the cone of uncertainty is off the coast of florida. the cone is off of all of the georgia coastal areas, too. the thing that is interesting, a 120, 120, 115, hurricane center thinks 120, 120, 115, hurricane center thinks as it begins to move it will be over some warmer water and it should at least maintain its current intensity. so it's not going to be weakening that much, they still have it all the way into thursday morning still as a major hurricane being a category 3. so, again, this would bring storm surge concerns, but the winds would be tropical storm force in coastal sections of florida and georgia and the rainfall would mostly be off the coastline, just occasional bands heading in. now is the part that gets a little more interesting. overnight a bunch of our computers had it close to south carolina and north carolina line. the cone of uncertainty begins in between charleston and savannah, includes the myrtle beach area, morehead city,

emerald isle, still the norfolk, virginia beach areas. it only drops in intensity to about a category 2 for eastern north carolina. category 2 is -- you are going to have some damage, you are going to have some significant problems and power outages, too. that would potentially be thursday night into friday. that's the new part of that forecast. for people that have interests up in new england, only cape cod and nantucket, martha's vineyard are in that cone, by then it would be transitioning into a nor'easter storm. it does look like nova scotia will get hit with this likely with winds up to 80 to 90 miles per hour. dorian will still brush areas of the east coast. this was our american model that brings it almost on shore in eastern north carolina and the european model looks very similar to that. the big summary, with the new

update, is that dorian has weakened, but it's not supposed to weaken much after this and areas of south carolina and north carolina especially need to prepare for the potential of a direct landfall of a category 2 hurricane. >> let's talk a little bit about that. if you are sitting in florida right now, to a certain extent you are breathing a sigh of relief because you are seeing this entire cone of uncertainty saying off the coast of florida, the storm surge still could very much be a problem. but then as we move up the coast we are looking at myrtle beach, wilmington, cape hatteras, charleston, we have one of our reporters in charleston, south carolina, right now. those within the cone of uncertainty. so what type of conditions could they be seeing come wednesday morning, thursday -- >> worst case for did with flor.

the trend overnight was closer to a landfall in the carolinas. >> bill karins, thanks for that. we will have updates throughout the hour. joining us from jensen beach, florida, gabe gutierrez with a perspective on the ground. give us the sense of preparations, how concerned are still people feeling this morning given the path we just heard from bill karins? >> reporter: good morning. residents in florida for several days and this has been for some of them a very frustrating suppt through florida, then the path changed, it's supposed to go to the north and east, some of them breathed a sigh of relief, then

there was concern as it started to go over the bahamas could it wobble westward. we've been in jensen beach for 24 hours. we have seen some occasional rain, some wind, right now it's pretty calm, you can see the water here, we're right up against it. there is some choppy water here and, you know, there is some storm surge expected where parking lots could potentially within the next 24 hours be flooded. for the most part thankfully this part of florida seems to be breathing a sign of relief. there are mandatory evacuations in order for much of the florida coast, more than a million residents in florida, georgia and south carolina ordered to evacuate as hurricane dorian makes its way up the east coast. now, local officials and florida's governor are urging people to remain vigilant, some 85 emergency shelters are open here in florida and some 4500

members of the florida national guard are at the ready, but as we just heard bill karins say, this is expected to go just a little bit -- you know, just off the coast, but we could get tropical storm force winds here, so officials are urging people not to let their guard down, but at this point, yes, it appears that it will stay offshore. many businesses are boarded up, many people evacuated. >> just after 5:00 a.m. in jensen beach, florida, gabe gutierr gutierrez, threw. let's go to julia bag live from daytona beach, florida. >> reporter: i just got off the phone with emergency managers who are holding their breath, they are hoping that dorian stays just far enough off the coast not to cause any major problems here, but there is still that threat for storm surge. just behind me here the halifax river in this area is where they're worried about that. we've seen businesses with

sandbags out in front, of course, also plywood blocking the windows. with err not out of the woods here yet because even with dorian remaining gentleman you have shore still too close for comfort. volusia county under a mandatory evacuation order. to the east of i-95 and east of the intra coastal. so families just as of last night i was speaking with some of them who had been checking into a hotel. you know, the frustration that you heard gabe talking about, that's shared by many families here, wondering, you know, is it worth it, do i really need to move inland, but doing it just to be safe. that's been the advice of emergency managers here and even as far north as jacksonville where we have been ourselves. so right now this morning, though, we have not seen very much in the way of rain. we have seen some winds picking up here. and the concern about the winds is keeping those bridges open

that go over to the intra coastal. i just checked again, they are still open, we're seeing a few cars go over across and come back, but not very many people on the streets because, again, we have a curfew still in effect until 6:00 this morning and plans are for that curfew to go back into effect tonight, again, at 6:00 for another 12 hours as we keep watching and waiting here in daytona beach. >> julia bagg, thank you. and this weekend as hurricane dorian ties the record for the most powerful atlantic hurricane to hit the bahamas and continues to threaten coasts of florida, georgia and south carolina, the president of the united states chose to spend part of his labor day golfing. photos of the president teeing up at his virginia golf club surfaced on monday as the hurricane still loomed closer to the united states. white house press secretary stephanie grisham insisted the president was briefed on hurricane dorian and was receiving hourly updates, but he

did not have anything publicly scheduled for the day. the president retweeted several updates from the national hurricane center throughout the holiday. trump did take heat for his actions as one mayor told "politico," quote, he is clearly busy dealing with a hurricane out on the golf course. house democrats plan to investigate president trump's alleged role in hush money payments to two women in 2016. according people familiar with the matter the house josé diaz-balart is preparing to hold hearings and call witnesses connected to payments made to karen mcdougal and stormy daniels as soon as october. the washington is reporting. democrats believe they have enough evidence to name trump as a co-conspirator in the episode that resulted in his former fixer michael cohen pleading guilt to campaign finance charges back in august of 2018. the president's lawyers have repeatedly denied that trump committed any wrongdoing. joining us now white house

and washington reporter for "politico," daniel littman. what do you make of house democrats going after details of president trump's alleged hush money payments. i can see some on capitol hill saying this is over and done with. >> they clearly find this to be a release valve because nancy pelosi does not want to go to impeachment yet because the public support is not there and the senate votes are not there as well. so if you have david pecker on the stand, trump's former friend, talking about trump's actions on this, then it's a good way to tell the public and the democratic liberal base that they are still working to hold trump accountable. >> i want to turn back to hurricane dorian for a moment. how is the trump administration bracing for the storm's impact here, seeing the president on the golf course yesterday. >> trump has sent a blizzard of

tweets, more than 120 over the long weekend, and he is kind of playing town cry yer, that's what "the new york times" said in issuing these storm warnings. he made some mistakes talking about alabama, which is not in the storm's path and then went after jon karl for correcting him on that. but with an acting head of fema, acting head of dhs, the trump administration is trying to get ahead of this storm given that their response to puerto rico was criticized. but so far trump is getting those hourly updates on the golf course and off the golf course. so they hope to avoid any pr disaster. >> it was interesting also to see i think it was the twitter account for either the governor of alabama or somebody from the national weather center who tweeted out directly saying alabama will not be affected by this hurricane. >> to clear things up. >> only 20 minutes after trump had tweeted. >> just for clarity.

>> the government is correcting the president. >> awkward indeed. daniel, thank you very much. we will talk to you in just a little bit. >> current state of affairs. >> still ahead, new details about a deadly boat fire in california, at least eight people are dead. authorities say the death toll could be as high as 34. plus after facing backlash the trump administration back tracks on its plan to deport migrants seeking lifesaving medical care. those stories and another check on the path of hurricane dorian when we come back. r check on the path of hurricane dorian when we come back. johnson & johnson is a baby company.

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daniel lippman. lippman. daniel lippman daniel lippman.dan historic tragedy in parts of northern bahamas. our mission and focus now is search, rescue and recovery. i ask for your prayers for those in affected areas and for our first responders. >> all right.

so that was the prime minister of the bahamas speaking yesterday. i want to get another check on the path of hurricane dorian with the latest updates with nbc meteorologist bill karins. the incredible thing is as we are seeing the prime minister there speak about the conditions that his residents are facing in the bahamas, it's still there. they're still dealing with it right now. >> it's still about 18 hours straight now it's been just to the north of grand bahama island and over 24 hours, almost 36 hours since the landfall. it's crazy. today it's going to be moving away, so, you know, they need to get helicopters in there and stuff, but they have to wait for the winds to come down enough so it's safe. hoping maybe the end of today maybe they can try to get into some of those areas to try to help to begin the rescue. >> who knows how long that's going to take considering when you survey all the damage and destruction. >> hopefully by wednesday it's far enough away that there's ships from britain sending one

of their ships, there's a bunch of help coming, but they just need the storm to leave and then they can get in there. and that will happen. i mean, i imagine by the time we get to wednesday morning the storm will be all the way up here off the daytona beach area. so that should be far enough away that the seas will get low enough and the seas will die off enough. maybe by the end of today they can try to get some of the emergency response people in there. i mean, they're going to need help for so long and so much help, too. so the forecast path, this was the big update that we just got in. we're still looking at the potential here, category 2 hurricane landfall in areas from south carolina and north carolina and direct impacts of wind surge and also areas could be dealing with inland rainfall problems, too. here is the storm surge map and they're still saying 4 to 7 feet. even though this storm is going to be 100, maybe 125 miles off the coast they still think that 4 to 7 foot is possible. the winds won't be that bad,

about err not going to see all that much in the way of power outages and damage in florida, but that storm surge could cause significant problems at the high tide cycles as we go throughout the next two days. then we will wait and see further up the coast how bad it is. as far as the impacts go, in florida moderate storm surge issues, in georgia, same thing, especially storm surge, not too concerned with inland flooding or wind gusts, but then because we could get the core of the storm heading inland in the south carolina or north carolina, i've got moderate impacts for wind, inland flooding and the possibility of storm surge. that's where we are at with dorian now. it will be leaving the bahamas during the day today. >> all right. we will hope that international aid effort can make its way to the island as soon as possible. i know they're going to need it in the days ahead. >> thank you, bill. switching gears for a moment. top seeded naomi osaka will not repeat as u.s. open champion. after a straight set upset loss

to belinda bencic of australia. osaka's exit means that serena williams is the only woman left in the draw who has previously made a grand slam final. still ahead, what authorities have revealed about the gunman who killed seven people and almost two dozen in a west texas shooting spree on saturday. n in a west texas shooting spree on saturday otezla is not an injection or a cream. it's a pill that treats differently. for psoriasis, 75% clearer skin is achievable, with reduced redness, thickness, and scaliness of plaques. for psoriatic arthritis, otezla is proven to reduce joint swelling, tenderness, and pain. and the otezla prescribing information has no requirement for routine lab monitoring. don't use if you're allergic to otezla. it may cause severe diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting. otezla is associated with an increased risk of depression.

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who killed seven people in a west texas drive-by shooting spree on saturday, quote, was on a long spiral of going down before being fired from his job on the morning of the incident. according to officials the shooter then made rambling phone calls to local police dispatch and to the fbi's national tip line. officials say the gunman made no threats during either call, but made, quote, statements about some of the atrocities that he felt he had gone through. 15 minutes later the killer was pulled over in a traffic stop when the deadly rampage began. authorities have not said how the gunman obtained the ar-style weapon used in the shooting but say he had previously failed a federal background check for a firearm. according to the associated press texas governor greg abbott tweeted that the gunman had a criminal history and, quote, did not go through a background check for the weapon used in the

odes odessa. a spokesman referred questions to the texas department of public safety which did not immediately respond for comment. >> joining us on set danny savalas. this is a difficult question because i have wondered whether or not you can hold public officials in some capacity liable when they are failing to prevent them from happening, a mass shooting. are there any liabilities for texas lawmakers by some of the victims of these mass shootings because they are failing to act and prevent them under the guise of public safety which they are responsible for? >> no. almost never will a lawmaker be held liable for failing to enact legislation. generally lawmakers enjoy absolute immunity for whatever laws they pass. they can't be held personally liable. the government itself, the state, could be held liable under certain circumstances, but for the most part states enjoy sovereign immunity and are only liable if they say they're

liable, if they give permission to be sued. for example, in the case of a police brutality-type case, those are situations in which the state has said we will give permission to sue us in these narrow circumstances. >> let me follow up quickly on that, if i can. in the sense that there are some laws in place, for example, the fact that there is a background check that this individual apparently failed, but still was able to acquire an ar-15, and we still need to learn how he acquired that, but in a situation like that where there are laws on the book that the state has enacted but somehow either loopholes or they don't enforce it allows an individual to still acquire a weapon. could the state be held liable. >> very different question. one is the failure to enact legislation, the other might be a failure to enforce legislation and that might fall upon the executive branch within the state, police, law enforcement. jen, generally law enforcement enjoys immunity, there is no absolute responsibility to enforce the law. the law understands that police

can enforce every single law. the exception is normally where police undertake to commit to help someone, maybe drive them to the hospital or render aid and sometimes they can be held liable, but even then those are very narrow circumstances. generally the government enjoys sovereign immunity from suit. >> so what options do the victims have here, if any? >> very few in terms of criminal justice because the shooter is dead, however, investigations will continue to see if this was a firearm that was passed to him illegally and i'm certain that law enforcement is looking into that. they may get some measure of justice there. on the civil side unfortunately there are very few options in cases like this, especially intentional evil acts like this are not something that is going to be covered by large insurance policies, you are not going to have a lot of civil liability where you have a lone gunman who goes out and shoots a bunch of folks. gun makers are not -- you cannot

sue gun makers thanks to a federal law passed some time ago which makes a little sense because you can't sue gun makers to say that guns are not working the way they're supposed to. sadly, firearms work exactly the way they're supposed to when they cause harm. that's one of the reasons they're designed is to cause this terrible harm. >> appreciate it. still ahead, we're continuing to track the path of hurricane dorian, the storm is posing a threat from florida all the way to virginia this week. plus joe manchin expected to make an announcement about his political future this morning. those stories and much more coming up next. much more coming up next hiv controlling, joint replacing, and depression relieving company. from the day you're born we never stop taking care of you.

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welcome back, everybody. i'm yasmin vossoughian alongside ayman mohyeldin. we are continuing to track hurricane dorian which has now been blamed for at least five deaths in the bahamas. the prime minister there says the devastation is, quote, unprecedented and extensive. for the very latest i want to get a check on the path of hurricane dorian with nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> the way i see today going is as dorian finally begins to pull away from grand bahama island we will probably start getting more pictures, especially from abacos further away from the storm and eventually we will start to get some pictures maybe by the end of today, a better idea of just how badly freeport and the grand bahama island was hit. this is where we have the hurricane warnings and watches, with he still have the hurricane

warnings up for the east coast of florida. the center of it and the eye, what's left of the eye, should be about 50 to about 70 miles off the coast. so we are not expecting hurricane, you know, sustained winds on the coast, but we could get some gusts possible. i think it's more likely just a tropical storm, but they do have the hurricane warning up there just in case, they are still nervous in case there is any unexpected wobbles towards florida that would quickly bring in much worse conditions. better safe an sorry. hurricane watches have been extended all the way up to almost myrtle beach and these will likely have to go over to warnings as we go throughout later today into tomorrow. overnight our computers, we watch these things, what you are looking at here is the depiction of the rain, the heavier the rain showed in the red, so that would be the area around the eye and that's the center of the storm there. it's off the coast. there's savannah, brunswick is right here and the charleston area. some of the heavy rain bands

could get into coastal areas but the heart of the storm stays off the coast. a lot of the heavy rain and center of the storm goes right along the north carolina/south carolina border right up through eastern north carolina. that was our gfs model. the european model which is typically one of the most accurate ones, again, safely off the coast of florida, similar, and then this one tries to close in on the charleston, myrtle beach area right along the coast, close to wrightsville beach and makes a beeline for the atlantic beach area and through the outer banks. that's how they portray it. climate prediction center issues these flood outlooks, now we have a moderate risk of flash flooding on wednesday and thursday in areas of south carolina and eastern north carolina. so when we went to bed last night a lot of people were very concerned with florida for obvious reasons. it looks like it's going to stay far enough off the coast that it's just a storm surge issue.

during the high tide cycles we will see water in places that it shouldn't be. we will see some damage to possibility of some coastal structures, sand dunes will be eroded, stuff like that, extreme beach erosion. that's what you will see on tv over the next two days. >> yesterday we were talking about the possibility of a wobble, if it wobbles a little less there could be more severe damage than if it wobbles right. is that still a concern along -- >> it's a concern and that's what the hurricane center is still worried about, but with this image behind me it's been stationary for almost 18 hours or so and it's weakened about 65 miles per hour from its peak when it made landfall and there's not much that can really send it west. i was watching all along the freeport area, if the storm this made it west of freeport then florida was going to get hit much harder. it never even made it to

grooept, it was in the middle of the grand bahama islands. we will watch it over the next two days, but i don't expect a lot of wind or rain damage in florida. >> thank you, bill. thanks for that big perspective. with he now go to the ground, south carolina, where we have nbc news correspondent kathy park with a perspective of what it's like there. cathy, people waking up this morning, maybe not in the clear, but certainly as bill was saying still in the path of the hurricane's impact, so to speak. >> reporter: ayman, that's absolutely right. probably see a little bit more activity as the sun comes up, but yesterday was really go time because that was the first real day when folks had time to prepare, mandatory evacuation orders were in place starting at noon. so you have a bunch of hotels and businesses behind me, a lot of them started closing their doors a little before noon or -- and, in fact, actually the hotel behind me. they plan on staying open until noon today. so it kind of depends on where you are. obviously this region has

weathered a lot of storms before, but we heard from the mayor of charleston yesterday saying that the storm should be taken very seriously. take a listen. >> reporter: all right. so it doesn't look like we have that sound ready for you, but essentially emergency responders, officials, all are telling residents in this area to heed the warnings, use this time while you have to get ready and to prepare. right now we are not seeing the long lines at the grocery stores or the gas stations just yet, but really today is the first -- or the only full day to kind of hunker down, get ready, take advantage of the mild weather. i want to give you a lay of the land right here. with err in battery park, this is already a low lying area and we're told when there is rain in the forecast, and there was some rain this past week and that the

king tides also were a part of the forecast as well, there was actually some coastal flooding. in fact, when the rain is really strong, when there are some strong storms in this area, we're told that the water actually gets to the door of some of these businesses. so the situation could only be compounded when this hurricane makes its move, but obviously the situation is still adjusting hour by hour and folks here are watching the models very closely, but really the warning right now is to kind of take advantage of this time while we have it, guys. >> all right. nbc's kathy park in south carolina for us. thanks, cathy. let's get to another story we've been following. at least eight people are killed and authorities fear the death toll could be as high as 34 after a diving boat caught fire yesterday morning off the coast of california. officials saying the 75-foot commercial vessel called the conception was, quote, fully engulfed in flames when the u.s. coast guard received a may day call at about 3:30 in the

morning. the coast guard confirmed five crew members who were on board at the time of the fire jumped off the ship into an inflatable boat and were rescued by a nearby vessel. 34 of the 39 aboard the boat were sleeping below deck when the fire actually broke out. the national transportation safety board said the agency was sending a team to investigate. authorities say there is no immediate evidence, though, of a criminal act. all right. the white house announced monday that it would reconsider its decision to force immigrants home country. the announcement came after the administration suddenly and quietly halted the protections for sick migrants last month, send letters saying they had just weeks to leave the country or face deportation. that move was met by outrage from members of counsel as well as medical establishments nationwide. the deferred action program allows migrants illegally in the country to avoid deportation for extreme cases such as a life-threatening need for

medical care. the administration said while limiting the program was appropriate, officials would complete the caseload that was pending from last month. now, even though joe biden remains the front runner of the crowded democratic primary field "the new york times" reports that the former vice president stumbles to come up with a clear answer as to why he is running for president. out on the campaign trail biden at times has talked openly about his mac of motivation to be the next commander in chief. watch. >> i think at this moment in time i'm the most qualified person to do it. could i die happily not having heard hail the chief played for me, yeah, i could. that's not why i'm running. the irony is the longer i've been around the less that appeals to me. >> biden's suggested at times that he decided to run in large part because he could not have lived with himself if he did not and that biden feels the responsibility to run in the wake of trump's election. when asked by the paper if he would be run going a more conventional republican were in

the white house, biden replied, um, i'm not sure to be quite honest with you, i hadn't planned on running again j west virginia senator joe manchin is expected to announce whether he will run for governor or continue his term in the senate later today. manchin served as west virginia governor in 2005 until he left to run for the senate in 2010. he has openly talked about how he misses an executive position and has complained about how little gets done in congress. manchin considered leaving his senate seat for another term as governor back in 2016, but instead endorsed the current governor, jim justice, however, justice has since switched his party status to republican, claiming that democrats had walked away from him. manchin will take on justice, if he chooses to run for governor in 2020. manchin was reelected to the senate by just 3 points in 2018 despite being historically popular in the state. if he decides to run for governor and wins, manchin could potentially appoint his

successor in the senate. if he were to lose manchin can keep his senate seat until 2024. joining us once again is white house and washington reporter for "politico" daniel lippman. daniel, good to have you back with us. let's talk about this west virginia race, potentially an important one on many levels. run us through the scenarios of how and why senator joe manchin could possibly make a decision to go back into becoming a governor and how could this possibly help democrats in the red state? >> well, he is a very popular figure in the state and west virginians seem to like him, representing them either in the governor's mansion or in the senate, but as manchin has learned, it's very hard to get anything done in the senate and he gets a lot of criticism when he -- you know, he has endorsed a republican in maine for reelection, he voted for brett kavanaugh, he was the only democrat to do that, and his gun legislation doesn't seem to be

going anywhere. so for him this is kind of like a no lose scenario. you can run for governor and if you get it then you can appoint your successor, and if not then you can just continue being senator. so to manchin it seems like this might be a good idea, although he hasn't made up his mind yet. >> seems like a why not situation. >> exactly. >> let's get back to biden here and some of the reporting that we've seen in the "new york times" from this. how might this reported lack of enthusiasm hurt him in the 2020 race? >> well, to have to win -- to actually win an election you need volunteers who are amp up, ready to work hard and take time away from their jobs to actually go door to door, put up lawn signs and everything. if biden doesn't seem like he actually even wants to be president and is just doing this as a pro forma thing or because

he thinks he's just the best candidate, then it makes it much harder to get those volunteers and so "the new york times" article had some great moments of biden snapping at young aides saying, where are we going and where are we going because, you know, he doesn't seem like he has his heart in it as much as one would like. he does seem to have lost a step if you talk to people even his own donors are telling me that. >> you wonder how much of this is biden wanting to run and how much of it is the democratic establishment wanting to have a candidate that is from their perspective -- also i'm not sure they still put lawn signs up in presidential races. >> virtual. they're virtual lawn signs. >> we can ask the biden campaign. i will get the number of lawn signs -- >> please do. all the facebook and twitter ads we're bombarded with, i think lawn ads are a thing of the past. >> i always love driving down a suburban street down an election

season just to see which houses have which lawn signs up. >> i was in pennsylvania this weekend and i did not see as many trump/pence signs as one might have thought. >> still early. >> daniel lippman, thanks, my friend. up next, we continue to monitor hurricane dorian and its track up the east coast. bill karins will be back with the latest forecast. t. bill karins will be back with the latest forecast. usaa took care of her car rental, and getting her car towed. all i had to take care of was making sure that my daughter was ok. if i met another veteran, and they were with another insurance company, i would tell them, you need to join usaa because they have better rates, and better service. we're the gomez family... we're the rivera family... we're the kirby family, and we are usaa members for life. get your auto insurance quote today. breathe freely fast, with vicks sinex. my congestion's gone. i can breathe again! ahhhh! i can breathe again! ughh! vicks sinex. breathe on.

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welcome back. we're still digesting the latest advisory on hurricane dorian that we just got at the top of the last hour. want to get a check with msnbc meteorologist bill karins on the track of dorian. >> we know the hurricane winds will remain off the coast for the next 48 hours but the wind fields, it's interesting, as these storms begin to weaken often the wind field will expand, the tropical force winds. this was the new path in intensity from the hurricane center, the two take a ways are safely off the florida coast, which is good, and that the winds are going to remain pretty consistent. we are not going -- it's been

weakening considerably over the last 48 hours. that's going to stop. it looks like it's going to maintain its strength, most likely even as a category 3 major hurricane paralleling the florida coast, it may weaken by the time we get up to north carolina and they easily could deal with a category 2 landfall, direct impact possible in eastern north carolina and maybe even brushing the coast from charleston to myrtle beach. here is that wind field. the area in yellow shows tropical force wind gusts all along the florida coastline. this is the hurricane winds and that is safely offshore. that's why we are not calling for a considerable a lot of damage right along the florida coast from any winds. we still have storm surge issues and that will be occurring during the high tide cycles and as the storm moves north wards up the coast. here is some of the predicted wind gust and deals, 40 to 50 mile per hour winds usually will not cause too many power outages, very scattered and sporadic. so as the storm begins to head

northward we do get into the ft. pearce later tonight, 59, melbourne 57, coco beach, then as we go through tomorrow morning at this time that's when the highest winds will be in areas around volusia county. the jacksonville area the highest winds for you -- notice now only in the 40 mile per hour range, the storm has overnight almost doubled in distance away from jacksonville so your forecast has dramatically improved, you may not even get much rain. the same goes for the savannah area. there's all these back water bays here and because of the angle of approach of the storm it's going to pile some water up here, that's why they still have concerns in georgia, wind potential for storm surge issues, then you notice the storm gets very close to i remember as i can't say like charleston here. we will wait and see how that plays out thursday. if we are going to get a landfall ever in the lower 48, it would likely be thursday night into friday morning, if it happens. >> hopefully it doesn't. thanks, bill.

appreciate that update. up next, a critical day for brexit as british prime minister boris johnson faces a showdown in parliament. we are going straight to london live next. parliament. we are going straight to london live next. but we're also a company that controls hiv, fights cancer, repairs shattered bones, relieves depression, restores heart rhythms, helps you back from strokes, and keeps you healthy your whole life. from the day you're born we never stop taking care of you.

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the brexit deal or i should say the brexit battle about a deal is heating up as boris johnson said that the chances for a deal are increasing. julianna tatelbaum is out of

london. a lot of chaos out of london. walk us through if there's a chance that there will be an extension to reaching a deal between the eu and the uk. >> well, that is the question of the day. and before i get into what we're looking at today let me just remind you that boris johnson, the prime minister of the uk has said time and time again he is prepared to leave the european union on october 31st. the current brexit deadline whether they have a deal or not. opposition leaders within the uk parliament don't want to leave without a deal. so today, ministers of parliament are meeting to try to pass a bill that would effectively force an extension of that october 31st deadline to prevent the uk from crashing out of the e u without a deal. now, some of the conservative members, members of boris johnson's own party agree with the opposition labor party so they're considering backing the bill as well. in response to the developments,

government officials have warned that boris johnson the prime minister would push for an election on october 14th if this bill passes. now, that date is important because it of course comes before the october 31st deadline. so we could be looking at fresh elections here in the uk as early as october 14th. and now boris johnson's argument has been all along that the only way to get a desirable deal with the eu is to keep the threat of no deal on the table and that's what his strategy has been thus far. the market is certainly concerned about these developments and this morning we have seen sterling plunge against the dollars to levels not seen since 2016. a lot of uncertainty. we are keeping a close eye on westminster today. >> thanks, juliana. up next, jim vandehei of axios has a look at today's "1 big thing." and the hurricane dorian is

threatening the east coast. and the president's response to the storm is golfing and tweeting misinformation about the storm. "morning joe" just moments away. the storm. "morning joe" just moments away. for all out confidence... n ...depend® silhouette™ briefs feature maximum absorbency, beautiful colors and an improved fit for a sleek design and personal style. life's better when you're in it. be there with depend®. run with us on a john deere 1 series tractor. beacuse changing your attachments, should be as easy as...

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all right. joining us from washington, d.c., with a look at the axios a.m., jim vandehei. what is the axios' "1 big thing"? >> yeah, mike allen just posted a scoop about how trump allies are trying to raise up to $2 million to specifically target reporters and editors at major publications to try to discredit them. to try to showcase what they will say is bias. and why this matters is this is a real escalation in terms of the attacks on the media. it's one thing to say fake media, fake media or fake news. and this -- it's another to say, listen, we're going to allocate money, we're doing to try to rummage through what you said in college, what you said on social media, what you might have said on tv, to try to specifically

discredit individuals and it's part of a broader pattern with the donald trump administration where they see traditional and social media as rich targets headed into 2020. >> we actually saw the beginnings of this in a tweet yesterday morning, talking to the media. why is it that the president thinks this is a winning strategy? >> yeah, i think that they feel like it's an us against them dimension to the race helps them. they feel that the coverage is so tough on trump that discrediting it only fires up his base. interestingly they're seeing this not only with the attacks in "the new york times" or "the post" or axios, they're seeing it now with the attacks on the social media platforms. really the pipes that people are getting their information. your twitters, your facebooks. so there's a separate effort from people connected to the campaign who are going to go after the social media platforms and allege bias and do a lot of ads around this heading into

2020. to me it sort of illustrates what we have been talking about for the last year, this campaign will be so much messier and uglier and personal than 2016 was than if you can imagine that. >> how can trump's plan to capitalize on media bias potentially affect his base? >> i think it stirs them up. it's us against them. like the -- if you talk to almost any of his supporters, they hate the establishment, they hate and distrust the media. whenever there's a negative story if he can trash the reporters it stirs up the base. not going to win over any persuadables but they're kind of clinical about the election. there are not a lot of people who shrug and say i don't have an opinion on trump. they want to get the people who love them and they need the turnout to be as high as humanly possible in any swing state especially wisconsin, pennsylvania, florida, those

states that are going to determine the election. >> amidst all of this, jim, let's talk the trade war with china. as we are seeing beginning to impact consumer confidence here. how could this shift the influence on the president's economic policy going into to 20? >> yeah, it's echoing globally. it is manifesting itself in the deflated consumer confidence here in the united states. like if it affects the stock market or affects hiring that would affect the president. his greatest strength right now is the fact that the jobless rate is so low and that the stock market has been a relatively high. and those are the indicators that he likes to push and that he thinks he can win on. if those things go down, it hurts him. there's a lot of unease inside the white house and it's going to be very hard to walk back this fight with china. i would say two or three months ago people could squint and see a solution by the end of the year. very few people do. i think the best case scenario

is sort of both sides decide to de-escalate a little bit and punt it beyond 2020. not sure that would have the economic impact that the president wants. >> live in washington, d.c., jim vandehei. we'll be reading axios a.m. in a bit. you can go to signup.axios.com. >> that does it for us. i'm yasmin vossoughian alongside ayman mohyeldin. "morning joe" starts right now. we have budgets since we came into the administration, since the election, 2016, since january 20th of 2017. >> is he okay? just 19 words, but they seemed really tough to get out. >> i thought it was sort of like -- >> what's going on there? >> good morning,