service of a great service dog, and that's our broadcast for a monday night. thank you so much for being here with us and good night from our headquarters here in new york. impeachment fight, a national security official who was assigned to listen to president trump's phone call with the president of ukraine is expected to tell congress that he raised concerns not once, but twice. >> this as house democrats announced the first formal vote on a resolution, laying out the next steps in the impeachment inquiry. >> and the president doubles down on his decision not to inform democrats of the al baghdadi raid due to a concern over leaks. good morning, everybody. it is tuesday, october 29, i'm yasmin vossoughian alongside ayman mohyeldin, i begin with

more damming testimony expected in the house impeachment probe today. for the first time house investigators will hear from a white house official who was actually assigned to listen in on the phone call to the center of the inquiry. "new york times" was the first to obtain the opening statement of a top ukraine expert on the national security council who is currently serving active duty in the u.s. army. he is expected to testify that he twice reported concerns to the lead attorney, once after a july 10th meeting in washington between then national security adviser john bolton and his ukrainian counterpart and attended by ambassadors kurt volker and gordon sondland. the meeting was cut short when sonland talked about ukraine delivering specific investigations in order to secure a meeting between the two presidents. >> and the opening statement continues following this meeting, there was a scheduled debriefing during which ambassador sondland emphasized the importance that ukraine deliver the investigations into

the 2016 election. the bidens and burisma. i stated to ambassador sondland his statements were inappropriate, that the request to investigate biden and his son had nothing to do with national security, and that such investigations were not something the nsc was going to get involved in or push. he says the second time he reported concerns was after he listened in on the july 25th phone call between president trump and president zelensky of ukraine. he is expected to tell lawmakers, quote, i did not think it was proper to demand that a foreign government investigate a u.s. citizen and i was worried about the implications for the u.s. government support of ukraine. i realized that if ukraine pursued an investigation into the bidens and burisma is would likely be interpreted as a partisan play which would undoubtedly end in ukraine lose the bipartisan support it has thus far maintained. this would undermine national security. >> the president's allies are

trying to discredit and downplay the lieutenant colonel's expected testimony. senator lindsey graham tweeted this, clearly, democrats continue to leak behind closed door testimony to damage the president. "the new york times" story is exhibit a in the ongoing efforts to use a sham process for the purpose of driving down trump's approval rating. it should come to an immediate end. graham continued this. selective leaking without due process puts the presidency at risk. as to colonel, he is entitled to his opinion about the phone call. i read the transcript. and found nothing wrong with it. the senator finishes by tweeting this. how is this different than three democratic senators writing to ukraine demanding they cooperate with mueller investigation? to that, msnbc contributor sam stein added this context, tweeting, graham was among the first to spearhead the idea that the whistle-blower could not be trusted because the account was hearsay. now that someone on the call has come forward he says this is no different than dems asking

ukraine to cooperate with mueller and here is how fox news handled the lieutenant colonel's account. >> but get this. this is buried in "the new york times" piece tonight. but i found it very interesting. he is a decorated colonel by the way in the iraq war. but because colonel vindman emigrated from ukraine along with his family when he was a child and is fluent in ukrainian and russian, ukrainian officials sought advice from him about how to deal with mr. giuliani though they typically communicated in english. now, wait a second. here we have a u.s. national security official, who is advising ukraine, while working inside the white house, apparently against the president's interests, and usually they spoke in english. isn't that kind of an interesting angle on this story? >> i find that astounding, and some people might call that

espionage. >> okay, so the house is expected to hold the first vote on the impeachment inquiry this thursday and the senior congressional source tells nbc news, according to house speaker nancy pelosi, the democratic resolution is expected to lay out the next steps in the investigation. including establishing terms for public hearing, authorizing the disclosure of deposition transcripts, due process rights to the white house, and more. in a letter to the caucus yesterday, speaker pelosi said we are taking this step to eliminate any doubt as to whether the trump administration may withhold documents, prevent witness testimony, disregard duly authorized subpoenas or continue obstructing the house of representatives. the house intelligence committee adam schiff released a statement saying the committee would conduct the open hearings adding quote the american people will hear firsthand about the president's misconduct. >> the white house and republican lawmakers argue that the planned vote in the house only underscores that the impeachment process has been flawed. white house press secretary stephanie grisham put out a

statement reading in part this. speaker pelosi is finally admitting what the rest of america already knew, that democrats were conducting an unauthorized impeachment proceeding, refusing to give the president due process, and their secret shady closed door depositions are completely and irreversebly illegitimate. in a tweet, kevin mccarthy house minority leader says we will not legitimize the schiff pelosi sham impeachment. >> i strongly oppose any attempt to legitimize the soviet style impeachment process that's been going on for the last few weeks. >> their judicial philosophy is guilty. they're going to give the president a fair and impartial firing squad and they made that very clear. >> senator lindsey graham said in a statement, quote, a vote now is a bit like unringing a bell, as house democrats have selectively reached information in order to damage president trump for weeks. senator graham introduced a resolution condemning the house impeachment inquiry process last week but senate republicans will

now hold off on moving forward with it, until the house votes on their impeachment resolution. according to the hill, republican senators lisa murkowski, susan collins said yesterday that they will not sign on to graham's resolution to condemn the house impeachment inquiry. on sunday president trump addressed the role the formerly u.s. bassed kurdish forces in the mission to kill isis leader al baghdadi. >> can you tell me what role the kurds played in this generally? >> they gave us, not a military role at all, but they gave us some information that turned out to be helpful. the kurds. the kurds have worked along incredibly with us. but in all fairness, it was much easier dealing with the kurds after they went through three days of fighting. because that was a brutal three days. >> wow. so despite those remark, reports indicate that the kurds continue to provide information to the cia on baghdadi's information, even after trump's abrupt withdrawal of u.s. forces and provided more intelligence for the raid than any single country. now, the commander of the

kurdish syrian democratic forces tells nbc news that the intel included a room by room layout of baghdadi's compound on the turkish border which was obtained by a kurdish source deep in baghdadi's circle and the number of guards and the design of the tunnels and the compound's floor plan. and that source also gave u.s. intelligence baghdady's used underwear and a blood sample for a key dna analysis. >> so president trump was quite descriptive when describing details on the deadly raid of baghdadi, a beautiful and talented dog, a robot on standby, a quote very low and very, very fast helicopter ride. however, it appears that some of the colorful details that he shared were actually incorrect, highly classified or tactically sensitive. that's according to current and former officials who also tell nbc news that those disclosures made intelligence and military officials cringe. and that there is now an overarching concern that trump gave america's enemies details

that could make intelligence gathering and similar military operations more difficult and more dangerous to pull off. joining us now from washington, d.c., senior writer at roll call, niels lesniewski, let's discuss the democrats push forward, the expected vote on the impeachment inquiry later this week possibly, and how will this change the scope of the investigation. why is this particularly significant? >> it's good to be back with you. i think it's less necessarily about the scope, than the phase of this investigation, and these proceedings, in the house. as we understand it, this is likely going to lay out the ground rules for conducting some open hearings and some proceedings that have more sunlight as well as maybe the process for more public releases. you know, so far, this has been huddled behind closed doors,

depositions, sworn testimony, and such, but all within the confines of a secure facility, deep below the capitol and the capitol visitors center. so what i'm looking for is how the procedures are going to work for open hearings, how the debate time will be divided. whether or not they're going to use outside counsel, or staff to question witnesses, or whether this is going to be hearings with the sort of five minutes at a time, by a bunch of house members, and no one can really pay attention to anything. how that's all going to actually work is what i'm going to be looking for. >> niels, talk with us about the importance of lieutenant colonel alexander vindman's upcoming testimony today. as someone who heard first-hand the president's july 25th phone call with ukraine's president, how might his testimony influence those that are still on the fence with regards to the

impeachment inquiry process? >> well, there's two different groups to look at here. first of all, if i were someone like ambassador gordon sondland, whose testimony may not have matched up entirely with the recollections that we're going to hear about today, or the members of congress will hear about today, i would be concerned, if i was someone like him, perhaps. i would be concerned, too, if i were someone who was declining to testify or declining to show up for a deposition so far. so i think it more relates to that, than necessarily members of congress who may be on the fence at this point. although, you know, you're always looking out to see if there is something that is going to sway maybe some more moderate republicans at least away from calling this a witch hunt or anything like that.

>> niels lesniewski, thank you. we will talk to you again in a little bit. stay close. still ahead, attorney general bill barr defends himself against accusations he is working in the president's favor. we will show you those new comments. >> plus the latest on the wildfires in california. firefighters across the state are racing to contain the flames that are spreading quickly. in the strong winds. those stories and a check on the forecast when we come back. (burke) at farmers insurance, we know a thing or two because we've seen a thing or two.

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welcome back. attorney general william barr is pushing back on criticism that the just at th the, justice department, the d.o.j. probe is going after president trump's political and personal enemies. >> that's completely wrong and there is no basis for it. i act on behalf of the united states. >> barr also voiced his support

for veteran prosecutor john durham who has taken over the investigation as the attorney general tends to distance, attempts to distance himself. >> the u.s. attorney for connecticut is in charge of the investigation. and i understand he's making great progress. as you know, he's a 35-year veteran of the department. great reputation for nonpartisanship. he was selected by two democratic attorney generals to do sensitive investigations for them. he is a by the book kind of guy. he's thorough and fair. and i'm confident he's going to get to the bottom of things. >> joining me here on the set, msnbc legal analyst, joining us here on the set, excuse me. >> this is your show. i pulled myself right out of this. >> good night, everybody. >> what do you make of the attorney general's claims basically that there is no basis for this acquisition that the justice department is trying to help the president. we know he has traveled extensively in trying to figure out this investigation with

regards to what is leading to the origins of the mueller report. >> it is hard for a. g. barr to say there is no basis for any criticism that this investigation has a purpose of helping the president, because we essentially know that already the people have been questioned so far have been asked whether or not the investigation was motivated by an anti-trump bias. so a. g. barr should expect there is going to be at least the appearance of him being motivated to help the president, that appointed him to his position. >> there is also an interesting aspect that the attorney general is trying to distance himself a little bit from the durham investigation. but interestingly enough, the attorney general has actually been going to italys gone to, i believe, australia, to seek some kind of intelligence or information at least from those countries that could be beneficial to the durham investigation. how do you square that? >> either the investigation is in durham's capable independent hands, or it is not. so the fact that a. g. barr is

traveling to places like italy to investigate the shadowy professor joseph michsud and whether or not he was some western operative with an anti-trump bias himself, to the extent attorney general barr is personally involved, it is hard to say that he has left it independently to durham. >> how do you think this bodes optically in the fact that he doesn't necessarily seem to have an extensive explanation pur the attacks that he has been receiving with regards to his interest with these investigations? >> the attorney general should not be surprised that people are leveling criticisms of him, of beng aligned with its premise that there may have been an anti-trump bias, that motivated the initial mueller investigation. and to the extent he's investigating people like joseph michsud, to find out and remember, joseph in many ways was the genesis of the

investigation into the russia, the russia-trump campaign collusion, so that prong of the mueller investigation was heavily motivated by joseph, so if a. g. barr is traveling to europe, to italy, to find out more about it, he is taking a personal hand. and you should expect he's going to get a modicum of criticism. >> thanks. a quick check on the weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins. a lot to talk about. >> yes, we had a snowstorm, a big rain event coming up on halloween and the fire situation in california. and yesterday, at this time, the getty fire, the one that was just north of the los angeles area was breaking out and that was just to the north of brentwood, you know, this was a fire that quickly formed about 1:30 in the morning, and spread to about 600 acres and was rapidly spreading and they had a mass evacuation order that was sent out. and you know, in areas that are very, where the rich and famous were living, arnold schwarzenegger had to evacuate

and kamala harris was told her house in brentwood was told to evacuate. the hire during the day yesterday, when they were able to get enough water on it, to kind of calm it down a little bit. it wasn't spreading as rapidly and now the question is what is going to happen today, when the winds crank back up? because yesterday the winds were kind of light and now tonight we're expecting another santa ana wind event. 26 million people are at risk of high winds and dangerous fire conditions, northern california, where we still have the kincade fire, which is the biggest one by far in the state, and then we're watching that getty fire just north of los angeles here. and even areas down in the mountains of san diego, are under fire risk today. this is how strong the winds are going to get. the peak of it should be tomorrow morning. and we could see 80 mile-an-hour gusts in the mountains, and then many of the mountainous areas will be 40 to 60, with some higher gusts, and imagine being a firefighter trying to fight a blaze in, you know, in the strong tropical storm, or that's how it will feel. and then in the middle of the country, in the rockies, it's full-fledged winter. nine degrees today in wyoming for a high temperature. and snow has been falling

overnight. winter storm warning is up for 3.5 million people. it is snowing in many areas of colorado. it will continue during the day today. denver will have about four to six inches of snow and the snow tonight goes into kansas. by the time we go to wednesday and thursday, we will get some snow in areas of missouri and in areas of northern illinois. milwaukee, you could be trick or treating in the snowstorm come thursday. so the forecast for today, the east coast, it is kind of cloudy, there's hit and miss a little bit of rain but a lot better than the rest of the country and we will give you the halloween forecast coming up, it looks like a soaker, for many areas of the east, and i mentioned that possibility of snow in milwaukee, maybe even chicago, too. >> what's better trick or treating in the rain or the snow? >> the snow. >> the know. >> absolutely. we had it here one year. >> it can be fun. >> about eight years ago or so, i feel we had a halloween snowstorm in the new york area. >> right after sandy. seven years ago. >> thank you, bill. we will talk to you later. still ahead president trump

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and as acting chief of staff, after being pressed again for a yes or no answer, he added quote this, when the president doesn't have confidence in someone, you'll know it. >> switching gears, president trump attended an annual gathering of the international association of chiefs of police in chicago yesterday where he compared the city's violence to afghanistan. >> it's embarrassing to us as a nation, all over the world, they're talking about chicago. afghanistan is a safe place by comparison. it's true. >> now, trump has often spoken against chicago's high crime rate but yesterday he focused on the city's superintendent of police eddie johnson who snubbed the president's appearance at the convention. >> since eddie johnson has been police chief, more than 1,500 people have been murdered in chicago. and 13,067 people have been shot. chicago has the toughest gun laws in the united states.

that doesn't seem to be working too well, does it? and a lot of you people know exactly what i mean. but under johnson's leadership, they certainly don't protect people. >> so at a news conference yesterday, johnson defended his city's police force saying in part today the same police officers the president criticized for their inability to protect the city spent all day protecting him. still ahead, president trump defends his decision to keep democrats in the dark ahead of the al baghdadi rate and launches another attack against adam sif. >> and a no show for the impeachment testimony, coming up. up (contemplative synth music)

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welcome back, everybody. i'm yasmin vossoughian alongside ayman mohyeldin, the bottom of the hour, let's start with thes. president trump has doubled down on his decision to keep congressional democrats in the dark about the raid on al baghdadi. trump defended the decision yesterday telling reporters that top democratic leaders specifically house intel chair adam schiff could have leaked the plans. >> mr. president, are you concerned that nancy pelosi and others can't be trusted with this kind of information? >> well, i guess the only thing is they were talking about why didn't i give the information to adam schiff, and his committee. and the answer is because i think adam schiff is the biggest leaker in washington. you know that. i know that. we all know that. i've watched adam schiff leak. he's a corrupt politician.

he's a leaker like nobody's ever seen before. >> trump later tweeted that he would not be surprised if democrats impeached him over not disclosing the information to lawmakers, the lack of notice to congressional leaders marked a break with precedent while the president is not required to notify congressional leaders on both sides of the history it has been standard practice in recent history. >> during the announcement on sunday, president trump used descriptive language when describing baghdadi's death, claiming the isis leader was quote whimpering and likened him to a dog in his attempt to escape u.s. forces. however, those anecdotes are not being echoed by senior members of the died like a dog. he died like a and crying. and frankly, i think it's something that should be brought out. so that his followers and all of these young kids that want to leave various countries, including the united states, they should see how he died.

he didn't die a hero. he died a coward. rying, whimpering, screaming. >> the president talked about baghdadi whimpering and crying and screaming, how do we know that? >> well, i don't have those details, the president probably had the opportunity to talk to the commanders on the ground, but clearly, the guy was a coward, and a murderer. >> president trump described yesterday baghdadi whimpering and crying before he died. can you elaborate or confirm those details? >> the secretary was asked the same question yesterday, and i know that the president had planned to talk down to the unit and unit members but i don't know what the source of that was but i assume it was talking directly to unit members. >> the president used that baghdadi operation to take a dig at his predecessor, addressing a law enforcement conference in chicago, barack obama's home turf. >> we killed isis leader al

baghdadi, they have been looking for him for a long time. they've been looking for him, for many years. he should have been killed years ago. another president should have gotten him. but to me, it was a very important, i would say all the time, walk in my office, sir we killed this leader at a low elf, this leader, i said i never heard of him, i want al baghdadi, that's the only one i know now, i want al baghdadi, get him and they got him. let's turn to the impeachment push. former deputy national security adviser charles kupperman did not appear for a scheduled deposition before the house committees leading the inquiry, instructed by the white house not to appear, kupperman defied a congressional subpoena and a warning from democrats that his refusal may warrant a contempt proceeding against him. kupperman filed a lawsuit friday asking a federal judge to rule on whether he must testify under congressional orders in an

attempt to resolve the conflicting orders. the "washington post" points out that the case could become the major test of a constitutional dispute between the president, between the trump administration and congress. the white house has sought to prevent present and former advisers from testifying on the ukraine matter and other topics, offering a broad resistance to cooperating with congress on a wide range of matters. the democratic chairman of the house intel committee, congressman adam schiff of california reacts to kupperman's absence. >> i think we can infer from the white house opposition to dr. kupperman's testimony that they believe that his testimony would be incriminating of the president. we are not willing to allow the white house to engage us in a lengthy game of rope a dope in the courts so we press forward. >> two people with knowledge of matter tell nbc news that the white house was alerted in mid may, earlier than previously known that a budding pressure

campaign between rudy giuliani and gordon sondland was rattling the new president of ukraine. the sources say alarms sounded at the national security council and the white house's top europe official, fiona hill was told giuliani was pushing the incoming ukrainian administration to shake up the leadership of a state-owned energy company. sources tell nbc news that hill learned then about the involvement of, since-indicted giuliani associates lev parnas and igor fruman helping with the energy company and trying to find dirt on hunter biden. hill quickly briefed the national security adviser john bolton about what she had been told of the ukrainian president zelensky's early concern abopre was earlier reported by the associated press. the fact that those concerns were quickly relayed to the white house national security council has not been previously reported. joining us once against again from washington, senior writer at roll call, niels lesniewski, good morning to you once again. that last report actually moves up the time line, as to when the

white house actually first knew that president zelensky was feeling some pressure and was pretty uncomfortable with what rudy giuliani and ambassador sondland were trying to do. why is it significant to know that they learned about this earlier, just a few weeks earlier, before, after, excuse me, joe biden entered the presidential race? >> well, i think that the potential significance here is obviously that it becomes all the more likely, or at least it seems all the more likely, that the biden involvement or connection to all this is relevant to what prompted the interest on the part of the white house, or on the part of mayor giuliani and others. and i just think that every time that the story changes a little bit, that moves incrementally more toward this really being

about the bidens, rather than about some sort of other generalized concern about corruption, as sometimes the white house will say, the further it moves in the direction of being directly about the bidens, the more problematic that becomes for the president and his associates. >> the defense that the white house has been constantly putting out is that there has been no quid pro quo in all of this, does this show that the ukrainians actually didn't know about this, that there was this attempted effort that would ultimately undermine the position that trump and his supporters, and advocates have been saying all along? >> it sure looks that way, the other thing it is possible, i suppose, and that even if the white house didn't perceive that there was a quid pro quo that they were asking for, that that's what the ukrainians actually were perceiving was being thrown at them.

even if it's not as specific necessarily as maybe the, even if the white house can continue to argue that they did not have a specific quid pro quo in mind, although the evidence seems to be pointing that there was such a thing, it sure looks like ukraine may have perceived it that way. >> niels lesniewski, thanks so much. good seeing you. >> thank you. still ahead from the middle east to south america, protests erupt around the world. we have more on what is driving the unrest and how it is getting the attention of several presidential candidates. >> plus, we will tell you which trump administration alum is reportedly thinking about a return to congress. the first look at "morning joe," back in a moment. no. in the basement. why can't we just get in the running car? are you crazy? let's hide behind the chainsaws. smart. yeah. ok. if you're in a horror movie, you make poor decisions.

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sleep this amazing? that's a zzzquil pure zzzs sleep. our liquid has a unique botanical blend, while an optimal melatonin level means no next-day grogginess. zzzquil pure zzzs. naturally superior sleep. welcome back. former u.s. attorney general jeff sessions is reportedly mulling a run for the old u.s. senate seat in alabama. three "washington post" officials say sessions have been

meeting with consultant, retired senators and allies to plot the potential of a 2020 campaign against the democratic doug jones. we need to make a final decision by november 8. sessions would likely become a front-runner in the already-crowded republican race, with five contenders. among them, roy moore, who lost in a 2017 special election against doug jones, amid allegations of sexual misconduct with underaged women. while it may seem that the political climate here at home can't get any worse, around the world, demonstrators have been taking to the streets in major protests, demanding economic change, and an end to mass corruption. joining us now, live from london, with more on this, global phenomena, as it continues to play out in multiple country, mbs news correspondent cal perry, good to have you with us. i know you returned from a recent stint in beirut covering the protests and you had your eyes on some of the other protests around the world. describe the situation for us and what you have observed as a possible trend or factor unifying all these protests.

>> reporter: yes, as these protests grow, there is a mon thread, originating from a younger generation, a generation tired of the status quo, that is looking for these very basic economic reforms. the size and the scale of these protests so large, that we have heard democratic presidential candidates weighing in. >> in lebanon, hundreds of thousands in the streets, the final straw, a 20 cent tax on the otherwise free messaging service whatsapp. in baghdad, dissatisfaction after two wars. neither left democratic economic values in place. culminating in a violent response from the government. more than 200 dead. in chile, a 4% rise in subway fares was enough to bring a million people to the streets. stores and subway stations torched. the government forced to declare a state of emergency. and in ecuador, the end of fuel subsidies brought out the

masses. the government unable to control the spread. protests coordinated through social media. around the world, these movements are growing. and they have certain things in common. the first is these are grass root movements, movements without leadership. the other is it is the haves versus the have-nots and the have-nots are taking to the streets in huge numbers against governmental systems that seem braced against change. >> also demand equal access to the economy and each has its own mem m momentum and spirit. >> people are dedicated. >> people have had enough. >> these are people who are willing to die on the streets fighting for their rights. >> in lebanon, a movement for now, seemingly supported by the army. >> bordering at times on a massive street party. >> in iraq, the artist paying

homage to the joker. a film centered around unjust distribution of wealth, leading many to dub this the joker uprising. the movements have grabbed the attention of the two democratic conditions for president most able to find common messages in their own campaign, senators warren and sanders each throwing their support behind those in the streets of lebanon, warren flagging corruption both in the u.s. and abroad, sanders calling for a quote global movement and for working people. >> the way that governments choose to deal with these protests so often dictates how long they go on for, and of course, how they sort of shake out. we have seen the lebanese government allowing people to be heard, supporting protesters through the use of the army and the prime minister pledging to protect protesters. in iraq, more violence, in the city of kabbalah, it seems like a violent incident where government forces wearing masks, opened fire into crowds using

live munitions so the iraqi government on their part seemingly unwilling to budge and willing to resort to violence on their citizens. >> a 30,000 foot approach. >> you can't help but wonder if there will be actual change at the highest levels because of all that is going on. >> thanks, cal perry. let's switch gears to nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> another dangerous evening and morning coming up in areas of california. we talked about the getty fire, now let's talk about the kincade fire. this is the monster one. this is the big huge one that has been burning now for the better portion of almost a week. it is um to almost 750,000 acres burned and put that in some kind of perspective, the state of ride is about 9 a,000 acres so it -- 950,000 acres so it has burned the size of rhode island in acreage size. this blaze will continue throughout the day today and tomorrow. and when the gusty winds pick up, that's when we're worried about it fanning the flames and

beginning to spread a critical fire risk returning this evening. winds 40 to 60 miles an hour. not as gusty as sunday. but a let of people just got their power back on yesterday. after being off for a couple of days and now there is going to be more rolling power outages because of the pre-emptive concerns of downed power lines. and then further to the south, tomorrow morning, at this time, we'll be watching the winds howling in north of los angeles, where we're concerned about the getty fire, if it flares back up, or any new fires throughout this region, and there are the highest winds of the year. and how about the snow in the middle of the country, it's amazing. you talk about this horrific fire conditions in california, and then we have mid winter conditions, and the temperatures are in the single digits, right now, in wyoming, as the snow ends, and the snow during the day today in colorado, and then the snow spreads right through kansas, northern missouri, and portions of northern illinois, and this little stripe here from kansas city, up towards milwaukee, it could get four inches of snow at the end of october. which is pretty rare for areas

of the midwest. so today's forecast, it looks like this. rainy weather along the north, the gulf coast, and showery type weather, drizzly, i-95, the bulk of the rain as we go to halloween will be on wednesday, in areas of the south, and beginning to spread northward, and then for halloween itself, it looks like a soaking rain, possible washout conditions in areas of kentucky, west virginia, ohio, wisconsin, western new york, atlanta could deal with some heavy periods of heavy rain also, and notice how warm it is, and 75 in dc, and 71 in new york city. and it is going to be warm and kind of humid, and it will be on and off showers i-95, the heavier rains further to the north and keep that in mind for the travel plans and even chicago and milwaukee going from rain over to snow on halloween. >> i have an idea. >> yes. >> if you are a parent in one of those soaking rain areas, just stock your house with candy. >> yes. >> and then just give all the leftover candy to your kids when they are coming in. >> your kids are going out regardless. >> i was going to say. >> do you want your kids all

jacked up on sugar and inside the house? >> no, definitely, actually not. >> make them go outside and run around in the rain. >> exactly. >> bill karins, thanks for that. appreciate it. still ahead, mike allen breaks down what axios is calling the gop worst nightmare scenario. first we will get to business and explain what drove the s&p to new highs. the stories driving your business day coming up. mpany. t y that controls hiv, fights cancer, repairs shattered bones, relieves depression, restores heart rhythms, helps you back from strokes, and keeps you healthy your whole life. from the day you're born we never stop taking care of you. why fingerstick when you can scan? with the freestyle libre 14 day system just scan the sensor with your reader,

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welcome back. time now for business.

google's parent company taking a dip, but that didn't stop another record day on wall street. we go live to london. good morning. tell us what exactly sent the s&p soaring yesterday. >> yeah, that's right. new record highs for the s&p surpassing the levels we seen in the summer. yesterday it was up 0.6% which took it to an all-time level of 3,039 year-to-date gains of 21%, of which 7% gains were made in august alone. you're asking where is all this optimism in stock markets coming from? a couple of reasons. one, there's a cause for optimism on the talks between the china and u.s. that there is hope that some sort of trade truce can be reached at some point in the near future as well as expectation of the fed cutting interest rates this week. and then also right in the heart of earning seasons, a lot of companies have reported better than expectations. speaking of company reports, yesterday we also heard from

alphabet, didn't really come in in line with expectations, missed on bottom line which sent the stock down sfou4% by the en the trading session and recovered 2%. company did meet expectation in traffic acquisition costs and advertising revenue which basically -- well, constitutes about 90% of their overall revenues. but, they've been spending more on capital expenditure costs. they're looking to expand in silicon valley and elsewhere. so even though investors were disheartened by the bottom line, the forward-looking basis is still positive for alphabet. >> thank you. up next, mike allen of axios has a look at this morning's one big thing. and on "morning joe," democrats prepare to move it into public view and for the first time lawmakers will hear from a white house official who's actually listening in on that phone call at the center of the inquiry. and

senator joe manchin of investigate virgin west virginia joins the conversation. "morning joe" just moments away. "morning joe" just moments away. otezla is not a cream. it's a pill that treats plaque psoriasis differently. with otezla, 75% clearer skin is achievable. don't use if you're allergic to otezla. it may cause severe diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting. otezla is associated with... ...an increased risk of depression. tell your doctor if you have a history of depression or suicidal thoughts or if these feelings develop. some people taking otezla reported weight loss. your doctor should monitor your weight and may stop treatment upper respiratory tract infection and headache may occur. tell your doctor about your medicines and if you're pregnant or planning to be. otezla. show more of you. ♪ we know a thing or two because we've seen a thing or two. even a- (ernie) lost rubber duckie? (burke) you mean this one? (ernie) rubber duckie! (cookie) what about a broken cookie jar? (burke) again, cookie?

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>> announcer: axios one big thing is sponsored by bp. all right. a very special edition of this part of the show, joining us here on set way look at axios a.m., the cofounder mike allen. what is the one big thing special edition? >> trick or treat a little early? the axios one big thing is the gop's worst nightmare. there's a scenario that republicans think is increasingly likely, and that is that they get shutout on election went 20. nancy pelosi keeps the house, you lose the senate and president trump loses the white house. why are they so worried about this? we've seen on the house the house republican retirements. one a surprise, walden from oregon, top republican on the house committee, very powerful leaving because the reason so

many of these guys are leaving, that they know they're not getting power back. senate, very worried because the fundraising is down. senators now raising less money than people challenging them. so rare, as you know. >> i want to switch gears here and talk about the world series. interesting that i'm talking about the world series. we know washington nationals competing -- >> compete something they're coming back s. >> they've got to win tonight. literally have to win. >> yes. >> hows that team competing for the world title made this world series different than others especially for washington? >> i wish i could show you barnicle's case over there. >> everybody stop laughing, i'm asking a serious question. >> so we've lost control of the studio. so this is fascinating. exclusive data into axios that because washington is in the

series, there's all these people who are trying to influence decisionmakers in government, influence makers are coming to tv. there's more ads now for enterprise software on the world series in d.c. and for defense contractors than there are for snacks or beer. it's all because they're trying to target that washington audience, it's the rare time that a causal audience you can sign somebody who might sign up for a fighter jet. >> let's switch gears for a moment and talk about jeff sessions possibly returning to alabama for a senate seat run. what do you think of his chances? >> what do you think of the fact that he would go back? >> well, we heard the headline earlier on the show. but this is what we're hearing about the idea of the former attorney general going presiden trump, trolled by president trump online and in person. we're told if he were to run president trump would attack him, that he could well lose his

primary and that the president will not let this happen. but he's popular back home so it's another reason that the senate is an exciting place. the democrat who's there now, doug jones, the single most vulnerable senator. >> always a pleasure. thank you very much. to all of our viewers out there, you too can sign up for the axios a.m. newsletter. go to signup.axios.com. >> that does it for us. "morning joe" starts right now. we killed isis leader al baghdadi. they've been looking for him for a long time. they've been looking for him for many years. he should have been killed years ago, another president should have gotten him. but, to moe, it was very