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line, the stakes could not be higher. republicans need to pick up one senate seat and five house seats to take control on capitol hill. a new nbc news poll finds registered voters are tied at 47% when it comes to which party they want to control congress. the poll also finds democrats are closing the enthusiasm gap in this election. voters from both parties highly interested in the elections. we have already seen the enthusiasm play out as more than 41 million americans have already voted by mail or in person through early voting. but that's not stopping the heavy hitters from hitting the campaign trail for one last effort to rally support. president biden will travel to maryland to push for democrats, while former president donald trump will rally republicans in ohio. we're also keeping a close watch on two states that could determine control of the senate. pennsylvania and georgia.

that is where we begin this hour. i want to bring in nbc news correspondent mora barrett from philadelphia, nbc national news koerbdent gabe gutierrez and phillip rucker "washington post" and msnbc political analyst. gabe, let me start with you. what's the situation like in georgia? >> reporter: hello, jose. good morning. the attacks are intensifying between warnock and walker. the past several days, warnock has been escalating his attack calling him not just not ready for office, but saying he is a pathological liar that is unfit to serve in the u.s. senate. now, the campaign is expected to continue today with senator warnock here in maicon for one stop. he spent the weekend criss-crossing the state. we spoke with several of his

supporters this morning in maicon about what they see as the biggest issues heading into election day. take a listen. >> i think that's the tendency of candidates to either not accept the results of the election. that is terrifying for the country. >> obviously, women's rights is one of the biggest things we're fighting back right now. a lot of controversy around that. one of the important things as i become a young woman in the world, i want to protect my rights and my mother's rights and also my future children's rights. >> reporter: so those two issues huge among democrats right now. threats to democracy and reproductive rights. now, warnock is also trying to make a play for gop voters who may be reluctant to vote for herschel walker.

he is targeting specifically those voters. walker has been trying to link warnock to president biden and what he sees as failed economic policies and pointing to rising inflation as a reason why voters should go for him. governor brian kemp expected to criss-cross the state in flyover, making the last-minute push. a statistical dead heat here in the senate race. >> the aclu and others have filed a lawsuit with absentee ballots. what do you know about that? >> reporter: aclu said it could affect 1,200 voters at this point. the aclu said the absentee ballots were not mailed out on time. there are there is not enough

time to be returned. here in georgia, ballots must be received by the end of election day, not just postmarked. so, again, the aclu said it could affect 1,200 voters. you're asking the judge to extend the deadline to return the absentee ballots until november 13th. >> all eyes on the heated senate race in pennsylvania. what are you seeing this morning? >> well, jose, it's another statistical dead heat in that senate race between john fetterman and mehmet oz. both candidates getting support from former presidents over the weekend. former president obama joining president biden here in philadelphia. former president trump rallied for the republican candidate on the person side of the state. and fanning out across the state. oz in northeast pennsylvania and fetterman in western pennsylvania. political ads everywhere. they are trying to appeal to voters on both sides of the

aisle and meet some of them in the middle to try to break up this tight race we are looking at in the final 24 hours, jose. >> you had a whatness to talk to the gubernatorial nominee in pennsylvania. josh, what did he tell you? >> reporter: a lot of pressure on the senate race and also the governor's race. they are telling me a lot of democratic voters find mastriano too extreme, too far right. voters are nervous about what it could mean for the right to an abortion in pennsylvania. we spoke to him at a campaign event in suburban counties yesterday. one of the other key issues with doug mastriano and in general is how elections are conducted here in pennsylvania. remember, this is a state where it is expected to take several days to get the vote counted.

and i asked josh shapiro about that. take a listen. >> by the way, they went 0-43. i went 43-0. the will of the people was respected. they elected republicans and democrats on that ballot. i have full faith in the republican and democratic clerks of elections in each of pennsylvania's 67 counties and the department of state. and i will of course accept the results, the will of the people. and i expect we will have a free, fair, and safe election. >> now, i heard that echoed from democratic voters who tend to lean more favorably toward mail tphpb in balloting. shapiro touting the republican moderates he has been able to bring over to his side for this campaign. one of his closing ads echoing

that same sentiment. mastriano has been quiet associating with the media, doing public events, leaning into the far right base in pennsylvania. it will be interesting to watch how it plays into the governor's race and to see if the lead over mastriano plays in to help john fetterman on the senate side. a lot to be keeping track of here in pennsylvania. >> indeed, a lot. phil, what are you looking for tomorrow night? >> reporter: we are looking to see if the democrats are able to put together the coalition of high black turnout and turning out women in particular in the suburbs. in pennsylvania, you look at philadelphia and pittsburgh for democrats. but the whole atlanta region in georgia as well. if they can mobilize their coalition, they might have a chance to offset the overall environment which seems to favor republicans. but we've also got our eyes on a pair of senate contests out west. i think it will be a long night

tomorrow night because arizona and nevada could determine the balance of power overall. >> a public clash just before the election. listen to what the president said. >> the senator called the president's comments outrageous and divorced from reality. also saying, quote, comments like these are the reason the american people are losing trust in president biden and instead believes he does not understand the need to have an all-in energy policy that would keep our nation totally energy independent and secure. it seems his positions change depending on the audience and the politics of the day. what do you make of this back and forth? >> yeah. well, it's not surprising to see senator manchin from west virginia hitting the president

over those comments. but it illustrates, i think, the difficulty for democrats at this moment. president biden is unpopular in the country. his approval rating has been below 50% for many, many months now. he therefore is a divisive figure in some of the key battle ground states where democrats are struggling on the ballot. we see some not wanting to campaign with biden. it's notable he spent yesterday not in one of these swing states but rather in new york state trying to lift up the governor there, kathy hochul, who is in a surprisingly tight election battle. and tonight we will see him in maryland. again, another blue state. and it just speaks to how polarizing this political environment is and how unpopular biden is with those independent voters and the larger electorate of the country. >> phillip rucker, gabe

gutierrez and mora barrett, thank you for being with us. joining us news is my dear friend msnbc national political correspondent steve kornacki. steve, great seeing you in person. >> great to see you. >> looking great, as always. what are you looking at when we are a day before the elections. >> we have our final nbc poll heading into election day. some interesting numbers here. the generic ballot. we see among registered voters in this poll a tie between the two parties. obviously, if you're a democrat, this is an encouraging number for you. but what's underneath the numbers may not be so encouraging for democrats. that includes this joe biden approval rating sitting at 44%. the majority 53% disapproved. compare that to where his resident presidents have been in our final poll for the midterm. what we see is pretty clear. biden, trump, obama, all in that

same range heading into their first midterm election. republicans lost the house in 2018. the bad midterm for them. democrats lost the house in 2010. bad midterm for them. and joe biden right in that same range where trump and obama were. the one exception was back in 2002. george w. bush after 9/11 was still very popular. republicans actually gained a few house seats. again, the approval rating for biden is right in line with what you would expect for a party in big trouble. so, too, is this question here of the economy. the state of the economy. voters tell us it's their top issue, economy and inflation. 81% in our polls say they are dissatisfied with where the economy is right now. we haven't seen a big number. you have to go back to the crash in 2009, 2010, around then. big head winds for the democratic party to be running into. why is it still close in our generic ballot?

this sheds light on it. i think the last time we took a poll, we found republican voters seemed more enthusiastic about turning out than democratic voters by a nine-point margin. this is the last poll n. our new poll we see that difference erased. 73% of republicans. 73% of democrats. both saying they have the highest level of interest in the midterm elections. that's the wild card here. we are talking 120, 130 million people turning out. these are numbers unheard of in midterm electrics 10, 20 years ago. if democrats can get enough reluctant voters out there who may not be too crazy about joe biden or the state of the economy but maybe they are motivated to vote against republicans, to vote against the party of donald trump, something along those lines, if democrats can erase the enthusiasm gap we saw in the last poll and you had that huge turnout, that could be a wild card that creates a layer of uncertainty despite the huge head winds they're running into. >> i know you have been looking

at the key three house ranges, rgb area. what are you seeing there? >> we will spend a lot of time i think in texas on tuesday night taking a look. three districts. the 34th. this is really interesting. mira flores, the republican who won a special election here in a big upset. she is listed as incumbent. cynthia gonzalez is also an incumbent. the back drop is joe biden won the district by 15 points. south texas, as you know, jose, historically overwhelmingly, lesson monolithically democratic. this will be fascinating to watch on election night. it would speak to the gains they made in south texas in 2020.

cementing and expanding them. the district much closer. the way the lines are drawn. the district favored biden by seven points. cuer, you talk about the politics in south texas changing, more friendly to republicans. but he may be in line with some of the shifts that are playing out right now. >> it will be fascinating to see those three districts side by side in so many ways. and really a case study of how things are change anything our border area. >> exactly. we'll be looking at those three. and miami-dade too.

>> great to see you buddy. >> you got it. >> stay with msnbc for special coverage of the races. watch a special preview of the 2022 midterm elections tonight. rachel maddow, joy reid and steve kornacki, tonight, 8:00 p.m., 5:00 pacific. up next, we'll go to michigan where abortion rights hang in the ballot. plus, nbc news exclusive. ukrainian prisoner of war who never thought she would make it home reunites after seven months with her daughter. ♪ my name is austin james. as a musician living with diabetes, fingersticks can be a real challenge. that's why i use the freestyle libre 2 system. with a painless, one-second scan, i know my glucose numbers without fingersticks. now, i'm managing my diabetes better,

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19 past the hour. michigan is one of five states where abortion is on the ballot tomorrow. the incumbent governor gretchen whitmer is in a tight race with dixon, who narrowed the double digit polls. yamiche alcindor is live in michigan. good morning. it's possible michigan could codify abortion rights statewide. what are you hearing from voters on that issue? >>. >> reporter: well, good morning, jose. the refer den up is asking

voters in the state whether they want to put abortion rights into the state constitution. gretchen whitmer, who is also running for re-election, said she will protect women's rights. she's been clear inflation is a top issue and saying she is an opponent to abortion rights. take a listen to what they told us. >> i'm a believer. we're going the make our own decisions. >> women are voting and primarily voting because of roe being overturned. i think a lot of them will vote for the democrats. >> the republican party has become more volatile and maga

stuff. they have become democratic. >> in the race for governor, attorney general and secretary of state, the gop candidates are all election deniers. tomorrow could fundamentally change the way future elections are running that state. >> certainly. what we see on the republican side here is up and down the ballot you have people running for office questioning the 2020 election and a bit of the 2022 election. i questioned whether she would accept the results of the 2022 election. here's what she told me. >> as long as the secretary of state doesn't break the law like she did last time. >> so she's been hedging saying she will accept the results of

the election if there isn't fraud like the last election. there has been no evidence of wide voter fraud. you have democrats saying democracy is on the ballot. and people like dixon on the republican side have been attacking them as people or w.h.o. dangerous for american democracy. that will be a big decision here for michigan voters as we come to one more day before the election. jose. >> yamiche, thank you so much. appreciate it. up next, races in texas and nevada and the power of latino voters. you're watching "jose diaz-balart reports" this morning from new york. ose diaz-balart reports" this morning from new york. ♪ well the sun is shining and the grass is green ♪ ♪ i'm way ahead of schedule with my trusty team ♪ ♪ there's heather on the hedges ♪ ♪ and kenny on the koi ♪ ♪ and your truck's been demolished by the peterson boy ♪ ♪ yes -- ♪ wait, what was that? timber... [ sighs heavily ] when owning a small business gets real,

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very historically democratic henry cuear has served the district the last 17 years. he is working to retain that seat. but this is a shift we began to see happening in the years after trump was elected. when donald trump first ran in 2016, he got 23% of the vote in this district. that's around the same amount as romney in 2012. by 2020, that number was up to 38%. we were beginning to give republicans a second look and beginning to vote for more of the republicans. and that is the landscape in which henry cuer is running and why in the ads we are seeing in south texas he is touting his efforts to secure the border,

leaning into his position as a moderate democrat in hopes to fend off the challenge from kathy garcia. >> meanwhile, the gop has house minority leader mccarthy, former chair mcdaniel, former house speaker newt gingrich campaigning in the region. governor abbott will be holding his election night rally there. and bill clinton is stumping for two house democrats. what is behind the strategies from both parties? the name of the game is voter turnout. in the past election in 2020. and so it is important for candidates in these two parties to get vote stories turn out in in last day to make their voices heard.

and i want to break down some of the numbers for you. back in 2018 when beto o'rourke was running in that big race against ted cruz, turnout was 40%. right now we are looking at 31% of registered voters that have turned out. we have seen that in just about every county. that is what folks are looking to do here. i will be here when former president bill clinton takes the stage. are they going to be talking about the issues we see animating a lot of national polls around access to abortion and protection of democracy or are we going to see them leaning more into the economy, into issues at the border and those types of things in order to drive turnout in this region. >> guad, you're in reno in a dead heat. what are you hearing from voters? >> reporter: jose, in reno, and

the rest of 1/2, over the last few months voters are upset because of the economy, inflation, the cost of housing which has risen tremendously in nevada. you can't separate voters into three areas. park county. that's where las vegas is. a lot of voters support the democrats there. cortez masto has been doing a lot of campaigning. and rural nevada. the challenger has been going to a lot of places to gain republican support. finally, the county where we are located now where reno is. this is where you have nonpartisans. what makes this place unique, it could be the county that decides the election. it's a swing county. this is where people, jose, have told us they don't want to vote for republicans or democrats. they want to vote for a candidate that stands for what's important to them. so before they look at political parties they look at candidates.

one-third of the voters here have registered as nonpartisan. we will have to wait and see what matters most. >> it's very hard to get some type of assistance. >> do you feel any other candidate represents you? >> to be honest, no. i feel like i'm a democrat. and i feel like the republicans are just, man, they're out to get you. the fact that they want to vote against the abortion, same-sex marriage. >> democrats have been completely ignoring what people care about. and now they are kind of coming around a little bit. it may be too late. i can never trust them again.

they made this mess, and i'm having to live with it. >> when you talk to republicans or democrats, you see a difference in who they blame for the issues they face. >> guad venegas and priscilla thompson, thank you so much for being with us. they will play a huge role in who will be controlling congress. according to the pew research center, an estimated 34.5 million latinos are eligible to vote this year. with latinos to account for 15% of all eligible voters in this election. in 2020, 50% were eligible to vote. 66% of latinos in new mexico eligible to cast a ballot. new mexico, california, and texas have the highest percentage of overall eligible

voters who are latino. new mexico having the largest share of voters at 44%. with us now to talk more about this is hector sanchez, executive director and ceo of the latino civic engagement organization. hector, good to see you. a dear friend of mine, i should say. what do these figures tell you about the importance of latino voters in the u.s.? >> thank you for the invitation. what i can tell you is that this is about an opportunity, the present and the future of our democracy. and the latino vote is at the center for democracy, not only protecting and defending our democracy but also we're gaining more political power every single day.

one number is how young we are. one-third are 18 to 29, way more than the national average. almost 30% of the latino community are 18 years old. that reflects the opportunities and why we are open. more parties need to do their work. 50% of voters have not been contacted to get out here and vote. we need to invest. we need to take the latino vote seriously. and that needs to be reflected in policy priorities we have. >> why is it, do you think? and you, more than anybody else who you work on a daily basis to

help our community become more involved in the process, why is it that almost 50% of the latino registered voters say they haven't been reached by any political party? how is that possible? >> it's a big problem. we have seen the number is higher for democrats and lower for rents. they were the ones that stabled the economy. we were on the front lines. we had the highest numbers of people infected and dying by covid. problems are inflation, gun control, access to reproductive rights and abortion. environmental issues.

and obviously immigration is also important for us. we need to see both coming to the table. on the one hand, the republicans embraced the maga amigos, the trump friends. on the other hand, we have seen abandonment on the top priority from the democrats. but there is more to do so. we're here. we're doing the work every day. we need to see more from both parties. >> pleasure to see you, my friend. i thank you for being on. and i want to continue our conversation going forward. thank you. well, new reporting suggests russia is yet again trying to interfere in our elections. this time it's more about than just bringing distrust about the elections. we'll talk about that next. you're watching "jose diaz-balart reports". diaz-balart reports" and i'm still working. in the kind of work that i do, you are surrounded by people who are all younger than you. i had to get help somewhere along the line

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researchers uncovered a new russian operation to try to influence the elections. an account linked to russia's interference in 2016 recently resurfaced. the goal is to stoke anger among conservative voters and undermine from uft in the american electric toral system. this time it appears intended to undermine the biden administration's assistance to ukraine. clint, what do you make of the latest information? >> there are a couple of things. i have seen the website they're referring to in the account. i'm not particularly worried across the board in this election cycle. the disinformation and misinformation you see out on social media is american made across the board. the other thing i would say is

what we do see is an increasing synergy between russian media, u.s. media in certain respects. tucker carlson's show is re-aired inside russia at this point. there's a segment that talks about ukraine policy that is against the biden administration. it reairs from u.s. media. even to this day you will see russian standard media, state-sponsored media doing interviews in new york city or around the country. i would note we are in a particularly perilous time because we have a shifting social media system going on right now, and that is twitter. in terms of infiltrating the u.s. audience, russia is overwhelmingly infiltrinfiltrat. what you are seeing isn't about winning an election in the midterms but getting ready for 2024 in the next presidential run. >> and the whole general aspect of stabilization, as much as

they can. other countries have been conducting similar interference in the u.s. china, venezuela, cuba, all reportedly running operations in the u.s. there are so many countries all over the world who would be thrilled to see american democracy undermined. what have you learned about that? >> yeah. in 2016 i would have been here talking about russia. russia is one in 2022 or 2024. you will see widespread misinformation, prop gone dan misinformation. china did something they have not tried to do before. play a certain outcome. before, just broad based propaganda, social media posts. this time they tried to do what russia has done in the past. get involved in one specific campaign, trying to infiltrate different odd kwrebs questions.

i'm lining up guys at key boards. we will create a lot of confusion in the united states. >> tv personalities working for russian tv the past decades. and so much. it's interesting to talk about this. clint, thank you very much for being with us this morning. up next, new reporting on a top u.s. official and top aides to putin. you're watching "jose diaz-balart reports". e diaz-balart reports" when moderate to severe ulcerative colitis persists... put it in check with rinvoq, a once-daily pill. when uc got unpredictable,... i got rapid symptom relief with rinvoq. check. when uc held me back... i got lasting, steroid-free remission with rinvoq. check. and when uc got the upper hand... rinvoq helped visibly repair the colon lining. check. rapid symptom relief.

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out heat and power to millions of ukrainians as winter approaches. but there are some signs of progress. the first all-female prisoner exchange took place two weeks ago. two of the women speaking exclusively to nbc news. molly hunter has more from kyiv. molly. >> reporter: jose, good morning. good to be with you. the temperatures here are getting colder, and the russian military continues to attack against critical infrastructure. according to the ukrainian government, 40% of ukraine's electricity infrastructure has been damaged in recent attacks. and cities across the country, including here in kyiv, are dealing with attacks. and cities across the country including right here in kyiv are dealing with rolling blackouts. we're seeing reports in kherson that that city is completely without electricity today. >> unannounced visit from jake sul vin over the weekend, meeting with president zelenskyy and top ukrainian officials to underscore america's steadfast

support. zelenskyy says at least 4.5 million customers across the country are without power, most of them here in the capital. this comes as kremlin officials have de-escalated their rhetoric about using nuclear weapons. but kherson is still on high alert. this morning, reports that power is completely out as the key battle for that strategic city looms. near kherson in southern ukraine, an extraordinary scene. the first all-female prisoner exchange two weeks ago. some of the women speaking exclusively to us. 108 ukrainian women, most of them soldiers, returning home. ♪♪ >> reporter: including this 27-year-old and this 47-year-old. both combat medics captured in

mariupol. just three days into the war, she called her two daughters to say good-bye. in mid-april, she had a choice, surrender or fight her way out. she was captured april 12th by russian soldiers and for seven months shuttled from prison to prison. the ukrainian government has said ukrainian p.o.w.s have been tortured. the women say they're under orders not to speak in specifics. >> i know you can't speak about your own treatment. did you hear of other prisoners being sexually assaulted, other prisoners being tortured? >> reporter: over the weekend, she with her younger daughter was granted leave to reunite with her oldest daughter. 21-year-old left ukraine in april not knowing if her mother

was still alive. jose, that hug comes more than eight months after she called her daughters on february 27th from mariupol, the third day of the war, to say a final good-bye. she's extraordinarily brave. we asked both her and alina if they would go back to the front line when they finished their rehab, without hesitation, both said yes. >> amazing. we're going to go live to florida where former president trump tested out a new nickname for ron desantis. you're watching "jose diaz-balart reports." n desantis you're watching "jose diaz-balart reports. althcare and get help protecting yourself from the out-of-pocket costs medicare doesn't pay. because the time to prepare is before you go on medicare. don't wait. get started today.

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56 past the hour. former president trump campaigned in miami with senator marco rubio over the weekend. trump may soon announce plans to run for president again in 2024. >> we're winning big, big, big in the republican party for the nomination like nobody's ever seen before. there it is. trump at 71. ron at 10%. >> joining us now from florida is ali vitali. great seeing you.

governor desantis will be holding a rally where you are later today. what's the latest in that state? >> jose, ron desantis on his own path for re-election. polls showing him with a consistent lead over charles crist. while donald trump was in pennsylvania over the weekend, he seemed to give ron desantis a nickname, though he did not reiterate that here when he was campaigning for senator marco rubio. desantis absent from that event. it reminded voters of the collision course that these two men seem to be on. what happens if you have to choose between donald trump and ron desantis? listen to what some of them told me. >> i don't know. that's going to be a good question. it will be up to the american people to decide. >> you're going to be one of those deciders, though, does that put you in a weird spot? >> it's going to be tough. it really is. i'll be very honest with you. we love trump.

and we love ron desantis. personally, i'm hoping that we get four more years of donald trump and eight years of desantis. >> reporter: so you see there, jose, some voters not -- hoping that they won't have to make that decision come 2024. most republican operatives think that is exactly the collision course that voters are on within the republican party. but the other thing that we're interested in seeing here in florida come election day is just how red this state turns out to be. republicans feel like they have made inroads some so that miami-dade county which you know is typically a very blue stronghold, could trend red this election cycle. the result of a lot of investment in those communities there, especially hispanic communities for the republican party, jose. >> ali vitali in florida, in south florida. the wind is just lovely to see there. it's good to see you. >> reporter: it's kicking. >> it is. good to see you. not only is tomorrow election day, there will also be

a total lunar eclipse and you might want to get a look at it. it will be the last such eclipse until 2025. it happens when the moon, earth and the son are aligned and the moon passes into earth's shadow. total lunar eclipses are known as blood moons because of the red coloring caused by the earth's atmosphere. it will last from just after 5:00 a.m. to almost 7:00 a.m. eastern. if you get a chance to see it, see it because it won't happen until 2025. that wraps up the hour for me. i'm jose diaz-balart reporting from new york. thank you for the privilege of your time. yasmin vossoughian picks up with more news right now. good morning, everybody. we're here. we have made it. one day