♪ ♪ ♪ >> but evening, and welcome to a special addition of a man. 100 days through the midterms. over the next hour, we are gonna look at the big issues shaping the 2022 elections and the next round of primaries. i'm gonna be joined by matthew dowd, charles blow, the president of emily's list, lance about law. and the presidents of the national democratic redistricting committee, kelly burden. you are also gonna hear from our team of nbc reporters on the ground, and around the u.s.. lots to break down. so, let's get started. 100 days before the 2022 midterm elections, the

difference between america's two major political parties, and what they want for the future of this country couldn't be more stark. this week, the former president and republican president nomination, donald trump, tweet of his trump national golf club in bedminster, university -- speaking of the league's big tournament this weekend. now, the live tour is a new venture, financed by saudi arabia's public investment fund. it's all part of a campaign by the saudi government to refresh the kingdoms image in the eyes of the world. you see, they want you to think of your favorite golf players, when you think of saudi arabia. not their long list of human rights abuses, including the murder of the washington post schoumacher shoji. now, trump took a hands on role in that injury he had by hosting the event at his property. just miles away from ground zero, and they had this to say in his defense. >> well, nobody has gotten to the bottom of 9/11,

unfortunately. >> a family member, family members of those who died on 9/11, while, they rejected trump's version of history. >> to see a former president, two days ago, claiming that he doesn't know about our outrage. and he doesn't know who was behind 9/11, that is the worst feeling that these family members can get when we are not even getting through to a former president. that is the worst, worst form of greed, and the worst form of either evil. >> so, the gop's battle here is with truth and reality. and it extends far beyond donald trump. as a new york times magazine charles homan's notes, election, lies, and conspiracy theories, they have become the central thrust of modern american conservatism. he writes, the whole trump punched in american democracy out of sheer self interest had allowed his followers to glimpse a vision of the country restored to its divinely

ordained promise that lane beyond that democracy, but also, beyond him. just take the reelection campaign of arizona republican, house speaker, rusty bowers, who is facing an election denying challenger in tuesday's primary. now, you might remember bowers from his january six committee testimony, when he talked about being the target of an extensive trump lead pressure campaign. this came after he refused to let the arizona state legislator send fake electors to congress. well, this weekend, and nbc's vaughn hillyard asked bowers why he may lose, come tuesday, reelection? >> probably, because i stood up. and when they asked me to tell the truth, i told the truth. and i did break a taboo. and it's kind of occultists thing, that you have to be in with the cult. >> and bowers is right. that is what the gop has become. it is a cult of conspiracy pushing liars. so, with 100 days to go, voters

across the country have a choice to make. and it is not just a simple as, democrats versus republicans, no. november's election will be a choice between the truth and conspiracy, and the future of our democracy. let's kick things off this hour. in our midterm coverage, with matthew dowd. he's an msnbc political contributor and former chief strategist for the bush cheney 2004 presidential campaign. charles blow. he's a columnist for the new york times, and he's also an msnbc political analyst. gentlemen, which have both of you with us. charles, i start with you. a former president making money off of really having the image of saudi arabia. what message does that send to midterm voters? >> well, i don't think it sends a strong enough message. you know, i undermine, ayman, that we keep saying that things threaten our democracy, may damage our democracy, that that january 6th threatened our democracy. i think a large portion of our

country, and a large portion of the republican party has the ideal of representing democracy, in its fullest embrace. so, they don't care about it. they really want to see the world post-democracy. they want to see america post democracy, in a space where a minority of people control the majority of the population. and that is the objective here. and so, if trump, you know, is a drifter, they accept that, or they deal with that, because he is the latest spine on which they can organize this principle, which is a principle of loss. it's about loss of culture, lots of political power, loss of narrative, loss of numerical advantage. and we've seen this play out in attacks to anti obama d party spine. in attacks to, you know,

morgan's crime, war against moral depravity. it just needs something to attach itself to, but it is truly at its essence, about a post-democracy america, in which the people who are afraid of losing power, do not have to lose it. >> matthew, i want to get your response on that. what do you think of that assessment by charles? and the general picture going into the midterms? >> well, i think charles is right. i think that the republican party, as a whole, and maybe not every single one, because there is a few outliers that are unicorns, have decided that if they can't get their way in democracy gets in their way, throw democracy out. i think that's pretty clear. and the attachment they have had to certain people, including donald trump, wants to practice a form of autocracy. so, i think the republican party, which is a very dangerous thing, because it's one of the major legacy parties of our country, has decided that if democracy doesn't

deliver the america they want, which is an america that, as charles says, basically it to any of the minority, then you just throw out democracy, and you attach yourself to autocracy. i think that -- i think americans are figuring that out. i think it has been a slow process. i think it's been one of the benefits of the january 6th commission, that has opened many americans eyes to the idea that there is a segment of the population that believes in autocracy is fine, they can get their way in the course of this. and i think that's why you've seen over the last six weeks, a movement towards the democrats in any number of polls. it's gone from a republican league, pretty solid republican lead on generic ballot, to right now a slight democratic lead. and it's not because the economy improved. it's not because inflation is lower. it's three things happening simultaneously. one, january 6th committee, commission, evidencing with charles talked about, and what we have talked about in this, which is an attack on democracy. number two, roe v. wade, which

is an attack on reproductive freedom of women across the country. and number three, guns. as people have watched more mass gun violence in the republicans turning their head to it. those three things, i think, primarily, have driven the support towards the democrats right now. it's gonna be a close election, but i don't think republicans, 100 days ago, thought the last hundred days would be fought over this battle. >> yeah, charles, to your point. i mean, i look back after the 2020 election. i would argue that americans probably did not know what the role or how crucial of a role at the office of a secretary of state's. and in 17 of the 27 states holding elections this year for secretary of state, at least one republican candidate is running on the claim that the 2020 election was illegitimate. and in four of the republican primaries held so far, that candidate, who believes the 2020 election was stolen, has actually won! and tuesday's primaries could

even add to that total. i mean, what's on the line, if these candidates win, because that is the -- and i don't want to put words in your mouth, that is the execution part of what you are describing, right? you are gonna get these people who can overturn elections, and decide who gets to win elections, regardless of what happens at the ballot box. >> ayman, i think one thing we have to remind the viewers in the audience here is that republicans are fighting this anti democracy battle on every single level of government. it is not just trying to stack the supreme court. it is not just trying to play someone like donald trump, back into the presidency. it's not just flipping the house, or flipping the senate. it is also on the state level, where they are capturing state legislatures, and writing in voter suppression laws, and redistricting in ways that disadvantage democrats, but specifically, poor people, black people, hispanic people. they are also trying to change

the secretary of the state, because they saw that those people would not go along with the anti-democratic, anti-democracy plans. and so, now they want to change that. but they are also, all the way now, to school boards. on every single level, the republicans who are championing against democracy are fighting to end our democracy. it is absolutely crucial that everyone understands that that is happening. it's not like some football game, a basketball game, when you pick the team, and you root for the team, and maybe a win, maybe you don't. but you get to wear the jersey. it's not that. it is, literally, they do not want you to have a say in your government. it is, literally, they don't want you to have a say over your body. it is, literally, they want to be in control of the country by any means necessary, and on every level. it is that crucial. >> yeah, this is not a drill by

any means. again, this is not a drill. matthew, a moment ago, we showed you and our viewers a clip of arizona speaker rusty bowers, who set to face off against a trump backed election deniers in tuesday's primary. you compare the former presidents hold over the gop to a cult. do you agree. and is there still room for people like bowers in the republican party? >> i was thinking, as you showed that piece, the scene that was used by speaker bowers and, i was thinking of three other scenes, where the republican party demonstrates the cult word. it demonstrates it is a cult. a rather large one. usually think of coats as small, but a lot rather large. one which is the idea that this is a craving group of people, waving to one leader or series of leaders in an attempt to dismantle our democracy. they believe in conspiracy theories, all across. and it's corrupt. it is legitimately a corrupt organization that has conspiracy theories in

enhancement of one single leader, or a single group of leaders who want to do this. the only thing right now, and i'm optimistic about one part of this, that as you've mentioned, which is the idea that this is being laid bare to the american public. and so, people didn't used to pay attention to secretary of state races. they didn't really pay attention to attorney generals races. they would flip a coin, many americans would flip a coin and say, well, there's no real difference between republicans and democrats. i agree with him on this issue. i agree with some on that. this election, this year, the fundamental decision to be made is, do you believe in democracy, or do you believe in autocracy? that is the only, in my view, issue that matters in this election, more than anything else. do you support a democracy, where people, all people, all men and women are created equal, and we have justice under the law? would you believe in autocracy, run by one person or group of people that can make the decisions for you? that is the fundamental issue of our time. >> yeah, i couldn't agree with you more. matthew dowd, charles blow, please stick around.

we are just getting started on a busy hour. we are gonna speak to you both in a little bit later on in the program. still ahead, to get to the midterms, we have to get through the next round of primaries. we're gonna tell you what to expect on tuesday, but first, colin golfer is here with the headlines. hey. >> hey, ayman. thank you. stories we are watching this hour. biden released a statement about and be a death hall of famer bill russell. the boston celtics legend won 11 nba titles, five mvps, and became the nba's first black head coach in 1966. russell was 88 years old. michele nichols has also died. nicholson announced that she died of natural causes. she was at the scene, blamed lieutenant on star trek. their only to one of the first black female athletes in television history. nichols was 89. and white house says president biden had six close contacts prior to his rebound covid case on saturday.

so far, none of them have tested positive. the white house physician says the president is doing well, but will continue to work in isolation. more ayman with ayman mohyeldin, after the break. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ with technology that can scale across all your clouds... it's easier to do more innovative things. [whistling] hi! need new glasses? it's easier to do more innovative things. get 50% off a complete pair at visionworks! how can you see me squinting? i can't! i'm just telling everyone! hey! for a limited time, get 50% off for back to school. visionworks. see the differenc. i gotta say moving in together has been awesome.

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ballot in november. and this tuesday, august 2nd, voters will head to the polls for primary races in arizona, michigan, where abortion is front and center. in arizona, the republican

gubernatorial front-runner, carrie lake, has called abortion, quote, ultimately. arizona's republican senate front-runner blake masters has promised to only confirm federal judges judicial nominees, rather, who say roe was wrongly decided. both, as you could imagine, have been endorsed by trump. in michigan, the trump backed gubernatorial candidate, dickson, has called for an abortion ban that includes banning cases of rape and incest. but arguably, the most impactful vote this tuesday isn't for a politician, but rather, a referendum. the first of its kind since roe was overturned. kansas will hold a vote on an amendment, that would alter the state constitution to say it no longer protects the right to an abortion. nbc's dasha burns filed this report earlier from kansas. >> what is at stake here? >> the right to choose. this is absolutely an issue that, if the restrictions are too high, or if there is too much controversy, that peoples

lives are at stake, not just the baby, but the mother as well. >> i would encourage everybody to vote for this amendment. if you have any pro-life feelings, or thoughts that you might have on the stands, this is the time to do that. >> my next guest, lufthansa buckler, is the president of emily's list, the political action committee dedicated to electing democratic candidates who support abortion rights. she is now out with a new op-ed, highlighting the connection between the gop's efforts to chip away at abortion access and limiting voting rights butler writes, quote, when black women are disenfranchised, we lose our freedom to make decisions on things that directly and disproportionately impact our lives and harm our communities, like state abortion bans that are expected to warm nearly 6 million black women. well, laphonsa butler joins me now. laphonsa, thank you so much for joining us. let's start with that kansas vote coming up on tuesday. if the state does end up removing the constitutional

right to abortion access, what precedent will this set for other states to follow? >> thanks so much for having me, ayman. glad to be with you. look, kansas is the first state where this question is gonna be put before the voters. we hope that kansas voters are gonna be able to see through the lies, and trickery that republican party is putting forward. and, you know, we know that this is gonna be a hard fought battle. which we believe to be true, and i think what was mentioned in your earlier segment, that poll after poll, after the roe decision, has definitely indicated that democrats, the democratic party is the party that is standing with the majority of americans. and we hope that the kansas voters are actually able to make their way through this morass of disinformation, and misinformation, and continue to represent their own, sort of, kansas values. and, you know, for a ballot measures to come, set the example that voters are going

to push back against the attack on their freedoms, the freedoms to make decisions about their own bodies and their access to the ballot box. >> yeah, and i wanted to kind of ask you to talk a little bit more about that, about the piece that you wrote, and how you see the connection between abortion rights, and voting rights. explain that to our audience. >> the quick question. you know, it may mean, as i was drafting the piece, it may be what i was really thinking about, what was the texas. one of the interesting things about texas that i found, the first legislative language that was introduced, sb1, was the restrictions on access to the ballot, which was then followed by sb8. you see that pattern in state after state, whether in states like georgia, oklahoma, indiana, or others, the connection between the republican controlled legislatures all across the country are coupling

these two issues. access to the ballot and freedom to make decisions about our own bodies. and then, you add in the tax that are being re-directed towards the lgbtq community, and the lack of action that has been taking republican state legislatures on gun rights, and gun control. and it is clear to me, this is a coordinated attack maintain power, to control, and control over people's lives. it is intentional, and it is deliberate. and it is in this moment, this november, that we have the opportunity as democrats to send a message loud and clear, up and down the ballot, and across the country, that our lives are our own. our democracy is what we are fighting for. and we are gonna vote those out, who stand in opposition to our will. >> i want to ask you about the republican nominees for senate and governor in pennsylvania.

i am not sure if you have noticed this, but those that track those races closely have noticed that they have completely stopped talking about abortion on the campaign trail. what does that say to you? is there an indicator that, you know, republicans do not, at least in the state of pennsylvania, do not want to be talking about this, because they know it could animate the democratic base? >> that is clear to me. not only in pennsylvania, but if you look at the republican party across the country, they are even doubling down, in the extremist point of views. they are being really, really quiet about it. leader mitch mcconnell made his point about the possibility of a national band, as republicans are able to get control of the senate in the house. and then, have not said much since. but what voters have to look to is the actions that are also happening in states, and state legislatures all over the country. while those candidates and pennsylvania aren't talking about it, the pennsylvania

state legislature moved very quietly to do the exact same thing as is happening in kansas. to rip away that right through the ballot, in 2023, a time when less voters are gonna be paying attention to what is happening and what's going on in the ballot. and so, i would say to every voter, let's pay attention, not just to the top of the ticket, ayman, but let's make sure we are electing folks in state legislators seats, these bodies that are passing laws each and every day, that will govern access to abortion care, and the freedom for women to make decisions about their bodies. >> yeah, and speaking of all these other important races, i gotta ask you before you go, the center for american women in politics, they put out a new study, showing this midterm cycle has seen a new record for the number of women candidates in house, senate, and gubernatorial races. the study also shows more women

of color are running than ever before. you know, you are the head of one of the largest pro-woman's rights groups in this country. how do you feel about that? is that an important part of this struggle, to make sure that the laws in this country reflect half of the population? >> ayman, you said it. emily's list, which was created 27 years ago to be in a strong position in this moment, it is incredible that so many women are now seeing the value in their own journey. and, you know, putting themselves, offering themselves as public servants to their communities. that is what emily's list has always been about. and now, we've got to continue to make sure that we are doing the work, to help them, not just run, but to win. at emily's list, we know that when women run, and they win, they are a part of changing the world. and that's what we want to be about. making sure that families all over this country have the freedoms and justice that they need, and this democracy

promises. >> it's certainly something our country needs more of. laphonza butler, thank you so much for your time. i greatly appreciate all your work and your insights, thanks. >> thank you. >> after the break, i'm gonna speak with the head of the national democratic redistricting committee, about the races on their radar in the midterms. cali barry joins me next. cali barry joins me next bingo! i'm moving to the lake... gotta sell the house... ooh! that's a lot of work. ooh! don't worry. skip the hassels and sell directly to opendoor. bingo! when life's doors open, we'll handle the house. i'm a performing artist. so a healthy diet is one of the most important things. i also feel the same way about my dog. we were feeding her dry, triangle shaped ingredients long as the yellow brick road. we didn't know how bad it was for her

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in three seconds, pam will decide... i'm moving closer to the grandkids! wait. i got to sell the house! don't wait, just sell directly to opendoor. easy as pie. piece of cake. whichever. when life's doors open, we'll handle the house. there are just 100 days until the midterms, and there is a clear and present threat to democracy. thanks to a far-right conspiracy mongers and nationalist running for this office in this country -- the committee, the democrats's main political group, that's focused on redistricting is expanding its scope for the midterms and working to defend a election -- form these trump backed extremists. let's excellent news.

we should applaud that, but it seems to be in stark contrast with the efforts of some democrats to actually boost the profiles of anti-democratic maga cult candidates. some democrats are effectively bankrolling the same radicals that they're warning about. hoping that they will be easier to beat and general election races that the more moderate mainstream republicans. as history shows, efforts like this are prone to backfiring and are dangerous. consider the case of george christopher, in advance of the 1966 california governor, george christopher served as the popular moderate republican mayor of san francisco. democrats recognize that he would be a formidable threat and the general election, so they leaked an opposition research to the press, and that has more far-right gop primary opponent. it's wet? that far-right rival won the primary, but then, he won the general election as well. and he eventually used his time as governor to run for

president. that candidates name? ronald reagan. joining me now to discuss the group's effort is kelly burton, the president of the national democratic redistricting committee. kelly, great to have you. you organization is working to combat anti democratic -- against the country. tell us about with the endear c is doing in this current climate. >> thanks for having me here to talk about this. as you have noted throughout the show with 100 days left, there is one thing that is very clear and it is that democracy is on the ballot. we have been fighting for years to realize -- through the redistricting process. we know that if we don't have free and fair elections we cannot fully realize the impact. as soon as the map drawing process was done we launched an expanded electoral program not hones in on some of the most important election that we all need to care about. not just for protecting and

ensuring fair amounts but for protecting our democracy. and 17 states it's everything from governors to secretaries of state, supreme court races, as well as state legislatures. all of those would be incredibly important in this fight to save and protect our democracy. >> what is your reaction to the democrats in some cases boosting the profiles of some of these anti-democratic figures? do you think the democrats are playing with fire by trying to push through, or at least focus on targeting these far-right extreme candidates with the hopes that they could paint the republican party with this broad brush and ultimately face off against them in a general election? >> i've spent a lot of time inside those committees where those decisions are made and one thing i've learned is you really cannot judge directions from the outside. we are not all seeing the information that they are seeing. we are not working with the

details of the races that they are. i cannot speak to that strategy specifically. i will say that elections are about choices. it is very clear in this election that there are two very stark differences between the two parties on the ballot. the endear sea and also in my own home, you've got to keep the main thing the main thing, and the main thing is in this election is that you have one party, the republican party that absolutely is safe supporting candidates are election deniers. supporting candidates that who are at the january 6th insurrection, who believed biden is not the legitimate president of the country. those candidates are running as republicans and being elected by republican party voters. that is the heart of the matter here. that's what's happening in our nation. and that is the real hardwood is threatening our democracy. you have one party that my colleague said in his new book,

-- hopefully that will last forever and that there had been a real reckoning within their party. that is the heart of the matter, that this is a republican party. it's not supporting democracy and you have republican candidates that are questioning the structures of our democracy and republican voters that are voting for them. we need to focus on this and that's why we're supporting democracy defenders up and down the ballot. >> let's talk about congressman peter major for a moment. he was one of ten republicans who voted to impeach donald trump for his actions on january the 6th. some democrats are backing his trump endorsed far-right opponent. talk us through your thoughts on this one. >> well, i think what you're seeing here, again, i can't speak to the specific strategy and to the data and details that others are looking at with this race, but this is one of the districts evident gotten more fair and redistricting. michigan was the congressional map in michigan, drawn by a commission. it's far better and fairer than it was last decade when it was

during -- my republican legislature, so overall, this map is more fair, and this is a district that went from a biden 48 district to a biden 54 district. it means democrats should win this district. i have to imagine this is a must-win district for the dccc, and no matter who wins the republican primary on tuesday, i'm sure they're going to be all in it to it elect the democratic candidate in this district no matter who wins on the republican side. >> let me switch gears if i can, and talk to you about a new report from bloomberg, which found that because of redistricting, the 22 majority black congressional districts that currently exists could be whittled down to as few as nine after the midterms. your reaction to that? >> i mean, look, it's a real concern overall. the thing to know and to really dig in on when you are looking at these numbers is that is

largely driven by an intentional strategy by the republicans to go after black elected officials, to go after black majority and black influenced district in the map. the reason for the decline is largely because of the way that the republicans drew their maps, and in states like florida, georgia, and ohio, and texas were 95% of the -- came from people of color, but the republicans drew more white majority districts than they had last decade. similarly and texas where governor desantis's congressional map directly went after the districts of congressman lawson and held currently by congressman women demings intentionally to go after those members and the representation of the black voters in this district. this was unintentional strategy by the republicans. that is why we are continuing to fight back against what we think are illegal maps. we are in court still, fighting

against those maps and states like florida, georgia, texas, ohio. and the states, for example, alabama and louisiana where the legislature refused to draw an additional black majority district that should be drawn based on the population of those states. we are fighting on all those maps and we don't accept this as the final number for the decade. we will keep fighting. >> kelly burton, thank you so much for your time. you've got your hands full. we really appreciate it. you're making time for us this evening. >> thanks for having me. >> president biden's -- change democrats fortune in the mid term. we will break it noun. th mid term we will break it noun. we will break it noun. with technology that can scale across all your clouds... it's easier to do more innovative things. [whistling] welcome to allstate it's easier to do more innovative things. where the safer you drive, the more you save like rachel here how am i looking?

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far joe biden's presidency has not gotten exactly how democrats would've hoped. a university poll of this week from that just over two thirds of voters don't want him to run for reelection in 2024, but a

lot has happened over the last few days. so much so, that this might be a turning point for biden and the democrats in the midterms. the house and senate just passed the bipartisan 280 billion dollar chips bill that provides incentives for companies to make computer chips in the u.s.. senator schumer and manchin just announced an agreement on a 739 billion dollar reconciliation package that includes prescription drug reforms and green energy investments. senator manchin said this earlier on meet the press. >> chuck, i never walked away. we are still working on it. he says okay, let's do it. i said let's start talking. so to trucks credit, i kept talking. we didn't know we were going to get there or not. the bottom line is we reduced and scrubbed it cleared down to 739, nothing inflammatory in that piece of legislation. >> so the hundred days until the midterms could august saved biden's presidency and change the fortunes of democrats come

november? back with me or matthew -- matthew dowd and charles blow. matthew, how this dumb -- is this an issue about messaging or is it an issue of getting things done? i would argue this administration is getting a lot done. they're just not communicating it to american voters. >> well, i think it's about both, but it goes to general competency and in contrast with conspiracy and craziness on the other side. it provides more evidence of competency in the ability to get things done, which demonstrates that. i think one of the things we've seen in the last 60 days that have tried to highlight is that there is a disconnect between peoples approval of joe biden and how they feel about the ballot. there is a significant portion of people that may not like joe biden or maybe upset about something, but they're unwilling to hand the keys of the kingdom over to the republican party, because of what they stand for and as we talked earlier, about what they believe and how they don't

support democracy. so, this to me is an element that provides more evidence along with all those other things i said about january six, of reproductive freedom, gun reform, that gives the democrats something to run on. they don't need to prove about joe biden. they just need to show we are confident. we are rational. the other side is. and that to me is the fundamental thing of this election. it's not don't go and try to jack up joe biden's approval numbers. it may raise, it may not. you don't need to do that. you just need to say don't turn the keys of the car over to this crazy party. >> because that crazy parties going to take us over the cliff with what they plan on doing to our democracy. charles, despite the polls showing a lack of support for biden's second term, bloomberg knows that many democrats are still adapting themselves to the president to help them on the campaign trail. explain that dichotomy for us. >> we have talked a lot about

how the economy, post covid does not make sense, but i think politics makes sense by the old rules at this point, because of the opposition party which is the republican party at this point. and how insane some of the positions they're taking are. the politics of it doesn't make sense. when you look at biden's approval rating, a lot of things are in there. some of these people don't feel good, because prices are higher. rents going through the roof. inflation is rising. interest rates are rising. whether they think it's fair or not fair, people will worry about whether he's too old for the office. his opponent will also be very very old. but people are worried about how they've bought into this idea that he is too old to be president. i don't think i see that,

necessarily. do i think there should be youngblood? i would love the idea of young blood, but we don't have that. what we have is a binary choice. we will have that in 2024. there will be a republican, maybe donald trump, and maybe somebody else like rubio, but those people don't diverge -- far from each other on these fundamental issues, and on the other side of that, binary choice will be joe biden if he continues to do what he says is going to do. those are the choices. i think people look at that. they don't want him to run again, and that's with the polls say, but when you're faced with a binary choice, what are you going to choose? i think the people will choose not to implode the country. >> matthew, political reports from pennsylvania to ohio, to georgia, arizona, republicans are being outraged and not yet running away with a must win raise that they need to flip the senate in november. we know that having the most amount of money does not

necessarily guarantee victory, but it could be a game-changer in some of these tight races. i mean i think if pennsylvania, that could be a pickup for democrats, ohio as, well george's possibly -- with raphael warnock, as well as arizona. >> and you can add wisconsin, which could be a pick up for the democrats. there's a race in north carolina that i don't think [inaudible] maybe a pick up at the supreme court -- courts justice. a pick up for african americans -- all of those are. pickups right now, i think republicans, if you give them true serum would say the odds of them of taking the senate back are significantly lower than they were two months ago. i think if you gained it right now and it's 100 days to election day, a lot of things could happen. a lot of things could change. but most of the prognosticators that have been talking about this have been wrong about what is going to be faced and november. i think this election, which again is a good thing, it's going to be very close, and i think democrats, big with

democratic -- have to make the argument that we know what we are doing. we believe in the constitution. we believe and freedoms. we believe in equal justice for all. we believe inequality, and the other side has abandoned all those fundamental principles. they are not conservatives. they are not even close to where a conservative is in with the country has been. i think that is the argument. if democrats make that argument clearly and concisely, and i think it would help with the president making that argument the last hundred days, and not try to boost his own numbers, but make the argument about what would happen if the republicans took over, then i think democrats would have a really really good chance of keeping the congress, and expanding their margin in the united states senate. >> charles, final thought to you. we have about 30 seconds. is this a referendum on the president? our midterms rip referendums on the president? >> i don't think it necessarily is in this particular case. one thing is true about

politics. victory often takes the win out of the sale of the victor and the momentum swings to the person who feels the most lost and dog engaged in backlash. right now, would happened with roe v. wade was a huge victory on the side of conservatives, but it actually took the wind out of the sales of the can circuit certain -- conservatives and energize the backlash that people experienced in this loss. it has upended traditional thinking about midterms. >> charles blow, matthew dowd, thank you for joining us and help us break down the 100 days to the midterms. thank you. ahead, voices of the future. how young black voters will affect the midterms in 2024 and beyond. we will tell you about that. 2024 an beyond we will tell you about that. we will tell you about that.

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with as much influence in the upcoming midterms as young voters. especially young black voters who have regularly helped put democrats in power. msnbc's tremaine league traveled to atlanta as part of an upcoming tore across the south to talk with students about issues they care about the most. which candidates might get their votes in 2022 and 2024. >> or 100 days away from midterms. you're all walking to that voting booth. what issues are you voting on? >> housing and security. gun control.

immigration issues. >> reproductive issues as well as food insecurity. >> health care issues. housing and health care. what is the program and plan going forward with american health care? kyiv would benefits can i get from my employer? all of these different things. the affordable care act. >> -- president biden enough to address your concerns? >> it's hard to say yes, that democrats are doing everything they can when you are not seeing the change firsthand. >> i think that they ran on this platform, so we need to be acting on them. if not they'll see would happens in november. >> where do you will think the party should be going? to that middle space or further to the left? >> the middle is comfortable. it's like you're comfort spot. you stay there. this is my comfort. i'm staying here because i like

it, but it's not helping. it's not. it's been the same for too long. >> we need to be pushing left. maybe trying to put solutions, trying to figure out how to best advance this country for a country that is changing every day. >> if the party goes further left, you absolutely have more support, but maybe those weren't voters you needed the whole time. if people are willing to leave your voting base because you don't to get people free health care, they may not have always been as loyal as you thought. >> do you feel better about america two years into the biden ministration compared to where we were four years ago? >> i would say i do feel better. am i over the moon? absolutely not. but we are making progress. >> i think a lot of times we disregard all the amazing things that president biden has done, because we think it's common sense. but i'm looking forward to what will happen in the next two years, and how this country could continue to progress,

because a lot of joe biden's -- >> it's not all on joe biden to fix everything, because we have to vote at every step. big i'm definitely feeling a lot better, but it's definitely all is not well. >> all is not will indeed. thank you very much for making time for us. 100 days before the midterm elections, a special edition of ayman, make sure to catch a man back here on msnbc on saturdays, and sundays at nine. stream new original episodes on fridays on peacock and make sure to follow us on twitter and tiktok at a minimum nbc. tune in again. i'm ayman mohyeldin live in new york. goodnight. n live in ne york goodnight. goodnight. pliers, and a phone open to libertymutual.com they customize your car insurance, so you only pay for what you need... and a blowtorch. only pay for what you need. ♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ♪ this is john. he hasn't worked this hard to only get this far with his cholesterol.

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♪ ♪ ♪ >> welcome to a special presentation of the meet the press film festival. i am chuck todd. and what you are about to see is a little bit of this year's broader festival program. these are the best in class short documentaries, covering the most consequential issues across the united states. in the last five years, they meet the press film festival has showcased more than 100 films from nine countries. dozens of our films and our festival have gone on to be nominated for emd