november 2nd vote. on nbc's "meet the press," rnc chair michael steele predicted his party is just days away from sweeping into power. >> i absolutely believe in the house, the balance of power will shift, as i like to say we are 38 seat he is and need to get to 39 to get control. but i think we are more than there. >> you say the house will go to the republicans? what about the senate? >> the senate is a little bit tougher but i think we are going to be there. if this wave continues the way it is going, has been over the last few weeks especially, i think could you see the senate as well. >> nbc's mike viqueira is live at the white house. a good sunday morning to you, mike. >> good morning, alex. >> you have been travel with the president as he tries to keep steele's predictions from coming true. what has been in the reaction? >> to the president, he was in a lot of blue states, washington, seattle, portland, in san francisco, los angeles. i mean, these are areas where his support is still strong. yesterday, he wrapped up that five-state, four-day tour in

minneapolis, where he still, the entire state of minnesota is above 50%. you know, that san indication, alex, not necessarily good news for democrats that the president has to go to these areas and shore up his support, make sure that people like patty murray in washington, barbara boxer, you see him there at usc, 37,000 at that rally in california, go to college campuses like usc, go to college campuses like the university of washington and yesterday the university of minnesota, try to get young people part of his coalition back in 2008. women, add backyard discussion with women in seattle, economic challenges they face, try to get them to the polls, an indication there is that enthusiasm gap. said many times the president was on this trip trying to set up a firewall so republicans don't take over the senate. chairman steele there may have been a little bit optimistic, but maybe a little bit leaning out over the ski tips in terms of the prospects for a senate majority. many democrats here and analysts agree are hopeful that they can

keep control of the senate. the house, a different story. michael steele right in line with many of the predictions you are seeing. they are calling it a wave election, 39 is what republicans need to take over the house a net gain of 39 seats. most people, neutral robbers looking at that democrats telling me, some i talked to on the campaign trail over the last several days it would be total shock if republicans didn't win the house at this point. so the president's got his work cut out for him. he is not giving up. he is trying to hold back that wave, going back out on the campaign trail this week, but the prospects do not look good, the landscape pretty bleak for democrats at this point, alex. >> mike viqueira at the white house. thanks. >> okay. >> a bit later this hour, we will take out the crystal ball, make election predictions with the daily beast for. you new information secret iraq war documents is raising questions about how much the u.s. military knew about the slaughter of iraqi civilians by iraqi forces. the nearly 400,000 files were made public more than a day ago by the wikileaks website and the documents are revealing new

details about the day-to-day violence in iraq. earlier, i talked with a senior research fellow with the heritage foundation about the release. >> i think the founder of wikileaks, julian assange, thinks he is some kind of hero but i think the reality is that this information is classified for good reason. he is putting in jeopardy not only our u.s. troop bus those iraqis and afghans who are cooperating with us and he is encouraging people to break the law. >> wikileaks also released 77,000 secret files on the afghan war in july. new this morning, there are now five confirmed cases of cholera in the capital of haiti it. so far, the outbreak is responsible for more than 200 deaths in the country's rural areas. more than 2,000 others are sick and there are growing concerns there in the capital of port-au-prince where thousands of earthquake survivors are housed, hundreds of thousands, in fact. the outbreak is the worst health crisis in the country since the january 12th quake. the a least three beaches on california's central coast are

closed this morning after that deadly shark attack on a bodyboarder. officials will make a decision tomorrow on when to reopen the beaches. ucsb college student lucas ransom was bodyboarding with a friend friday north of santa barbara when the a shark attacked him. the 19-year-old died shortly thereafter. big concerns on the campus of georgetown university this morning when police discovered a drug lab inside a dorm room. officials arrested two students and one visitor for using chemicals to produce a hallucinogenic dmt. the college says it is a far cry from what it represents. >> it was shocking. i had no idea that people were even capable of manufacturing something like that in the dorm rooms, certainly not indicative of the culture of georgetown. >> medical teams val waited several people who were exposed to those chemicals but fortunately, no one was injured. an early blast of winter in colorado this weekend. the loveland ski area was able to open up for the season one day early thanks to all the

snowfall. workers have fired up the lifts. all those plows are on the highways clearing the way for the drivers to get to those ski lifts. and severe thunderstorms pounded north texas. the storms damaged numerous apartment buildings in fort worth, ripping off parts of the roofs there winds gusted to 16 miles per hour in some areas. more now on the national weather headlines to do that we check in with our friend, the weather channel's jeff morrow. another good morning to you. >> good morning, alex. and you know, those ski resorts out in colorado, loveland, which is going to be opening and also rap pa hoe basin, they compete with each other to see which one can open first. they are way up there looks like loveland may have won this time. i think they will be joined by a lot of other places, ski resorts out here, alex, we have another big storm moving into the west coast. and that's going to be putting down a lot of rain and snow. before that we have to deal with another round of severe weather, you mentioned what happened in dallas and fort worth with some damage yesterday. we are going to move that threat area a little bit farther east, up and through what's called the

arklatex, mississippi valley, memphis, little rock, jackson, mississippi, here is that big storm i was alluding to we have a little bit of snow, as you mentioned in colorado, from the first round. this is the second round coming in. going to have very gusty winds along the coast. some of the winds in see the you're rah nevada could gust over 100 miles an hour with heavy rainfall f all that weren't enough, we still have to look at the tropics, we have tropical storm richard, very close to becoming a hurricane but should stay down here in the caribbean and affect maybe mexico and central america. so alex, in the east, i think you have a pretty nice day today. try to enjoy it. >> i know. i have to say thank you, jeff morrow, for hooking me up with that appreciate it. >> welcome. >> see you next hour. the forecast for you and the latest weather advisories across the country, you can always head to weather.com. 3-2 pitch. got him looking and the giants win the pennant! >> that was it. with that, the san francisco giants eliminated the philadelphia phillies, they now advance to the world series

where they will take on the texas rangers. game one is set for wednesday. the celebration began immediately in san francisco, where the fans all took to the streets, while the giants haven't won the world series since 1954, it is the first time the rangers have ever been to the fall classic, making a pretty exciting time. there is a legal battle over the military's don't ask, don't tell policy. right now the policy stands. i'm going to get reaction from actress and activist fran drescher about that. the sequel to "paranormal activity" scares off competitors at the box office. you know it is halloween season after all. interesting grooming.

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nine days out from the midterm vote and both parties are digging in for the final stretch n colorado, republican ken buck squared off with democratic senator michael bennet in their final debate today. among other things shall the two disagreed a u.s. timetable to withdraw troops from afghanistan. recent polling shows the republican up by three points, which is within the margin of

error. heading to florida sarah palin was stumping for marco rube yoechlt the former alaska governor folk chu custed not only on rubio's race but the democratic leaders in washington, d.c. >> what do you do with any employee who is not doing their job? that is right, you fire them. you fire pelosi, you retire reid and their whole band of merry followers and we get back to putting america on the right track. >> president obama is taking some time awful campaign trail today after a busy five-state swing, but he won't put his feet up for long, he is slated to visit five more states before election day. on the heels of that let's bring in associate editor and columnist for the hill and joanne reed, editor of reed report.com and political columnist for the "miami herald." form for you both, good to see you. >> good mornings, alex. >> ab, there are signs that president obama is sharpening his message recently? taking on a mocking term when talking about the gop s that a

conscious decision by the white house? all concern it had might be a little too late? >> they are always concern it had is too late if they are reading the polls that we are reading and we know that they are, but this is a conscious decision, alex, because they are hoping to actually try to fire up the base and anger partisans on the left side of the democratic party who are disappointed with the administration over issue after issue, domestic and international to get motivated enough to vote. and this argument that the republicans are too extreme and republican control of washington is too dangerous to return to actually resonates obviously with liberals, doesn't work so much with independents but certainly helps fire up partisan democrats. what we are seeing from early voting in very key states is that democrats are getting out and voting and responding to the message and that's you why see with each passing day, the white house, you know, raising up, racheting up the rhetoric against republicans. >> joanne what is your take on this? do you think the president's supporters want a partisan

leader who sticks to their guns or someone who gets down in the trenches and tries to work and moderate and compromise? >> part of the story is undermined because some don't think he fought hard enough. the democrats wanted to see the president fight, fight harder on health care for the public option, wanted to see him combat what they saw as republican obstructionism with a lot sharper rhetoric. so, once he starts doing that, that is when you start to see his numbers start to climb with democrats. that what the base wants to see and midterms are base affairs. >> okay. let's play for both of you some sound of the president yesterday in minnesota. take a listen to this. >> it is just hard, that's all. and that's okay. it is just the first quarter.

we have a lot more quarters to play. >> is president resigned to the fact that his party is in trouble right now, a.b.? >> yes. listen, health care reforge the stimulus package, which was just officially called the recovery and reinvestment act, and obviously, a vote on cap and trade in the house that didn't go anywhere in the senate, but even financial services regulation, which was otherwise known as wall street reform, which is going to be so popular, none of these obama agenda items are being touted on the campaign trail by democrats. they are not running on the obama agenda. they are running from t and so he knows how precarious their situation is the best day they could have, alex, hold the house by a few seats, he is trying to explain it away while, like i said before, really firing up liberals to turn out and vote, but democrats are disappointed and he knows it and he knows that in bellwether, in battlegrounds, democrats, where

they are trying to win independents, they cannot run on his record. >> joanne, so much anger engendered during the political battles over health care and financial reform. do you think these are the issues really impacting the midterm elections or is it all about jobs and the economy ultimately? >> yeah, i think it is all about jobs ant economy. if you break down the individual components of health care reform, they are popular, i don't think that you are going to find very many americans that want pre-existing conditions to be a condition of you to get health care coverage. the individual components of financial reform are popular, people do want the banks to be reined in, they do want wall street to be regulated. i think democrats are making a mistake by not running on their record because the components of it are popular, the overall policies have been demonized very successfully by republicans but most americans are reacting to the jobs pitch entered a economy, period. not reacting to individual aspects of health care or financial reform. the president is doing the right thing by touting what's been done and by running on t and if the rest of the democrats don't

do it he has got to do it himself. >> joanne reed, a.b. stoddard, thanks so much. hispanics helped win the states of california, nevada and arizona in 2008 and they could be crucial in election day. i will talk about the impact of the latino vote, coming up. the defense department set up a system to make it tougher to get fired being openly gay. robert gates says only the army, air force and navy secretaries can decide whether to discharge service members under the once-again enforced policy don't ask, don't tell. i talked with actress fran drescher in a spot for same-sex marriage, you see her there and asked her about don't ask, don't tell. >> i have to tell that you shortly after world war ii, "life" magazine had run a contest asking americans what they would do if they had had captured hitler. and a woman won with a single

line entry, which was "put him in a black suit and set him free in america." and that really leveled us, in terms of realizing that here we were, so valiantly fighting against racism overseas and, in fact, we could not see our own self-image that there was terrible racism right here in the united states and it was something that we needed to really look at and examine. and i think that we have to see that today as well because all of this discussion about how the military is going to feel if there's openly gay people in the military and it's like, well, we're overseas, these brave young men and women are overseas, fighting al qaeda and al qaeda's intolerance and yet, we are worried that they are going to be intolerant of their fellow military people because

of their sexual orientation? personally, if i were out on the front line, i wouldn't be so worried about whether they were straight. i would be more worried about whether they could shoot straight. >> exactly. i have talked to jones and other people in the military who say, really, when you are on the front lines doing battle the last thing you are thinking about is someone's sexual orientation. >> what is your level of patriotism? what is your sense of character? what is your commitment to me as a brother and a sister? do you have my back? that's all anybody should be concerned about. you know, there was a time when they didn't even integrate blacks and whites in the military. there was a time when a white person wouldn't get a blood transfusion from a black person. we have to keep moving forward as a nation that has raised its consciousness. >> you talk about raising, i want to plug that to the young people. i mean, this rash of young people that have been bullied to death, been homosexual as of

late, what does that say about the future? >> i'm devastated by that and i think that if something coming out of this where the consciousness of the nation gets raised at the expense of these poor kids, then at least they did not die in vain. >> that was part of my earlier conversation with fran drescher. a pop star and comedian get hitched but what do elephants have to do with it? believe it or not i'm serious there. newspapers could soon be a dying breed, thanks to the ipad. that ahead on msnbc sunday. ring ring ring ring

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there is a lot of trash talk going on in europe now the european commission is warning italy it could face sanctions if it does not remove 2400 tons of

trash piled up in the streets of naples. locals have been protesting the smell and filth in a local dump as well as plans to open a new dumping site. for the past week, the protest vrs been torching vehicles, burning flags, hurling stones and firecrackers as well at police. just in time for halloween, the ghosts are back in "paranormal activity 2" but can the sequel scare up the same success as the original? take a look. >> this is the freakiest thing that happened to me last night. this is the door closing by itself. >> dad? >> get out of my house! >> mm-hmm. we are getting the frightening detail nous from dawn yanic, editor at large of life and style weeklism you love this kind of stuff? >> i love scary movies. >> this one looks pretty scary. how does it compare to "paranormal activity 1," the first one? >> think people would have

enough scares from the current state of the economy, no people want to go to the box office, the theaters and get themselves scared silly. moviegoers flocked to the theaters weekend and this movie broke all sorts of records. it was the biggest opening for a horror movie ever. it earned about $40.5 million this weekend, a lot of money. broke the record for most midnight showings for an r-rated movie. critics have been very kind to this which is kind of unusual for a horror movie. overwhelmingly positive. i have to say, i'm a tough sell though and i didn't think that this one quite lived up to the original. personally, obviously, i'm not minority on this one. >> you were able to sleep? >> i was. i was. >> that didn't make you happy? >> no. >> with regard to other entertainment news overall, big news fromle is lean deion, right? >> we have double the congratulations for her at life and style weekly, she welcomed fraternal twin boys to her broad yesterday. they were delivered by cesarean section. they weighed in at 5 pounds 10 ounces and 5 pounds 4 ounces so,

good, hearty boys. we have some other baby news in hollywood, too. matt day mon welcomed a daughter yesterday to his family as well. little stella. and is a big weekend for him because he also has a movie opening this weekend. it is the clint eastwood-directed "here universitier" coming in about fourth place at the box office. >> i'm going to add to its covers this afternoon. i definitely want to see that one. his fourth baby, i believe? >> he has a door -- two other daughters with his current wife and she has a previous daughter -- daughter from a previous relationship. >> okay. what about wedding bells, katy perry, rustle brand in india with the elephants. what do you know about this ceremony? >> what we have been hearing about this wedding is that despite all of the crazy rumors about the paparazzi following them and a little bit of craziness earlier they tied the knot yesterday. it was a traditional indian ceremony in certain ways but on the other hand, reportedly, they were married by a christian minister. so, reportedly, she had henna applied her hands and feet and arms the night before the

wedding and there was a traditional indian bazaar that they had set up for the guests so they could get sar ries and jewelry and sorts of indian thing for the wedding. >> wear it there and celebrate. >> absolutely beautiful. i cannot wait to see pictures. >> me either. a suddens very good. dawn, thanks so much. >> thanks, alex. will hispanic voters decide the fate of harry reid and other politicians in tight races? plus, the government claims that a majority of the oil spilled in the gulf coast dissipated. not so. that is coming from some fishermen. we are coming right back. ♪ i had just turned 17 ♪ a harmonica and a box guitar ♪ ♪ in a canvas-covered wagon stuffed... ♪ [ male announcer ] while the world's been waiting on the electric car, maybe the whole time, the electric car has been waiting for this... the wattstation from ge. it's going to change the way we get to where we all want to go. ♪ i didn't think much of it till i took it apart ♪ no calorie sweetener granulated with fiber. sweet! [ female announcer ] tastes like sugar

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i'm alex witt, hereare the top stories as we approach the bottom of the hour. fishermen in the gulf of mexico are finding new oil slicks from this summer's oil disaster. some of the spills are almost 400 feet wide and at least a mile long. illinois police believe a missing northern illinois university student was murdered. human remains were found in a park where tony keller was believed to be going. officials in the united arab emirates canceled an upcoming open water swim withing event

following the death of a u.s. swimmer. 26-year-old fran crippen died yesterday while competing in a race near dubai. msnbc is the police for politics with the midterms just over a week awake now, we are keeping a close eye on the hot races which includes delaware, where republican christine o'donnell is facing an uphill battle against democrat chris coons. on "meet the press" this morning, david gregory asked rnc chairman michael steele if recent gaffes by tea party candidates are undermining you the republican brand. >> folks make mistakes, lord knows i'm familiar with foot-and-mouth disease, i understand how that is sometimes, you get in the heat of a battle, you have the passion and the fire in your belly and you really want to get out there and speak to the issues, speak to the people, you say things that don't come out correctly, you make mistakes, create misperceptions, i think that happens a lot in campaigns, happens on both sides. what really matters is how the voters receive that, how the voters look at those kantd dat

and despite those foibles and fla flaws, the misspoken word, people understand where their heart is people understand these folks are going to go out there and fight for them. as i said earlier, david, this reality right now for people is that we want a leadership that is going to listen to us. we want someone that is going to take the fight to congress and not fight against us. where weather it is christine o'donnell or sharron angle who ever it happens to be that has the ground swell of energy behind them matters to people now. >> a political reporter for msnbc news is with us. good morning. >> good morning. >> republicans face a tough road in the delaware senate race, certainly but more confident about things in the house. if republicans take control there, how is it going to happen? >> that delaware senate vase problem for republicans and some think it is affecting the senate race in pennsylvania that is really close because if you are going to advertise in delaware, tough advertise in philadelphia.

in the house, republicans and democrats think that is a good shot for republicans. one way they get there is, you know, when we look at our list of the top house races, you go to about 30 and you can see a real way that republicans take all those seats, but then from about 30 to what we say is about 115 potential democratic seats that are in players have suss just 15 for republicans, shows you how wide the playing field is, from about 30 to about 55 or 60, they are tossups. they could go either way. there is a slight path for democrats to be able to actually hold the house where republican does take just 35 seats or so and come up just short. the likelihood is that it is probable belie north of 39, somewhere in the 50 range potentially, but we are going to know very early on on election night which states or which -- if republicans are going to take back the house because you have got four states that close early

that we are really watching closely that is georgia, indiana, south carolina and kentucky. there are house race there is going to tell us whether or not republicans are over the top. >> yeah, but then got senate races in alaska that are going to keep us up a long time. let's get to some of the competitive races in the senate. you have got this very interesting dynamic going on right now in west virginia, governor joe manchin, running for the senate. he is one of the most popular politicians in the nation really, yet this race is a tossup? why is that? >> they like him as their governor, not necessarily as somebody who they want to be their senator. now, there is a difference between somebody i heard earlier talking about in massachusetts, for example, they have had four straight republicans before deval patrick was there, yet their entire congressional delegation is democratic. a difference between whether people think you can govern and do a good job for them in their state versus what you are going to vote for on a federal agenda. what they are really nervous

about, west virginiians they think someone like manchin, he could go to congress and wind up voting mostly for the obama/pelosi/reid agenda, as they are calling it that is not something that is popular with west virginians. barack obama's approval rating is down in the state and manchin has been doing a lot of verbal gymnastics, he is on another sunday show, another network sunday show this morning and doing verbal gymnastics on health care and cap and trade and it is very hard for him to get around those issues. >> let get to wisconsin, where you have senator russ feingold, pretty tight battle with the businessman he is running against, ron johnson. a lot of the fund raising is coming into play here. how is it playing out in that state? >> yeah, you know, fund raising is one part of it, but the biggest part of it here is the national environment. the fact of the matters is the economy in wisconsin is really not very good. unemployment is not as bad as the national average, 6.8%, isn't as bad as the national average but had a real depressed

manufacturing base, brands like miller, coors and harley davidson, left the state and feingold had to answer questions about his vote for health care and his vote for the stimulus and ron johnson is running as an outsider and feingold is having a tough time. this was the close estate of the 2004 presidential election, just .38 percentage points separated john kerry and george bush. >> let's get to illinois. the race for the president's old senate seat. right now, we have republican mark kirk leading democratic alexi giannoulias, 43 to 41%, well within that margin of error for the poll, the president heading there next week to try to make a difference and campaign for alexi giannoulias. your insights on this race, how is it shaking down? >> you see that poll there slight lead for kirk. a real high number of undecided, boy, just nine days before the election and got almost 20% of the voters saying they are not sure who they are going to vote for. both candidates are flaw and questions about both candidates.

this is a state that leans democratic, barack obama's old seat n that mason-dixon poll, we saw barack obama's approval rating drop to 51%. now, look, that is better than what we have seen on a national average, you know in our nbc/wall street poll. barack obama's approval rating is at 47%. so that is one reason you see someone like giannoulias have the ability to potentially win in a state like that even though the national climate favors republicans. >> okay, thanks so much. and for a look at the top political stories, check out first read at msnbc.com, updated throughout the day, you can check back often. hundreds are rallying in san francisco this weekend in support of a man killed by a police officer. the bay area port workers union held that yesterday in support of oscar grant, fatally shot by a transit officer while laying face down in 2009. the former officer was convicted of involuntary manslaughter july and is scheduled to be sentenced in two weeks. union members want him to receive the maximum penalty of 14 years in prison.

analysts will be watching wall street tomorrow after a mixed end to the trading week. meantime, a lot of news about house, just as bank of america, the nation's largest learned, resumes foreclosures on more than 100,000 homes. repo sessions have been stopped and checks of dubious documents. home sales old and new are expected to rise and expect to see how much homes are selling for. ben bernanke expected to speak about the future of mortgage financing, a report on gross domestic products spending, the sum of all goods and services made in the u.s., expected to show the economy growing more in the third quarter than it did in the spring. meantime, a startling prediction this morning about the sale of ipads and the sale of home-drivered subscrippings. about 4.2 million ipads have been sold since the product's launch in april that number is expected to rise and to deal a big blow to the sale of newspapers and magazines. joining me now with these heed headlines, personal finance expert, carmen wong you will rick this is interesting stuff.

>> my husband writes for a newspaper, but it is very interesting. the neiman journalism lab out of harvard is reporting -- projecting that by 2012, sales of ipads are going to exceed home delivery of newspapers and magazine subscriptions, this is a big, big story, very interesting because we are all shifting to this other form of media it is not just the ipad it is the e books, you know, i touches, all of these things, we are shifting in that direction. are newspapers able to catch up and get ahead, which is where they need to be? >> it is so interesting, i tell you, to watch this we watch with a little bit of trepidation. >> a paradigm shift. >> come on. >> the media business. this is an absolute huge paradigm shift see this play out in the next years i'm fascinated by it. >> me, too. you mentioned the e-books, amazon .com announced a big change for the kindle what is that? >> here is the kindle books. >> what is that? >> they are matching up what barns & noble's knock does,

14-day lending period. i have a book i talked about, this book is great, i will lend it tour, the e-book, i can lend it to you on the kindle now, for 14 days, but i won't be able to read it during those 14 days like an actual printed, bound book. >> send it over to? >> you can read it and included as part of the price. >> yeah. okay. this comes on the heels of pretty dig announcements on kindle's comp pet tort knock. >> this is the barnes & noble, knock. you could only buy it at barnes & nobles or bn.com they teamed one walmart, the big guy. they will be selling with walmart n response to the amazon kindle, could you get at amazon.com but target and best buy, these two are head-to-head. this holiday season, i can't wait to see how this plays out, the prices in a price war, 139, 149 this goes down to $99, both of them, either of them h. >> you think either has the potential to do that? >> if they do you can bet sales will be absolutely through the roof. i know i would end up buying several. >> i would, too.

i would buy --. great gifts. >> i know. >> it is going to be fun. >> oh, good heads up. thank you very much, carmen wong you will rick. >> thank you. candidates are run out of time before next week's midterm election, who is up who is down in the daily beast making predictions with us. plus, the my rent is too high candidate for new york governor got a lot of laughs during last week's debate, wait until you see "snl's" take on it.

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so, there are dozens of exciting races to keep track of this election year and now an easy way to see how your favorite candidates stack up before november 2nd. benjamin sorrell is the washington correspondent for the daily beast and clearly something to do with the daily beast, the election oracle. good morning to you, benji. good morning. >> you put this all together tracking data from multiple sources, making predictions on races, let's go to the nevada senate seat, sharron angle defeating harry reid, why is that and what is the margin there? >> it is very, very narrow it could spring swing at any moment. sharon angle is a very small but significant polling lead. it seems harry reid cannot close the deal for all these questions nevada voters have about angle. reid is having a tough time overcoming the disdain vote. >> money anything to do with it? she is flush with cash, right? >> it does in a sense that she has been able to bombard the air wave and harry reid has had had plenty of cash there is almost no undecided voters at this

point, everyone has been introduced to these candidates, a lot of attention, the real top ticket in nevada in terms of elections. there is not a lot of room for reid to gain the last few percentage, which tends to favoring an until our model. anything being discussed reid loses and the dems keep the majority, who likely to seize the new leader, senator schumer, seine ter durbin? >> less focus on that actually, partly a byproduct of sharron angle getting a nomination no longer a sure thing that reid is in trouble. i'm not seeing ton of discussion about reid's successor while he is competitive. >> ohio gubernatorial race, what you have here, democratic governor ted strickland losing to john kasich. really? >> yeah. kasich is emblematic of a lot of

republican campaigns now, and ted strickland emblematic of democratic problems and incumbent problems in general. governors have a very tough time in an economy like this. unlike the federal government they can't provide stimulus of their own they can't run a deficit. so they have to make very painful choices, very difficult cuts, perhaps very difficult tax increases and kasich has a very big opening then to attack. so, it seems that strickland is going to have a very tough time if he wants to keep his seat. >> moving west real quickly to arizona's third house race there you have the named candidate, if you will, we have ben quayle, whom you guys have ticked off as being the winner in this race, though i hear it is a race really tightening up. >> certainly he is favored, just because it is such a republican district, but there's no doubt that he is in much worse trouble than he really should be given how conservative the place is running and is. he has had serious personal scandal, his opponent is -- makes no bones about attacking had him about on it, involving his involvement in an

adult-themed website. >> website, right. >> and it seems that his name recognition also can cut both ways. a lot of people have strong opinions about dan quayle, some favorable, also a lot of the negative baggage, claims dan quayle have were a political light weight transitory to ben quayle, facing the same accusations. >> the daily beast's genbenji s lan. the highlight of "saturday night live's" weekend update. take a look. >> i hope to become the first black governor ever elected from the rent is too damn high party. what is part of the establishment, well believe it or not, i have never been a governor anywhere. people ask, if elected, how would you lower our rent?

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nine days out from the midterm elections, the spanish-language media is launching a major get out the vote campaign. own vision and telemundo will air programming aim at getting hispanic voters out to the polls which comes after a conservative latino group which released an ad in nevada telling hispanic voters to sit out this election. >> this november, weed eknead to send a message to all politicians if they didn't keep their promise on immigration reform, then they can't count on our vote. don't vote this november. this is the only way to send them a clear message. you can no longer take us for granted. tonight vote. >> jose diaz-balart is an anchor for telemundo, maria san msnb

contributor and juan jose gut you're vetz director of latino movement usa. welcome to all three of you. thanks for joining us. jose, i will begin with you. what will telemundo be doing over the next nine days? >> alex, we have been doing it for some weeks and the months now, as a matter of fact, a campaign ongoing and called your vote is your future. we haven't been waiting for people and organizations like you just showed saying don't vote to get our community involved in the importance of voting. on my sunday morning show, i interabsolute president of that organization to get a better picture of exactly what they were thinking when they put out that ad. >> only 30 minutes from now sure you can stay for the rest of this one? >> yeah. well -- >> just sit tight. maria, as we head into october, the polls showed a lack of enthusiasm among hispanic voters. pew research found 50% of

hispanic voters say they plan to go to the polls, compared to 70% of all registered voters that get out and vote. what do you say is behind enthuse why gap? >> i think the latino vote will be the october surprise. what few failed to discuss is historically in every single midterm since '98, you see latino voters lagging behind the general population but there has been a significant increase, anywhere from 3 to 5% per midterm. what's going to happen now, we are ten days out from the election roughly it is all going to be peer-to-peer. we really need the grassroots mobilization. we need a loft door knocking and people to be talking to each other about the importance of voting. in fact, studies have showed if you talk -- if one latino talks to another latino about going to the polls, the leaklihood of that registered voter going to the polls increases two-fold t is, again, an october surprise opportunity and i'm looking forward to it. >> juan this ad in nevada focused on immigration. do you see immigration being the primary concern right now in the latino community or that which everybody shares right now, jobs

and the economy? >> both issues are critically important to the latino voter. immigration, of course, is the number one issue in our counity, followed by a close second issues related to -- the economy that we have. >> let him speak. i want to hear this. >> no, what i wanted to say this ad calling on latino voters to not vote, i think voters -- criminal. i think what latino voters been doing quite a number of years is wanting to have their voices heard and you will never hear anybody's voice unless you vote and so latinos are mindful of that and i don't think that we will actually not go to vote. i think that -- i agree with the person that said there thank there might be an october surprise because latinos are, in fact, very concerned that their

primary issues, like immigration, like fixing the economy, are not really being fixed. so we want something done about it and i think that we are beginning to understand that voting is an effective way of having our vote heard. >> i will let jose and maria talk about that in a moment. any of you think hispanic voters should get out there and vote? is there anyone? >> absolutely no. >> alex in a democracy when someone is telling you not to vote, something's fishy, something's wrong. immediately, what folks don't realize, because late teen flows not necessarily party to one democratic or republican affiliation, they are vet. swing pendulum. they are very issue-based. the more the candidates can talk to them about the issues that is what gets the vote. >> both of you were in dissent with him, with the gentleman just talking about, with juan talking about immigration being number one. do you both think it is the economy and jobs, number one issue in the latino community? i will let you go first, jose? >> absolutely. jobs, jobs, jobs. when you have nevada, the

highest unemployment rate, full of latinos, california, over 12% unemployment, in the anglo community on average the hispanic community has a higher level of unemployment than does the average anglo community, i have to till, alex, the issue here, i think, talk about october surprises, what we are finding in telemundo is a lot of people that have vote, that have the opportunity to vote, feel disillusioned with what they are seeing in both political parties. they are seeing on the republican side, a political party turning its back on the hispanic community and disrespecting the hispanic community many ways. the democratic side, a political party that speaks at the hispanic and not to the hispanic. the democratic party says we are going to give the dream act two weeks before we go on the break when we know it is not going to be able to pass. we are going to talk about immigration reform, promise you immigration reform in the first year of the democratic administration, not give it to you, you have got to deal with us because -- you know what, a

lot of people are saying have health reform, why not have immigration reform, you promised us. both political parties on different levels failed the hispanic community, but jobs are number one. >> maria, i want you to answer something specifically, you dissented, you think jobs are the number one issue in the latino community. having said that what about the foreclosures which you estimate has been about 38% in this country manning monk latinos if you look at california, closer to half of the foreclosures affect latino communities. logistically that is a bit of a nightmare for candidates to reach latino voters, right? >> exactly why our organization, we are concentrating so much on the field. you are right. homeowners are historically voters. unfortunately, a lot of the home openers in 2008 are no longer in those homes, all about the field. i think another thing we should discuss in '94 everyone was talking about the republicans rushing in and taking control of the house and the senate, what folks don't realize is that in '94 the latino electorate is half what it is today.

again, a completely different ball game. >> juan, with the midterms, 69% of the latinos for democrats, 39% for republicans, this a gap you think will close at all this year? >> well, nobody knows. again, i mean, it's all about who latinos believe are going to be serving our best interest. democrats recently have been or, you know, historically, have been better for latinos than republicans. let me cite an example. >> real quick, i'm out of time. >> in california where meg whitman, the republican candidate has expended $100 million in her bid to become the next governor of the state. jerry brown a lot less, but latinos are no fools and they realize that pete wilson, the former governor of the state, you know, the great leader of the republican party in california is supporting and

advising meg whitman and latinos remember pete wilson as the man that led the charge against the immigrants. that's why meg whitman is going to lose in california, in spite of all the money she is spending to get in there. >> that is going to have to be the last word there i got to go as does jose diaz-balart, his own show in a second. thank you, guys, good to see you all. >> thank you. all right nfl's crackdown on helmet-to-helmet hits getting mixed reviews. plus, a new fad diet among college kids involving alcohol and lots of it. not good. msnbc is back in three.