you can't fight if you're not on the battlefield. that does it for me i'll see you back here tomorrow 5:00 p.m. eastern. msnbc live coverage continues right now with the vote, america's future, with my colleague joy reid. ♪ ♪ what was most meaningful was standing there yesterday talking and knowing that my mom and dad could see that the sacrifices they made for us, the work they did for me and my five brothers and sisters came to fruition. and that we are on the precipice of changing what leadership looks like and to have your mother appear father, who they are raising my niece right now, they have a 12-year-old at home. they are the living embodiment of why we did this work.

>> good evening i'm joy reid appear welcome to msnbc continuing coverage of what could be the most crucial midterm election in years. i'm coming to you live from atlanta, georgia where i spoke with stacey abrams a few hours about her bid for georgia. polls smoen abrams and kemp locked in a dead heat. it's a race garnered the attention of megastars like oprah winfrey, political stars by president obama, and has become a nationwide flash point over voting rights in america. but tuesday's election won't only decide whether or not georgia will elect the nation's first african-american woman governor. it will decide whether florida -- whether florida will elect the first black governor. whether a progressive democrat beto o'rourke will pull off the upset in texas, and whether democrats regain control of the house, maybe even the senate and control of some of the state houses they lost in 2010.

joining me now is jennifer reuben opinion writer for the "washington post". exactic police sister. coronell belcher and donna brazile. co-author of for colored girls who considered politics. i'm going to chairmanwoman brazile on this first. great to talk to you. the cook political report named 29 house races as toss ups, nine senate races as toss ups. let's look at early voting numbers. this is november 3rd, 29.3 million votes cast, 42% of them by republicans, 44% of by democrats. in 2014 by comparison just 21 million votes had been cast and one more number one day on from that, one more day added to it, we're up to 32.9 million plus votes already in the box. as former dnc chair, donna brazile.

how does this look? does it look like 2006 or like a 40u when democrats couldn't quite get there. >> no question it looks like 2006. democrats are campaigning on a wave of hope and change. they know the winning formula this year is expanding the electorate, making sure that those new voters understand the process of voting. what you have seen across the country with this historic number of first-time candidates, many of the women and minorities, is that you see a new level of energy and enthusiasm. and as you well know, joy, in the closing days of the campaign this is when your street teams, the people knocking on doors, canvas, peer to peer contact, if the numbers are holding up this well and in the last three days before the election then i know on election day democrats will be able to turn the tide and perhaps find that wave that will lead them to taking over one if

not two chambers in washington, d.c. >> and let me go to cornell belcher. but th plus 81%. even though aren't republicans are slightly ahead we know dough well on abant sentee. a lot of people don't trust the polls nerve when they see the strong republican turnout numbers. but one more data point. tom bonier of target smart put out this on the youth vote. at this point voters under 30 cast 849876 votes. this year 2,000,347, 864 voters under 30 have voted and counting. what does that do you mean attention las vegas of data tell you as a pollster. >> it tells you the horse race number in most polling isn't act what the horse race number we

lean too much on the polls to nail the horse race when polling isn't necessarily to built to nail a horse race. it's particularly poor when you have electorate that is don't look like the past. with that many new young voters out with this surge of voting pollsters have a hard time figuring out okay what is the electorate? the problem isn't with polling it's the estimation of what the electorate is. and we saw this in virginia where in the off year election most of the polls had virginia tied. and north ended up garnering more votes than anyone running for governor in virginia because the electorate was different than it had been in an off year. i think what you see across the country -- i'm really -- i retweet the youth numbers you see more young people turn out and also a more moderate electorate this off year than you did in 40u and democrats are running at the score among

moderates. >> and also, obviously not having the white house democrats are probably probably the hungrier of the two partisans in the race whereas the republicans were running against barack obama in '10 and '14 process. this has been one of the most troubling election cycles in my lifetime as we saw the massacre of people inside of a synagogue? pittsburgh in literalry mr. rogers neighborhood. where we have seen a jewish institution in new york city vandalized with slurs. a black cemetery vandalized with slurs. we heard according to the hill stacey abrams and oprah winvy have been targeted by a white supremacist group. happening against the back drop of the other party dlifrpg the opposite message. i want to play a little bit of president obama here in georgia for stacey brarm abrams yesterday.

take a listen. >> one election won't eliminate racism or sexism. or homophobia. one election will not suddenly give everybody health care all at once. or ensure that every child in florida gets a kind of education they deserve. it's not going to happen just in one election. but it will be a start. if you turn out on tuesday to vote for this whole incredible florida ticket, i promise you something powerful happens. change starts to happen. hope starts to happen. >> and obviously that was not the stacie were abrams he did two stops and and you sue bill nelson on stanl. which the second his voice was practically gone. as wonder, jennifer as a former

republican yourself which of the two visions wind up more motivating? we know fear is a motivator. do we woind up seeing the electorate motivated by hatred and fear or the message of hope. >> i think what we have seen in the last week or so since the pittsburgh slaughter has been i think a really a reaffirmation that this is an election not necessarily about one or even two or three issues. this is a values election. and in in regard i think it definitely works in democrats 'favor. oprah said something powerful. vote your values. because of the hate and the xenophobiaia and the rank lying come from president trump, i think the electorate is presented with in existential question. what kind of country do you want to be? what kind of society are we? is this really what we want to be? and i think what you see is a reevolution against that?

you saw it last carriyear? suburban voters. seeing it now with incredible energy. i have a son in college in atlanta. he said college kids are standing in line to early vote. talking about it. this is an off year election as far as many are concern. usually they're not even aware there is an election going on. i think this has -- i think in has generated an incredible backlash. i think the voter suppression activities have completely back fired. i think you now have people who are doing this as a statement as a civil rights statement, as a statement of their right to vote that if you are not turning out you are letting people win. you are letting people take us back 30, 40, 50 years. so i think in some respect trump has done it to himself. listen, this formula has always worked for him. getting hatred getting people to distrust the media and he goes back to the the well again and

ben. this is different now hopefully on tuesday people will vote their values. and they will turn out in the numbers. i got to say in northern virginia, i'm in a district barbara comstock in the virginia tenth. she is rolled to victory theory the blue signs for jennifer wexton. you stee it and feel it on the ground. see it in the suburbs, in the cities, among young people. i think the polls are somewhat off because remember they're looking for likely voters. these are unlikely voters. these are the people that stacey abrams said i can get these people to vote and they are. i wouldn't be surprised if we see quite a bit of a difference between the final poll numbers and what we see on tuesday night. >> i think 80s an important point. you know donna better than most there is a difference between what people expect to happen, always this idea that the suburban white woman voters in the end will have a value set that is distinctly different from the republican party. a lot of people thought they

wouldn't be able to resist putting one of their own a woman in the white house. that was not true in 2016. there is new reporting from the vant vanity fair that the michael cohen former trump stahl wart. he said once he told trump his rally looks vanilla and he said that's because black people are too stupid to vote for me. i want to play a white woman suburban voters who my colleague questioned today. this is her response on the issue of voter suppression. >> what i think you are suggesting is that african-american voters are unable to follow instructions and to be able to process. >> that's though not what i'm suggesting it's what the statistics show it's not my conclusion. >> i disagree i think that you could take statistics to do whatever. i can say in the state of gas there is no one in state and the room and ourp stfd has been following the late we want everyone to turn out and vote. >> so, i mean, donna, you heard that response that she said

anyone who is talking about voter suppression is suggesting that black people don't know how to follow directions. my whole panel went, huh, when she said that is this idea of the white woman suburban voter a myth and then i'll ask cornell. >> there is no doubt that white women suburban have been the difference. there have been so many cyclical in elections we put all the efforts in the white women suburban voters because they were the swing. but we are energizing and galvanize. getting out the young and people of color, and people who are often not interested in what i call down ballot races. in year we have seen an increase in enthusiasm. their desire to vote. and to get more information so that they can cast a ballot. i want to say one thing as a former voice chair for voter engagement rb voter suppression

and intimidation is remain. it real because of the machines often put in minority communities that don't work. we know it's real because people have been called and don't know why they're being called and said guess what your registration did not get submitted on time. these tactics we have to overcome them. if we had a stronger 21st century voting rights act and enforced it we wouldn't have to worry about voters suppression. >> indeed among the infrequent voters african-americans cornell. the 42% since mid-terms that number hasn't change since 1,936,000 do the democrat change. >> they change i by speaking to the concerns of the younger african-americans. millennials are no longer a secondary group. poepgsly the largest block in the country. however they vote at half the rate that boomers do. and millennials are the most diverse generation in our history, right.

when you talk about sort of minimalual voting you connect that to the stronger minority voting. and look, criminal justice reform we talked about in before joy. criminal justice reform is not pennsylvania secondary issue concerning to african-americans it's primary concern. democrats need to engage and have that conversation. pursues the young african-american votes. just the way any pursued thes white women. >> i want to let donna brazil who controls the house on wednesday. >> no question democrats are control the house i'm not being over county. >> senate. >> the senate is still a toss up but i believe we have a pick up in arizonaen a texas is looking very, very good. >> very good. have very interesting. up next in case you missed civil rights icon made a big announcement on a.m. joy earlier. we will show that to you next. ♪

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black girl magic was on full display today when civil rights icon myrlie evers appeared on a.m. joy to encores stacey abrams in her bid for the georgia governor's raise tp. take a look. >> i tell folks i'm mississippi raised and georgia grown. and there is no higher honor than to have myrlie evers endorse my race for governor of

georgia. because we know that our fates are yoked together in the south. when georgia does something. mississippi, alabama, louisiana rises we all rice together. to lead georgia and to have her support behind me is an extraordinary moment and i just want to say thank you to mrs. evers for all you've done not only for mississippi but for america. >> well i thank you. i thank you so much. i'm sorry. >> and ms. evers. i wanted to talk to you because a lot of people don't know that stacey brarms is mississippi. it's the state that captured the sort of lur i had imagination of the united states because of its really difficult history including you and your husband's fights for voting rights. is there something happening in the south that the rest of the country missed? a change of a sense of urgency, a revival of the fanny lou hammer, myrlie evers tradition? is that come back? >> i'm not sure it's ever left.

but as we see our country move more toward what we fought for of eliminating the progress that we have made that the south is coming together again. and with the state of the nation, the racism, the hatred that is being expressed today, what better time -- and if not now when will we stand together regardless of whether we are mississippians destroyeding in california or mississippians who reside some other place? it's time to stand to be strong, to speak out, to move, to act. and i'm so sorry i couldn't be on the scene with -- with our wonderful person here. but my heart is there. my soul is there. my prayers are there. you will be absolutely

marvellous for the position that you are trying so hard to be. you are such a wonderful example for women regardless of race, creed and color, throughout this nation and throughout the world. you have my support. i want to so badly to be there on the scene when oprah was there, when president obama was there, whatnot, it's like the old war horse was ready to rice up and say, yes, we have to go. but you, your generation are a carrying forward for all of us. and i just encourage everyone to get out and to vote, because that is where our answer and our help going to come from. >> stacey. >> there are no words. thank you. >> well you are so welcome. >> thank you so much. >> i do want to say this, a few years ago -- and joy i think you know this -- i ran for congress

in california. >> i know. >> the 24th congressional district. and we go along with shirley chisholm and the rest of us doing that. a very difficult time. your campaign made me think of the time when i ran for congress. and the treatment that i received at the places there where i went to get votes. it's almost the same today. but you are being lifted up by so many people and so many prayers. i think of a young man who is running for office, for senate? mississippi, and my heart is there, soul is there, my prayers is there. whatever i can do to help, whatever i can do to help america wake up and see where it's going and to say, no more. no more. and the words of my grandmother,

enough is enough. and too much stinks. and we have to do something about that stink. and we can do that at the polls. thank you for placing your life, your livelihood and everything on the line. we're there for you. >> thank you so much. and on behalf of mike and toneio and gillum and those running across the country thank you for what you have done to make the moment possible. we stand on your shoulders and thank you for lifting us up. >> that was a moment. to yourself a favor and look up and tobago the history of myrlie evers, every bit the civil rights icon that her late husband was. she was phenomenal that was quite a moment. many thanks to stacey abrams and the gate miles an houry evers. and coming up, nancy pelosi makes her prediction for the mid-terms. here we go.

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next stop, florida. join us tomorrow at am joy comes from ft. lauderdale. with the hotly contested races. but up next nancy pelosi with the democrat's chances of winning back the house. stay with us. that, but when you book at hilton.com, you get the price match guarantee. so if you find your room at a lower rate, hilton is like... we're gonna match that rate and give you an extra 25% off. what would travel sites do if you found a better price? that's not my problem, it's your problem.

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think your copd medicine is doing enough? maybe you should think again. ask your doctor about once-daily trelegy and the power of 1-2-3. ♪ trelegy 1-2-3 save at trelegy.com. with three tais to go democrats are increasing bullish on the chances to retake the house. earlier today i spoke with democratic leader nancy pelosi who says her optimism is due to what she is seeing on the ground. >> how big the vikt rip will be dependsen on how many people vote. as you see there is great interest and great numbers. i don't even think all the republicans are voting republican but i'm not counting on that. >> well, you know, you -- even the president -- i'm not playing it but he started to sound fatalistic about the house and thinks he is focusing more on the united states senate.

does the fact that he has shifted his focus to these immigration horror stories and to the united states senate? is that also indicating to you that even he thinks that the house is lost to his party? >> well, maybe he recognizes that our enthusiasm on the ground springs from the quality of our candidates. these candidates across the country, they know their way, they know why they are running and the vision they have for the country, the subjects that they care about the most. they know how to communicate in authentic ways with constituents. that is the strength of our victory. but it has to be translated into votes and that's why the ground is so important. but it's a reflection of the enthusiasm for our candidates. i don't know what motivates the president to say what he says except it doesn't sound like he shares our values about the greatness of our country. >> yeah, you know, you occupy a lot space and mind share among at least republican politicos.

they tend to run against you as much as they run against whatever individual democrat thaeps in their state or district. i'm playing a couple of attack ads that are basically about you rather than about the candidate. take a listen. >> we see you smiling because amy mcgrath supports her liberal agenda. over 80% of her money comes from liberals outside of kentucky. a vote for gina jones is photo more nancy pelosi as speaker and raise your taxes. >> so lucy mcbath, of course lost her son in a li an zipt of gun violence who is now running for congress. she had one of the ads against her in the state of georgia. why do you suppose you keep getting on the ballot when you are not unrunning in the individual race zblas obviously they are afraid of plea and it's a reflection of the bankruptcy. they have no ideas. they are going after health care, going after working families in such a trickle down way. but, you know what, i -- i'm

effective. i'm effective in getting the resources necessary to win the election. more importantly i'm an effective legislator. and i'm a leader who is unifying and they want to present something different to the public. but quite frankly when they call me a liberal especially call me a frist liberal i take great pride in that appleation but i don't like them implying there is something wrong with frist. i'm defense he was what they say about my city. i said to the candidates just win. this is so important. it isn't about democrats or republicans it's about our country. it's about following the guidance of our founder be eplur bus unum. they couldn't manual how many we would be or how different we would be but we have to strive for oneness. we will win. i say to some of the commentators who maybe are not on the ground or listening to the ground, we will win.

and people have to believe that we will win and act upon that brief. >> all right. my thanks to democratic leader and democratic house leader nancy pelosi. back with me are jennifer reuben and cornell belcher. a dawson. and the we have the nancy pelosi was the boogy woman in the campaign and as the theme of the 2010. i wonder if you worry as a strategist that running a campaign it shall did shall did there are two exactic leaders, also chuck schumer a democratic leader in the senate. but focusing the attention on a woman with in year women are so exercised against the president because of his misogyny is wise? >> i think you brought up a good point. i personally two cycles ago put a nancy pelosi ad up trying to

convince people to vote for a candidate we were working for. what we found out was 75% of the district didn't know who she was. her name id is higher now. and greater. but i think that it's a employ sometime and schlaiss where name id is up there and she is from the other side of the country or from california and running a race in florida or georgia or connecticut. so it's different. but this cycle has been unusually uncomfortable. it's change. it's ebbed and flowed. i think what we have seen from the interview in morning which i thought was really good was a nancy pelosi i want to be speaker i'm running for speaker and i want to take credit for the wins. that's how i saw it as an operative. >> thank you very much caton and i appreciate that. i want to go to jennifer reuben on the same thing. it's funny you said that because i was having the conversation about the fact that nancy pelosi is a very effective legislator but your average person doesn't know anything about her record. i think for most people they see

this woman. they see a woman of a certain age, a woman who is in power being attacked. i wonder if you hear out there in the world that focusing all this focus on nancy pelosi -- and never saying the same things about chuck schumer, who is also a leader, might be something that might work against republicans in cycle? >> i have been saying for months that the level of absolute fury among women voters has been vastly underestimated. and yes there have been some arguments and analysis, a few stories here and there. i think it's still way underestimated. i think women are angry. i think the kavanaugh incident did not help republicans, had the exact opposite. i think most of what they do aggravates this problem. the president's face on tv constantly aggravates his problem. his support among women is awful. he has a huge gender gap. and that's the symbol that's

going to be helping democrats turn out women votersers. you see the statistics. when caton ran races and helped can candidates white women voted for republicans married women voted for republicans suburban women voted for republicans. you're not seeing that in the polls. you are seeing a huge shift in addition to all of the new young voters and new non-white voters. so i think it's one of many mistakes that the republicans made that they have taken women for granted or think they can win without them. and i think what we saw in virginia for example in 2017 they were blown away by. they switched 15 of the state legislative seats in large part because of huge turnout in the suburbs and more democratic votes coming from the suburbs than they have seen before. >> yeah, you know cornell, it strikes me in 2010 it made sense to make nancy pelosi the face of the opposition to run against her, because the alternative was to make it 100% about barack

obama. and we have found out unfortunately that there is a portion of the country, not a majority there is a portion of the country that is very negatively exercised on race and if you put barack obama in a giant klieg light. in cycle has been unnerving for a lot of people. it was wise to shift it over here and make it her. i wonder whether you see in the polling with the women's march, with women being so angry and upset, whether or not you see in the polls that in the tack might not be working for republicans? >> wait i'm confused, joy are you saying we're not post-racial in america? i'm confused. >> somehow i feel like john roberts was a we bit off when he said that racism was over. >> look, i'm being a tacticen here. i think when -- republicans make the strategy in off year in mid-terms that it's about base turnout and republicans have done a good job of generating base energy and enthusiasm in

midterm elections the way democrats have not. you know, 2010, you know, 2010 wasn't a lot of 2008 voters saying i made a mistake and changed my mind. no 2010 was about a different set of -- a different electorate, a more conservative appear older less diverse electorate. it's a base election. i think in midterm the problem is it's not simply a base generated. >> yeah. >> turn out and election. and nancy pelosi to the point earlier, to most of the women, they don't know who nancy pelosi is. but the base republicans do. >> and really quickly. i want to give you an opportunity caton because you are quite good as a political operative. good at what you do. if you designed a closing argument for the party as distinct from the rather disturbing one that the president has decided to do, what would you have adviced republicans to close on? because right now they are closing just on immigration scare? what would you have adviced the party to do. >> certainly immigration is a message that moves republican

voters. but i'd also talk about the lowest unemployment number with women since 1969. i'd talk about the economy. i'd talk about -- and we are watching successful candidates right now talking about the policies that have helped them at home. and the tax package certainly has been very advantageous. our economy is running red hot. and at the same time i mean, you have to interject a little fear in there. this immigration is one of the things i have watched a lot of good candidates who didn't talk about illegal immigration lous races. i was just answering your question i'm not giving you my personal opinion on illegal immigration but i'm just tell you there are certain things that move voters. and right now -- we -- cornell, if you'll look back and remember 1994, 45 seats that newt ginrich got in the contract for america with a real message and a relevant policies. and that's the only thing i sort of see the democratic sort of missing right now is a concise

message. but they are going to be fairly successful in the house and tuesday. and the republicans are going to be successful in the senate on tuesday. >> yeah, all right we are out of time. but i suspect that you just as a person caton this isn't what you prefer. because it's zureking i appreciate talking to you. caton, cornell, jennifer. thank you. the african-american women running in the deep south and winning. a special report is coming up. ♪ whether it's a big thing, small thing, or something unexpected, pnc will be right there when you need us. because when it comes to your finances, if you focus on today, tomorrow has a way of working itself out.

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a record number of women are running for office across the country. and shelby county, tennessee. at least 20 women of color have been elected to local or state office this year. our reporter traveled to memphis to speak to some of those women. >> we are here at the national civil rights museum. clearly something special happening in memphis. what is happening here. >> it was exciting when the voters clearly made a choice to elect at least 20 plus women into office this year. that's very exciting. >> not just women with, but black women. >> black women. >> i mean i think you can see nationwide there has been interest in plaque women stepping from behind the scenes and running for office. in shelby county we sprinkled black girl magic across the field everywhere.

>> everywhere. >> my name is karnlt that robinson. state senator elect for district 33. >> i own actually tennessee's only black only nursing school. when i started the school i started because there were not many opportunities for post secondary education for those who didn't have a traditional pathway in life like me. it led me to be more involved in the community outside of my business. and that's how i got into politics. >> are we at a point where black women in particular finally get the respect they deserve or is there more work to do. >> i think more women are feeling like they can take charge and they can be in leadership positions. and people are tired. and i mean they want to change. they want to see someone in office getting things done and gets things done by women. >> how many of you are first-time candidates? >> i'm a first-time candidate. i actually made history as well.

the first woman and african-american to hold the circuit court clerk seat. it was an amazing feeling not only to represent shelby county but to show my children that they could do whatever they want if they put their mind to it. >> i think maybe sometimes that the young people thought that they couldn't be elected. and i just wanted to show them, step out and show them that women can be elected >> at 27 wrb, the youngest among this amazing group of candidates, how toes it feel to represent not just being a black woman but a young barak woman. >> it feels good. i think what i wanted to do is inspire home among my generation and let them know you are never too young to be involved and make an impact in the community. >> moum of you all have bee are beat guys to get to where you are now. >> do that feel kind of good. >> yeah. >> i am woman hear me roar. felt great. >> it did. i too beat a long-time incumbent

for my seat. it was a matter of saying you know, why not me. >> i've been in the statehouse -- i told you i worked 35 years as a teacher and been in the statehouse for 21 years. you get called girl. can you believe that? i said listen, just call me barbara. representative cooper but just call me by my name. >> you have to work harder than everybody else, longer than everybody else. have be smarter have to show up earlier. it's hard to run for office as a woman. >> we had to fight a different way in order to gain respect from the men that we were sitting next to. >> in this era of the me too movement to all men out there like you know, these are women needing to be respected, smart, savvy they can do this. >> this group of women we live the concept of i am my sister's keeper. the tribe of black women that support and lift us up has made all the difference for us. >> and joining me now from new york is ms nbc national reporter

tremaim. low. what you sigh in the candidates in the south is this the alabama effect is this the barak women saying we flipped a senate seat and we can do this? or is this a residual post obama effect. >> it's a combination of both. for as long as we know black women have been such a part of movement building and party politics, the carrying the water even though they weren't always represented in elected office. but now i think it's time. talking to these women they say it's about respect, it's that their respect should be due them and getting back in the communities going door to door in their churches, in schools, where they are leaders and finally stepping up front. you know, so often it seems as if black women are the political mules to safe the democratic party when things go awri like with roy moore in alabama. but enagain, the time is now. and while there isn't a lot to

be happy about in terms of the way the politics have been playing out. this was an inspirational story we see spretding across the country. >> and who are the voters backing candidates? are they bringing out new voters? or flipping districts using really the existing electorate where they are. >> i think that's what was of t found interesting. you have the old school souls to the polls church demographic, but when you look at lamar, 27 years old bringing other young people in and the individuals who were elected in the county and breaking away and the black electorate and picking up white voters for support. not only are they relying on the tried and true, they are expand those who are engaged in the process. >> your reporter brain on this, what state are you looking at to be the most interesting story? >> it's obvious not to be

captain obvious, but what's at stake. very close in florida with the tight senate race and the governor's race. with all the shenanigans going on and voter turn out of young people, black folks and latinos and new puerto rican voters, those two, the southeast united states is going to be exciting to say the least. >> he's a captain. he must have done something right. thank you very much. i'm going to be looking at the states, too. appreciate you. coming up at the top of the hour, ari melber followed by stephanie ruhle and the great lawrence o'donnell will have a special interview with the miracle on the hudson pilot, captain sulley sullenberger. a preview of the next stop, florida, florida, florida.

the real reason i came down to miami is because this tuesday might be the most important election of our lifetimes. politicians will always say that, but this time, it's actually true. the stakes really are that high. >> one of the most closely watched and talked about states this election season is of

course, florida. two presidents stumped this week to turn out their party's most dedicated voters. two crucial races are under way. bill nelson is trying to hold on to his senate seat and andrew gillum is looking to be the first black governor of the sunshine state. host of the podcast strange days and my pal. looking forward to seeing you tomorrow in the ftl, 954. tell me what's going to happen. i can't wait until tuesday. both of these races. >> you know this from florida. we won't know until election night. this race is tight as a tick. here's the truth. as critical as these contests are, they have become proxy battles and nationalized. ron desantis is the self-selected choice going up against andrew gillum that

represents everything the democratic party of the future stands for. why is this so contested and why are the presidents spending so much time down here? 2018 is critically important. the only dagger for donald trump than losing the democrats and having them take control of the house is having a democrat elected governor of florida. 2020 comes into play. a democratic governor all of a sudden takes control of the state, oversees the state during the 2020 election is there for reapportionment. donald trump is doing everything to prevent this andrew momentum from going over the top. >> very long been in florida, i know and you know florida is a slate state. they either vote the slate all the way down or lop off the pop with president obama where people voted at the top and department go all the way down. a lot of people are hoping that

andrew gillum has coat tails. shawn shaw and bill nelson needs andrew gillum. are you seeing in the data that andrew gillum has the ability to win for himself, but has coat tails? >> i think so, but i will be honest for all of those wondering if the blue wave will come to floater, there are a lot of democrats voting. the not so good news is there is a lot of republicans voting here as well. the key to florida right now really are those no party affiliation independents and the polling does suggest that right now they are definitely leaning towards the democrats. if that's the case and i think that's why you see andrew gillum ahead in every single post primary poll taking place in the state of florida since late august, i think you will see that coat tail effect and bill nelson above all others are saying thank god i have andrew

gillum on the ballot because he sees that turn out affect him. it's the final day of early voting in south florida. souls to the polls. they are expecting massive african-american turn out. >> we are seeing all of this thought that there would be a big puerto rican wave for the democrats because of the way the president treated puerto rico after hurricane maria. are you seeing that? >> not in the initial phases in the absentee ballot period, but there is an uptick over the last three days and i don't think it's any surprise that 44 came down here himself, president obama, and really electrifies a lot of hispanic voters in florida. that's why you are starting to see the numbers go up. today's results and tomorrow will tell the tale if the puerto ricans are doing what they need

to do to get them across the finish line. >> it's going to be an interesting race. see you tomorrow, man. >> see you ma nana. >> that is our show for this hour. "a.m. joy" will be live in fort lauderdale, florida, but ari melber picks up our special mid-term election coverage. thanks to joy. we are here in the home stretch. three days to go until the mid-term elections. our special coverage continues in a moment with oscar winner, michael moore who joins me live. trump on a blitz in red states that shows democrats winning the house with new estimates of democrats gaining 30 to 40 seats.