i am josé diaz-balart kicking off another busy hour. it's 11:00 a.m. eastern, and 8:00 a.m. pacific. breaking this morning, a new report shows inflation increased 8.3% from a year ago and at the

highest level in more than 40 years, but there are some signs in the report things could be turning around, at least a little. senate democrats will move to protect access to abortion, and this preliminary vote expected to fail. more from capitol hill ahead. the house also just approved $40 billion in aid to ukraine. right now ukraine says it's making progress in the northern city of kharkiv and we will go there live. but we will begin with our team covering today's inflation report, and joining us is our

panelist, and stephanie, let me start with you. >> people are getting excited saying it's slowing and not going up as quick as it could, and it's a positive, and it is positive and just because it's not going up it's not going down. as we head into the summer and the conflict with ukraine continues we could see gas prices go back up and that's going to hurt again. people need to be ready for that. >> carol, the president is on his way to illinois to talk high prices. what can we expect to hear from him today? >> he's going to focus on essentially producing more here in the united states to try and deal with some of the inflation issues as well as supply chain issues, and the president is going to the family farm in illinois where he will talk

about the prices of food and farming and outlining some measures that he says will lower the cost of both of those, and one allows for farmers to double their crops and produce more at home as well as more funding for fertilizer production here in the u.s. he's focusing on his efforts to try and tackle the issue. he issued a statement saying it was heartening that inflation had moderated but was still unacceptably high, and what you are seeing the president do is go out in the country and convey its working on the issue and this is his top priority. >> thank you so much. christina, everybody has been talking about gas prices. the report says the gas index fell 6.1% from last month but

today aaa has the national record high prices at $4.40 a gallon. >> it's lagging, this came from the month of april, and gas increased 44% compared to a year ago, and unfortunately, at the gas stations right now we are seeing prices surge and it's not expected to come down anytime soon as especially as school let's out and we hit the road for our vacation. you are seeing gas prices decline, but big picture year over year, they are still up over 40%. >> yeah, the report shows food prices up 0.9%, and that's the 17th month in a row of increases there, and energy prices are down 3%, and chicken, eggs,

meat, everything that is basic to survive is really up and up and up, christina. >> yeah, everything is connected, right? we are talking about the higher gas prices, and even if the energy prices are coming down at the pump, it's still expensive. we need fuel for transportation for transporting our meat and food to the grocery store. everybody is passing on the higher costs to consumers in terms of higher prices, and the interesting thing from this report, too, chicken prices started to really climb higher, and it could show that consumers starting to show the pinch is shifting over from beef to chicken, and to offset the squeeze on their wallets, and i was in trader joe's yesterday, i told myself i am not even buying a real broccoli head but will

get frozen instead. >> yeah, a lot of families are having to face that right now. and stephanie, school is almost out. some high schoolers getting out this week, and what does this report indicate for families trying to budget for things like vacation or anything else? >> remember, summer is when we travel, when we get in a car, and let's say your summer vacation plans are further and you are getting on a train or plane, those things are subject to fuel prices so when you are budgeting for your summer plans, know a lot of that money is going to go to fuel prices. you hear the president say it all the time, this is putin's prices at the pump. the other thing i would remind our audience, one of the reason prices are so high is consumer spending is up. americans saved an awful lot of money during covid, and you are seeing demands still very high.

and that's one of the reason the fed is raising interest rates to slow the economy, and thus far people are still out there spending. >> and something "the new york times" had this morning, and i didn't understand it so you can explain it, and inflation which claimed by 8.5 in march is going to moderate because gas prices cooled last month and increases are now being measured against high-priced readings against last spring instead of the 2020 levels, and the higher base makes it look less severe. do you know what that means? >> all right. yes. i will tell you what it means and i will tell you why you don't have to worry about it. they are talking about right there the base affect, how much things have gone up from a year ago. you have to put into context, where were things a year ago. a year ago at this time it was

when things started soaring, and in the depths of the pandemic we were not going anywhere or spending money on anything, and we saw the prices go up a ton last year as we were out there spending and living our lives again, and that's starting to settle down a bit because things are normalizing but it doesn't mean prices are going lower, so to th point where i say it doesn't matter, and the price of broccoli was so high, she decided to go frozen, and we don't need to look at the data because we are living it every day when we go to the store or gas pumps. >> stephanie, when do you sleep? >> you know, not enough, not often, but nbc is working on building a bed under my desk so i never have to leave.

>> how great is "the 11th hour" with you? like the best? >> thank you, i appreciate it. >> you don't sleep and you do great work. >> always watching, stephanie. thank you both. if you think bad prices are now, there's more to worry about. half of the country was in drought in the beginning of may and it's impacting 194 million acres of crops, and how that could impact our food supply. president zelenskyy said they pushed russian troops back toward the russian border. we're on the ground there, next. thanks, dad. that's right, robert. and it's never too early to learn you could save with america's number one motorcycle insurer. that's right, jamie.

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this morning ukrainian officials are warning russia is sending in more tanks and more

soldiers to capture the last resistance in mariupol, and ukraine forces were having success to push back russian forces in the second largest city. ukrainian forces recaptured four settlements north of kharkiv and in his nightly address on tuesday, president zelenskyy said russian forces are slowly being -- well, pushed back. meanwhile, more aid from the u.s. could soon be on the way. last night the house passed a $40 billion humanitarian aid and military aid package for ukraine. senate majority leader, chuck schumer said they will move swiftly to vote before sending it to president biden. and that igor novikov is joining us and matt bradley. what are they doing to push russian forces out of the city?

>> reporter: personally from where i am, we are in the center of the city and still hearing bombardments regularly and they are from a distance. if you walk around here from where i am, you don't see a lot of destroyed buildings or any real signs of a blistering war. what you do hear, as i said, are the bombardments in the distance. we are in the center of southeastern part of the city. this place was never that badly hit and once you go up in the eastern part of the city where we were today, you really do start to see more signs of real fighting. but one of the issues here, one of the things the ukrainian military was trying to do was push back the russians from the outskirts of the city so that the center of the city is no longer in range of artillery, and that's when we go into the center of the city a little bit, just a couple blocks where i am you do start to see where the russians have been pelting the

city in the opening days and weeks of the fighting. so now it looks as though they are successfully moving them back, the russians, and it's all a matter of time before the russians decide to possibly decide to withdrawal their forces from izyum. if they decide to do that, they would be giving up their offensive on izyum, which is an important issue they have been fighting for, trying to push south of izyum, and that would divert their forces to here. this whole thing, josé, is diverting their forces from the eastern area of donbas, and as long as they are fighting in kharkiv, they are using up what they wanted to use for other

areas, and mariupol, that's almost all in russian hands, except for the steel works that is stubbornly in ukrainian hands. things are going the russians way, but they have not managed to overwhelm the ukrainians. what we are seeing if you asked me a couple months ago even before this started, the ukrainians have managed to create a counter attack, and the russians withdrew when they met ukrainian forces. that's why you are hearing noises from president zelenskyy and others in the ukrainian

government saying they think they can take more land from the 24th. >> extraordinary reporting on your part, matt, and we see some of the images you captured just outside of kharkiv today, what struck out to you, matt, about what you saw this morning in the outskirts of kharkiv? >> one of the things we were doing is we were looking in a subway station, and as i said, things here on the ground walking around this city, they are relatively safe especially considering where they were a couple weeks ago, but we were in the subway station and there are people who have been here for 11 weeks, and returned it into their homes, and they created schools and kitchens and an address system for tents lined up on subway platforms, and i spoke with them and said, you can come out now, we were just

up there and it's safe, and they were too terrified to come out, and all their friends and relatives are saying now you can leave the subway, you are safe to see the sunlight again, they are so frightened, so traumatized, they refuse to leave. it's heartbreaking. >> it is, indeed. matt bradley in kharkiv. thank you very much for being with us. igor, i want to start by getting your thoughts on what matt was describing. this is your country, where you are from and where you have your hopes, dreams, aspirations and roots and history. what goes through your mind when you hear about what is going on in kharkiv, the people that have been underground but refuse to come up and look at the sun because of the fear? >> i have been through that with my family, and i distinctly

remember hearing the same bombardments when the russians were leaving the northern outskirts of kyiv, and it was weird because your rational kind of self, you understand you are in no danger so you can go outside and play with your kids, but you simply can't, you know. you are too terrified. the war is still there. i mean, you can hear it and therefore it's going on. i can -- i am feeling for those people. i am afraid there will be millions of people like that, and the psychological effect of this will be devastating. >> it certainly will. this morning president zelenskyy thanked the house on moving on the $40 billion aid package. how important is it and what does ukraine need right now more than anything?

>> to be honest, it's becoming obvious what president putin wants to do next. phase one was to move on kharkiv, kyiv, and southern ukraine, and eastern ukraine, and then, you know, when he lost phase one he tried basically to refocus his attention during phase two on donbas and kharkiv, and he's looking kharkiv as well, and so i think the russians will turn this into a war of attrition more than anything. the fighting will be going on and the intensity will be varied, and russia's main hope is the economic and psychological toll of this will be too much to bear for the population and will hope for a coup. i am starting to see warning signs on that front. >> i want to bring in nbc news pentagon correspondent, courtney kube.

8 to 10 russian generals have been killed in the conflict in ukraine. how significant is that? can you put that into context? >> it's extremely significant. what we didn't hear is there are a number of -- an estimate of dozens of other senior officers who also have been killed and wounded since the invasion began. it puts into context how the russian military doctrine is playing out in ukraine. unlike the united states military, frankly the ukrainian military provides the authority for some of the lower level ncos, and noncommissioned officers and more junior officers to make decisions on the battlefield and front lines. decisions, tactical decisions, literally from a minute to minute basis have to be approved

and ordered by much more senior officers. because of that, they are often further forward on the front lines or forwarded in the potential conflict zones putting them in danger. the russian military has been using these mobile headquarters, and the senior officers are working, sitting in the units as the offensive is moving from place to place, but it makes them a pretty easy target of the ukrainian military. in addition to the fact they have been in danger just being on the front lines, they are easy to target in some cases, and it's not surprising to hear them say up to ten russian generals kills, and other senior officers may have been wounded in the fighting, san josé. >> igor, ukraine's prosecutor general will put a 21 russian

soldier in ukraine on trial for war crimes. this is significant? >> it is. we for the first time, and we all know what happened but it's that first, you know, case of accountability, direct accountability for those horrible crimes that will be probably very inspiring for people to see that there is justice and punishment, unavoidable punishment in kyiv and elsewhere. in terms of fighting in kyiv, we should also focus on the fighting in the eastern of ukraine, and my cousin is there and he gave me a text message, i am still alive and relatively healthy, and they are using everything against us, gas and phosphorus, and very bad people, and we are reaching our limit on holding on, and so far

everything is fine. that's the reality there. this war is not going away. we need to make sure that we are united and ready for it, long term. >> thank you for sharing that text with your cousin. thank you for being with us. courtney kube, thank you for being with us as well. appreciate it. the showdown over abortion on capitol hill is happening today. the senate set to vote on codifying abortion protections around the country, but democrats do not have the votes to pass it so why are they holding it? but first, ahead of today's vote, one republican senator's comments got a lot of attention. >> why we have laws in place to protect the eggs of sea turtles or eagles, and when you are destroying an egg, you are

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a few hours from now the senate is set to start the process of voting on a bill that would grab broad protections for legal abortion nationwide, and that bill is not expected to make it to even a full vote despite that expected outcome, democrats still pressing forward with the procedural vote. it's part of a deliberate strategy. nbc's capitol hill correspondent, ali vitali joins us with more on that, and also annie carney, thank you for being with us. what is in the bill and what are democrats doing to try and get it passed when they are saying it probably doesn't have a shot? >> yeah, josé, you mentioned this is a deliberate strategy on the parts of democrats, and it is, only likely 49 democrats end up voting to move on to the bill, because you are right, it's not a vote on the

underlying women's health protection act which would codify protections to abortion, and it would allow them to move on to the substantive vote on the women's health protection act. it doesn't seem like democrats can overcome the procedural hurdles, but they want to try to put senators on record in the mid-term year. senators speaking to it on the floor from both sides. listen. >> tens of millions of women are watching what will happen to the rights they relied on for decades, and all of us will have to answer for this vote. >> democrat's radical bill is extreme as extreme gets, and it ignored modern science, and nothing about their bill codifies the current issue.

>> it's breaking down partisan lines the way you would expect, and we used the shorthand of federal codification in terms of protection, and what it would do is, yes, lock in protection for abortions nationwide, and it would prohibit government restrictions on access to the abortion pill, which is among the most prevalent abortions used in the u.s., and it won't require providers to do, quote, unnecessary medical procedures or provide medicinally inaccurate information, and that's for the more restrictive states that create a barrier to access as well as the requirement that there needs to be things like ultra sounds done

or pamphlets handed out that are not medically sound to patients. >> and what are the chances of another alternative effort going somewhere? >> senator collins and murkowski are the two republicans pro choice, and they offered the alternative, which simply is much shorter, it's a three-page bill and just wants to protect roe, the protections in roe. democrats see it as a nonstarter because they said so much is left unsaid and gives so much power to state courts to pass these restrictions on abortions, and it's a toothless bill that is problematic that would use the same language courts rely on

now to pass restrictive abortion measures, so it's not something as an alternative when this bill is expected to fail. they are kind of looking at it as something akin to a figure leaf for the republican senators that don't want to support the democratic bill but say they are still pro choice, and it's seen as a nonstarter and would not have very much democratic support. >> are there any, i don't know, plan bs from democrats if it all appears it's going to fail today on this specific bill? is there any talk of anything going forward that may would not be as broad? >> not right now. this is the last ditch effort of a legislative issue here, and

chuck schumer had requests about that, and he said this is a political statement. short of passing any legislation, they want to show the american people wherever senator stands. after this it's not clear what is next. you know, they want to motivate voters in an election year to say this is why elections matter, and we need more solid democratic votes if you want to pass legislation like this, and in terms of an alternative legislative fix, there have not been any discussions of one. >> thank you so much for being with us. appreciate it. in less than a week voters in pennsylvania will finally get to choose who will be on their ballot in november. both parties have a lot of focus on the state's open senate seat. on the democratic side, conor

lamb picked up support, and polls show fetterman has pulled away from the pack. what is that in your conversation? >> reporter: we were able -- sorry, josé, we have a bit of a disturbance here in philadelphia. we were able to sit down exclusively with john fetterman and his wife at a home that used to be a car dealership they renovated, when you go to his house and see him on the campaign trail and you talk to voters about him, you get the sense he's trying to do something different within the democratic party. early on this in primary, people thought conor lamb and fetterman

but fetterman is running away, and he wears a hoodie and gym shorts when he campaigns. i want you to hear what his response is to labels that people try and throw at him. take a listen. are you a progressive? >> no, i am just a democrat that has always run on what i believe to be true. six years ago that was considered progressive, but now there's not a single democrat in this race or any race that i am aware of that is running on anything different. >> josé, the other unconventional thing is not just the candidate, but the couple. his wife, gisele, came from brazil and grew up as an undocumented immigrant, and she has been front and center in their campaign, and she's been sending out e-mails and at

rallies and has bigger crowds than he does at his events, and she said to this day she has folks mistaking her for the babysitter of their three children instead of their mother, and that forms how he views this issue and so many others, josé. >> thank you so much. really appreciate it. don't forget, today chuck todd reports for a special meet the mid terms edition of "meet the press daily." watch "meet the press daily" with chuck todd today at 1:00 p.m. eastern only on msnbc. it's being called a crisis and unprecedented. california is staring down a real water shortage. the spike in how much water is being used despite all the warnings. plus, swept away. an outer banks house collapses

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aveeno. healthy. it's our nature.™ states across the west are scrambling to deal with historic drought conditions as key water levels are getting critically low. lake mead at its lowest level ever -- ever. california just saw its driest start of the year on record. i want to bring in station manager and lead scientists at central sierra snow laboratory at uc berkeley and the los angeles times, and can you put the severity in california in greater context? >> absolutely. this is the largest drought and the most severe drought that we

have seen in 1,200 years. there has been no drier 22-year period than the current one we are in, and so what we are seeing is unprecedented in the west of the united states and in north america. >> did you just say the most severe in 1,200 years? >> that's correct. recent research came out that showed the 22-year period from 2000 to 2022 is now the driest period we have seen in 1,200 years, and they got that data using tree records that looked at the amount of water it takes for trees to grow each year. >> talk to me about lake mead and other places that we depend on for water, and how is this going to go forward? >> that's the concern right now. after december we were

optimistic, and there had been snow and we were looking at the big atmospheric river events that came onshore here in the west, and now we are at 39% of our average storage in reservoirs here, and unless we act quickly, we are going to face more dire water restrictions than what we are currently in. we need to heed the warning and make sure we act on it? >> you have done a lot of reporting on this. the state of california has water use restrictions. so did l.a. how are they trying to get this under control? >> yeah, well, to add on to what andrew said, not only are we in the third year of a severe drought, but january, february and march were the driest we've ever experienced in california, and that's really notable because those months are typically the heart of our wet season where we received a lot of the rain and snow that carries us through to the end of

the year. yesterday the los angeles department of water and power, and that's our huge water supply in the city of l.a. and all 4 million of their customers are being put on two-day a week watering restrictions, and some other places are taking it further with one-day watering restrictions, so we can expect to see more brown and dead lawns in california. >> this is just restriction on watering the plants, and we have not gotten to where there will be water restrictions across the board? >> not yet. we have experienced restrictions during the previous drought, and the goal is to get 80 gallons per person in the region, and

the average is 125 gallons. they are starting out with outdoor irrigation, and if that doesn't do it they are talking about a full outdoor watering ban as soon as september. >> yeah, and andrew, let's talk a little bit about that. that's 77 gallons a day. is that something that is -- you know, what kind of usage does that mean for a regular person, you know? is that a lot? a little? >> you know, realistically that's probably pretty bare bones, as it should be with the condition of the drought, and that's enough to sustain the average person. >> i am just wondering, and what is it that officials are looking at if this situation continues

to get worse, right, the drought and lake mead continues to drop, and what are some of the things officials should or could be looking at? >> i mean, the worst-case scenario is we could be looking to something that australia experienced, and water had to be trucked into the towns, and lindsey, california, a town of 13,000 people, they were looking at being the first and luckily they got more water allocated and are good through february, but water officials need to look at what the contingencies are if we don't take action and get more water into the reservoirs. >> are people up to speed on how dire things are? >> i think it's harder this time, and most californians got onboard with the restrictions

and the calls for conservation, but this time around i think it's fair to say that people are experiencing a little bit of disaster fatigue between covid and roe v. wade and the war in ukraine, there's a lot on peoples' minds right now, and just getting through how serious the crisis is and how we need everybody to step up and do their part to make our supplies last until the end of the year and beyond. >> thank you so much for being with us. i appreciate your time. >> thank you. take a look at this video. it's a house, in case you are not able to watch it, if you are listening to it, it's a house on the outer banks collapsing into the ocean, and there it goes. it's not the only one. two houses collapsed in one day. high tide faced the main road in the area, highway 12 to close

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the mayor of mariupol has a dire warning about his city. he says 10,000 people may die in the occupied city by the end of the year without medical care and without restoring the water supply. a local photographer showed us how his city has drastically changed. >> so beautiful. this amateur photographer's photos tell the story of a glistening port city full of promise. beautiful. >> until the russian troops arrived in mariupol. nothing was left unscathed by the russian assault. >> the school where his children studied. the supermarkets where he

shopped. the basement where his neighbors sheltered, all gone. people were in the basement and when the bomb exploded, they were crushed, he says. nobody could get them out. they are still there. his images tell a haunting story of tragedy but also of hope. a people pulling together. despite having little food, no running water or electricity and yet still finding a reason to smile as the weeks pressed on, the horror hit closer and closer, until a shell exploded when he was desperately searching for his wife inside his mother-in-law's home. i was covered by the ruins of the building, he says. i could not hear at all. i had a concussion. but i was alive. following a separate attack, his nephew's son sheltered together where a little boy kept the diary. a page reads, my grandfather died. i have a wound on my back, torn

skin. my sister has a head injury. my mother has a hole in her leg. he reads the final words out loud. >> a chilling portrait of innocence lost to war. a city destroyed and a man who says he will never be the same. >> the real reality of a war. that wraps up the hour for me. thank you for the privilege of your time. "andrea mitchell reports" starts next. what goes on it. usually. and in it. mostly. here to meet those high standards is the walgreens health and wellness brand. over 2000 high quality products.

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good day, everyone. this is "andrea mitchell reports" in washington. in a few hours, the senate will vote on a measure legalizing abortion nationwide. the vote is certain to fail against united republican opposition. the democrats' strategy is to get every senator on the record against giving women a choice. moments ago, joe manchin telling reporters he will vote against the motion. this as politico reports justice alito's draft opinion overturning roe v. wade is the only one being circulated so far. a likely indication, according to