flights to the moon are not expected to happen for a few more years. tomorrow's launch comes after several delays due to technical issues and two hurricanes. that wraps up the hour for me. i am josé diaz-balart. you can reach me on twitter and instagram @jdbalart. thank you for the privilege of your time. hey, hey, everybody. good tuesday morning to you. i am yasmin vossoughian live for you at msnbc headquarters here in new york city. we may be staring down a wild day in politics. the former president is set to make a, quote, special

announcement, widely believed to be another run for president, but a growing number of republican leaders appear to be dreading it, especially after the party's lackluster midterms. and demonstrated by katie hobbs coming from behind and beating kari lake. and over to washington, control of the house is resting on a nice edge, with republicans just three seats away from the slimmest of slim majorities in the lower chamber, and it's igniting an explosive power struggle in the republican ranks, including a stark warning to republican leader, kevin mccarthy, whose long-time goal of becoming speaker of the house may be in jeopardy. >> i think that this election

was the funeral for the republican party as we know it. the republican party, as we have known it, is dead, and voters have made that clear. >> all right. with that, let's get into it, and starting us off, garrett haake, near mar-a-lago, and an msnbc political analyst along with charlie sikes. thank you for joining us. garrett, let me start with you. take us there if you will, and the former president has been posting a lot on social, and talk me through what he's saying and how the party is preparing for it? >> reporter: well, the former president has been telegraphing this announcement since he became the former president, and he made no secret of his desire to return to the white house, and he made a historically early

challenge to the current president by announcing his plans to run, and at least that's the plan with all things donald trump, you have to caveat that nothing is final until it comes out of his mouth. his advisers have indicated they will give what they say is a buttoned up more traditional announcement trying to evoke the feeling of his 2016 run. if his social media posts have been any indication, he intends to go about trying to clobber his republican perceived rivals for the nomination, everybody from florida governor, ron desantis, who he already targeted on the stump and on social media to virginia governor, glenn youngkin. and what he does still remains everybody's guess. he doesn't have a traditional campaign structure around him, and he is yet to hire staff, and there's no indication he will do the traditional tours to early states you might see after a normal presidential

announcement, but then, for all of us who covered trump as a candidate and president, traditional campaigning was never his style. >> charlie, let's talk about the preparation for all of this, if we can, right? you have a lot of republicans speaking out after the midterms wanting to move on from the former president, and the massachusetts governor, and even his former vice president. let's take a listen to that and then we will talk on the other side. >> given all that you witnessed in the capitol on that day, this is a pretty straightforward question, a yes or a no. do you believe donald trump should ever be president again? >> david, i think that's up to the american people. but i think we'll have better choices in the future. >> so you have got that, charlie, and you even got, as i played before we came to the panel, the fist pumping josh hawley walking into the capitol

on january 6th saying the republican party is now over, and it's the end of the republican party, right? are we being naive in talking about a move on from former president trump considering how many times he has been able to claw his way back? >> donald trump thinks so and that's the point of his announcement tonight, saying you may be done with me but i am not done with you. he needs desperately to change the narrative that he's a loser back to the winner and he needs to reassert his control. what he will signal is guys, it's either me or i will burn the house down. i think that's what he made clear with his attacks over the weekend with ron desantis and his racist attack on -- and by the way, a juvenile attack on glenn youngkin, you know, i will not be ignored by the gop and i will pull the house down around me. think of the moment the republican party is in right now, having suffered all of

these defeats, and then donald trump waking up in mar-a-lago to see one of the nation's leading election denialists, kari lake, defeated, and yet he wants to run on election denial. so you know, the republican party has had many chances to take off-ramps, and they did not break with him after the muslim ban or after the insurrection, and so the question is, will losing a mid-term election be enough? until that happens, i guess i am skeptical. >> you're skeptical. i was going to follow-up with what is the answer, is this time going to be different, but seems like you don't necessarily know? >> not at this point. look, all of these folks have had many opportunities to distance themselves from this president. what they are realizing is we can't win elections with him and the kinds of issues he will

hoist on us, and he will -- >> i will play sound a little bit later on about how possibly the race -- or base, i should say, will be looking at other candidates in the future, open to other candidates in the future. let's play sound we heard from liz cheney earlier today at the washington post global women's summit, and then we'll talk. >> this is certainly not the rollout, i am sure, donald trump wanted for his announcement tonight, but, you know, it's also not the first time he has been totally detached from reality. i feel confident he will never be president again. >> it certainly seems as if the former president is under threat, being the things he said about ron desantis and youngkin as well, and then the announcement tonight, and is

there any reason to think, ashley, this announcement can be anything other than i am running for president in 2024? >> again, as garrett said at the beginning, with trump the usual caveat applies. until he has literally said or done something, and even not always then, do we know that he is saying or doing it, but, no, all signs point to he is announcing he's running for president in 2024. this is something he even toyed with doing before the midterms and he was hoping to capture what he and many republicans incorrectly believed would be a red wave, and his aides convinced him to wait and tried to convince him again until after the georgia runoff. it's not a traditional campaign, but he does -- he has hired the skeletal staff, and he has not hired a campaign manager, and he

has three long-time trump veterans, and he trusts and he has a theory of what he wants this to look like, like in 2016 instead of 2020, and trump famously goes off script. written as of now, he plans to present a binary choice between him and the current president. >> as we look at what happened in the mid-term elections, it was an obvious rebuke of election denialers, and we will go to arizona and talk about kari lake's defeat, a major election denier in and of herself, and is there a part of trump's camp that we need to move away from, and it's no

longer resonating with the american people, and even within the republican party? >> absolutely. there are two camps in trump world. this always has been the case, and this was the case after the election and in the run-up to january 6th, and trump loyalists who are responsible long-time republican operatives and strategists want him to move away from the 2020 election, not simply because it's not true, and it's echoing a dangerous and falseless claim, but because it's not an effective winning strategy, and if there's one thing trump cares about over all else, it's winning. and there are people in the orbit that are willing to indulge in trump's instincts, and these are people who do want to see him move away from that. that said, will he listen to them? that has always been the challenge. >> steve patterson, coming to you now in arizona after the

announcement last night. take us there, if you will, one of the biggest election deniers, and the question is what could she do next and will that impact the president's announcement tonight? >> reporter: the vibe here is the same as everywhere else, and the former president is running on a platform that was rejected, and it's more pronounced here, because this was essentially ground zero for election denialism, and it was top to bottom for senator and now for governor, and especially in kari lake, the model trumpian, and she ran on a platform of stop the steal, and that platform was obviously rejected by voters. but i think the next thing to

say is that if you think that ideology ends when a race is called, you have not been paying attention, have you? in many ways it kicks in at this point, and we are seeing the hallmarks all over this thing, and not only will she never concede this race, and she may never accept the results of this election. in fact, she tweeted about 90 minutes after nbc news called the race for hobbs, and she said arizonans know bs when they see it. will this metastasize into a legal battle? we're not sure. katie hobbs, the polar opposite of kari lake in every way. and she tweeted, so proud to be your next governor. we know the president has been in touch with her and she promises to bring normality back to the state, some sensibility to defend the women's right to choose, and defend democracy

itself, which was certainly on the ballot in this state. i think it's also to say, and i will say it this morning and i will say it again all day, there's 60,000 votes, and this race came to about a .8 margin, and if it goes to .5, an automatic recount is still possible. much more to watch here in arizona, but so far that ideology was defeated, struck down. >> you mentioned how trump was going to drive down how he has his base and they will take them with him if the gop rejects him as a candidate. i want to read a quote from the "new york times," will there be a feasible path for the youngkins -- >> i don't think it's a wise decision, especially with the way he was attacked and the way he is still attacked. it would be a major risk to the republican party. but then he added this, don't get me wrong, i would definitely

support him if he ran. what do you make of this? this is not necessarily even something we heard a few years ago. a slight opening. >> it's a slight opening, but it does sound like a lot of things we have heard over the last few years, where people are willing to say in private, boy, i wish we could move on and i don't agree with all this but i won't say anything publicly. that was the pattern in 2016. the real question is whether or not somebody like a ron desantis has so much base cred in maga world that he can change the dynamic. what is happening with the republican party is not about the courage, but it's hey, we could lose elections with this guy and maybe that's the only thing that will turn the republican party around. >> and it seemed as if that's what chris christie is trying to

make, donald trump is no longer a winner. kevin mccarthy wanted the speaker's gavel for a very long time, but if republicans win house control, does he have the votes? plus, the trump organization on trial. we will tell you about the key witness expected to take the stand this afternoon. third time is the charm, right? will the lunar rocket finally launch just hours from now. we'll be right back. in-wash sces keep your laundry smelling fresh waaaay longer than detergent alone. if you want laundry to smell fresh for weeks, make sure you have downy unstopables in-wash scent boosters.

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welcome back, everybody. this morning a newly elected members in congress, even with control of the house undecided. you see them posing for their new class photo on the steps of the capitol ahead of orientation. at this hour, 14 house races

remaining uncalled. republicans just three seats away from the 218 they need to take control of the house. still this afternoon, kevin mccarthy, hoping to start the path of becoming the speaker, and that path, some of his colleagues warning he doesn't have the votes to win. and before we talk about leadership in the house, let's first get to the possibility of who is actually going to control the house, kornacki, and that's where you come in on day who knows what at this point. where are we? >> yeah, a week after election day, republicans are on the cusp of hitting that magic number. right now there are 215. there will be at least 215 republican seats in the new house, and at least 207, and you

have 13 uncalled races, and this was really starting to look shaky for them over the weekend in terms of getting to 218, as the numbers have started to come in from california. they have been favorable to republicans, and republicans need to win three from the list here. michelle steel, a republican, and her lead grew north of 13,000 votes here. still more to come. and i think republicans are doing very good in the 45th district, and if they get that, 216. and then the 27th district, mike garcia, and this is the rematch of the second closest house race in the country, and the democrat all but conceded this race on twitter the other day, and we have not called it.

if that holds, 217 for the republicans. and then the third district, the republican with the lead of 10,000 votes, and that could be 218. and then the 41st district, 80% of the vote is in, and calvert got a boost yesterday and he's leading. you can see what i just went through, and there are a couple others as well, a clear path for republicans to get to 218. and decreasing in the number of votes left to come for the democrats. a path to 218 is there, and they would like it to be 220, or 221, but the democrats would have to pull a rabbit out of a hat to get to 218. the republicans, could they get to 220, 221 and this will give

them a small majority. >> a couple follow-ups i have. seems like you predicted this, and you said it was going to come down to california. you knew then it was going to come down to california. why is california taking so long when it comes to vote counting? when are we going to have a real call on who is in control of the house? >> yeah, i mean, we always knew if it was going to be close, if it was going to be a matter of a couple seats, there would be a dozen or so in california that would be in play, and california is a very slow vote-counting state. this is the year everybody is noticing it, i think, because all eyes are on california. it was this way in 2020, and it was this way in 2018. it always takes them a very long time to get these votes counted out here. we are expecting today in a number of the districts i was just taking you through, sometime today we are expecting vote updates, and it could be

clarifying in many of those districts. not all of the vote is going to be in today in any of the districts, and the process of the vote counting will continue in california into next week and maybe even longer, and we are getting a notion, and i think we have a clearer sense of where these seats will land when you get the vote updates today. unless something -- this is a bit like if you were watching, in arizona we expected it to break a certain way, and if it broke that way, that would be it for hobbs and she would win. you are kind of looking at a version of that in the california seats, where if the trends continue the republicans are on course to get to 218 through the california seats i was just taking you through. >> kornacki, i will let you go and get back to your office. appreciate it. >> thanks. talk to us, if you will,

ali, if republicans could win control of the house, where are we on the question of leadership? is there any viable alternative to mccarthy? >> so i am glad you used the word "viable" there, yasmin, and there's technically a challenger to mccarney, and it's andy biggs, and members of the caucus have been saying over the last week or so they anticipate there being a challenge, and they put a name on the line there, but the whole point of andy biggs run something not necessarily to win this vote that is happening today, it's more just to prove the fact that kevin mccarthy himself doesn't have the magic number of 218. i mind what today's leadership elections are versus january. january is what matters for mccarthy, but today's leadership elections that start later this afternoon will tell us a lot about the amount of politicking and concession making he will have to do with various parts of

his caucus to get to the 218 number several weeks from now, and you can listen to a slice of what we have been hearing in the halls here. check it out. >> i stand here right now and mccarthy does not have 218 votes to become speaker, and i don't think he has 200. >> andy biggs would be an outstanding speaker, and he would be among my top two or three choices. >> if matt gaetz is right there, the first person we saw talking about, and if mccarthy doesn't crack 200 votes today in the conference meeting, that's the signal of a big problem. at the same time, if he's above that it's clear that he shored up enough of his caucus that he could make a real run of this. look, nothing is for certain. the house flipping was supposed to be the easy part for kevin mccarthy and his party, and now a week from election day, and that still has not been called. they are operating as if they

are taking the house, and democrats keeping hope alive, and on the republican side of this, we will have a clearer picture, in just a few hours, of a, where mccarthy stands, and b, where the rest of the leadership structure plays out. >> what you are seeing and what we are seeing as well, much of the pushback is coming from the right wing of the republican party, right? >> yeah. >> what are the concessions, it seems, you are hearing they are wanting mccarthy to make it? >> there are concessions loosely on the table right now. they can do everything from trying to make it easier to oust a speaker, and that would be a huge concession from the potential speaker of the house, if it's kevin mccarthy to the house freedom caucus. there's also things about the way chairmanships are elected and allotted, and who controls that process. basically things that would strip away power from the speaker and put it in the hands of members of the conference, and that's clearly something they can push for.

really, i think the thing to remember here, steve makes the point that the majority could be 220 and 222, and kevin mccarthy needs those seats to tip in his favor in the margin, and every house member gets to be a joe manchin, a king maker in their own right, and they are playing with numbers even smaller than nancy pelosi has been operating in, and she's somebody who regularly had to balance her caucus. she has been able to lose a handful of votes, maybe half a dozen, on some of the key votes in the last two years. mccarthy will be in a tighter position, most likely, and we are seeing it play out here first and foremost where if he will be able to be the leader of the conference or not. >> thank you. in a couple hours, the man accused of the brutal assault on

nancy pelosi's husband, paul. david depape is charged with one count of assault of an immediate family of a member of the u.s. official, and he already plead not guilty to a series 6 state charges. coming up next, the governor who just won re-election, and now has to testify about potential efforts to overturn his state's 2020 results. the latest from a courthouse in georgia. plus, the star witness that could potentially take the stand hours from now against the trump organization in new york. what he could reveal about the company's business dealings. we'll be right back. ur business, you can make it even smarter. now ports can know where every piece of cargo is. and where it's going. (dock worker) right on time. (vo) robots can predict breakdowns and order their own replacement parts. (foreman) nice work. (vo) and retailers can get ahead of the fashion trend of the day with a new line tomorrow. with a verizon private 5g network, you can get more agility and security.

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but when we realized she was battling sensitive skin, we switched to tide hygenic clean free. it's gentle on her skin and out-cleans our old free detergent. tide hygenic clean free. hypoallergenic and safe for sensitive skin. welcome back. right now georgia's newly re-elected governor is behind closed doors in court testifying before a grand jury exploring the attempt to overturn the election results. a judge ordered his testimony back in august. joining me now from outside the courthouse in georgia, is nbc

correspondent, blayne alexander. >> reporter: we know he got there around 9:00 a.m., and went in an underground entrance and away from camera view, and that's all we know. of course, this is a grand jury proceeding, and those are secret by nature. what we do know is what the d.a. wanted to question him about, and it's a long list that relates to the conversations kemp had with trump about the 2020 results in georgia. that's the focus of the investigation. what the d.a. wants to know from the governor, what types of conversations did he have with members of the former president and his campaign team? was he pressured on overturn the elections and what did that look like? we know what happened on the

other side of the conversations. we watched a very public rift between the former president and governor kemp. we saw the repeated attacks trump launched at him, and what the d.a. wants to know what do those conversations look like. and it's important to note, especially in the context of the news today, the fact that the former president is expected to announce his third run for the white house, that even with all of that going on, there's a robust investigation happening down in the county. and the d.a. is aggressive in her investigation, and she's made it clear that even though she hopes to wrap up the investigation by the end of the year, she's made it clear that she's not ruling out a subpoena of the former president himself, and this investigation still has some way to go. >> blayne, quickly, are we expecting this to be a one and done or a multiple day testimony? >> reporter: typically what we have seen from people that have

come in, they have been there a number of hours and they left and they have gotten what they needed from the people they already spoke to. and it's important to note, all of this happening behind closed doors, and we know about the testimony in watching them walk through the front door, which was the case of rudy giuliani, and yes, they have been lengthy testimonies, but it has been a one day thing. >> thank you. the long-time cfo of the trump organization is set to testify today in the high stakes criminal trial against the company here in new york. weisselberg is considered the star witness. he is connected to a tax fraud scheme, and donald trump was not indicted, and he agreed to testify after he plead guilty to 15 charges back in august. and tom winters is outside the

courthouse with the latest. good to talk to you. exactly when do we expect to see weisselberg here, and what could he reveal in the former president's actions? >> reporter: i think maybe we will address the last question first. probably not very much as it pertained to former president trump. as part of his guilty plea, he agreed only to testify against the trump organization and to testify at this particular trial, which is why we do expect him this afternoon, perhaps as soon as after lunchtime, so early afternoon here, and it's possible his testimony could be pushed to thursday. there's no court or trial, i should say, in session on wednesdays. when you think about what weisselberg could testify to, i think what the prosecution and defense attorneys for the trump association really gave us a preview of how they would approach this in the opening statements. prosecutors say this guy had his

hands on the controls of the trump organization finances, so he can directly testify that the trump organization did not do the right thing here in accounting for the benefits that weisselberg and his family and others were able to obtain through the course of their employment for the trump organization, and they will be able to cross examine him, saying he's somebody in advanced age and didn't want to go to prison and so took the guilty plea in order to get rid of his legal problems effectively, and only served up to 100 days in jail and probably less than that. he's under duress. it was his own personal decision, and as a matter of fact, one of the attorneys said it was his personal greed to not pay taxes on the luxury gifts, the car, and education for his grandkids. it was not the trump organization that said break the law here. i think that's going to be the focus here. trump organization saying this is the actions of one man, and

the prosecutors saying, one man, he was the cfo. >> we know you will tap us on the virtual shoulder with any updates throughout the day. thank you, sir. coming up next, anxiety at amazon as workers brace for thousands of potential layoffs. what is going on with the jobs being cut in big tech. and then details on a renewed air assault by russia, even as the russian military loses control of key regions. we'll be right back.

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struck and one reported casualty. elsewhere the strikes targeted energy facilities, knocking out 80% of power in the city of lviv according to the mayor there. this new barrage from russia, the battlefield there, their losses are mounting. and ukrainians were celebrating in the streets where they retook some territory. and then biden calls arizona's governor, katie hobbs, congratulating her. after several meetings on the world economy, white house officials say the president skipped a g20 dinner to attend to other matters. and peter is traveling with the president and joins me now. what was the president's agenda today, and why did he miss the dinner? >> reporter: that's a good question. let's start with his agenda earlier today. the president was focused on

trying to bring together the g20 world leaders, and their criticism and condemnation of russia, and we're approaching nine months into the war and there are divisions among the leaders here, and china and india have been less reluctant -- more reluctant, excuse me, and they are hoping there will be a strong statement, a message sent to vladimir putin from the world community before his departure, but in terms of his own schedule today, the president was with the world leaders, supposed to go with what they describe as a gala dinner, very formal and hosted by the indonesian president, and the president returned to his hotel, and we are told by the white house secretary, karine jean-pierre,

saying he did not have covid. we know that he attended to other matters, a call he made to the former secretary of state, soon to be the governor, katie hobbs. and he spoke to janet yellen on the top issue of inflation and gas prices. here's part of our exchange. what assurances can you give americans that gas prices won't go back up? >> it's our objective to make sure that the world is adequately supplied with oil so crude prices don't jump and gas prices don't rise, so that is a key objective. a second key objective is to try and deprive putin of the resources that he's earning from oil that enabled him to continue

this war. >> reporter: that's just part of our conversation with the treasury secretary, janet yellen today, on the issue that affects more americans than any other, the topic of inflation. yellen said she thinks it will be a couple more years before inflation comes down to 2% where the u.s. would like it, and there were good signs in the last couple of weeks, with the year over year average dropping below 8%, and it still has a long way to go. >> that's a great transition to what we are talking about next, which is how are companies dealing with inflation and the possibility of a recession in the next few months to come. peter from bali -- hope you are enjoying it. >> we got a drink with an umbrella waiting, i am sure, at some point. >> at one point. thanks, peter. have two for me, if you will. amazon reportedly about to

let go of thousands of employees as soon as this week. nbc's stephanie gosk is joining me in the studio. on what peter was talking about, inflation affecting americans here, and now we are looking at potential layoffs and it's happening in big tech? >> yeah, inflation tells just part of what the amazon story is now, and the industry taking big hits, and amazon the next company after meta and twitter laying people off. all of this happening right up to the holidays. >> this morning, more holiday woes for the tech industry. "the new york times" reporting amazon will layoff 3% of its workforce, the biggest layoff in the department's history. >> so that was actually the

"today" show producer, and that was -- >> it happens. it happens. we are in the midst of election coverage. >> yeah, things get tricky. i will pick up from there. what we were saying is that the situation with amazon is two-fold, right? you have a decade of the tech companies surging and there's a connection going on and that's why you are seeing some of the layoffs. with amazon, remember, during the pandemic, that's all people were doing were ordering off amazon, and now the pandemic breaks and people are changing their habits and they are actually going to stores and then you have inflation. and people are just simply buying less. on top of all this, and this is interesting, you have jeff bezos with his $124 billion fortune has come out to say he will give the vast majority of that to charity, and you have to wonder if people losing their jobs at amazon, how they are feeling

about that? >> when we talk about what is happening with the economy, we often forget about peoples' habits, and you bring up post pandemic, and this is an unprecedented time of what is happening and what is happening with amazon is part of that trend, which is that we were locked inside for so long, and people were forced to buy amazon, and now people continue to spend money and spend it in stores. >> yeah, they made different decisions when it came to their business during that period of time. they made investments, including the division that makes alexa, and they are cutting back on some of margins for those devices aren't very good. so they're cutting back there as well. but really, you are also just talking about the tech industry almost exclusively, because you don't have these same layoffs across the board in the economy. >> can't help but wonder if that's what's coming next. >> let's hope not. >> stephanie gosk, thank you.

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preparing for takeoff. after several stops and starts, nasa is hoping to launch the first test flight of the artimus tomorrow morning. it's the first step in nasa's plan to get astronauts back to the moon after 50 years. lindsey riser is live for us. over the last couple of days, i've been asking folks, especially steve kornacki, is today the day? i'm going to ask you the same question. is tomorrow morning the day? is it finally going to happen? >> reporter: if you ask nasa, they say, it's a go until it's not anymore. but the weather conditions are favorable. 90% favorability right now. the energy feels different. i was here a month ago. this feels different. people are so excited. they traveled here.

this is the most powerful rocket nasa has built. it has taken several setbacks to get here. we have had several launch attempts. the first scrubbed because of a faulty temperature sensor. then a hydrogen leak. then two hurricanes. nasa rolled back the vehicle into the vehicle assembly building for hurricane ian. that was a setback. hurricane nicole, most recently, nasa made the calculation not to roll back artemis after had it been rolled back on the launch pad. by the time the forecast took a turn for the worse, it was better to leave it there. nasa has analyzed it. they have said they are a go for launch. the next big decision is 2:30 p.m. today.

they will start the tanking process. wanted to tell you quickly, a little about the trajectory. orion will go close to the moon, go into distant retrograde. that's the farthest any vehicle for humans has traveled. the return back to earth is a test for the heat shields. the goal, to get man to the moon to build a lunar base camp, to go to mars. even though this is unmanned, it's a fact finding mission. science experiments will did he deployed as well. back out here on the launch pad, we are waiting for the two-hour launch window that starts at 1:04 a.m. eastern time. msnbc will cover that live. we are four miles away. i cannot wait to feel the power of that boom. >> let's hope that sticks. everything is in their corner this time around. we see that launch. we will watch alongside you.

thank you so much. in the early hours of tomorrow. that does it for me with this busy hour. i will be back tomorrow 11:00 a.m. eastern. catch me as well on weekends at 2:00 p.m. eastern right here on msnbc. "andrea mitchell reports" starts next. mitchell reports" starts next t your business, you can make it even smarter. now ports can know where every piece of cargo is. and where it's going. (dock worker) right on time. (vo) robots can predict breakdowns and order their own replacement parts. (foreman) nice work. (vo) and retailers can get ahead of the fashion trend of the day with a new line tomorrow. with a verizon private 5g network, you can get more agility and security. giving you more control of your business. we call this enterprise intelligence. from the network america relies on.

right now on "andrea mitchell reports," republicans on the cusp of taking the house, with just a few seats left to call. democrats will likely lose the gavel, but by