he was 68 years old. that is our broadcast for this evening. thank you so much for being here with us. good night from our nbc news headquarters here in new york. so in 24 hours, in 24 hours, we have trump hosting the g-7 at his golf club, turkey getting the greatest deal of all time, no quid pro quo, but a quid pro quo, a showdown in the white house and we didn't have time to tell you that rick perry who is tied to the whole ukraine scandal abruptly resigned today and this might be the true genius of donald trump, with one scandal you get kicked out of office but with seven in one day, ain't nobody got time for that. >> those are the headlines. it is friday, october 18. i'm ayman mohyeldin alongside yasmin vossoughian. we want to begin with what happened in the white house

briefing room when mick mulvaney struck down the defense against impeachment by admitting to ukraine and a debunked conspiracy theory involving democrats and the 2016 election. >> he also mention me in the past that the corruption that related to the dnc server, absolutely. no question about that. but that's it. that's why we held up the money. now there was a report -- >> so the demand for an investigation into the democrats was part of the reason that he -- >> it was -- >> to withhold funding to ukraine? >> the lookback to what happened in 2016, certainly was part of the thing that he was worried about in corruption with that nation. and that is absolutely appropriate. >> rolled into funding. >> yes. >> let's be clear, what you described is a quid pro quo. it is funding will not phflow unless the investigation into the democratic server happened as well. >> we do that all the time with foreign policy. mckinney said yesterday he was really upset with the political influence in foreign policy.

that was one of the reasons he was so upset about this. and i have news for everybody. get over it. there's going to be political influence in foreign policy. >> wow. what a confession. so mulvaney, later walked back his statement that you just saw there on your screen, you heard him say he now walked it back, claiming there was no quid pro quo, while blaming the media for misconstruing the very remarks he said himself. here's part of his backtrack, writing, quote, the president never told me to withhold any money until the ukrainians did anything related to the server. the only reasons we were holding the money was because of concern about lack of support from other nations and concerns over corruption. reiterating quote, there never was any condition on the flow of the aid related to the matter of the dnc server. but that's not actually true. mulvaney did say the flow of aid was related to the dnc server. watch this again. >> he also mentioned to me in

the past that the corruption that related to the dnc server, absolutely. no question about that. but that's it. that's why we held up the money. >> i was involved with the process by which the money was held up temporarily. three issues for that. the corruption in the country. whether or not other countries were participating in the support of the ukraine. and whether or not they were cooperating in an ongoing investigation with our department of justice. that's completely legitimate. >> so as you can imagine, then of course came the damage control. a senior justice department official said in response if the white house was withholding aid from ukraine, with regard to any investigation by the justice department, that's news to us. and from trump's personal attorney, jay sekulow, the president's legal counsel was not involved in acting chief of staff mick mulvaney's press briefing. sounds like they're distancing themselves a little bit from him. the president's allies are definitely not happy with, sean hannity calling mulvaney, dumb and idiotic. however, trump told reporters while he didn't see mulvaney's

briefing he has confidence in his chief of staff. >> countdown for mulvaney now or -- >> what kind of night do you think he had last night? >> from the day he, the second he walked out of the white house press briefing. >> what prompted him to have the press briefing in the first place, and was it the president go out there and offer an explanation or i'm traveling today -- >> i am interested to know the conversation the second after he walked out of that briefing. and turning to the situation in syria where there might be a cease fire agreement and where there is fighting that may continuing, vice president mike pence said the u.s. and turkey had reached a five-day cease fire deal to allow the former backed kurdish forces to retreat from the turkish assault. pence said the u.s. will aid in the retreat will which create the turkey long desired safe zone but they doesn't say where

the kurds are supposed to go. the turkish military will continue to guard the safe zone, the parameters are not defined in the agreement. the kurds were not party to the deal. and it is unclear if they will comply. this morning, nbc news witnessed heavy fighting first-hand, along with turkey-syria border along with mortars, grenades, machine guns and rifle fire. and turkey's foreign minister says that is not a cease fire as that can only happen to two legitimate sides and we're just taking a pause. the u.s. special envoy for syria, james jeffrey, also says it is not called a cease fire in a joint statement but rather a quote pause. also, as part of the deal, the trump administration will not add new sanctions on turkey, it had been threatening, and if turkey's operation end, the sanctions implemented on monday will be lifted, meaning there will be no penalty for the assault over the last couple of weeks. according to the syrian observatory for human rights several hun people have been killed including at least 70 civilians and more than 300,000

displaced. since it began just over a week ago. but president trump says that it was all well worth it. >> i'm very happy to report tremendous success with respect to turkey. and i want to thank president erdogan. this is an amazing outcome. they couldn't get it without a little rough love, as i called it, but i will tell you, on behalf of the united states, i want to thank turkey, and we have gotten everything we could have ever dreamed of, but i didn't know it was going to work out this quickly, i didn't know it would work out this well, it's a great day for the united states, it's a great day for turkey, it's really a great day for civilization. it's a great day for civilization. >> i just want to thank and congratulate though president erdogan. he's a friend of mine, and i'm glad we didn't have a problem, because frankly, he's a hell of a leader, and he's a tough man, he's a strong man, and he did the right thing. and i really appreciate it.

and i will appreciate it in the future. and turkey is, i really appreciate what they've done. they did the right thing. and i have great respect for the president. >> president erdogan still coming next month to the white house? >> now i would say that would be very much open. i would say that yeah, we come, he did a terrific thing, he's a leader, he's a leader. >> and what turkey is getting now is, they're not going to have to kill millions of people, and millions of people aren't going to have to kill them. if you let this go, you would have lost millions of lives. don't forget, your friend president obama, lost more than a half a million lives in a very short period, in the same region. we've lost very little. >> as a group, i want to thank the kurds, because they were incredibly happy with the solution. this is a solution that really, well, it saved their live, frankly. it saved their lives. so we've done a great thing for our part. the kurds were great. a great day for the kurds.

>> it was unconventional what i did. i said, they are going to have to fight a while. sometimes you have to let them fight a little while. sometimes you have to let them fight. like two kids in a lock. you got to let them fight and then pull them apart. >> oh, man. so some of the strongest criticism of the president's syria and turkish strategy continues to come from within the gop, his own party. >> the announcement today is being portrayed as a victory. it is far from a victory. this is a matter of american honor and promise. so too is the principle that we stand by our allies. that we do not abandon our friends. the decision to abandon the kurds violates one of our most si sacred duties. it strikes at american honor. what we have done to the kurds will stand as a bloodstain in the annals of american history.

was there no chance for diplomacy? are we so weak and so inept diplomatically that turkey forced the hand of the united states of america? turkey? >> that's not the only big story. the announcement that next year's group of seven summit of world leaders will be held at president trump's private golf resort in doral, florida. according to the acting chief of staff mick mulvaney roughly a dozen locations, including one in hawaii and two in utah and trump voted for miami. and despite growing concerns that the president may be violating the emoluments clause of the constitution didn't bother them. by hosting the event at one of his private properties. mulvaney insisted there is no violation. >> in anticipating your questions, how is this, how is this not an emoluments violation, is the president going to profit from this. i think the president has pretty much made it very clear, since he's got here, that he doesn't profit from being here, he has no interest in profit from being here. >> so trump is currently facing

several lawsuits and congressional investigations related to claims that he is profiting off of the presidency. earlier this week, a federal appeals court revived a lawsuit that challenges his ownership of a luxury hotel in washington. and last month, congress launched an investigation into stays by air force personnel at trump resorts in turnberry scottland. anna edgerton from bloomberg is here this morning. good morning. what do you make of the decision to hold the next g-7 summit at trump's florida resort. how might this impact if you will the whole emoluments debate and could it get traction on capitol hill with those investigating the president? >> absolutely. and this is not a new problem for the president. he has problems that are called into question for violating the emoluments clause before. and the most brazing example of that. hosting a multilateral summit in

a resort in florida that the president owns and goes beyond owning a hotel in washington, d.c. and visiting his own golf clubs on his own free time. so this certainly will factor into two of the investigations going on. one, the lawsuit filed by 200 democrats led by senator richard blumenthal. blumenthal said yesterday he will be adding this example to his emoluments lawsuit. the other one like you mentioned is the congressional investigation. the house oversight committee was already looking into possible violations of the emoluments clause and this will continue. >> i was watching david yesterday, from the "washington post," and one of the, you know, best investigative reporters out, there he was saying it is ironic it is held at one of the lowest points of the season, in terms of occupancy, at the resort, so it comes at in june, july, when very few people actually stay there and now get this huge, you know, if not 100 million dollars injection from foreign leaders and governments. >> and david will be on "morning

joe" later on. >> and circle back to acting chief of staff mick mulvaney's briefing yesterday where he attempted to walk back his statement admitting that the president held a quid pro quo. could what he said, anna, potentially be used against the president in the impeachment inquiry? >> oh, absolutely. it was such a stunning statement. i think everyone watching it was like did he actually say that. so we did see the white house trying to walk that back. and also distancing themselves from what mulvaney said. so there is going to be an effort to discredit that, to say he was speaking off the cuff, that he didn't necessarily mean what he was trying to imply there but this is certainly going to play into the investigation on capitol hill. and i expect that mick mulvaney himself to be called to testify because he played a role not only as the acting head of the office and budget management, responsible for that ukrainian aid but also as the acting chief of staff and orchestrating some of meetings that ended up facilitating this kind of parallel foreign policy led by

rudy giuliani. the president's personal attorney. >> any word on the scramble at the white house, after that press conference yesterday? >> we've seen before, aids kind of, you know, walk, get ahead of their skis a little bit. in how they have to make amends with the president, with some of his staff, so it will be interesting to see how mulvaney kind of tries to navigate this within the white house. rick perry announced yesterday he was going to step down by the end of the year. we haven't seen any indication of mick mulvaney's job is in trouble but he is there at the pleasure of the president, and the president decides that he is not helping his case, especially on capitol hill, then that could be a problem for mick mulvaney. >> i think by the time mulvaney says president trump, sees president trump this morning, it will be a little awkward. a potential break through for the octoberer 31st dead line for britain to leave the european union. the u.k. and the eu yesterday announced they have agreed to a new brexit dealer. european leaders unanimously

endorsed the agreement at the start of a summit in brussels which leaves it to lawmakers in the british parliament to ratification. prime minister boris johnson is set to put the deal to a rare weekend vote in the house of commons on saturday. still ahead, the president dips out of washington for a rally, a much friendlier turf in dallas, texas. we will have the highlights for you, and a check on weather, when we come right back. day 23. i'm about to capture proof of the ivory billed woodpecker.

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welcome back. president trump took his defense of the impeachment inquiry to texas last night. where he continued to bash democrats as quote crazy and unpatriotic during a free-wheeling rally. >> they're crazy. and staging this fight is the survival of american democracy itself. don't kid yourself. that's what they want. they are destroying this

country. but we will never let it happen. not even close. >> they won't come close in 2020. they know it. they know it. they're not going to win it. you know, i really don't believe anymore that they love our country. i don't believe it. >> four more years. four more years. >> so the president continued on, with his prediction of how the 2020 election will play out in the red state. >> remember the last election, they said, these phonies in the back, they said texas is in play. i don't know about you, but i know something about texas. and donald trump is not going to lose texas. i can tell you that. and texas is not going to lose -- >> former defense secretary james mattis fires back after being called the world's most

overrated general. here's what he said. >> i think the only person in the military that president trump doesn't think is overrated is who you pointed out, martin, that's colonel sanders. that's colonel sanders i wonder how the firm's doing without its fearless leader. ♪ you sure you want to leave that all behind? yeah. stay restless, with the icon that does the same. the new rx crafted by lexus. lease the 2020 rx 350 all wheel drive for $439/month for 36 months. experience amazing at your lexus dealer. ...depend® silhouette™ briefs feature maximum absorbency, with trusted protection for all out confidence... beautiful colors and an improved fit for a sleek design and personal style. life's better when you're in it. be there with depend®.

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of generals. and frankly, that sounds pretty good to me. and you do have to admit, that between me and meryl, at least we've had some victories. and some of you were kind during the reception and asked me, you know, if this bothered me, to have been rated this way, based on what donald trump said, i said of course not, i earned my spurs on the battlefield, martin as you pointed out and donald trump earned his spurs in a letter from a doctor. >> coming in strong. >> that was former defense secretary jim mattis at the famed al smith dinner hitting back after trump called him the world's most overrated general during the contentious white house meeting on wednesday. let's switch gears and bring in none other than nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> not overrated. >> not overrated. >> well, a little.

well, the big story heading into the weekend, is this potential tropical cyclone. all that means is it is going to be a rainy first half of your weekend, especially in north florida, and all the way through georgia, and then it looks like saturday and sunday, possibly, areas of the carolinas. and the bright red here, this is the cloud tops, there is a lot of thunderstorms out here in the middle of the gulf of mexico and it has 40 miles an hour winds but not a well organized center, and the hurricane under the aircraft flew into the middle of this, and they didn't really find it is an area of low pressure, that's why we can't call it a tropical storm yet, but regardless, it has a ton of rain with it, and they are saying that it should be tropical storm nester later on today. and winds are 50 miles an hour. towards land fall and that will be sometime overnight into early saturday morning and you think of landfall, the hurricanes and the eye, and not anything like that. it is just more of the center when it is going to cross over land and you can see the track saturday, and then sunday monk morning and then finally sunday night heading off the banks and rainy weather and gusty winds

and usually we would be considered for flash flooding and we are in a drought in the southeast so this is actually drought relief for many areas, and rainfall forecast of one to three inches isn't going to cause any problems and an isolated case of five inches or more, maybe a little bit of a flash flooding but mostly a beneficial rain, unfortunately happening on saturday night and through your sunday. and the storm surge is the only thing that could cause some damage. this is the big bend area of florida. it catches water, the way the coastline is oriented here and that's why any weak storm could give three to five feet of storm surge, and through apalachicola and here, we will have to watch the area and clearwater, northward, two to four feet storm surge and the highest high tides early saturday morning, around 4:00 in the morning. cedar key, and 2:00 in the morning, apalachicola. and the forecast for today, after the windy, cool, windy, big old storm, finally a little

bit of improvement in the northeast today. still breezy. highs only in the 50s. middle of the country looks fantastic. we have a storm coming into the northwest. as we take a sneak peek at your saturday, we do continue to watch pretty ideal fall-like conditions. ohio valley, much of the east coast is pretty nice and there is all of the rain in the southeast. we're not talking about a hurricane or anything like that, but tomorrow morning, we will likely have a tropical storm making landfall in florida. >> thank you, bill. still ahead, the latest testimony in the impeachment inquiry, what eu ambassador gordon sondland had to say. but first, this viral moment between sondland and our white house correspondent jeff bennet before sondland's testimony. >> did president trump instruct to you say that there was no quid pro quo. >> excuse me. >> excuse me, sir. as a respected attorney, i'm sure you understand how the free press works, sir. thank you. can you say definitively that there was no quid pro quo? >> i'm not giving any comment until my testimony, thanks. >>s why y-was it important for you to show up today. >> it is always important to show up when congress calls.

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welcome back, everybody. i'm yasmin vossoughian alongside ayman mohyeldin. it is the bottom of the hour. let's start with the morning's top stories. for several weeks now, rudy giuliani has been the name most closely associated with president donald trump. and the impeachment inquiry in the house. but after yesterday's briefing in the white house, mick mulvaney is now also center stage. nbc's kirsten welker reports. >> reporter: undercutting the president's denials of a quid

pro quo the acting white house chief of staff mick mulvaney with a remarkable admission, one of the reasons president trump held up military aid to ukraine was mr. trump wanted them to assist in a justice department investigation into the 2016 election. >> the lookback to what happened in 2016 certainly was part of the thing that he was worried about in corruption with that nation. and that is absolutely appropriate. >> the president's request was over an unfounded allegation democrats meddled with ukraine's help in the election. mulvaney was pressed, with all of this, was all of this a quid pro quo which could be illegal? >> we do that all the time with foreign policy. i have news for everybody. get over it. there is going to be political influence in foreign policy. >> the president has denied there was a quid pro quo, during his july phone call with ukraine's leader. >> there was no quid pro quo. >> there was no quid pro quo at all. >> and mulvaney said the delay in military aid was not related to the president's other request for ukraine to investigation joe biden and his son hunter. >> the money held up had

absolutely nothing to do with biden. >> still at the heart of the impeachment inquiry which brought another dramatic day on capitol hill, the ambassador to the european union, gordon sondland in the hot seat. >>y y-was it important to show up today? >> it is always important to show up when congress calls. >> are you here to sal skrvage replication? >> i don't have a replication to salvage. >> it is said that trump outsourced to rudy giuliani, and sondland testified we were disappointed by the president's direction that we involve mr. giuliani. >> was that a shadow foreign policy? >> that is a term you're using. that's a pejorative, a shadow policy here. >> meanwhile, energy secretary rick perry told president trump thursday, he intends to resign, a move that has been anticipated for weeks. perry is facing a friday deadline, to comply with a subpoena from house democrats. >> thanks to nbc's kirsten welker for that. and president trump announced yesterday that energy

secretary rick perry notified him in writing he will be step doing unfrom the cabinet post by the end of the year. and during the meeting with the partnership with trans-atlantic energy cooperation, perry denied the rumors last week. >> i'm here. i'm serving. they've been writing this story that i was leaving the department of energy for at least nine months now, and one of these days, they will probably get it right. but is it's not today. it's not tomorrow. it's not next month. >> so when asked yesterday about that trump said he is known for six months perry was going to leave at the end of the year. and he already has a replacement in mind. during a rally in texas last night, the president announced perry's departure. >> rick perry couldn't have done a better job. and he's going to be leaving at the end of the year, and

probably coming back here, whenever he does, it is going to be successful, but he spent three years with us, and i want to thank you, rick, what a job you've done. thank you. >> a new pew research center poll is out showing a ten-point swing in favor of congress's decision to start an impeachment inquiry into the president in the last month. and now 54% of americans approve of the house of representatives decision to conduct an impeachment inquiry into the president, up four points since september. 44% disapprove. down six points since september. when you break that down among party lines an overwhelming majority of democratic and democratic-leaning voters support an impeachment inquiry at 89% while just 10 disamove. and just 15% of republican and republican-leaning voters approve of the house's impeachment inquiry into the president. when asked if trump's actions are grounds for impeachment, 59% said his actions were definitely or probably impeachable, and 41% said that his actions were definitely or probably not. and among democrats, 93% believe

the president's actions are impeachable. while only 20% of republicans agree. and u.s. ambassador to the european union, gordon sondland testified under subpoena yesterday as part of the house impeachment inquiry into president trump. according to "the new york times," sonland told congressional investigators that trump delegated american foreign policy on ukraine to personal lawyer rudy giuliani, a directive he said disagreed with but nonetheless followed. the times reported that sondland testified he did not understand until later that giuliani's role may have been an effort, quote, to involve ukrainians directly or indirectly in the president's 2020 re-election campaign. several democratic members of congress who were present during sondland's closed door deposition reacted to his testimony. >> he said that he was directed by donald trump to talk to rudy giuliani. and that rudy was the key to ukraine. >> let me put it this way. he used the words i don't recall quite a bit during testimony,

which i believed considering, the time line, she have recalled. and also considering the very critical nature of this investigation. but there were certainly questions that he could not answer. >> he crorroborated much of wha we already learned in the whistle-blower report, that the president has confessed to and what mick mulvaney confessed to and no arrows going in any other direction other then there was a shakedown scheme by president trump and his lawyer rudy giuliani. >> and joining us is josh letterman this morning. good to have you with us this morning. let's talk about sondland's testimony, and what it did to add to the overall impeachment narrative one way or another. >> reporter: we've seen this whole parade of officials that have come down, and testified now before congress. basically doing a lot of finger pointing at each other, about who was instigating this, who was taking the lead in working with rudy giuliani, and who knew

what when. but the basic underlying facts of what they've been telling congress pretty much line up. including what gordon sondland told congress yesterday. so we're having more and more people that congress are hearing from, who lay out a time line, in which it's becoming clearer and clearer that president trump put rudy giuliani on to this case, told this troika of officials, that they needed to work through giuliani. so that's sondland, rick perry, who we were just speaking with, about, and kurt volker, the former u.s. special envoy to ukraine. all of them have offered similar explanations for the fact that it was clear that if they wanted to be able to move u.s. foreign policy forward with ukraine, by arranging some type of meeting between president trump and ukrainian president zelensky, they were going to have to deal with rudy giuliani, and that rudy giuliani had made it clear on trump's behalf that that involved getting the ukrainians to open up this investigation,

which would have referred to the president's political interests. >> was there any effort by sondland to distance himself from all that had been going on with the decision making so as to not be implicated in the impeachment inquiry? >> everybody here coming to capitol hill wants to try to distance themselves from the negative parts of this. and so gordon sondland and his testimony yesterday was saying well, look, i wasn't really the front man, as far as dealing with giuliani. that was more volker. and other people. and you know, everyone is sort of trying to minimize their role in the parts of this that look nefarious. but the fact of the matter is, the underlying chronology remains pretty consistent. >> nbc's josh lederman, live for us in washington, d.c. this morning, thanks, josh. to the middle east, where the fighting along the turkey syria border continues despite the trump administration's brokered pause. it began a week and a half ago on october 9, the same day that

the infamous letter was sent to erdogan, tweeting to work out a good deal so erdogan would not be responsible for slaughtering thousands of people and so trump wouldn't be quote responsible for destroying the turkish economy. trump also wrote to the turkish leader that quote history will look upon you favorably if you get this done the right and humane way. it will look upon you forever as the devil if good things don't happen. don't be a tough guy. don't be a fool. i will call you later. >> turkish presidential the sources told the bbc that the letters mixture of threats and locker room banter infuriating erdogan and the turkish president threw it in the trash and proceeded to launch the offensive that very same day. still ahead, remembrances are pouring in for former democratic congressman elijah cummings including flags on the u.s. capitol lowered in his honor. we will hear from the congressman's colleagues. the first look at "morning joe" back in a moment. you don't see psoriasis. you see clear skin.

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welcome back. tributes continue to pour in for maryland congressman elijah cummings after his death early yesterday morning a gavel was left on the house oversight committee chairman's seat, which was also draped in a black cloth. there was also a moment of silence on the house floor, as members from both parties spoke to honor their colleague. >> elijah was considered a north star. he was a leader of towering character. and integrity. he lived the american dream. very sad for all of us. we've all lost a friend. i'm devastated by the loss. >> we respected him because he was good. we respected him because he beat us many a times, we respected him because what he fought for, he believed in. >> a moment of silence will not be enough to respect the lif of elijah cummings. what will be enough is if we

follow his example for a lifetime. not for a moment. but for a lifetime. if we give one another the respect that we give to us. if we give one another the consideration that the leader indicated that he gave to him. so mr. speaker, i will ask that we stand for a moment of silence. and a lifetime of following an example. >> such an incredible leader in washington. and what a loss. to honor oversight chair cummings life's work to lower the quost cost of prescription drugs house democrats will name the signature legislation after him. let's switch gears and bring in meteorologist bill karins with a quick update on the weather. >> let's talk climate. we have added up the numbers across the globe and we have the numbers for september and shocking, right, september was the warmest high for the warmest

september, ever on record, roos the globe. so we keep doing this month after month, so september, 2019, planet-wide, hottest september on record, and tied with 2015, and 2019 is on track to be the second hottest globally that we've ever recorded. and again, this is from nasa. this is who did the study. and how are we doing in the lower 48? second warmest we have ever recorded for september. alaska was the third warmest. hawaii is the second warmest and 30 cities had their record hottest septembers on record. what does this mean for the upcoming winter season? noaa has released the outlook and shockingly much of the country is going to be above average warm temperatures. so warmer than average, is kind of the prediction for the rockies. and much of the south. also in areas of new england, and you notice that is a lot of ski country, that doesn't make some people happy. the best chance it looks to be old-fashioned winters with cold mixed with snow, it would be northern portions of the plains, and also possibly through the great lakes. so again, this is the

probabilities, it doesn't mean it is definitely going to come true but at least that's the trend. for today, any concerns we have are down in areas of the northern gulf coast with heavy rain, and florida is rainy, and a little bit chilly in the great lakes, and through the northeast but bigger than the big rain and windstorm that we have dealt with over the last two days and over the weekend, it is all about tracking the tropical moisture from areas of gulf and it looks like a rain-out in georgia, north florida, and into south carolina, for your saturday, and so keep that in mind for any outdoor activities, especially the college football games, and it is a nice, in the mid atlantic, on saturday, but sunday, that storm system could clip the area, of eastern virginia, and maryland, and southern portions of new jersey, and delaware, and it could be a washout sunday morning, especially, and some of that rain may try to sneak up towards new york city. and then we have a new storm system we will be dealing with here in the middle of the country. so over the week, the southeast needs the rainfall. and then back to the climate stuff. it is almost like we're getting numb to this stuff. every month, we're just like, oh, record warmest. and then just that's it.

>> what was the first warmest -- >> september 2015. >> 2015. >> so almost all of the records globally in the last couple of years. >> in the last decade. >> the trend is definitely in the wrong direction. >> yes. >> unfortunate. bill, thank you very much. still, we will have the state of the democratic race and the first polls since tuesday's debate and a look at the stories driving the business day. back in a moment. ing the businey back in a moment ♪ ♪

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welcome back, everyone. the first poll since tuesday's democratic debate shows joe biden with a double digit lead according to the morning consult poll, joe biden's top, he tops the field at 31%, with elizabeth warren, closing on his lead at 21%. she is up eight points since june. biden is down seven. bernie sanders remains constant at 18% and kamala harris and pete buttigieg follow that. and the latest poll in iowa, democratic voters, joe biden and elizabeth warren are in a statistical tie within the five-point margin of error. 23% each. pete buttigieg is up five points to overtake bernie sanders who dropped 11 points since march. and andrew yang sits in fifth place with 5%. while steve and cory booker at 4 and 3% respectively. and a hypothetical matchup between candidates, bernie sanders is the only candidate who comes away with a win in iowa.

sanders beats trump 51% to 49 while joe biden and elizabeth warren both lose to the president, 51 to 49%. let's turn to business now and the latest on that brexit deal reached yesterday. we have more 49%. let's go to london. talk us through this deal and how markets are reacting today. >> you know, wild swings. it happened 24 hours ago, roughly exactly at this moment 24 hours ago whenthat this brex deal was announced. we saw big bounce in the pound versus dollar, up 7% over the last seven days. we're getting close to the 130 level versus the green back. but, it now appears that boris johnson, the prime minister of the uk, will not have the notes necessary to get it through parliament. so investors are getting cautious. today we have european markets trading on the mark foot of the ftse is down about .3 and the pound has dlefrd some of its gains. all eyes on tomorrow.

youth session for the uk parliament will be a big one as to whether or not he can get this deal through. all eyes on the political side of things. elsewhere, i want to take you to another story about facebook. one of the cofounders who has turned a big critic of facebook, chris hughes, has announced he's setting up a 10 millioned antim antim antimonopoly fund. he was saying they have too much power and dominance. the new fund will focus on backing existing and research on a new policy. it was some big backers and they have investments up until 2021. something to watch out for on the facebook zplied let's talk to two of the largest brewing companies in america are feuding. >> following this close. >> i what can you tell us about the disagreement between

anheuser-busch and miller coors? >> there's some tension brewing between the two of them. it's been an ongoing story. budweiser parent company is now accusing their rival miller coors, which is owned by the millson brewing kch stealing their recipe ises. the story goes back to this year when the inverse happened. miller aus could budweiser, falsely accusing them of using corn syrup in their miller lites and a judge ruled in every pfaff miller. this is a counterclaim and budweiser is shooting back saying they procured text messages around the super bowl time showing that an employee from anheuser busch asked them for these recipes. they have photographic evidence that miller coors have evidence on how budweiser have been

producing some of their secret recipes. the story is ongoing. >> we'll have to do a taste test and get to the bottom of this whole thing. >> we can do that on the next commercial break. >> thank you. coming up next, nicholas johnston of axios has a look at that morning's one big thing. and on "morning joe," the legal fallout after mick mulvaney admitted to a kquid pro quo. before then walking it back. and janet that pole tan know joins the connotation. "morning joe" just moments away. . "morning joe" just moments away. dinner's almost ready. but one thing we could both agree on was getting geico to help with our renters insurance. yeah, switching and saving was really easy! drink it all up. good! could have used a little salt. visit geico.com and see how easy saving on renters insurance can be.

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>> announcer: axios one big thing is sponsored by bp. all right. joining us now from washington, d.c. is a look at axios a.m. nick. great to have you with us. >> good morning. >> what is the one big thing this morning? >> today's one big thing is trump's shout it out loud strategy. the president and his aides have come you up with a novel strategy to face up with

possible scandals and irregularities and legalities that he's saying. that's just to say it outloud. they think by being unapologetic about the things they're doing is a way to keep congressional republicans on their side and to keep the public from making sense of all the issues. two big examples yesterday that we've been talking about already. first acting chief of staff mick mulvaney coming out and saying there was a quid pro quo in that ukrainian call saying there was a political interest involved in those kind of conversations telling reporters to get over it. that of course may have been a little too outloud. later in the day he walked back that statement saying there was no quid pro quo and that there were no political considerations involved in that. the second item, remember why he was out to the press in the first place was to announce the president was moving the g7 annual summit world leaders to

his home in florida. there are constitutional questions about whether he's using his office 10 to rich himself and his business dealings. yesterday mulvaney said it's not a factor at all, going to have it at his trump resort of anyway. this is a long platform. remember the original release of the uyain crane yab' call where he asked for the favor, put that out in public and the controversy surrounding whether it was appropriate for the president to be asking foreign nations to investigate his rivals like joe biden, the president went out on the south lawn and told reporters on television i think china should do it too. this strategy of saying these things outloud, they think by being so unapologetically up front about these scandals and questions that they can keep congressional republicans on their side and confuse the public. >> we want to talk this sunday's axe yos on hbo, sitting down with someone who has been in the news a lot this week, senator mitt romney. >> my good friend mike allen flew out to utah to talk about some of the issues.

i think we have a clip we can play for you right now too. >> saying china, will you investigate my political opponent is wrong. it's a mistake. it was shocking, in my opinion, for the president to do so and a mistake for him to do so. i can't imagine coming to a different point of view. we can't have presidents asking foreign countries to provide something of political value that have after all, against the law. >> i think that's a very strong statement by senator romney, someone we've all been keeping an eye on as far as how he'll retook the these questions and controversies surrounding the president trump. i think you take that hit, that will be airing on axios and hbo on sunday evening along with what he said on the senate floor yesterday, his concerns about what the president is doing in syria and abandoning the kurds, that will be a stain on the nation's honor. i think it's important to watch how he continues to evolve if he becomes a real opponent to the president in the senate. >> thank you so much. you can sign up for the

newsletter at signup.axios.com. >> that does it for us on this friday morning. "morning joe" starts right now. but at some point i hope they get it because it's a fantastic financial statement. it's a fantastic financial statement. and let's do that over. he's coughing in the middle of my answer. >> yeah. >> i don't like that. >> your chief of staff. if you're going cough, please leave the room. >> i'll come over here. >> just get -- >> just to change the shot. >> sorry. [ laughter ] >> wow. >> oh my gosh. >> somebody coughed. >> as mick mulvaney angered the president by coughing, you got to wonder how his open admission to i quid pro quo is going over this morning. >> he's mad at him for coughing. what do you do when somebody poops their pants in front of the press corps and then tries to take it