good day, everyone, i'm alex witt. contessa brew other has the day off. we are covering the big news coast to coast. today, three weeks to election day candidates face off with big guns from michelle obama to vice president biden and the president all hitting the campaign trail. in delaware last night the tea party favorite, christine o'donnell, got a chance to show what she's got, going head-to-head with democrat chris coons in their first senate debate. >> this election cycle should not be about comments i made to on a comedy show over a decade and a half ago. >> these aren't just random statements on some late night tv show. >> the two sparred over tax cuts and health care reform, getting personal at times. >> you're just jealous you weren't on "saturday night live." >> i'm dying to see who is going to play me, christine. >> then on the supreme court -- >> but have come from our high

court, do you most object to? >> i'm very sorry right off the top of my head, i know that there are a lot but i will put it up on my website. >> there it was there on the supreme çcourt, o'donnell stumbling there although o'dole is down double digits, president obama and vp biden plan to campaign in delaware for chris coons tomorrow, the really heavyweight fight is tonight in las vegas. majority leader harry reid fighting for his political life, facing another tea party candidate, sharron angle. a new mason-dixon poll shows she is ahead for the first time in that race. nbc deputy political director mark murray joins me. good day to you. >> hi, alex. >> let's get first to the president, what he is trying to do by hitting the trail, if you will to energize the youth vote out there in terms of the difference the youth can make this midterm election, what are the expectation there is and if you look at the past is it realistic to expect them to make a difference, 'cause it's a midterm? >> alex, every vote is going to mat they are election season,

certainly where democratic-controlled house could come down to one race across the country. so they are really trying to do things at the margins and is at the margins they do think it will help. look, midterm elections, fewer people vote in those than in presidential contests and that's true for younger voters and it is especially true for this midterm cycle. our recent nbc/wall street poll showed that just 35% of young voters 18 to 34 show high interest in the midterms compared to 65% of seniors who say that. so, the youth really aren't fired up and that's why we have seen president obama go to wisconsin to rally them to philadelphia and then today's town hall with mtv, bet and cmt. >> okay. let's go from there, all the way to the other side of the country and head up to alaska there is a really surprising senate race under way there the democrat, mcadam is making strides against both lisa murkowski and joe miller and this was thought to be a gop lock in the senate when murkowski threw her hat in the ring as a write-in candidate,

yeah you have got to write that name in there where does it stand now? >> there does seem to be momentum for scott mcadams it is anecdotal, haven't seen a good poll on this race yet. alaska is a very small state, so sometimes polls are not that reliable, he has raised a lot of money, running some very provocative ads and getting a loft buzz. the three-way race that has gotten the attention thus far is in florida but the three-way race in alaska could become election night the more interesting one, all of a ç sudden, if scott mcadams is starting to get more votes, lisa murkowski and he joe miller battling each other and some doubts whether lisa murkowski, enough people write her in. wait i'm looking at this race it is up for grabs and any three could end up wing, a fascinating race to watch and very late, late at night with that alaska time zone. >> indeed. okay. nbc deputy political director murk murray. thank you. >> become to the delaware debate to do that we will get reaction,

joined by delaware radio talk show host rick jensen. rick, hello to you. >> hi, thanks, i appreciate this. >> well, i'm glad you are here. i want to talk about this time/cnn poll, shows mr. coons with a commanding lead now. do you see anything that is going to change that? >> i didn't see anything last night that really changes this. you can look at this one of two ways, you have got really two stories being written about this election. one is jobs, jobs, jobs, the other is the witch, the wardrobe and the bearded marxist. i was surprised about christine going after the marxist angle last night, didn't do anything to help her i think with undecided votes. i don't think either one of them really won undecideds. you have sussex and kept counties and they are very, very close between christine and chris coons. here in northern newcastle county, understand the republicans are socially liberal. christine is not really a tea party candidate. tea party candidates are all about jobs and the economy and the debt and look what you're doing to my country that way. now you have social

conservatives and up here in northern newcastle county that doesn't really resonate. she could catch him. i depend on who makes the bigger mistake. >> for those people who missed part of this debate, let's play a little bit about this, they talk about their differences over abortion, education, health care. let's listen to this. sure. >> you say that you are concerned about reducing costs but reports have shown that this health care bill has caused costs to sky rocket. second of all -- >> i don't know what reports you are reading. i haven't seen reports that document that. >> but one out of four democrats have gone on record saying that they oppose obama care, they have realized that, we made a bad mistake and what this bill does is it gives a massive government control over health care. >> i know -- hang on one with second, i know is going to sound a little lopsided, let's listen again to christine o'donnell this point, she stumbled on the question about the supreme court. let's play this. so, whatç opinions of late tha have come from our high court do you most object to? >> oh, gosh.

um, give me a specific one with, i'm sorry. >> actually, i can't, because i need to you tell me which ones you object to. >> i'm very sorry right off the top of my head, i know that there are a lot but i will put it up on my website, i promise you. >> we know you disagree with roe vs. wade. >> she said recent one. she said of late. well, roe vs. wade would not put the power -- >> but since then -- >> an nal jesse are being made about the sarah palin interview during the 2008 campaign but did you see that as being one step forward, one step back? i mean, did christine o'donnell take any steps forward in her attack on her opponent, mr. coons? rick, can you hear me? >> yes. yes. go right ahead. on the attack, i can see that she fumbled that big time. citizens united conservatives say, okay, fine, free speech,

campaign contributions, great for everybody, we just want more transparency. when it comes to, for example, gun laws and constitution, amendment on gun ownership, sure, we look at that and stay is great. i'm sure prize she didn't say kilo, kilo. i think if you are talking about the debit, in the debate club, coons wins on content, christine wins on style and neither one of them really seems to me to have won anybody over on that. let me -- do i have time for a short story? >> you know what i wish i did. rick, i don't, my producer said we got to wrap. i thank you for bringing us the stories and your interpretations. >> tell you what. >> yeah, real quick. >> i will tell it today 1 to 4, 1150 a.m. >> good plug. meantime, mission accomplished but a long road to recovery ahead 230r9 3 chilean miners rescued after 69 days under ground. the final miners surfaced after 9 p.m. eastern and it came months earlier than expected.

the world rejoiced as each man was pulled to safety one by one. now comes the adjust tonight life above ground. natalie more morales is live for must copiapo, chile, theç question a good day what is the feeling there now, is there any sort of a let down? is there exhaustion, all the energy having are been taken out of everybody watching so carefully? >> well, yeah, certainly on the part of the people involved here, i think there is a little bit of a sense of exhaustion, the people helping us here say they haven't slept for 48 hours, helping as well on the efforts. the focus on the miners, figure out how they are doing and getting some reports that some of them did have a little bit of a difficult time sleeping last night. as you might imagine, the adrenaline rush, the anxiety that they were feeling, all of that probably was so built up that -- especially the last 70 days but especially on that journey up in the capsule and

the reunions with the family. it is probably a lot for them to take in right away, so there is a little bit of anxiety. also, you know, it was reported and i'm not really sure i can confirm it but one of the newspapers reporting that the youngest, jimmy sanchez, the 19-year-old, was experiencing some depression, apparently the doctor they interviewed was not adjusting well to his surroundings and wasn't talking as much, but it was reported that he did have some problems with depression before he was working in the mine. but all of these guys are going to be taken care of by the chilean government, evaluated the next 24 to 48 hours, some saying some may be released, four of them possibly within the next couple of hours today. so some of them may be going home earlier than expected if they get that clean bill of health. the chilean government is promising to you know, stay with them and stick by them for the next six months to make sure that they are getting the necessary care they need to make the best adjustment possible, alex. >> nbc's natalie morales, watching all your coverage prior

to today and today, thank you so much, natalie. well, not so good news on the job front today. unemployment benefits rose the first time in three weeks. initial claims rose by 13,000, now 462,000 the second increase in two months. a record number of people lost their homes in foreclosure between july and september. reality track reports 1 million homes received foreclosure filing. verizon wireless says it will start selling the ipad in its storesç starting october 28. a data planned for that tablet will cost $20 a month. on the heels of that see how the markets are doing now, 2 1/2 hours and change into the trading day, not good. 25 and change on the dow, down 5 on the s & p 500, 6 on the nasdaq. a nor'easter developing on the mid-atlantic states and heading north. heavy thunderstorms packing strong winds and plenty of rain are already pounding virginia. soon, they will be targeting the entire east coast. meanwhile, preparations are

under way in cuba as tropical storm paula approaches there paula is losing steam after being downgraded from hurricane status to tropical storm status. the weather channel's nick walker is in atlanta for us this morning. so with a good day to you, nick. how bad is this going to be today and tonight mid-atlantic and the northeast? >> we are going to see a lot of rain. we are going to see a lot of wind tomorrow as well, not ased about as other northeasters of the past, but we might even see enough rain to cause flooding. certainly rain's already developed here. the low pressure is beginning to develop. we will see that area of low pressure strengthen, move up the coast to new england tomorrow and this is going to provide gusty winds, maybe as much as 50 miles an hour and more, we will certainly see some heavy rainfall and probably some snow in the mountains, too, first snow up there in the higher elevations because of cooler temperatures coming into the picture, not a lot of snow, four inches or so coastal flooding and beach erosion could occur in this area tomorrow and saturday as a result. rainfall amounts, maybe one to two inches, some locally higher, not enough to cause any

widespread flooding, we think. this doesn't really have the tropical connection that we have seen in storms like this in the past. that is all being robbed from paula, way down here, hugging the coast of cuba, still bringing some rain up toward the florida keys. could see some tropical storm force wind gusts there is a tropical storm watch for the florida keys but most of the action is going to stay well down toward cuba. could provide some flooding rain and mud slides from a weakening storm, probably down to a tropical depression by tomorrow. alex? >> nick walker, thanks so much for that. well, a california mom isn't waiting for the police to solve her son's hit and run. how she thinks facebook and craigslist will help her crack the case. and visitors from beyond in the big apple? what new yorkers spotted in the sky. oh.

an out-of-this world sighting in new york city tops our stories far and wide. dozens of people called in to report mysterious flying objects in the skies over manhattan last night.

city officials have no explanation for what people saw. some were speculating it could have been balloons. one witness said the sight stopped people dead in their tracks. in southern california, a mother is tapping into the power of social networking to try to find the driver who hit her son while he was riding his bicycle and then just took off. beverly wide of knbc's los angeles station -- knbc rather, has details. >> reporter: this sign about a hit and run crash is the only indication the driver of a mercedes slammed onto a man on a bicycle at rock field and el toro road and sped away a week ago. the victim lives are road rash, torn tendons and memories of the driver. >> she roll herd window down, she was like, oh, i'm so sorry i hit you. just saying like i didn't see you, didn't get out or anything to see if i was okay. >> reporter: nick's mom, cammie stanley, didn't stop with "street signs." she turned to internet next, hoping to help police locate the driver who harmed her only child. >> absolute anger like nobody's

seen. that's why i've done what i've done, because i'm pissed. i'm a mom. momma bear is what all my friends are calling me now. >> reporter: stanley launched hit and run information at g mail.com in addition to postings on facebook and craigslist. >> the blonde woman, 25 to 40, acknowledged that she hit my son at speeds approximately 30 to 40 miles an hour that sent him flying over his handle bars and landing in the middle of the street. >> reporter: impact dinged nick's bike and sent him to the emergency room. >> even though i am injured, like i said, i'm just thankful that i didn'tç fall right on m head. >> reporter: cammie stanley now hopes cyberspace will point to the driver. it's already restored her faith in human nature. we are creating a voice for this son of mine but it is not just a voice. we are like scream. people are listening and this is unbelievable to me. >> and that was knbc's beverly white reporting. a case of mistaken identify that is believed to be what

happened during that alleged mexican pirate attack that killed american david hartley. an austin-based think tank specializing in intelligence in international issues determined that hartley was shot by mexican cartel enforcers because he was mistaken for a spy of a rival drug cartel. report also concluded that hartley's body was likely destroyed. steve fagan, editor for the monitor, join us live via skype from mcalan, texas. how are you? >> i'm well. how are you? >> i'm fine. what could be behind this a mistaken identity for this man, david hartley. he really would be take torn a cartel spy if he was just jet skiing in the area? >> well, i think that, first of all, i think what stratford has put forward here is one of the best theories yet as to what actually happened. and i think that going over their report, it sounds reasonably plausible when you

figure that there are people from cartels who apparently watch traffic on this side of the border to see who is going to the falcon reservoir, et cetera. so i think that this maybe, in terms of explanations, at least at this point, one of the best theories we have heard yet. of course there have been very many theories since this incident occurred on september 30thment there sure have been. i'm cure judicial committee according to one of the reports, one of the cartels is run damage control over the attack y would that matter to them if this was a mistake? >> suppose lid, it is the zetas who are running damage control. it would matter to them because they have, i think, very carefully tried not to involve u.s. citizens in what is going on. i think they wouldç prefer noto

have u.s. become involved, particularly in any efforts to interrupt their business. >> steve, you think is u.s. authorities they fear here, not the mexican authority? >> i think that it's -- i don't know if the word here is fear, but i think that it's a question of wanting to limit what they view as unnecessary involvement. >> steve fagan, thanks very much for the interview from mcallen texas. >> sure, thank you. general david petraeus is leaving the battle field in afghanistan and heading to 10 downing street to meet with the british prime minister and we are going to tell you why. but first, a look at what's hot on the web with. california police are searching for the estranged husband of a san diego city college student. 19-year-old diana gonzalez's body was found in a men's bathroom on campus. armando perez is considered a person of interest. police believe he may have fled to mexico. muslim cleric in britain is causing controversy with his claim that it is impossible for a man to rape his wife the

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a rescue mission gone terribly wrong. disturbing new information from the pentagonç confirms a grena thrown by an american navy s.e.a.l. may have accidentally killed a british aid worker during a raid to save her from her captors in afghanistan. aid worker linda nor grove was working for an american aid agency in afghanistan when she was abducted by taliban rebels a team of american special forces

launched a brazen assault on a compound in kun far this province last friday when the tragedy struck. nbc's michelle kozinski is joining us live from london. michelle, a good day to you. are there explanations forthcoming as to how this happened? >> not really there are very few details coming out. some of the british papers, as you can imagine, have been all over this story for days, have been quoting unnamed sources, saying that the troops on the ground may not have known that she was in that building, that it is a possible that one of the captors had moved her during the attack, but all of that is unconfirmed at this point. and u.s. military sources really really saying anything there is a joint investigation going on between the british and u.s. governments. keep in mind, at this point, nobody is questioning just how dangerous, extremely dangerous this rescue mission was for u.s. forces. or it was the right thing to do at the time. the question is why did the story change dramatically, first the very specific explanation

for linda norgrove's death on that scene was one of her captors was wearing a bomb vest and detonate it had just before u.s. troops could get to her. late ter emerge it had seemed to be a grenade possibly thrown by a navy s.e.a.l. that killed her. all that is still under investigation, alex there are still so many questions out there. >> a lot of questions, bic enough that you have mr. cameron and general petraeus meeting to discuss this. are people really upset in the reaction been pretty terrible to this news? >> absolutely. it kind of died down after a day when there was open talk in the british press of coverup. they use that a lot. was this initially a coverup? that still is a valid question but some of the expert wes talked to said it doesn't necessarily mean that somebody tried make up a story. it is possible that it was just confusion and the story that came out to from the u.s. military, when the story changed, once they looked at

additional video and talked to more people from the scene, then they realizedç it was a differt circumstance than originally thought. but that is one of the big questions, was there an an initial attempt to cover up what really happened, alex? >> okay. nbc's michelle dozen zin i did a -- kozinski overseas. thank you. finland's most famous english-language news anchor, at least he was until he tried make a joke while reading a story about the country's alcohol licensing laws. he played it straight as he read the news but then the camera came back on his face as he was taking a swig from a beer bottle. wow. he said the prank was meant just for his colleague notice studio and did not mean for it to be broadcast. so, maybe this latest japanese inven also have us saying domo ari gatt toe, mrs. roboto. mrs, a robot that can bough and tilt its head, it can blink, frown and even smirk.

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i'm alex witt. welcome back to msnbc. some of the 33 miners will be able to leave the hospital today. doctors say nearly all of them appear to be in good health but they are facingó73 emotional an psychological challenges ahead. the state department is still warping u.s. citizens living or traveling in europe to take precautions when out in public. there are concerns about that european terror plot still. a u.s. soldier from fort hood told a military court that

he stayed with a fallen comrade, even as a gunman fired behind him. the hearing will determine whether major nadal hasan faces trial for last year's deadly shootings. investigators searching for the body of missing 10 zahra baker. police believe she is dead and they don't believe her father and stepmother's story. some new numbers today from the struggling real estate market show more people are losing their battle to stay in their homes. according to realtytrac, more than 102,000 homes were seized by banks last month, the first time forecloche slurs topped 100,000 in one month. this comes as attorneys general from 49 states launch an investigation into whether thousands of people were forced out of their homes illegally. the probe will focus on a practice called row bow signing in which banks are accused of cutting corners acre proving tens of thousands of foreclosure documents without even reading them. peter tick tin is a florida lawyer defending 3,000 homeowners in foreclosure cases. peter, with a good day to you. first off, 3,000 cases and

people that you were defending here. do you think all of them fall under this category? >> no. no, just the vast majority of them do, mainly those that are -- were mortgage-backed security devices, where -- that was used. >> okay. i want to talk about the depositions that you have, peter, because you have got one from more than 150 bank employees who admit to this row bow signing. first of all, can you explain what this is? is there machinery involved in this or putting papers under people, having them sign and moving on? >> it is almost literally putting papers under people and having them move on but a whole system of having people in place just for that purpose. you see, this is a systemic way of getting all of their affidavits done. this is not an individual situation with the mistake here and a mistake there. it's universal for many of these servicers and banks. like most of them. >> peter, i'm seeing one perhaps

linton loan service, one of many places accused of doing this an arm of goldman sachs. here is a quote of oneç of the depositions. "i don't note ins and outs of the loan, i'm not a loan officer" and that was the person signing these foreclosure documents. what were these people doing prior to becoming charge in charge of foreclosing on a home? >> well, it depended. they came from different segments of the population but generally speaking, they were people that didn't have much secondary education, if any. they were people that respected authority. so you know, if you have somebody that's working for a bank and its bank is telling them this is what you do, they are not going to question and realize that they are actually committing perjury every single time that they are signing their name because, in fact that is exactly what they were doing. >> so peter, let's say the paperwork is found to be faulty in these cases and these homes have been taken out from under people without proper documents,

what happens? is t does the homeowner get the house back? >> i doubt that could happen. the subsequent buyer of the property for value would have certain rights, commerce wouldn't be able to go on unless ultimate buyers of property like this were protected from that but there could be liability. >> so, what are you trying to get for your client who may fall under that category, had their homes taken from them wrongly? >> well our clients are clients presently being sued for foreclosure, the banks are now trying to take the homes wrongly. so, what we are doing is we are working on getting these cases dismissed the best we can so that you are our clients lend up owning the home. >> peter ticktin, a very busy man. thanks for joining us on msnbc. >> thanks for having me here. a big battle looming in nevada. harry reid is set to defend his seat against up and comer challenger republican sharron angle. the tea party-backed angle is coming on strong against reid.

she has retake an 48-46% lead in the latest mason-dixon poll. three weeks ago, reid and angle were tied. john ralston is host of "face-to-face" in las vegas and the publisher of the ralston report. he joins me from las vegas. good day to you. >> good morning. >> what kind of fireworks do you expect to see tonight? >> i think we are going to see two candidates trying to stay on message points who are not very good at staying to on messageç points. i have often said that this race has gotten down to the last gaffe loses. you have both candidates who are known for saying some things that have got them into trouble. the debate format is restrictive enough where they may be able to stay on point but i think that both campaigns are going to be on edge for their person tonight. >> okay. with both of these candidates really running neck in neck, you have president clinton campaigning for reid this week. and reid, is he struggling in this race? do you see that from a financial point of view or from a message point of view or is he just

being lumped into the an antipathy against some democrats, you know, at this point, thinking, well, we just have to have change to try to make a difference? >> yeah, harry reid is very, very disliked by a significant portion of the electorate out here. he has got terrible approval ratings. he has plenty of money. he is going to raise over $20 million, although sharron angle's remarkable $14 million haul in the third quarter certainly has helped her keep pace, but the bill clinton came this week and barack obama's coming next week for one reason and one reason only and that is to try to bridge the enthusiasm gap that is killing democrats all over the country. harry reid needs those democrats to get enthused about something. they are not going to get enthused about him, but bill clinton, barack obama can enthuse them to go out and vote, make it clear what the stages are in this election. >> yeah, but you know, john, if people want change, they have to know what kind of change they are going to get. sharron angle's case she has pretty much shied away from

interviews but you got one from her had. what did you learn about her, in terms of her policy, her positions, what she wants to do of substance for the state of nevada d.a. if she gets elected? >> well it is an interesting question. i interviewed her a long time ago now, it was june 29th, but she has essentially tried do one of two things which is deny saying things that she said in the past or try to paper over some very controversial things she said in the past and she said some more controversial things but her campaign has not been about what you just said, that's interesting. she has not talked about what her plans are, just talked about how bad what harry reid has done is and what he has done to the economy of this state. all she wants to talk about is the economy because that is what people are upset about, people are out of work. they are underemployed. they know friends who have lost jobs. you just did that story onç foreclosures. we are the highest foreclosure rate in the country right here. >> but she is not offering anything as to how she would make things better economically? >> well, she is talking in

general terms. she is saying we will repeal the health care reform bill that will help economy. tax cuts instead of tax increases. it is all essentially the republican talking points that have made her what she is. she has said this stuff her entire career. i have said also about her, she was the tea party before the tea party even existed. that is who she is but she doesn't get down into the weeding and talk about any policies. >> john ralston, thank you for talking with us. we appreciate it. >> you bet. finally hearing from the man who became famous for being on the wrong end of a dick cheney hunting shot n today's "washington post," harry witting ton discusses the infamous february 2006 shooting where cheney accidentally peppered him with lead bird pellets. he told the "post", i was lucky. i just feel like every day is a gift. sometimes i wonder yes got these extra years. cheney and witting ton haven't seen each other for years and cheney has not apologized. the rescue of the chilean

miners inspired and tears and quite a few late night laughs. >> getting -- let go live to natalie morales in chile, natalie? >> we watch each turn of the winch here, how much is riding on that system and i don't think i ever quite understood engineering as i do now. there we go. there we go. >> getting better at it. >> the whole mess already has inspired new reality dating show. look at this. >> 33 rescued miners, 67 angry women with in one house, 80 feet underground. this time, we can't promise they will make it out. miner pad, miner love, major drama. only on oxygen.

>> uh-huh. as for david letterman, corner of paired being trapped in mine to riding on a new york city subway. it is not that bad. any way, south park meets the jersey shore and the colorado cartoon was not tooç happy about it. they even brought in osama bin laden and al qaeda to wipe out jersey folks after the town people had problems taking them out, including one of the best known stars of tv's "jersey shore," snooki. >> it's one of them that thing's from jersey, too. >> what is it? >> it's called a snooki. it is very famous. >> so if you want to note plot of the show, osama bin laden helps south park defeat the jersey folks but then the u.s. assassinated him. i'm just saying. obama mania is dramatically dropping among college students. how the president is trying to rock the youth vote, coming up. but first, it's official, love can really ease your pain,

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germans were mesmerized by hitler during the era, considered one of the darkest periods in history. 600 exhibits and 400 photographs on display in berlin's historical museum. riot police in athens clash with protesting workers who barricade the ancient acropolis. the worker held themselves up at the famed site, complaining they were ode up to 22 months of back pay. cancel the crumpets for the queen's annual christmas party. her majesty, queen elizabeth, called off the planned party for her staff after deciding it would be inappropriate to celebrate during tough economic times. with big debates an big guns on the campaign trail, the daily beast is track hog is getting the most midterm election buzz this week and senior editor brian curtis is here to tell us who is on top in this week's election oracle. good day to you. >> good day to you, too. >> we will talk about a couple of the races we have been talking about this hour on msnbc. let's first go to delaware, which with you have, not surprisingly, chris coons as the victor here.

>> our election oracle on the daily beast was unmoved by ms. o'donnell's debate performance last night, give chris cons a 90% chance of win that. >> last i checked, i thought it was only 80. you have moved the number in his corner. >> let me give you cool numbers for that race. chris cons is wing 64 to 36% on immigration, a surprising number for a democrat in this climate, winning 77% to 23% on the deficit, on the deficit. again, a tea party candidate, those are the kind of issues tough make headway on, also 56 to 44 on jobs. you see with christine o'donnell, she is not making an impact on those issues and that is why she is losing. interesting, we go to nevada, sharron angle up by 2, 48 to 46 but you guys have a pretty commanding lead, 60 to 40 harry reid is going to take it? >> give harry reid 560% chance of wing the election, 50/50 in the polls. our oracle likes harry reid. numbers from this race, too, very interesting, on immigration, 49/51, virtual tie.

very important issue in nevada, harry reid needs to turn out latino voters it if he is going to win, a base election, turn out his base, talking a lot about immigration. 48/52 on jobs, virtually tied, harry reid needs union voters to come out, given the climate, unpopularity in nevada. a big number, for him to fit to a draw on jobs in our mind is very big. >> slightly west of there the golden state of california, you have pretty nasty debate, jerry brown and meg whitman. you are saying this one, brown is leading in the polls and you are sticking with it? >> we do he seems to be winning on most of the issues. we think jerry brown has a fundamental advantage in california it is a liberal state. she has to make up a lot of ground to beat him. still like jerry brown. >> all that money she has poured into the race, it has not bought her -- >> nor sharon angle, 13 million in the third quarter to beat harry reid, we don't think. >> i want to get your prediction off the top of your head on the house, are the dems going to hold it or a kweerk and tip the gop way? >> we like the republicans to take the house probably in the

range of 225, 230 seats somewhere, in there the democrats to hold the senate, 52-48, see very narrow lead. again several weeks to go. those numbers are close enough they can move in either direction. >> you think the shouse going to flip? >> absolutely. >> bryan curtis the daily beast, the election oracle, thanks for that. >> thank you. a lot going on this afternoon. about four and a half hours from now, president bill clinton will be campaigning in new mexico. five hours from now, sarah palin will be holding a forum in san jose, california, give a speech and take questions from the crowd. at 8:30 tonight on nbc, the first-ever live episode of the hit show "30 rock," it is going to be live for all the time zones. how cool is that? going to be "snl" set, too. more details coming up. [ animals calling ] ♪ [ pop ] [ man ] ♪ well, we get along

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both the president and first lady are on the campaign trail. michelle obama is being touted as the democrats' secret weapon, stumping for struggling candidates in need of money and an energized base and president obama is trying to rock the youth vote, leading a youth town hall to be broadcast on mtv and other networks. he has his work cut out for him, according to an associated press/mtv u poll, in may 2009, president obama enjoyed 69% approval rating. fast moored forward to now, september 2010 and just 44% approval and 27% disapproval. msnbc's mike viqueira joining us live from the white house a good day to you, mike. >> hi, alex. >> let's talk about the waning support from students. anything the mtv poll will show us? >> put your finger on the problem here, a disaffected and

discouraged democratic base includes all democratic voters, those on the left and the youth vote that showed out in such force for the first time in many cases in 2008 to help vault president obama into the west wing and the oval office here in washington. michelle obama is being used very sparingly from the beginning. her office has said that she will not be engaged in partisan attacks, but what they are doing is sending her out to those regions, those places, those events where she can help motivate that base. yesterday, it was in wisconsin to help the deeply politically troubled russ feingold. a lot of people saying he is a goner at this point. last night in chicago, for some house races, also the senate race there, trying to race money, sheb did early voting in today and goes on to denver for more fund-raising tonight. you mentioned the president, a series of campaign rallies, he goes to ohio state for another one of those big rallies on campus next sunday. he is going to be joined by, guess who michelle obama. a lot of people looking forward to that something of a unique

experience. he is going to be on that viacom station today, mtv, cmt, country music channel, black entertainment television, trying to get to that youth vote earthquake the president said over and over again, rather plantive pleas at some of the ral linger, need to you get out there and vote the enthusiasm gap is real, you have to stick with meç for this congress thi election so i can be successful the next two years that is the message from the white house and a message we can expect to continue now the next two and a half weeks as we near election day, alex. >> michelle obama using the mom in chief approach, right? >> exactly. she has talked about -- she is largely echoed what the president has said about the fact that they were in a deep hole when they came into office. >> mike viqueira at the white house. thanks so much. i'm alex witt. that is going to do it for me i fill on tore cons at the rah brewer. i'm going to see on the weekend, 7 a.m. on saturdays, 8 a.m. on

sundays, but up next, andrea mitchell reports. andrea is going to talk with michelle reed, the outgoing head of the d.c. public school systems. keep it right here on msnbc.

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right now on andrea mitchell reports, faceoff in delaware. tea party favorite christine o'donnell makes her debate debut, clashing with democrat chris coons over taxes, health care and who with would make a better target to on late night. >> you are just jealous you weren't on "saturday night live." >> i'm dying to see who is going to play me, christine. >> next on the marquee, fight night in vegas. harry reid tries to defend his tight until his only debate against tea party challenger, sharron angle. to break it down for us this hour, chuck todd and chris cillizza. on the trail, first lady michelle obama casts an early ballot today in illinois before continuing her national camp