tv SPOTLIGHT ISRAEL SKATING ON THIN ICE PRESSTV October 9, 2024 1:02pm-1:31pm IRST
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hello and welcome to press tv. thanks so much for being with us. well, what is late in the latest in the region, tehran has repeatedly asserted that it does not wish to see tension increased in the region. however, following israel's threats of an imminent attack on the islamic republic, are its interests? iran warned of much harsher response than operation true promise too. let's first take a look at this report. "the iranian foreign
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minister has traveled to saudi arabia's capital riyad in the first leg of his regional tour. the main purpose of his trip is to discuss the israeli aggression against gaza and lebanon with neighboring countries. abosarchi stressed that top on iran's agenda is to stop the war and genocide and reach fair cease fire deal that would be acceptable to the palestinian and lebanese resistance movement. while iran is working to seek a diplomatic solution to end tensions in the region, the country's top diplomat has highlighted the full preparedness of iranian armed forces to confront any attack. the islamic republic proved this through its massive retaliatory strike against israel last week. after israel's assassination of hamas leader ismail hania on iranian soil as well as the assassination of hezbulah secretary general sayad hassan.
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of ready for any scenario, any situation, our armed forces are fully and 100% ready, and they have identified all the necessary targets, but our policy is not the policy of war and continued tension, although we are ready for it. in a conference in tehran on sunday, adokshi said the iranian military has accurate intelligence regarding a large number of targets inside the israeli occupied lands that are all within the reach of iranian. missiles. terran has also issued a
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stark warning to any third-party state, urging them to avoid getting involved in the conflict. iran has called on regional and international actors to prevent israel from continuing its military actions, particularly in sensitive areas such as lebanon and gaza. the israeli threat of retaliation against iran, follows a strike by tehran involving more than 180 missiles. 90. per of which hit their targets, even though israel tried to downplay the attack, reports and footage later prove the extent of the damage. israeli officials have vowed severe response against iran, as washington has pleaded with israel not to cross red lines that could send the region further into an all-out war, launched a direct attack. i would like to welcome my guests to the program, but to soviet
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activists and political analysts out of london, said mosan abbus, journalists and political. endless also out of london, thank you both for being with us, well let me start this off uh with batul, let's start from here, bato, what are your thoughts about the uh iran's foreign ministry, foreign minister's current visit to the region to try to deescalate tension? right, um, iran's diplomatic front, the aim on the one hand is to ultimately reduce tensions and to show the west of ultimately the dangers of netanyahu's root. if he continues escalate, you know, the kind of threat that exists even against the western nations themselves. at the same time, of course, we see iran continuously asserting, the general influence with regards to issues like al-aqsa, the mass mobilization and the movements of the nations, especially
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in the arab world, but most importantly, um, there is push ultimately in the direction of um, the seasfire solution, you know, the compromise, the resistance never loses sight the fact that the ultimate goal that it's as is to achieve a cease fire and to not expand the fire of conflict, why? because if this happens, we know the resistance will emerge much more victorious from this war, because the enemy has not secured a single one of their military strategic objectives on the ground that gives them a kind of deterrence or guarantee post war. in fact, all the components that uh give any country the capability to survive and to stabilize have been stripped throughout this war. so in many respects the continuation of this war is... only weakening the israeli occupation entity, but the way the resistance looks it is that this is coming a high price and this is coming at the price of the civilian killings and so of course this is all a part of the diplomatic effort to uh support the palestinian cause that iran has been heralding for the past four decades and to ghana mass consensus towards ultimately
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stopping israel's massacers that is always been the top priority of all of the resistance access fronts even if we look at the uh contribution of the islamic resistance of lebanon right from start of the war in october the 8th, it joined the gazzan resistance to act as a supporting front to relieve the pressure from ghazza and to relieve the genocide in ghazza um and to ultimately the whole objective was we will paralyze the north if seaspire is not cheap, but of course netanyahu is riding on his drunken high, the west has ultimately america has given uh netanyahu effectively the green light right now to do whatever he wants in the region and to basically see what israel's made of, it's almost like make or break for israel right now, this is the last war and the last chance. an opportunity for israel to prove itself to its american masters that it is capable of defeating the resistance and we know of course that's just delusion. well uh said moson um last week of course iran responded to the terrorism of three of its
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resistance uh leaders and commander and warn israel uh uh about uh any other attacks. your thoughts of the message that operation true? to sent to the israeli regime and their supporters? well, it wasn't clear to the israelies before, mean it doesn't seem to have been clear to them because uh the iranians had already shown that they could penetrate their their defenses, the myth of iron dome, the arrow systems, the david sling, whatever names they want to give their defense mechanism, they all failed, and they failed the first time in a very very subtle. way was shown by the iranians, they didn't launch much, a couple of hundred old drones and uh few ballistic old old school ballistic missiles and they they managed to get through. now this time of course they went a lot further and 180 plus uh missiles, many of them uh supposedly uh hypersonic, perhaps
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they were ballistic, it's not entirely clear, the iranians now say they didn't launch any hypersonics here, which is another fun package for the israelis to consider if those were to come into play, but "the truth is that uh they the israelis essentially uh have to take the message that they have no defense mechanisms that could really prevent the isamic republic of iran doing huge amount of damage. the israelis are also incircled, hez bull has fighting force of around 100 thousand plus. the iraqi pmus are sworn to mobilization after what they've uh done to uh say nastrola, there's a huge emotional and and sp. attachment to uh and there's a huge amount of anger amongst those iraqi resistance forces and so they are ready to to join the frey even more actively and of course the yemenis are already hitting b missiles right into the heart of tel aviv so
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the message the the israel to take is even if they were to make a response of any kind which hits iran it'll only make things worse for them and it'll only speed up the process of their destruction, iran has continued a very steady strategic objective, that is the to to get the freedom of the palestinians to get the the ethno supremacist apartide state. dismantled and forzanism to have nothing to do with this west asian region, but they have been doing it with what they wanted was a kind of slow steady war and with parameters, with rules and uh that's something which israel with yahu at the head have have desperately been trying to avoid, they they want a hot war but they can't really go ahead and engage in a hot war without the americans coming in, so netanyahu on the one hand is trying to save his own his own skin and try to uh gain some kind of credibility out of uh
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out of out of this this entire genocidal campaign, he wants to show that he took on israel, he took out some leaders, he's he's pummeled hezbollah and he's destroyed beirot to some extent, but all of that is superficial, it's civilians that he's been killing, it's children he's been killing, he hasn't affected the infrastructure of hesbullah, nor the axis of resistance, and indeed he he's he's pretty scared of... every engagement has tried in in in south lebanon, you will note they've been pretty much hammered, well by to the uh regime which always wanted to promote itself and promote an image of being impenetrable uh has not only lost the narrative but literally is being hit a daily basis by different parts of the axis of resistance, what does this mean in general to the zionist regime now? absolutely, um, the israeli occupation entity is fighting an existential war, um, the
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ongoing battle is really existential to the entity, it's, as you mentioned, the tactical successes, if you want to call it that, hinges on destructive force, technological superiority and intelligence, but the cost of losses mounts with direct confrontation, and the entity will not yield um except through force, um, if we talk about these other resistance fronts, the resistance 11 and of course, as we know, in the first phase, it's absorbing the shocks from the entity, you know, that shock and or strategy of assassinating the top field commanders followed by the secretary general and before that you had the the pager attacks, the second phase um, ultimately the resistance adapts itself, and in the third phase it kind of remaintains itself and takes advantage of the situation even emerging stronger than it was prior to the escalated attacks from the entity. the resistance in the course of the war in these past 10 days has shown very good results, the military capabilities of... resistance haven't been haven't been weakened to um a large degree um in that we're still
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seeing it strike large amounts of rockets um to the extent um that it has defined and the entity has been unable to ground invade you know and advance on the ground in lebanon as long as those rockets are still going into the israeli occupation entity as long as the north is still paralyzed the settlers cannot return as i mentioned all those components that give the israeli occupation entity the ability to survive and stabilize are being stripped from it one day after the other, ultimately we're seeing the deterioration of the israeli occupation entity, and bear in mind the other cards of the resistance have not been played to the maximum in what involves iraq and what involves yemen, that are the two key supporting frunts. for the lebanese resistance as well, we know that these other cards can involve you know much larger attacks on tel aviv, it can involve um offensive ground invasions into the entity, it can involve large special operations within the entity as well. expanded sea operations, these are all cards that are put on the shelf for the right time if netanyahu
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continues escalate, but we know that netanyahu is kind of drunken high after killing of sayid hassan and the assumption that the most important point that is hitting the head of the body that would lead to this full kind of blown collapse of the resistance, this is what he assumed um and then that would kind of enable the entity to then have the moral to ground invade quickly assuming the resistance no longer. has this morale and to finish it, it has now been clear that absolutely the entities unable to um achieve anything that it seeks on the ground, and its deterents has been uh both broken on the lebanese front and more importantly um in the iranian front, because um essentially netanyahu believing that the mass destruction in ghazza and lebanon and the targeted assassinations will reverse its failures at remember the reason that netanyahu is now in lebanon is because they failed to... achieved anything on the ground in gaza for past year, so they're thinking, okay, if we can secure some kind of victory
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on the lebanese front, then perhaps we can kind of unify our fragmented nation and population and show them that look, year in we've managed to achieve something. well, just when nahho thought it was all going great, the iranian missile retaliation came and completely took it back to square one, and it ultimately sent a very clear message that iran will not allow the israeli occupation entity to gain the upper hand and deterrance, period. when the resistance access faces significant hits and intervention becomes necessary, iran reserves the right to respond, and of course we also know that iran has square to settle following also the assassination of it. own officials and the attack its sovereignty and as the report mentioned the killing of haniah, so also if we consider the fact that the the delays in iran's response to this assassination, followed by its initial silence caught the american and israeli intel completely off guard, they misjudged iran's willingness to react to the transgression, and now we know that that deterrance has been restored in a very tangible manner, and i
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think one of america's biggest miscalculations in all of this was to believe that it could... persuade iran somehow to hold back on retaliating against hennius killings in hopes of achieving a ceasefire um and in reality this approach allowed the entity in some respects to escalate its actions but we saw how iran did not fall into this trap and it retained its right to respond and we saw what the scale of the impact was on the entity it was significant you're talking about five air military bases um that were targeted suffering direct hits this creates a real strategic crisis on the ground for israel it's reduced all of its previous tactical wins, tactical successes to ground zero, even going to the extent of compelling western powers who ideally want to avoid a regional war to pressure the entity potentially to halt its aggressive actions. this becomes a strong negotiating card, and uh america confirmed in their assessment even that the situation didn't even change much last week because iran intended not to harm
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any of the american bases as well, so it shows that america in actual fact is now pressuring the israeli occupation entity. to not respond in a strong fashion and it tells you how strong the iranian deterrence ultimately has been. what about that said mosen? uh, how do you see the american roll in this? do you think that the united states uh they do not want to see? the americans do not want to see um escalation at this point in time, that this does not want to see the israeli regime uh trying to attack iran, what's your assessment of the us's role in all of this? "the americans have tried to let israel do their dirty work for them, i mean they wanted to destroy hez bull and that's what uh, i guess, persuaded them to give him time to do, not only to destroy hamas, but to try and destroy heizbulah, and both of those were pipe dreams and they were just completely ridiculous uh notions uh in the very first instance, and for the americans to
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have entertained the possibility that israel could destroy hezbollah after it couldn't even destroy in 2000 and 20." 2006 when they weren't anywhere near the kind of military uh ascendency and capacity that they they now have and the experience they've had in syrian theaters of operation and and beyond so it was deluded to say the least and it's almost suicidal that they've allowed uh israel to go ahead because if israel does launch these strikes and iran has promised it will hit 10 times harder uh which then leaves israel either the option of just um basically going back into its whole and and recognizing that there's no longer any possibility of further strikes and if the americans don't come in and and then try to reign uh iran uh then of course what we've got is uh actually depleted israel in terms of its diplomatic leverage in terms of political image in terms of its kind of um legitimacy on every level and in the hearts and minds of people all over the world
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israel is dead as far as they're concerned, nobody has any real value or respect outside the the the... the neoliberal, neocon, anglosphere, so the reality is they've lost on so many levels that it's uh, it's really hard to see israel really recovering or surviving this, if they go for an all-out war, the americans and the americans weigh in, well they've got to consider all those us, shiny us bases which are dotted around in saudi arabia and qatar, the fifth fleet down there over in bahrain, they're everywhere surrounding iran and uh dominating that region for the for purpose. of oil plunder primarily, they've got to understand that they will have all of those wiped out, that would mean that you the us has about 43,000 troops dotted around the middle east, um, the axis of resistance can mobilize up to two to the million uh, and it has ballistic missile parity, wars aren't won through airal uh dom means that you can dominate and you could
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cause um destruction to infrastructure etc. you cannot win war, wars are one on the ground. on the ground scenario is this that with syria, iraq, iran, yemen, uh, all unified with palestine and lebanon also, there isn't ab, there's an absolutely zero chance of the axiss of of evil, as i put, that's the the the anglosphere uh, winning any war, short-term or long-term, that is behind the next stage, which is - already there are hints of nuclear tipped uh, uranian tipped missiles being launched at the lebanese. millions, the the israelis have that option, but really nuclear option would be something which would be again absolutely unacceptable, i think globally that would just sink israel, and it would... even achieve victory in the war either, because they are against, they're up against people who want liberty, want freedom and who will die for this cause and have no problems in giving their lives away for this. what about
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to, the regime is behaving like rabbit dog, and of course is now relentlessly bombing lebanon and as we said threatening iran. now the iranian foreign minister, as you heard earlier in that clip has warned the regime about attacking the islamic republic, saying iran doesn't want a war, but it's def. not afraid of it and will answer with even greater attack than operation true promised to your thoughts on what what does that mean? yeah, i'm sorry, i need you to repeat the question because it's cutting in and out and i can hearly. can you can you hear me now? um, a little bit, but it's still cutting. um, i can pose it to said moson and then we can try to get your audio fix. yes, okay, say moson, can you hear me? i can hear you. okay, so i'm going to pose this to you while we hopefully get uh bato's audio taken care of. the regime is behaving like rabbit dog and is now relentlessly bombing lebanon as well and
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threatening iran as we've been saying now the iranian foreign minister has warned the regime about attacking the islamic republic saying iran doesn't want war but definitely is not afraid of it and as you just alluded to will answer with even greater attack than operation true promised to what? do you think that means? what is iran saying here? what iran is saying is saying, look, where israel is taking the world, it's not just local war uh in in lebanon or in palestine, now israel is warming up for a regional war, it wants evolve evolve iran, which would then mean widening that out, it may mean the americans coming in, which then means it's a potential world war. why do i say that? well, iran would have no choice if the israelis went for this this option and try to draw the us, iran, as i said first of all is the bases that would go, secondly, they would mobilize all of the resistance forces in iraq, and of course in iraq, don't forget the americans control all of the oil, they make take all
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the oil revenues that exist there, they've actually run the civil society, and the iraqis are absolutely fed up, and they've given them a warning to get out, they're not getting out, and this would give them the perfect excuse in iraq, the pmus would all unify, and there would be, i think a huge problem for for the americans there in itself, it would destabilize. their partners and puppets in the region who are already very jittery because they all come scuttling over to iran saying we aren't going to allow the americans to launch any missiles, what guarantee is there that the americans would listen to them? that's there's no guarantee for iran, so that would mean that all of these regional powers would be fair game for iran. all right, stay with me, let me let me get batul in on this uh before we we in your thoughts batul, where do you see this going? the israeli occupation entity cannot survive without the american backing, um, if the us withdraws. its support, the entity will entirely collapse, it's inevitable, so its operational boundaries are ultimately, so israel's operational boundaries are ultimately defined by american interests, the us, in my assessment is unlikely to engage
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directly in a counterattack against iran, meaning the israeli responses will be limited ultimately to what america permits. consequently, i think as a result of that, we're even seeing that this revenge has manifested in heightened destruction in leben and gazza, as indicated by a whole week's delay in israeli responses, and bear in mind israel doesn't have this... kind of idea of strategic patience, that's iran's thing, israel's very hasty, um, but this, this is simply all because the israeli occupation entity cannot enjore strong retaliatory strikes from iran, which has demonstrated its capability to inflict real harm, so should the israeli occupation entity choose to launch a significant attack to draw america in, the us, in my assessment, in that situation, if it did that, um, would likely then advocate for immediate cease fire, because as said abbas mentioned, america is hesitant to engage. directly in this conflict because of the broader regional vulnerabilities, and we also mentioned that the resistance still possesses many strategic options that remain undisclosed from surprise operations from land, air um and sea, and so
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while an israeli response to iran is anticipated, it is unlikely to be severe enough to provoke that strong iranian attack, unless the us actually engages directly in the offensive alongside the entity, but should america choose to intervene, as we mentioned, its bases in the region could come under threat, which more... more likely reluctant for america to take these decisive decisions, especially considering considering that it is ultimately an election cycle, and like we mentioned, iran has made it very clear that it will retaliate decisively, um, and so whts many scenarios remain possible, the likelihood of a regional war appears much less likely, and israel being forced to restrain by america is actually what we're seeing. all right, and on that note, i think both of you for being with me, but the activist and political analyst out of london and said, journalist and political analyst also out of london and thank you viewers for being with us on another spotlight, i'm hope to see you right here next time, goodbye.
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on june 6th, the zionist army targeted an onrow school in nosirat killing at least 37 people who had sought shelder. there, just two days later, on june 8th, an israeli raid on the al noserat refugee camp resulted in a horrific massacre, claiming at least 274 lives including many children and leaving around 700 injured. in response to the
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escalating crisis, the un security council adopted a resolution on june 10th, calling for a permanent ceasefire. however, this was defied by israel, which continued its acts of violence with a brutal attack on the almazi refugee camp on june 21st, leading to... heavy casualties, depressed coverage of this astination of plasany now entering its fourth days.
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