we will start at 10:30 and go forever. big day tomorrow. that does it for us tonight. we will see you again then. now it's time for the last word "first look" is up next. it's almost time for another 2016 showdown. today it will be mike pence and tim kaine squaring off for their first and only vice presidential debate. has donald trump's rough week gotten worse? he's faced criticism over comments about a forr miss universe, his tax returns, and now his campaign is defending his remarks about veterans with ptsd. residents in haiti are facing hurricane matthew. forecasters say the category 4 storm could create a humanitarian disaster in the country that's still devastated from the 2010 earthquake. ♪ ♪

good morning. it is tuesday, october 4th. i'm betty nguyen alongside alex witt and louis burgdorf. the vice presidential debant, senator tim kaine of virginia will debate indiana's republican governor mike pence for a chance to be a heartbeat away from the oval office, only the 10th vice presidential debate in american history, a the long wood university in farmville, virginia. a town 3 1/2 hours south of washington tial population thousa 8,000. nine topics with approximately ten minutes for each. tonight's candidates are little known. a recent poll found 46% of adults could not name kaine, 41% did not know pence. but the two have a lot in common. the men are about the same age. kaine is 58, pence is 57. both had catholic upbringingings

and graduated from law school. both have served as governors and worked on capitol hill -- pence in the house, kaine in the senate. both have sons who are active duty officers in the marine corps. both have been preparing. washington's super lawyer bob barnett played pence during kaine's debate prep. he's worked the democrats for practically every major debate since 1976. wisconsin governor scott walker played kaine in pence's preparing sessions. >> all the research i did suggesting to me senator kaine will be very respectful, decent, he'll come across as a mild-mannered, nice guy. but in the end he'll take shot after shot after shot at donald trump. and i think mike pence's job is to come in and quickly dismiss the false attacks and quickly pivot to the problems of hillary clinton. >> last night pence held a rally ahead of his debate performance and the usually reserved vice

presidential nominee appeared to use a swear word at a pre-debate rally in virginia as he talked about the coverage and analysis of his running mate. >> it is kind of funny. sometimes -- it's like almost every day they come up with something new and different. they say, now we got him. right? now he said this. we can parse that. you with me? he tweeted this. and they think they finally got him. and then they turn on the television the next morning and donald trump is still standing stronger than ever before and fighting for the american people. this [ bleep ] really is fun to watch, i'll tell you what. >> a federal court has dealt a blow to indiana governor and vice presidential nominee mike pence's efforts to keep syrian refugees out of his state. the court upheld a lower court position preventing pence from withholding federal funds

guaranteed by law to help refugee resettlement organizations. the law bans discrimination based on nationality. the three-judge panel rejected the governor's argument terrorists are posing as syrian refugees to get into the u.s., calling it a nightmare speculation based on no evidence. a spokeswoman released a statement that read in part, the safety and security of the people of indiana is governor pence's highest priority. state of indiana took decisive action to suspend resettlement of syrian refugees after the terrorist attack in paris and because the fbi and department of homeland security acknowledged security gaps with regard to screening refugees from syria. the panel that issued this ruling featured u.s. circuit judge diane sykes, who is on donald trump's list of potential supreme court nominees. donald trump is facing criticism this morning for comments he made about veterans who suffer from post-traumatic stress disorder. trump was speaking with the retired american warriors pac when he made the remarks. he was criticized later in the day by vice president joe biden.

>> when you talk about the mental health problems, when people come back from war and combat, they see things that maybe a lot of the folks in this room have seen many times over, and you're strong and you can handle it, but a lot of people can't handle it. they see horror stor. s, they see events that you couldn't see in a movie, nobody would believe it. we need a mental health help and medical and it's one of the thin that i think is least addressed. we are losing so many great people that can be taken care of if they have proper care. >> he points out to the veterans in the room. says, you're strong, you can handle it, but a lot of people can't handle it. where in the hell is he coming from? i don't think he was trying to be mean, he's just so thoroughly, completely uninformed. we have one sacred obligation. to care for those we send to war.

to care for them and their families when they come home. it's not the existence. he has no interest in finding out. >> retired lieutenant general michael flynn, a top trump adviser, released a statement accusing the media of taking trump's words out of context in order to deceive voters and veterans. the vice president was in florida yesterday campaigning for hillary clinton, and he did not hold back in his attacks against donald trump, especially on the republican presidential nominee's recent twitter rants about 1996 miss universe winner alicia may chaud do. >> what type of leader -- this isn't just a talking point. you've got to really think about the character of someone. what type of leader awakens at 3:00 in the morning -- [ laughter ] no, no, no. no i'm being deadly earnest. you don't have to be a psychologist or psychiatrist. but what kind of leader awakens

at 3:00 in the morning and tw t tweets hillary helped "disgusting alicia m." become a u.s. citizen so she could use her in a debate? or 3:30 in the morning. this guy wants to be president of the united states of america. >> the new york attorney general's office has ordered the trump foundation to stop fund-raising in the state. nbc news has learned that trump's personal charity was served with a seese and desist order telling the foundation to stop soliciting contributions because it does not have proper certification. the notice of violation letter asks the trump foundation to send any delinquent financial reports to attorney general eric schneider man's office within 15 days. this news coming after "the washington post" reported last week that the foundation lacked a required state certificate to solicit donors. the trump campaign responded to the news with a statement yesterday reading in part, while we remain very concerned about the political motives behind attorney general schneiderman's

investigation, the trump foundation nevertheless intends to cooperate fully with the investigation. schneiderman, who recently opened an inquiry into the foundation, he is a democrat supporting hillary clinton for president. under pressure over his tax returns, donald trump repeated a call from bernie sanders during the primary season demanding hillary clinton release the transcripts of private speeches she gave to banks like goldman sachs. >> while you've lost out, hillary clinton has raked in cash from her contributors. she and bill have made $150 million in speeches. and she's not a good speaker. it's amazing. to special interests. they gave 39 speeches to big banks, including $2 million in speaking fees from goldman sachs. i would like to see what the speeches said. she doesn't want to release them. release the papers, hillary. release those papers.

what if any effect the debate has had on the he winds, a crush of new polls to wade through. in the latest cbs news poll, hillary clinton's lead has grown to 4 points when you include third-party candidates, a turnaround from september when the poll had the race in a dead heat. while the debate had no effect on about half of all voters, 32% of likely voters who watched the debate say they think better of clinton in the wake of her performance. 36% say they think worse of trump. in the latest cnn/orc ll, clinton has seen a 7-int swing, she now leads 47-42. republican senator kelly ayotte is working to do damage control after claiming donald trump is a good role model for kids. the freshman republican, who faces a tight re-election race, made the comment during a debate last night while also being grilled on why she won't endorse trump. >> i would tell a child to absolutely aspire certainly to

be their best and to be president and to seek to run for the presidency, absolutely. >> but would you -- again, to the question. would you tell them to be like donald trump? would you point to him as a role model? >> i think that certainly there are many role models that we have, and i believe he can serve as president, so absolutely i would do that. >> if you believe he can serve as president, why won't you endorse him if. >> because i've had some disagreements with him and i've been quite clear about those disagreements. >> senator ayotte released a statement shortly after the debate that read, i misspoke tonight. while i would hope all of our children would aspire to be president, neither donald trump nor hillary clinton have set a good example and i would not hold up either of them as role models for my kids. meanwhile, recent polls show that race for senator ayotte's senate seat remains in a dead heat. monmouth university numbers show senator ayotte shows a slight

lead, wbur gives her the advantage, both wind the margin of error. hurricane matthew, heavy flooding and mudslides are beginning as heatty is still struggling to recover from devastating earthquake six years ago. up to 40 inches of rain are predicted in areas. haiti's president is urging residents to abandon their homes, tens of thousands of which are tents, and take refuge in schools, churches and other shelters. matthew, currently a powerful category 4 hurricane, with sustained winds up to 145 miles per hour. just to show you how big the storm actually is, here's a look seen from the international space station. this storm stretches out from the eye seemingly forever. the newest storm path shows matthew coming to the southeast coast in the next couple of days. the governors of florida and north carolina have both declared states of emergency ahead of the storm's arrival. >> right now the projected path is a little off the coast.

it can change at a moment's notice. when that happens, we're not going to have a lot of time to get ready. be prepared ahead of time. >> for more let's bring in nbc meteorologist bill karins. this is a really scary situation. >> overnight the forecast got worse. internally i have a forecast method of letting everyone know the seriousness of storms by saying, minor, moderate, major, historic impact. southeast united states right now, i'm at major. bordering on getting towards historic. i think by the end of today we're going to have hurricane watches that go from florida, possibly up through the carolinas, and i wouldn't doubt in the next 24 to 48 hours a million or so people are asked to evacuate our coastline. >> they talk about how slow the storm is moving. how difficult is that for haiti? >> the devastation, we don't want to forget our friends in haiti, they're in the brunt of it, the worst of it. the eye the storm, you can see here, is now about to make landfall in this little peninsula. everything out here, i can't

imagine if anyone's out here what they went through last night what they're going through now, they're only halfway done with the storm. 145-mile-per-hour winds on the coast tearing everything up in this area. there's mountains here too. you can imagine what the mudslides are like. here's the latest on the storm. yes, today the concern is with haiti. we won't even know probably for two days, three days, just how bad this region was. port-au-prince is getting heavy rainfall, flooding problems too. the roads are poor at best. after a storm like this it's going to -- maybe boat is how people are going to have to explore haiti. this will make a second landfall in areas of eastern cuba later this evening. that area will be the next one that will have the devastation. the new forecast path from the hurricane center. again, another shift towards the southeast coastline. hurricane center now has the center line crossing through the carolinas right along the coast with a possibility of maybe category 3, likely category 2. that's the range we're talking about. so this path is almost similar

to a hurricane floyd, 1999. for the old-timer, like a donna. the storm's going to be dangerously close to florida. our computer models are all over the place. once we get to the end of the forecast, but not in the inninging. we're going to threaten florida, we're going to hit the carolinas, then possibly even new england as we go throughout this upcoming weekend. i'll be breaking down all of this as we go throughout the day. today's the day for preparations. tomorrow will likely be the day for evacuations. >> take this very seriously. tensions between the united states and russia hit a post-cold war low. what it means for syria now that cease-fire talks are suspended. north korea has suffered the worst natural disaster in its history. up next, inside look at one town working to rebuild.

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renewed violence in syria in

the wake of that failed cease-fire agreement has led the u.s. to suspend diplomatic contacts with russia as relations between the two continue to sour. state department says the move stems from moscow not meeting the terms of last month's agreement to restore the broken cease-fire and make sure humanitarian aid is delivered. secretary of state john kerry threatened action last week following russian and syrian attacks on aleppo. the announcement came just hours after russian president vladimir putin suspended a deal with the u.s. on the disposal of weapons-grade plutonium. meanwhile the syrian observatory for human rights reports that 1,400 civilians have been killed or wounded since the collapse of that cease-fire. speaking yesterday, white house spokesman josh stern says patience has run out with russia. >> i think everybody had concluded after the behavior we've seen from the russians the last couple of weeks that there was little, if anything, to be gained to continue to talk to them about this. they were not serious about

living up to their commitments. and that has tragic consequences for the situation in syria. shifting gears to north korea, it's reeling from massive flooding and what experts are calling the worst natural disaster in the nation's history. entire towns have been destroyed. tens of thousands have been left homeless. an untold number have died. the rebuilding effort has already begun. nbc's bill neely reports from the town of yanza, north korea. >> reporter: this is a scene of absolutely frenzied activity. another site where the floodwaters just rushed down here and washed away, here 700 homes. there are 4,500 soldiers here. you can see not just cadets running with earth to make bricks but local schoolchildren who have just finished school and are coming here to help. just a short time ago i talked to two schoolchildren, aged 13

and 14, both of whom have lost both their parents in this disaster. just short of 100 people died in this area alone. and this is typical of what we've seen really for the last three days. multiple communities along this river, all getting together to help. over here you can see they're now rebuilding the bridge that we're standing on, which again was swept away by this wall of water. the real problem here and what they're essentially doing in trying to rebuild, they need to rebuild quickly. because the winter is coming, it can be very, very harsh here. they have a deadline. they've been given a deadline by north korea's leader kim jong-un. that is to rebuild the houses within three weeks, by the end of the month. that means three-story apartment buildings, five-story apartment buildings, which probably explains how frenzied and exactly why this activity here is so frenetic. >> that was bill neely

reporting. still ahead, with his deflategate suspension officially over, patriots quarterback tom brady is ready to get back to work. sports is next. that i would nev. we met when we were very young... i was 17, he was 18. we made e moviethe book of . we started doing animation. with the surface book, you can do all this stuff. you can actually draw on the screen. so crisp. i love it. it's almost like this super powerful computer and a tablet had the perfect baby. it's a typewriter for writing scripts... it's a sketchbook for sketches... ...it's a canvas for painting... you can't do that on a mac. for patients like lynn, advanced genomic testing may lead to other treatment options that can work. learn how genomic testing is changing the way we fight cancer at cancercenter.com/genomics

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we've seen a thing or two. ♪ we are farmers. bum-pa-dum, bum-bum-bum-bum ♪ an expression of disgust caused by inadequate litter tidy cats is the cure. with new guaranteed tidylock protection, you won't have to face one more stank face. tidy cats. every home, every cat. there's a tidy cats for that. welcome back. time for sports. vikings hosting giants, monday night football. to minnesota, if you thought losing quarterback teddy bridgewater and running back adrian peterson to injury would stunt the vikings this season, think 15. minnesota's defense shut down the giants forcing new york to punt on its first five possessions and caused two

turnovers in the game. meanwhile, the vikings got rushing scores out of jared mckinnon as well as third td reception in as many games for tight end kyle rudolph. sam bradford has yet to throw an interception since joining minnesota. the 24-10 win groups the vikings with the eagles and broncos as the league's only remaining undefeated teams. new england quarterback tom brady's four-game ban was lifted monday night at midnight. if you didn't know, patriots receiver julian edelman signaled brady's long-awaited return with a one-word tweet, #free. brady confirmed he was back at gillette yesterday and is eager to get on the field after a 3-1 start for the patriots without their future hall of fame quarterback. brady is expected to be back under center on sunday against the browns. mlb, baseball's postseason picture is in focus after a weekend of play. it was a bit of a black monday for the major league managers. starting with the rockies

skipper walt weiss, who the team announced has resigned, weiss at the end of a three-year contract with colorado, a record of 293-385 in four seasons with the club. in arizona, after going 69-93 for a fourth-place finish the n.l. west, the diamondbacks have sent packing manager chip hale, along with gm dave stewart. now whispers tony la russa is out at the chief baseball officer. while he's not a manager, the marlins have reportedly dismissed hitting coach barry bonds, the controversial home run king was with miami just one season. the mlb playoffs get under way tonight with the blue jays hosting orioles in the american league wild card game. and a battle of righties, chris tillman on the mound for baltimore against toronto's marcus stroe man. the jays have won 10 of 19 meetings against the o's this season. the winner will advance to face the rangers in game one of the a.l. division series on thursday. baseball is exciting. >> oh, yeah, i'm excited for my texas rangers, they're in it this year.

>> then there's the l.a. dodgers. we thought you'd be lonely so we came over here to join you. >> i like this a lot. >> nice and cozy with you guys. >> the three musketeers. donald trump goes on defense after some of his tax documents get leaked and claims he's brilliantly used those hahs to his benefit. we're getting a look at a series of new polls showing just how much the first presidential debate has impacted the 2016 race. a woman in st. louis turns 102 and spends her birthday in the back of a police car. we'll explain what happened there. ght ge programmed machines to talk. ge is an industrial company that actually builds world-changing machines. machines that can talk to each other digitally. hello? they don't talk to each other like that, ricky. shhhh, you'll anger it. he looks a little ticked off now.

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the unfairness of the tax laws is unbelievable. it's something i've been talking about for a long time despite, frankly, being a big beneficiary of the laws. but i'm working for you now, i'm not working for trump. >> donald trump claims his brilliance helped him beat a bad tax system and says he's the only one who can fix it. the latest on that controversy and a new one for the republican nominee. the state of the race. a whole slew of new polling out since the first debate just as we rather for tonight's vice presidential debate. kim kardashian returns to new york city under heavy security after being robbed at gunpoint in paris. could the $10 million hotel heist have been an inside job? ♪ ♪ good morning. it is tuesday, october 4th.

i'm alex witt alongside betty nguyen and louis burgdorf. donald trump gave less first public response to the bombshell from the "new york times" he may have avoided paying federal income taxes almost two decades after declaring a $1 billion loss in '95. while he hasn't confirmed nor denied the claim, trump did defend using what he calls a "unfair tax system." >> i understand the tax laws better than almost anyone. which is why i am one who can truly fix them. i understand it. i get it. and that is what i commit to do. we want fairness. we want money brought in. we want money to be spent when it goes out. because they spent our tax dollars so unfairly and unwisely. remember that. as a businessman and real estate developer, i have legally used the tax laws to my bid my benef

the benefit of my company, my investors, and my employees. honestly, i have brilliantly used those laws. i have often said on the campaign trail that i was a fiduciary responsibility to pay no more tax than is legally required, like anybody else. or put another way, to pay as little tax as legally possible. if you remember the early '90s, other than i would say 1928, there was nothing even close. the conditions facing real estate developers in that early '90 period were almost as bad as the great depression of 1929 and far worse than the great recession of 2008. not even close. many business people, including many of my competitors and some of my friends, were not able to survive. companies, jobs and opportunities were lost and

lives were destroyed. as tens of thousands of people were put out of work. these tough times were when i performed my very best. the economy and banks, they were collapsing. the government was a mess. but i enjoyed waking up every day to go to battle. had an expression in the early '90s, survive till '95 and you'll be okay. and people copied it. survive till '95. that's what we did. i won. i won and i kept on winning till this day. i kept on winning. >> trump has in the past said he welcomed turbulent markets. in 2007, on the eve of the housing market crash, he said he was "excited" for the end of the market's incredible rise, and here he is in 2004 talking about weathering his massive loss in the '90s. >> the real estate markets crashed. i don't want to blame the real estate markets because i always made a lot of money in bad markets, i love bad markets, you can do very well in a bad

market. >> last night in ohio, hillary clinton seized on the "new york times" story accusing her rival of being the "poster boy" from the same rigged system that he's railing against, saying he would make things even worse. >> he apparently lost a billion dollars on bad investments and failing casinos. ask yourself this. who loses money on casinos? really. yesterday, some of his supporters said, well, it just shows he's a genius. that he didn't pay any taxes. well, what kind of genius loses a billion dollars in the first place? in the debate, he said not paying taxes made him smart. but think about what that means. it means that all the rest of

us, who pay our taxes, right? what's he saying about us? but more than that, zero taxes means zero for our vets. zero for our military. zero for pell grants to send young people to college. zero for health. zero for education. and you stop and ask yourself, this is the same person who's been going around really just dumping on america. he says our military's a disaster. well, he could not be more wrong, but thank goodness the rest of us pay to support our men and women in uniform. who have done so much for us. >> donald trump is facing criticism this morning for comments he made about veterans who suffer from post-traumatic stress disorder. trump was speaking with the retired american warriors pac

when he made the remarks. he was criticized later in the day by vice president joe biden. >> when you talk about the mental health problems, when people come back from war and combat ask, they see things that maybe a lot of the folks in this room have seen many times over and you're strong and you can handle it, but a lot of people can't handle it. they see horror stories. they see events that you couldn't see in a movie, nobody would believe it. we need a mental health help and medical and it's one of the things that i think is least addressed. we are losing so many great people that can be taken care of if they have proper care. >> he points out to the veterans group. he says, and you're strong. you can handle it. but a lot of people can't. can't handle it. where in the hell is he coming from? i don't think he was trying to be mean. he is just so thoroughly, completely uninformed. we only have one sacred obligation.

to care for those we send to war. and to ware for them and their families when they come home. it's not that he doesn't get it, he has no interest in finding out. >> retired lieutenant general michael flynn, top trump adviser, accused the media of taking mr. trump's words out of context in order to deceive voters and veterans. here's another one for the republican nominee. the new york attorney general's office has ordered the trump foundation to stop fund-raising in the state. nbc news has learned that trump's personal charity was served with a seese and desist order telling the foundation to stop soliciting contributions because it does not have proper certification. the notice of violation letter asks the trump foundation to send any delinquent financial reports to attorney general eric schneiderman's office within 15 days. "the washington post" reported the foundation lacked a certification to solicit donors.

"while we remain very concerned about the political motives behind attorney general schneiderman's investigation, the trump foundation intends to comply fully." this morning a crush of new polls to wade through. let start nationally. in the latest cbs news poll, hillary clinton's lead has grown to 4 points when you include third-party candidates. a turnaround from september when the poll had the race in a dead heat. while the debate had no effect on about half of all voters, 32% of likely voters who watched the debate say they think better of clinton in the wake of her performance. 36% say they think worse of trump. in the latest cnn/orc poll, clinton has seen a 7-point swing. see leads 47-42. the last time quinnipiac university polled florida trump and clinton were neck and neck.

now clinton has opened a 5-point lead, 46-41. clinton sits at a 4-point lead in pennsylvania by a nearly identical 45-41. gary johnson falling 4 points. his tumble is worse in ohio, down 8%. clinton and trump are both up and trump is maintaining a 5-point lead. johnson is down 8 points in north carolina with clinton and trump both rising again. clinton leads 46-43, within the margin of error. a bloomberg poll out of north carolina shows clinton leading there by just 1%. and while the trend lines had shown trump closing the gap in colorado, a new monmouth poll has clinton up 11 points there. the communications director of the republican national committee has retracted but not apologized for a tweet likening an act of tim kaine to an infamous moment in american politics. sean spicer tweeted, exclusive, republicans launch willie horton-style attack on tim

kaepg, linking to a web ad describing the crimes of men kaine worked to spare as a death penalty as a lawyer and later as governor of virginia. the republican party official account posted a near-identical tweet but drew a backlash for referencing the 1988 ad runs against michael dukakidukakis. the then-rnc chairman lee atwater apologized to dukakis for saying he would make willie horton his running mate because it makes him sound racist which i am not. spicer at first defended the twee writing that he and the party were only using roll call's headline. but later deleted the post saying he pushed the story about the ad. a story that's dominating entertainment headlines, kim kardashian is back in new york city this morning after being robbed at gunpoint in paris over the weekend. the masked men made off with $10 million worth of jewels. as nbc reports the reality star may have inadvertently tipped off the thieves over social

media. >> reporter: kim kardashian makes millions sharing her-. but this time she may have shared too much. at a private paris hotel for fashion week, she gave a play by play sunday leaving her hotel -- >> on our way. >> reporter: and back again on snapchat until 2:00 in the morning. her regular security guard not present at the time. around 2:30, five armed robbers dressed as police hit her hotel. according to paris officials, three of them handcuffed the lone security guard, while two masked men bound and gagged kardashian, pointing a gunn to her head, throwing her in the bathroom. the prize, a $4.5 million ring. a jewelry box with $5.5 million more in gems. husband kanye west cut his new york concert short. >> i'm sorry, family emergency, i have to stop the show. >> reporter: security consultant doran levy believes the robbers knew the hotel. >> you think this was an inside

job? >> yes. it is very easy target. >> reporter: kardashian heard may have unknowingly told them what she was carrying. kardashian unharmed but badly shaken, returned to new york with extra security. her ring finger now bare. as police examine security camera footage from inside the hotel to try to find the robbers. >> kanye west is scheduled to perform tonight in philadelphia. no word if he plans to go through with that show. >> still, a frightening scenario, just thinking about what she went through. >> tied her up in the bathroom, goodness. still ahead, netflix shares rally on talk of a disney takeover. we'll have the latest on that. a possible humanitarian disaster in the making as hurricane matthew bears down on haiti. check out this view from space as florida declares a state of emergency. bill karins is tracking the path. the first rule of being a viking.

is that teamwork is important.

remember to do the little things. help each other out. and the second rule of being a viking. there's more than one way to win. vikings: war of clans play free now.

. this emerging scandal hasn't thrown trump off. he stayed on the campaign trail

and he's managed to stay on message. >> people in negotiating and owners of companies are negotiating to move your companies to mexico and other places. you watch. and it's getting worse. it's not getting better, it's getting worse. and you're unsuspecting. right now you say to you wife, let's go to a movie after trump. but you won't do that because you'll be so high and so excited that no manufactury's going to satisfy you, okay? no movie. you know why? honestly? because they don't make movies like they used to. is that right? >> okay. here's what he said. people are negotiating and owners of companies are negotiating to move your companies out to mexico and other places. you watch. and it's getting worse. it's not getting better. it's getting worse. and you're unsuspecting. right now you say to your wife, let's go to a movie after trump.

but you won't do that because you'll be so high and so excited that no movie is going to satisfy you. okay? no movie. you know why? honestly, because they don't make movies like they used to. is that right? >> that was jimmy kimmel riffing on the good old days of the movies. yesterday's rumors swirled about a potential takeover bid from disney to acquire netflix. cnbc's nancy hungered for joins us from london. how likely is this merger and what would this mean for the future of both companies? >> that is the question on investors' minds amid reports that two big household names could be joining forces in the movie space. this was speculation that kicked ovulate last week that perhaps disney is looking at a buyout of netflix. we know so far that disney has been investing heavily in

streaming so that is why investors seem to think this deal in particular makes sense. there was an analyst note from r.w. baron saying, whoever the target, it could be apple, it could be perhaps disney, but they are looking at netflix, various companies. that boosted the stock up about 4% and that outperformed the broader tech index, the nasdaq, because markets overall did get off to a bit of a soft start for the first day of this quarter. looking elsewhere, we continue to watch shares of deutsche bank and what impact they might have on banking stock in the united states. there's anticipation over when deutsche bank executives will settle this agreement with u.s. authorities, the department of justice who hinted they were looking at a $14 billion charge. of course deutsch bank wants to get that lower, so people still wait on that. we've been watching a relief rally in deutsche bank shares in europe, their first trading day of the week since germany was on holiday. up inches 3%, now just up 0.5%,

a day after jamie dimon gave his own support to the german bank. >> we'll be watching, nancy hundred hungerford, live from london. bill cairns, do you believe that photo from the iss? so huge. >> a massive storm. you can't say enough. this is going to be a historic event in haiti. now it's possible to be a historic event in our country the next four to five days. the eye making landfall as we speak. you've got to feel for the people, 70,000 people, hopefully none of them are there right now in the eye with 145-mile-per-hour winds and 10-foot storm surge on the coast as we're talking. ayers for them. it's going to be a grave situation the next two days in haiti. there's the storm. 145 miles per hour. it's moving to the north at 9 miles per hour. next up later on tonight, another landfall will be over eastern portions of cuba. that area will get devastated by the strong winds and storm surge. the new forecast path from the

hurricane center, we've shifted again towards florida and through the southeast. through the southeast portions here of south carolina and north carolina. that's saturday, the worst of the impacts here. on a minor, moderate, major scale, right now with this path, if it holds, the center line, it would be minor impacts in florida. a shift of only 50 to 100 miles would make it major for florida. so people are going to have to evacuate just in case it takes a little shift. you can't fool around with a cat 3 hurricane on your coast. the storm looks like definitely major, possibly historic, for portions of south carolina, north carolina, and maybe even virginia. notice even new jersey now is in areas of the cone of uncertainty. that's because the storm could race all the way up to new england as we go through sunday. notice some of our lines do that, actually. so again, these are all these lines, different possibilities of the path. it's greater confidence now we are going to get an historic to major storm somewhere in the southeast. most likely north carolina. then south carolina. and florida's a close call.

then start talking about things like rainfall. this is the rainfall forecast the next seven days. with the current track, this is 10 inches of rain here into south carolina. we would possibly extend that through north carolina. we'd talk about historic flooding possibly. how much wind damage is still a question on the coast depending how close that storm gets. a scary scenario developing. today's preparing in the southeast, tomorrow will be evacuations. >> bill, we'll be checking back as we get a more clear picture of the path of hurricane matthew. the stories we're not covering today. check one off the bucket list for 102-year-old edie simms, arrested at her senior living home on friday because it's always been her dream to sit in the back of a patrol car. since she was asking for it, we're not covering it. and take a look at this, a man riding a big wheel oa major philadelphia highway over the weekend, holding up traffic. let's see him try that in new york, i don't think it will go well for him there. finally this morning there's a

new political party in massachusetts. a man has founded the pizza party. it's officially been recognized by state officials. who doesn't like a pizza party? since the party has no candidates on the ballot, we are not covering that story. instead, we'll have what's expected to be a major announcement from wikileaks. ♪ using 60,000 points from my chase ink card i bought all the framework... wire... and plants needed to give my shop... a face... no one will forget. see what the power of points can do for your business. learn more at chase.com/ink because my teeth are yellow. these photos? see what the power of points can do for your business. why don't you use a whitening toothpaste? i'm afraid it's bad for my teeth. try crest 3d white. crest 3d white diamond strong toothpaste and rinse... ...gently whiten... ...and fortify weak spots. use together for 2 times stronger enamel. crest 3d white.

welcome back. julian asauj just appeared via video link at the wikileaks

conference in berlin where a major announcement had been expected. joining from us london, nbc news foreign correspondent. there's reports of another massive document dump, did it happen yet? >> there were rumors of another data dump. many of us dutifully tuned in. and we're instead treated to a rather long and rambling speech that touched on everything from the philosophy of voltaire to advertisements about a 40% discount of julian asauj's book. the main takeaway is wikileaks will be publishing what assange described as "significant information" before the end the year involving he says three governments and the u.s. election. no immediate release today. that speculation about a so-called october surprise largely came from right-wing media as well as trump supporters, including roger stone, who tweeted this week that the new revelations would destroy clinton's campaign. of course the documents released by wikileaks were damaging to the democrats, but assange

tled at the notion he was somehow tryingo hurt clinton's campaign. he said there will be election-related documents released before november 8th. did not reveal any details and claimed to have been misquoted in the past, saying neither he nor wikileaks set out to go after clinton. he was asked if he had personal affinity for donald trump but sort of dodged the question saying he had affinity for all humans and he felt sorry for trump and clinton because he says they were tormented by their ambitions. looks like we'll have to wait a bit longer for those documents. roger stone said something could happen wednesday, so we wait. up next, a look at the stories happening in the day ahead. we're not passive aggressive. hey, hey, hey, there are no bad suggestions here... no matter how lame they are. well said, ann. i've always admired how you just say what's in your head, without thinking. very brave. good point ted. you're living proof that looks aren't everything. thank you. welcome. so, fedex helped simplify our e-commerce business and this is not a passive aggressive environment. i just wanted to say, you guys are doing a great job.

what's that supposed to mean? fedex. helping small business simplify e-commerce.

before we toss it to "morning joe," the stories aware going to be hearing about. the main political event, the vice presidential debate with governor mike pence of indiana, democratic senator tim kaine of virginia, right here on msnbc. donald trump holds a rally in arizona, hillary clinton holds two events in pennsylvania. she has plenty of surrogates hitting the trail. her husband holds two events in ohio. first lady michelle obama holds two events in north carolina.

lit beth warren campaigns in las vegas. bernie sanders holds an event in minneapolis. >> a lot going on. that's going to do it for us on this tuesday. i'm betty this tuesday. >> "morning joe" starts right now. >> the unfairness of the tax laws is unbelievable, and it's something i have been talking about for a long time despite being a beneficiariy of the laws, and i am working for you and not for trump. >> good morning. it's tuesday, october 4th. welcome to "morning joe." with us on set, we have veteran columnist, mike barnicle and mark halperin, and jon meacham, and in washington, msnbc political analyst e