quit and what he's going to do now that he has quit, i have good news for you because he's going to be on "the last word" tonight right here on msnbc, oh, look, right now. "first look" sup next. hot off the press from nbc news poll, find a clear leader with a high percentage of any gop candidate. new news on what brought down a russian airlines. an nbc news exclusive plus late breaking details on the man who punched out an uber driver. "first look" starts right now. good morning, everybody. i'm betty nguyen. happy super tuesday, everybody. it is election day, 2015 and that means the countdown is on. one year until we will vote for

our 45th president and the candidates, they are busy. jeb bush is now into his jeb can fix it tour. a big reset starting in florida. that phrase was trending on twitter worldwide, but maybe for the wrong reasons. people make jokes out of it like jeb can fix it referring to the 2000 election in florida. >> i think he's highly joet rated. i think he's an overrated person. i don't think he's going to make it. he's nowhere in the polls. >> and to more friction between trump and his fellow republican candidates. trump is throwing a curveball. he will continue to negotiate tv deals with the network instead of as part of that gop group effort. as far as the debates are concerned, president obama joked about them at a fund-raiser last night. >> it turns out they can't handle a bunch of cnbc

moderators. if you can't handle those guys, you know, then i don't think the chinese and the russians are going to be too worried about you. >> those gop candidates are all looking at brand new data from nbc news. a new poll with its brand new front-runner and in a big way. nbc's tracie potts is live from washington. tracie, which candidates are waking up to good news this morning? >> certainly ben carson even more than we've already seen. and the poll tells us the economy is still the number one issue with voters. but they're split over whether democrats or republicans should be in charge here. >> new from our nbc "wall street journal" poll, americans are frustrated. just over a quarter think we're headed in the right direction. more than half think the deck is stacked against them.

more than half would fire their member of congress. >> you can't just tell congress you're fired and go to commercial break. the biggest surprise, ben carson at 29%. the biggest lead of any republican so far. >> what you're seeing right now is the conservative and the outsider wing has really taken charge of the energy of the party. >> carson is leading the charge to reform the next debate. >> i think there's a general agreement that the last debate was a farce and that something needs to be done about it. >> john kasich, carly fiorina and chris christie won't sign the campaign's list of demands. >> i'm not one of these complainers about this. listen, i said what i thought the morning around. >> donald trump is negotiating on his own. president obama -- ire with cnbc moderators. >> if you can't handle those guys, you know, then i don't think the chinese and the russians are going to be too worried about you. >> jeb bush, at 8%, is trying to fix his campaign.

>> and when you take a look at the positives and the negative necessary that poll, betty, what we find is ben carson ranks as the most popular candidate out there. democrat or republican. donald trump as the least popular. >> all right, thank you so much for that update. if you have a question for the democratic candidates, now is your chance to ask. we are taking your suggestions for the first south democratic candidates forum airing this friday on msnbc. submit your questions now on twitter. for more information, visit elections.msnbc.com and tune in friday to see if your question was elected. this morning, the u.s. embassy in cairo was telling his staff to stay away from egypt's sinai peninsula after a russian passenger plane crashed over the sinai desert and killed all 224 people on board. so far, there is no evidence of terrorism, but data intelligence

gathering by a u.s. satellite is raising some concern. >> the wreckage tells the story of a plane that broke apart in midair, scattered so far a satellite was used to find debris. each piece, a clue in this mystery. investigators worked on the two flight recorder's, extracting information but releasing none. the airline metro jet claims a technical fault couldn't have caused the crash, blaming an external impact. russian officials insist that isn't based on fact. one fact we know is that the doomed plane was involved in a previous accident. its tail hitting the ground, landing here in cairo 14 years ago. and nobody is ruling out terrorism. isis, which operates in the area, claims it downed the plane. egypt and russia discounting that. the u.s. is not. >> we don't have any direct evidence of any terrorist involvement yet. >> the bodies of nearly 200

people are back in russia now. among the dead, the sheen family, pictured leaving for egypt. and the youngest victim, 10-month-old dorina, waiting to go home, lost in a disaster still to be explained. bill kenealy, nbc news, cairo. new developments in that uber attack caught on camera. benjamin golden, with taco bell, is out of a job this morning. golden repeatedly punching an uber driver went viral yesterday. he has not responded to requests for comment on the case. >> he was charged with public intoxication. in a statement on cnbc, a taco bell spokesperson said given the behavior, it's clear he can no longer work for us. the company encouraged golden to seek help. the hotly debated xl pipeline may be put on hold. the secretary of canada send john kerry a temporary request

to withdrawal its license. the request could keep the project alive, though the state debate is not obligated to grant the suspension. as president obama pushes for sweeping criminal justice reform, he sat down for a candid, exclusive interview with nbc's lester holt. >> you take out you of the underpinnings of the justice which is deterrent when you say no jail or diversion or shoert sentences. are you afraid it could send the wrong message? >> actually, nobody is talking about no jail in all circumstances. the question is how do we go through the various levels of the criminal justice system and tailor it so that we are getting the best results, which are safe streets and a reduced incarceration that results in society spending $80 billion a year? and some of it is necessary. i've said repeatedly, if you've

got violent crippminals out the, they need to be incapacitated, they need to be taken off the streets. nobody is more invested than i am in continuing the trend towards reduced crime. >> and for the first time, president obama spoke about his decision to put boots on the ground in syria. >> we haven't heard from you since last friday when the decision was announced to put a small number of u.s. special operations forces on the ground in northern syria. many will look and see you've broken your promise about boots on the ground. have you? >> keep in mind that we have run special ops already. and, really, this is just an extension of what we are continuing to do. we are not putting u.s. troops on the front lines fighting fire fights with isil. but i've been consistent throughout, that we are not going to be fighting like we did in iraq with a battalions and

occupations. that doesn't solve the problem. >> tonight, part two of lester's exclusive interview with president obama. this evening, the 2016 race and what he thought about republican reaction to last week's cnbc debate. coming up on nine minutes past the hour, let's get down to business with landon dowdy. >> everybody, good morning to you. the markets kick off november on a positive note with the dow closing back in the black for the year. investors reacting to a number of takeover deals including visa buying its european operations, economic data and bracing for a fresh round of earnings this week. game on, activision blizzard is buying candy crushmaker king digital for about $6 billion. the companies would have a more than $500 million monthly active users. and amazon is extending maternity leave for up to 20 weeks for new moms and adding paternity leave for the first

time. amazon is allowing employees to give all or part of their paid leave to a spouse or partner who doesn't have parental leave through their job. amazon is opening its first bookstore today in seattle. it will have books based on customer ratings on amazon.com. >> a real brick and mortar store for amazon. interesting. in sports, monday night football and a rainey night in charlotte. the undefeated panthers against the struggling indianapolis col colts. cam newton hands over to jonathan who battles his way into the end zone. and a bizarre sight of protesters hanging a banner mid game. something about anti-fracking. back to the action, parnthers score again, but with seven minutes left, down 17, they were not done yesterday. indy battles back not one, but two quick touchdowns and a rejuvenated andrew luck. indy kicks a field goal to send

the game into o.t. after the two teams trade field goals, panthers kicker hits this 52 yarder for the win. that keeps this team undefeated at 7-0. it looks like the niners are benching colin kaepernick. san francisco has traded vernon davis to the undefeated denver broncos. giving peyton manning another target. now to the nba, lebron james was the younger player to reach 25,000 career points as his clear clear cavaliers came from behind to beat the sixers, 107-100. betraying pope francis, two are arrested at the vatican. we have the details straight ahead. on this super tuesday, we have a look at america's choices for president of the united states. you're watching "first look."

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it's already been a wild campaign season, full of gaffes, headline grabbing feuds and arguably going all the way back to the last election. let's take a look at some of the key moments of the campaign so far. >> just as the 2014 season is winding down, the 2016 campaign is ramping up. >> the folks likely to throw their hats into the ring, into the possible presumed -- well, all but certain candidacy of hillary clinton. former governor mitt romney, he is not running for president. >> today, we're setting up the right to rise pact. >> i am announcing that i'm running for president of the united states. >> i announce my candidacy for president of the united states. >> and i'm a candidate for president of the united states. >> i am a candidate for president of the united states of america. >> i am running for president of the united states. >> and i am a candidate for president of the united states. >> i am proud to announce my candidacy for president of the

united states of america. >> they're bringing drugs. they're bringing crime. their rapists. >> trump mania seems to be sweeping through a certain segment of the republican party. >> i'm tied with jeb bush and i said, how can i be tied with this guy? he's terrible. he's terrible. >> i don't want to be associated with the vitriol that he's spewing out these days. >> it's a battle for the soul of the republican party. >> knowing what we know now, would you have authorized the invasion? >> i would have. >> she gets out and starts asking me all sorts of ridiculous questions. you can see there was blood coming out of her eyes, blood coming out of her wherever. >> you did not mean to suggest meghan kelly was sg her period? >> of course i didn't. >> you would take the israelis and essentially march them to the door of the oven. >> if it wasn't for donald trump, the biggest story of the

summer would be hillary clinton's problems solidifying herself within the democratic party. >> did you wipe the server? >> what, with a cloth or something? >> quote, look at that face. would anyone vote for that? >> i think women all over this country heard very clearly what mr. trump said. >> we have a problem in this country. it's called muslims. we know our current president is one. >> i would not advocate that we put a muslim in charge of this nation. >> hillary clinton's lead slipping. >> no one can see what she stands for through the fog of this e-mail controversy. >> to run or not to run. >> joe biden is getting very close to making his decision about running for president. >> the american people are sick and tired of hearing about your [ expletive ] e-mails. >> i believe we're out of time. the time necessary to mount a campaign for the nomination. >> her third hearing on the topic of benghazi. >> for 11 hours, there was plenty of political theater. >> i was alone, yes.

>> the whole night? well, yes, the whole night. >> he's really put at least the republican-led benghazi issue to bed. >> debate night, make or break night for many of the other candidates. >> the men and women on this stage have more ideas, more experience, more common sense than every participant in the democratic debate. that debate reflected a -- >> all right. 23 past the hour. time to welcome in ellis. boy, a lot of happens, hasn't it? >> and we have another year to go. is that what you said? >> and it gets better. listen to this. the headline yesterday wab gop campaigns were setting these new rules for the debate. they were all going to come together and establish what they wanted. well, now it seems like they can't all agree, so where does that leave the debate? >> okay. we get three facets. you have to walk through this.

>> okay. >> we've got the whiners. we've got the attention grabbers. the ones who are just so happy to be there they'll agree to anything. >> on tv, yeah. >> and then we have trump and he's running his own personal negotiation of the television network. >> that's the thing. he's breaking away from the pack, going to negotiate personally with the network. how is that going to throw all of this into a spew? >> well, it's anything because trump and carson are really the only people that anyone cares about in terms of the ratings. that's what the viewers want to see. so it does give them a lot of power when it tries to decide what the rules are actually going to be. if they don't show up, nobody watches. >> trump is saying, look, it's all in my court because i'm going to negotiate by myself. >> he's right about that, right? be honest, the debate wouldn't be nearly as interesting if he weren't there. >> that's a good point. in the meantime, hillary clinton has to be sitting back watching this going, you know what?

they're playing right into my hand. this is exactly what i wanted. this is what i need. >> all of a sed, she's looking down in earnest concern. >> it's fascinating. we're just going to go forward with what we planned. >> at the same time, the candidates are all getting together. representatives, you know, met in virginia. i think the network executives maybe get together, right? they can get together and say, you know what? we're going to run the debate. come if you want to. >> there's a lot of advertising dollars at stake here. no one really wants to blow this, right? >> no, that's true. frankly, as long as the big guys come, it doesn't matter what the whiners do. >> we appreciate your insight today. thank you. >> my pleasure. >> check out our facebook page at first look, msnbc. way too early starts now.

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every one of these candidates say, you know, obama is weak. he's -- you know, putin is kicking sand in his face. when i talk to putin, he's going to straighten out. just looking at him, i'm going to -- he's going to -- and then it turns out they can't handle a bunch of cnbc moderators. at the debate. >> president obama on broadway for one night only.

roasting the republican presidential candidates during a dnc fund-raiser. and just when we thought the gop contenders were united to changes behind the debate, things fall apart. we'll have the latest in the race for president as the top contender tries to solidify his front-runner status. and the mystery deepens into the cause of that russian plane crash in egypt. u.s. experts now saying the problem could have come from on board the plane. it's 5:30 on the east coast, 2:30 out west and this is way too early. >> good morning, everybody. it's tuesday, november 3rd. i'm amy holmes. we begin with another national poll that shows ben carson surging