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tv   [untitled]    May 19, 2011 11:30am-12:00pm EDT

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this is almost c n a so she says the minute she operation in libya will continue until colonel gadhafi goes it's a fueling worries of repeat somalia and syria as the u.s. builds on president al assad discretion of its. skills and will consider whether it's in lives in the least for the record and demand separating from the united kingdom off the nationalists got a majority of the countries involved all of them plus hauling. a most cruel morsel
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step all of that cooperation and investigation the air crash which killed president kaczynski and ninety five all those. busk a house already released as of course he documents and plans to hyundai va dave from the. good times reports up next and that's just a few moments. for the we've got. the biggest issues get the human voice face to face with the news makers. really you believe your stem science technology something. we've got the future covered.
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max kaiser welcome to the kaiser report special insane made. is it. really great people i do lots of quantitative. little of course. yeah that's for a spring is two zero words there's never well max this whole suicide banking crazy insane banking model is spreading to the entire world everybody is acting like a crazy banker headline reads south korean staged bomb blast to cash in on stocks and this guy obviously learned from hank paulson he was the best that this all started this south korean man stage two minor bomb attacks with homemade explosives in seoul last week in an attempt to cash in on stock investments by
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affecting market sentiment police said they said quote he invested fifty million won or forty six thousand dollars this month and said he believed bomb explosions will send stock markets spalling giving the concerns of terrorism after osama bin laden's death well this is a huge issue this man stumbled upon something very important markets are over leveraged markets are reflective of of hundreds. trillions of dollars in leverage so yes a small thirty or forty thousand dollar bomb then caused markets to crash because they're so highly leveraged by the professional hedge fund managers five hundred thousand dollars on nine eleven because of multi-trillion dollar collapse forty five thousand dollar investment there because of multi-billion dollar collapse this is not really this guy problem so much as the problem of the markets themselves
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they're all over leverage because of the fraud in the. they are the world bank ers robert zoellick there is robert zoellick and dominic strauss kahn having a meeting at the world bank. i know. that again. there's another quote from the policeman in the situation which is important to it to address because he doesn't take it as seriously people don't take these flash crashes and hank paulson holden the american population hostage we see no intention of political terror here the policeman says the suspect was just trying to affect market sentiment but again let me emphasize that due to the propaganda they have successfully delineated between financial terror and political terror this is then become commingled into one global financial terrorist dominated global economy
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there is no political terror anymore there's no ideology the no political parties there are no religions there are no country boundaries there's only the market leverage and events to make the prices go where you want them to go this guy is the hank paulson of the retail side he is you know basically you know the equivalent of hank paulson going into a liquor store not going over but he's the same mindset that from the same mother there sprung from the same domenic strauss kahn to. seaman. well so here it's not political terror it's just affecting market sentiment so let's look at the head politician of the world see if this is political terror or just affecting market segment let's look at those head politicians headline reads obama says u.s. default may on ravelled global finances so is this obama doing the same thing so he's trying to get the republicans or will scare the population into convincing
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republican politicians to vote for an increase in the debt ceiling not that it matters apparently that you even increase it technically right off the head of blue and red balloons together would get the right color for obama to listen to you could create the obama version of this yeah if you don't raise it to. still over you have made poor meg sleeve there ok then go far now obama is a financial terrorist just like. just like no no no that's the south korean police that say he's just trying to affect market sentiment and it's not terror great sense of it not prices they don't even understand that sentiment drives prices well so now that you have you know the president of the united states going in front of the people via face the nation program on c.b.s. and telling him you better the entire financial system is going to unravel unless you give us more debt well look at this headline our b.z.
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urges gold backed zim dollar so this is the reserve bank of zimbabwe and their chief dr getting go know if he's advocating for a gold backed zimbabwe dollar gideon gono yes well he made quite the stir when he introduced the one hundred trillion dollars i'm bob way note they went right for inflation now they're the first into gold back and see here's the thing according to game theory which of course drives to global economy in this highly leveraged akaka world if one can. if you go to the gold standard there's going to be a lot of money actually going into the currency it will force other countries to go to the gold standard but of all to go i remember once dr gronow started printing badly before the hyperinflation that led to the hundred chilean zimbabwe dollars on the central bank of zimbabwe's website they actually cited the u.s. fed policy and bank of england policy of quantitative easing that they said they were doing the same thing well their currency has now collapse and now they're saying ok well everybody's going to abandon the us dollar because we know because
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we copied them and look what happened to us so now we're going to he says quote zimbabwe is sitting on trillions worth of gold reserves and it is time we start thinking outside the box for our survival and prosperity that's going to work i totally recommend going out of business i've been hoping that some country in fact does exactly this i thought china or india or brazil would be the first country to have the first mover advantage in this case first mover advantage is going to be huge because once you get in that gold standard people are looking around of the current season like we're going to get a natural resource base currency all the zimbabwe dollar on them and this is going to bring huge amounts of capital into zimbabwe and then make them an international global player well ok and then some could look at some way and think ok they've had a hyperinflationary collapse there around by maniacs but then look at who else holds the u.s. dollar who's the biggest bond fund trader in the world max keiser. well they're in
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this next headline bullish on cognac yogurt gold so fortune magazine interviewed pimco equities portfolio manager and good fein and she said quote the largest position in the fund is gold which we think is a very good form of protection against what could go wrong we were encouraged by the fact that a lot of central banks especially in asia are big buyers we think that's an underlying trend that's very favorable for gold that's right well bill gross is lame fund other pimco. due to the way that the fund of the charter that created that fund he's not allowed actually to own precious metals but he's a believer in inflation if not hyper inflation so you would naturally think you'd be a buyer of gold so here's one of his satellite phones actually buying gold so now the circle has been completely pimco is pimping gold as he should be in this environment where the bond market will get creamed well there are also as gold and
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silver have corrected over the last two or three weeks that they've had big declines silver up to thirty percent there's been all sorts of shouting and screaming especially in the b.b.c. saying it was a bubble it's burst it's popped so what do the sort of people who do you trust for example the largest bond fund trader in the world or the b.b.c. i trust the actual people who are dealing with money day to day not the lackeys of the b.b.c. who are an extension of the corrupt government and after the hutton affair of course the b.b.c. lost all objectivity and they're in the pocket of those nasty number ten downing street. well and this goes on to the other thing so gold as i said fell back here's the headline gold calling sales reaching one year high signal no end to rally in history so this is from bloomberg another big financial news service the u.s. mint sold eighty five thousand ounces of american eagle coins since may first is the standard and poor's g.s.c.
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i index of twenty four raw materials co nine point nine percent the last time sells reached that level bully on rose twenty one percent in the next year freedom is on sale as i explained on the show many times days there are in particular with the price of silver when it got up to the price of j.p. morgan's stock price but there would be a huge turbulence it goes j.p. morgan is going to defend that price because they've used their own stock to collateralized against naked silver shorts cells just like enron use its own stock to try to keep the walls of the door and then eventually collapses or. j.p. morgan stock will collapse to zero at some point so when it got to the price of j.p. morgan stock in the mid forty's then you had j.p. morgan pull in a lot of favors with the those in the treasury in the global banking system and the various sisters of deceit led by diamond tim geithner and they you know stage an attack on sober as they've done before but they can only talk of so much because what they've done is they've radicalized more silver buyers the silver liberation
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army has been radicalized by more of these attacks and so you've got a much wider base developing which will translate into a much higher amplitude and eventual target of five hundred dollars i'm sticking to it's not just the u.s. mint that's all the record amount rand refinery which sells krugerrands which myths krugerrands they also had record month also u.b.s. had a record month in selling gold so but this is that big theme that we've said to focus on for two thousand and seven that's the collapse of the us empire which is the collapse of the dollar and you'll see that there's no getting around it and finally headline max this shows you without any doubt just like this pimco story that the dollar is ready to collapse and gold therefore will be the new currency j.p. morgan's hunt for afghan cole oh so to be more good will it tell me more team of bankers starts to tap the country's vast mineral riches with help from the pentagon
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. so j.p. morgan capital markets are in afghanistan backed by the pentagon and they believe that afghanistan represents a gigantic untapped opportunity one of the last great natural resource front here is and they reckon it has hundreds of billions of dollars worth of gold and they're in there to acquire that because they don't want to pay thirty five dollars an ounce or so over fifteen hundred dollars an ounce for gold they want to pay nothing they want to free they want to have the us taxpayer financed the pentagon to go into afghanistan murder about. people destroy the civilization kill the culture and steal all the resources that was a strategy in iraq with oil that's the strategy of the pentagon slash j.p. morgan slash goldman sachs around the world these two a fused together now how somebody can argue that this isn't some you know bastardization of fascism you know explain to me how this isn't fascism when you've got the banks of the pentagon fused together and the pentagon has bombed the country and the bank steals all the precious metals how is that how is that
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a sustainable foreign policy and how is i'm not going to lead to a social unrest and all cut. to me listen this is goes in with the collapse of the dollar is all and the class of the empire the fact that the u.s. is an empire the article states this wealth all these natural resources and afghanistan has lain there really undisturbed for thousands of years as armies of persians and greeks mongols britain's russians and now americans trapped above invaders have dreamed of exploiting it since the time of alexander the great but no one has yet succeeded in a large scale i reckon the us won't succeed either us or the empires go to die before we go let me do my impression of a dutch task on when he arrives first first night in a prison cell surrounded by a bunch of hardened criminals. well buddy gotta learn some new tricks all right that's going to do it safely harbor thanks so much think you max
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when we come back much more coming your way don't go away. plug a bag of guys or
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a part time out of boston to speak with energy analyst gregory macdonald of greger dot com gregor welcome back to the kaiser report good to see you max it's great to be about the new blog you write paper versus real exit from normal ecological economics and problem ballistic regimes in one chart wow you got all that in one chart the chart is the thirty year treasury bond versus the c.r.p. the commodity research bureau index tells about it tells us a couple of things first let's just note that since two thousand and two the u.s. dollar has expressed uther in dollar terms we're just in terms of u.s. treasury bonds has lost about sixty five percent of its purchasing power ok i see broad basket of commodities and i just find that with this latest ramp up over the last two years in worldwide commodity prices in the global financial community there's a real reluctance to own up to the fact to face up to the fact that paper currency
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is losing its purchasing power against natural resources so i do think is it starting off point it's worth just pointing out empirically that the u.s. long gone it's lost sixty five percent of its purchasing power against our natural resources which are all the things that we used to live every day sentential here since two thousand to. the sixty five percent loss of purchasing. power against resources the stuff that you buy with that paper money for and the the d x y the actual dollar index that people look at that has not depreciated sixty five percent of two thousand and two. so i think what also we're saying here is that there is a bit of a complete disconnect in terms of comprehension on the part of those who follow markets and follow economics that they look at these technical indicators like
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a dollar trade weighted index but they missed the big picture here that sixty five percent of purchasing power of the dollar's been smashed says two thousand and two and i think if the trend is not good either you know it's not and i don't understand why so many in the financial community regard these types of comparisons as as arcane i mean as anyone who's retired or you know knows we all use our financial assets eventuality to come in and services labor resources energy food and so what the financial community has clever clearly been able to do is to talk about g.d.p. in nominal terms talk about corporate earnings in nominal terms talk about the rebound since the financial crisis lows of two thousand and eight in nominal terms but to avoid talking about these figures in real terms what does the s. and p. five hundred buy you know what does u.s. g.d.p.
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by you know what do those corporate earnings buy you know they buy you a lot less of just about everything you need to run a business or to live in retirement so you know this is a of a reality that sort of you know behind the front page and of course we're starting to see professional professional money management we're certain is in the first few professional money managers like the university of texas mine gold we've got jeremy grantham and gina mo in boston talking about the problem of scarce resources we're starting to see the first few escapees from the world of nominal and they're starting to face up to the world of real. all right well another factor in this of is the percentage of income that people spend on food and energy now in the developing world that number is quite high they make very little money and a huge amount of it is spent on food and energy like fifty sixty percent in some
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cases in the united states and in other developed countries up until recently that number was almost negligible so due to the growth of the fianna currency period after the one nine hundred seventy one and the ill and the income that was derived from the bond market and the stock market and the artificially inflated housing market this component of the household income was ignored but now it's coming back with a vengeance at what point does it do we start to see parity between the developed world and the developing world we're the entire world is going to be paying a lot more for food and energy on a parapet sube basis t. is a fancy banking term well i love that question just a couple of things here if we look at the united states in aggregate there is a drag on rising food and energy costs doesn't look catastrophic yet but if you look at the for the first three quintiles of americans in other words those sixty
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percent of income of income wagers earners in the united states you're actually seeing enormous stress among those first three quintiles of wage earners in the united states and when you get down to the first quintile and the lower quintile you know certain americans are almost struggling against food and energy costs the way many other people or developing it all over the world not just in the developed world but in the in the in the developing world you know the larger issue is the fact that as we move through this world we're we've got we're posting you know nominal prices. everyone's living in a real crisis you know we see certain asset classes absolutely collapsing for example weight u.s. housing u.s. housing got its first blow from the fact that it had been put into a bubble but now it's really suffering from the far with food and energy costs housing can't really recover in those conditions and so housing looks like it's
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probably one of the prime victims of peak oil and the fact that higher energy costs are basically reducing the real living costs of everything in the system are let's roll back for a second and talk about the three fifth's quintile cell just to put that into a layman's term you're talking about sixty percent of the population is coming in to the point of contact with stress and in terms of the rising price of food and energy and the bottom twenty percent the lowest quintile is actually now you could say on par with a lot of the developing world who is struggling on a day to day basis almost of hand to mouth existence and this is creating in the states social strata which seems like it's completely ignored by the political class nobody running for president for example addresses the fact that the economy is producing
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a permanent underclass of people who because as you point out due to the constraints in the energy industry constraining future growth these people will be in the lowest twenty percent in perpetuity because there's no way to climb out of that permanent underclass given the restraints on growth tied to the restraints and oil correct there is absolutely correct in fact we've seen the price of oil globally basically leave a whole tranche of people both in the especially in the developed world behind the price of oil is now of course at one hundred dollars a girl and it's basically left behind the poor of the of the o.e.c.d. of of europe. of the united states these are people that may never really be able to afford oil again and you're right there is i almost call this emerging america it's almost like emerging market america where a certain portion of our society is unable to feed themselves their own able to afford gasoline we've got an extraordinary number of people we're we're going to
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probably hit fifty million people on food stamps next that's in a country of six hundred of three hundred million people and you know supposedly the wealthiest nation on earth fifty million people will not be able to feed themselves i want to talk about volatility for a second because this is something that i think is completely under the radar as the energy constraints start say oh kick in and as countries start to actually hoard their own energy from saudi arabia and other countries that are the oil rich they're saying we want to hold onto our energy we don't want to export as much as we used to because there's not that much around this is increasing the volatility in paper assets and we see huge volatility in the currency market talk about that relationship place but what we have come to understand is that the steadiness and the consistency and the liability of industrial growth is really the driver
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of what allows paper assets to hold and maintain their value when you're floating paper assets which is either promissory notes of zero maturity like cash or or some other promise which is maybe a ten year bond those paper assets are essentially promising to the holder of those assets that there will be future industrial growth that would occur at a profit and the profit will be used to pay the coupons and to pay that paper assess back and what we've seen is once we ran into the energy limits ok and i mention a nineteenth century scientists named liebig who talked about limits within natural systems once we ran into the end. limit then paper us it's not only began to falter but now they become unstable they become wild the forex markets are wild the foreign sovereign bond markets are wild and unstable and i see very dim prospects that any chain your u.s. treasury bond or a fifteen or thirty year u.s.
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first reborn will be repaid in any sort of dollars or any sort of paper capital that will allow them to go out and purchase the food and energy that they need you know which is this is supposedly their savings and so at one time max paper assets were secure place to store your capital they are no longer a do still have a group of rent seeking predatory in the banking industry who know that this volatility is real and they know the causes of the volatility but their answer is to put on a volatility spread on the volatility index fell by the put and the call simultaneously and they'll pay for the spread and they'll let this whole market ecology collapse knowing that the volatility itself will generate returns for a van and this predator class is really. in charge of not only milking the system necessary capital but to what extent are they actually
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adding to the volatility gregor mcdonald well you've heard the expression i b g y d g which is be gone be gone and be gone and that's the sort of credo of the short term. you know clo bull buccaneering. trading capitalist who's not interested in externalities in the system is not interested in future risks basically just wants to play current volatility in bank short term profits and of course you know this is sort of the tragedy of our system we really do. you need to have the political complex and the financial complex working more in concert to address longer term issues if we were addressed longer term energy issues climate issues environment issues it would bring down volatility and since we're not interesting those were hansing the volatility were almost enhanced in the
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volatility just by the fact that we refused to deal with these large long term pressures that we need to face all right graham mcdonnell thanks so much for being once again on the kaiser report great to be with you max and afternoon all right that's going to do it for this edition of the kaiser report with me max kaiser and stacy herbert are thank my guests gregory macdonald of gregor thought you ass if you want to send me an email please this so it ties a reported r t t v that are you until next time this is nice guys are saying.
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