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tv   The Vote Americas Future  MSNBC  November 6, 2018 9:00am-10:00am PST

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edition of msnbc live and i will see you tomorrow morning on today. andrea mitchell reports starts right now. >> thank you, craig melvin. right now on "andrea mitchell e reports" decision day. today, the voters decide america's future and what message will they send? >> we will worry about history later, but theday, we are working to win. >> vote, vote, vote. and get out to vote and make your voice heard. if you want to protect florida's future, this is the chance to do it. >> texas is not going to be, it is not going to be defined by our fears. >> the referendum the president said even though he is not on the ballot, this election is about him. and the closing argument in one of the most divisive in modern american history with the attempt to stoke fears of an immigrant invasion. >> the democrats are inviting caravan after caravan and isn't that nice of illegal aliens to flood into our country, and overwhelm your communities. >> and making her-story, and no
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m matter who wins, 2018 is the year of the woman with women candidates on the ballot in 16 governors' races, and 235 house race, and what experts are calling a pink wave. >> while there is a lot of focus on the female candidates what is more critical is the female voters who could be shaping up to be one tof the most consequential votes blocs of this year. happy election day to all of you. and the election day is finally he here. i'm andrea mitchell in the head quarters in new york. and most of you joined the early voters across america who have cast their ballots. will the democrats take over the house? will the are republicans keep control of the senate? and which parties will win the governor states who will help to
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determine the white house in 2020. and the road warriors are in battlegrounds coast to coast. we have katy tur, and gadi schwartz and in maryland as well. what are you seeing, katy tur? >> in atlanta, it has let up with the rain, and i am in fulton county in roswell, and there are going to be scattered thundershowers around the states and we talked to the georgia political strategists, and they will tell you that the bad weather generally favors the republicans, but still, already in this election, 2 million people voted early. over 2 milb yon people vote earlier, and it is a reco record-setting number of people for georgia. this morning with the polls officially opened, the long lines reported in gwinnett and fulton county and the problems with the voting machines. this is, andrea, as you know a
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controversial race for quite a while right now. and stacey abrams is running to be the first african-american female governor in the country, and she is running against brian kemp who is the secretary of state, and abrams is running a are progressive campaign and expanding medicaid, and helping out education, and expanding voting rights in a very deep red state. and donald trump won this state by five point, and brian kemp has run as more of a trump-style republican to win the primary he had an ad that featured him in the pickup truck saying that he will round up quote, unquote illegals, and trump appeared with kemp, and 12,000-person crowd, and abrams appeared with obama, and 6,000-person crowd. and also a lot of controversy in terms of the voter suppression and racism in the race, and racist robocall, and both campai campaigns condemned them, but
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abrams says that the tone by kemp and donald trump has contributed to it. kemp denied that. and there is voter suppression issues and more than 50,000 voter registrations were u put on hold by the secretary of state's office. brian kem subpoena the secretary of state, and he is overseeing this election, and multiple judges have had to force the k secretary of state the's office to make it easier for people to vote, and to correct the registrations problems or if if they are a new citizen to show the proof of citizenship at the poll. this is coming down in the wire, and they are neck and neck in the polls, and if neither one of them wins a clear majority, this could go to the runoff on december 4th which the strategists say again favors the republicans. >> and the runoff would be without the third party the libertarian candidate who is barely polling, and so is a possibility to avoid a runoff, but it could very well not be decided until december. and now, we go to a tough face
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in missouri where claire mccaskill is fighting for her senate seat against josh hawley, and here is the message of the democrats trying to hold on is all about health care. >> that is right, andrea, but first, i have to show you how long these lines are. it is wrapping around the building and longer since the polls opened at 6:00 a.m. and which have my man here, noah, and he is saying that he is not paid, but he is here to greet the voters as they are coming to the polls. everyone understands what is at stake here, andrea, and they know it is a dead heat race between claire mccaskill and her challenger josh hawley, but we got the brand-new numbers from the missouri elections saying that they are electing higher voter turnout than 20 years and expecting to see 2.3 million ballots cast in the day, and
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that is about 35% of the registered voters and to keep in mind one thing that is unique about the missouri elections is that there is no straight ticket voting and also no early voting so everything is coming down to today. andrea. >> thank you so much morgan froord. and gadi schwartz is on the campus of arizona state university. that is the tough race between krysten sinema and martha mcsally. >> that is right. they are make it extremely easy for young people to vote in arizona and lot of it is going to be coming down the young independent voters, and this is the asu campus that you can see the kids lined up to the vote, and right near the middle of the campus, these are all residence halls and dormitories and a lot of the students will walk out of the door and come over to here, and vote. this is a race that is right now mostly going to be decided by the early votes. we have a pretty good idea of what that looks like. 41% are republican, and about
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33% are democrats, and 24% are independents. 75 to 80% of the electorate has already voted and those independents, a lot of them are these young voters. we have talked to some who say they are voting for kierstin cinema, because they see her as an independent. and we have also, people over here voting for martha mcsally, because she is in line with president trump, and so it is really coming down to a situation of a candidate that falls right behind the president, and one that has more of the independent streak. andrea, back to you. >> gadi schwartz, and if nevada and arizona, which is a key race of whether or not the republicans hold on to the senate. jacobs over in orange county, california. and you have all of the house seatses in california and they will not be decided until very, very late. they is slow count, and these are the races with some long-time republicans who could well be challenge and dana rohrabacher comes to mind. >> yes, and not only that,
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andrea, but at the end of the day, orange county, california, is where the house is ultimately decided. they have four of the seven tossup districts in southern california and this is the 45th. certainly people in line for this race. this is my favorite sign i have seen so far in any campaign that i have been on. welcome. there is a brief wait, and every vote count, and thank you for your patience. so i want to check in with people here in line and careful for sign, but folks are here, and i want to interrupt them since they are having their coffee. we are live on msnbc, and you have brought the coffee, and waiting in line, and dedicated to the cause, and why? what matters to you and what brought you out? >> it is important the make a difference and we have the opportunity to have our voice and to make it heard through voting, so it is vital. >> how do you feel? >> i have to two kids, and i want them to have a future where our world, our environment is clean, they have a great education and we can all cooperate. >> this is a long time
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republican district, orange county is long time republican and they call it the orange curtain, and is the orange curtain falling? >> we hope so. that is why we are here. >> i hope we are yanking it down. >> thank you. and inside, andrea, they are hoping to be yanking down the orange curtain and so i don't think everybody feels that way, so i have to be quiet, but normally, you won't see the lines and the polling places filled up like this, and virtually every polling place is filled up, and people nonstop and opened up two hours ago here in southern california so it is sure to be a long day, and here in orange county, they can take up to 30 days to count the votes, and so if it is tight on the east coast, and it come downs the four seats in southern california, we could be in for a long vote count, and it may not be decided to night. >> we are braced for that tonight, jacob. great to have you there.
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and our national political correspondent steve kornacki is looking at the difficult path of the democrats to have a shot at the senate. >> yes, talking so much about the house, and the senate, on paper the number is net gain of two which is all the democrats need for the senate, and that is not much, but looking at the battlefield, battled in trump state states, and so this is what it looks like coming into theday and we will put new jersey in the democratic column now, and maybe a surprise there, and put north dakota in the republican column for now, and mib a surprise there. and then we will focus on the nine in the middle, and take you through them, and just to show you that the path that the democrats are going to have with the difficulty at 6:00 p.m. eastern, we will get the first returns from indiana, and the final polg there did show joe donnelly, the democrat running ahead, and for the democrats a must. he has to get that one and put it in the democratic column, and florida is next, and again, the final polling is a slight edge for bill nelson, the democratic incumbent, and absolute must for
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the democrats to get it into the democratic column and they still have a long way to go and that is when they are running into the bigger hurdles, and think of tennessee, the state that donald trump won by 26 state, and state that has not elected a democrat to the u.s. senate in 28 years since al gore in 1990. marsha blackburn, the republican is running slightly ahead, and if it is republican, look at that, one away. one away from retaining the ma jor ti and then they could get there with the state of texas where ted cruz again, relatively close race, but cruz has been ahead in the polling out there, and put the three together, and that is 50 for the republicans, and that is are retaining the majority, and so for the democrats they have to shake one of these loose. say somehow for the sake of argument, tennessee, they get phil bredesen to a victory in tennessee, and okay, they have the republicans under 50, and then the democrats have to run the table, and win west virginia, arizona, nevada, missouri, and all of them with
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montana as well. that may be a little bit of the wild card, because not a lot of polling out there, and a thought that jon tester, the democrat, he has the advantage, but again, this is a state that donald trump carried by 21 point, and last move for the republicans, but for the democrats they have to move that over and the only path for a senate majority. we say on the house side, it is narrow for the republicans to hang on to the majority, and it is equally narrow for the democrats to get to one in the senate. >> thank you, steve kornacki and we will bring in the all-star panel with nbc contributor dave wasserman, and house editor for the cook report, and kasie hunt and jeremy as well. and kasie, the senate is a tough
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path. >> yes, incredibly tough. >> and they are focused on the snous. >> yes, they are focused on the house, and i am looking at steve kornacki, because it should be a bloodbath for the democrats, and it is not. that is saying a lot about the environment. and we talked about the key race, and several of them to tell us the depth of the wave. when i talked to my sources, there is emerging wisdom if the democrats are 40-plus seats in the house, then you will have the seats where they need them in indiana and missouri and the ones on the bubble. i would not say that the majority of the sources are predicting a wave of that size. you know, many who are much more careful. might my big question is people just being careful of what we went through in 2016, or is this really where kind of people see it right now? i am sort of the mind right now that we may be surprised by the size of the wave, but i also defer to you, dave, because you spend so much time with this.
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>> and to tee it up for dave, we are being careful, because we are gun shy, okay. everybody got burned in 2016, and we are careful, because 38 million and that is a new number and they have voted early with 35 million yesterday, and they have u counted all of the remaining -- and 38 million people, and we don't know who they are. >> right. the turn outout is extraordinar and five races first, the kentucky 6th district, and races in virginia. >> they close at 6:00. >> yes, and virginia at 7:00, and five competitive races in the states, and all five of the democrats running in the states are women, and including three with national security backgrounds, and this is a historic day. this is poised to be the first day in american history when the americans elect more than 100 women to the u.s. house, and what that shows and it is entirely driven by the democrats by the way, and what it shows is that the democratic voters believe that the best way to send a message to president trump is to send a woman. >> i am thinking back to 1991 in
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the middle of the clarence thomas confirmation hearing the women of the house marched over to interrupt the senate democratic lunch and said, you know, bring this back, and don't vote yet on clarence thomas, and it was a handful ofl wome women louis slaughter, and handful of departed women. >> and we think of that as the time when it was a backlash to clarence thomas. >> and dianne feinstein. and so this is the confirmation, but this is a backlash to trump. it is not happening if it weren't for trump winning the white house. >> this is really, jeremy, starting with the inauguration day and the march, and the women's march the day after. >> yes, that is absolutely right. what republicans are most worried about is that
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enthusiasm. it has not dissipated since the inauguration and if anything, more intense. in the final days of the campaign, the republicans at least the ones i have talked to have come out of the balloon with the synagogue massacre, and the bomber, and even if the voters were not directly blaming trump or the that and they looked at the situation and said, god, what a crazy world, and as one republican strategist put it to me, who is the president of crazy. so his whole chaotic leadership style, and everything that, all of the trauma that his presidency has brought up from charlotteville and separation at the border and people remember it. and it is going to drive them to vote or to stay home. >> and the closing message has been a base message. it is the most, and the angriest, and most divisive and ra racially motivated from a modern president. >> remarkable. >> and as instead of reach iing
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out as most republicans, and paul ryan say pleading with him to talk about the economy. >> and the president saying that the economy is boring, and acknowledging a that perhaps in a recent interview that he should have picked up the tone, and i am picking up anger of how the president has gone about doing this in the last couple of weeks, because not only has it in many ways focused on issues they don't want to be talking about, and it is quite frankly reenergized a democratic base that was already fired up to go vote against him. >> and the long term health of the party, too, and look at where he has been landing the plane, west virginia, and mt.t mt., and rural missouri, and florida with is 45% minority, and going to the whitest parts of the state, and the republicans are looking at this, and saying, you know, you can't repeal the long-term demographic trends of this country, and it is problematic to have a president who is so openly stoking the racial grievances. >> and looking at the surrogates
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on stage with the president last night in cape girardeau, missouri, and we have not seen anything like this, dave, and shawn hannity says that he is not going to be campaigning, and then he is saying that he is covering the rally, and he is hardly covering the rally as a speaker at the podium, and you have rush limbaugh, and you know, judge jeanine pirro. >> well, you know, you have to say that it is closing the enthusiasm gap, and that is part tof the reason that the turn outis so high, because we have seen the culture wars that he has stoked reengaged the base dormant in so many of the special elections when the republicans were running on a tax cut message. and it has not work and the culture wars have closed the gap. and when i am looking at the surprises on the election night, aim looking at the districts that the republican hold that have become majority nonwhite, suburbs of atlanta, dallas, houston and these are the congressional districts that worry the republicans and the suburban seats that are at risk. >> you guys stay right here.
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we will take it on the road, and coming up, florida, florida, florida. a look at the sunshine state and the showdowns there for senate and governor next on "andrea mitchell reports." stay right there with us on msnbc. opportunlike here.rywhere. and here. see? opportunity. ev-er-y-where. about to be parents. meeting the parents. and this driver, logging out to watch his kid hit one out of the... (bat hits ball) opportunity is everywhere. all you have to do to find it is get out...here. ♪
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democrats see the governor's races across the country to see expansion of the party's reach including the state house in florida and pitting ron desantis against the democratic tallahassee mayor rob gillum. and joining us is bob shrum, and senior adviser to al gore and john kerry and now a professor at usc and former republican congressman david jolly who is no longer affiliated with the republican party. and now, kerry, set the stage for the florida race. >> well, it is an interesting day, and the voters are showing up, but it is not particularly long lines from the north no the panhandle and all of the way down the south florida, because of the early voting and 5.1 million people went out to cast early votes or they did the mail-in ballots and so the
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traditional lines that we see are not showing up, but understand that those were record number of early voter s a and so the floridians are keenly watching two race, and among those, the governor's race that is going to be coming down to i think turn out, and the reason i say that is that if you are considering what the breakdown is of the parties in the state, we have 39.3% of the registered republicans and 37.2% are d democrats, and figuring that it is a vote along the party lines, that leaves about 26.6% of those who are not affiliated with any party. are they actually energized to go out? are they participating? and the ones who ultimately make the decision here. when it is coming to andrew gillum, and as you noted the first aftrican-american governo of the state if he were to win, and the nbc/maris poll shows him up by 4%, and ron desantis who went to harvard and yale and who was in the military and was a judge advocate general in the
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navy has put on a strong campaign, but quite frankly taken over in the line of the primary from the endorsement of president trump, and there is a referendum that many believe on donald trump, the president's popularity in the state when they are look at this race and determine who the winner is going to be, and we are all waiting to find that out. the numbers will be coming out, and with the electronic voting system that we have in the state, i don't believe we will be looking at this 3:00 in the morning and i know you said, florida, florida, florida and we know the days when it was a c e completely different story, andrea. >> yes, we do. and bob strum and david jolly as well. david jolly, you describe yourself as someone who is no longer affiliated with the political party and that is about the man in the sen is ter of the contest, because he put himself there, and what is trump's influence on that race? >> well, florida is where donald trump remains popular among the republicans, and does well, but
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to kerry's point, one of the things they am looking out in addition to the turnout and the independent voters is the softening of the republican support for trump surrogates like rob desantis. i have publicly said that i would not be supporting rob desantis as a rejection of trumpism, and that is hard to measure. we can measure the republican turnout today, but the numbers exist internally among the candidates, and if desantis' numbers drop because of folks like myself, it is hard to regain the votes among the independents and the democrats, but ker are ri mentioned independents and we can measure by early voting which is 20% of the voters and if the independent voters begin to perform on behalf of the blue side of the ticket, it could be an early night in florida and earlier than we expect. >> and influence some house seat as well. >> yes. >> and bob, looking at it from 30,000 feet, and what the democrats are looking at today beyond the senate which is the worst map in 60 years for
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democrats. >> right. >> and for either party, it is so lopsided. but the governor's race, and in addition to florida, you have the midwestern governors in wisconsin, and ohio and michigan and they could be picking up statehouses that could really help them for 2020, and big electoral states. >> i they democrats are going to have a big night in the governorships, and pick up a lot of the governorships across the midwest and pick up maine and co competitive in kansas which is stunning to people. and one of the factors is something that you all were talking about in relation to florida. and that is independents. independents voted for donald trump in 2016. in our ursc polling which is the generic congressional race, andment ins are voting 20 point points or more for the democrats, and even in the senate race where is
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that is an incredibly uphill battle. >> and donald trump is campaigning more for himself than the people, and he sometimes forget to mention more than once on the stage with him as the statewide candidates. and we caught with joe biden voting of course in wilmington, delaware, today, and take a look. >> i have to make my decision what i'm going to do. i have to after the first of the year, and it will be a family decision, and we will have time. >> is that the time line, and you will announce early january? >> no, not announce, and make a decision internally,ed a i would not announce that early. >> what is the biden factor? you know him so well. >> well, he is the frontrunner and the front-runner the pollinga and candidate who would match up very well against donald trump. there are two questions here. one, does he really want to do this. and number two, is there some kind of feeling in the party that we need to go on the a new generation, but bide zen a strong candidate, and i think that he wishes that he had run
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in 2016, and by the way, if these governorships gets picked up, it is going to help the democratic nominee in 2020 and have a big impact on the are reapportionment after the 2020 census. >> so much at stake, and not only the referendum on donald trump, but everything that we are looking forward to in terms of what we see in washington whether it is gridlock or whether there is a democratic house, and if there is, what kind of a margin. we will be watching bob shrum, and david jolly and our thanks to kerry sanders in florida. coming up next, the civil rights icon, georgia congressman john lewis joining me on this special election day. this is andrea mitchell reports on msnbc. >> i gave my blood on that bridge in selma 53 years ago. i almost died. i am not asking any of you to give any blood, but i am asking you to go and vote like you never voted before.
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there are a lot of poom, a lot of people, my opinion and based on proof, that try to get in illegally and actually vote illegally, and we just want to let them know that there will be prosecutions at the highest level. >> that warning at the president, and the election eve warning cracking down on illegal voting without citing any evidence of voter fraud, and what is the intent? we go to congressman john lewis who is campaigning for stacey abrams in florida, and congressman, very good to see you. and how do the voters read that message and do you have concerns that message is read as a threat or a warning to people who are concerned about what they may face at the polls? >> first of all, it is just good to be with you. i think that -- >> you as well 12k3w467. >> that message is the wrong message saying in effect that we cannot create one america, one
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people, one family. i have said it over and over again. we all live in the same house, the american house. you know, we are a country of immigrants. we all come from some other place, and it does not matter whether we are black or white or latino or asian american or native american. we live in american house, but in a world house, and as dr. king said on many occasion, we must learn to live together as brothers and sisters, if not, we will perish as fools. >> and having gone through what you went through in the civil rights era and 23 years old on the edmund petty bridge in selma, and what does it mean to you as a georgian to have stacey abrams as the standard bearer for the democratic party and so competitive in a race for the governor's mansion? >> well, i move nod the state n in -- i moved to the state in
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1963 when i was 23 years old and i saw many changes as greater sense of hope, and greater is sense of optimism. i grew up in rural alabama, and 15 miles from montgomery, and living here and getting involved in the life and the city and the state of atlanta, her election will mean unbelievable, just unbelievable sense of hope and progress. not just for the state of georgia, but far reaching for south and the nation, and i think that she is going to inspire people around the world to believe that we all can change. that we all can bring about progressive change. >> what is your message to the the young people who have notably not been voting in the past in temperatures of how important it is. how important the vote is. >> i have been saying to young people and it does not matter whether they are black or white
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or latino or asian american, and i am saying that the vote is precious. it is almost sacred in a democracy such as ours and it is the most powerful nonviolent instrument or tool that we have. we must use it to bring about change. maybe one of you can become the governor of georgia or the mayor of the city of atlanta or the congressman or the president of the united states, and dream dreams, andner gi-- never, neve give up and be opt mimistic. >> it sn an important message and more important than ever before. thank you, congressman john lewis. and now, coming up what happens in vegas, and when we look at the tight race. we head west coming up next on "andrea mitchell reports" right here on msnbc. (avo) life doesn't give you many
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whew! ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ comfort. what we deliver by delivering. republicans see nevada senator dean heller as the most vulnerable incumbent this year trying to hold off democratic
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challenger jackie rosen. and so we go to polling place in las vegas, and the dean of political analysis and also a msnbc political analyst steve patterson and also with us is kasie hunt. and steve patterson, what are you seeing even though we know it is early there west coast time. >> yes, one thing about the election cycle is the expanding voting centers inside and outside of clark county, and these are multiple sites that have opened up inside of the local parking lot or the home depot or here in henderson nevada at a local mall. you can see that guy back there, and his name is phil, and he is keeping the line moving extreme testimonily quickly, and not long ago there was a big build-up, and that is gone. and you can see the people coming and leaving with a smile, because of how lively the locations are, and it did not look this the way a few weeks ago when we were here for early
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voting, and the nevadans love the early vote, and 40% of the state has vote and more than 600,000 people, and mr. ralston is going to be breaking down the finite number of voters left in the state, but as of learning about nevada, people are proud of the fact that this is a very independent state. they are proud of being purple here in the state, and it is anybody's game. back to you. >> steve patterson, and thank you. mr. ralston, you can pick it up there, who is turning out? >> well, andrea, it is close, and both parties agree that the turn outhas been whatsee that s confirmed it, but jackie rosen has a slight edge after the early voting number with the democrats with a 3.5% advantage, but huge here in clark county with more than 47,000 vote, and that is what the democrats try to do in the statewide a races is to build up a big bank of
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votes in clark kocounty to offs what might happen on the election day, because the republicans come out in greater numbers and the independents sometimes they will tilt towards the republicans, and the democrats feel pretty good, but i think that they are also very nervous. >> and john, it is kasie hunt, and great to see you. my question for you is watching the president in the last couple of weeks here really trying hard to win in senate races like in missouri and the themes he has been hitting, the birthright citizenship is just one of the many immigration-related themes and your state has a test of the latino voters and has that hurt dean helner the recent weeks? >> well, the democrats believe, kasie, they can use all of the stuff that he has brought up to try to go after dean heller and to energize the hispanic vote which dropped off to face of the earth in the last midterm here and really hurt the democrats. they lost everything. the question is whether what trump is doing with birthright
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citizenship, and the rhetoric is to energize the base in rural nevada which is what dean heller needs to happen. and the democrats believe that language is toxic with parts of the hispanic community here in las vegas, and going to help them both at the end of the early voting period when they had a surge and today. >> but is there possibly and other effect where it would scare people away from getting near a government facility like a polling place? >> well, there is a possibility of that, andrea, and that has happened in the minority communities before, but i can tell you that the data shows that the minorities here including the hispanics are turning out in much larger numbers than 2014, the last midterm, and that is a very low baseline to go by, but that is clearly happening. there also was the announcement as you know yesterday that the department of justice is sending in these folks to monitor people in counties across america and
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two of them are in nevada and it is not by accident, and one is washo county where reno is and one right here in las vegas, and some people are worryied about the voter intimidation, and voter suppression, and so as the president likes to say, we will have to see what happens. >> jon ralston thank you very much, and steve patterson and of course my friend kasie hunt. and coming up, texas two-step, and can beto o'rourke turn a texas state blue? you are watching "andrea mitchell reports" only on msnbc. ♪ traders -- they're always looking for advantages. the smart ones look to fidelity to find them. we give you research and data-visualization tools to help identify potential opportunities. so, you can do it this way... or get everything you need to help capture investment ideas and make smarter trading decisions with fidelity for just $4.95 per online u.s. equity trade. fidelity.
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for hr+/her2- mbc. nbc news has learned that border patrol agents have called off a, quote, crowd control exercise near a latino neighborhood in el paso, texas, as the move sounded alarm bells among voting rights activists who said that the tactic could intimidate voters. you think? joining me now msnbc's garrett haake in el paso, janelle nelson, and msnbc political analyst rick tyler, former senior advisor to newt gingrich
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and ted cruz. garrett, first to you, there on the ground in texas, who do you see coming out and what's the turnout at least on election day? >> reporter: what i'm hearing from folks around the state is turnout continues to be robust around the state, particularly in the big cities. the theory of the case near not unlike what you heard about in nevada but on a much, much, much larger scale here in texas. democratic voters in the big cities tend to run up the score in probably the five or six biggest counties of this state. what ends up happening is the other 250 or so counties in texas come in 70-30 or so in favor of republicans and that's why texas has been so red for so long. the o'rourke campaign has based their entire campaign on turning out voters who just don't normally participate. i don't even want to call them voters yet because it's based on a theory of the case that has not been proven. they need enormous turnout from young people, from latino voters. so far they seem to be getting
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part of that. i've seen big numbers in travis county, home of ut. their numbers have been phenomenal in the early voting here in el paso where o'rourke is from. one of the things i'll be watching is the virginia, the rio grande valley down along the border. can a hispanic vote be turned out to beto's support. a lot of energy, just fighting a huge uphill battle against the sheer numbers in texas. >> when you talk about voter suppression, waller county, a test case back in the 1970s and you're still fighting to make sure those students on that college campus can vote where they go to school. >> absolutely. those students had to bring their case to the supreme court back in 1979 just to establish that their university residence could be a bona fide address for voting. fast forward 40 years and we are in 2018 and during the early voting period, their opportunity to vote was half that, actually less than half that of comparable cities and other areas in waller county.
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these students have been fighting over the course of many years to have polling sites on campus, to make sure that they have equal access to exercise their right to vote, and so we had to send a letter and demand that they expand the early voting. we weren't able to do it, to expand it to the equal amount that other cities had received because early voting started and was going at such a fast clip, but we were able to at least give them a greater opportunity and we have folks on the ground in texas today to make sure that those students are able to vote and to look at the other litigation outcomes that we had this past year on the photo i.d. issue to make sure that is in fact being implemented correctly. >> rick tyler, what about the president's closing message, arguing about the border. interestingly, o'rourke in his closing speech was all about immigration inclusion. he is not playing to those base voters at all that the president is trying to inspire. >> you mean o'rourke or cruz? >> no, o'rourke.
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beto o'rourke is absolutely sticking to a very, very progressive -- >> right. >> -- message, message of inclusi inclusion, which would be really startling if he could go against the tide of what the president is trying to inspire. >> if you love civics and politics as i do, and i know you do, andrea, this texas race is so interesting because typically the democrat, because it is such a deep red state, pretends that they're not really a liberal and they can really get along. beto has done none of that and he has electrified his base. he has raised equal amounts of money as ted cruz and it's been an amazing race. but there is a theory that we were just talking about, or garrett haake was talking about, was he's trying to turn out young people who don't normally vote. and there is a theory out there and it may not just be applicable to the texas race, it may be a lot of races, if you talk to someone my daughter's age, who is 22, the last time
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she watched broadcast television was when she was 4 years old and maybe pbs. all of her viewing is internet and social media and netflix. she's not seeing any ads and certainly not answering any poll questions. so if there is a surge of enthusiasm among millenials and younger voters, my daughter is younger than a millennial, you might see a lot of surprises. >> but if not? >> then we'll be back where we were. >> what about the house seats in texas? >> the thing is with texas, you've got abbott at the top of the ticket. he'll probably win by as much as 20 points. the question that the cruz people tell you, how many abbott/beto voters are there? >> that requires quite a ticket splitting exercise. >> it really is. you've just got to figure out -- you've got to look at tonight's results and we'll have to analyze it tomorrow. the other thing that's really important, we are in the middle of a realignment, which is why it makes all of this very difficult to predict, because
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normal republican voters are not where we would normally assume that they would be and neither are democrats and progressives. everybody is all over the place right now. so it's very hard to predict. this midterm election will be very clarifying. >> rick tyler, janai nelson, garrett haake in texas, thank you all so much. stay with msnbc all day, all night until the last vote is counted. we begin live coverage and analysis of the 2018 midterm elections at 6:00 eastern with brian williams and rachel maddow right here only on msnbc. hi.i just wanted to tell you that chevy won a j.d.power dependability award for its midsize car-the chevy malibu. i forgot. chevy also won a j.d. power dependability award for its light-duty truck the chevy silverado. oh, and since the chevy equinox and traverse also won chevy is the only brand to earn the j.d. power dependability award
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i'm in product development at comcast. we're working to make things simple, easy and awesome. and that does it for this edition of "andrea mitchell reports." election day, vote. here's ali velshi. when i see you tomorrow, we'll know something. >> get whatever rest you can in there. hey, everybody, i'm ali velshi. >> and i am city of n-- stephane ruh ruhle. it is election day. let's go vote. >> go out and vote for republican congress, for republican senate. if you want more caravans, if you want more crime, vote democrat. if we don't do so well tomorrow, they will put me on the ticket. if we do great

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