>> on sunday, msnbc film presents the final episode o when truth is not truth, the immediately on a story the documentary series fro time studios, this week rudy doubles down on his allegiance to donald trump, challenging the 2020 election results an stoking the crowd at the capitol on january 6th watch the final episode of whe truth is not true, the rud giuliani story, sunday at 10 p eastern on msnbc also streaming on peacock. you can also catch our previou episode right now on peacock and airing tonight right after this show on msnbc coming up on the second hour o eamonn - president biden has released his budget proposal and he i

making republicans show that they have no plan in response. plus, alarming suggestions tha the administration might b taking a right turn on immigration. and why are republicans so afraid to blame trump for th events of january 6th? i am julián castro, let's ge started. spring is right around the corner and joe biden i breaking out his gordon shares the president formally unveile his new budget proposal this week, aiming to cut the federa deficit by projected three trillion dollars over the next decade in part through a new 25% ta on billionaires. other provisions of the plan the corporate tax rate would increase from 21% to 28% there is an increase in capita gains taxes along with it, and to the interest loophole tax hikes and gas companies an

acre tailing of covid relate spending now, to be clear, no one in th white house is saying that republican controlled houses will actually adopt presiden biden's budget and its current form, there will be plenty o wrangling and negotiation in the weeks to come. so why doesn't matter? the budget proposal is a sig of the presidents priorities who he wants to help, and what he wants to accomplish with th rest of his term in effect, it is an openin catch for his reelection bid and the challenge to house republicans to appear to hav no plan of their own speaker kevin mccarthy has promise to balance the budge in the next decade, but here i his problem, he has also promised not to raise taxes, and not to cut social security medicare, or defense spending. effectively, there is a little of that he can do. the math just doesn't add up so it seems that republicans

are stuck between a rock and a hard place joining me now is democratic congressman, sean casten o illinois he is the co-chair of th congressional sustainabl investment caucus. congressman, thank you for joining me as i mentioned, you are th co-chair of the congressiona sustainable investment caucus. and your numbers guy so what do you make of biden's budget proposal, what are th priorities that he is signalin to voters with this budget proposal >> i think that yo characterized it very well thank you for having me here it is a very responsible budge and it addresses the thing that everybody in washington says that we are very concerne about, the solving of medicare and social security making sur that nobody who is earning les than $4,000 has an increase in their taxes. you know, doubling down we are doing climate change, cuttin child poverty by extending the child tax credits. none of us are under any illusions that the republica

leadership is going to bring this up. you, know i think all of us wh have been present on the floor mccarthy knows that he didn' get his job because of his leadership skills, to put it mildly and so now we are sitting here trying to figure out, can th house republican leadershi even managed to avert it and default on our debt? and restore the debt ceiling much less get a budget done? i think we would all love to b surprised, but seeing the, essentially the ransom lis from the freedom caucus that came out, i guess yesterday, i is not clear that mccarthy has the ability to steer this team he can do it with democrats, h could probably do it with some folk, reasonable republicans a well, but i think that expectations have been low that he will be able to do that. >> obviously we know thi budget proposal is in effect a wish list, as you acknowledge, gop lawmakers are never goin

to let it pass in its curren form since they control th house. that is nothing new with the dynamic that we have, th political dynamic. but do democrats have the uppe hand here? how do you see this battle playing out over the comin weeks? >> i mean, what is tragic is that we will view this through a political lens because we ar in a political job, i suppose. but this budget is actually lot like it is building on the successes, i mean, if we wer not talking about this in partisan sense, we would b talking about the fact tha we've seen record job growth we have seen for the first tim in, what, 30, 40 years finally some significant we jim felicia. for years, workers wages did not keep up with inflation, an now we are starting to close that gap we are creating jobs in this country faster than we are creating workers and we have a workplace shortage these are all good problems, these are problems that we started to fix in the last term,

and i suppose that the democrats work better than the republicans in this moment because they are adults trying to govern, not sitting there trying to spend our time o hearing saying that somehow, i don't know, learning about our history is bad, or allowin free markets to allocate fre capital is a bad thing, whic is essentially what this whole anti movement is so i guess that we are looking better because we are th adults in the room, but ther are real people who have rea needs that we should be focuse on and i think that it is peopl who care about this job, and care about this country, and they are disappointed th republicans are not taking i seriously. >> you make a good point about the substance that behind thes numbers there are people's lives, and how they ar affected, and every time i hea the president talk about the child tax credit, and that reducing child poverty in ou country by half during a tim where it is expanding, the meaningful-ness of that, i d want to ask you about anothe

political fight, because it is going to be a consequentia one. the wrapping up to a big deb ceiling battle it was written in the new york times that republicans, quote, claim to believe that rising federal that is a major crisis but if they really believe tha they would be willing to accep at least some pain, except som policies that they dislike take on popular spending programs in the name of defici reduction, do you see any of that happening >> what the republicans know but they do not like to admi is that 25% of all of the debt we have ever incurred as a country was born on donald trump's watch. and, i don't, maybe i am naive i do not think that they wan to blow up the economy but the believe that they have a hostage and folks are going to flinch if they take th hostage. i sometimes regret that we get

caught up in all of this washington speech, that ceilin is not a term that peopl understand but for your viewers, imagin that you got a job, you got salary, you went to college, you took out some student debt your body mortgage, and then you started calling up you student loan service, and your mortgage company instead i decided i'm not going to pay what do you think would happen that is essentially what the debt fight is. we have chosen through various congresses to set taxes an income at certain levels t take on various expenses t provide social services. and by the way, if you have no noticed, global markets kind o like investing in the u.s. we are still a very effectiv place for countries around the world to put the money and we are able to do that, i' not saying that we should no be concerned about the debt, but to decide not to pay is to completely destroy the economy i mean, you have not see anything silicon valley bank that i what is coming if we start defaulting on our debt and starting to raise interest rates.

i hope that they will prevail, but the freedom caucus demands one of the things that the suggest is not their condition for getting this all done is that they want to number one defund the police. but the irs is eli enforcement agency, so defund the irs whic would cost a ton of mone because and rich people will not pay taxes. and the will impose work requirements on welfare, s they do not have to pay money, but people have to work in order to get support from th government and they want to take back all of the climate provisions from the i.r.a. that is how you destroy th economy, not how you build it. >> congressman, thank you. next, is the biden administration bringing back the controversial family detention policy stick around for that. but first, richard lui is here >> some of the stories, more than 8000 residents in california, that is about to our south of san francisco

they are under evacuatio orders after a levee fail there, causing massive flooding they field after another atmospheric river, a concentration of moisture in the sky, slammed the state wit historic rain. authorities conducted over 6 rescue missions overnight, and over 90 individuals are in temporary shelters three women are missing in mexico after they crossed th texas border last month to sel close at a flea market according to federal authorities. two of the women are from border town near texas police officials say that thei families are in touch with mexican authorities. and indonesia's mount murdaugh piano erupting spewing cloud and lava for several miles the volcano unleashed clouds o high ash that blocked out th iowans sunlight and covere several villages no casualties were reported. more ayman, right after this firm...

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considering restarting the controversial family detention policy for migrants at the border it's the same policy biden shu down when he took office citing the need for more human immigration approach homeland security secretar alejandro mayorkas confirmed this week that, quote, all options are on the table this comes as the and to title 42 nears and pandemic er immigration measure blocke migrants at the southern borde from seeking asylum in the u.s since march 2020 it's set to end in a last month, the administration announced a policy that woul effectively replace it, and it is eerily similar to donal trump's transit ban. migrants have been deeme ineligible if they attempt t seek asylum in countries tha they passed through on their way to the united states first biden promised a compassionate

approach to immigration as a candidate. in recent months, hi administration has taken a mor heartland approach joining me now to discuss ou cristobal alex, former biden adviser and msnbc politica analyst, alicia garza, cocreator of the black lives matter movement and carlos - msnbc political analyst an former congressman from th state of florida cristobal, first of all, thank you all for joining me tonight cristobal, i want to start wit you. this is what biden had to sa back in august 2020 about th practice of detaining migrants >> we are going to sto detaining people indefinitel and invest in case managemen program to help ensure migrant get the support they need whil they are navigating the asylum process. >> as a former adviser to th biden campaign, what do yo think the administration's gam

plan is here why restart family detention i they do restart it >> julián, it's good to be wit you. -- [inaudible i wish him a speedy recovery we love him. look, i am from el paso, texas not from - far from where you are for us, it's not that far. it's personal to me, right this is a city of immigrants i am the son of immigrants, an i work for president biden i remember that conference, an what i can tell you is tha they are not re-instituted the trump policies when it comes t family detention it's a complicated situation right? my hometown of el paso declare a state of emergency because o all the challenges wit migrants that have come over that's partly because donald

trump over the last severa years during his administratio before biden came in got i several at the agencies, including foreign agencies dealing with migrants. i do think once the title 42 i lifted, we'll see orderl process and see it happen to immigrant migrants i just want to set the recor clear they're, first of all, and i don't want to still lose the humanity of it, right? these are people fleeing for their lives. i do trust biden i trust him at his word. i know they will get it right. >> do you think that the administration wil re-institute the famil detention? or do you think that they will go in a different direction? >> i don't think there is an question that the re-instituted. that is not under consideratio right now. i do think what needs to happe is a very careful approach t making sure that we are able t get folks into the loving arms of the family members, i they're here or other sponsors

that are safe, and they have a approach to becoming america citizens eventually. the problem there is tha republicans are going to wor with democrats ultimately, what we need is comprehensive immigratio reform we need to protect dreamers an make sure that we get stabilit in the region up towards the northern triangle, were so man people are fleeing >> alicia, a new poll from the associated press shows tha about four and ten american sa the number of asylum seekers should be lower. how much do you think public opinion is influencing the biden administration's decisio here versus republican rhetoric? >> i had to be honest with you and thank you for asking thi question i have to be honest with you i think it's okay for us to sa that politics is playing a ver big role here. when we look at polls like thi say four out of ten american think the too many people ar getting asylum, of course, w

had to ask ourselves, who ar the americans being pulled we also have to ask ourselves fundamental question which is, how is it that the narrative that we're hearing every singl day coming from congress and in particular, coming from republican politicians influencing the way that peopl are picking about what i happening with immigration i this country obviously, we know tha immigration is a very comple issue, but we also know that immigrants in this country are being used as a politica bubble that does not just include immigrants at the border of course, that is true of haitian immigrants and immigrants from other countrie as well, who are caught in thi dragnet of a smear campaig that is being pushed by -- largely by the extreme party o the republicans to generat fear about crime, to generat fear about violence and what i

in the crosshairs here are people's families. people are being separated families are being separated and families are being criminalized for trying to see a better life. for trying to address and deal with the challenges that they're facing and their hom countries economies and, unfortunately, i think we have to also be honest, as proud as i am of some of th accomplishments of the biden harris administration, tha they too are being influence by the narratives coming fro the right, especially as we're leading up to a major election cycle in 2024. it's very important that peopl are not being used as political football and, instead, that were sitting down at th table, talking about rea solutions for real challenges, not fake solutions for fak challenges >> carlos, what have you former colleagues represente -- of arizona said family detention serves two purposes, quote, lining the pockets of

private person companies and acting as a useless deterred for migrants seeking their legal right to asylum. your thoughts? >> julián, this is a tough situation, but i think the biden administration i acknowledging that the situation at the southwest border is not sustainable, and the fact is that we have immigration policies in th united states, and i would agree that republicans and democrats should work together to reform our immigration laws and modernized them. but in the meantime, we have o and policies that incentivizes this kind of dangerous immigration. it's dangerous for the peopl who end up in the hands of criminal organizations taking very dangerous journey through the desert, god knows how many people don't even make it to our border that situation has to change i think the department o homeland security unde secretary mayorkas and mor broadly the administration has been acknowledging that what w

have seen at the southwest border over the last few years is not sustainable it's not a healthy policy fo our country, and it certainl isn't healthy for people makin a dangerous journey across the desert, sometimes across jungles, author of the americas. you hear some sad stories, especially about young girls and the way that they ar treated sometimes by these criminal organizations i think what the administratio is trying to convey is that th status quo can't extend. something has to change. i thought they figured out exactly what they'll do you. >> cristobal, on the political and this, perhaps biden woul get political points wit conservatives for enacting tighter border policies, but a alicia was talking about earlier, these are real huma beings families and children have suffered severe abuse an mental health issues because o the practices.

when will their safety and their well-being be taken into account do you think >> i thank you for the question, and i think there are safety and well-being is paramount. folks that i know there ar working day in, day out to hav to at the very top of thei list, but i do want to remin folks of how far we've come in the two years, but the over tw years since we've had presiden biden elected. remember, donald trump was the one who -- instituted one of the most cruel policies we've seen in this country, which is takin babies from the arms of thei mother's at the border in my hometown of el paso, h funded billions of dollars int the military to build a useles wall he banned asylum toward ou prior refugee system and pul back support in the wester hemisphere that would have stabilized the region an curtailed all of this irregula migration that we're seeing.

i want to make sure that we se the record straight there, but i agree with you that we canno lose the humanity here i would urge our republica friends to work together and t find a way to solve the proble instead of playing politics, you see what the governor of texas has done, or desantis in florida has done and reall trying to use migrants a stunts we got to stop that and we gotta solve this problem >> alicia, migrants have bee facing additional variou recently and the struggle to navigate and secure lots on th mobile app launched last month as a way to request asylum how could the bide administration better beat migrants where they are? what would that look like? >> i think first and foremost, it's really important to b talking directly with families who are being impacted by this crisis it's often said that the peopl who come closest to the pain have the clearest idea of what

the solution should be, so i d think that is important. i also think it's important fo us to get a little bit clear about what we want the outcome to be, what we focus on, right it becomes the substance o what we move, and so as long a the conversation aroun immigration is about crime and not about families and humanit and how is that we address the economic challenges that pus people into this country awa from their homes, away fro their loved ones and then th treatment that they receiv when they get here is importan for us to take into account. so we have to make policy from the position of what is that we're trying to accomplish are we trying to criminalize people or are we trying to reunite families and mak dignity possible for people? >> cristobal, alicia and carlos, think around, you will all b with me and the next segment a well next, why republicans ar

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long lasting relief in a scent-free, gentle mist. (psst psst) flonase. all good. to challenge donald trump in the 2024 presidential primar are starting to take some by jabs at the ex president, bu there is one subject n republican will touch, january six. once considered the grea disqualifier by many in the go but now, whether it is nikki haley or potential candidate like mike pence and ro desantis, many republicans are going about their way to avoid even mentioning the events o that day former gop wisconsin governo scott walker told politico tha going after trump regenerate six is, quote, be a huge risk. then there are house republicans who are going al in on january six in an attemp

to actually protect trump. the house gop just launched an investigation into the 1 committee that revealed th extent of trump's plot t overturn the election. that investigation will be led by republican congressman barr loudermilk, who was accused by the january six panel of givin tours of the capital day before the violent insurrection let's bring back our panel cristobal, republicans wer quick to denounce trump afte january six. we all remember the speeches i congress and the denunciatio of trump by gop leaders righ after the events of january six, but now they are refusing to talk about it like it is baltimore or something, so wha changed. >> a couple of things here, on is that we can't forget th seriousness of january six and

how our democracy is still o this precipice it's teetering and at risk i thank you for raising this i think it is incredibly important that the media and leaders and the american publi don't let him get away wit both the silence, which is complicit here but also th pushback on the false narrativ that republicans are trying to create around january six. the imagery that you're showin there has shocked th conscience it was clear that we are almos going to lose our democracy so what you're seeing of congress from republicans is a little embarrassing and really on u to make sure that we don't get away with the, that we pus back on it, and that we do wha we can to strengthen our democracy. it's still at risk >> alicia, let's talk abou this investigation into th january six committee. we've seen this playbook fro the gop before on investigatin the investigators.

they hyped up the durham repor which is expected to be a dad. do you really think this won't and -- this would end any differently for them >> you know, honestly, we've seen this from republicans before the deflection, the ways i which there are a revision o history. we've seen this before so, no, i think this is a part of thei playbook it is to create a lot of smoke and mirrors by launching fak and baseless investigation against people who are actuall trying to hold them accountable, creating false narratives abou what actually happened that da and what the impact was, and what their role in was i think so many people like to just talk about this as an issue with the former presiden but, honestly, there was collusion by several sitting

lawmakers who sit in congres today. so, i think we have to continu to see through the smoke and mirrors and understand this fo what is, which is a part o their playbook >> we certainly have seen number of times before congressman curbelo, you actually served with barry loudermilk in the house. are you concerned someone like loudermilk who gave tours of the capital before january six will be leading this partisa probe now? >> julián, what all of these republicans need to do is take a lesson from the 2022 election, the candidates that either embraced donald trump's big li or were you warm about it were punished and state after state and district after district. republicans who distinguis themselves from donald trump who condemned the dishonesty that he promoted about the 202 election, people like bria

kemp in georgia, christina kne in new hampshire, alisa brooke iain alaska, this candidates were awarded the more republicans try t defend or excuse or deflec attention from donald trump' big lie as opposed t confronting and condemning it, the more they are going to continue suffering and losin in key states and districts al over the country that is the lesson for republicans. in the long run, embracing a lie and dishonesty or even excusing it does not pay off a dissoluteness about trying t excuse what donald trump did trying to introduce down int what most americans know and understand happened on the 6th of january is really going t hand up hurting republicans. >> cristobal, i want to play this clip of newt gingrich fro fox last year when he gave t give away on how house

republicans to cheat the january six committee if the want the majority. watch this >> i think when you have a republican congress, this will all come crashing down, and th wolves are going to find out that they are now sheep and th ones that will face a real ris of joe >> is this their endgame here, gelling their opponents fo daring to speak out agains trump? >> look, i would not put everything past. i think carlos is exactly right. you've got to look to see what happened in the last electio cycle and make sure that folks who are election deniers conspiracy theories, who are these almost mccarthy type republicans are punished there has to be accountability we are in the midst of the beginning of the presidentia election it's just starting to heat up. i think it's incumbent whe

biden announces his reelection for democrats across the country, for independents, for republicans who care about our democracy, to speak up about that, to push back on donald trump and other candidates who are running for president, who bought into this big lie or wh were hiding from it because, again our democracy is under threat this is the united states of america. the constitution means something, and they have charged, and they have trashed our capital, and they got to pay for. >> alicia, trump certainly has not moved on from january six. he released a song and collaboration with their group of inmates who were imprisoned for the capitol attack this is what the gop is afraid of, isn't it >> i think at the end of the day, julián, what we're lookin at here is a failed presiden

who is desperately trying to reestablish himself. i think what we're also lookin at here is and increase in discontent and malcontent. unfortunately, those things ar crashing and colliding unfortunately, not i progressive circles, right when people talk about wha happened in the capitol that day, there are people who ar not the marjorie taylor greene or some of the issue misse that we have seen on television, who are saying that this was justified because th government needs a shake up. as cristobal said, we ar leading to a presidentia election i don't want us to take lightl that even though that this i one of the most extreme things that we have seen in relatio to trying to dismantle democracy, i don't want us t take for granted that there ar people who actually don't thin that anything happened wrong

that day as we lead into the election cycle, we also had to be thinking about how democrats and progressives are talking about what happened and no assuming that everybod understands not only the severity but also th consequences and the next step that were being sought b president trump and some of hi allies there is a plan that they ar trying to impose here which is to weaken the power of the federal government and we this country that is -- i think we have to be paying that instant to that more than we are paying attention to the stunts of donald trump we know that donald trump is going to pull stunts lik decent he made with former inmates, but are we really thinking about how we're talking to the people abou this on the ground >> cristobal, alicia garcia an former congressman carlo

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not anymore. with quickbooks, you can confidently manage your business. new business? no problem. yeah. success starts with intuit quickbooks. >> the impacts of inflatio have been felt by american nationwide, but women have bee feeling the effects and a much bigger way the reason they still are not getting pai as much as men a new pew research study found that the gender pay gap ha barely budged in 20 years. nbc's vaughn hillyard has th story. >> the gender wage gap i america persisting in 2023 the efforts to close it ongoing, but the reality starkl unchanged. data from the pew research center details how women in th american workforce are makin 82 cents per every dollar that meant make the rate narrowing by just two

cents in 2002. 28-year-old cindy su works i costuming in disney, florida >> typically, female roles are seen as less, so it does not deserve to be compensated th same amount as a man's job should be. >> she is one of nearly 1000 union costuming workers in disney world fighting for a ne contract and against, what she says, are ingrained difference in the way that women's work i viewed compared to the roles traditionally dominated by men >> i feel like when people think about what a centrist is they are probably reminded o their grandma who fixed button on their pants. it's like, at this knee, thi job is not likely at all all these machines we use ou industrial machines. >> sue pointed to limited pa increase opportunities compare to those making and working an more melt dominated position like rigging, tech and lighting they say that not returned a request for comment but said i a 2021 report that the gende pay gap does not mean that women make less than their mal counterparts doing the sam

job. the president of the local union of abc news -- >> why has the narrowing at th wage gap stalled here in the 21st century >> - ages 35 to 44. you are most likely to hav young children we see a witch gap widened >> is that because of th traditional use of the woman for -- >> that something to do with it there are social and cultura norms. with the survey we did, wome are much more likely to sa that they feel mor responsibility to take care of family needs, by a greater margin than men. >> in the study, 50% said dodger major factor is the treatment of women in th workforce compared to men. >> one of the comes to policie that make it easy for women to access affordable childcare, maternity leave benefits, we

have found that the u.s. doe lacked behind unfortunately in those areas. >> the world economic foru estimates that at this rate, i would take 132 years to clos the which gap. >> what keeps you fighting for your cause >> they are going to be forced to come to the fact that the people who are really good a doing this don't want to wor for you, the day will come >> still much progress to be made we're -- reporting from vaughn hillyard thank you so much. up next, you won't want to mis this, a preview of the 95t academy awards uch the same, but at fisher investments we're clearly different. (other money manager) different how? you sell high commission investment products, right? (fisher investments) nope. fisher avoids them. (other money manager) well, you must earn commissions on trades. (fisher investments) never at fisher. (other money manager) ok, then you probably sneak in some hidden and layered fees. (fisher investments) no. we structure our fees so we do better when our clients do better. that might be why most of our clients come from other money managers.

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pods, your personal moving and storage team. >> tomorrow's hollywood' biggest night, the 95th academ awards, which means it's als been nearly one year since the infamous slap heard around the world. organizers are likely holdin that nothing similar will go down to distract from the real reason we're all watching. the oscar's, much like the movies themselves, alway brings entertainment excitement and drama this time around, we could see oscar history made as well michelle yeoh is nominated for best actress for her role as evelyn wang, a strugglin laundromat owner and everything, everywhere at once if she wins, she will be the first non-white best actress winner since hallie barry, almost two decades ago there is lots to talk abou when it comes to this glamorou

and often political hollywoo tradition, and i had the perfect person to help break i all down michael schulman is a staf writer at the new yorker and author of her again, becomin meryl streep in his new book, oscar wars, history of hollywood do gold sweat and tears. michael, thank you for joining me look, i mean, how are they eve going to talk the job of las year and the slap? i am feeling the vibe of new year's eve 2001 going into the year - you know the oscars better tha almost anyone, and you wer there for the two most recen scandals, the moonlight, la la land best picture mistake an last year's infamous slap. what are your expectations for this year's boxers should we expect them to adjus the will smith chris roc incident do you know of anything bein done to prevent this kind of thing from happening again

>> yeah, obviously the slap is the elephant in the room i am sure that they will address it in some way, but don't think that they ca possibly top it. maybe michelle yeoh will kun fu kate blanche it or something. i thought -- the first asked is i want to i person was in 2017, which wa the envelope mix-up. i thought that i will never se anything as wild and crazy a that, and it turns out i was wrong. >> last year is going to g down in oscars in for me, bu your new book actually dives deep into the other key year in oscar's three how did you choose which ear to focus on and what was you favorite one >> so, my book is not and cycle pity of every year, wh won, who lost and the record set. i chose about a dozen to dee

in on. best picture 1876, best actres 1971 there are a lot of juicy once. one thing i like studying wa the 1999 best picture betwee saving private ryan an shakespeare in love. this went down in history as the ugliest best picture fight of all-time. the reason was mostly rv weinstein. the thing weinstein used t beat notorious for was his aggressive oscar campaigning and spielberg had saving private ryan, this big world war ii movie, and everyone thought it was the front runner dan shakespeare enough cam from near max and suddenly everything was in the air. weinstein campaigned hard fo it jim works and mira max was fighting tooth and now when shakespeare in love actually won, hollywood wa stunned. it was like that they were hit in the face with the fryin pan. >> let's talk oscar predictions. do you think that michelle yeo will take home the best actres

price? >> i have no clue. it is such a close race betwee michelle yeoh and kate blanche it in tar. every hour, i think a differen one at them when i have no idea >> what about best actor who do you think will win the? >> best actor is a complicated one because brendan fraser has had a lot of momentum fo months and months for his role and he will, but it seems like there might have been some energy that shifted toward austin butler for elvis. i have the sense that he might win because the academy love someone who plays a self destructive music legend we see that over and ove again. i don't know, colin farrow was wonderful in the banshees of - i think it will come down to either austin butler or brando frazier. >> let's talk about the bi

price. what are your predictions fo best picture, everything everywhere all at once, top gu maverick, something else what do you think? >> i actually can't or member recent here or there was such clear front runner such as everything, everywhere, all at once people of fallen in love wit that movie so much goodwill in the economy, and it's one of over and over again in some of the other rewards, including all the guilt or wards like to sag and directors guild, produces guilt there is so much love for it but however, just to note that at the oscars, crazy thing have happened. if anything will steal it, i might be all quiet on th western front, the german anti war film never say never. >> michael schulman, bank you. and thank you for making tim for us i am julián stcaro infer ayman mohyeldin, have a good night ♪ ♪ ♪

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