restroom in the senate. that's our broadcast for tonight. brian will be back on monday. thank you for being with us and good night from nbc news headquarters in new york. so it all came to light in 2011, in october of 2011 with this indictment in federal court in the southern district of new york. and with this surprise mid-afternoon news conference from the u.s. department of justice, a news conference attended by both the attorney general himself and the fbi director at the time as well as the u.s. attorney for the southern district of new york and other justice department senior officials, the plot they described at this news conference and the plot that was described in that indictment was so over the top it almost didn't seem serious.

it was such a like low-rent bad action movie juvenile plot that it was hard to square with the sort of seriousness with which it was presented. i mean, the scheme that they laid out was this. there was a drug cartel, a drug gang in mexico called los zetas, z-e-t-a-s, zetas, and the dea, drug enforcement administration, to a certain extent had infiltrated this gang, the zetas. the dea at least had informants working for them who were living and working as members of this gang. but secretly reporting back to the dea what was going on inside the gang which is interesting in terms of a law enforcement drama prospect, right? but one day in may of 2011 one of these guys who was secretly working for the dea as an

informant inside this drug gang, he made arrangements to talk to his dea handler. and he hold his handler in the dea something that felt like it was like visiting from a different planet, it was a plot from a totally different movie, something that seemed totally off the wall for what was already a pretty dramatic situation. quote, the case began in may when a drug enforcement administration informant with ties to high-level leaders of loss zetas told agents of a bizarre conversation. he had been approached, he said, by an iranian friend of his aunts in corpus christi, texas. the friend had a proposition for him, a proposition to hire the drug cartel to carry out terrorist attacks inside the united states. wait, what now? which movie is this? over the christmas break susan and i went to the movie theater to go see "little women" because we're middle-aged lesbians, it's

mandatory. but we're in a theater right next to "star wars. t" so, we saw little star women wars. it was definitely the best iteration of both movies. this is kind of the same thing. this is two different action movies crammed into the same thing. wait, i thought this was the movie about the infiltration of the drug gang with the secret informants, no, no, it's the iranians hiring the drug gang to carry out terrorist attacks in the united states. yes, both of those movies squashed into one. the guy everybody thinks who is in the drug gang secretly working for the dea as a double agent, he in real life has an aunt in corpus christi and his aunt in corpus christi has a friend, an iranian guy who i kid you not is used car salesman. he's 56 years old. his name was mansur. he told everybody to call him jack. he sold hondas and acuras from what apparently was a

disorganized car lot in corpus christi, texas. he had a couple of minor pops including driving without a license and a check scheme. literally he was a random used car dealer in texas. named jack. had a wife named esperanza. but jack had a friend, this woman in corpus christi who it turns out had a nephew who everybody believed was in los zetas, this terrible drug gang. he was secretly a dea agent inside the drug gang and the way he laid it out to his handlers was his aunt's friend, this car dealer guy jack, came to him because he thought he was in this drug gang and he tried to hire him to do something absolutely unbelievable. >> an alleged $1.5 million plot to assassinate saudi arabia's ambassador. a veteran diplomat and king

abdullah's right-hand man by blowing him up in an undetermined restaurant. u.s. officials tell nbc news a secondary plot was to target israel's embassy in washington. the accused an iranian born u.s. citizen was arraigned in manhattan this afternoon. a co-conspirator named in the indictment remains at large. but the administration says iran's government was behind it all. >> iran's government was behind it all, but it involves in texas car dealer and mexico and a drug -- what? i mean, this all happened in the fall of 2011, and it hovers somewhere between super scary and almost laughable, right? on the one hand there's this somewhat feckless used car salesman -- call me jack -- lives in corpus christi, thinks he's making contact with the mexico drug cartel. he's really making contact with the dea informant inside the mexican drug cartel. and what he tells that guy of all guys is that his cousin is a big deal in the iranian

military, and his cousin and his colleagues in the iranian military have conveyed to jack, the feckless used car salesman, they'll pay good money for him to arrange for an assassination and a few strategic bombings to be carried out on behalf of the nation of iran. and could he please arrange for the mexican drug cartel to do it? in the proposed deal, the drug gang would set off bombs at two foreign embassies in argentina. the embassy of saudi arabia in argentina and the embassy of israel in argentina. they would also bomb the embassy of israel in washington, d.c., and according to the plot, they would kill with a bomb the saudi ambassador to the united states while he was eating dinner at a restaurant in washington, d.c. so that's what the dea handler for this informant inside los zeta hears from his informant. the dea hears of this proposal

from, you know, aunt's friend jack. it's like what do you do if your guy who's the double agent inside the dang comes to you and says i have been made an offer. i have been offered this proposal. it's a little bit outside my wheelhouse. i didn't think this is the kind of thing i was here to work on. but with now the blessing of the dea, he basically goes ahead with it, goes back to jack, the used car dealer guy, and says, you know, okay, i got to talk to a few guys, but this seems good. let's go ahead with it. the u.s. government totally knows about it. the fbi obviously is brought in. they know about this from the earliest stages because it's this dea informant who's been approached with this proposal. because the fbi is in on it, the u.s. government knows what's happening here, they're allowing this plot to go forward but they are monitoring it every step of the way.

all the subsequent meetings and calls with this car salesman jack, they're all recorded. but as outlandish and ridiculous as the plot sounds, as unnecessarily convoluted and bizarre as the plot sounds, it kind of checks out. each step of it just keeps advancing. the used car salesman guy and the guy who's supposedly in the drug gang, they agree that the price for los zetas to carry out these bombings and assassination will be $1.5 million. the guy who's supposedly in the zetas drug gang says he needs some of the money up front and it comes through. jack, the used car salesman guy, wires about $100,000 in two separate money transfers to this guy who believes is in the los zetas drug gang. the feds are able to follow the source of that money for the transfers and indeed it checks out.

they say the account from which those funds originate is in fact linked to iran, linked to the quds force, part of the revolutionary guard in the iranian military. remember jack the used car salesman said he had a cousin who was in the iranian military. turns out he actually does. he in fact has a cousin who's in the quds force in iraq. and the fbi is monitoring him every step of the way as he proceeds with this outlandish plot. and again, it just keeps checking out. jack, the used car salesman guy, travels to iran where in fact he meets with his cousin who really is in the quds force. he meets with another official in the quds force as well. and he stays in touch with his contact who he thinks is this guy in the mexican drug gang. and the drug gang guy tells him that the zetas are on board with this, but they're going to need more money up front. they're either going to need more money up front or some other form of collateral because they want to make sure they get

paid. jack the used car salesman says, okay, i can do that. the priority here is to get this done and to get it done fast. so, he tells them basically i'll be your collateral. i'm in iran right now meeting with my cousin, right, and this other guy in the quds force who are directing me to do this. i'm going to fly from here to mexico to meet you. you can have me, jack, the used car salesman. you can have me physically as collateral, as proof of our intent to pay. and you can keep me physically until you carry out this assassination and then i will make sure you get wired the rest of the money and at that point you can let me go. and that's how they're going to proceed. and in fact he does it. the used car salesman guy flies from tehran to mexico city, and of course the u.s. government is recording all of these communications, following him every step of the way. they give the mexican government a heads up this guy is flying in from iran at the u.s. government's heads up and request the mexican government denies the guy entry and says, no, you will not be allowed to

enter mexico. you have to go back to where you came from. but look they say we've made it very convenient for you. we're going to fly you back to iran back to iran where you came from but we have to fly you through a route that has a quick layover in new york city. it's just a logistical thing. it's just a quick stop, no worries. you'll be back in tehran in no time. and of course they specifically routed his return trip through jfk airport in new york city because waiting for him on the tarmac at jfk airport in new york city was the fbi. grabbed him off the plane, arrested him and charged him with serious stuff. murder for hire, international terrorism. the guy initially pleads not guilty but soon changes his mind whereupon the justice department was able to crow about what he admitted to in this outlandish plot. quote, in connection with his guilty plea he admitted that he

conspired with officials in the iranian military who were based in iran to cause the assassination of the saudi arabian ambassador while the ambassador was in the united states. he acknowledged that at the direction of these co-conspirators, he travelled to mexico on multiple occasions during 2011 in order to arrange the assassination of the ambassador. he also admitted that in connection with this plot he was recruited, funded and directed by men he understood to be senior officials in iran's quds force. he said these iranian officials were aware of and approved of the use of his contact from the drug cartel in connection with the plot as well as payments to that person. also, they approved of the means by which the ambassador would be killed in the united states and the bystander casualties that would result. he said he met several times in iran with a co-conspirator and an iran-based member of the quds force as well as another quds

force official where he explained the plan was to blow up a restaurant in the united states frequented by the ambassador. he also explained numerous bystanders would be killed. the plan was approved by officials. in conjunction with this criminal case that named member of the quds force whose name i just struggled through there, he was also criminally charged by the u.s. department of justice. also in conjunction with this case the u.s. treasury announced new sanctions on officials from the quds force including the long time leader of the quds force, qasem soleimani, whose name is very familiar to you. he yesterday was killed in the drone strike outside the baghdad airport with consequences that remain to be, to put it mildly. now at the time this bizarre plot was unveiled in 2011 and into 2012 when the guy finally pled guilty, it seemed just as

nuts then as it does now. as i'm recounting to you all these years later and it seems nuts, wait. it's the iranian government, this elite military force using some guy in the quds force's cousin who's a used car dealer to contact a drug cartel, and the drug cartel is going to take money from the iranian military through the used car dealer to blow up all these embassies and kill an ambassador in a busy d.c. restaurant and there's going to be bystanders and that kind of high-risk operation they're pulling off through these guys from the guy they can't tell is a dea informant. really? the secretary of state at the time, named hillary rod m clinton, told the associated press in an interview about this plot and criminal charges, quote, nobody could make that up, right? the fbi director at the time, you may recognize him. you saw him there at the press

conference announcing these charges. he said at the press conference announcing these charges, that, yes, this seems like the plot of a hollywood movie. national security reporters at "the new york times" who were covering the story put a sort of finer point on that analysis by saying this didn't just seem like a hollywood movie, it specifically seemed like a quinton tarantino movie, it's that over the top. and experts on iran, on the capability of the quds force and international terrorism they didn't know what to make of this plot that seemed both dangerous and preposterous. reporters kept getting things on the record this was extreme and very odd but also very sloppily. experts describing his a high-risk, low-yield maneuver. quote, it is sensational, it is odd. and if it is true it is very provocative on iran's part. one expert calling it simply baffling -- baffling -- that

iran's quds force would actually be involved with a plot this baroque and ridiculous. but do you know what? in modern history, in the last decade this is what we've got in terms of our american concrete nuts and bolts understanding about whether the quds force in iran more broadly had actually developed the ambition and any capability to project force in the united states in that kind of a way, to carry out assassinations inside the united states and bombings inside the united states to benefit the government of iran. and of course that plot as laid out in that criminal case as surreal as it was anything else, but now that recent history suddenly is the closest thing we've got to an answer to what is now a very pressing question that is on the minds of millions of americans tonight which is what are iran's capabilities?

what kind of force can iran project if they do want to inflict maximum damage on americans, if they want to incur maximum fear and terror among americans, if they want to exact maximum revenge from the united states and its people for the u.s. military killing the head of quds force with the drone strike in iraq reportedly ordered by the president. i mean, the quds force is taken very seriously for a reason. they stood up hezbollah and lebanon and hamas and various militia forces and military forces that have kept syrian dictator bashar al assad in power in syria all of these years despite all the odds stacked against him. they stood at the muddy army that was such a fearsome and deadly shiite militia adversary for u.s. troops fighting in the iraq war for years. lebanon, syria, iraq, afghanistan, yemen. iran has exerted incredible influence and control in military reach beyond its

borders through irregular warfare, through training, through the provision of weapons and terrorism and political influence. over the course of decades in some cases all masterminded through the quds force which was run for the last 20 plus years by qassem soleimani, the man who was just killed by u.s. forces yesterday. and so now of course the iranian government is vowing revenge in the most dramatic possible terms. and everybody in the world is expecting that they mean that. and against that incredibly serious and sobering international track record that we know in terms of the way iran has been able to project force and terror around the world particularly using the capabilities of the quds force which soleimani led until yesterday, i mean the actual evidence that we've got of their past effort to mount a plot here in the united states really is this ridiculous tarantino-esque plot where the code name for the

assassination was chevrolet because they figured him being a used car salesman he'd be talking about chevrolets, never mind he sold acuras. and the guy blissfully accepting his diversion to jfk airport so he could be arrested on the tarmac because every step of the way he's being watched and recorded and it was all on tape and all being watched from the beginning. and from that very first instance where he made that first contact and got arrested, it was just a matter of months and the fbi was in on it every single step of the way. i mean, the bad news from this history is that we've got evidence from within the past ten years of what appears to have been an effort by iran using quds force operators to try to kill people and blow up embassies and mount a high level political assassination in the united states of america, in our capital city. that's the bad news. the good news about it is that that was their freaking idea, which was ridiculous.

so how do we square our realistic sense of the types of threats we have now invited with this action that has now been taken by the u.s. government? how do we understand that just as civilian americans and what a war with iran might look like and what that means for us and our country? i mean, we can understand some of the risks and some of the things that might happen in short order in terms of what's close to iran much more easily, right? there's the strait of hormuz this geographic choke point in global oil supplies where iran has frequently demonstrated its abilities to use military force and threats to strangle the flow of middle eastern oil with all the international implications that has. in june of this year we saw iran shoot down a u.s. surveillance drone. we've seen international oil tankers harassed and delayed and attacked. "the washington post" tonight reports in some sobering detail

about what's believed to be iran's considerable capabilities when it comes to cyber war pointing from "the post" tonight iran's cyber troops long have been among the world's most capable and aggressive, disrupting banking, hacking companies, even trying to take control of a dam from afar while typically stopping short of the most crippling possible actions, that the american air strike that killed one of iran's top generals now threatens to unleash a fully unshackled iranian response warn analysts and former u.s. officials. quote, hackers with ties to tehran can potentially hijack crucial machinery over the internet, a tactic they experimented with at a new york state dam whose control systems they penetrated in 2013. or they can target sensitive political or diplomatic targets while mounting sophisticated tactics. in october microsoft accused a group tied to the iranian

government of attempting to identify, attack and breach personal e-mail accounts associated with a u.s. presidential campaign. the messaging from the u.s. government at this point is not going to help you get a realistic sense of the risk that has now been incurred and of what else might happen next here. i mean, it's all over the place and it bears all the hallmarks of trump administration communications. the president himself today making public remarks about the killing of soleimani in which he said the action was to stop a war, not to start one. okay. which war? the defense secretary has been briefing u.s. allies abroad about the action after the fact, which is much less valuable to them than briefing them before the fact given that they're as likely to incur reprisals from iran as we are. and we obviously knew about it in advance because we did it, but we didn't share that information with our allies so they could also harden their targets and protect their civilians. a number of our overseas allies

are making that dissatisfaction known now. around the time that secretary of state mike pompeo today was insisting for the 50th time that the u.s. is committed to deescalating the situation with iran, oh, that's why we assassinated their number one military commander, we got word first from the reuters news service today that there has apparently been yet another new u.s. air strike also in iraq, also targeting pro-iranian forces, shiite led pro-iranian militias. nbc news chief foreign correspondent richard engel is in iraq tonight. he notes in response this is not the sort of news you would expect if the u.s. government were actually pursuing de-escalation. richard also tying this reported air strike tonight to an event tomorrow in iraq that should probably now be on all of our radar. an iraqi security official tells nbc news there's been another air strike north of baghdad, targeting shiite militia

leaders, reports of six killed, this right before a big shiite protest tomorrow in baghdad. quote, it seems certain to provoke an escalation. richard engel is going to join us live next from northern iraq. but thousands more u.s. troops are being sent into the region as of today. u.s. civilians today were told to get out of iraq immediately. former u.n. ambassador and former u.s. national security advisor susan rice is also going to join us live momentarily tonight. this is a time of profound uncertainty. but in terms of assessing the risk and thinking about who's in danger, thinking about americans who are newly on the front lines tonight in a way they weren't before the iranian government was vowing severe revenge against the united states for this killing, just consider tonight that whatever you think of us here at home and our risk here, there are thousands of americans right now, american

service members right now, tonight, as we speak, in iraq and in syria and in qatar and in berain and in kuwait and in united arab emirates, thousands of american troops there. for us it's hard to have any sort of realistic understanding of whether here in the u.s. we should worry about being within the reach of the kind of retaliation that iran is threatening now. but it's not an abstract or hypothetical or sort of extrapolated concern for all of these thousands of americans who are serving in all these places who we know tonight are absolutely within reach of the kind of proxy forces that iran has been cultivating in the region for decades. and that of course really makes you hope that somebody has thought this thing through, the second order or third order. and there's no reason for us to have confidence in that, i think. but there's reason to hope for that. much more to come tonight. stay with us. ♪

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in tehran today after the u.s. air strike that yesterday killed the head of the quds force, qassem soleimani, people marched in tehran streets today burning u.s. and british flags, holding photos of soleimani, shouting anti-u.s. slogans. you see them there burning an israeli flag. this was soleimani's hometown today. tens of thousands of people in the streets. iraq's sme leader visited that hometown, visited soleimani's relatives, vowed there would be in his words harsh revenge for the u.s. killing soleimani. iran's foreign minister told reporters today that iran now has the right to respond to the killing at any time and in any manner. meanwhile there were reports from baghdad this evening of new u.s. air strikes targeting an iranian backed militia. nbc news chief foreign correspondent richard engel is in iraq tonight. he notes in response with this new attack with six reported dead comes on the eve of what's expected to be a big shiite protest tomorrow in baghdad. richard saying, quote, it seems certain to provoke an escalation. richard engel joins us now from northern iraq.

it's great to have you with us tonight. thanks for being here. >> it's absolutely great to talk to you on an important night. and i was listening to your introduction and i think you and a lot of other people are now sitting back scratching your head saying what did we just get into, what did president trump just provoke, or what's going to be the response? and you laid out that case, a keystone cops kind of case when the quds force allegedly tried to carry out this assassination in the united states. the quds force is not very good at that kind of thing. it is not the kind of organization that blows up shopping malls or carries out attacks in the united states. it just isn't really built for that kind of thing. it doesn't really project power in that kind of way. but what it does do and what it is exceptionally good at is finding allies in the region operating in its own territory, operating specifically in the middle east. but reaching out very

specifically to a subset of groups within the middle east, forging alliances with other shia groups. so, it's very powerful, but it is also very specific. so it was able to forge this alliance in lebanon with hezbollah. now, hezbollah was an independent organization that was fighting against israel, but it needed help. it needed expertise. iran was there to embrace it and nurture it and so was qassem soleimani. that was his role, his special purpose in the world. also the government of syria, the government of syria also has very close relations with the shia. there are a lot of sort of an offshoot of shia. qassem soleimani saw that the government of bashar al assad was weak, needed help, reached out, formed this relationship in syria, a very powerful relationship. in iraq where the majority of people are shia. the government there qassem

soleimani naturally found an ally and set up very, very deep roots. there are shia in parts of afghanistan. iran is powerful there. so where iran is powerful is where it had natural allies. and the concern is now those natural allies are going to use this moment to fight back, to defend their former patron in this much larger region. so when people are looking back -- looking out now and saying what just happened, what do we do? the danger i don't think so much that there's going to be a massive attack in the united states against civilians. there could be attacks against u.s. military, against u.s. diplomatic facilities. i think iran would see that as fair game. but much more likely those attacks would take place in the region, destabilizing attacks to try and drive american forces out of this region. because that really is what this

is all about. iran does not want to have a big american presence in iraq, which after all at the end of the day is right on iran's border. so the danger, the real risk is that we're going to see further instability in the middle east with the u.s. dragged into yet another war. president trump has said time and time again he doesn't want more wars. he wants to get out of wars. by doing this, while it might feel good to a lot of people and qassem soleimani has plenty of american blood on his hands. he was responsible for helping orchestrate a campaign against u.s. troops in iraq during the most intense days of the iraq campaign that killed hundreds -- hundreds of american troops. but was it the smart thing to do, or will it just inflame a cycle of violence? now, with that sort of preamble about what the quds force is not good at. not good at using drug cartels

to kill the saudi ambassador at i believe it was an italian restaurant in washington -- not so good at that. very good at leveraging its power in the middle east to go work against u.s. interests particularly when there are lots of shias in the area. that's what it's very good at. and that's why tomorrow watch what happens in baghdad. because the shia militia, these same shia militias who have been nurtured and encouraged and trained to a certain degree by qassem soleimani are going to be going out on the streets and they're going to be protesting in two neighborhoods starting around 7:00 in the morning local baghdad time. one of them is strict shia neighborhood where they hold protests all the time. it's not likely to come into conflict with anybody else because the only people in that area are other shias. the americans don't go there, no issue. the other neighborhood where they're going to hold this protest is right across from the green zone, right across one

bridge from where the u.s. embassy is. and the u.s. embassy now has been operating on orders, strict orders that if anyone approaches the embassy, the troops inside there will respond with force. will respond potentially with deadly force. that means if they're attacked, they're going to start shooting at people. and tomorrow those shia militias, who again were attacked tonight. first their patron was attacked, then those militias were attacked in a follow-on attack this evening. they're going to be out on the streets tomorrow. they're already upset. now they've been hit twice, and they're going to be protesting in two locations one of which is right across from the u.s. embassy. >> richard engel, nbc news chief foreign correspondent. richard, i know this has been a very, very long day and tomorrow is going to be a very long day as well. good luck covering all this. thanks for being with us tonight, my friend. richard engel joins us from northern iraq tonight. i will tell you something you should know.

the iranian ambassador to the united nations did an interview with nbc news tonight in which he was asked about what the world should expect in terms of these promises of iranian retaliation. one of the things he said in response was this, soleimani was not only popular in iran, he has his supporters in different countries. and iran is not responsible for anything those supporters might act. so i said i do not know when, i do not know where, i do not know how the reaction will be taken by those who have seen an illy jit mat action against qasem soleimani. but that's the un, the iranian ambassador to the un tonight saying yeah, we're going to respond. but i can tell you right now that other people in other countries who feel strongly about this assassination, they might too, and we can't be held responsible for what they do. anyway, we've got much more to get to. susan rice will be joining us live in just a moment, stay with us. st a moment, stay with us

george w. bush was president, the year 2007. general stanley mccrystal was then the head of u.s. special forces and he had a shot. this is how he tells it. quote, i'd become accustomed to making tough choices but on a january night in 2007 the choice was particularly tricky. whether or not to attack a convoy that included qassem soleimani, the head of iran's elite quds force. there was good reason to eliminate soleimani at the time.

iran made bomb at his command were killing americans. but to avoid a fire fight and the contentious politics that would follow i decided we should monitor the caravan and not strike immediately. by the time the convoy had reached soleimani had slipped away into the darkness. it was 2007. other presidents, other u.s. military commanders under other u.s. presidents have since had their own chance to take that same shot. but every president who's had that opportunity has decide it was in america's best interest not to take it. every president before this one. the ap today spoke with former u.s. officials who said the fear about the dangers of a targeted killing of qassem soleimani, that fear persisted beyond that one opportunity in 2007 described by stanley mccrystal to potentially take soleimani out. that fear extended certainly into the obama administration. former officials telling the ap they determination in terms of u.s. national interests was that, quote, soleimani was just as dangerous dead and martyred

as he was alive and plotting against americans. until now apparently that was the calculus inside the u.s. government in the military, weighing whether it was more dangerous for the u.s. to kill this guy than it was to let him live. that was the calculus in the bush administration, also reportedly the same calculus by u.s. military leaders in the obama administration. these other presidents decided it was america's best interest to let soleimani live, it would be more dangerous to kill him. so why did this president decide something more different? is taking out soleimani now perceived by the u.s. government to be less risky than they thought it would have been in the past, less dangerous for america than they thought it would have been before, or is it the trump administration still thinks it's just as risky, just as dangerous but this white house just doesn't care as much about that risk in the way past white houses and past presidents have? joining us next for the interview is somebody who has considerable experience weighing

these kinds of risks for the united states. susan rice was ambassador to the u.n. she's national security advisor in the obama administration. she's our guest for the interview next. the interview next man: sneezes skip to the good part with alka-seltzer plus. now with 25% more concentrated power. nothing works faster for powerful cold relief. oh, what a relief it is! so fast!

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joining us now for the interview is susan rice, ambassador to the u.n. and then national security advisor in the obama administration. she's the author of "tough love my story of the things worth fighting for." ambassador rice, thanks so much for being with us. i appreciate the time tonight. >> good to be with you, rachel. >> there's been a bunch of reporting over a period of years that the u.s. had previously assessed that it could be more dangerous to kill qassem soleimani the head of the quds force in iran than to allow him to live even when u.s. forces did potentially have a shot at him. i just wanted to ask there's a lot of discussion about that reporting now that this air strike has happened and that soleimani is dead. what's your -- what can you tell us in a nonclassified setting here about that reporting, whether it's accurate and is there any reason we should think

that calculation somehow changed before this air strike? >> well, to my knowledge, rachel, and certainly while i was national security advisor the obama administration was not presented with an opportunity by our intelligence community or by the u.s. military to strike qassem soleimani. had we been presented with such an opportunity, what we would have done is weighed very carefully and very deliberately the risks versus the potential rewards. we would have assessed all of the ways in which this could enhance our security and degrade our security. and i think judging from what i know and from what we're likely to see, i think that there's real reason to believe that in all likelihood, the benefits will outweighed by the risks. and we also would have taken all sorts of time and effort to

prepare to ensure that our personnel diplomatic and military in the region were maximally protected against the likelihood of iranian retaliation. the reason why it's reasonable to calculate that the risks could exceed the rewards is for all the litany of examples you gave and richard engel outlined, the ways in which iran has the capacity to retaliate in very significant ways. they can retaliate, as you mentioned, in iraq without any restraint throughout the broader region, syria, lebanon, potentially against israel, all throughout the gulf where your graphic illustrated we have tens of thousands of american troops as well as diplomats, commercial facilities, civilian

installations. so -- and then of course as you suggested at the outset there's the wider risk that beyond the middle east in europe, in latin america, in africa where iran's proxy hezbollah has a major presence, and even in the united states there's the potential that they could attack targets of significance, hard and soft, military, diplomatic and civilian. so if in fact the administration can be believed that there was indeed strong intelligence of an imminent threat against the united states being carried out by soleimani and related militia, then the question becomes, one, were there more than one way to address that threat? was the only way to deal with it to kill soleimani who certainly, given his history and track record, deserves his just

rewards. but the question is does that serve our interests? does that make us more secure? and i'm dubious about that. and frankly, the fact that we have taken soleimani off the field doesn't mean that the iranians have lost their capacity to attack us. in fact, we can be certain that they are motivated now to retaliate in far greater scale than they may have been planning if that's, in fact, the case. >> ambassador rice, if mind holding with us for just another moment i'd like to ask you -- have to take a quick break but i'd like to ask you about the kinds of actions that the u.s. government could be taking now to mitigate the risks you're describing to take the sort of protective action we might reasonably take in this situation if we can stick with us. we'll be right back with susan rice, former ambassador to the u.n. and national security advisor. stay with us. artburn, indigesti♪ ♪upset stomach, diarrhea. try pepto liquicaps for fast relief and ultra-coating. ♪nausea, heartburn, indigestion, upset stomach, diarrhea.♪ get powerful relief with pepto bismol liquicaps.

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i want to make the most of every meal we have together. ♪ at northwestern mutual, our version of financial planning helps you live your dreams today. find a northwestern mutual advisor at nm dot com. back with us once again is susan rice, former u.n. ambassador and national security advisor. ambassador rice, i've spoken with a number of experts and former administration officials particularly from the obama administration since this air strike. and i have been surprised that so many of them uniformly have said we should now consider ourselves to be on a war footing, that we should basically perceive ourselves to be in a war now with iran based on this act by the trump administration. i wonder if you -- if you share that view, and whether or not you share that view whether you think the trump administration is doing the right kind of

protective and mitigating things they could do to try to keep americans safe? >> i do think that the risk of direct conflict and sustained conflict with iran, a war has gone up immeasurably. and i think it is wise for americans to consider themselves likely to be on a war footing. if it can be averted, fine. but i'm dubious about that. there are things we can do to protect ourselves but none of them are sufficient or perfect. we can harden our embassies and our military facilities through a variety of means. we can draw down military or diplomatic personnel or increase personnel. we can warn american citizens not to travel and to leave, but none of those ensure that iran can't attack in an asymmetric way. and in fact, we have no assurance that by killing soleimani, that whatever plot we allegedly we were trying to disrupt can't still be executed.

soleimani was certainly the orchestrator of many attacks, but he wasn't a one-man band. and i think the iranians are going to have to demonstrate for their own survivability that they can fight back and hit back hard. and when they do, we will face the choice of how we will respond. either we respond in kind and that leads to escalation or we back down and embolden iran to push forward. either way the risk of conflict increases. >> susan rice, former u.n. ambassador and national security advisor and the author of "tough love my story of the things worth fighting for," thank you for making the time to be here. >> thank you so much, rachel. >> we'll be right back. stay with us. >> we'll be right back stay with us saturdays happen.

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americans come to lendingtree.com to compare and save on loans, credit cards and more! but with the new lending tree app you can see your full financial health, monitor your credit score, see your cash flow and find out how you can cut your monthly bills. download it now to see how much you can save.

at the -- that is going to do it for us tonight and we'll be joined monday by elizabeth warren. she will be here in studio monday night right here. i will see you then. now it's time for the last word. good evening. >> there was a lot of remarkable information in your show. but the only thing at the stuck with me is over the holidays my daughter asked me to go to "little women" and now i'm in trouble. >> and if you want me to take her instead,