tv Mi i nauka NTV June 23, 2023 1:00am-2:10am MSK
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it is a pity on the head what is being done in the world. i 'll give you an example. we have, uh, similar and south korean equipment, which is not able to work with aluminum alloys. the russian machine has the ability to work with aluminum alloys in the direct application method, the dimensions of the russian equipment are much larger, and a completely different approach to the manufacture of parts is used, that is, a much greater degree of freedom is much greater. uh, respectively, the opportunity to recreate. e the geometry needed in the final, so we definitely don’t have path. uh, no catching up here in this area. we are ahead of foreign analogies in many decisions. uh, there was evidence that when some western companies left there was such a whole period, and the burden on domestic companies doing this really increased. she was very serious. and now we managed to unload somehow. well, this year has been such a turning point. there and a so to speak, we did not plan. ah,
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just this year. uh, so let's say increase expand your investment program, but now we are forced to do this and we are forced to increase our capacities by 30-35 percent this year in order to meet our needs here as well. and i’m not even talking about meeting the needs of the entire market there, but , first of all, what is connected with the growing volumes of orders specifically in the field of defense and in the field of civil aviation. that is, respectively, the engine and p8. pd-14 pd-35 is, well, let's say something that grows hmm in order, a from year to year a and, accordingly, everywhere in all these engines. there are objective technologies, the center of alternative technologies of rostec. e, as is already clear, but specializes in claims for the aviation industry and the automotive industry. and why for such high-tech industries 3d adoption? how is it economically beneficial?
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well, the aviation industry is initially the most high-tech and most expensive , the aviation industry is full-fledged all over the world . she pulls along terms. and it is precisely the children that she helps, well , to level the risks in e. on the way to creating products. that is, now i'm talking about the stage of experience in design work, as if by trial and error. that is, let's say, the designer has the ability to quickly change the appearance of this or that element without the need, and then create tooling for weeks and months in order to cast or manufacture there, one or another prototype of the future parts. here is one type that allows you to do this quickly at lightning speed and shorten this period. uh two three times respectively than faster product off the stage. mass
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production comes, the faster it starts to generate added value, that is, it starts to be sold faster, and here the question is not only in those, so to speak , the limitations of the sources that we face . that is, there is a multiple increase in the production of civilian equipment. kraton to apply the production of military equipment. and even if you look at it from a business point of view, then there is an opportunity already there. tomorrow they start making money in a week, yes, by selling a satisfied product plus aviation. today's moment is in the engine of the structure. and some of the details are designed. so it is simply impossible to get them in any other conservative way. and now, some experiments are being carried out there in the world and they will present there, uh, a car completely printed there, like the plane will even be fully printed. soon , it will show there. well, literally. there was news yesterday. uh, the uk engine of the first stage of the rocket and printed is completely unified, but there are still test results, so there is no engine, so about it's too early to say, but. and i think that the world
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is moving towards the fact that technology will scale in size and it will be possible to create more and more more. here but if we talk about what we have now, that is, uh, yes, the structural elements of aircraft engines, in which i am now at the development stage, or literally the developed one is entering the stage of mass production. some of them have already been designed. so that it is simply impossible to obtain them by casting, let's say yes, and they you have to run, but in the center, just some details for specific aircraft engines, including serial cases, are being made. well, if we talk about filing, 14, yes, and this is the first certified part of the dynamo method, yours was made as part of the engines, the resulting certificate, such as a swirl chamber, but, that is, its design is such that it is simply impossible to cast it, that is, here it is only printed, and part of the engine parts is p8, respectively, and 12 parts are manufactured there. the forces will make it up
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engine, of which eight are precisely the structural parts of the aircraft engine itself. am i right to get the feeling that, thanks to additive technologies, it is possible to speed up the modernization process, of course, that is, for a designer, objective production is a driving technology. it gives freedom of creativity freedom of thought. that is, uh, he can absolutely without restrictions, and in design, but only based on what he needs to provide, the quality and strength characteristics defined there future product, but resort to, let's say, with the most effective solution. yes , with me to provide a design that, in turn, is further, for example, if we consider there in the field of aviation they allow, but to reduce the mass characteristics of what is farther than the sky, but to reduce the mass characteristics. there is an aircraft helicopter or an aircraft engine, respectively, this is an increase in payload. that is, it is more. cargo
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means more passengers on board. this is a larger number, there is a combat load on a flying means without personnel, rostec and mine have launched a program to train specialists in industrial 3d printing. as the process goes very actively. let's just say it's very pleasant to watch when you enter the production sites, and there students interns are circling like a swarm. ah, there is a fierce competition for the place of forty people. we are now taking place as part of the rostec wing program. ah, an ongoing program of learning, both theoretical and practical. we created from scratch. that is we wrote the curriculum. and there are just two directions. this is a design engineer, process engineer within the framework of the program. wings, rostec. now they are being introduced and students are undergoing training, as well.
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take part in the implementation of the practical tasks that we have in production , that is, we attach them to our a-a working groups and students receive , among other things, practical skills to work. apparently, train personnel for yourself, in principle. we probably dream that we have a whole industry with additive technologies be born. come on, we, uh, analyzing growth, but accept that we need to increase the number of people involved in the asset process by 5-6 times. yes it is in all industries and in all directions and the direction of development and in the direction of technology in the direction of quality direction, there business applications. the use of this technology there, because again, yes, to say that the lens is not 100% there, uh, a pill for all diseases. yes, that is, this technology is certainly more expensive than conservative and apply it needed where it is really needed, where you can achieve the desired results. therefore, this also needs to be taught. so it was precisely
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to submit these tasks, respectively, these training programs for the staff were drawn up and we are now actively, and in addition to mine, we are collaborating with other universities about mrs. i read yes mrs. yes, there are many regional partner universities, rostec participate in this project, so we are scaling here. and if we talk about the fact that the garden is not only saying goodbye, the rostec site is here in moscow, and these are nine production technological sites in the hexagons of the russian federation and , accordingly, in all these six cities. we need specialists vladislav thank you very much for the conversation. thank you.
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hello russia decades of science and technology ntv television company rosatom state corporation presents a science program and a program on how science will change our lives in the next 10 years. i am vladimir antokhin. i am ekaterina shugaeva. in 10 years, science will explain the phenomenon of numerology. well, at least i would really like to believe it, so i invited optimists who believe that in 10 years science will really explain the phenomenon of numerology. this is philip zhuchkov. technological entrepreneur good evening and natalya vinogradova numerologist psychologist. hello, according to tradition , skeptics alexander tails, a clinical psychologist, a psychoanalyst, are visiting me. good evening and konstantin shurunov is a specialist in the field of information security. good evening at the end of the program our guests and optimists will make a prediction. what is the probability that science will explain the phenomenon of numerology in 10 years about the history of numerology
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our expert professor kapustin will tell about what appeared before the numbers or letters , scientists are still arguing. however, it is still known that some letters turned into numbers, for example, latin and the number one became the letter v five, and el for some reason 50. and, of course, as soon as the numbers appeared, people endowed them with magical properties. yes, and today we feel sympathy for some numbers and for some reason, not love for others numerology was born. most likely in egypt or babylon and spread fairly quickly in all cities and towns, the priests of numerologists tried to predict various events and droughts, famines and natural disasters, but did not ignore numerology and the powers that be, and the modern principles of numerology were developed back in the sixth century bc
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by pythagoras himself. pythagoras his pants. today all students know. yes, in general, and numerology did not disappear anywhere, when in general people decided that it was possible to predict the future. well, of course, they decided a long time ago because they were running. well, no, when they could already reflect there were some such public funds, but you understand, it means an archaic person. he did not understand what randomness was; he did not have this concept and people still do. this is very poorly understood. he had an idea that in this world everything is in order and everyone is responsible for something. you see, uh, so god is responsible for the huge rain, there for the birth of children, for wars, for anything. and uh, how would that be. well, there is, there moira, who pull this
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thread will come. and when they cut it, you die it, that is, in principle, in there is no future in the archaic consciousness, you see, it has already been predicted, it already exists. and therefore, there is a great temptation . let's go. we'll take a look there. here, well, an ordinary person can't look, but some people out there, uh, who have a special gift of ability. here they can not be random all written by someone. this has long been fate, long ago there is rock, and, uh, it means they were guessing in different ways, they were guessing at how the animals were planted on pebbles there on everything they just didn’t give, but their idea was not the same, that’s pebble you will tell me was the idea that gods or some kind of spirits control the pebbles. and if you're like, you can get access to them, then you can peep there
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a little and that's normal, because living in an unpredictable future for a person is very difficult for anyone and still until now. ah , that is, if it's like, how do you know the future to get ready, first to give, of course, because we would not have a quiet life. we have never tried to know the future, even today philip germanovich. and when people endowed precisely the numbers with m-th magical meaning. imagine that people generally imagine a time when a person could have, well, there could have been a person who could have had all the knowledge available to mankind at that time, yes, scientists, then there was no quantum mechanics, there was no molecular biology. yes, and imagine how this person was treated by other people who did not know basic mathematics, this wizard, in fact, could take a poisonous
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plant and create medicine from it, could create some kind of weapon. yes, he could predict and calculate some events. there the tides ebb and flow of the moon cycles. yes, for him he was treated like a magician. and he had just basic knowledge. yes and this is the area of ignorance over time. she expanded the field of knowledge and this field of knowledge appeared around him. and, accordingly, over time, those people who possessed this magical knowledge. they also increased in number. yes, here we are. take the fibonacci number, which was subsequently discovered, yes, and this series, in fact, is the divine number that is inherent in every person. how our veins grow. yes, how our body develops and ending with how beautifully the galaxy is arranged, how a black hole is formed, and in all this these numbers. yes, this is the fibonace number in other cultures, it developed differently, for example in china, e,
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numbers are treated differently. yes, four is , uh, an unlucky number, because it is consonant with the word die, and eight. she is the opposite of a lucky number. well, about prosperity, and therefore we didn’t go far the olympic games, which were held in china, they were on august 8 in 2008 year at 8 o'clock. 8 minutes 8 seconds. yes, that is, in fact. we are not far from these times, and other other patterns can be found nine number. yes, it is identical when multiplied by any. the number of magic magic people in ancient times would say we have nine openings in a person that connect us with the outside world. yes, we do about 2.000. oh, twenty-one 1,600 breaths. hedgehog - daily. and this is also here the identical nine. we have 1.440. uh, minutes daily. this is again the nine, you understand, that is, all this is connected. and as colleagues correctly said, people were looking for, uh,
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the opportunity to turn this uncertainty into some kind of certainty. yes, but time itself. yes, it is for us for all relative, but for some reason we made this time certain, which is minutes here , therefore, therefore, in time itself, in gravity , in everything in everything that surrounds us, there are numbers of numbers, and therefore, it seems to me, that a is not separable, just from each other and and wa. moment yes, these codes are all our genetic code , they appeared long before we are human. reasonable people began to explore them, so it ’s like a chicken and an egg, and in order for the first to appear, in fact, numbers from patterns, or people, began to explore them. listen, you are some kind of general, as it were, such a type from fifar. here they are divine numbers, but closer, there are many different systems of calculation,
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and there are six to five dozen. and so, that each of these systems has divine properties. only they are all different, as it is in general. well, the properties are also different. yes, but more on that magic therefore. we'll talk more because look at me green four. green is a color. ntv - the fourth button - this is the ntv button so advertising, probably, tv at school big changes break grades do not fake a diary do not forget parents at home can be collected in one message about the format of education have become more flexible technological. only the teachers remained unchanged, thanks to him the responsibility of perseverance appears in the children. and faith in yourself become a teacher. choose your university to be a teacher.rf. the teacher is forever. phoenix
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for a week market delivery delivery in just 25 minutes. on the air, the program is science and a program about how science will change our lives in the next 10 years in 10 years, science will try to explain the phenomenon of numerology. i even hope that he will explain exactly, because at the end of the program our guests will make a prediction. how likely is science to really explain the phenomenon of numerology in 10 years, but our expert professor kapustin believes in numerology, statistics show that almost a third of russians believe in numerology at the heart of numerology is the following principle. all numbers can be reduced to numbers from one to nine, which affects a person's life. numerology is the magic of numbers and in this numerology is much closer to astrology
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than to magic numerology helps to determine the nature of natural gifts, strengths and weaknesses . predict the future and, most importantly , choose the time for making decisions and actions. and although today the scientific community is skeptical about numerology facts, speak for themselves, for example, was predicted by numerologists. the unusually cold winter of the twentieth year, as well as the eruption of the tong volcano in the twenty-second year, is possible . that is why today numerology is studied at universities, including using the methods of mathematical modeling and big date. today with the help of numerology. many choose partners for business or for marriage. and some politicians too. what is there to hide using the services of numerologists? uh, natalya mikhailovna
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, you can complete our expert. and we live in the digital age, where uh numerology is the key to accessing a person. this is a certain characteristic, like any expensive unique device. yes, i went to math school. i was very fond of childhood numbers and these numbers. well, probably helped me uh hmm in the future of my work. uh, graduated from a lot of educations, including, a director of human resources managed a human resource in a very large company and compared the numbers with those huge amount of human resources. and i'm talking about the fact that if a person hmm has all the numbers, then he harmonious, if some numbers no, this is a zone of growth, if some numbers are represented more than once these abilities. and in this way, that is, we, of course , harmonize ourselves in life. for example, and as an example
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, the well-known alexey e, yuri alekseevich gagarin ah, please, look at the calculation, what i do on the day of the month, i am ahead without a zero. i multiply by a year and you get a product. that is, we have a set of numbers nine three 1934, 179, 862 and the number of the name four is the full name, yes yuri so all the numbers are presented, except five zero. by quantity look at the table of ones one here are two ones, and one is responsible for the mind more than one. so, the ability to think is interesting nines. it's endurance, it's willpower. this is character. and that's usually a good fix. uh, that is, when there are many nines in the army, uh, serious ones are very digitized, only
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a person or, after all, everything in nature. can be digitized. mth country event objects can be digitized. well, again, since a person already has a certain code. that is, depending on which country he is there rides? what codes does it match? that is, this is his city, this is his country, or vice versa, he goes to that country, uh, the numbers that he doesn’t have, and you just look for it turns out by the numbers, but in such a digitized world, look for relationships exactly here, but, but digital interconnections digital interconnections. yes, that is, i looked for, for example, a has been working for 15 years. i looked, why does one person do this job well, the same way, we want to teach the same way, but there are abilities. we often want from a person what he can't give us. well , we'll talk about this later, but with this mikhailovich and here's how numerology relates to astrology
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or to another way to predict the future. well, we are still talking about the future. both numerology and astrology come from two basic principles. first, our world is subject to some patterns, and second, these patterns are expressible in the language of numbers. yes , who argues, in fact, from these two languages , another optimist of principles appeared , a science called physics is being derived, you can go to the blackboard, please. that is numerology is a special case of physics. now you will see so the first principle of regularity exists, the second is expressible in the language of numbers once we express in the language of numbers. so we can describe some system by measurable quantities. that is, the time, the date, the length of the mass. we can measure and then set aside on some axes, that is, there are many parameters. i
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will take two parameters here. so we measured , postponed and said the system is at point a. after a while, we measured again and got that the system is at point b. yes patterns exist. this means that the trajectory is the path of the system from point a to point b was involuntary ; yes, there is a true trajectory. she's not that's how she's not that's how she's just that. yes, and now let's express it in the language of mathematics, that is, in the language of numbers. that is, what kind of trajectory as a whole should be highlighted, that is, some characteristic of the trajectory should be highlighted using words with latin roots for this phrase. you can say
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so the integral characteristic of the trajectory, that is, as a whole, is extreme, that is, distinguished. and now i will write the same phrase with mathematical symbols , the integral from point a to point b. along the trajectory s from some value, omega is extreme, that is, either minimal or maximal. it is clear to put a minus sign and the minimum will turn into a maximum. well, historically . so say the minimum. this integral on the left side is called the action, and everything is taken together, the principle of least actions of lagrange well, or eulerode, grunge gamete. that is, it is the most basic general philosophical form of the law of nature. well, after all , mathematics does not give us the opportunity, knowing the basic state. and knowing the integral to guess, it just gives you exactly what it does. that's actually this law in classical
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mechanics takes the form of the well-known second newton's law, force is equal to mass acceleration in electrodynamics. this is maxwell's equation, and then three options appear from here, using the latin word, first, the homogeneity of time time. homogeneous results of the experiment. should be reproducible from here appears 1 option called energy. the law of conservation of energy then space is uniform, maybe somewhere in black holes. there it is torn apart from here appears the second variant of momentum and finally space and isotropic in empty space. this direction is no better than that direction 3 variant of the angular momentum and so, that is, conservation laws are a consequence of the principle of least action. this is not understood. there, for example, constructors horse engines, which are colloquially referred to as gravits. gravitsa violates the law of conservation of momentum. but at the same time , it is calculated according to the maxwell equations and the second law of iota
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. accordingly, this is a single structure in which all the bricks are linked to each other and this structure is based on the same principles that numerology and astrology stand on. actually, this was the consistent application of the consistent logical application of the principles on which the astrology and numerology led to the fact that numerology astrology turned into physics and astrophysics. yes, this has happened in the last 500 years mainly from the sixteenth to the eighteenth centuries, on the other hand. there would be no numerology. the devil knows what would be now physics and mathematics. and this is mechanics. this is linear mechanics. and if we talk like quantum mechanics, there is only one difference in mechanics. i said there is, the true trajectory is outside the classical science of quantum statistics, similar exists
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true trajectory group. that's the whole difference. we'll talk more, but let's as if numerology wants to figure it out, so that science yes, it helps, because you always want to explain from the point of view of science, certain patterns that in no case will be violated, as we have in science the repeatability of the result. well, that is, as if, if numerologists have already measured, i want to say something about the future, yes, the reproducibility of the result, but here alexander is even smaller. but if hmm what kind of reproducibility, maybe if numerologists predicted something to me, then i i just adjusted myself to this forecast and then there is no such possibility, there are two different options. at psychologists. there is a concept called prophecy. when , uh, a person believes in something, he begins to behave in a way that is imperceptible to himself. eh, how would e build
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life in such a way that this happens, that this happens, this happens. in general, without consciously, but there is quite a lot of description of this, what, in fact, if you are told that you are doomed to do something there then then you will have misfortune. there , that is, there is a high probability, more than if you had not been told this, that you yourself, er, will lead to this, understand? that is, you will find yourself in situations, uh, which contributes to this. that's all. i just want to understand why it's all the same, well, we never deny that there are some prophets. well, we still nadoevsky, for example, always call each other. he understood this about something else, as if some regularities in the development of the history of society. uh, respect, you know, it's like if you
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marx was said to be a prophet. in a sense, mars is no worse than a prophet. than in general. you understand dostoevsky. well, this is based on either knowledge or an intuitive understanding of some patterns, you know, you won’t believe it, but by chance yesterday, though i read once again about my beloved dostoevsky directly. here really last night it was beautiful this one. am yuri selezneva was even a scared that you are reading crime and punishment, too, re-read. see what i find in udostoevsky's notes in udostoevsky's notes, who, as it were, whom we call a prophet. he says that he was always painfully worried about the question of whether there is a prophecy and prophets among people. and he himself says, for some reason, modern science. it seems that she has never dealt with the question of the ability
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of prophecy in man, because to deal with such a question, even just to raise it in our age, is not liberal enough and can compromise a serious person. he meant, not that he meant, that there is such a thing as extrapolation. here, knowing some laws of nature, we can predict some events and assume laplace, he had such a demon, as he is called the laplace demon, about which he spoke, so that if we imagine such a creature that will know everything at this moment, what happens in the world in all parts, then this being will be able to predict both the past and the future, because for him there was an absolutely causal regularity, a hereditary reason. you see, science does not try to find patterns. how is science doing just that and predicting the future it predicts, in particular, that we
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will have more infectious diseases, that we will have these complexities, these complexities. uh, she predicts this to be done about a specific person. the specific person is uh, science. in this sense , predicts such big events. yes, and it is very difficult to predict an individual person, because it is much easier to predict the behavior of the crowd, you know, because there will be a probabilistic prediction. here more quantity will run there on an individual person. this it doesn't work like that, because a person has free will, you understand? and by chance i push i don't answer. i am 100% responsible for advertising. now there will be advertising, probably ntv. great
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we learn to create the future and share knowledge. we have time and live with a smile, no matter what happens. and they are ready to fly across the whole country for the kiss of their beloved. we are different, so it's good that there is someone who understands each sberbank for each his own for 160 million
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of numerology believe in it our expert professor kapustin in different countries, numbers and numbers are given different meanings by different magical properties, for example, february 17 is considered unlucky by the italians on this day. the global flow has begun. asha after the attack on the world trade center became negative time 11:00 11 minutes, the 11th. by the way, most of our sovereign people live in vladivostok, where 20% of the population pay attention to signs, and the least in makhachkala is only two percent. but here, what is interesting is that if in japan, the scandinavian countries, only a few percent of the population believe in numerology, then in poor african countries, almost 100% scientists skeptics consider the effect of numerology to be just a manifestation
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of the law of large numbers. the more. you will do different predictions, the more likely it is that the predicted event will occur. well, simply put, if you toss a coin for a very long time, then sooner or later it will turn on its edge. and although almost everyone treats numerology with humor. every friday on the thirteenth, the world economy sags by about one billion dollars. nothing personal, just philip germanovich's numbers. well, let's say science doesn't believe in numerology then, but science itself somehow helps to predict the future, or it doesn't concern you in principle. interesting transmission, where the hidden optimist sits, but this does not prevent me from using numerology in my life, like other scientists, for example, there is a coid formula that is not disclosed, but it helps us
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measure the weight of electrons. neutrons. nitrites. there is a formula. eh, the constant of fine structures and, again, also not completely solved the mystery of our time, but stephen hawking, based on and the constant, gave such a definition as fine-tuning the creation of this universe about what well, which says that our world is so finely tuned, yes, in order for us to exist here at all , all the galaxies and universes could talk, and therefore they use it and i, as a scientist. we are busy. ah, neuropsychology. it's very close to, uh, psychogenetics. yes, accordingly, scientists have already recognized and there bad manners denies the fact that all psychological signs are human. they are inherited intelligence is inherited with a probability of 80%, uh,
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the probability that a child will divorce if the parents divorced is 40%, if the grandparents divorced almost 90% and even carried out an experiment related to the fact that they looked at how an adopted child behaves in a family that he was in. here are the non-adoptive children in one of the non-adoptive tapes. there is no statistical relationship. it comes with education. so it's all hereditary. and what can we conclude from this were some schools of indian numerology, chinese numerology. maybe there are some other schools of pythagoras yes, but maybe we are now in a time when some new computer numerology, where can we get mom's code. this genetic cat is the year of the father to take the time when the conception of this child occurs, when these 2 years are combined with each other and we can predict with a high degree of probability using computer technology. what
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will be the psychological patterns of this person? to what he will be predisposed molecular genetics already say that it is possible to predict some diseases, it is possible to predict some qualities of a person, therefore, in this sense, i am hidden. i am a skeptic, i am an optimist, but within the framework of a scientific approach to numerology. this is how we can do it. now it's already so a little scary that everything comes down to zeros and ones, before there was a word. and now he and a solid figure is a matter of ethics and that is why, uh, he does not deny the external factor. he plays an important role. well, not as significant as genetics itself. here, well, not exactly like that . you, uh, distort a lot. i would say very much, because for some things it really means a genetic fact, then the first month. yes, but on some things in
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the first place, this is the influence of the environment. and you understand everything in one bottle, this is not true, and psychology has nothing at all, not the slightest relation. i'm telling you how it means nothing in a cafe, you understand. this is a significant confusion, even a serious illness is predicted very poorly, genetically. not to mention, those people will work, of course, a high probability. if he has e, then his parents are actors. he turns out to be in a theater school, but what does it have to do with it genetics? does he have a friend there? dad is, as he said, robert remember? yes, some people are more likely to have emergencies than others, so i specifically, as a scientist, searched with a high degree of probability. well, regarding mikhalych , maybe science will find it after all. you were talking just now about the fact that physics has already explained everything and already perfectly. but maybe we
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will find some connection of some fundamental laws with the prediction of the future. here numerologists predict the future. maybe physics finds the exact exact formula that predicts it. great question, huh? actually, yes, such searches were conducted. well , let's clarify a little, there are two types of definitions, cataphatic and apophatic cataphatic definitions. and if this pen is a device for writing, and according to the actual definition, and not b, this pen is not a device for measuring time , so there are things that cannot be given a cataphatic definition, only apophatic, as in the ancient greek philosopher. plato tried to define virtue and did not as a result, he called such things either god or god yes, he called such things divine, yes, and all science is built on kataphatic definitions, and there were b and until the beginning of the 20th century, scientists believed that god gave
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man two books, the book of revelation and the book nature and the task of the scientist to read the book of nature and was considered. that's exactly what you said, that it is possible to explain everything through the basic laws of the behavior of society to explain from one person, that is , to explain sociology through psychology , to explain psychology through biology freudianism like this explain biology through chemistry hydrodynamics chemistry hydrodynamics through intermolecular interactions between molecular interactions through quantum mechanics and all from several principles. we can predict everything, so these attempts have all failed, both in psychology and in biology. so and anywhere . that is, back in the middle of the 19th century, james maxwell said that if a book of nature is not a book, but a journal in which articles are not interconnected, and 7-8 years ago, italian physicists chebar, randoni and vulpiani suggested calling this the space between the specialized
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sciences is a true chaos. it is also that the platonic divine is not chaos, which is subject to accidents that can be counted by numbers, but true chaos in which no cataphatic definitions can be given at all. and now scientists are trying. they are trying in vain to poke around in different places and try to find some kind of correlation in order to find a correlation, and then, if it is confirmed with at least some probability enough, then, based on this correlation, give a cataphatic definition and create an island of stability in this true chaos is obtained. if there is true chaos between these sciences, then the theory of everything is impossible as a result of all science. now it is a very large part of science. she is what philip germanovich described, uh, she is built on an attempt to find a correlation, uh, and how is it? it is clear further it is obvious, the more complex the system. yes, the more complex the system. yes,
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the more as mentioned randomness these are more random correlations. here is the famous correlation between the number of new films in starred by nicolas cage in a given year and the number of people who drowned in us pools in a given year. that is, a new film by nicolas cage is coming out. a man goes to drown himself. naturally, this is a spurious correlation, but the problem with correlations works the problem with correlations is that they are not always harmless. they are not harmless when people start charging money for it. an example of this has happened to all of us in the last 25 years. we were convinced that man is guilty of global warming persecution studies over the past 10 years have shown that this is wrong. it is possible to earn money. yes it's false you won't be given them. although this money has already been spent. and then there's the correlation. that's what you said, the famous one described that the more people eat ice cream the more often they tone, but you know why, because they
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eat on hot days and on hot days they don't swim in case of global warming. it turned out that seismic activity is to blame, but as the coquette says, either western scientists, and the anthropogenic factor is global. the blue climate has a correlation with low certainty, that is, it is difficult, but for us everything ears buzzed, heated thunberg. well , they tried to force russia to pay, that is, the west tried to shake off money on us on the basis of a false correlation. let's take a break advertising on ntv forest fires arise through the fault of a person to stop and defeat the fire. a strong vocation, forest firefighters of the rosleskhoz protection air force 90 years guarding the forests of russia kingfisher premiere from monday at 16:40 on ntv a person with prolonged anxiety often hears the light or, for example, thank you for
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until i saw his body. i don't believe in his death. there are people for whom there is no punishment and illegitimate such lawlessness will begin, you never even dreamed of them, or they give me information about the guest of their brothers. phoenix premieres tomorrow at 20:00 on ntv the science and we program is on air, a program about how science will change our lives in the next 10 years in 10 years, science will explain the phenomenon of numerology, then i have a very simple question for our guests optimists skeptics. again, let's say no phenomenon of numerology. no. but then why are there so
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many examples when the predictions made by numerologists came true? well, i really checked , there were even special studies comparing the forecasts given by scientists and those given numerologists. so the scientists lost. and did you count the frequency, how many times they gave the wrong prediction? and how many times the account? no, you understand this is how counting is called, we understand, uh, we usually only know a good story. you see, this is called means a mistake, a survivor's mistake, a survivor's mistake. survivor we know the stories of only those people who can tell us about it. and those who won't tell. why is it that in order to make a forecast , a numerologist needs a year an hour, therefore, naturally , numerologists make much more forecasts, in addition, we are surrounded by extremely unlikely events. if you calculate the probability of a particular event. she could very well, but we only see her when we
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pay attention to the numerologist makes a prediction. it predicts not a specific event, but a category of events that can be interpreted when a given event occurs. then the person begins to pay attention to these. on for the events of this category and as alexander shamilevich said. this turns into a self-fulfilling prophecy as soon as an event in this category occurs. he speaks of the prediction coming true. then he estimates the probability of this particular event. she is small. he says, oh, what a great shaman, what a strong witchcraft, and like the probability was small, but from the probably category, the probability of the category is high, we discussed the word prediction many times today, and our respected skeptics, as i understand it, have a skeptical attitude towards this word. yes, they say that, like, in mathematics, everything has already been calculated konstantin mikhailovich but what is it called? the result of the neural network. oh it a separate transmission called
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prediction. this is a term that is a reliable prediction, respectively, the neural network gives a prediction and as a result between layers. yes, these are happening. uh, respectively, uh, the work of the neural network. we can not reliably find a causal relationship made by the neural network can not explain how it and how it came to this conclusion, so the result of the work of the neural network with a large. of course, there it can be compared with a fortune-teller's prediction and it doesn't bother you perfectly use the results of the neural network to study certain processes. and uh, there, the result of the work of a fortune teller is evoking an opinion, therefore, there are also certain, as it were, true, maybe we just know, as if the new digital world is really all in digital and all those same
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fortune tellers, they will just pass. if they had not only explained what the numerical course of a person is, i still don’t understand, the genetic code does not know there, but in certain biochemical relationships absolutely, which can be described using such a system of calculus theoretically, but can be described in dozens of theoretical it is a lot of ways, but we describe in figures. this is because, because we can. dear guests , i have a question for you all. how likely is science to explain the phenomenon of numberology? well, let's start with natalya mikhailovna, do you have a forecast as a girl? i have a prediction that numberology will become part of some kind of science and, uh, that prediction is 70%. well, 70%. thanks a lot. alexander shamilevich do you have a forecast?
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how likely is science to explain the answer is because i think numerology is pretty clear, because people, uh, want to believe that they can predict have an easy way to quickly quickly find out fate , you know, but really never because it's a false illusion that was human. now here are thousands of years until it justified itself. and the probability that it will come true in the next 10 years, i have zero zero. and you say a hidden optimist. thank you very much. philip german honor you forecast? how likely is science to explain the phenomenon of numerology in the next 10 years , the scientific approach suggests that we have falsifiability, so i can’t say 100%, but i will say 99 conditions that
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we are talking about computer genetic numerology. then we will be able to predict with a probability of 99% we will be able to calculate the code. uh, mom cat dad figure out some relationship correlation probability 99% we can explain the phenomenon 99%, thank you very much. i know that you believe in physics. well, can, in principle, folk science explain the phenomenon of numerology in the coming actions, it is clear that we really want this, as they said, alexander shamilevich wants to calculate everything. not we just want to know the future, as ivan mikhailovich sechenov and vladimir ivanovich vernadsky said, in fact, this is what physicists have in us. actually the sixteenth to the eighteenth centuries were actively engaged in astrology and numerology magic kepler was engaged in astrology. newton did magic and prediction based on astrology numerology failed and failed and failed made on
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based on physics, were confirmed were confirmed and confirmed as a result already 200 years of physics. it's just that they don't do it, so you know, i don't like to give zero percent, but in this case, if i give more than zero, then it means that i ignore everything that thousands and tens of thousands of physicists have done over the past 500 years, so from me zero percent. that is, zero probability. still, it was, yes. yes 0%. thanks a lot. 42% science will still be able to explain the phenomenon of numerology, you know, i realized today that we called you not a numerologist. we called you. well, a scientist mathematician and psychologist, because in general, a natalya mikhailovna absolutely. i agree that numerology is an attempt to explain relationships. well, in an attempt to connect. as our experts said , both physics and mathematics are trying to explain the relationship, that is, everything has already been created. well, i caught myself thinking. eh, here we
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have wonderful skeptics sitting here. they said all the time that numerology doesn't work. ah, and i represent, then, the middle ages when alchemists are trying, yes, to get a philosopher 's stone or there is gold from lime metal, and skeptics also come to them, they say, guys , it doesn’t work for you here. and where would now be the same classical chemistry. that's the second thing that i remembered another great anecdote. it's, uh, in my opinion, uh, rutherford had a horseshoe hanging over the door, and the guests are talking to him. well, how are you a great scientist. you are a physicist, uh, and you believe. here in this prediction, he says, you know, i heard that it works. even if you do not believe it, in general it works for us. number literally 10 years later it was a science program. we are a program about how science will change, including our lives with you in the next 10 years, see you in a week. bye
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quite by chance, i say, good that you want a double americano please take it strong with you. the apartment of young people in black courses and masks, they severely beat two men , one of them later died in intensive care from his injuries, and the girls were forcefully pushed out into the street, after which they poured gasoline on them and gave the apartment as a gift yesterday's incident on lipetskaya street was shocked by its cruelty, the entire district of the western flight, local residents tell the details of the incident in this literally bad apartment. i don’t even know whether to be happy or pla. and the man, it seems, died. and like a brothel, now
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it won't be here. hope it didn't work. so what else can they do? well, they'll take these cases. and something we also managed to talk with one of the guards. i didn’t even have time to get up, but i didn’t. they dragged me out the door. mm, they threw me down the stairs, and that's it. i don't remember anything afterwards. here's your coffee soon girl, please. what happened
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