying there is this international conspiracy to get him. again, this theory involved the mobilization of israeli arabs to come to the polls. it is not exactly clear what he is referring to. but to the extent that i understand it and this line has been promoted in media outlets over there and here there is a voter turnout organization that supports the two-state solution thereafter it doesn't particularly care for netanyahu. that group has gotten help from a former barack obama campaign official jeremy bird and has been partnering with a sort of international nonprofit group that got money from the state department a couple of years ago to promote the two-state solution. so if you lump it all together and fast and loose with the facts, you suddenly have the idea that american government

money and obama election officials are out to bring netanyahu down. the facts that i have seen don't bear that out. maybe he's talking about something else i'm not clear on. but again that is a powerful argument for israeli nationalists and the israeli right and the people who netanyahu seem to think will save his bacon. >> so michael we've hit on some of the big issues for israeli voters the cost of living and the palestinian issue. but there is also iran. netanyahu said nobody can stand up to iran like he can and this week iran brought up the letter with secretary kerry two times and senator cruz was here this morning and this is what he said. >> i think this deal that is being negotiated by the obama administration is profoundly dangerous both to the security of our friend and ally israel but also to national security.

>> the letter should not prove necessary if we didn't have a president like barack obama who routinely tried to circumvent congress and the senate when it comes to treaties there wouldn't be a need for a letter making clear that our congress gives congress a vital role in law making. >> now michael, for some people this is simply about politics. but the real world implications are extremely, extremely serious. >> sure. and we are here and at the end game of a crucial stage in the talks with iran and they are trying to get a framework agreement by the end of the month. the iranians have raised this letter in meetings with kerry and it has hurt the process and you hear that from european diplomats and those from the u.s. and by the way, the outcome of this election could have effects on the negotiations. if this is knocked out, this could give new wind in the sales of kerry.

and breaking news aaron schock is stepping down after word of his abuse of campaign and taxpayer dollars continues to grow. luke russert has the deal. >> reporter: it seems to be written by a friend of the "the cycle" show about miles driven on an suv. according to the politico article, he claimed to have been driven over 170 miles when in fact the car only had 81,000 miles on it and that is only one of the issues. that was only one of the issues when had his office turned into the set of "downton abbey." >> that was the article that

started everything. >> and what was interesting, it was not to be an article about his office but when he walked into the office he said this is something, who did it the decorator who was there said he gave it to the congress for free. that was an improper benefit for aaron schock and that got the sharks circling him, a very flamboyant guy, the first guy born in the '80s and known for an instagram that was not that of a usual congress a lot of action shots and decadent shots around the country. and in fact when this went forward, people started to trace his instagram of where the shots went and saw his travel and what that was like and whether or not he took staffers and how much he was billing taxpayers, et cetera and a long story short, a litany of things broke out and the mileage reimbursement story, aaron

schock resigning six weeks after this started. and the leadership of the gop was taken by surprise for this. there will be a special election in illinois. democrats shouldn't get their hopes up. this is an r-plus district. and and it should -- it should be republican either way. but an illinois public official resigning under the sign of corruption. shocking. and the latest on the u.s. air force mechanic indicted for trying to join isis. and a street battle of guns and bombs. tonight police recount the shootout with the tsarnaev brothers. and the murder count against the heir robert durst. and the "the cycle" rolls on

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testimony in the boston marathon bombing trial ended a bit early today but there was plenty of drama before court was recessed. ron mott in boston for us. ron? >> reporter: hey ari. court ended early today. the judge explained for the jurors that the lawyers had something to attend to. that could be interesting or nothing at all. but interesting testimony. david hennen bury was the gentleman who owned the boat that dzokhar tsarnaev was found in that friday night after the

marathon bombing and he and his wife were sheltering in place as most around the metropolitan area were told to do. so once that cleared he went out and found a couple of things by his boat that didn't look like but he wasn't thinking and he steps up on a ladder and sees some blood and he peaked into a bod and he saw a body and dark pants and a hooded sweatshirt and quickly went down and went inside and that is how they were able to close in on dzokhar tsarnaev and take him into custody. and they heard from a classmate, stephan silva, who pled guilty to drug and weapons possessions in december to testify against his former friend. a ruger 9mm used to kill the m.i.t. police officer that was his and dzokhar tsarnaev borrowed it, according to the

witness, that he wanted to go rob some university of rhode island students in a drug deal. but when the friend asked for the gun back mr. silva asked for the gun back two or three weeks back dzokhar gave him excuses why he couldn't return it and sadly it was used in the week of the bombing. so returning the trial scheduled at 9:00 a.m. >> ron matt thank you. another dramatic day. and more courtroom drama playing out in louisiana but soon in l.a. millionaire real estate heir not fighting extradition on the first murder charges in the news, these charges his defense team denies saying he is eager to defend himself in court. that could be an uphill battle based on the now famous hbo

documentary confessing off camera that he killed multiple people. that documentary may contribute to the prosecutor's case but there is an insistence that the arrest is not on what aired on hbo but rather a culmination of the two-year investigation and brings up a blurred lined between investigations and crime journalist. can the media help or hurt. and here with us ana sillman, deputy entertainer. this case has rightfully captivated the nation. anyone who has seen it or seen parts of it is fascinating and upexpected and as we -- unexpected and the filmmakers wanted to tell a story accurately accurately, which is what we associate with journalist and they wanted justice and they intervened directly and went to

the cops to hand over material so there could be justice. you've written about this. are those two roles in conflict? >> i think it is tough because there is a -- there is a conflict between your duty as a journalist and your duty to be objective with i think, getting involved in reporting these stories and you went -- the man who made the documentary, he wants to tell a story and he wants to have the exciting conclusion which is what we got and then the question of do you withhold information because it works on a narrative level even if that might not be such an ethical way to sort of reveal your story. >> and you look at the jinx and cereal that have brought us to the end of our seat. it spans across generation people that won't follow the older mysteries. where are we so obsesses with these? is it the mystery or the format?

>> i think ultimately these are fascinating zwroirs an the way they are -- the fascinating stories and the way they are told. taking this old cold case and unraveling it over weeks and building up suspense and tantalizing us and making us curious and bringing us to the edge of our seat an that is a compelling way to tell a story and i think that dhraki did that as well. >> and with serial we were satisfied there was flo conclusion and -- no conclusion and something sinister of left hanging at the end debating whether he did it or not. this is such a definitive conclusion. are we forever after going to judge crime conclusion of whether did they figure out whether or not did they do it. >> well dhraki got lucky here

that was an amazing ending. that is a lucky discovery a journalist might hope for once in their lifetime. but i think it is dangerous to expect that there is always going to be such a sort of nice and final conclusion. because i think that could prevent journalists from going after cases like that and in a case that might not have such a clear resolution but it is still worth investigating the story and worth digging. so i think that we should be open to all sorts of store yours, even ones that might not have such a neat shocker ending. >> and that is an interesting part of this. is the media does have a narrative bias and we like certain kind of zwroirs and stories with -- stories with good endings and the ending here is being rewritten depending on this case for a man who thought we would never face true justice but a lot of in crim nating -- incriminating evidence. thank you for joining us. and a u.s. military veteran

indicted for trying to join isis. what we are learning at this hour. plus 49ers rookie standout ris borland retiring out of nowhere and a lot of people talking about why, including us. cub. this little guy is non-stop. he's always hanging out with his friends.cris borland retiring out of nowhere and a lot of people talking about why, including us. hris borland retiring out of nowhere and a lot of people talking about why, including us. definitely not good for my back. this is the part i really don't like right here. (doorbell) what's that? a package! it's a swiffer wetjet. it almost feels like it's moving itself. this is kind of fun. that comes from my floor? eww! this is deep couch sitting. [jerry bell iii] deep couch sitting!

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purchase any new verizon wireless smartphone or tablet from comcast. visit comcast.com/wireless to learn more. breaking news in "the cycle." an american military veteran charged with attempting to join isis. the new jersey resident served in the u.s. air force where he served on military training on engine and nave gags systems. jonathan don'ts joins us. and how does someone with this military knowledge with this risk pose. >> if he was caused trying to cross into syria, he was caught and he purchased a plane from

egypt where he was living and trying to cross into turkey. and has held here since january and he was kept quiet to see who he was in contact with. he is expected to appear in court in brooklyn tomorrow on terrorism charges. his defense lawyer said he plans to plead not guilty and had no further comment. the concern is if he had military training his knowledge of the u.s., and if he went over there and joined an isis terror group he could help them militarily over there or come back here to the u.s. and cause problems. that is what federal prosecutors put in their court papers as to why he now needs to remain in custody here in the u.s. no bail for sure they said because they believe he is a terrorist threat. one last question how did a

former military man became radicalized? the fbi said he was watching isis videos over the last several months downloaded on to his computer and they believe that, in part, is why he became radicalized and tried to join the terror group. back to you, krystal. >> w nbc chief investigator reporter. thank you for that update. and now to a developing story in football. when does the love of the game the love of fame outweigh the risks of the job. it became too much for 49ers star linebacker chris borland retiring after one season. a rookie retiring. and he's in good health and never suffered a head injury in the nfl. borland, just 24 years old, said he is hanging up his helmet because he is worried about his long-term health. and he is not the only one. a number of players has determined their passion is not more important than their

livelihood. even if they don't cite medical reasons for retirement. so could this decision be a game-changer for the most profitable careers. and the nfl maintains that player safety is the league's top priority. but for some those words are falling on deaf ears. joining us is sports expert mary pillan. and lay out the science. is this a logical decision based on what we know about sports injures in the nfl? >> absolutely. i think this is what they've been writing about for years. this is what we are learning. but this is not good. the civil suit against the league comes to mind as a great example of players looking at the brain scans that we didn't have in past and looking at their own careers and i think that players like borland in the middle or start of their

promising pro careers are looking at the junior seaus and younger players will say i don't know if this is what i'm signing up for when i fell in love for the game. >> and some are saying that him retiring is what the nfl should be terrified about. don't be fooled. it is not the end of pro football but it might be the beginning of the beginning of the end, especially as the nfl's major popular sport. >> it might by' trend. and boxing coming up as a trend. when you read boxing in the 30s and 40s is different than what it is. and there is tv money pumped into the sport.

and when do fans stop going to field because they are worried about what they are watching on the field and what are kids playing and more and more we're hearing from parents are -- >> as long as you have people and millions of people watching football, thursday and sunday and monday you have a ton of money coming into the nfl and the nfl i don't think is afraid in this moment because you have a stream of working-class man that want to do this gladiator sport, borland got a million and a half for a year and some say, bobby wagner, no offense, to anyone, but i'm playing until i can't play any more. i love this sport and too many guys want to take this risk. >> absolutely. and this is a slow-moving story. but what was striking about the announcement, not only that he

so cleanly laid out this was head-injury related but the response he got -- sure people criticized it but people said you did the right thing. folks in the league and otherwise. so the tone of the conversation among players and fans has changed significantly in the last few years. >> and that is how players relate to whether they are in or out of the game. what about the idea of changing the rules without changing the fundamentals of the game. >> it is hard to change the rules when we don't know about the injuries yet. this is research in the infancy and the players are saying it is too little too late. i think the league has its work cut out for them. the helmet manufacturers are a great example who have come under fire. so there is skepticism about whether these are huge guys bashing into each other at full speed and that is the sport. >> there is so little you can do about that. mary pillan author of the mon

onno lift. thank you. say you are progay marriage and pro pot. you may be a conserve tearanist. and gretchen joins us to talk about how to break your worst habits. much more on "the cycle" ahead. [ female announcer ] we help make secure financial tomorrows a reality for over 19 million people. [ alex ] transamerica helped provide a lifetime of retirement income. so i can focus on what matters most. [ female announcer ] everyone has a moment when tomorrow becomes real. transamerica.

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votes they can get these days. and just a reminder, the republicans have only won the popular vote one time since 1988. our next guest argues in his new book, the conserve tearan they need the new right or they risk being let behind. here for the winning formula, the best book the national review, charles cook. thank you for being here. it is a good book. and if you are of this mold if you are fiscally conservative but socially more progressive, you don't have a home today. there is no one speaking for you and you listen to the speeches at c pac and think i'm not part of that and not part of the democratic party and what i keep telling people this is the future of the republican party if they want to win again. why has it taken so long for the gop taken that so long. >> well you are not a libertarian either. this is half-way between libertarian or conservative.

this is partly a generational question. why haven't the republicans embraced it? they have a problem. in younger conservatives are more in the mold more in favor of gay marriage and marijuana, but they are not pro choice but not libertarian on immigration and doan. so republicans need to decide when and how to embrace them and that is a tougher maneuver. >> and that resonates is politics is mix and match. you have the politics of a conservative and the facial hair of a bostonian and you contain multitudes so for advisers in america, there is one who i want to play who gave his first speech ever on the floor last night and familiar to people tom cotton. >> the world is growing dangerous and our defense spending is wholly inadequate to

confront the danger. for years we have under funded the military marrying retreat with misplaced understanding of larger budgetary burdens, we have restraining fighting to the breaking point as we have eaten away at investment in future forces. >> the senator railed against $200 billion in defense spending cuts but he may have forgotten that the tea party delivered those in the sequester they demanded. he is brand new. so where does he fit in as a defense minded conservative? >> it is an old minded conservative. this is not to say in the book we should get rid of the tom coffmans or ted cruzs. this is the way different factions on the right and in america we can coexist but it is to say the republicans in washington have to change their offering. a good example of paul ryan

more conservative than i am. his view on marijuana legalize is he is open to the federal government getting out but if he were a legislator in wisconsin, he would vote against it he's personally against it. that is more palatable to a right-leaning voter in colorado who has what they want on the state level. >> that they want to join -- >> yeah so they don't want -- >> liberation ari. >> so that means multitudes in anonon, when -- in an onion, and when we see the layers, we want to cry. in the last chapter you talk about the republican's contemporary demographic problem. so i want to deal with the serious issue with you. why is it the republican party appeals to white people and why aren't they making more of an effort to reach out to people of color. >> i do believe they don't make an effort to reach out.

and i read that some weren't there. and poorer people tend to vote democrat. and by enlarge if you have people who come in and start from scratch they are going to have less. so republicans don't need to win every single hispanic vote. it is a mistake the way the media talks. they need to win more. if they won 15% more hispanic voter we could talk about the decline of the democratic party. >> but they need to find with white voters. >> and they do have a challenge because they have to bridge the coalitions. >> they used to be called the big tent party. we have to get back to those days where everyone can find a place in the tent. charles cook thank you so much. we appreciate it. and up next the best-selling author of the happiness project offers a new way to get happy and break your habits. that is for you, ari. to calculus, trigonometry, finance.

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google search: bodega beach house. so i have this habit i don't like. every day after lunch i drink a coke and our director says do you know how much sugar is in that and i look at krystal has no bad habits in the world and i'm like what is wrong with me. but to matter what as i come to my last bites of the lunch i find myself craving a coke. how do i break this habit? we all have habits. 40% of our behavior made up of habits and our next guest says habits are part of our life and how do you break these unwanted

habits. gretchen rubin better than before and other books include the happiness project. welcome to be here. >> i'm happy to ber here. >> so how do we break this habit. >> no magic solution breaks for everyone. we have to think about our circumstances. and i lay out 21 strategies and that can sound overwhelming buzz you can -- overwhelming but you can pick and choose. you with your coke habit. >> i don't have a coke habit. >> your soda habit. right. that is not good. and figure out what works for you. >> you talk about the most important part of breaking habits is knowing yourself. we all like to believe we know ourselves well but clearly we don't. >> well you think how hard is it to know myself because i hang out with myself all day long but we don't realize how we are

similar to other people and different from other people. so great example is morning people and night people. often people who i know well who i know are night people, i'm going to get up early and do this. >> you are like no you are not irves . because you are not knowing the truth about you. spoo people need order and some people bustle. so what kind of gym will work for you so you can set yourself up for success. >> so how do you help people in your life. if it is not yourself or your spouse or your child and you see habits you want them to kick what is the right approach for them saying screw you, i'm going to do the opposite. >> you don't want the spirit of rebellion. you have the spirit of other people. we have a huge spirit of other people. married people. you see health habits so having a good habit helps them to have

a good job. if you want somebody to be neater, you be neater. we have influenced by convenience. how easy or hard it is to do something. so if you want somebody to take medication regularly. could you to do something. you can say, can i put these pills in one of those boxes that divides it up? can i make it easier for you so you can fulfill it? >> let's take the coke out of the office and then you'll be fine. >> that's a good point. >> don't have it around. that's the easiest thing. >> we're thinking about you, toure. we care about you. >> thank you. >> you're a happy evangelist. i don't agree with this headline, but they called you a happiness bully. >> ouch. >> lovingly. >> is there something to be said rather than obsessing about our different habits accepting our habits as a path to happiness?

>> on one hand you accept yourself and on the other hand expect more from yourself. what we can ask of ourselves and what is outside the boundaries of our nature we know that. could you get yourself to go to -- could you get yourself to exercise? maybe you're not going to train for the marathon but maybe you can go for a walk every day. >> tell us about the four different types of people that these classifications that you go into. >> this is how people meet an expectation. upholders are people like me. we easily meet outer and inner expectations. questioners question all expectations. obligers meet outer expectations, but they have trouble meeting their own inner expectations. they won't keep a new year's

resolution but they always meet a work deadline. then rebels resist all expectations. >> that's me. i think about everyday life in utopia utopia. wouldn't life in utopia become mundane eventually? >> i love habits but they do deaden. everything that we do as a habit, we can become more endured to. we feel less negative about it. you're right. sometimes we need surprise and novelty to shake things up. if everything is a habit, our life can become dead. >> i hope we make having you on the show a habit because you are full of happiness. up next, how about this for a habit to break. swimming naked in the senate office pool.

wow! i eager awaits thoughts on that from krystal ball. thoughts on that from krystal ball.

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when former senator kay haighen arrived in the senate in 2008, she thought she would be able to take advantage of the swimming pool. but she was informed that the pool was off limits to women. it turned out this was the case because some of the male senators didn't feel like giving up their practice of swimming naked. it took an intervention by senator chuck schumer to put a stop to the practice. this was in 2008.

add to that an anecdote about having her waist squeezed by a male senator who said he liked his women chubby it seems the senate continues to be the ultimate old boys' club. the senate is not the worst place for women. not even close. just ask the women who work in the new boys' club of the tech startup world. a suit against perkins is shining a light on the mad men treatment of women in silicon valley. she was passed over for promotion simply because she was a woman. she has received vague and contradictory feedback that she was too, quote, prickly.

this subtle but significant discrimination for anyone who dares to speak out matches what other women in the male dominated tech world have described. whether or not you believe her specific allegations it is not hard to see silicon valley has a major problem with women. they exclusively crown kings and not queens. yet only 3% of total venture capital dollars go to women-led companies. this abysmal rate of funding is matched by the abysmal numbers of women working at the vcs themselves. in 1999 women made up 10% of the vc partners. today that number is just 6%. so in the new boys' club, the

mostly white men with the money, dole it out to white men starting companies. it is all but shutting women out of the economy of the future. today only 10% of high gross startups are, in fact led by women. it is a bigger loss for all of us because it means we'll never have the benefit of those great ideas and we'll never have an economy as strong and as dynamic as it could be by using the ideas of half the population. so guys put on your swim trunks and dive in to supporting some strong women. "now" with alex wagner starts right now. a u.s. air force vet in new jersey is charged with trying to join isis. congressman aaron schock is resigning and new charges for robert durst.

polls just closed. it is tuesday, march 17th and this is "now." >> benjamin netanyahu is fighting for his political life today. >> it's a real nail-biter at this point. >> netanyahu has been promising to reverse policy and to not recognize the palestinian's faith. >> there was another hail mary today. >> in the animal kingdom there's nothing more dangerous than a panicked politician. we have breaking news this hour. polls have just closed in israel's parliamentary elects where weeks after a partisan address in front of