ana cabrera picks up the coverage in just one minute.

♪♪ right now on "ana cabrera reports"" deadlocked. the battleground where kamala harris has an advantage. plus, trump's 2016 opponent on the 2024 landscape. her new comments this morning about trump's tone in this race. >> he is more incoherent. ♪♪

good morning. thanks to have you with us. it's 10:00 a.m. eastern. 7:00 a.m. pacific. i am ana cabrera reporting from washington today. we begin with new polling showing a deadlocked race for the white house. all eyes on a handful of states that could decide it all. today kamala harris will be in one of them with oprah winfrey. it shows the gop narrowly leading in that state. as for former president trump, he's off the swing state beat today in d.c. at an event

combating anti-semitism. vaughn, start us off, trump rallied in a blue state, new york, last night. what is the thinking behind these latest string of events? >> there's a lot right now. number one, donald trump is his own chief strategists and is the one calling the shots. he was in new york yesterday on long island going to key congressional districts that he thinks republicans can hold on to and he believes he can win new york, and donald trump believes it to be close. i want to listen to part of his remarks last night because coming off the second apparent assassination attempt it's full steam ahead for donald trump on the schedule.

>> stop claiming your opponents will turn america into a dictatorship. give me a break. because the fact is that i am not a threat to democracy, they are. >> now, let's be clear. we are 47 days away from the general election. early ballots are going out to voters to the likes of wisconsin this very thursday. donald trump, we heard from him yesterday, and suggested the fed interest rate cut was a political play by the fed. he asserted kamala harris should resign as vice president as a candidate was her campaign received some of the hacked materialed that iran sent to them via the trump campaign, though there's no indication the harris campaign used the material or was aware of what was inside of some of the email inboxes of some of the campaign staff here, and donald trump

suggested it amounts to federal election interference. we have heard donald trump time and again here suggesting there are undercurrents of efforts to try and stymie his campaign, and as you heard in new york yesterday from the comments, for donald trump he is using all of the news developments to make the case his campaign is being undermined. >> let's take a look at the new quinnipiac polls. harris narrowly ahead in a few key straits. in michigan, in pennsylvania, trump is up only two points on immigration, say for wisconsin she's within the margin of error on that issue. what do you think that says about which message is resonating in states likes yours? >> what is happening with donald trump is people are getting a little tired of him right now.

i think he hurt himself on the border deal and when he blew up the border deal, he muddled the message and he gave harris an opportunity to say i am for border assistance. in pennsylvania, i think she will over perform in the philadelphia media market and she needs to. i think women's health, abortion rights, will be a big issue here. post dobbs, we have not seen an election post dobbs, and trump has performed better as polls suggested, but it seems like she has a slight advantage. >> he's talking a lot about the immigration issue related to the immigrants in ohio. do you think it will hurt him?

>> he is still doing it. the second thing is, you know, the stubbornness and cruelty is a slow burn. when you have the republican governor of the state, the republican mayor of the city pleading with the nominee of their party to stop spreading this lie and he refused, and there are bomb threats and schools can't open because of this, i think people will take a step back to charlie's point and say, you know, i am tired of this. i don't know if i want to go through with this. the real issue is immigration but we are not having the real conversation we need to have because of this. >> it's almost a distraction from the real issue. perhaps he doesn't want to talk about the issue because the numbers are not reinforcing his numbers at the polling. and there's polling on black

voters in swing states. when you look at this, harris, as you would expect, she leads 82-12. an overwhelming lead, but that's a touch behind where biden was in 2020, when you look at the exit poll results there. what does this poll tell you? >> it's a straw holes look at this moment. at the time black americans are struggling and trying to process and they want things for them. this situation, as jonathan just said about haiti, and haitians are black people in this country, and when you have the republican governor saying i don't want you to come, donald trump, because you expend our resources beyond what we have and that sends a signal, too, and let's see if it translates for her. you have people not sure they

even want to vote and those people she can get and it's about moving forward in the time of hate that donald trump keeps perpetrating and talking about, especially in the debate where they said, and the hate he continues to spread. until he comes out and apologizes to black people and haitians for that. the swifties are powerful and oprah is powerful herself. she's one of the most successful people in the nation, and you heard me say successful people beyond race and gender. she brings a bandwidth and power nobody else has. she helped elevate barack obama.

he was on his own a great candidate and she elevated that platform and now she's behind kamala harris. look what happens when she says i'm endorsing the book. my god, the book soars beyond the new york time best-seller's list. i think she will be a good candidate. she could have done this for other people but hasn't, and she's doing it for kamala harris and it's a big deal, and it the first group that exposes the viral moment of funding and excitement. >> that has been like a light switch from the election engagement from all kinds of voter gaps. this morning, watch. >> we heard about carnage in the streets and we saw this dark

image of our country, which is unrecognizable. at the end of it, you know, president bush turned to me and said that was some [ bleep ]. so honestly, he knew it then. we have seen all of this unfold. >> so she is saying that trump is even darker and angrier now than then. how do you think his tone and messaging themes are resonating with voters who are not part of his core group of supporters? >> it's almost unexplicable what he's doing. he's supposed to try and broaden his base and he never does that, just doubles down on the maga agenda. he has such a low ceiling. it never made any sense to me that he has not expanded his base. he should be doing that and reaching out, but when you are

talking about eating cats and dogs in ohio and other bizarre things he has been doing, his temperament. i am not shocked that he seems to be declining in the polls. it's exhausting and offending people. i can't explain the inexplicable. by the way, i was at that inauguration when george bush said that, and i walked out and said i will not be critical of him today because it's inauguration day, but this guy just said all the different things he said in his campaign and it was a terrible speech. he continues to go down deep dart holes of isolationism and can't get out of his own way. >> and j.d. vance and trump are pointing fingers when talking about the attempts on his call. about the rhetoric, there has been calls to democrats to tone

it down and they are saying what about you, right? this headline from new york magazine is pushing back on the logic, and donald trump is a threat to democracy and saying so is not an incitement. they are using trump's own words and just highlighting things he said, his own quotes and the kamala act is using trump's own words. >> it's projection. that's all that trump is. anything he accuses somebody of, just do a little search and you will see that he is guilty of it himself and he's trying to deflect and project. using his own quotes against him

or to highlight them, the new york magazine is right, democrats are pointing this out for a reason. when he stands there and says i would like to punch that guy in the face, and if something happens to you, i will pay your legal bills. what is that? from that small thing to inciting an insurrection in the building outside that window there. he's the one that has been inciting violence. for democrats to point that out is not inciting violence themselves, but it's warning people, warning the american people. democrats have to keep doing it. >> wish we had more time, guys. it has been an interesting conversation. nice to see you all. nice to be on set with you all here in d.c. thank you so much. be sure and catch jonathan every weekend at 6:00 p.m. eastern here on msnbc. ahead, trump's plan to visit springfield, ohio, after

platforming haitians eating pets. plus, diddy denied. the judge's ruling that has him behind bars at a notorious jail. but first, we have breaking news from the middle east where the idf says they are striking hezbollah targets. we are back in 90 seconds. ce after a tnf blocker like humira or remicade? put them in check with rinvoq. rinvoq works differently and it's a once-daily pill. when symptoms tried to take control, i got rapid relief with rinvoq. check. when flares tried to slow me down, i got lasting steroid-free remission with rinvoq. check. and when my doctor saw damage, rinvoq helped visibly reduce damage of the intestinal lining. check. rapid symptom relief. lasting, steroid-free remission. and visibly reduced damage. check, check and check. rinvoq can lower your ability to fight infections, including tb. serious infections and blood clots,

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news in the middle east. the idf says it's currently striking hezbollah targets in lebanon to degrade its capabilities and infrastructure. this comes after two days of deadly attacks targeting hezbollah. yesterday it was exploding walkie-talkies used by hezbollah members that left 25 dead and dozens injured. monday pagers were detonated injuring thousands and killing 12 including two children. raf, this new estimated from the idf in the last few minutes that it's striking inside lebanon, what more do we know? >> ana, for nearly a year the idf put out a statement saying they are striking, and the statement here is different.

what they announced today is a broad effort to begin, in their words, degrading hezbollah's capabilities across southern lebanon. at this point it appears to only be air strikes and there's no indication israeli forces crossed the border into southern lebanon, and it's a market shift in tone from the israeli military. one of the big questions as we watched the walkie-talkies and pagers blowing up in the hands and pockets of hezbollah members in the last 48 hours or so is whether that was a prelude to larger israeli military action. we don't know that. we know israeli appears to be acting in a broader way at the moment. the statement was released at 9:54 a.m. eastern time. i give you that specific because at 10:00 a.m. eastern time, the

leader of hezbollah began speaking for the first time since those pagers started blowing up. in a region that cares about symbolism, it's notable the idf appears to be trying to up stage the leader of hezbollah. he's still speaking at this moment, but he has said this attack involving pagers, involving walkie-talkies, in his words, crossed all red lines and he's vowing to retaliate. ana. >> raf sanchez, thank you. please keep us posted on new derailments. seems to be that this is a developing story over days and not just hours. joining us now at the international security council, michael, tell us about the new round of targets they are striking? >> we have heard repeatedly in recent months that an objective

of bibi netanyahu and across the political spectrum is they want the israelis that live in the north just over lebanon, they want to be able to move back in their homes. we talked for months about an israeli prelude to a move. last week they sent a pwrau cade, and you have seen explosions from walkie-talkies and pagers in the last couple of days and now the event this morning. this seems to be a coordinated campaign from israel to begin to

degrade hezbollah and probably a prelude to a larger action. >> "the washington post" this morning was just writing whatever the initial intentions of israeli, the government will face growing domestic pressure to capitalize on the momentum and hit hezbollah while it's down. is that what is happening today? is this trying to capitalize on the momentum and hitting hezbollah when they are down? >> i think so. when i first thought about the pager operation, i thought it was a brilliant first move that would be something you would do before some sort of larger war-like campaign into lebanon. it inspired chaos in the ranks and took their top soldiers off the battlefield, at least for some period of time. it makes more sense as something that is that the beginning of a war, if you will, rather than

just an isolated incident. i think it does make sense, even if it was an isolated incident to get inside their heads, but it makes more practical sense if it's part of a larger campaign and we will understand better in the coming days when we see what the follow-up is from netanyahu. >> the u.s. warned netanyahu not to escalate. here's secretary of state, antony blinken, just yesterday. >> we have been clear and remain clear about the importance of all parties avoiding any steps that could further escalate the conflict that we are trying to resolve in gaza, to see it spread to other fronts. it's clearly not in the interest of anybody involved to see that happen and that's why, again, it's imperative all parties refrain from any actions that could escalate the conflict. >> michael, are we already seeing escalation? >> i think we are.

netanyahu pretty much warned the biden administration over and over again that they can't live with another genocidal terrorists organization on their northern border after what happened on october 7th. i think what we are seeing also is that the israelis are probably running out of targets inside of gaza. there's only so much more they can do there, so it makes sense they would begin to pivot north way. by the way, it might be political sense for netanyahu to go this direction and it also makes sense for their national security to begin to take on hezbollah. >> michael allen, thank you so much for being with us this morning. up next, new details about the iranian hack of the trump campaign. plus, two weeks left until a potential government shutdown. i bet you can guess who is prodding lawmakers to let it happen. what is speaker johnson's next move? you love your bike. we do, too.

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president of microsoft and talked about the risks of election interference as we get closer and closer to november 5th and he's pointing to the 48 hours before the election is final. we are already seeing bad actors trying to put their thumb on the scale. iran sent unsolicited emails over the biden campaign over the summer, and emails stolen by the trump campaign. what did the biden campaign do with the unsolicited emails? >> apparently nothing. this is the fruits of what was an apparent hack of the trump campaign, and no news organization published them. the fbi said they offered them to individual members of the biden campaign via email, and

what the law enforcement officials supported, they didn't even open the emails and not they were phishing emails, and according to the biden harris campaign, none of those people knew they were not being stolen material. >> when we take a step back and look at the state of the election security nationwide, what are officials worried about here in 2024? >> well, you heard brad smith talk about the 48 hours before the election. that's the nightmare scenario. what they are really worried about is foreign disinformation, whether it's through ai or through false websites -- there's a lot of ways they can do it, raising questions about the voting, the mechanism of voting, is there a false report

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welcome back. in just a few hours president biden will step up to the mic down the road at the economic club here in washington set to give his remarks on the state of the economy since the news yesterday, the federal reserve cutting rates by half a percentage point. this is the first rate cut since 2020 and the largest in 16 years, and it's expected to keep inflation under control. joining us to break down what it means, nbc business and data

correspondent, ryan chung. >> many on wall street were arguing whether or not the fed would cut by quarter of a percentage point or half a percentage point and the fed opting to do the hraurpler one. the reason behind that was to reserve the strength of the labor market and the unemployment ticked up a bit. the federal reserve saying if we keep the interest rates too high for too long, we could put people out of work. listen to powell explaining that argument. >> we will make decisions meeting by meeting, based on the incoming data and the evolving outlook and the risks, and it's a process of recalibrating our policy stance away from where we

had it a year ago when inflation was high and unemployment low to a place to where we are now and where we expect to be and that process will take place over time. >> another important signal from the federal reserve coming from yesterday, they plan on cutting interest rates now and in the future and they say there's a strong likelihood there could be another .5% decrease. >> what does that mean for mortgage payments and credit cards and et cetera? >> mortgage rates have been falling already in the expectation of the fed making that interest rate cuts, and 30 years were 7.7% in october of last year and now it's at 6.4%, and mortgage rates could drift down further.

for credit card rates and auto loan rates, those things could take a few months to bleed through. the expectation is that some of the record highs will come down soon as a result of this. >> thanks very much. let's go down the road to the capitol where house republicans are playing chicken with the nation's funding deadline. congress has 12 days, 12 days, to avert a government shutdown after speaker johnson's funding bill failed yesterday. donald trump pushes these republicans to shutdown washington if they don't get a controversial election provision in the final bill. ali vitali, what is plan and what is the next plan of speaker johnson? >> well, most parties agree that

shutting down the government doesn't benefit anybody. republicans have been open about the fact that they would likely face the blame for this especially so close to an election. nevertheless, you are seeing speaker mike johnson run up against the proverbial brick wall here because his own conference tanked the plan their own leadership came up and put on the floor yesterday. the speaker had this to say in the aftermath of that vote. watch. >> i am very disappointed it didn't pass. we ran the right play and ran short of the goal line and we will go back and draw something up and i don't think it will come to a shutdown. i believe we can get the job done. we will go back to the playbook. we have time to get it done and we will. >> i am a football giants fan,

and we don't know what the quarterback will run. he doesn't have members of his conference opening say they don't trust him with the next move on this, and they have the former president, donald trump, making plans for the six-month resolution while also keeping the save act, that piece of voting legislation republicans are so keen on as part of the package. we have seen that that was plan a and didn't work, and doesn't mean they won't keep a version of that for plan b. >> i am a denver broncos fan, so i feel you on the metaphor as

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this morning donald trump's campaign is planning a trip to the ohio city that has become the epicenter of the country's immigration debate and rampant disinformation. last night trump said he will visit springfield, ohio, in the next few weeks. springfield was thrusts into the limelight when trump claimed haitian migrants were eating pets, and the journal tracked down this springfield woman you see on your screen. she reported her cat was missing and she believed her migrant neighbors were to blame and the trump campaign pointed to her story for an example, and that lady's cat, sassy, was found in her own basement a few days

later, and she apologized to her neighbors with the help of a translation. joining us, political strategist and former senior adviser to biden's 2020 campaign. the more we learn about it, the more it seems like these claims, right, are even more outrageous. it's just going nowhere, so what will the impact be if donald trump goes to springfield? >> it will be even worse. the springfield citizens, the government there was talking about the bomb threats, right? you have children going home to their parents asking, is it true we eat cats and dogs. i was listening to a slate report about all this, so the xenophobia and racism of it all is not to be ignored and how fact after fact -- even "the wall street journal," which is usually on the side of republicans, a little more conservative, is fact checking this. the fact that donald trump or

j.d. vance will not back down, and he's going to springfield to pour gasoline on these insane rumors, and let me make it clear, they are not here illegal, but they are here on a program to help -- that did help the economy. >> we do this common denominator thing and it erases all the context. these people are here legally on a program we created to help them. this is not something that happened in the last week. it's just when the light shines and we eliminate everything that helps us understand what's really going on here. yes, there has been an influx of haitian immigrants in a relatively small town, and that's the story of immigration. how do we make that work in america? yes, it's a complex issue worth having a conversation about. this, about a lady's cat who was

hiding under the porch for two days is not that conversation. it's amazing -- we have been doing this for so long and it's amazing to do that, they are eating pets. >> didn't it used to be, too, if you then bring the facts to people then those campaigns would start to back track or say we misspoke, but instead we have donald trump and j.d. vance doubling down and highlighting the rumor more and more and more. even j.d. vance, after you point out these immigrants are here legally, he's talking more about the claims they are here illegally and here's the response. >> if kamala harris waves the wand and say it's legal, i will still call them illegal because that's not how it works.

>> i want to play what a local springfield resident is saying on the issues. >> we have problems with the resources. the haitian community need support and we need support to support them and all anybody cares about talking about is eating cats and dogs. >> immigration is an area where trump has had the lead. when you look at the issues and poll people on the issues, but is this the way to connect on the issue with the voters? >> sadly it shows the difference between who leads in the narrative versus understanding truth. the reality is these springfield residents, up until this moment have been living together cohesively, right? the economy listened to podcasts and a lot of reporting, a lot of these residents up until this moment have been living together cohesivelies right. the economy is thriving because of haitian immigrants brought to springfield to help, right?

so this isn't helping the conversation to resolve immigration here in the united states. but what it is helping is donald trump inflaming this conversation to gain support. which is really disgusting. because the backlash and the pushback and the racism and all of the egregious things that we're hearing from the community are coming from people not in that community. and it's a shame that jd vance the senator from ohio can't admit he was wrong and actually protect his constituents. >> chris, zero shame strategy, your thoughts? >> i think we live in a zero shame world. what worries me, you mentioned this, politicians have -- i think this is more guilt. but politicians have said things to guilt for a long time. what really worries me to pick up on your point is, people didn't really believe it, you could say, look, there's no

evidence. here's the city manager, here's the police chief from the town, they say this isn't happening. and people are like, that's weird, why did that politician say that? you go to the polls, last week, 50% of people believe that haitians are eating their pets. that's what concerns me, right? people believe this junk contra fact. and to alencia's point, bad for democracy. whether a republican, democrat, liberal, whatever, that's bad. and that's bad for where we head to the future. good to see you, thank you in the conversation. up next on "ana cabrera reports," disgraced had producer harvey weinstein arraigned on another sex crime charge. plus, diddy behind bars in a notorious jail how critics say has a way of breaking people. why a judge reif you haved the hip-hop mogul's appeal. gul's apl

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harvey weinstein has pleaded not guilty to a new indictment in new york. he was arraigned yesterday in a maintain courthouse on an additional felony sex crime charge. just months ahead of the pretrial in his landmark me too case. a new york higher court overturned his 2020 conviction on sexual assault back in april. more than 80 women have accused weinstein of sexual assault or harassment. >> this morning, sean "diddy" combs remains in a notorious brooklyn jail after a second judge denied the bail request. the judge saying the lawyers provided insufficient evidence to ensure combs would not obstruct justice if he were released before trial. the new york mog. was arrested monday for a scheme that prosecutors say lasted decades. nbc's chloe melas is joining us now. like you said, sean "diddy"

combs is currently behind bars in a detention center in brooklyn and looks like he's going to be there up until his trial commences. and this detention facility is notorious and has housed some very famous faces in the past. >> reporter: this morning, embattled music mogul sean "diddy" combs will remain behind bars on charges that include sex tracking and racketeering conspiracy. after a judge overseeing his federal case denied him bond once again. >> fight continues. we're not giving up by a long shot. >> reporter: outside the new york city courthouse, his lawyer defiant. >> he believes he's innocent. i believe he's innocent. and we're going to fight this case with all of our might until we don't have to fight any longer. >> reporter: judge ruling the jail package presented by combs' lawyer was insufficient. siding with prosecutors who called combs a threat to society. adding there was no condition to

ensure the rapper would not obstruct justice. ahead of the rules, this troubling 2016 video that shows combs brutally beating his girlfriend then. and elaborated coerced sex parties that he often purported. combs' lawyer laying out his case in court adding the worst thing he had done was on the videotape. and the. >> being the defense attorney was the underdog in this gayle argument. that's because the crime of human trafficking actually creates the presumption that the defendant should be detained. >> reporter: in the bail proposal, the team pointing out he surrendered his pass port. attempting to sell his plane and hired private security to monitor combs 24/7. however, prosecutors who were adamant combs remain in custody

pointed to what they describe as a massive amount of evidence including text messages read in court from women accusing combs of physical and sexual violence that went on for decades and vast efforts to cover it up. adding witnesses universally share an extreme fear of the defendant. ana, there is going to be a hearing coming up in just a couple of weeks, but again, this is something that can continue to appeal, when it game to gill lane maxwell, she continued to appeal her bond but obviously she wasn't successful. this is now the second federal judge that says that combs is a threat to society and should remain behind bars as to not tamper with witnesses. thank you. that does it for us today, i'll be back at 3:00 p.m. eastern, for katy tur reporting in washington. jose diaz-balart picks up the coverage. good