good night from our nbc headquarters here in new york. . history made on capitol hill, the house took a symbolic step forward in the impeachment inquiry as lawmakers voted to endorse the democratic led probe. meanwhile republicans in the white house are lashing out. >> plus former security aid timothy morrison testifies before congress and raises concerns about the trump administration's approach to ukraine. >> and another fast-moving brush fire breaks out in southern california. the so-called maria fire has already burned. more than 7,000 acres. on top of that, forecasters say there is little chance of seeing any rain in the next few weeks.

good morning, everyone. it is friday, november 1st. i'm ayman mohyeldin. the house has taken a significant step forward in the impeachment inquiry of president trump. in fact, lawmakers approved a resolution, 232 to 196. largely along party lines. to formalize the rules and guidelines for the public phase of the impeachment probe. the eight-page resolution lays out the format for open hearings and would allow the president or his council to participate in impeachment proceedings, held by the house judiciary committee. two democratic congressman geoff van drew of the state of missouri and peterson, broke with the resolution, and are districts that president trump won't in 2016. and justin amash voted with the democrats. up until this point, republicans have complained about the

proceedings behind closed doors but adam schiff says the process of releasing transcripts could begin soon. >> one of the aspects of the resolution that we passed today authorizes me to begin releasing transcripts and i would expect that process will begin as early as next week. >> the house speaker nancy pelosi defended the resolution on the house floor during a news conference, and with an appearance on late night television, she framed the investigation as a constitutional duty that must be carried out fairly. >> it provides the president and his council opportunities to participate including presenting his case, submitting requests for testimony, attending hearing, raising objection to testimony given, cross-examining witnesses, and more. and contrary to what you may have heard today, we give more opportunity to his case than was

given to other presidents before. i don't know why the republicans are afraid of the truth. every member should support allowing the american people to hear the facts for themselves. >> benjamin franklin came out, they said mr. franklin, what do we have, a monarchy, or a republic and i said a republic if we can keep it. right here in the here and now, we are keeping the republic. >> from a president who says article two says i can do whatever i want. and not so. >> it's about fairness. because as i said, this is about the constitution. and how we go forward with this. and no decision has been made to impeach. that's what the inquiry is about. but how we go forward is a test for us to do so worthy of the constitution. and worthy of our founders' sacrifice, when they established this constitution. >> now, president trump as you can imagine weighed in on the impeachment resolution vote in several interviews and on social

media throughout the day yesterday. in an interview with brexit party leader nigel faraj, the president once again argued that his july 25th phone call with the president of ukraine was an appropriate conversation. >> 232 versus 196 and in fact, even two democrats were on your side of it. >> yes, that's right. which is, you know, really something. and i think what it means, and what a lot of people are saying, because it's a hoax, and you know, high crimes and misdemeanors, well what's a high crime and a misdemeanor when you have a very appropriate conversation? >> now, in the interview with the washington examiner, the president said quote, this is over a phone call that is a good call. at some point, i'm going to sit down perhaps as a fireside chat on live television, and i will read the transcript of the call, because people have to hear it. when you read it, it's a straight call. the white house also put out a statement following the house vote reading speaker pelosi and the democrats have done nothing more than enshrine unacceptable

violations of due process into house rules. speaker pelosi, chairman schiff and the democrats conducted in secret, behind closed door meeting, and blocked them from participating and authorized a second round of hearings that fails to provide any due process whatsoever to the administration. the statement goes on to say that democrats want to rend area verdict without giving the administration a chance to mount a defense. that it's unfair, unconstitutional, and fundamentally unamerican. one day after resigning from the national security council, tim morrison yesterday testified before house committee's leading the impeachment inquiry into president trump. according to an nbc news review of the opening statement. morrison a top adviser on russia and europe was on trump's july 25th phone call with the president of ukraine, and in fact, told congressional investigators that while he thought that there was quote nothing illegal about the call, he was aware that if the conversation became widely moan, it could cause a lot in

washington, and have an adverse effect on u.s.-ukrainian relations. morrison also told investigators that a conversation he had several weeks later with eu ambassador gordon sondland gave him reason to believe that the release of aid to ukraine might be conditioned on a public statement, that it was reopening an investigation into burisma, the energy company linked to hunter biden two. sources familiar with his testimony tell msnbc news that morrison confirmed the substance of bill taylor's testimony as accurate. and you may recall taylor testified last month that morrison had alerted him to an effort by the president to withhold security from ukraine in exchange for the investigations. morrison is now at least the third impeachment witness to offer testimony on a possible quid pro quo between the trump administration and the government of ukraine. however, president trump instead seized on reports of morrison's statement that he witnessed nothing illegal, tweeting yesterday, quote, but the crooked democrats don't want people to know this. thank you to tim morrison for

your honesty. joining me now from washington, d.c., political reporter for the washington examiner, emily larson. great to have you with us on this friday. let's begin with yesterday's vote in the house, and an historic day, to formalize the impeachment rules and procedures as they go forward. what were your big take-aways and where does the process now stand and go from here? >> well, i think the biggest take-away for me is that the republicans for a really long time have been saying that this impeachment inquiry hasn't had a vote. that this is a normal process. well, now it has had a vote. and so it is, you know, set in the public record, that this is an impeachment investigation, an impeachment inquiry. but even despite the vote, republicans are still saying that while the process wasn't proper to begin with, and this is just a continuation of that, so i think we're still going to see, no matter how it goes, pushback from republicans, on the process, and how the entire thing started out.

but it also kind of plays into gop hands a little bit, because there are only two representatives to not vote along party lines, aside from independent representative amash, were two democrat, and they voted against the resolution, and so that is something that i think the republicans will use as well. but the biggest thing is now, it looks like this is really heating up. it looks like we're going to pretty soon move away from these private hearings and the public hearings which is setting up the stage for an actual articles of resolution and vote on that. >> let's talk for a moment about tim morrison and what his testimony actually exemplifies in the sense that everyone can cherry-pick a little bit from it in terms of what they want to hear going forward. you had the president thanking him for his testimony, that he saw nothing legal. a lot of new information though was revealed yesterday. what do you make of his personal testimony, in terms of where it is on the spectrum of those that

are saying the president did something wrong, and those that are saying, look, there was nothing illegal here. >> well, i think this is going to be very key for the democrats. even though morrison doesn't think that the president did anything wrong, he did also testify he was worried about the transcript of the call, or details about the call getting out, which was a little bit damaging to his claim that he didn't see anything wrong about it. and also, because he backed up some previous testimony saying that trump was looking for the ukraine to make an announcement that they are relaunching an investigation into burisma, which is connected to bidens, the political rivals, that that is the key here, that democrats are look for. not only what was said on the call, but the intention behind, it and laying out whether there was a quid pro quo or not is going to be very key to whether they, what kind of articles of impeachment they bring, and sort of the scope of that, and whether any republicans will be

impeached, not impeached but convinced by that as well, because the whole opposition to this is they say maybe the call was not the best call but there wasn't any quid pro quo. >> and according to the president, it was a straight call. emily larson, live in washington, d.c., thank you very much. we will talk to you again in a little bit. still ahead, how yesterday's impeachment vote played out with some of the personalities on the president's favorite cable news channel. fox news of course. and later, president trump files documents to become an official resident of the state of florida. and some new yorkers are saying, quote, good riddens. those stories and a check on weather when we come back.

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welcome back, everyone. with the house impeachment inquiry now set to move into a more public phase, fox news personalities as you can imagine are pushing back against president trump's allies attacking the impeachment process rather than the merit of the facts.

in an op-ed, the judge andrew nant says with the process, republicans have demanded and the proof of impeachable offenses, plain to sea, what will be the president's allies resort to as a defense? they will claim the federal crimes of soliciting campaign assistance from foreign governments and bribery impeachable offenses and trump was am understood because he exaggerates all the time, and often doesn't mean what he says and then the american public will decide if all of this is skim milk or cream. meanwhile, fox news's chris wallace condemned the argument that the transcript of trump's call with the president of ukraine exonerates him from wrongdoing. >> it was a lot more than a phone call. it was a coordinated campaign. and what you've heard from bill taylor and fiona hill and a number, and colonel vindman and a bunch of others, it was a coordinated campaign by people outside the regular diplomatic channels of the state department, to put pressure on ukraine, to do certain things,

to investigate the democrats, from what they did in 2016, to investigate biden, that preceded the phone call on july 25th and followed the phone call after july 25th. >> all right, joining me on the set, msnbc legal analyst danny cevallos. great to have you with us. >> the house voted yesterday pretty much on party lines to formalize the rules and guidelines going forward. both sides are kind of, well, i should say democrats are saying this is due process, republicans are saying this is a sham process. legally speaking, what did we see unfold yesterday in terms of the due process part of this? how does what the democrats did push the argument that they are giving the president a fair shot as this process goes forward? >> this country borrows the idea of due process from our criminal procedure. our criminal defendants. we've had hundreds of years of deciding the degree of due process that criminal defendants are afforded in a case. and similarly, with civil cases, as well. but we have almost no guidance

whatsoever on what constitutes due process in an impeachment. and the rules are left entirely to the house. the house, not animal any other pa , no any other part of congress, not any branch of government, is the sole decider of the impeachment genesis, of the beginning of the accusation that leads to the trial. they are allowed to create their own rules. and because of that, because we don't have a lot of historical guidance, just two impeachments of presidents arguably, we don't really know exactly what due process a president is entitled to. he may be entitled to none. he may be entitled to whatever the house decides to give him. these rules that we saw yesterday are intriguing, because they appear to provide plenty of opportunity for the minority members to subpoena records, and get information. but those are subject to the approval of the chair. and the committee as a whole. so there appears to be some due process for the president. but a lot of control by the democrats.

>> so you and i have had kind of joked around a little bit about this but as a lawyer, if you were representing donald trump and you saw what unfolded yesterday, would you feel confident you're getting a fair shake to defend your client? >> that's a good question. i would be pleased that the minority members have subpoena power. the power to question witnesses. but i guess as an advocate, i would always push for more and more for my client. so there is some due process, the president can't complain there is none whatsoever. but at the same time, the committee chairs retain so much power to strike down the minority members, and what they want, that it could be argued that as this plays out, there may be less due process than it initially appears. >> so let's pick up on that point, as this plays out, from a political perspective, this is obviously a process that could run months, maybe even a solid year, if the impeachment gets under way. you're now talking about an election year and the president's fully in that election mode. could this affect him, do you think, politically, the legal side, could it affect him politically?

>> we look at precedent and there are some who argue that when president clinton were impeach, was impeached, his power and credibility increased and the attempt to smear president clinton empowered him among his reporters. the same thing could happen here. but on the other hand the wide-ranging investigation could uncover information that is even more, that is not known now, that is even more damaging to president trump, between now and the next election. so it really remains to be seen. >> and correct me if i'm wrong, i believe this is the first time it has happened to a president in his first term in office who has to go face an election. >> that's correct. >> which in some ways will be that public mandate that you are talking about with the popularity. danny cevallos, thank you so much. always a pleasure, my friend. good to see you. >> thank you. let's switch gears and bring in nbc meteorologist bill karins for a quick check of the weather. >> what a halloween storm. ruining plans for many. knocking out power to half a million people right now. greensboro, north carolina, you saw the storms rolling through. we had wind gusts estimated

between 50 to 60, even 70 miles an hour. with some of these thunderstorms. and this is the story through much of the mid atlantic. into the northeast. from the storms. high gusty winds. there's a lot of trees still had their leaves on them. and then with the soggy soil over the last week, they gave way. there's just hundreds and if not thousands of trees down along the eastern seaboard today. that's the main reason for all of our widespread power outages. so here is the map that shows that these are all of the blue dots, that show you all of the wind gusts reports that are high or wind damage reports, and 207 of them, for the mid atlantic, all the way through the northeast. i know we have roughly a quarter of a million people in new york state alone. western new york is getting nailed and buffalo, winds gusting between 50 to 60 miles an hour for six straight hours and i know in the downtown buffalo area, all of the power is out and the lights are out right now, too. so 55 million people under wind advisories, high wind warnings for western new york, the finger lakes through the adirondacks and still high wind warning for boston. and our friends up there in

northeast maine. and as far as the highest gusts this morning, 50 to 60 in the buff loy rochester syracuse areas, and 40s to the areas to the northeast in new england, and then new york city all the way to dc. the winds are coming down as we go throughout the day but we still could see some airport delays because. it and the other story, finally, for our friends in the south, cold front has moved through, and you've been waiting for your relief, it is on its way florida, and tampa, a high of 80 and feeling chilly considering how hot it has been this fall. so yes, what a storm it was yesterday. ruining halloween for so many on the eastern seaboard. >> bill, thanks for that. still ahead, in the wake of the al baghdadi raid, isis has now named a new successor. what we are learning about that. plus new reporting that the u.s. has cut military aid to lebanon. we will tell you about that, and much more, next. ill tell you abd much more, next. maria ramirez? hi. maria ramirez! mom! maria!

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into the middle east, where for the first time isis has confirmed its former leader al baghdadi is now dead, the terror group announced it has selected a new leader, al qurashi, almost nothing is publicly known about him, though, including his real name, outside of a very small circle, within isis. according to "the new york times," the al qurashi at the end of his name indicates he is being portrayed as a descendant of the tribe mohamed, and a prerequisite of becoming a kalif. staying in the middle east where the trump administration is reportedly withholding security

aid from another country, multiple officials tell reuters that the state department told congress yesterday that the white house budget office and national security council have decides to withhold $105 million of military assistance from lebanon. the aid was considered crucial for the country, a key ally in the region and unclear why it is withheld. reuters reports that the state department did not give congress a specific reason. it comes days after lebanese prime minister resigned on tuesday, amid massive protests in that country. secretary of state mike pompeo reacted to the resignation by calling on lebanon to form a new government, while also calling for an end to endemic corruption. meanwhile, president trump is weighing in on the chaos involved in british politics appearing yesterday on nigel's radio show and endorsed boris johnson and the u.k.'s upcoming general election while adding certain parameters, regarding the prime minister's recently negotiated brexit deal.

>> we wanted to trade with u.k., and they want to do trade with us. and to be honest with you, this deal under certain aspects of the deal, you can't do it. you can't do it. you can't trade. i mean we can't make a trade deal with the u.k. >> and i'd like to see you and boris get together. because you would really have some numbers. i have great relationships with any of the leaders, including boris, he is a fantastic man, and i think he's the exact right guy for the times, and i know that you and him will end up doing something that could be terrific. if you and he get together, it's, you know, it's an unstoppable force. and corbin would be so bad for your country. we be so bad. we take you in such a bad way. we take you into such bad places. but your country has tremendous potential. it's a great country. >> britain's new general election, the third in less than five years, is set to be held on december 12th. the vote will directly impact how brexit will be implemented.

although it remains unknown if it will be enough to break the ongoing chaos and uncertain surrounding the divorce. ahead how capitol hill, some of the president's closest allies are responding to yesterday's impeachment resolution vote. >> plus, we are counting down to this morning's october jobs report. we will have a preview from cnbc when we come back in just a moment. moment our atients- like job. when he was diagnosed with cancer, his team at ctca created a personalized care plan to treat his cancer and side effects. so job could continue to work and stay strong for his family. this is how we inspire hope. this is how we heal. we love you, daddy. good night. i love you guys. cancer treatment centers of america. appointments available now.

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this for me has nothing to do with politics. people said well, you didn't want to do it because you would jeopardize some of your members. it had nothing to do with politics. nothing to do with partisanship. it's only about patriotism. what we are defending is our

democracy. this isn't about his personality, his policies, his -- >> that was house speaker nancy pelosi with stephen colbert last night, just hours after the full house took the first vote on impeachment passing. along party lines. the resolution needed to begin the probe's public phase. all republicans voted against the resolution. two democrats joining them. both from districts the president won in 2016. hoo here's more from the house speaker and republicans. >> we must honor the constitution. and how we do this. we must respect the institution we serve. so hopefully, as we go forward with this, the clarity of purpose, the clarity of procedure, a clarity of fact, a clarity of truth, it is about the truth, it's about the constitution. >> trying to put a ribbon on the

process doesn't make it any less of a sham. >> democrats are trying to impeach the president because they are scared they cannot defeat him at the ballot box. >> it is unprecedented. it is not only unprecedented, this is soviet style rules. >> what we're seeing among democrats on the intelligence committee down on the skiff right now is like a cult. these are a group of people loyally following their leader, as he bounces from one outlandish conspiracy theory to another. >> shortly after the house vote, a group of nine senators went to the white house to lunch with president trump and repeatedly touted his decision to release the memo at center of the inquiry. and they urged them to read the memo of the conversation with the ukrainian president. it comes as he urges his defenders to focus more on the substance and not the process. democrats are using to carry out the impeachment inquiry. when asked whether the rough transcript of the call with

zelensky appears to be trump's prime defense, florida senator rick scott says quote, i think the point that president is making is they put the phone call of zelensky out and if they put the transcript out, there is nothing wrong with that except it is not the transcript itself as the white house itself has noted us. emily, great to have you back with us. let's talk a little bit about what we know in terms of house republicans thinking about this push from the president, to try to steer this away from a criticism or a defense based on process and to more about the substance of the phone call. what are you hearing from your sources and republicans in the senate? >> well, i think definitely it is going to be an adjustment for republicans. because so much of this has been focused on the process. and we heard kevin mccarthy saying to, sort of throwing nancy pelosi's old statements back in her face, that this was, she called many months ago, impeachment would be a bad idea,

unless there was something compelling and bipartisan about it. and so far, there hasn't really been any bipartisan support for the impeachment process. and then we've also seen republicans sort of look at adam schiff as being sort of the, trying to be kenneth starr, who was special prosecutor in the clinton, surrounding the clinton impeachment investigation. and so his role and everything kind of controlling everything there, and they're very frustrated with the process. so it is going to be, they're trying to focus on the actual content of what was said, it is something that the republicans have been staying away from, because so much of this is not focused on just what was said in the call, but a lot of the circumstances around it. and so that is definitely going to be a switching strategy for them. >> emily, part of the president's defense, as we were kind of alluding to there, is for people to read the reconstructed transcript of the

call with zelensky implying he has nothing to hide. >> is it a memo of the transcript skm? is it likely that we could ever see in this process a much more comprehensive account of what actually took place on that phone call, and that could be problematic for the president? or is what we're seeing probably the end of it on that front? >> well, i would say so far, what we're seeing is probably going to be, there might be a few more details revealed, i mean we've heard in testimony this week, that there were a couple of times that are in this memo, transcript, that there were sometimes that biden was mentioned and burisma was mentioned, that weren't on that, but it was, it didn't really change the substance of what was actually in there. and so i think what that sort, that's what sort of the democrats are trying to do, is get more information, from people, who have direct knowledge of this call. and kind of get more information around there. but the president, i think, wants people to look at this call, because if you just look at the call, which is what

prompted the whistle-blower to complain which is what prompted the entire impeachment investigation, there could be some interpretation there, as to whether he was actually hanging aid in front of ukraine, in exchange for them looking into burisma and the bidens. and so if you're just focused on that, there could be a gait there debate there, but the democrats are trying to get to the bottom to whether there are circumstances surrounding this call that aren't just the call, but other things happening in the context of it, that show that there was actually some kind of quid pro quo there. and also, whether there may be other actions that were taken as a result of people like rudy giuliani, trying to get into this, that could be problematic, and im peachable offenses. >> emily, live for us in washington, d.c., thanks, emily. >> thank you. a new poll shows the majority of americans think donald trump has little to know respect for your democratic

institutions and tradition. in the latest poll, 61% think the president has not much or no respect at all for u.s. democratic institutions and traditions. including 26% of republicans. just 38% of americans think he has a great deal, or a fair amount of respect. and on the impeachment inquiry into president trump, the majority of americans, 47%, approve of the inquiry, and 38% disapprove. on the legality of president trump's interactions with president zelensky of ukraine, 38% believe trump acted legally and 29% believe he acted legally, but unethically, and 30% believe he has done nothing wrong. still ahead, would he have the governor of new york, we have the governor of new york's message after the president announced he is leaving the big apple for florida. plus this. >> i am leaving but we have men who have been credibly accused of intentional acts of sexual violence and remain in boardrooms, on the supreme

court, and in this very body, and worst of all, in the oval office. >> we're going to hear more from congresswoman katie hill who says she is not resigning not because of a sex scandal but because of a double standard. your first look at "morning joe" is back in a moment. skin sin #17... too many after-parties. new neutrogena® bright boost with dullness-fighting neoglucosamine. boosts cell turnover by 10 times for instantly brighter skin. bright boost neutrogena®. fthe prilosec otc two-weekymore. challenge is helping people love what they love again. just one pill a day. 24 hours. zero heartburn. because life starts when heartburn stops. take the challenge at prilosecotc dot com.

(vo) the flock blindly flying south for the winter. they never stray from their predetermined path.

but this season, a more thrilling journey is calling. defy the laws of human nature. at the season of audi sales event. i am leaving now, because of a double standard. i am leaving because i no longer want to be used as a bargaining chip. i am leaving because i didn't want to be pedalled by papers and blogs and web sites used by shameless operatives for the dirtiest gutter politics that i have ever seen and the right wing media to drive clicks and expand their audience by distributing intimate photos of me, taken without my knowledge, let alone my consent, for the sexual entertainment of millions. i'm leaving because of a miss oj nifrtic culture that gleefully consumed my naked pictures,

capitalized on my sexuality and enabled my abusive ex to condition that abuse this time with the entire country watching. >> katie hill explaining why she is resigning. she announced her resignation amid an ethics investigation with an alleged inappropriate relationship with a staffer and nude photos published online, and the speech came as she voted in favor of the next phase of the impeachment inquiry. >> i'm leaving because there is only one investigation that deserves the attention of this country. and that's the one that we voted on today. a man, who brags about his sexu sexual predation, with dozens of women come forward to accuse him of sexual assault, who pushes policies who are uniquely harmful to women and filled the court with judges who proudly rule to deprive women of the most fundamental rights to control their own bodies, sits in the highest office of the land. and so today as my last vote, i

voted on impeachment proceedings. not just because of corruption, obstruction of justice, or gross misconduct. but because of the deepest abuse. >> hill's last day in office is officially today. and president trump is no longer declaring himself a new york resident. according to documents filed in late september, trump and first lady melania trump changed their primary residence from manhattan to palm beach, florida, citing trump's maralaggo resort as the permanent home. my family and i will be making palm beach florida our permanent residence. he added quote, i cheish new york but unfortunately despite the fact that i paid millions of dollars in city, state and local taxes, each year i have been treated very badly by the political leaders of both the city and the state. few have been treated worse.

i hated having to make this decision but in the end it will be the best for all concerned. new york governor andrew cuomo responded to the times report in a statement yesterday, saying good riddance. it is not like mr. trump paid taxes here anyway. he's all yours, florida. and with that, let's switch gears and bring in nbc meteorologist bill karins. bill, what's the weather like in florida? >> florida is waiting for that cold front. very hot. that's the story of florida. so unfortunately, another fire in southern california, has erupted overnight, this is called the maria fire, in between santa barbara and santa clarita. and not that far from where the fire was a couple of days ago. this fire has burned up to 7,400 acres. and there has been structures that have been burned, too. here are some of the new pictures coming in. so yes, the winds are still gusty enough that it is very difficult conditions, especially when you get on the hillsides with these firefighters. and they have to be exhausted. i mean after like it lee, four days in a row of just round the clock shifts. unbelievable. so for today, we don't have the

pink category, the extreme risk, but we still have an area of the critical risk actually where the fire is burning this morning. elevated risk for the rest of the southern portions of california, and gusts up to 35 miles an hour, possible, and it is still just so dry, that even with 30 miles an hour winds, the fire is rapidly spreading. so as far as the wind gusts go out there, new york right now is at 32, and we're at 38 in boston, and nantucket is 51. and main is 49. still howling. and buffalo at 51. and syracuse 48. so we already have the last number i saw was over three quarter of of a million people without power in the windstorm in the northeast and add to it with the strong gusts and in the southeast, cooling off and a lot of sunshine across the board. we're getting rid of the big huge storm and i mentioned florida is waiting for the cooldown. 87 in miami and a little bit cooler over the weekend. so the weekend forecast, still has to have a cold front bring in some showers and storms on saturday, to south florida, and still chilly in the great lakes, but you notice much of the map

at least for the first weekend in november there is a lot of sunshine out there and drop in the mid-80s for miami by the time we get to sunday. and that is a little bit better than the heat and humidity. metro areas of the northeast fine. a couple of snow showers in the great lakes. one of the bigger events we are having throughout the upcoming weekend, the new york city marathon. it looks like it willing pretty ideal. 46 to start the race. finishing in the 50s. that's nearly perfect conditions. and amin, i struggled last year at the end of the new york city marathon. you weren't there to support me. this will be my second marathon. and if you want to be in central park, to help me hout, i would really appreciate it. >> you know what, can you fwiv me a time as to when i can be there, realistically. >> whenever my legs get me there. i don't know what speed or pace. >> can you text me 30 minutes out? >> you know something, my son want immediate to, i will wear the phone, so he can call me during the race. so if you want to reach out, then i can say hey, meet me here and highly disappointed when due

show up. >> you got it. hopefully traffic will cooperate and i can get there in time. >> exactly. >> you got plenty of time to finish though. >> i think they let you 18 hours or something like that. >> bill, thanks. good luck by the way this sunday. still ahead apple is laig the ground work for something that has been a hot topic of conversation for years, that and new reporting from cnbc and a fresh look at the economy as we look at the october jobs report. those stories driving the business day, straight ahead. day 23. i'm about to capture proof of the ivory billed woodpecker. what??? no, no no no no. battery power runs out.

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it is so exciting for the city. since president trump came to office, the capitals, the hockey team, the mystics and the nationals have won their first championships so we're really jacked up for the whole city. it's exciting. >> i guess you take whatever credit you can get, you know. >> baseball's world series champions are back home this morning. the washington nationals plane arrived at dulles to a water cannon salute last night. you can see it there on the screen. a large crowd turned out to meet the players on the tarmac. ryan zimmerman led the team off the plane waving a nats flag and lifting the commissioners trophy. the nats pulled off a big series comeback beating astros in houston in game six and seven in the history-making championship. today, the october jobs report comes out, following a slow jobs report in september. we have more from london with a

lot more on that. good to have you with us on a friday morning. what are we expecting in the report? >> economists are only expecting a number of 75,000, down from the number in september and on the unemployment rate, the expectation is what it will pick up to 3.6%, from 3.5%. and on average, hourly earnings which is basically wage growth, expecting a rise of 0.2% or 3% year on year. f 0.2% or 3% year on year the general motors strike expected to shave off 50,000 from the headline prints. which is one reason for the weakness. now, another data point you want to watch out for is the ism. so that comes out later today as well. theyr expecting a 49 point one trend that's up higher than last month at 47 points. worth mentioning that any number

below 50 is still a bad sign because it does still point to contraction in manufacturing going raforward. investors will be focused on those two reports coming out later today. >> let's switch gears for a moment and talk technology. what are you hearing about apple and y iphone? there's always exciting news aroundxc their products. >> yes,he that's right. investors are pushing apple to move to a subscription model whereby they wouldti sell their models as part of a subscription and shift their transaction revenue similar to the amazon model they're calling this latest plan for apple apple prime. the way it would work they would bundle w together hardware upgrades to upgrades to the cloud storage, access to apple tv both on phone services and hardware and do all of that for oneo fee on a recurring monthl basis. very similar to ocu amazon prim and to be honest, tim cook hasn't exactlyne ruled it out s it couldul be on the cards for

apple in the future and something that investors will be turning on. they place a higher value on recurring revenue. >> iin think that could be a popular thing instead of people getting ten or 15 different charges for every month, you get one charge. makes gesense. thank you so much. up next, jim vandehei has a look at v this morning's one bi thing. andne coming up on "morning joe we'll break down the historic step to impeach president trump as they look to set ground gr rules. and another white house official who was on the calle at the center of insquaquiry claims to corroborate the claims. "morning joe" moments away. corroborate the claims. "morning joe" moments away. has a guard between the blades that helps protect skin. the gillette skinguard.

>> announcer: axios one big thing is sponsored by bp. all right. joining us now from washington, d.c. with a look at axios a.m. cofounder and ceo of axios, mr. jim vandehei. great to have you with us on this friday morning. give it to us. what is axios one big thing?

>> we're looking at how hard it is in the democratic 2020 field for nonwhite candidates. at this moment right now, the forward-leading candidates, all white, have four times as much cash on hand as the five nonwhite democratic candidates. this points to a larger problem for nonwhite candidates, even in the democratic party which has a much more diverse voting base, more diversity in the house and senate. it's still a lot harder for candidates who aren't white in the democratic party to raise a lot of money. if you look at who the big donors are, they tend to be wealthy, white men. and that money tends to get directed and does have a real effect in the race. and so it's made it a little bit harder for your harrises of the world to really thrive in a race where people thought you would have more diversity at the top of the field. >> so let's talk a little bit about the exclusive data on the frequency of social media interactions that you guys have compiled for some of these 2020 candidates in the month of the october. what is it revealing?

>> yeah, democrats have -- democrats have struggled to get as much attention as donald trump. especially when you're talking about impeachment. and for impeachment you had that vote yesterday where you had this projection of unity. every republican voted against the impeachment proceedings. but behind the scenes, you're seeing real angst about whether they have to change with the changing demographics. for our axios show this sunday you'll see representative herd of texas, you'll see representative crenshaw of texas really wrestling what it's going to mean to be a republican in a more diverse nation. >> jim, let's talk a little bit about the impeachment probe, if we can. >> does it start looking like the rest of the country, there won't be a republican party in this country. but we know where the trends are going and we know what we need to do. >> i don't take it as a given because you're nonwhite that we

should worry about you voting democrat. i think democrats take that for granted. that's where this conversation comes from. this idea that your characteristics should drive how you think, which is -- i think there's a word for that. i think it's called racism. >> you see -- you see republicans really, i think, at this moment looking especially at the state of texas and seeing the demographics change and wondering if this is the election that rising hispanic population makes it a lot harder to compete at the national level. this will be obscured a little bit of the next three or four months for impeachment. but behind the scenes it's the number one thing that republicans are thinking about as they look to the future. >> jim, as this week winds down, obviously historic vote yesterday. what are you looking forward in the days and weeks ahead? what are you watching for? >> i don't know. you watch a lot of the coverage and people say republicans in the senate might be breaking,

they theremight be so there might be some that will turn on donald trump. i don't think that's true. few republicans are saying nary a thing about donald trump. every single republican in the house voted with donald trump on impeachment. once he's impeached and he will be impeached probably in november and december and the question is is he akwitded because republicans stand with him. right now the polls suggest that they're going to stand with donald trump and you've got to check to see if a new evidence comes out and starts to truly persuade republicans to go against the base. so far in the trump presidency is it almost never happens. >> all right. jim vandehei live in washington, d.c. for us. thank you very much. we're going to be reading axios a.m. in a bit. for all your viewers out there, you can sign up for that newsletter by going to signup.axios.com. that does it for me on this friday morning. "morning joe" starts right now. good morning and welcome to "morning joe" on this friday, november 1st. it's november. so, we've heard grave warnings

this week about wild conspiracy theories profiting off the presidency and the one person in washington turning the country upside down. only those warnings weren't about president trump, they weren't at president trump, and they weren't coming from the democrats. >> i could go abroad, make millions off of my father's presidency. i'd be a really rich guy. it could be incredible. >> down in the scif right now is like a cult. these are a group of people loyally following their leader as he bounces from one outlandish conspiracy theory to another. >> from one man to turn this country upside down to have this vote today, our founding fathers warned about this. >> and, that could be called the art of projection. >> could also be called shamelessness at an absolutely breathtaking pace. back in the late '90s during the

last impeachment there were a