a very good day to all of you from msnbc world headquarters, here in new york. welcome everyone to alex witt reports, developing for the top of this hour, the midterm elections just three days away. candidates crossed the country are making their final pitches

to voters. moments ago, in pittsburgh, president obama rallied with democratic senate nominee, john fetterman, saying that voters have a clear choice on tuesday. >> pennsylvania, you've got a choice between politicians who seem willing to say anything and do anything. to get power. people who see you and know you, and care about you and share in your values, i want to make your lives better and move this country forward and bring people together. >> that was just one of the major events today and which a trio of u.s. presidents, are bringing their star power to the campaign trails just last hour, president biden wrapped up a speech in joliette, illinois. that's where he focused on social security, also lowering prescription drug costs. but he also employed americans to make sure they vote. later today, president biden and former president obama, they're going to reunite in philadelphia, rallying of

course for the democrats. also, tonight former president trump will rally for republicans in latrobe, pennsylvania. in the meantime, control of congress hangs in the balance and what could be the most consequential elections in american history. democrats attempting to hold on to, or increase their slim majorities in both the house and senate, with more than 38 million americans have voted ahead of tuesday's elections. meanwhile, the 2024 campaign can start right after the mentor. ms. two sources tell nbc news that donald trump will make a presidential bid official sometime this month. the january six committee has extended its subpoena deadline to hand over its documents. in the statement last time the committee said it has been in communication with trump's attorney but the schedule does we position remains in november. we can take you to a number of nbc news correspondents in these final hours of campaigning. welcome all.

i want you to you in philadelphia. we just heard from former president obama ahead of his big joint appearance of president biden, where you are there later today in philly, what is their message on the panic campaign trail today? >> well alex, as i've been talking to white house officials, to democratic strategists, we know that there are still a universe of undecided voters still waiting to make a fountain xin but the concern for democrats at this stage is really whether they're going to be able to turn out their voters. as one shutters put it, me if we turn out, we win. that's why you're seeing a political reunion today here in philadelphia, for the first time in two years, and the first time and only time this campaign, former president barack obama, president joe biden, his former vice president, here to support the entire democratic ticket and pennsylvania. the really concerned that they've acknowledged, americans are concerned about the economy, they have seen prices go up and it's been really tough a few years as the president has been saying. we're trying to battle against complacency, just against as the battling against the

republican opponents. just a few minutes ago and we heard from president obama, he dusted off some his campaign classics talking about you have to get cousin pokey off the couch to get to vote. let's listen to more about the president had to say. >> i'm here to tell you, pittsburgh, that tuning out is not an option. sulking, and more being, that is not an option. the only way to make this economy fair, is if we, all of us, fight for it. we, together, fight for -- >> as you see the president vomit really has emerged for democrats is probably the go-to, most effective campaigner down the stretch here. but that rally in pittsburgh is six, and here tonight his seventh, in some of the most competitive senate races especially in the battle to control the senate for democrats, here. bringing him back together with president biden, the first time they have campaign together since the closing days of biden 2020 campaign, in michigan, it's also really about firing

democrats. bringing them back to really, a happier time for the. the two of them in their close partnership, and they're hoping that translates to more enthusiasm, especially in a key vote turnout engine for democrats in pennsylvania here in philadelphia. you can see the line it beginning to move in as they open the doors in just two hours,. alex >> i guess you better get inside my friend, thank you so much alex money. what it was now where more than 1.3 million people have voted early in that. state the latest mares poll has democratic incumbent mark kelly leading republican challenger blake masters. joining me now from phoenix is one hell, ian were jill biden is campaigning with joe with him today. what is the reaction of the first lady, there and what is the latest on these two neck and occurs on the races at the? top >> yeah. both sides that you talk to, nobody thinks that either of these candidates are running away with this. this is not an assured win for mark kelly, despite him consistently leading in polling over the course of the last

year. that is why you see first lady joe biden, she is making through selves on the state with mark kelly here today. they're taking part of a teachers union this morning. she'll be taking her way here to the phoenix area here this afternoon. this is a moment where by contrast, you see blake masters, who is has aligned himself closely with the rest of the republican slate of candidates here. it's kari lake who is sort of this gop phenomenon here in the state of arizona. she's holding rallies and bringing along, blake masters as well as other down ballot candidates to campaign alongside her. you see in polling, kari lake is consistently out performing blake masters. the hope on the republican side is that she can help some of these other down ballot candidates, but also u.s. senate candidates like masters and lift them up over. top i want to let you hear that from r. kelly, the democratic incoming here, talking about blake masters as he makes his pitch to, especially those more independent voters to not give the republican a shot ahead of the u.s. senate.

take a listen. >> it's because my opponent thinks he knows better than everyone about everything. he thinks he knows better than women and doctors about abortion. he thinks he knows better than seniors about social security. he even thinks he knows better than veterans, about how to fight a war. >> you had the issues that mark kelly just focus on there, and by contrast we were down along the border yesterday with blake masters and kari lake as they have consistently tried to hone and on immigration, and border security, as well as the economy. two issues that have pulled well among arizona voters, and they're trying to drive those messages home to win over those chairman dependence, and also those conservatives who showed a willingness to show democrat in 2018, and 20 8:20 in the state here. alex >> okay, thank you for that update. thank you we're gonna head back east again to wisconsin's this

time, more than 628,000 votes voted early. there -- hasn't come ron johnson leading democratic candidate, mandela barnes. let's go right to shaquille brewster, standing there in milwaukee for us. what are you hearing shark in the campaign as we're heading down to the wire? >> well alex, it is all about. turnout that you mention about, polling that lead is well within the margin of area and it's tighter than what we saw last. month it's going to be about turnout, and what you're seeing are the candidates trying to turnout as many voters as possible. that is the van. the rv for the lieutenant governor mandela barnes, he's going to stop to stop on the campaign trail today trying to get -- hit the payment and get as many voters. out to do, that he's getting his volunteers. having what they call a canvas launch, this is inside their campaign office where you see people waiting to see mandela barnes speak. this is the next shift of volunteers that's going to be going out. they have shows that nine, am 12 pm, and i think 3 pm after. that these are the volunteers

that are going to knocking on doors. that is about the issues. alex we talk to folks here what is driving them to the polls out of a legal ruling locations yesterday, listen to what a few them told. me >> women's rights. it's very important to me, so i'm gonna make sure i vote for someone who won't violate. those over the years it seems that things are going. backwards >> probably the abortion one. it's pretty corny. i mean having kids, and just wanting the best for their future, and for them to have the freedom to do what they want, and what they feel is best. >> that is a malign of messaging that you've been hearing from the democrats hitting the issue of abortion, especially in a state like wisconsin where most of the abortion clinics in this state are closed after the overturning of roe v. wade. but again, it's not just abortion. it's also the economy, if inflation, so many issues that are driving people to the polls. that's why have so many people saying that this midterm election, to them, is more important kent than anyone that

they have experienced. >> okay, shaq, thanks so much from milwaukee we appreciate. that let's move to ohio, where more than 1.3 million people have voted early there. the latest real clear politics average of polls put republican j.d. vance ahead of democrat tim ryan in the race for senate there. let's go to nbc jesse's cursed in cincinnati for us. let's ask you the same question we asked shaq, what are we hearing from the candidates in the final shot jessie? >> yeah, well first of all, first of alex, both candidates brushing aside with the polling is, when we talk with them one-on-one yesterday. i should say, their zigzagging house the state. what we're looking at here is the democrat trying to style himself like a republican, he's time he's agreed with former president trump. he swipes at his own party. that's congressman tim ryan, who explicitly told me that he does not want president biden here campaign with. him on the other side of this race, you have republican j.d. vance, best known for being the

author of -- which of course got a lot of acclaim back in 2016. he, first will tell you that what tim ryan is putting himself at doesn't line up his voting record, and points to ryan agreeing with president biden, and with speaker of the house, nancy pelosi. he's trying to combat the siphoning off of votes, which ryan is trying to fork to his favor. this is clearly a state that is trending writer as an incumbent republican governor may pose to reelection victory quite easily. so, you can see j.d. vance riding his curtails and getting a bump of the governor's draw of people to the polls and also this is a state that former president donald trump won handily in 2016, and 2020. ryan has those things working against them. the big thing we get from his messaging is economic issues, specifically workers and jobs. he is largely issuing some of the main talking points we have seen from democrats like abortion, and election

integrity. those are things that have come up in this race but they are really second tier compared to the talk about the and connally from vance. the economic talk is around the inflation and how democratic memories he said, have made inflation worse. they timeline it with votes on the economy. we've caught up with both candidates yesterday enough them for their messages but would they would be to workers in a factory second core still undecided. here's what part of what they told. us >> if we keep on allowing the president of the united states to make it every -- dictator for oil and gas, when we have ohio workers in our own state, and own country, we're gonna lose everything in the country that makes this country prosperous and. powerful >> republicans are coming to our vans, they've already voted for us. i think we got this thing. we just have to get the vote. out republicans have already voted for you. was on the ground, is what's on the ground. that's what's gonna turn up tuesday. >> and the other thing that

both these candidates are trying to do is paint each other as a fraud, as an extreme, this really could come down to just who voters relate to better than the other, alex. >> okay, jessie kershaw, they're in cincinnati thank you so much for that. let's head down to north carolina. it is the last day of early voting in that state. the competitive senate race is still in his final last stretch between democratic candidate, cheri beasley, and gop opponent representative ted budd who is leading the race right now. let's go to nbc's antonia hilton joining us from rocky mountain, north carolina, with more on this. what are you seeing there today antonia? >> hey alex, we'll, right now sure beasley is actually talking to a group of voters here for a souls to the polls event. as you mentioned, this is the last day of early voting. many of these people have already actually voted. her message to them right now is that they need to get their friends, their family, particularly young people in their lives off of the bench, often sidelined, and really into this thing. gotta get ready to vote, either before 3 pm today, or on voting

day on tuesday. she has run a really interesting campaign. most democrats in north carolina run up their numbers in just the urban centers. but she has been in every single county in north carolina, and she spent a lot of time in small towns, in rural areas, in church backyards like the one going on right now, talking to people, answering their questions, shaking hands in hopes that she can create and more you need a democratic coalition that includes rural voters, people that feel, unheard and gets them to the polls. take a listen to a conversation that i've had with a busy voter, a young woman voting to why it's been so hard for some of them to get out. >> my age, i would definitely say when it comes to like the, the minimum wage for jobs, how much were getting paid, the education, the word of education will and make the decisions on what the food is going to look, like what the food you know, what the food entails and things like that, i think those are some of the

main issues that people are thinking about. >> you just met hope cart there, she's a student on has trying to been talk to other students her age to get them engaged this cycle. but, right now in terms of early voting, a lot of young voters haven't been participating. that can be typical for the midterms, but with things like abortion on the ballot, candidates like bc have been hoping that more young people, people in the urban centers, at many universities here in the state of north carolina will make it out by tuesday, alex. >> yeah, as they did in 2018. so we shall see. thank you so much antonia hylton. all of you be sure to watch msnbc's special election coverage. it starts tomorrow night beginning at seven eastern, with a whole slate of evening programming including eight morning joe special at nine, and a field report with paul arenas after. that coming up next, what could stand in the way of you know who running again. and later, michael morris prediction for the midterm. he's got a lot to say and we'll be listening. be listening

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another presidential run for donald trump. nbc news confirms trump plans to initially announced his run for the white house this month. they caution the date also change. this comes as trump is currently the subject of multiple investigations. the current president gave one of his biggest pieces yet during a rally in iowa, thursday. -- and now in order to make our country successful, and safe, and glorious, i will very, very, very, probably do it again. okay? very very probably. get ready! that's all i'm telling you. >> okay. joining me now hugh vallow, congressional reporter for the guardian. welcome my friend, what do you

make of the timing of trump's apparently 2024 announcement? >> yeah, it's really interesting for a number of reasons. i mean, it's only a day before the house republican leadership is expected to vote in time to speak to the next speaker will be. the midterms is the only thing on trump's mind right now, and it's the thing that is driving a lot of his next moves whether it is to be announcing a presidential run, for the january six committee. his advisers have been telling him, look, if you see how republicans are doing, and if they win big on tuesday, then you can use that as a launchpad to announce your presidential run. if they don't do as well though, alex, they've also been telling him maybe you should spend a little bit of time thinking about it because then you can put some distance between you and the potentially bad result of republicans. a lot of it is resting on what's happening on tuesday. >> well, also was registering is that republicans, should they win have to make good on all the promises that they have undertaken, and the benefit that they say they will bring

to the american public before the next presidential election in 2024. there is one thing. there's also this, the investigations, hugo, how could they impact a trump white house? why could they keep him from running, even before conviction? >> probably not, that's because the doj will not really care about politics. then it will potentially care about, is how much oversight they get from republicans if they take the house. but, if you speak to top officials, and the justice department, people who are close to the federal investigations, whether it's a january fish, or the mar-a-lago documents case, they're saying look, running for president is no defense to being accountable if you've broken wall. i think that's how the doj is going to pursue. and that's on trump's mind. trump's thinking, -- if he announces he's the candidate for president, that might make things difficult for the justice department. we have seen that the reporting in recent days that the doj is

looking to appoint a special counsel to alleviate the investigations, to give themselves a little bit of protection from accusations of political investigations. >> yeah. okay stop what the january six committee because as you know donald trump just blew right past yesterday's deadline to comply with the house subpoena to return over documents. the committee is now extended that deadline into next week, but is there any sense, hugo that trump actually plans to comply? >> it's a really good question, and i think that some of the discussions have been about him complying to some degree. this is, again, all hinges what happens on tuesday. some of the calculations from his new york team, from his legal team and all those deliberations is that if the republicans win by, again if the republicans take the house, then you can probably not cooperate that much. if you even the current democratic house -- republicans in january can respond --

that could basically mean any props fusion could move. if democrats retain the house though, this is where things can get interesting. his lawyers think that he can have absolute -- i think with respect to the chest money that's probably not gonna happen at the. straight >> you mention the trench route is fine. congressman liz cheney says that the january six committee is in discussions with trump's legal team about just. that what do you know about those conversations? >> people close to the trump legal team say that is a very generous reading of. it i think the reaction from the committee yesterday speaks to that, because they basically gave an extension on the documents. that's because trump's legal team basically requested an extension saying we need more documents to assess what documents are responsive. they're giving the guidelines and are cooperating. as you know, trump's style from the beginning has been slow. they have to decide at one

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midterms, these are the latest early voting numbers creeping up on it now 38 million people, mostly registered democrats have cast their mail in, as well as in person ballots nationwide. but polling averages continue to favor republicans taking control of the senate, as well as the house. this according to projections from real clear politics. meanwhile former president barack obama stumped for democratic candidate in pennsylvania, with john fetterman making his case to be sent to the capitol. and in michigan, incumbent governor merrick gretchen whitmer, is making her final

campaign rounds. the real clear politics has whitmer reading by 4.4 points. they're also on the ballot, a consequential referendum that will decide if abortion protections will be enshrinement in that state's constitution. and bc's shirt and -- julie welcome. tell me how voters are feeling about michigan essentially could becoming a ground zero in the fight for abortion rights? >> yeah, alex, that's exactly right. look, democrats see this elastic effort in the days leading up to election day in the fight to protect abortion rights in this country, and the point to the fact that many voters actually put a proposal three on the ballot, that measure that could potentially enshrine push abortion protection into michigan states constitution. indicative reasons that that measure will pass, and the democrats will store degrades up another tickets. but today, we have major, get out the vote efforts including all the presidents of the

pro-choice efforts gordie joining governor gretchen whitmer and other democrats, and secretary of state shootout why abortion is key in the coming days. take a listen to what they told me. >> we feel very strongly that they will vote yes on property. we know that they care about reproductive freedom. we know that they care about ensuring that their state does not go. backwards >> women of color are the most affected of our bodies agree regional spans. >> there are people who are traditionally anti choice, who are voting yes to preserve this right because the alternative is so extreme, and so cruel. >> yeah, that was governor whitmer there at the end. i asked her why they're focusing on abortion, even as republicans. especially in the last month continue to blanket the airwaves with millions of dollars, with some misinformation concerning number three. one student mission in state,

she also voted already voted because abortion is so important for her. -- it'll be an economic race as we get down to the finish line here. >> okay, julie tsirkin, thank you so much for that update from lansing michigan. joining me right now is michigan's very own michael more. i gotta say the whole complete likes to claim him based on his expertise in filmmaker and host of the very entertaining, always rumble with michael more podcast. mike was also having a substack newsletter. welcome, my friend. first off, i want your reaction to what you're hearing today from the voters, and from governor whitmer who's really coming up against that trump endorsed republican tutor dixon. what's going on there in your state? >> i'm not worried at all. this is, i think that this is just a thing where people get nervous, especially democrats and liberals get really nervous. we know what the appointment can do, does the, and we know the very committed and all

that. as julie just pointed out, in the history of ballot proposals in the state of michigan, there has been never a bad proposal that has gotten this many signatures to get on the ballot. it was so overwhelming and it told us the same thing that kansas told us back in the summer, that even kansas, almost 60% of the people in kansas voted to keep the right to have an abortion in their state constitution. kansas. we've had sign, after sign across the country whether it's the democrat sarah palin in the first runoff, they're in alaska, native alaska woman. i was born maybe a year before alaska became estates. i couldn't read or write for a few years, but i don't member a

democrat ever being the sole congress person from alaska. how did that happen? this is been going on, most of the year, and then the polling from -- i just want to remind people the warning of presidential election in 2016, the new york times, not a conservative newspaper said that hillary was going to win that day, 85% chance of her winning, only 15% chance of trump winning in the 2016 presidential election, on election day. the same thing happened in michigan, in the 16 primary between bernie and hillary. that morning, the channel to news in detroit said that hillary was going to beat bernie by 26 points, and 12 hours later, bernie wins the michigan primary by two points over hillary. you just gotta jump all the stuff on your head. don't be in a place of despair. trust that your fellow

americans do not want to go backwards. >> and i want to also add your voice to what happened in 2016, because you from the get-go, were saying trump would win. and that was something that went against the new york times and the different poles and different analysts. what just happened. why are you so optimistic in general? what are the tailwind that you are feeling, that keeps you feeling that democrats are going to arcane these midterms? >> first of, all i don't live in a bubble. i spent a great deal of my time in the midwest. each of the country making my films, or whatever. so, i mean i pay tension and listen to people. it's -- it wasn't just the 16 election. the night i was when the oscar and go on stage and said, i just want to say that it's the fourth night of the iraq war, and we're not gonna find any weapons of mass destruction.

i got booed off the stage. i was thinking, why did i say? that i'm not weapons inspector, i would do i know? i'm really just like a lot of basic everyday americans, a potential what's going on, and it was clear to me in the midwest that trump was going to win. the only way he wasn't going to win, is if we got the vote out for hillary, and she lost michigan by two votes per precinct, that's it. that's how close this can be this -- excuse me while i'm optimistic, i'm very optimistic because there are more democrats register to vote in this country, than there are republicans by about 20 million. biden won by 7 million, the popular vote. hillary won the popular vote by 3 million, so it -- what would have to change all of a sudden, all these millions of democrats on tuesday, are gonna want trump back? >> but hang on a second. your kitchen tables kind of guy,

right? i mean you're describing yourself, you're not in the bubble. >> maybe too much of the kitchen. table >> [laughs] why do you believe that voters if the kitchen table issues like higher gas and food prices -- >> i'll tell you why. because the american people are treated like they're bunch of dummies. we're not idiots. okay no brennan, there's 303 million people in the country, maybe a even good 80 and 90 million are not very bright, no offense to those of you watching that are not right. but you're not right, so making an assumption that you know what's going on. but there are over 200 million of us that are. stupid when monica tell people that gas prices, oh price of eggs, yeah i'm -- if you're woman i'm using, i'm just gonna give up i'm gonna give up my rights. my bodily autonomy rights, to

take those parts of examine another 20 cents. that is not how people think. they love this country, they love this democracy, they can do not want to lose it on tuesday. again there's nothing -- >> and i agree with you. but i was listening to a correspondent based in georgia who is bringing us soundbites from people in terms of how they were going to vote, weather is going to be for raphael warnock, herschel walker. you had someone saying about herschel walker that guy was great on the football field, amazing. but politics is not his arena. that's why she was voting for raphael warnock. and then there was a gentleman that said, you know, things just aren't working so i just want change, so i'm gonna vote for herschel walker, because i just need change in the hope that something is going to change and make my life better, my circumstances better. when you say to that? >> well, your circumstances are not gonna get it that way. let me just say first of all the republicans have not represented one iota of a plan to bring down inflation, to help the economy. there is a healthy economy, what kind --

this is an economy that's got less than three and a half percent unemployment. the stock market this week had its best month, the month of october, then any month of any year since 1976. so the republicans are very good at the spin and the propaganda, and i think the american people now not to fall for that. we have too much at stake on tuesday. and they're just not going to go with this. the harvard study just came out, they believe 40% of young people are going to vote. 40? in 2014, 15 15% of younger people vote. young people are gonna vote. women are gonna vote with pensions. and people of color know what's at stake here. so, not that is not going to be close, and we will lose if we

don't show up. we will lose, if we don't need to bring five people with us to the polls. we have work to, today, tomorrow and monday to make sure everybody we know and love gets to the polls. there are 80 million million voters -- we just have to rejoin -- just as a favor just this once, you can go back to non voting. if you're upset with biden, you know, then let's get a strong democratic senate in there and those democrats are going to make sure that biden fulfills his campaign promises. so that's the way to get change, is to keep the house in the democratic saints. let's elect a little more democratic senators, and just imagine the good things that are going to happen, and all the things that we want, the majority of americans want paid family leave, they don't think the minimum wage should be $7

and something an hour. they don't agree with any of that. the way to fix that is to make sure that the people who want to ruin this democracy -- i just can't for the life of me, alex, believe that my fellow americans are going to show up on tuesday, and vote for the party that just hours after the insurrection on january six, just hours, 147 republicans voted to overturn the legitimate election of joe biden. hours. they joined the insurrectionists. i never -- i mean we've all -- growing up my grandfather was the head of the republican party in the town i grew up in, republicans are not bad people, they were never by people, we had disagreements, we didn't agree on things, but what is going on that you would bring yourself into that voting booth, and say you know who i want? i want to the people who tried to stage a kook in this

country. i don't believe it! >> what i hear you doing right now is echoing the sentiments of joe biden right now and telling folks, hey folks, he uses that moniker all the time. democracy is on the line here. and you're echoing the reasons for which he is saying that. he saying that as well. but there is somebody else who may be jumping into things. you've heard about donald trump with these 2024 non announcement announcement that he might have coming in the next week or two, if that date that we were -- inside the top there. if that happens, what do you think that impact has on the midterms, the post, the way people look at this country and what they're going to do in the next couple of years? >> yeah. i'm kind of glad is gone now that he's going to make this announcement very soon because that will help get out the vote of the majority of americans who don't want him. the majority of americans in 2020 made clear --

in the last two year. it's not just going crazy after watching the iphone guy too many times on fox news, they decided that i voted for biden but now i want this guy back. that is not gonna happen. i did not believe my fellow americans, i do not believe this country is an idiot notion. that is not going to happen. i think trump wanted to jump in and put it out there. the republicans did not want him putting this out here, i'm sure he is saying this. i'm guessing somebody, don junior has some type of territories or dozens anything else. for him to go over the next three days and about being the senator of attention. that's just not his. well >> oh yeah. and he's going to be talking tonight to. >> i hope he announces a tonight than. >> well -- let's see if that happens. i need a quick answer on predictions, i'm just gonna let you be the major prognosticator

here. boy what's wrong with me. top senate races we're gonna go through very quickly, [inaudible] [laughs] >> you do not go to catholic school, you do not have nuns teacher? is that the probable? it's a killer so we can. person >> [laughs] 's fetterman a dunnville? >> again, giving the people of transylvania are not gonna vote for john fetterman because he had a stroke and he's recovering. we are good people, we don't say, well what's wrong with him? why can't he speak better yet? well because he's recovering from a stroke. how is he even standing is what i want to? no i mean this is amazing. but people are kind. you don't like, greg abbott, what's he doing in a chair? why doesn't he stand up at the podium? we don't say that. >> that's a good point. >> that would be so wrong? >> totally wrong? >> we love people who are

disabled, who are having a hard go of it at life, so many millions of americans event hard goers -- when they see somebody like john fetterman going forward because why, what's he got because he loves his country? wow. no no. it's gonna be fine, we're gonna be fine if he was my prediction, we will win if everybody votes on our side. because he wants -- those more votes than there are. them if we make to the polls, and if we make calls to friends and relatives this weekend, if you don't do that remain when. it's up to everybody watching this right now, or they're going to do in the eunuchs 48, or 72 hours. >> announces a rock really quickly, mark elliot -- markel in arizona? >> yes of course. he's mark kelly. >> i know, he's cool. >> again, the people of arizona are not stupid. they have heard with blake master has said, he's one of my

sub start calm -- he's what i called a wackadoodles ten. the ten most outrageous people running for office and blake masters is one of the. the people of arizona are good people. they're smart people. they want to live in a country where people are paying a living wage. they want to live in a place where if your mother, sick if your child is sick, you have to worry about losing a week's pay. that's a country we are. that's what we want to live in, and we don't want to go back to the old. we're >> good. all right, speaking, cool your cool thank you for spending time with us. it's always a pleasure. it comes him again. >> thank you, appreciated. good luck everybody. >> thanks! what to look for hour by hour on tuesday night unfold. my next guest have some specific reasons he's going to be watching and why you should be watching him too. him too.

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election forecast. six senate races are now considered toss-ups. and another four races are evenly split in between leaning democratic and leaning republican with the lane of plausible outcomes not including's sizeable republican majority. politico has one of those races, new hampshire moving from lean democratic to toss-up democratic incumbent, maggie hassan, no longer considered a significant favor. joining me now is senior campaign on elections editor, and chief polling analyst for politico. steven shepard who has been a laser focus on that now can that congressional races. steve welcome. in september you know that -- had a ten-point lead over her republican challenger. this goes to trump's lies that the election was stolen. why have the tattle tail winds been blowing in the -- >> old couple of things have happened to tighten this race

along with many others. for one, we've seen the national environment move towards -- president biden's approval rating has stalled or dry up out a little bit. when you ask voters which candidate are going to serve or, or what congress they want to control congress, we've seen republicans inch up a little bit. we're also seeing in this race specifically, where new hampshire has a reputation for swinging-ness. in 2016, it actually swung pretty hard towards democrats. in 2020, president biden carried by seven points. now, there's a lot of evidence that is going to swing getaway. look, i think that she still has a slim lead there but don bullock has been closing that gap pretty quickly, and this race is within the range that we would consider a toss-up. bulldog, despite -- despite getting cash lose by some republicans especially the one that's -- ideological groups that have helped him he's kind of closing

with the momentum in new hampshire. also a state where everyone votes on election. day they don't have the robust early voting, or mail-in voting that we see and other states. that goes further new hampshire than other. >> very good reminder not mine. which makes for very exciting tuesday night. what are you going to be monitoring as polls close and the results begin to come in in general. we have georgia, new hampshire closing at seven eastern time, pennsylvania clock, nevada 10 pm. as this entire night unfold, steve, what do you look at in particular as an indicator of what party is going to win? >> i look at the states where we expect the votes counted on election night, you have on your chart there. pennsylvania closet clock at night. we know that we're not going to get counted and pennsylvania on election night. you'll recall in 2020, it took until the saturday after election day before news organizations like nbc news were able to project a winner in the presidential election.

joe biden carried that state by more than point. about 1.3 percentage points. it took that long, five days to figure it out. donald trump had the lead on election night. we know the voice of going to get in pennsylvania i want to be more republican than the over all result. but there are some states where we do expect a lot of the vote count -- for the for example, there are a lot of competitive races in florida. north carolina, that big senate race there between ted budd and sheri weaselly. we're gonna be expecting a lot of those kind. other places like virginia, where there's two or three competitive congressional races. we expect the polls to close there some clock where they're all gonna be counted. someone like ohio where the senate races going to be -- between ten ryan and j.b. vance. we got a lot of those kind of. that those are the places i'm really going to be looking at tuesday for him. the rest of it is just kind of a hurry up and wait scenario. i'm sure the folks are probably

not gonna know at the states. we're probably not gonna know much on election night that's gonna tell us about the outcome. >> and you have about 30 seconds i answer -- the blatant political council vote steve, a lot of voters say they're undecided. which candidate to support for harms grows. what other chief concern for undecided voters this year? is there any indication where they're gonna? go >> one of things we notice is that there are more likely to disapprove of the job that president joe biden is doing, especially if you give strongly slightly disapprove. a lot of them slowly -- fall into the slight disapproval category. i request for democratic candidates in the summer races, can you keep those voters? a lot of them went for joe biden over donald trump in the poll, keep from defecting to republicans this despite the fact that a lot of the chief concerns our economic, and some of the issues that the republicans are campaigning. on that's why you're seeing a big effort to disqualify a lot of these republican candidates. they're calling mehmet oz a

fraud in pennsylvania. and herschel walker who's been violence against women in georgia. >> very interesting. you have about 30 sexual, i think you from political steve shepard. for all of you all you need is to regime. and where people. greenberg e people greenber if an oral treatment is right for you. oral treatments can be taken at home and must be taken within 5 days from when symptoms first appear. if you have symptoms of covid-19, even if they are mild, don't wait, get tested quickly. if you test positive and are at high risk of severe disease, act fast. ask if an oral treatment is right for you. covid-19 moves fast, and now you can too. >> tech: at safelite, we take care of vehicles with the latest technology. covid-19 moves fast, we can replace your windshield ...and recalibrate your safety system. >> customer: and they recycled my old glass. >> tech: don't wait. schedule today. >> singers: ♪ safelite repair, safelite replace. ♪

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top stories. north korea launching four ballistic missiles today, flying by 80 miles towards the country's western see it comes as the -- northeast has fired more than 30 missiles this league including an intercontinental ballistic missile like triggered evacuation alerts in northern japan. about half of twitters workers are now out of a job, just seven days after elon musk acquired the company. those layoffs hitting -- the teams that filled out hate speech and i'll handle on

algorithms. companies like pfizer and general murders have already pulled their ads from the platform. elon musk has been responding regularly -- get those tickets ready everyone. the potter powerball moment. the grand prize is now up to 1.6 billion dollars, instantly has won since august. for the next powerball drawing is tonight, just before 11 pm. good luck? that's gonna do it for me on this edition on alex witt reports. i'll see you again tomorrow at noon. my friend yasmin vossoughian continues our coverage. inues our coverage ♪ music: “everywhere” by fleetwood mac ♪ you ready?

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